Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Wednesday 26 March 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 March 2014, Liverpool 2 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          31   69  +39       6.09    78.70     6.53    84.05     3.09    47.66    25.27    69.55    97.48    99.96   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        31   68  +45       5.02    74.13     9.49    81.79     3.36    51.90    14.09    41.80    91.08    99.59   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         29   66  +52       1.59    57.59     9.29    85.75     3.43    65.14    60.50    87.03    98.18    99.93   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          31   63  +19       6.56    79.45    -2.68    75.92     3.37    24.16     0.13     1.57    12.50    84.07    99.76     0.00     0.00  
Everton          30   57  +16       6.99    81.80     3.18    69.99     3.73    18.90     0.00     0.04     0.69    13.99    87.94     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        31   56   +0       8.57    85.77    -6.63    67.42     3.40     2.58     0.00     0.00     0.07     1.92    70.08     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          31   51  +11      -5.33    25.01   -10.41    64.98     3.28    17.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.54    42.04     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        31   46   -5       6.72    80.23     1.61    53.84     3.27    -8.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      31   45   +5       3.35    66.31     7.72    54.04     3.35     3.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.00     0.00  
Stoke            31   37   -9       0.98    55.73     1.48    46.28     3.37    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
West_Ham         31   34   -7      -4.29    29.77     0.22    41.30     3.18   -11.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.07R    0.01  
Aston_Villa      30   34   -9      -1.03    45.38     1.63    43.03     3.45   -12.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41R    0.00  
Hull             31   33   -6      -0.58    48.01     8.34    40.11     3.26    -9.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     1.99R    0.01  
Norwich          31   32  -22      -0.79    46.88    -5.41    37.65     3.03   -28.94     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.21R    0.78  
Swansea          31   30   -6      -8.70    13.21     1.57    39.82     3.49    -5.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.31R    0.20  
West_Brom        30   28  -12      -8.36    14.04    -3.25    38.03     3.57   -14.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.72R    1.38  
Crystal_Palace   30   28  -20       1.32    58.87     2.67    34.20     3.17   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.96R   11.97  
Sunderland       29   25  -19      -7.14    17.11    -6.63    34.00     3.53   -25.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    52.90R   13.34  
Cardiff          31   25  -32      -1.93    40.97    -4.48    31.65     3.20   -36.66     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.02R   38.73  
Fulham           31   24  -40      -5.01    25.62   -14.23    32.26     3.35   -42.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.40R   33.58  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 March 2014, Bolton 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       37   82  +35      13.62    93.94     8.05    96.90     3.94    38.88    79.30    99.59   100.00    99.70P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         38   79  +33      13.84    93.73    13.40    91.91     3.75    35.79    20.61    96.29   100.00    97.31P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             38   69  +15       7.65    79.61     1.51    82.26     3.69    18.28     0.08     2.81    99.50    29.30P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           38   66  +21       6.91    77.15    10.44    79.79     3.74    25.28     0.01     1.05    98.40    23.24P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           37   62  +14       0.93    54.26    -1.37    76.56     3.97    17.36     0.00     0.26    87.34    24.20P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         38   59  +14      -3.08    37.36    -1.09    71.73     3.81    16.63     0.00     0.00    50.84    12.77P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   38   57   +8       1.62    57.19     3.13    68.76     3.72     9.24     0.00     0.00    18.61     3.70P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         38   57   +7       4.80    70.38     6.59    68.08     3.66     7.13     0.00     0.00    12.61     2.09P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        37   56   +8      -0.39    48.32    -0.55    70.08     3.87    10.52     0.00     0.00    28.43     6.89P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     38   52   -4       5.56    73.25     5.09    61.98     3.78    -5.45     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.07P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       37   51   -1       0.05    50.54    -1.30    63.83     3.98    -0.13     0.00     0.00     2.06     0.39P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         37   49  +10      -9.03    16.20    -0.98    62.74     4.01    12.15     0.00     0.00     1.46     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Wed       38   48   +4      -3.37    35.81     4.67    58.34     3.67     3.05     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    37   47   -5      -0.67    47.55     0.06    59.42     3.96    -5.14     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   38   46   +4      -6.34    24.93     3.50    57.35     3.64     4.60     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield    38   45   -4      -2.31    40.70     3.39    53.89     3.62    -7.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14R    0.00  
Bolton          38   44   -5      -9.49    15.33    -6.80    55.76     3.75    -3.78     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08R    0.00  
Blackpool       38   41  -21      -4.91    29.64   -11.95    50.12     3.52   -23.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.64R    0.11  
Birmingham      38   40   -8     -10.90    11.55    -5.97    50.92     3.73    -8.09     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.25R    0.02  
Doncaster       38   40  -23       1.67    58.65    -2.85    47.69     3.51   -28.02     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.83R    0.61  
Charlton        35   35  -18      -6.54    21.96    -9.33    48.70     4.29   -19.76     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    12.60R    0.98  
Yeovil          38   32  -22      -4.67    30.30     2.30    40.88     3.56   -25.03     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    83.93R   24.44  
Barnsley        37   32  -30      -4.87    29.11    -8.08    40.28     3.64   -36.15     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    89.38R   37.08  
Millwall        38   32  -32      -6.84    21.82   -11.88    40.09     3.46   -36.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    91.13R   36.75  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 March 2014, Coventry 1 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   38   83  +46       5.49    72.48     7.49    98.97     3.62    53.73    82.70    98.65   100.00    99.19P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       37   79  +27      15.60    95.62     8.23    94.24     3.98    31.24    16.40    84.91   100.00    89.14P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   39   76  +36       9.33    83.44    16.34    87.69     3.45    39.18     0.80    12.65   100.00    40.15P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       38   72  +27      12.95    90.83    16.61    83.75     3.77    28.14     0.08     2.21   100.00    23.20P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         39   72  +17      12.19    90.00     7.56    83.63     3.47    19.97     0.02     1.58    99.99    25.04P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    38   58   +7      -2.54    39.47    -5.72    71.85     3.71    11.49     0.00     0.00    77.50    18.42P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         39   55   +3      -4.99    30.31    -6.60    64.47     3.53     2.75     0.00     0.00     4.62     1.08P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         39   54   +4      -6.85    23.58    -6.96    64.92     3.57     5.92     0.00     0.00     6.61     1.54P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         39   53   +3      -0.77    47.05     2.23    64.17     3.54     5.28     0.00     0.00     4.54     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Sheff_Utd       37   51   -1      -4.27    32.08    -7.80    64.35     4.05     0.58     0.00     0.00     5.32     1.26P    0.00     0.00  
Port_Vale       38   50  -13       5.89    73.69     0.63    59.02     3.72   -16.31     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.04P    0.05R    0.00  
Gillingham      39   48  -12       2.47    60.92     0.77    55.47     3.33   -15.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.88R    0.00  
Bristol_City    39   46   +0     -10.92    13.21    -4.74    56.56     3.56     1.47     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.54R    0.01  
Crawley_Town    35   46   -5       1.88    59.33     0.70    60.14     4.41    -6.32     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.16P    0.22R    0.00  
Bradford        38   45   +1      -0.95    46.88    10.01    53.90     3.64    -2.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.11R    0.02  
Coventry        38   45   +0      -0.21    49.23    -3.99    55.80     3.81    -0.48     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P    1.34R    0.01  
Colchester      38   43   -7      -2.81    38.56     2.44    52.94     3.73    -8.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.15R    0.42  
Oldham          39   43  -12      -2.02    42.09     0.38    51.55     3.46   -13.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    14.03R    0.68  
Crewe           39   40  -27      -0.46    49.02    -5.18    46.97     3.33   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.35R   16.79  
Tranmere        38   39  -22      -5.36    28.54    -9.67    49.25     3.73   -23.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.59R    6.24  
Carlisle        38   39  -22      -2.61    39.57    -5.27    46.72     3.46   -27.35     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    66.94R   17.84  
Shrewsbury      39   38  -13      -7.42    20.94    -1.74    46.64     3.41   -14.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.62R   15.02  
Notts_County    39   37  -17     -12.08     9.91    -9.43    46.14     3.49   -17.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.56R   18.44  
Stevenage       38   37  -20      -6.00    25.75    -6.30    45.83     3.58   -23.12     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.63R   24.52  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 March 2014, Burton_Albion 1 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Rochdale             39   73  +25       8.59    81.51     8.80    84.69     3.55    28.04    51.54    98.54   100.00    98.99P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           39   71  +24       2.59    60.39     2.13    83.64     3.51    28.37    37.64    97.64   100.00    98.50P    0.00     0.00  
Chesterfield         40   70  +26       1.18    54.74     5.95    80.36     3.21    29.12    10.53    87.82   100.00    92.24P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       39   64  +11       7.29    77.60     6.19    73.59     3.48    11.03     0.20     8.65    96.67    30.42P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        39   64   +5       9.77    85.04     3.46    73.31     3.44     4.75     0.09     6.64    95.14    25.61P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           39   59   +9       1.99    58.87     3.50    68.93     3.45     9.55     0.00     0.49    72.69    19.08P    0.00     0.00  
York                 39   58   +8       5.57    72.80     8.52    67.06     3.40     7.34     0.00     0.09    51.35    11.01P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             39   56  +11      -4.46    31.97     0.70    67.11     3.47    13.18     0.00     0.11    58.02    18.55P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             39   55   +0       3.63    65.62     2.13    64.17     3.44    -0.41     0.00     0.00    18.22     3.78P    0.00     0.00  
Dag_&_Red            39   51   +0      -0.11    50.07     2.97    60.41     3.49    -0.15     0.00     0.00     3.47     0.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool           39   49   +1      -7.84    20.85    -4.23    59.18     3.53     1.95     0.00     0.00     1.85     0.58P    0.03R    0.00  
Newport_County       38   49   -3       5.64    73.38     9.73    58.17     3.69    -5.63     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.23P    0.23R    0.00  
AFC_Wimbledon        39   48   -5       1.54    57.39     4.80    56.94     3.44    -5.83     0.00     0.00     0.34     0.05P    0.40R    0.01  
Cheltenham           39   48   -8      -3.89    34.53    -6.14    56.73     3.46    -9.21     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.08P    0.50R    0.02  
Morecambe            39   48  -12      -0.09    50.08    -4.38    56.34     3.44   -13.77     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P    0.93R    0.07  
Exeter               39   47   -3      -6.72    24.27    -3.65    56.20     3.45    -3.56     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.03P    0.71R    0.05  
Mansfield            39   47  -11       2.52    61.18     1.74    55.77     3.49   -12.15     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    1.66R    0.17  
Accrington_Stanley   39   46   -3      -3.03    37.73     3.03    55.00     3.44    -3.75     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P    1.93R    0.17  
Bury                 38   44   -1     -10.19    14.15    -4.41    55.50     3.77    -0.20     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.06P    2.33R    0.21  
Bristol_Rovers       38   43   -8      -4.21    32.76    -1.74    53.50     3.71    -8.54     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P    7.11R    1.12  
Wycombe              39   42   -9      -7.47    21.12    -4.05    51.10     3.44    -9.69     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.02R    4.04  
Portsmouth           39   42  -17     -10.60    13.51   -16.09    51.71     3.51   -16.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.66R    3.21  
Northampton          39   40  -18      -6.28    24.91    -8.41    48.56     3.44   -19.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.15R   14.28  
Torquay              39   36  -22      -9.08    15.96   -10.55    43.85     3.35   -24.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.32R   76.63  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 March 2014, Salisbury 0 3 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            38   83  +61       5.62    73.92    19.02   100.12     3.42    71.05    99.93   100.00    99.98P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    37   69  +32       6.67    77.22    14.79    84.53     3.80    37.24     0.07    99.61    33.70P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    39   67   +1      15.96    95.95     5.84    77.12     3.56     1.72     0.00    74.07     9.48P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        39   62  +11       5.24    71.46     6.05    72.67     3.43    12.65     0.00    30.32     5.91P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         39   61   -2      11.09    88.82     3.56    69.12     3.33    -4.27     0.00     6.02     0.84P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          38   60  +19       2.42    60.02    10.74    70.59     3.77    18.26     0.00    17.99     3.70P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          36   60  +16      -0.36    48.32    -0.43    77.02     4.05    21.58     0.00    75.33    24.07P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           39   60   +7      -2.59    39.38    -6.87    70.55     3.49     8.48     0.00    13.23     3.49P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    38   59   +2      -0.52    47.63    -9.70    71.55     3.74     4.29     0.00    19.91     5.03P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     37   58  +19      -2.65    38.45     3.20    70.82     3.97    19.57     0.00    19.83     5.10P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   35   58  +14       7.19    79.28     9.40    73.49     4.34    14.40     0.00    41.56     8.32P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        39   56   -9      10.57    87.32     3.84    64.63     3.44   -10.51     0.00     0.25     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     37   54   +4       0.37    51.89    -0.14    65.40     3.99     2.41     0.00     1.74     0.32P    0.00     0.00  
Welling          39   53   +2       2.69    61.55     6.90    62.39     3.41     1.58     0.00     0.04     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     40   53   -2      -0.02    50.20     1.31    61.00     3.17    -2.31     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00  
Wrexham          39   51   -1      -9.56    14.69   -12.04    62.23     3.48     1.37     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           37   51   -6       4.47    69.29     1.80    61.61     3.92    -8.91     0.00     0.10     0.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Chester          40   43  -20       1.15    55.86     0.97    49.77     2.93   -22.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    13.51R    0.00  
Southport        38   42  -16      -2.08    41.30    -2.33    51.53     3.62   -18.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.24R    0.00  
Hereford         39   42  -17      -8.38    17.85   -12.20    51.52     3.47   -17.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.85R    0.00  
Aldershot        39   38   +3     -13.94     7.11    -9.93    49.14     3.29     5.61     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.62R    0.00  
Dartford         38   37  -21      -6.81    22.16    -7.04    46.17     3.59   -23.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.17R    0.00  
Tamworth         39   32  -29      -7.05    20.99    -5.96    38.86     3.17   -33.80     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.61R    0.00  
Hyde_United      39   10  -68     -18.80     0.36   -20.80    14.10     2.68   -78.86     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10