Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 7 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 7 April 2014, Tottenham 5 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        33   74  +50       6.16    78.12    10.40    83.94     2.76    55.23    29.60    69.90    99.37    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   72  +41       4.89    72.83     6.31    82.45     2.57    46.88     9.85    40.96    98.43    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   70  +55       1.44    56.33     9.57    85.62     2.91    65.88    60.55    89.07    99.68    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   64  +16       6.08    76.83    -3.67    74.41     2.76    21.56     0.00     0.02     1.47    60.70    99.08     0.00     0.00  
Everton          32   63  +21       8.15    84.43     4.88    72.83     3.17    23.30     0.00     0.05     1.06    36.86    95.37     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        33   59   +0       8.58    84.75    -6.81    67.68     2.90     2.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.14    51.92     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   57  +18      -4.98    26.73    -8.48    67.18     2.65    23.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.47    53.63     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   48   +6       3.03    64.48     8.46    55.03     2.90     6.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        33   46  -13       7.01    80.41    -1.17    51.50     2.63   -15.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -11       2.10    60.96     1.02    47.23     2.92   -10.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   37   -7      -3.95    31.84     0.52    42.24     2.60   -10.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Hull             33   36   -6      -0.11    50.38     8.36    40.68     2.66    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      32   34  -13      -2.58    37.77     0.03    40.41     2.95   -16.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.89R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   34  -16       3.79    70.08     5.32    38.80     2.74   -21.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.53R    0.01  
Swansea          33   33   -4      -9.21    12.80     2.39    39.83     2.91    -4.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.89R    0.01  
West_Brom        32   32  -11      -7.82    16.60    -3.18    38.77     3.00   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.71R    0.05  
Norwich          33   32  -26      -2.07    40.63    -7.02    35.24     2.34   -32.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    38.97R    1.32  
Fulham           33   27  -41      -3.94    31.12   -13.63    33.38     2.82   -41.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.40R   13.08  
Cardiff          33   26  -35      -2.72    37.14    -4.92    30.20     2.60   -39.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.14R   56.82  
Sunderland       31   25  -24      -8.06    14.75    -8.40    31.54     2.98   -30.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.26R   28.70  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2014, Barnsley 0 0 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       40   89  +38      15.23    95.08     9.07    99.56     3.16    41.47    98.12   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         40   80  +31      12.56    91.03    12.32    90.00     3.23    33.55     1.88    97.99   100.00    98.52P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             40   70  +14       6.02    73.53     0.63    79.53     3.16    15.90     0.00     0.69    99.55    26.46P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           40   69  +23       6.13    73.75    11.00    79.54     3.23    26.51     0.00     1.17    99.74    24.54P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           40   67  +15       1.16    54.70    -1.21    76.76     3.19    17.28     0.00     0.14    96.72    26.41P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         40   63  +15      -2.71    39.22    -1.27    72.08     3.27    16.24     0.00     0.00    70.89    17.78P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   40   58   +7       0.28    51.35     2.75    66.52     3.23     7.48     0.00     0.00     7.43     1.47P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        40   58   +6      -1.96    41.95    -1.90    67.32     3.07     7.58     0.00     0.00     9.06     2.08P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         40   58   +5       4.14    66.91     6.15    66.29     3.13     5.03     0.00     0.00     5.18     0.82P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     40   58   -1       7.79    79.07     6.47    66.13     3.29    -1.16     0.00     0.00     6.43     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       40   56   +1      -0.01    50.33    -0.63    64.53     3.19     1.52     0.00     0.00     1.74     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         39   53  +13      -9.02    17.31     0.12    64.21     3.49    15.46     0.00     0.00     3.07     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   40   52   +7      -4.07    33.77     4.87    61.12     3.12     8.31     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   48   +0      -4.30    32.70     3.47    55.99     3.21    -0.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bolton          40   48   -4      -8.59    18.70    -6.42    57.13     3.22    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    40   47   -8      -3.73    35.18    -1.38    54.68     3.22    -8.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield    40   46   -5      -3.33    36.55     3.34    52.71     3.10    -7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18R    0.00  
Birmingham      40   43   -8     -10.71    12.81    -5.88    50.63     3.24    -8.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.17R    0.01  
Doncaster       40   43  -24       2.53    62.14    -2.85    48.54     2.94   -28.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.16R    0.33  
Blackpool       40   42  -22      -6.25    25.17   -12.43    48.54     3.05   -24.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.67R    0.32  
Charlton        38   38  -21      -6.23    24.34   -10.45    48.49     3.65   -21.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.88R    1.58  
Barnsley        39   36  -27      -4.26    32.12    -6.44    42.44     3.18   -31.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.18R   27.07  
Millwall        40   36  -31      -5.82    26.43   -11.22    42.15     2.96   -34.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.28R   31.35  
Yeovil          40   35  -24      -3.46    36.14     1.87    41.12     3.03   -27.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.44R   39.33  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2014, Bradford 2 3 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   41   90  +49       6.49    75.67     8.25   100.19     2.75    54.15    93.77    99.95   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   84  +29      15.31    94.72     8.53    94.20     3.19    31.85     6.17    91.98   100.00    94.26P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       40   78  +29      15.09    93.53    16.91    86.56     3.18    29.46     0.05     5.15   100.00    25.35P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   41   77  +35       7.55    77.95    15.36    85.25     2.89    37.14     0.00     1.78   100.00    31.94P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   76  +18      12.99    90.79     7.90    84.56     2.86    20.49     0.00     1.15   100.00    24.21P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    40   61   +7      -2.27    41.08    -5.66    72.15     3.24    11.61     0.00     0.00    87.65    21.52P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         41   58   +3      -4.54    32.19    -6.31    65.17     2.97     3.47     0.00     0.00     4.49     1.05P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         41   57   +4      -6.91    24.08    -7.46    64.65     2.99     5.15     0.00     0.00     3.71     0.89P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       41   57  -11       8.08    79.51     1.23    62.14     2.85   -13.95     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.11P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         41   56   +3      -0.74    47.24     1.88    64.05     2.94     4.73     0.00     0.00     2.41     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   53   -2      -5.51    28.07    -7.77    62.43     3.26    -0.26     0.00     0.00     0.83     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        41   49   +1      -0.53    48.62    10.70    54.61     2.84    -0.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Coventry        41   49   +0      -0.52    47.99    -4.32    54.81     2.90    -1.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Gillingham      40   48  -13       1.53    56.92     0.59    54.28     3.05   -16.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.16R    0.01  
Bristol_City    41   47   -1     -12.09    11.71    -4.82    54.98     2.98     0.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.00  
Oldham          41   47  -11      -1.02    46.41     0.92    53.50     2.93   -11.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.05R    0.02  
Crawley_Town    38   46   -8      -0.85    47.00    -0.42    55.78     3.69    -9.71     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.83R    0.02  
Colchester      41   43  -12      -4.95    30.67     0.39    49.11     2.88   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.18R    4.00  
Tranmere        40   43  -21      -4.87    30.61   -10.02    50.54     3.16   -22.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.07R    2.13  
Carlisle        40   43  -21      -1.09    46.26    -4.24    48.64     2.92   -25.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.54R    6.05  
Crewe           41   43  -27       0.29    51.97    -4.44    47.89     2.71   -30.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.69R   10.85  
Shrewsbury      41   41  -13      -7.03    22.95    -1.79    47.05     2.85   -14.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    62.24R   11.69  
Notts_County    41   40  -17     -11.78    11.32    -9.43    46.83     2.97   -17.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.57R   14.66  
Stevenage       41   39  -21      -6.99    23.15    -5.97    44.48     2.78   -22.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.11R   50.57  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Rochdale             41   75  +25       7.81    78.66     8.89    83.38     2.97    27.23    42.16    98.31   100.00    98.86P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           41   75  +25       3.00    61.79     2.17    83.87     2.94    27.84    50.31    98.89   100.00    99.28P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   71  +26       0.41    51.56     5.42    79.29     2.93    28.06     7.24    78.36   100.00    85.83P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       41   68  +13       8.08    79.59     7.36    75.10     2.92    13.40     0.18    14.10    99.88    34.73P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   68   +6      10.60    86.46     3.72    74.58     2.89     5.74     0.12     9.95    99.72    28.89P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   62  +13      -2.07    41.58     1.48    69.81     2.91    14.37     0.00     0.38    91.47    28.57P    0.00     0.00  
York                 41   60   +8       5.16    70.94     8.76    66.63     2.84     7.81     0.00     0.00    52.10    10.66P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   59   +6       0.48    52.36     2.10    65.92     2.87     6.16     0.00     0.00    41.21     9.78P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             40   55   -1       3.07    63.56     2.04    62.92     3.16    -1.26     0.00     0.00    10.14     2.13P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            41   54   -1       0.51    52.63     2.36    60.74     2.92    -1.07     0.00     0.00     1.96     0.40P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   53   +5      -8.08    21.05    -2.37    60.08     2.92     5.36     0.00     0.00     2.68     0.72P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   53   -9       5.29    71.36     2.77    59.20     2.89    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   51   -8      -3.49    36.38    -6.11    57.43     2.90    -8.62     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.10R    0.00  
Newport_County       40   50   -4       4.64    69.59     9.66    57.17     3.18    -5.45     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P    0.28R    0.00  
Hartlepool           41   49   -1      -9.56    16.76    -4.90    56.12     2.91    -0.50     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.50R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   49   -3      -2.67    39.50     2.96    55.31     2.86    -3.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.90R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   49   -6       0.34    52.17     4.21    55.21     2.85    -6.82     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.31R    0.00  
Morecambe            41   48  -14      -1.95    42.49    -5.30    53.41     2.83   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.77R    0.06  
Portsmouth           41   48  -15      -8.09    21.01   -15.28    54.98     2.93   -14.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.76R    0.03  
Exeter               41   47   -6      -8.31    19.55    -5.07    53.32     2.85    -6.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.31R    0.13  
Bristol_Rovers       41   47   -8      -4.09    33.80    -1.67    53.62     2.89    -8.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.35R    0.12  
Wycombe              41   46   -7      -6.72    24.32    -2.92    52.96     2.92    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.92R    0.26  
Northampton          41   43  -20      -5.00    30.16    -9.22    49.02     2.85   -21.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.40R    4.89  
Torquay              41   36  -24     -10.54    12.40   -11.07    42.01     2.85   -25.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.40R   94.50  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2014, Alfreton_Town 2 2 Welling; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            41   89  +61       6.67    76.96    18.36   100.20     2.54    68.25    99.99   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    40   76  +35       7.62    79.44    14.95    86.31     3.01    38.61     0.01    99.98    33.85P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    41   71   +2      16.40    95.77     5.48    77.58     2.95     1.52     0.00    74.25     8.41P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   69  +19       3.59    65.08     1.19    82.33     3.29    25.08     0.00    97.39    33.37P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        41   68  +17       6.12    74.25     8.33    75.01     2.87    17.31     0.00    45.82     8.21P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          41   67  +22       3.96    65.39    11.41    73.73     2.89    21.76     0.00    32.89     6.10P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   40   65  +17       6.10    74.29    10.56    73.33     3.05    17.07     0.00    26.71     4.85P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           41   64   +8      -1.57    43.60    -6.32    71.88     2.95     9.51     0.00    11.81     2.86P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    40   62   +2      -0.26    49.00    -9.69    71.53     3.17     3.89     0.00    10.03     2.17P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         42   61   -5       8.81    82.39     3.10    65.64     2.44    -6.28     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           40   60   -2       8.17    81.08     3.64    67.13     3.13    -3.84     0.00     0.58     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        41   59   -9      11.21    88.04     4.12    65.53     2.89    -9.52     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     40   58  +15      -5.10    29.55     1.91    66.72     3.17    15.57     0.00     0.50     0.12P    0.00     0.00  
Welling          41   57   +4       2.87    61.75     7.27    63.63     2.84     3.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     42   55   -2      -0.86    46.90     0.99    59.67     2.52    -3.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     40   54   +1      -2.18    41.19    -0.77    61.60     3.21    -0.06     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          42   54   -2     -10.35    14.07   -12.55    60.45     2.55    -0.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          42   46  -21       1.62    58.01     0.37    49.78     2.30   -23.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.44R    0.00  
Southport        41   45  -20      -1.50    44.34    -3.53    51.03     2.81   -21.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.60R    0.00  
Hereford         41   42  -20     -10.05    13.92   -13.67    48.28     2.86   -20.83     0.00     0.00     0.00    26.75R    0.00  
Aldershot        41   41   +3     -13.58     8.08   -10.07    48.93     2.91     4.56     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.96R    0.00  
Dartford         41   41  -21      -6.53    24.42    -6.69    47.11     2.82   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.46R    0.00  
Tamworth         41   33  -34      -6.73    22.35    -7.75    37.75     2.63   -37.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.79R    0.00  
Hyde_United      41   10  -70     -20.15     0.20   -20.63    13.07     2.27   -77.43     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10