Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 30 March 2014 at 21:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 30 March 2014, Fulham 1 3 Everton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        32   71  +49       5.22    74.73    10.55    82.92     3.06    55.14    26.69    67.12    96.42    99.90   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          32   69  +38       4.61    72.16     5.52    81.64     2.86    45.07    10.24    42.26    93.19    99.72   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         30   67  +52       1.10    54.61     9.10    85.12     3.11    64.81    63.03    89.42    98.96    99.95   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          32   64  +19       6.33    78.22    -2.47    75.83     3.04    24.66     0.03     1.13    10.35    81.53    99.86     0.00     0.00  
Everton          31   60  +18       7.82    83.64     3.94    71.15     3.46    20.22     0.00     0.07     1.08    17.84    92.96     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        32   56   -4       8.72    85.68    -8.06    66.57     3.17    -0.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.49    54.84     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          32   54  +14      -5.29    24.92   -10.22    65.87     2.99    19.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.58    52.14     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      32   48   +9       3.27    65.60     9.05    55.49     3.07     7.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        32   46   -9       6.87    80.40     0.17    52.51     2.95   -12.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            32   40   -8       2.28    61.94     2.05    47.73     3.08    -8.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         31   34   -7      -4.66    28.15    -0.25    41.36     3.19   -11.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.06R    0.01  
Aston_Villa      31   34  -12      -1.16    44.67     1.00    42.31     3.27   -14.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.62R    0.01  
Swansea          32   33   -3      -8.31    15.01     2.74    41.20     3.23    -3.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.14R    0.02  
Hull             32   33   -7      -1.38    43.95     8.04    38.97     3.00   -10.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.92R    0.08  
Norwich          32   32  -25      -0.97    46.02    -6.36    36.66     2.72   -31.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.80R    1.50  
Crystal_Palace   31   31  -19       3.06    67.50     3.64    36.74     2.99   -24.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.24R    2.01  
West_Brom        31   29  -12      -8.87    12.94    -3.16    37.02     3.28   -15.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.18R    1.71  
Cardiff          32   26  -32      -2.30    39.15    -4.02    31.89     2.93   -35.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.46R   33.31  
Sunderland       29   25  -19      -7.10    17.30    -6.52    33.97     3.51   -25.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.47R   14.33  
Fulham           32   24  -42      -5.67    23.30   -14.75    31.38     3.09   -43.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.11R   47.02  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2014, Birmingham 2 4 Bournemouth; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       38   85  +37      14.61    94.81     9.11    98.94     3.69    41.43    95.28    99.98   100.00    99.99P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         39   79  +31      13.07    92.17    12.36    90.19     3.50    33.28     4.69    94.36   100.00    95.76P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             39   70  +15       7.16    77.69     1.34    81.07     3.43    17.16     0.02     2.17    99.62    28.33P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           39   69  +24       6.97    76.87    11.14    80.88     3.51    27.47     0.01     3.22    99.73    26.56P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           38   63  +14       0.48    51.94    -1.41    76.23     3.73    17.38     0.00     0.28    90.98    24.97P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         39   60  +14      -3.79    34.74    -1.55    70.58     3.56    15.43     0.00     0.00    46.63    11.82P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   39   58   +8       1.39    56.12     3.34    68.67     3.49     9.63     0.00     0.00    22.50     4.44P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         39   58   +7       4.49    68.73     6.66    67.52     3.41     6.85     0.00     0.00    12.48     2.03P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        38   56   +6      -1.23    44.80    -1.87    68.24     3.62     7.87     0.00     0.00    18.27     4.17P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     39   55   -2       6.57    76.01     6.19    64.23     3.55    -2.53     0.00     0.00     2.68     0.34P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         38   52  +13      -8.61    18.07     0.14    64.68     3.76    15.62     0.00     0.00     5.13     1.27P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       38   52   -1      -0.36    48.86    -1.29    63.47     3.72    -0.16     0.00     0.00     1.84     0.30P    0.00     0.00  
Middlesbrough   39   49   +6      -5.20    29.05     4.69    59.53     3.43     7.38     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.02P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       39   48   +1      -3.51    35.88     3.56    56.66     3.40    -0.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    38   47   -6      -1.96    42.23    -0.74    57.29     3.72    -7.28     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00     0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield    39   46   -4      -2.40    40.40     3.77    54.20     3.42    -6.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07R    0.00  
Bolton          39   45   -5      -9.74    15.17    -6.70    55.43     3.51    -3.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Doncaster       39   43  -22       3.17    64.77    -2.12    49.93     3.25   -26.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.69R    0.04  
Blackpool       39   42  -21      -5.18    29.04   -11.92    50.50     3.35   -22.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.24R    0.03  
Birmingham      39   40  -10     -11.56    10.74    -6.79    48.98     3.50   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.87R    0.09  
Charlton        36   35  -21      -6.63    22.28   -10.44    47.69     4.11   -22.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.38R    1.46  
Barnsley        38   35  -27      -4.20    32.31    -6.65    42.49     3.47   -32.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.59R   13.09  
Millwall        39   33  -32      -7.51    20.06   -12.28    39.82     3.18   -36.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.62R   39.77  
Yeovil          39   32  -25      -4.82    29.83     1.47    38.96     3.27   -28.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.43R   45.52  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2014, Crewe 1 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   39   86  +47       6.49    76.16     7.77   100.28     3.31    54.21    92.67    99.81   100.00    99.88P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       38   80  +27      15.06    94.99     8.09    93.46     3.74    30.67     7.17    86.56   100.00    90.37P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   40   76  +35       8.02    79.75    15.54    85.61     3.18    37.13     0.07     5.32   100.00    34.32P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       39   75  +28      14.12    92.34    16.92    85.11     3.46    28.76     0.08     4.81   100.00    25.16P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         40   75  +18      13.48    92.03     8.12    84.89     3.20    20.44     0.02     3.51   100.00    26.07P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    38   58   +7      -2.61    39.31    -5.81    71.85     3.73    11.49     0.00     0.00    76.25    18.87P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         40   57   +5      -5.73    27.56    -6.74    66.42     3.31     6.74     0.00     0.00    11.14     2.70P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         40   56   +4       0.35    51.57     2.49    65.56     3.26     5.90     0.00     0.00     7.15     1.39P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         40   55   +2      -5.91    27.18    -7.01    63.52     3.29     2.38     0.00     0.00     2.37     0.54P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       38   51   -2      -4.93    29.88    -7.85    63.12     3.81    -0.29     0.00     0.00     2.38     0.60P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       39   51  -13       5.52    72.23     0.51    58.75     3.44   -16.15     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.03P    0.00R    0.00  
Bradford        39   48   +2       0.60    53.37    10.82    56.19     3.43    -0.19     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.16R    0.00  
Coventry        39   48   +1       0.98    54.40    -3.78    57.11     3.54     0.03     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    0.09R    0.00  
Gillingham      39   48  -12       2.24    59.85     0.40    55.51     3.35   -15.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.69R    0.00  
Bristol_City    40   46   -1     -11.67    11.78    -4.72    55.34     3.29     0.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.82R    0.01  
Crawley_Town    36   46   -6       1.41    56.81     0.88    59.07     4.20    -6.89     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.05P    0.23R    0.00  
Oldham          40   44  -12      -2.21    41.19     0.48    51.57     3.23   -12.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.67R    0.27  
Colchester      39   43   -9      -3.32    36.56     1.67    51.59     3.42   -10.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    11.21R    0.58  
Notts_County    40   40  -15     -11.22    11.97    -8.63    47.64     3.21   -15.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    47.01R    6.44  
Tranmere        39   40  -22      -6.16    25.80   -10.47    48.64     3.44   -23.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    40.36R    5.62  
Carlisle        39   40  -22      -2.68    39.36    -5.02    46.60     3.20   -26.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.92R   14.97  
Crewe           40   40  -28      -1.25    45.26    -5.18    45.83     3.01   -31.92     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.84R   23.97  
Shrewsbury      40   38  -14      -8.37    18.41    -2.32    45.62     3.16   -14.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.67R   21.34  
Stevenage       39   38  -20      -6.19    25.24    -6.14    45.32     3.27   -23.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.32R   26.80  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 0 Morecambe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Rochdale             40   74  +25       8.26    80.31     8.97    84.22     3.25    27.90    54.61    99.27   100.00    99.48P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           40   72  +24       2.03    57.88     1.97    82.61     3.24    27.41    31.50    97.73   100.00    98.53P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   70  +26       1.06    54.34     5.82    80.38     3.19    29.14    13.74    90.23   100.00    93.68P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       40   65  +11       7.24    77.56     6.59    73.22     3.19    11.05     0.06     6.55    97.16    27.88P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        40   65   +5       9.31    83.73     3.20    73.14     3.18     5.01     0.08     5.88    96.49    26.15P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             40   59  +12      -3.37    36.03     1.00    68.25     3.21    13.47     0.00     0.21    73.45    23.66P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           40   59   +8       1.24    55.19     3.26    67.53     3.19     8.50     0.00     0.10    59.98    15.24P    0.00     0.00  
York                 40   59   +8       5.36    71.91     8.65    66.55     3.10     7.14     0.00     0.03    45.27     9.34P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             39   55   +0       3.88    66.53     2.37    64.16     3.44    -0.43     0.00     0.00    18.94     4.14P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            40   54   +1       1.08    54.91     3.24    62.10     3.21     0.91     0.00     0.00     6.35     1.36P    0.00     0.00  
Cheltenham           40   51   -7      -2.45    40.40    -5.55    58.71     3.20    -7.71     0.00     0.00     0.65     0.15P    0.02R    0.00  
Mansfield            40   50  -10       3.85    66.71     2.11    57.30     3.18   -11.28     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P    0.16R    0.00  
Hartlepool           40   49   +0      -8.72    18.74    -4.62    57.43     3.22     0.42     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.09P    0.11R    0.00  
Accrington_Stanley   40   49   -2      -1.55    43.96     3.67    56.96     3.17    -2.27     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P    0.21R    0.00  
Newport_County       39   49   -4       4.70    69.68     9.27    56.82     3.38    -6.59     0.00     0.00     0.32     0.06P    0.23R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        40   48   -6       0.67    53.63     4.41    55.62     3.18    -6.76     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.00P    0.61R    0.01  
Morecambe            40   48  -13      -0.92    46.59    -4.72    55.12     3.17   -14.57     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    1.35R    0.03  
Bury                 39   47   +2      -9.97    14.91    -3.37    57.27     3.48     3.00     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.15P    0.30R    0.02  
Exeter               40   47   -4      -7.85    20.68    -4.38    54.51     3.17    -5.01     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00     1.53R    0.08  
Bristol_Rovers       39   46   -7      -2.99    37.79    -1.43    54.99     3.44    -7.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P    1.97R    0.13  
Portsmouth           40   45  -16      -9.27    17.13   -15.60    53.34     3.24   -15.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.55R    0.49  
Wycombe              40   43   -9      -7.49    21.34    -3.70    51.35     3.21    -8.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.56R    1.97  
Northampton          40   40  -21      -6.75    23.16   -10.18    47.13     3.14   -22.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.72R   18.45  
Torquay              40   36  -23      -9.94    13.61   -10.98    42.97     3.12   -24.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    96.66R   78.82  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 29 March 2014, Aldershot 1 0 Hyde_United; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            39   83  +59       4.87    70.73    18.38    98.31     3.14    68.31    99.90   100.00    99.94P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    38   70  +32       6.02    74.61    14.42    83.73     3.55    36.60     0.10    99.40    33.00P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    40   70   +2      17.03    96.60     5.90    78.39     3.26     2.18     0.00    82.63    10.53P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          39   63  +21       3.16    62.87    11.21    72.66     3.50    20.99     0.00    28.99     5.95P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          37   63  +17       0.67    52.70    -0.26    78.65     3.79    22.55     0.00    83.90    28.04P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        40   63  +11       4.93    70.19     6.16    71.89     3.12    12.06     0.00    15.79     3.15P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   37   62  +15       8.13    81.60     9.95    74.57     3.83    15.18     0.00    45.57     8.78P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    39   62   +3       0.76    53.24    -9.18    73.18     3.46     5.28     0.00    26.88     6.51P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           40   61   +7      -2.84    38.15    -6.74    70.58     3.24     9.01     0.00     8.96     2.30P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         41   61   -4       9.75    85.22     3.57    67.15     2.81    -5.10     0.00     0.43     0.05P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     38   58  +17      -3.39    35.58     2.36    69.15     3.67    17.10     0.00     6.89     1.69P    0.00     0.00  
Welling          40   56   +3       3.71    65.58     6.91    63.47     3.13     1.83     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        40   56  -10       9.62    84.75     3.47    63.26     3.12   -11.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     38   54   +3      -0.64    47.53    -0.60    64.05     3.72     1.42     0.00     0.38     0.06P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     41   54   -2      -0.13    50.06     1.58    60.62     2.86    -2.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Woking           38   54   -5       5.71    73.90     2.10    63.36     3.65    -7.68     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          40   51   -2     -10.48    13.31   -12.34    60.92     3.19     0.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Southport        39   45  -14      -1.14    45.80    -1.53    53.38     3.34   -15.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.32R    0.00  
Chester          41   43  -21       0.46    52.92     0.86    48.91     2.65   -22.57     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.91R    0.00  
Hereford         40   42  -18      -9.27    15.75   -12.55    50.15     3.17   -18.08     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.59R    0.00  
Aldershot        40   41   +4     -12.92     8.87   -10.20    49.55     3.12     4.32     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.93R    0.00  
Dartford         39   40  -20      -5.54    27.11    -6.67    47.79     3.31   -22.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.75R    0.00  
Tamworth         40   33  -29      -7.47    19.63    -6.29    38.48     2.85   -33.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.51R    0.00  
Hyde_United      40   10  -69     -19.33     0.27   -20.50    13.80     2.52   -77.49     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10