Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 6 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 6 April 2014, Everton 3 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        33   74  +50       6.21    78.36    10.62    83.91     2.75    55.15    28.76    70.25    99.44    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          33   72  +41       4.97    73.08     6.51    82.38     2.61    46.75     9.68    40.56    98.35    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   70  +55       1.36    56.12     9.38    85.64     2.93    65.81    61.57    89.11    99.69    99.97   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          33   64  +16       6.02    76.42    -3.73    74.42     2.76    21.56     0.00     0.02     1.46    61.16    99.40     0.00     0.00  
Everton          32   63  +21       8.20    84.21     5.01    72.78     3.16    23.20     0.00     0.05     1.06    36.86    96.75     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   57  +18      -5.06    26.40    -8.58    67.15     2.66    23.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.53    62.44     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   56   -4       8.85    85.83    -7.81    66.56     3.19    -0.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65    41.38     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   48   +6       3.14    64.97     8.55    55.06     2.90     6.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        33   46  -13       7.04    80.83    -1.22    51.51     2.63   -15.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -11       2.26    61.84     1.22    47.22     2.94   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         33   37   -7      -3.99    31.68     0.46    42.26     2.61   -10.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03R    0.00  
Hull             33   36   -6      -0.15    50.08     8.35    40.67     2.65    -9.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      32   34  -13      -2.46    38.62     0.25    40.39     2.95   -16.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.29R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   34  -16       3.63    69.23     4.92    38.83     2.75   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.37R    0.03  
Swansea          33   33   -4      -9.37    12.53     2.12    39.84     2.93    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.30R    0.01  
West_Brom        32   32  -11      -7.76    16.97    -3.05    38.80     2.98   -13.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.53R    0.11  
Norwich          33   32  -26      -2.06    40.43    -7.05    35.26     2.36   -32.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.64R    1.77  
Fulham           33   27  -41      -3.98    31.19   -13.75    33.43     2.82   -41.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.87R   14.13  
Cardiff          33   26  -35      -2.76    37.08    -5.09    30.17     2.59   -39.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.36R   61.19  
Sunderland       30   25  -20      -8.24    13.81    -7.10    32.40     3.23   -26.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.36R   22.76  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2014, Barnsley 0 0 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       40   89  +38      15.29    95.23     9.24    99.56     3.16    41.47    98.15   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         40   80  +31      12.69    90.94    12.47    89.98     3.21    33.52     1.85    98.00   100.00    98.50P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             40   70  +14       6.00    73.33     0.63    79.50     3.16    15.85     0.00     0.68    99.51    26.73P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           40   69  +23       6.39    74.88    11.31    79.49     3.21    26.42     0.00     1.16    99.75    23.63P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           40   67  +15       0.88    53.44    -1.65    76.78     3.18    17.33     0.00     0.16    96.84    26.55P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         40   63  +15      -2.91    38.44    -1.69    72.11     3.26    16.27     0.00     0.00    70.93    18.13P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   40   58   +7       0.09    50.91     2.45    66.55     3.22     7.51     0.00     0.00     7.43     1.47P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        40   58   +6      -1.87    42.25    -1.74    67.31     3.11     7.57     0.00     0.00     9.20     2.14P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         40   58   +5       4.02    66.57     5.96    66.29     3.15     5.06     0.00     0.00     5.37     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     40   58   -1       7.80    79.33     6.55    66.11     3.28    -1.19     0.00     0.00     5.98     0.79P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       40   56   +1      -0.10    50.17    -0.75    64.53     3.21     1.55     0.00     0.00     1.82     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         39   53  +13      -9.03    17.21     0.16    64.22     3.49    15.44     0.00     0.00     2.98     0.74P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   40   52   +7      -4.03    34.06     4.94    61.10     3.12     8.26     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   48   +0      -4.39    32.32     3.30    55.98     3.19    -0.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bolton          40   48   -4      -8.23    19.66    -5.91    57.10     3.24    -2.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    40   47   -8      -3.72    35.38    -1.35    54.74     3.23    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Huddersfield    40   46   -5      -3.51    35.90     3.08    52.76     3.10    -7.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.20R    0.00  
Birmingham      40   43   -8     -10.88    12.61    -6.14    50.64     3.21    -8.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.98R    0.02  
Doncaster       40   43  -24       2.59    62.30    -2.78    48.56     2.95   -28.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.45R    0.37  
Blackpool       40   42  -22      -6.07    25.86   -12.23    48.54     3.06   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.74R    0.31  
Charlton        38   38  -21      -6.10    25.15   -10.32    48.48     3.65   -21.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.02R    1.57  
Barnsley        39   36  -27      -4.08    33.12    -6.17    42.42     3.19   -31.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.85R   27.73  
Millwall        40   36  -31      -5.82    26.29   -11.23    42.13     2.95   -34.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.47R   31.37  
Yeovil          40   35  -24      -3.54    35.83     1.85    41.16     3.04   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.24R   38.63  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2014, Bradford 2 3 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   41   90  +49       6.46    75.35     8.17   100.17     2.75    54.16    93.54    99.92   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   84  +29      15.38    94.86     8.66    94.21     3.18    31.85     6.39    92.17   100.00    94.50P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       40   78  +29      15.27    93.50    17.17    86.51     3.18    29.37     0.06     4.95   100.00    25.23P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   41   77  +35       7.67    78.46    15.52    85.26     2.90    37.15     0.00     1.83   100.00    31.83P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   76  +18      13.12    91.14     8.14    84.53     2.87    20.46     0.00     1.14   100.00    24.66P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    40   61   +7      -2.11    41.59    -5.40    72.11     3.24    11.52     0.00     0.00    87.39    21.24P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         41   58   +3      -4.27    32.99    -5.98    65.16     2.96     3.42     0.00     0.00     4.44     0.93P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         41   57   +4      -6.88    24.03    -7.39    64.66     2.99     5.17     0.00     0.00     3.87     0.92P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       41   57  -11       7.88    79.25     0.97    62.22     2.86   -13.83     0.00     0.00     0.96     0.10P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         41   56   +3      -0.75    47.12     1.84    64.01     2.97     4.67     0.00     0.00     2.46     0.47P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   53   -2      -5.81    26.77    -8.15    62.48     3.25    -0.18     0.00     0.00     0.86     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        41   49   +1      -0.80    47.36    10.32    54.66     2.86    -0.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.00  
Coventry        41   49   +0      -0.70    47.29    -4.57    54.84     2.90    -1.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22R    0.00  
Gillingham      40   48  -13       1.32    55.97     0.31    54.30     3.05   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.06R    0.01  
Bristol_City    41   47   -1     -11.94    11.95    -4.55    54.95     2.97     0.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.01  
Oldham          41   47  -11      -0.97    47.02     0.99    53.46     2.93   -11.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.03R    0.02  
Crawley_Town    38   46   -8      -0.82    47.14    -0.37    55.79     3.67    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.74R    0.02  
Colchester      41   43  -12      -4.88    30.69     0.49    49.13     2.87   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.97R    3.75  
Tranmere        40   43  -21      -4.72    31.45    -9.78    50.48     3.18   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.86R    2.24  
Carlisle        40   43  -21      -1.19    45.86    -4.44    48.64     2.91   -25.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.52R    5.91  
Crewe           41   43  -27       0.07    51.11    -4.80    47.91     2.73   -30.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.44R   10.66  
Shrewsbury      41   41  -13      -6.87    23.22    -1.61    47.08     2.86   -14.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.74R   11.81  
Notts_County    41   40  -17     -11.73    11.21    -9.33    46.81     2.98   -17.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.80R   15.24  
Stevenage       41   39  -21      -7.10    22.64    -6.22    44.49     2.77   -22.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.27R   50.35  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Rochdale             41   75  +25       7.92    79.06     9.07    83.38     2.97    27.22    42.44    98.47   100.00    98.92P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           41   75  +25       2.94    61.55     2.09    83.83     2.91    27.81    49.94    98.99   100.00    99.34P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   71  +26       0.22    50.59     5.20    79.30     2.95    28.08     7.30    78.58   100.00    85.93P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       41   68  +13       8.17    79.79     7.51    75.08     2.91    13.36     0.20    13.92    99.84    34.46P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   68   +6      10.61    86.53     3.69    74.60     2.89     5.77     0.11     9.64    99.77    28.50P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   62  +13      -2.17    41.42     1.35    69.82     2.90    14.39     0.00     0.41    91.73    29.25P    0.00     0.00  
York                 41   60   +8       5.01    70.23     8.56    66.64     2.84     7.82     0.00     0.00    52.56    10.85P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   59   +6       0.47    52.35     2.10    65.92     2.88     6.15     0.00     0.00    40.82     9.57P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             40   55   -1       2.98    63.07     1.90    62.91     3.17    -1.27     0.00     0.00     9.95     1.95P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            41   54   -1       0.78    53.85     2.67    60.74     2.91    -1.09     0.00     0.00     1.91     0.36P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   53   +5      -8.34    20.32    -2.71    60.12     2.90     5.41     0.00     0.00     2.57     0.73P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   53   -9       5.42    71.54     2.94    59.20     2.89    -9.88     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.08P    0.01R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   51   -8      -3.46    36.44    -6.06    57.42     2.91    -8.63     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.09R    0.00  
Newport_County       40   50   -4       4.67    69.49     9.74    57.14     3.17    -5.50     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.32R    0.00  
Hartlepool           41   49   -1      -9.49    16.94    -4.88    56.11     2.91    -0.52     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    0.55R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   49   -3      -2.54    39.93     3.13    55.31     2.86    -3.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P    0.88R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   49   -6       0.42    52.53     4.37    55.21     2.85    -6.84     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.29R    0.00  
Morecambe            41   48  -14      -1.79    43.45    -5.07    53.41     2.81   -16.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.77R    0.05  
Portsmouth           41   48  -15      -8.26    20.30   -15.49    54.96     2.94   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.73R    0.04  
Exeter               41   47   -6      -8.48    19.24    -5.37    53.33     2.87    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.28R    0.14  
Bristol_Rovers       41   47   -8      -4.10    33.88    -1.70    53.61     2.89    -8.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.60R    0.14  
Wycombe              41   46   -7      -6.66    24.49    -2.82    52.97     2.91    -6.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.76R    0.26  
Northampton          41   43  -20      -5.04    29.79    -9.20    49.03     2.86   -20.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.37R    5.13  
Torquay              41   36  -24     -10.52    12.52   -11.01    42.02     2.88   -25.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.35R   94.23  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2014, Alfreton_Town 2 2 Welling; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            41   89  +61       6.57    76.46    18.15   100.21     2.55    68.28    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    40   76  +35       7.89    79.98    15.36    86.28     3.02    38.55     0.01    99.99    33.35P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    41   71   +2      16.32    95.60     5.33    77.58     2.94     1.51     0.00    74.42     8.62P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   69  +19       3.49    64.64     1.02    82.39     3.25    25.20     0.00    97.66    33.87P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        41   68  +17       6.06    73.76     8.29    75.02     2.86    17.33     0.00    46.17     8.24P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          41   67  +22       4.11    65.92    11.69    73.69     2.90    21.70     0.00    32.01     6.09P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   40   65  +17       6.22    75.08    10.72    73.34     3.07    17.06     0.00    27.21     4.82P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           41   64   +8      -1.46    43.80    -6.22    71.87     2.93     9.50     0.00    11.48     2.74P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    40   62   +2      -0.42    48.25    -9.87    71.54     3.19     3.91     0.00    10.02     2.14P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         42   61   -5       8.52    81.76     2.67    65.64     2.44    -6.27     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           40   60   -2       8.12    80.96     3.56    67.16     3.12    -3.82     0.00     0.53     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        41   59   -9      11.15    88.06     3.95    65.51     2.89    -9.55     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     40   58  +15      -5.00    29.71     2.06    66.70     3.16    15.52     0.00     0.47     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Welling          41   57   +4       2.88    61.95     7.22    63.64     2.87     3.65     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     42   55   -2      -0.92    46.54     0.91    59.68     2.54    -3.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     40   54   +1      -2.46    39.77    -1.33    61.67     3.21     0.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          42   54   -2     -10.31    14.34   -12.51    60.47     2.56    -0.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          42   46  -21       1.73    58.43     0.63    49.76     2.29   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.39R    0.00  
Southport        41   45  -20      -1.45    44.38    -3.42    51.07     2.81   -21.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.29R    0.00  
Hereford         41   42  -20      -9.87    14.21   -13.40    48.22     2.86   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.13R    0.00  
Aldershot        41   41   +3     -13.63     7.88   -10.15    48.92     2.92     4.55     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.12R    0.00  
Dartford         41   41  -21      -6.40    24.55    -6.51    47.09     2.80   -22.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.28R    0.00  
Tamworth         41   33  -34      -6.72    22.51    -7.74    37.72     2.62   -37.81     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.79R    0.00  
Hyde_United      41   10  -70     -20.11     0.23   -20.41    13.07     2.25   -77.47     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10