Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 1 April 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 31 March 2014, Sunderland 1 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        32   71  +49       5.26    74.80    10.71    82.88     3.08    55.05    26.86    66.86    96.27    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          32   69  +38       4.54    71.73     5.40    81.61     2.86    45.06    10.20    42.64    93.40    99.73   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   67  +52       1.22    55.51     9.27    85.10     3.13    64.72    62.89    89.45    98.96    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   64  +19       6.43    78.60    -2.33    75.76     3.05    24.56     0.05     0.99    10.27    80.79    99.77     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   60  +18       7.72    83.54     3.82    71.17     3.47    20.25     0.00     0.06     1.10    18.52    92.98     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   56   -4       8.74    85.66    -7.96    66.56     3.16    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58    54.69     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   54  +14      -5.21    25.63   -10.04    65.88     3.01    19.86     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58    52.35     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   48   +9       3.38    66.26     9.27    55.47     3.05     7.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        32   46   -9       6.84    80.19     0.09    52.53     2.95   -12.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   40   -8       2.21    61.74     1.94    47.74     3.07    -8.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   37   -6      -3.13    35.44     0.51    43.13     2.90    -9.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      31   34  -12      -1.15    45.04     0.98    42.35     3.26   -14.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Swansea          32   33   -3      -8.41    14.77     2.50    41.23     3.22    -2.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.72R    0.00  
Hull             32   33   -7      -1.31    44.43     8.17    38.93     2.96   -10.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.17R    0.04  
Norwich          32   32  -25      -1.05    45.48    -6.42    36.67     2.74   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.16R    1.10  
Crystal_Palace   31   31  -19       3.04    67.24     3.59    36.76     3.00   -24.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.28R    1.41  
West_Brom        31   29  -12      -9.12    12.29    -3.64    37.11     3.27   -15.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.66R    1.30  
Cardiff          32   26  -32      -2.42    38.73    -4.22    31.93     2.94   -35.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.49R   30.10  
Sunderland       30   25  -20      -8.12    14.19    -6.93    32.41     3.21   -26.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.20R   22.86  
Fulham           32   24  -42      -5.57    23.57   -14.71    31.34     3.10   -43.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.93R   43.18  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2014, Blackburn 3 3 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       39   86  +37      14.42    94.32     9.35    98.60     3.42    41.46    95.29    99.99   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         39   79  +31      12.87    91.92    12.17    90.22     3.49    33.35     4.70    94.44   100.00    95.90P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             39   70  +15       7.01    77.21     1.14    81.12     3.45    17.21     0.01     2.22    99.66    28.36P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           39   69  +24       6.88    76.25    10.94    80.94     3.51    27.57     0.01     3.24    99.78    26.89P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           39   64  +14       0.06    50.16    -1.52    75.81     3.45    17.31     0.00     0.12    90.98    25.02P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         39   60  +14      -3.93    34.15    -1.79    70.61     3.56    15.47     0.00     0.00    48.44    12.00P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   39   58   +8       1.25    55.69     3.13    68.69     3.47     9.68     0.00     0.00    23.10     4.27P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         39   58   +7       4.58    68.83     6.83    67.52     3.43     6.83     0.00     0.00    12.72     2.16P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        39   57   +6      -1.66    43.19    -1.92    68.01     3.37     8.03     0.00     0.00    15.98     3.64P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     39   55   -2       6.66    76.38     6.31    64.21     3.52    -2.55     0.00     0.00     2.80     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       39   53   -1      -1.00    46.10    -1.66    63.08     3.48    -0.20     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.19P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         38   52  +13      -8.63    18.01     0.14    64.65     3.78    15.55     0.00     0.00     5.38     1.24P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   39   49   +6      -5.24    29.07     4.65    59.51     3.45     7.33     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   48   +1      -3.40    36.19     3.75    56.68     3.40    -0.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    39   47   -7      -3.13    37.37    -1.46    55.50     3.44    -8.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04R    0.00  
Huddersfield    39   46   -4      -2.41    40.30     3.78    54.17     3.41    -6.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10R    0.00  
Bolton          39   45   -5      -9.73    15.23    -6.63    55.39     3.50    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.17R    0.00  
Doncaster       39   43  -22       3.16    64.48    -2.06    49.93     3.26   -26.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.50R    0.04  
Blackpool       39   42  -21      -4.87    30.19   -11.51    50.42     3.35   -22.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.05R    0.04  
Birmingham      39   40  -10     -11.62    10.48    -6.81    49.01     3.49   -10.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.77R    0.10  
Charlton        37   38  -20      -5.15    28.07    -9.73    49.75     3.89   -20.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.54R    0.30  
Barnsley        38   35  -27      -4.13    32.64    -6.48    42.45     3.43   -32.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.11R   13.33  
Millwall        39   33  -32      -7.39    20.40   -12.11    39.84     3.18   -36.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.82R   39.64  
Yeovil          39   32  -25      -4.86    30.00     1.47    38.97     3.29   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    95.90R   46.55  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2014, Coventry 0 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   40   87  +47       6.00    74.11     7.86    99.12     3.05    53.03    91.90    99.71   100.00    99.83P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       39   81  +27      14.91    94.52     8.42    93.01     3.48    30.50     7.87    85.19   100.00    89.37P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   40   76  +35       8.03    79.56    15.56    85.63     3.19    37.15     0.09     6.11   100.00    35.04P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       39   75  +28      14.11    92.34    16.99    85.09     3.49    28.69     0.12     5.21   100.00    25.05P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   75  +18      13.52    92.01     8.13    84.93     3.18    20.48     0.02     3.77   100.00    26.61P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    38   58   +7      -2.42    40.13    -5.51    71.81     3.72    11.41     0.00     0.00    76.91    18.85P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         40   57   +5      -5.75    27.41    -6.80    66.41     3.31     6.72     0.00     0.00    11.31     2.81P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         40   56   +4       0.31    51.71     2.43    65.54     3.27     5.87     0.00     0.00     7.26     1.47P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   55   +2      -5.94    27.16    -7.01    63.46     3.29     2.31     0.00     0.00     2.34     0.52P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       40   54  -12       6.64    75.46     0.68    60.43     3.15   -15.08     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       39   52   -2      -5.34    28.49    -7.97    62.80     3.52    -0.24     0.00     0.00     1.57     0.38P    0.00     0.00  
Bradford        40   49   +2       0.41    52.61    10.90    56.22     3.17     0.50     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.07R    0.00  
Coventry        40   49   +1       0.24    51.03    -4.31    56.40     3.23    -0.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Gillingham      39   48  -12       2.11    59.52     0.12    55.54     3.35   -15.33     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.68R    0.00  
Bristol_City    40   46   -1     -11.68    11.98    -4.70    55.32     3.31     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.86R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    37   46   -7       0.41    52.29     0.44    57.66     3.96    -7.96     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.55R    0.00  
Oldham          40   44  -12      -2.19    41.33     0.47    51.53     3.21   -12.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.10R    0.33  
Colchester      39   43   -9      -3.30    36.72     1.66    51.59     3.43   -10.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.45R    0.63  
Notts_County    40   40  -15     -11.37    11.61    -8.99    47.70     3.21   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.61R    6.52  
Tranmere        39   40  -22      -6.00    26.53   -10.30    48.63     3.44   -23.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.04R    6.29  
Carlisle        39   40  -22      -2.76    38.98    -5.23    46.64     3.19   -26.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.94R   15.54  
Crewe           40   40  -28      -1.13    45.88    -5.10    45.86     3.02   -31.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.71R   25.47  
Stevenage       40   39  -20      -6.14    25.71    -5.68    45.66     3.07   -22.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.40R   22.61  
Shrewsbury      40   38  -14      -8.17    18.70    -2.06    45.59     3.15   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.54R   22.62  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2014, Bury 2 1 Bristol_Rovers; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Rochdale             40   74  +25       8.47    80.94     9.22    84.19     3.26    27.85    54.21    99.31   100.00    99.52P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           40   72  +24       1.87    57.44     1.78    82.62     3.25    27.41    31.52    97.73   100.00    98.54P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   70  +26       1.04    54.02     5.81    80.40     3.19    29.16    14.12    90.29   100.00    93.86P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   65  +11       7.14    77.22     6.41    73.22     3.17    11.05     0.08     6.49    97.31    28.29P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   65   +5       9.34    83.47     3.23    73.15     3.18     5.01     0.07     5.86    96.74    26.06P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   59  +12      -3.18    37.05     1.28    68.20     3.19    13.42     0.00     0.18    72.83    22.83P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   59   +8       1.11    54.90     3.13    67.53     3.19     8.49     0.00     0.10    59.95    15.19P    0.00     0.00  
York                 40   59   +8       5.35    71.69     8.56    66.53     3.11     7.13     0.00     0.03    45.09     9.60P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             39   55   +0       3.87    66.52     2.36    64.14     3.44    -0.43     0.00     0.01    18.66     4.01P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            40   54   +1       0.98    54.49     3.07    62.12     3.21     0.93     0.00     0.00     6.50     1.42P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   51   -7      -2.55    39.87    -5.66    58.69     3.20    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.69     0.15P    0.01R    0.00  
Bury                 40   50   +3      -8.98    18.11    -3.28    58.65     3.24     3.64     0.00     0.00     1.12     0.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield            40   50  -10       3.93    66.58     2.30    57.30     3.18   -11.29     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.20R    0.00  
Hartlepool           40   49   +0      -8.68    18.80    -4.54    57.42     3.23     0.41     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.07P    0.09R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   49   -2      -1.47    44.40     3.76    56.99     3.17    -2.23     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.07P    0.19R    0.00  
Newport_County       39   49   -4       4.61    69.31     9.16    56.83     3.41    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.05P    0.30R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   48   -6       0.86    54.54     4.63    55.65     3.17    -6.72     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.01P    0.60R    0.01  
Morecambe            40   48  -13      -1.04    46.34    -4.87    55.09     3.15   -14.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.28R    0.03  
Exeter               40   47   -4      -7.92    20.74    -4.45    54.50     3.16    -5.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.32R    0.07  
Bristol_Rovers       40   46   -8      -3.78    34.67    -1.60    53.93     3.20    -8.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.99R    0.20  
Portsmouth           40   45  -16      -9.42    16.93   -15.76    53.34     3.21   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    6.36R    0.46  
Wycombe              40   43   -9      -7.60    20.98    -3.80    51.36     3.22    -8.71     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.23R    1.98  
Northampton          40   40  -21      -6.55    24.27    -9.91    47.10     3.14   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.76R   18.76  
Torquay              40   36  -23      -9.82    14.18   -10.84    42.96     3.12   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.64R   78.47  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 1 April 2014, Dartford 1 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            40   86  +60       5.79    74.01    18.25    99.31     2.84    68.38    99.95   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    39   73  +33       7.41    79.06    15.10    85.50     3.26    37.80     0.05    99.90    33.69P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    40   70   +2      16.81    96.38     5.53    78.36     3.26     2.13     0.00    77.42     9.69P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          38   66  +18       2.26    59.78     0.63    80.50     3.54    23.85     0.00    91.08    30.56P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        40   65  +12       6.53    75.73     6.53    73.95     3.13    13.16     0.00    28.41     5.17P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   38   64  +18       7.45    79.08    10.97    75.54     3.60    18.69     0.00    51.24     9.71P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          39   63  +21       3.41    63.90    11.55    72.63     3.49    20.93     0.00    23.03     4.52P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    39   62   +3       0.97    54.01    -8.92    73.10     3.47     5.18     0.00    20.49     4.73P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           40   61   +7      -2.76    38.32    -6.66    70.58     3.26     9.03     0.00     6.37     1.52P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         41   61   -4       9.23    83.94     2.80    67.22     2.81    -4.98     0.00     0.27     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     39   58  +16      -4.18    32.62     2.32    67.71     3.43    15.99     0.00     1.57     0.35P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           39   57   -4       6.78    77.14     2.22    65.05     3.38    -6.59     0.00     0.17     0.03P    0.00     0.00  
Welling          40   56   +4       3.22    63.55     7.19    63.60     3.12     3.03     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        40   56  -10       9.81    84.95     3.73    63.18     3.12   -11.63     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     39   54   +2      -1.92    42.05    -1.50    62.64     3.45     0.38     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     41   54   -2      -0.21    49.64     1.46    60.63     2.87    -2.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          41   51   -3     -11.60    11.21   -12.94    59.30     2.88    -0.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Southport        40   45  -18      -1.00    46.49    -2.93    51.69     3.02   -20.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.91R    0.00  
Chester          41   43  -22       1.10    55.89     0.96    48.85     2.64   -23.68     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.50R    0.00  
Hereford         40   42  -18      -8.92    16.51   -12.02    50.08     3.17   -18.18     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.20R    0.00  
Aldershot        40   41   +4     -12.90     8.98   -10.13    49.53     3.11     4.29     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.20R    0.00  
Dartford         40   40  -21      -6.55    23.96    -7.07    46.92     3.07   -22.99     0.00     0.00     0.00    48.82R    0.00  
Tamworth         40   33  -29      -7.37    20.24    -6.25    38.49     2.86   -33.72     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.38R    0.00  
Hyde_United      40   10  -69     -19.45     0.27   -20.85    13.86     2.56   -77.37     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10