Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 2 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 31 March 2014, Sunderland 1 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        32   71  +49       5.22    74.72    10.60    82.91     3.08    55.12    26.85    67.16    96.43    99.88   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          32   69  +38       4.63    72.01     5.53    81.61     2.84    45.03    10.33    42.63    93.57    99.73   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   67  +52       1.20    55.37     9.33    85.07     3.12    64.70    62.79    89.06    98.87    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   64  +19       6.35    78.24    -2.42    75.75     3.05    24.56     0.04     1.07    10.06    80.52    99.84     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   60  +18       7.67    83.09     3.70    71.20     3.47    20.28     0.00     0.08     1.06    18.77    93.27     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   56   -4       8.71    85.65    -8.12    66.54     3.18    -0.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51    54.41     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   54  +14      -5.16    25.91   -10.00    65.87     3.00    19.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.65    52.31     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   48   +9       3.38    66.01     9.27    55.47     3.06     7.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        32   46   -9       6.66    79.24    -0.20    52.55     2.93   -12.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   40   -8       2.10    60.95     1.68    47.78     3.09    -8.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   37   -6      -3.06    35.67     0.65    43.14     2.89    -9.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      31   34  -12      -1.08    45.18     1.13    42.33     3.26   -14.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Swansea          32   33   -3      -8.19    15.14     2.83    41.19     3.21    -3.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.78R    0.00  
Hull             32   33   -7      -1.33    44.15     8.16    38.97     3.00   -10.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.13R    0.05  
Norwich          32   32  -25      -1.03    45.69    -6.45    36.67     2.73   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.84R    1.17  
Crystal_Palace   31   31  -19       2.96    66.86     3.54    36.78     3.01   -24.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.08R    1.43  
West_Brom        31   29  -12      -8.87    12.91    -3.26    37.05     3.28   -15.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.29R    1.28  
Cardiff          32   26  -32      -2.25    39.30    -3.86    31.87     2.94   -35.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.83R   30.98  
Sunderland       30   25  -20      -8.32    13.37    -7.29    32.47     3.23   -26.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.37R   22.34  
Fulham           32   24  -42      -5.67    22.80   -14.81    31.32     3.08   -43.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.24R   42.75  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2014, Blackburn 3 3 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       39   86  +37      14.25    94.26     9.10    98.64     3.43    41.51    95.40    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         39   79  +31      12.98    92.03    12.31    90.23     3.50    33.34     4.59    94.49   100.00    95.93P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             39   70  +15       6.82    76.42     0.93    81.16     3.45    17.26     0.01     2.25    99.67    28.68P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           39   69  +24       6.92    76.54    11.08    80.90     3.52    27.51     0.00     3.16    99.72    26.35P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           39   64  +14       0.01    50.05    -1.58    75.83     3.46    17.34     0.00     0.12    91.21    25.03P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         39   60  +14      -3.57    35.50    -1.26    70.55     3.55    15.36     0.00     0.00    47.51    11.73P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   39   58   +8       1.37    55.92     3.27    68.67     3.47     9.65     0.00     0.00    23.43     4.42P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         39   58   +7       4.40    68.12     6.55    67.51     3.44     6.83     0.00     0.00    12.76     2.18P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        39   57   +6      -1.59    43.37    -1.90    67.96     3.38     7.98     0.00     0.00    15.96     3.67P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     39   55   -2       6.44    75.27     6.00    64.28     3.54    -2.48     0.00     0.00     3.14     0.43P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       39   53   -1      -0.86    46.73    -1.41    63.04     3.49    -0.25     0.00     0.00     1.04     0.18P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         38   52  +13      -8.54    17.92     0.27    64.68     3.76    15.62     0.00     0.00     5.47     1.38P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   39   49   +6      -5.36    28.47     4.43    59.56     3.43     7.41     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   48   +1      -3.61    35.25     3.44    56.71     3.39    -0.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    39   47   -7      -3.23    37.03    -1.57    55.52     3.46    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Huddersfield    39   46   -4      -2.36    40.57     3.84    54.18     3.41    -6.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Bolton          39   45   -5      -9.83    14.89    -6.83    55.37     3.51    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.21R    0.00  
Doncaster       39   43  -22       2.90    63.85    -2.46    49.95     3.27   -26.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.35R    0.04  
Blackpool       39   42  -21      -4.83    30.37   -11.41    50.45     3.36   -22.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.90R    0.04  
Birmingham      39   40  -10     -11.60    10.71    -6.78    48.99     3.49   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.86R    0.07  
Charlton        37   38  -20      -5.06    28.38    -9.64    49.76     3.91   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.39R    0.30  
Barnsley        38   35  -27      -4.03    32.83    -6.31    42.48     3.44   -32.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.96R   12.78  
Millwall        39   33  -32      -7.22    20.83   -11.81    39.78     3.17   -36.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.06R   40.08  
Yeovil          39   32  -25      -4.67    30.75     1.76    38.90     3.28   -28.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.10R   46.68  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 2 April 2014, Peterborough 2 0 Colchester; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   40   87  +47       5.93    73.87     7.73    99.12     3.06    53.04    91.98    99.67   100.00    99.84P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   81  +27      14.73    94.30     8.13    93.03     3.45    30.53     7.79    85.63   100.00    89.70P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   40   76  +35       7.99    79.53    15.48    85.66     3.19    37.21     0.10     5.84   100.00    34.57P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       39   75  +28      13.98    92.29    16.68    85.12     3.49    28.75     0.13     5.15   100.00    24.95P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   75  +18      13.37    91.78     7.95    84.99     3.19    20.57     0.01     3.71   100.00    26.46P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    39   61   +9      -1.86    42.38    -5.18    72.97     3.46    12.74     0.00     0.00    85.14    21.15P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         40   57   +5      -5.96    26.64    -7.06    66.42     3.29     6.74     0.00     0.00     7.58     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         40   56   +4       0.47    52.36     2.65    65.53     3.28     5.88     0.00     0.00     4.68     0.85P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   55   +2      -5.78    27.62    -6.77    63.46     3.28     2.31     0.00     0.00     1.32     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       40   54  -12       6.67    75.66     0.70    60.38     3.15   -15.15     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       39   52   -2      -5.30    28.86    -7.91    62.78     3.52    -0.24     0.00     0.00     0.93     0.22P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        40   49   +2       0.35    52.26    10.80    56.21     3.17     0.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.08R    0.00  
Coventry        40   49   +1       0.48    51.89    -3.97    56.34     3.23    -0.55     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Gillingham      39   48  -12       2.41    60.84     0.60    55.47     3.34   -15.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.67R    0.00  
Bristol_City    40   46   -1     -11.44    12.61    -4.36    55.31     3.29     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76R    0.01  
Crawley_Town    37   46   -7       0.39    52.33     0.42    57.69     3.94    -7.92     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.46R    0.01  
Oldham          40   44  -12      -2.37    40.58     0.19    51.60     3.23   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.39R    0.28  
Colchester      40   43  -11      -3.79    34.90     1.04    50.70     3.18   -11.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.22R    0.98  
Notts_County    40   40  -15     -11.36    11.78    -8.96    47.66     3.20   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.34R    6.65  
Tranmere        39   40  -22      -5.90    26.71   -10.10    48.61     3.46   -23.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.77R    6.36  
Carlisle        39   40  -22      -2.53    39.84    -4.82    46.56     3.18   -26.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.13R   15.84  
Crewe           40   40  -28      -1.11    45.99    -5.01    45.83     3.02   -31.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.28R   25.55  
Stevenage       40   39  -20      -6.21    25.44    -5.80    45.69     3.05   -22.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.44R   22.17  
Shrewsbury      40   38  -14      -8.45    17.87    -2.45    45.62     3.15   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.43R   22.16  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2014, Bury 2 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Rochdale             40   74  +25       8.29    80.14     9.01    84.22     3.25    27.90    54.29    99.25   100.00    99.48P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           40   72  +24       2.03    58.22     2.00    82.62     3.25    27.40    31.33    97.76   100.00    98.54P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   70  +26       0.88    53.42     5.53    80.42     3.22    29.22    14.24    90.43   100.00    93.76P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   65  +11       7.22    77.53     6.49    73.21     3.19    11.04     0.07     6.62    97.20    28.47P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   65   +5       9.53    84.18     3.55    73.11     3.19     4.97     0.07     5.54    96.55    25.37P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   59  +12      -3.28    36.80     1.13    68.20     3.21    13.42     0.00     0.23    72.63    23.36P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   59   +8       1.01    54.66     2.97    67.54     3.19     8.53     0.00     0.10    59.91    15.26P    0.00     0.00  
York                 40   59   +8       5.17    71.14     8.37    66.58     3.12     7.21     0.00     0.06    45.59     9.79P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             39   55   +0       3.77    66.05     2.23    64.18     3.44    -0.39     0.00     0.01    18.85     3.94P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            40   54   +1       0.98    54.69     3.13    62.12     3.21     0.94     0.00     0.00     6.47     1.41P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   51   -7      -2.45    40.25    -5.58    58.72     3.20    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Bury                 40   50   +3      -8.74    18.72    -2.97    58.57     3.21     3.53     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.27P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield            40   50  -10       4.12    67.45     2.51    57.27     3.18   -11.31     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.01P    0.14R    0.01  
Hartlepool           40   49   +0      -8.82    18.27    -4.73    57.44     3.22     0.43     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.10P    0.09R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   49   -2      -1.60    43.89     3.68    56.99     3.16    -2.24     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.19R    0.00  
Newport_County       39   49   -4       4.72    69.78     9.30    56.80     3.37    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P    0.27R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   48   -6       0.78    54.18     4.46    55.63     3.16    -6.75     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.65R    0.01  
Morecambe            40   48  -13      -0.81    47.31    -4.51    55.10     3.16   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.19R    0.05  
Exeter               40   47   -4      -7.95    20.82    -4.47    54.49     3.14    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.35R    0.07  
Bristol_Rovers       40   46   -8      -3.81    34.71    -1.61    53.92     3.19    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.07R    0.20  
Portsmouth           40   45  -16      -9.52    16.24   -15.97    53.36     3.25   -15.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.57R    0.52  
Wycombe              40   43   -9      -7.51    21.48    -3.71    51.38     3.21    -8.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.93R    1.80  
Northampton          40   40  -21      -6.50    24.10    -9.84    47.10     3.14   -22.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.86R   18.96  
Torquay              40   36  -23      -9.92    13.94   -10.95    42.97     3.12   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.65R   78.38  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2014, Dartford 1 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            40   86  +60       5.92    74.48    18.47    99.30     2.85    68.38    99.95   100.00    99.96P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    39   73  +33       7.16    78.20    14.65    85.52     3.26    37.88     0.05    99.88    33.78P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    40   70   +2      17.01    96.42     5.83    78.35     3.26     2.13     0.00    77.49     9.36P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   66  +18       2.07    59.04     0.41    80.49     3.55    23.85     0.00    91.15    30.77P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        40   65  +12       6.59    75.99     6.62    73.94     3.12    13.15     0.00    28.34     5.12P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   38   64  +18       7.60    79.72    11.19    75.51     3.61    18.63     0.00    50.67     9.89P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          39   63  +21       3.31    63.48    11.37    72.66     3.50    21.03     0.00    23.42     4.58P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    39   62   +3       0.81    53.46    -9.12    73.14     3.48     5.23     0.00    20.78     4.61P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           40   61   +7      -2.62    39.03    -6.46    70.58     3.25     9.01     0.00     6.27     1.51P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         41   61   -4       9.73    85.48     3.53    67.14     2.79    -5.10     0.00     0.26     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     39   58  +16      -4.41    31.63     1.89    67.78     3.42    16.11     0.00     1.55     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           39   57   -4       6.85    77.39     2.34    65.00     3.35    -6.68     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Welling          40   56   +4       3.32    63.96     7.38    63.59     3.13     2.98     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        40   56  -10       9.68    85.06     3.48    63.20     3.12   -11.59     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     39   54   +2      -1.62    43.34    -1.06    62.59     3.46     0.29     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     41   54   -2      -0.40    48.51     1.19    60.64     2.86    -2.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          41   51   -3     -11.35    11.31   -12.57    59.30     2.88    -0.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        40   45  -18      -1.26    45.11    -3.40    51.74     3.02   -20.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.71R    0.00  
Chester          41   43  -22       0.77    54.66     0.41    48.86     2.63   -23.64     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.54R    0.00  
Hereford         40   42  -18      -9.23    15.74   -12.48    50.13     3.15   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.92R    0.00  
Aldershot        40   41   +4     -12.82     9.11   -10.09    49.55     3.13     4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.21R    0.00  
Dartford         40   40  -21      -6.44    23.90    -6.83    46.92     3.08   -23.01     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.32R    0.00  
Tamworth         40   33  -29      -7.34    20.19    -6.19    38.51     2.86   -33.70     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.30R    0.00  
Hyde_United      40   10  -69     -19.38     0.29   -20.57    13.83     2.55   -77.48     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10