Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 5 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2014, Aston_Villa 1 2 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          33   72  +41       4.84    72.51     6.29    82.44     2.59    46.84    10.97    47.98    96.30    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        32   71  +49       5.15    74.48    10.55    82.85     3.06    55.06    21.92    60.30    95.98    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         31   70  +55       1.30    55.86     9.33    85.70     2.92    65.90    67.10    91.03    99.37    99.98   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   64  +19       6.40    78.35    -2.36    75.79     3.07    24.59     0.01     0.65     7.71    80.74    99.68     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   60  +18       7.44    82.53     3.44    71.12     3.45    20.17     0.00     0.03     0.64    17.90    91.19     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          33   57  +18      -5.06    26.28    -8.64    67.19     2.66    23.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.05    65.16     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   56   -4       8.84    86.02    -7.81    66.56     3.17    -0.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.52    43.94     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      33   48   +6       3.18    65.44     8.65    55.08     2.90     6.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        33   46  -13       7.07    80.92    -1.14    51.51     2.63   -15.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            33   40  -11       2.20    61.71     1.13    47.23     2.92   -10.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   37   -6      -3.15    35.24     0.56    43.07     2.89   -10.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Hull             33   36   -6      -0.06    50.72     8.45    40.66     2.68    -9.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.29R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      32   34  -13      -2.41    38.79     0.30    40.40     2.95   -16.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.26R    0.00  
Crystal_Palace   32   34  -16       3.77    70.23     5.20    38.85     2.75   -21.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.33R    0.01  
Swansea          33   33   -4      -9.33    12.57     2.16    39.80     2.91    -4.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.24R    0.01  
West_Brom        32   32  -11      -7.67    17.24    -2.94    38.76     2.98   -14.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.60R    0.10  
Norwich          33   32  -26      -2.13    40.25    -7.13    35.24     2.35   -32.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.49R    1.82  
Fulham           33   27  -41      -4.13    30.71   -14.07    33.40     2.83   -41.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.96R   14.52  
Cardiff          33   26  -35      -2.71    36.71    -5.03    30.19     2.58   -39.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.53R   60.70  
Sunderland       30   25  -20      -8.11    14.32    -6.94    32.39     3.22   -26.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.30R   22.84  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2014, Barnsley 0 0 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       40   89  +38      15.13    94.87     9.02    99.59     3.17    41.51    98.21   100.00   100.00   100.00P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         40   80  +31      12.59    90.92    12.34    89.96     3.21    33.50     1.79    98.03   100.00    98.53P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             40   70  +14       6.14    73.69     0.78    79.49     3.16    15.82     0.00     0.61    99.53    26.42P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           40   69  +23       6.14    73.94    10.97    79.57     3.22    26.55     0.00     1.16    99.78    24.29P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           40   67  +15       0.98    53.91    -1.48    76.76     3.22    17.29     0.00     0.19    96.58    26.76P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         40   63  +15      -2.64    39.39    -1.21    72.08     3.26    16.23     0.00     0.00    70.53    17.58P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   40   58   +7      -0.02    50.10     2.33    66.56     3.23     7.55     0.00     0.00     7.78     1.56P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        40   58   +6      -2.07    41.47    -2.03    67.32     3.11     7.58     0.00     0.00     9.23     2.06P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         40   58   +5       4.02    66.66     5.92    66.31     3.17     5.07     0.00     0.00     5.58     0.83P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     40   58   -1       7.77    79.12     6.42    66.09     3.27    -1.20     0.00     0.00     6.05     0.81P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       40   56   +1      -0.37    48.75    -1.15    64.59     3.21     1.63     0.00     0.00     1.83     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         39   53  +13      -8.74    17.95     0.56    64.20     3.48    15.42     0.00     0.00     2.90     0.75P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   40   52   +7      -4.19    33.35     4.79    61.13     3.13     8.31     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       40   48   +0      -4.26    32.75     3.46    55.95     3.19    -0.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Bolton          40   48   -4      -8.50    18.81    -6.34    57.13     3.23    -2.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    40   47   -8      -3.67    35.26    -1.32    54.70     3.21    -8.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05R    0.00  
Huddersfield    40   46   -5      -3.55    35.96     3.01    52.73     3.12    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Birmingham      40   43   -8     -10.66    13.03    -5.83    50.62     3.20    -8.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.04R    0.01  
Doncaster       40   43  -24       2.60    62.35    -2.80    48.54     2.96   -28.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.61R    0.37  
Blackpool       40   42  -22      -6.14    25.68   -12.25    48.54     3.05   -24.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.71R    0.37  
Charlton        38   38  -21      -5.96    25.21   -10.15    48.45     3.64   -21.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.10R    1.63  
Barnsley        39   36  -27      -4.07    33.05    -6.15    42.42     3.18   -31.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.16R   27.50  
Millwall        40   36  -31      -5.65    27.10   -10.91    42.15     2.98   -34.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.10R   31.53  
Yeovil          40   35  -24      -3.46    36.16     2.01    41.17     3.04   -27.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.04R   38.59  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2014, Bradford 2 3 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   41   90  +49       6.33    75.06     7.95   100.22     2.73    54.21    94.01    99.93   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       40   84  +29      15.53    94.95     8.86    94.16     3.19    31.80     5.92    91.71   100.00    94.06P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       40   78  +29      15.27    93.79    17.19    86.50     3.20    29.38     0.07     5.27   100.00    25.58P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   41   77  +35       7.67    78.35    15.51    85.23     2.89    37.11     0.00     1.90   100.00    31.91P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         41   76  +18      13.04    91.00     8.05    84.55     2.88    20.48     0.00     1.19   100.00    24.22P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    40   61   +7      -1.83    42.68    -4.96    72.08     3.25    11.47     0.00     0.00    86.80    21.37P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         41   58   +3      -4.69    31.67    -6.59    65.23     2.98     3.52     0.00     0.00     4.76     1.11P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         41   57   +4      -6.78    24.56    -7.21    64.67     2.99     5.16     0.00     0.00     3.90     1.00P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       41   57  -11       7.80    78.85     0.76    62.18     2.85   -13.85     0.00     0.00     1.01     0.13P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         41   56   +3      -0.81    47.18     1.70    64.05     2.96     4.72     0.00     0.00     2.58     0.46P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       40   53   -2      -5.73    27.33    -8.06    62.48     3.26    -0.20     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        41   49   +1      -0.63    48.18    10.54    54.65     2.87    -0.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.25R    0.00  
Coventry        41   49   +0      -0.52    48.19    -4.38    54.82     2.90    -1.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23R    0.00  
Gillingham      40   48  -13       1.44    56.68     0.55    54.32     3.05   -16.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.15R    0.00  
Bristol_City    41   47   -1     -12.03    11.73    -4.66    54.96     2.99     0.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.08R    0.01  
Oldham          41   47  -11      -0.84    47.18     1.15    53.46     2.92   -11.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.87R    0.03  
Crawley_Town    38   46   -8      -1.05    45.95    -0.66    55.81     3.67    -9.68     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.70R    0.03  
Colchester      41   43  -12      -4.80    30.93     0.64    49.11     2.88   -12.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.24R    3.91  
Tranmere        40   43  -21      -4.61    31.84    -9.70    50.48     3.16   -22.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.61R    2.31  
Carlisle        40   43  -21      -0.96    46.70    -4.05    48.62     2.91   -25.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.57R    5.95  
Crewe           41   43  -27       0.26    51.88    -4.56    47.86     2.72   -30.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.95R   11.19  
Shrewsbury      41   41  -13      -7.17    22.38    -2.00    47.09     2.85   -13.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.77R   11.53  
Notts_County    41   40  -17     -11.88    10.88    -9.59    46.83     2.97   -17.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.58R   14.72  
Stevenage       41   39  -21      -7.29    22.05    -6.48    44.50     2.77   -22.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.01R   50.31  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Rochdale             41   75  +25       7.70    78.46     8.73    83.39     2.96    27.24    42.83    98.35   100.00    98.89P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           41   75  +25       3.17    62.39     2.40    83.83     2.93    27.82    49.97    98.88   100.00    99.24P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         41   71  +26       0.48    51.92     5.53    79.27     2.93    28.05     6.90    78.22   100.00    85.88P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       41   68  +13       8.17    79.87     7.53    75.11     2.90    13.41     0.18    14.03    99.87    34.75P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        41   68   +6      10.55    86.01     3.65    74.63     2.90     5.79     0.12    10.12    99.78    29.20P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             41   62  +13      -2.10    41.45     1.53    69.78     2.91    14.34     0.00     0.40    91.32    28.54P    0.00     0.00  
York                 41   60   +8       4.94    70.22     8.41    66.65     2.85     7.83     0.00     0.01    52.51    10.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           41   59   +6       0.52    52.37     2.19    65.91     2.87     6.14     0.00     0.00    40.86     9.58P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             40   55   -1       3.13    63.66     2.05    62.93     3.17    -1.25     0.00     0.00    10.19     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            41   54   -1       0.67    53.34     2.54    60.75     2.92    -1.07     0.00     0.00     2.06     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Bury                 41   53   +5      -8.29    20.21    -2.58    60.09     2.92     5.36     0.00     0.00     2.55     0.68P    0.00     0.00  
Mansfield            41   53   -9       5.42    71.76     2.93    59.22     2.89    -9.85     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Cheltenham           41   51   -8      -3.45    36.42    -6.03    57.40     2.91    -8.65     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P    0.13R    0.00  
Newport_County       40   50   -4       4.57    69.02     9.55    57.15     3.18    -5.47     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P    0.30R    0.00  
Hartlepool           41   49   -1      -9.64    16.33    -5.05    56.11     2.91    -0.52     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.52R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   41   49   -3      -2.47    40.43     3.24    55.30     2.84    -3.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.83R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        41   49   -6       0.25    51.70     4.13    55.23     2.86    -6.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.36R    0.00  
Morecambe            41   48  -14      -1.86    42.92    -5.22    53.40     2.82   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.74R    0.07  
Portsmouth           41   48  -15      -8.29    20.16   -15.55    54.99     2.93   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.63R    0.04  
Exeter               41   47   -6      -8.34    19.67    -5.11    53.33     2.86    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.38R    0.15  
Bristol_Rovers       41   47   -8      -3.98    34.10    -1.55    53.57     2.88    -8.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.72R    0.12  
Wycombe              41   46   -7      -6.69    24.30    -2.91    52.99     2.93    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.82R    0.28  
Northampton          41   43  -20      -5.10    29.67    -9.28    49.03     2.88   -21.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.21R    4.98  
Torquay              41   36  -24     -10.65    12.35   -11.14    42.02     2.87   -25.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.35R   94.36  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 5 April 2014, Alfreton_Town 2 2 Welling; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            41   89  +61       6.80    77.30    18.50   100.19     2.55    68.23    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    40   76  +35       7.78    79.70    15.19    86.32     3.01    38.60     0.02    99.99    33.80P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    41   71   +2      16.33    95.62     5.44    77.57     2.95     1.51     0.00    74.36     8.44P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          39   69  +19       3.55    64.96     1.14    82.35     3.26    25.12     0.00    97.48    33.62P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        41   68  +17       6.09    74.12     8.32    75.02     2.87    17.33     0.00    45.94     8.32P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          41   67  +22       4.02    65.70    11.51    73.70     2.89    21.71     0.00    32.16     5.92P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   40   65  +17       6.14    74.58    10.65    73.34     3.07    17.08     0.00    27.30     4.85P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           41   64   +8      -1.85    42.35    -6.75    71.88     2.96     9.52     0.00    11.67     2.80P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    40   62   +2      -0.14    49.27    -9.50    71.52     3.19     3.87     0.00    10.07     2.14P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         42   61   -5       8.57    82.02     2.67    65.64     2.45    -6.26     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           40   60   -2       8.01    80.38     3.41    67.17     3.13    -3.78     0.00     0.50     0.04P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        41   59   -9      11.03    87.80     3.74    65.56     2.89    -9.49     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     40   58  +15      -5.01    29.89     2.01    66.69     3.16    15.50     0.00     0.49     0.08P    0.00     0.00  
Welling          41   57   +4       2.91    62.21     7.23    63.64     2.84     3.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     42   55   -2      -0.59    47.71     1.36    59.68     2.54    -3.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     40   54   +1      -2.33    40.37    -1.02    61.65     3.20     0.01     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          42   54   -2     -10.43    13.77   -12.64    60.45     2.57    -0.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Chester          42   46  -21       1.93    59.11     0.93    49.74     2.30   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     9.64R    0.00  
Southport        41   45  -20      -1.58    43.94    -3.60    51.07     2.81   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.37R    0.00  
Hereford         41   42  -20      -9.77    14.58   -13.27    48.23     2.85   -20.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    27.40R    0.00  
Aldershot        41   41   +3     -13.65     7.75   -10.15    48.90     2.91     4.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.01R    0.00  
Dartford         41   41  -21      -6.57    24.07    -6.80    47.11     2.81   -22.09     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.76R    0.00  
Tamworth         41   33  -34      -6.76    22.42    -7.79    37.74     2.62   -37.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.83R    0.00  
Hyde_United      41   10  -70     -20.19     0.25   -20.58    13.06     2.26   -77.48     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10