Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 31 March 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 31 March 2014, Sunderland 1 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        32   71  +49       5.06    74.12    10.21    82.94     3.06    55.16    27.20    67.53    96.24    99.87   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          32   69  +38       4.78    72.57     5.71    81.60     2.85    45.00    10.00    42.24    93.28    99.72   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   67  +52       1.16    54.91     9.21    85.10     3.12    64.74    62.77    89.11    98.88    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   64  +19       6.45    78.49    -2.31    75.76     3.07    24.56     0.03     1.05    10.52    80.31    99.82     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   60  +18       7.52    82.91     3.51    71.23     3.47    20.31     0.00     0.07     1.09    19.06    93.22     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   56   -4       8.74    85.77    -8.00    66.54     3.17    -0.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.51    54.54     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   54  +14      -5.23    25.73   -10.08    65.87     3.01    19.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.59    52.20     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   48   +9       3.32    65.71     9.19    55.48     3.05     7.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        32   46   -9       6.84    80.08     0.19    52.52     2.93   -12.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   40   -8       2.26    61.86     1.90    47.75     3.09    -8.82     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         32   37   -6      -3.04    35.51     0.68    43.14     2.87    -9.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Aston_Villa      31   34  -12      -1.23    44.43     0.87    42.36     3.27   -14.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.46R    0.00  
Swansea          32   33   -3      -8.13    15.78     3.01    41.19     3.22    -3.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.81R    0.00  
Hull             32   33   -7      -1.46    43.71     7.91    38.97     2.97   -10.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.96R    0.04  
Norwich          32   32  -25      -1.10    45.23    -6.61    36.70     2.75   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    21.00R    1.08  
Crystal_Palace   31   31  -19       3.06    67.44     3.71    36.70     2.98   -24.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.60R    1.49  
West_Brom        31   29  -12      -9.04    12.40    -3.48    37.06     3.28   -15.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.19R    1.29  
Cardiff          32   26  -32      -2.33    39.01    -4.11    31.91     2.94   -35.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.33R   30.79  
Sunderland       30   25  -20      -8.16    13.95    -7.01    32.43     3.24   -26.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.56R   22.28  
Fulham           32   24  -42      -5.59    23.35   -14.50    31.32     3.09   -43.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.08R   43.02  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2014, Birmingham 2 4 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       38   85  +37      14.88    95.11     9.51    98.85     3.68    41.28    94.94    99.97   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         39   79  +31      12.80    91.66    12.03    90.27     3.52    33.38     5.05    94.50   100.00    95.92P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             39   70  +15       6.93    77.08     1.01    81.15     3.45    17.25     0.01     2.18    99.62    28.64P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           39   69  +24       7.20    77.55    11.41    80.86     3.52    27.43     0.00     3.07    99.74    26.23P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           38   63  +14       0.59    52.37    -1.22    76.19     3.74    17.32     0.00     0.28    90.87    24.92P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         39   60  +14      -4.03    33.85    -1.98    70.62     3.58    15.49     0.00     0.00    47.18    11.97P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   39   58   +8       1.38    56.15     3.31    68.66     3.47     9.62     0.00     0.00    22.34     4.22P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         39   58   +7       4.40    68.40     6.53    67.51     3.40     6.85     0.00     0.00    11.96     1.97P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        38   56   +6      -1.17    45.12    -1.79    68.25     3.63     7.87     0.00     0.00    18.34     4.12P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     39   55   -2       6.38    75.20     5.89    64.28     3.54    -2.46     0.00     0.00     2.87     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         38   52  +13      -8.48    18.01     0.36    64.64     3.76    15.54     0.00     0.00     5.02     1.27P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       38   52   -1      -0.38    48.68    -1.38    63.49     3.74    -0.09     0.00     0.00     1.97     0.37P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   39   49   +6      -5.26    28.96     4.57    59.54     3.43     7.37     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   48   +1      -3.44    35.98     3.65    56.66     3.40    -0.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Leeds_United    38   47   -6      -1.82    42.55    -0.60    57.25     3.73    -7.30     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    0.02R    0.00  
Huddersfield    39   46   -4      -2.49    40.01     3.60    54.23     3.41    -6.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06R    0.00  
Bolton          39   45   -5      -9.92    14.83    -6.92    55.42     3.53    -3.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.12R    0.00  
Doncaster       39   43  -22       2.99    63.87    -2.37    49.94     3.28   -26.01     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.58R    0.02  
Blackpool       39   42  -21      -4.95    30.18   -11.60    50.47     3.35   -22.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.45R    0.03  
Birmingham      39   40  -10     -11.51    10.82    -6.67    48.96     3.49   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.98R    0.06  
Charlton        36   35  -21      -6.68    21.99   -10.51    47.71     4.11   -22.20     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.26R    1.41  
Barnsley        38   35  -27      -4.06    32.87    -6.45    42.48     3.46   -32.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.42R   12.99  
Millwall        39   33  -32      -7.31    20.65   -11.96    39.80     3.17   -36.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.48R   39.50  
Yeovil          39   32  -25      -4.80    29.82     1.55    38.94     3.26   -28.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.62R   45.99  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2014, Crewe 1 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   39   86  +47       6.49    76.14     7.75   100.32     3.32    54.28    92.97    99.78   100.00    99.89P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   80  +27      15.30    95.26     8.38    93.37     3.72    30.52     6.88    86.46   100.00    90.30P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   40   76  +35       7.95    79.26    15.43    85.62     3.18    37.12     0.06     5.33   100.00    34.28P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       39   75  +28      13.92    92.21    16.69    85.16     3.47    28.81     0.07     4.81   100.00    25.09P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   75  +18      13.43    92.03     8.03    84.95     3.19    20.51     0.02     3.62   100.00    26.58P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    38   58   +7      -2.32    40.48    -5.39    71.81     3.74    11.42     0.00     0.00    75.90    18.38P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         40   57   +5      -5.89    27.19    -7.00    66.46     3.30     6.79     0.00     0.00    11.41     2.90P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         40   56   +4       0.30    51.70     2.40    65.54     3.29     5.90     0.00     0.00     7.23     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   55   +2      -5.79    27.34    -6.87    63.48     3.29     2.33     0.00     0.00     2.26     0.50P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   51   -2      -5.07    29.32    -8.06    63.12     3.80    -0.27     0.00     0.00     2.40     0.57P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       39   51  -13       5.40    72.01     0.33    58.81     3.45   -16.07     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford        39   48   +2       0.66    53.31    10.90    56.21     3.44    -0.18     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.16R    0.00  
Coventry        39   48   +1       0.99    54.22    -3.78    57.12     3.53     0.06     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    0.10R    0.00  
Gillingham      39   48  -12       2.51    61.01     0.73    55.45     3.34   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.71R    0.00  
Bristol_City    40   46   -1     -11.77    11.74    -4.82    55.32     3.28     0.72     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.76R    0.00  
Crawley_Town    36   46   -6       1.38    56.74     0.83    59.09     4.21    -6.88     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.06P    0.27R    0.00  
Oldham          40   44  -12      -2.28    41.19     0.48    51.55     3.22   -12.89     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.93R    0.27  
Colchester      39   43   -9      -3.51    35.90     1.45    51.62     3.43   -10.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.05R    0.54  
Notts_County    40   40  -15     -11.60    11.17    -9.26    47.68     3.22   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.41R    6.48  
Tranmere        39   40  -22      -6.11    25.99   -10.33    48.62     3.44   -23.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.81R    5.75  
Carlisle        39   40  -22      -2.52    40.05    -4.73    46.59     3.19   -26.91     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.07R   14.77  
Crewe           40   40  -28      -0.98    46.80    -4.81    45.77     3.00   -31.97     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.09R   24.80  
Shrewsbury      40   38  -14      -8.25    18.45    -2.10    45.61     3.17   -14.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.61R   21.18  
Stevenage       39   38  -20      -6.26    25.20    -6.26    45.36     3.28   -23.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.02R   26.21  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Rochdale             40   74  +25       8.13    79.95     8.75    84.24     3.27    27.92    54.57    99.32   100.00    99.51P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           40   72  +24       2.03    57.96     1.96    82.62     3.23    27.40    31.51    97.73   100.00    98.59P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   70  +26       1.08    54.09     5.80    80.39     3.18    29.16    13.78    90.28   100.00    93.73P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   65  +11       7.15    77.10     6.44    73.23     3.20    11.05     0.08     6.51    97.28    28.28P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   65   +5       9.26    83.56     3.20    73.14     3.19     5.00     0.06     5.81    96.69    25.78P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   59  +12      -3.42    36.30     0.95    68.21     3.22    13.42     0.00     0.20    72.94    23.07P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   59   +8       1.11    54.93     3.12    67.50     3.18     8.48     0.00     0.10    59.73    15.50P    0.00     0.00  
York                 40   59   +8       5.33    71.75     8.53    66.56     3.10     7.17     0.00     0.05    45.66     9.63P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             39   55   +0       3.84    66.36     2.30    64.14     3.46    -0.45     0.00     0.00    18.66     3.94P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            40   54   +1       1.04    54.71     3.17    62.14     3.20     0.97     0.00     0.00     6.57     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   51   -7      -2.47    40.10    -5.57    58.70     3.20    -7.72     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Mansfield            40   50  -10       4.07    66.77     2.44    57.24     3.18   -11.35     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.20R    0.00  
Hartlepool           40   49   +0      -8.81    18.65    -4.70    57.44     3.23     0.44     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.09P    0.09R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   49   -2      -1.60    43.76     3.65    56.99     3.17    -2.23     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.24R    0.00  
Newport_County       39   49   -4       4.86    70.41     9.56    56.80     3.40    -6.61     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.07P    0.29R    0.01  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   48   -6       0.63    53.55     4.33    55.68     3.16    -6.71     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.55R    0.00  
Morecambe            40   48  -13      -0.87    46.91    -4.63    55.08     3.15   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     1.29R    0.03  
Bury                 39   47   +2      -9.87    15.26    -3.26    57.29     3.49     3.02     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.15P    0.36R    0.01  
Exeter               40   47   -4      -8.04    20.20    -4.58    54.53     3.15    -4.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.37R    0.07  
Bristol_Rovers       39   46   -7      -2.76    38.96    -1.13    54.94     3.44    -7.79     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P    2.09R    0.15  
Portsmouth           40   45  -16      -9.40    16.93   -15.79    53.34     3.23   -15.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.55R    0.49  
Wycombe              40   43   -9      -7.54    21.23    -3.76    51.39     3.21    -8.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.06R    1.80  
Northampton          40   40  -21      -6.47    24.40    -9.86    47.11     3.12   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.11R   18.59  
Torquay              40   36  -23      -9.91    13.88   -10.94    42.96     3.14   -24.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.82R   78.85  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2014, Aldershot 1 0 Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            39   83  +59       4.84    70.59    18.32    98.27     3.14    68.24    99.92   100.00    99.95P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    38   70  +32       6.10    74.88    14.47    83.75     3.54    36.62     0.08    99.37    33.00P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    40   70   +2      16.88    96.23     5.65    78.41     3.24     2.20     0.00    81.59    10.61P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        40   65  +12       6.63    76.14     6.67    73.96     3.14    13.16     0.00    34.05     6.51P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          39   63  +21       3.16    62.77    11.22    72.68     3.50    21.02     0.00    27.59     5.89P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   63  +17       0.73    53.31    -0.21    78.64     3.78    22.56     0.00    82.87    27.46P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    39   62   +3       0.83    53.56    -9.14    73.15     3.47     5.25     0.00    25.23     6.31P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   37   61  +14       7.24    79.03     9.15    73.55     3.85    14.11     0.00    34.09     6.50P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           40   61   +7      -2.82    38.35    -6.72    70.62     3.23     9.06     0.00     8.22     2.16P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         41   61   -4       9.48    84.58     3.21    67.14     2.80    -5.11     0.00     0.36     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     38   58  +17      -3.30    35.70     2.48    69.12     3.69    17.06     0.00     6.17     1.48P    0.00     0.00  
Welling          40   56   +4       3.21    63.79     7.26    63.56     3.14     2.95     0.00     0.03     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        40   56  -10       9.73    85.32     3.63    63.21     3.12   -11.56     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     38   54   +3      -0.63    47.59    -0.61    64.05     3.74     1.45     0.00     0.33     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     41   54   -2      -0.21    49.59     1.57    60.62     2.87    -2.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           38   54   -5       5.75    73.89     2.25    63.34     3.65    -7.73     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          40   51   -2     -10.46    13.01   -12.32    60.92     3.17     0.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        39   45  -14      -1.14    45.63    -1.48    53.36     3.32   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.43R    0.00  
Chester          41   43  -22       0.86    54.87     0.67    48.87     2.63   -23.65     0.00     0.00     0.00    25.74R    0.00  
Hereford         40   42  -18      -9.19    15.88   -12.42    50.14     3.17   -18.10     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.36R    0.00  
Aldershot        40   41   +4     -13.08     8.55   -10.44    49.55     3.13     4.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.05R    0.00  
Dartford         39   40  -20      -5.53    27.08    -6.52    47.81     3.30   -22.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    41.91R    0.00  
Tamworth         40   33  -29      -7.23    20.59    -5.92    38.46     2.84   -33.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.51R    0.00  
Hyde_United      40   10  -69     -19.43     0.26   -20.76    13.85     2.55   -77.42     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10