Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 26 March 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 March 2014, Liverpool 2 1 Sunderland; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 31 69 +39 6.09 78.70 6.53 84.05 3.09 47.66 25.27 69.55 97.48 99.96 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 31 68 +45 5.02 74.13 9.49 81.79 3.36 51.90 14.09 41.80 91.08 99.59 100.00 0.00 0.00 Man_City 29 66 +52 1.59 57.59 9.29 85.75 3.43 65.14 60.50 87.03 98.18 99.93 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 31 63 +19 6.56 79.45 -2.68 75.92 3.37 24.16 0.13 1.57 12.50 84.07 99.76 0.00 0.00 Everton 30 57 +16 6.99 81.80 3.18 69.99 3.73 18.90 0.00 0.04 0.69 13.99 87.94 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 31 56 +0 8.57 85.77 -6.63 67.42 3.40 2.58 0.00 0.00 0.07 1.92 70.08 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 31 51 +11 -5.33 25.01 -10.41 64.98 3.28 17.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.54 42.04 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 31 46 -5 6.72 80.23 1.61 53.84 3.27 -8.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.00 0.00 Southampton 31 45 +5 3.35 66.31 7.72 54.04 3.35 3.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.00 0.00 Stoke 31 37 -9 0.98 55.73 1.48 46.28 3.37 -9.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00R 0.00 West_Ham 31 34 -7 -4.29 29.77 0.22 41.30 3.18 -11.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.07R 0.01 Aston_Villa 30 34 -9 -1.03 45.38 1.63 43.03 3.45 -12.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.41R 0.00 Hull 31 33 -6 -0.58 48.01 8.34 40.11 3.26 -9.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.99R 0.01 Norwich 31 32 -22 -0.79 46.88 -5.41 37.65 3.03 -28.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.21R 0.78 Swansea 31 30 -6 -8.70 13.21 1.57 39.82 3.49 -5.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.31R 0.20 West_Brom 30 28 -12 -8.36 14.04 -3.25 38.03 3.57 -14.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.72R 1.38 Crystal_Palace 30 28 -20 1.32 58.87 2.67 34.20 3.17 -27.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.96R 11.97 Sunderland 29 25 -19 -7.14 17.11 -6.63 34.00 3.53 -25.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.90R 13.34 Cardiff 31 25 -32 -1.93 40.97 -4.48 31.65 3.20 -36.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.02R 38.73 Fulham 31 24 -40 -5.01 25.62 -14.23 32.26 3.35 -42.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.40R 33.58Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 March 2014, Bolton 1 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 37 82 +35 13.62 93.94 8.05 96.90 3.94 38.88 79.30 99.59 100.00 99.70P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 38 79 +33 13.84 93.73 13.40 91.91 3.75 35.79 20.61 96.29 100.00 97.31P 0.00 0.00 QPR 38 69 +15 7.65 79.61 1.51 82.26 3.69 18.28 0.08 2.81 99.50 29.30P 0.00 0.00 Derby 38 66 +21 6.91 77.15 10.44 79.79 3.74 25.28 0.01 1.05 98.40 23.24P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 37 62 +14 0.93 54.26 -1.37 76.56 3.97 17.36 0.00 0.26 87.34 24.20P 0.00 0.00 Reading 38 59 +14 -3.08 37.36 -1.09 71.73 3.81 16.63 0.00 0.00 50.84 12.77P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 38 57 +8 1.62 57.19 3.13 68.76 3.72 9.24 0.00 0.00 18.61 3.70P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 38 57 +7 4.80 70.38 6.59 68.08 3.66 7.13 0.00 0.00 12.61 2.09P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 37 56 +8 -0.39 48.32 -0.55 70.08 3.87 10.52 0.00 0.00 28.43 6.89P 0.00 0.00 Bournemouth 38 52 -4 5.56 73.25 5.09 61.98 3.78 -5.45 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.07P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 37 51 -1 0.05 50.54 -1.30 63.83 3.98 -0.13 0.00 0.00 2.06 0.39P 0.00 0.00 Watford 37 49 +10 -9.03 16.20 -0.98 62.74 4.01 12.15 0.00 0.00 1.46 0.32P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Wed 38 48 +4 -3.37 35.81 4.67 58.34 3.67 3.05 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 37 47 -5 -0.67 47.55 0.06 59.42 3.96 -5.14 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 38 46 +4 -6.34 24.93 3.50 57.35 3.64 4.60 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.01R 0.00 Huddersfield 38 45 -4 -2.31 40.70 3.39 53.89 3.62 -7.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.14R 0.00 Bolton 38 44 -5 -9.49 15.33 -6.80 55.76 3.75 -3.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00 Blackpool 38 41 -21 -4.91 29.64 -11.95 50.12 3.52 -23.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.64R 0.11 Birmingham 38 40 -8 -10.90 11.55 -5.97 50.92 3.73 -8.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.25R 0.02 Doncaster 38 40 -23 1.67 58.65 -2.85 47.69 3.51 -28.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.83R 0.61 Charlton 35 35 -18 -6.54 21.96 -9.33 48.70 4.29 -19.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.60R 0.98 Yeovil 38 32 -22 -4.67 30.30 2.30 40.88 3.56 -25.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.93R 24.44 Barnsley 37 32 -30 -4.87 29.11 -8.08 40.28 3.64 -36.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.38R 37.08 Millwall 38 32 -32 -6.84 21.82 -11.88 40.09 3.46 -36.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.13R 36.75League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 March 2014, Coventry 1 0 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 38 83 +46 5.49 72.48 7.49 98.97 3.62 53.73 82.70 98.65 100.00 99.19P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 37 79 +27 15.60 95.62 8.23 94.24 3.98 31.24 16.40 84.91 100.00 89.14P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 39 76 +36 9.33 83.44 16.34 87.69 3.45 39.18 0.80 12.65 100.00 40.15P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 38 72 +27 12.95 90.83 16.61 83.75 3.77 28.14 0.08 2.21 100.00 23.20P 0.00 0.00 Preston 39 72 +17 12.19 90.00 7.56 83.63 3.47 19.97 0.02 1.58 99.99 25.04P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 38 58 +7 -2.54 39.47 -5.72 71.85 3.71 11.49 0.00 0.00 77.50 18.42P 0.00 0.00 MK_Dons 39 55 +3 -4.99 30.31 -6.60 64.47 3.53 2.75 0.00 0.00 4.62 1.08P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 39 54 +4 -6.85 23.58 -6.96 64.92 3.57 5.92 0.00 0.00 6.61 1.54P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 39 53 +3 -0.77 47.05 2.23 64.17 3.54 5.28 0.00 0.00 4.54 0.77P 0.00 0.00 Sheff_Utd 37 51 -1 -4.27 32.08 -7.80 64.35 4.05 0.58 0.00 0.00 5.32 1.26P 0.00 0.00 Port_Vale 38 50 -13 5.89 73.69 0.63 59.02 3.72 -16.31 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.04P 0.05R 0.00 Gillingham 39 48 -12 2.47 60.92 0.77 55.47 3.33 -15.44 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.88R 0.00 Bristol_City 39 46 +0 -10.92 13.21 -4.74 56.56 3.56 1.47 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.54R 0.01 Crawley_Town 35 46 -5 1.88 59.33 0.70 60.14 4.41 -6.32 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.16P 0.22R 0.00 Bradford 38 45 +1 -0.95 46.88 10.01 53.90 3.64 -2.23 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 3.11R 0.02 Coventry 38 45 +0 -0.21 49.23 -3.99 55.80 3.81 -0.48 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 1.34R 0.01 Colchester 38 43 -7 -2.81 38.56 2.44 52.94 3.73 -8.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.15R 0.42 Oldham 39 43 -12 -2.02 42.09 0.38 51.55 3.46 -13.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.03R 0.68 Crewe 39 40 -27 -0.46 49.02 -5.18 46.97 3.33 -31.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.35R 16.79 Tranmere 38 39 -22 -5.36 28.54 -9.67 49.25 3.73 -23.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.59R 6.24 Carlisle 38 39 -22 -2.61 39.57 -5.27 46.72 3.46 -27.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.94R 17.84 Shrewsbury 39 38 -13 -7.42 20.94 -1.74 46.64 3.41 -14.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.62R 15.02 Notts_County 39 37 -17 -12.08 9.91 -9.43 46.14 3.49 -17.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.56R 18.44 Stevenage 38 37 -20 -6.00 25.75 -6.30 45.83 3.58 -23.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.63R 24.52 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 March 2014, Burton_Albion 1 0 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Rochdale 39 73 +25 8.59 81.51 8.80 84.69 3.55 28.04 51.54 98.54 100.00 98.99P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 39 71 +24 2.59 60.39 2.13 83.64 3.51 28.37 37.64 97.64 100.00 98.50P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 40 70 +26 1.18 54.74 5.95 80.36 3.21 29.12 10.53 87.82 100.00 92.24P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 39 64 +11 7.29 77.60 6.19 73.59 3.48 11.03 0.20 8.65 96.67 30.42P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 39 64 +5 9.77 85.04 3.46 73.31 3.44 4.75 0.09 6.64 95.14 25.61P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 39 59 +9 1.99 58.87 3.50 68.93 3.45 9.55 0.00 0.49 72.69 19.08P 0.00 0.00 York 39 58 +8 5.57 72.80 8.52 67.06 3.40 7.34 0.00 0.09 51.35 11.01P 0.00 0.00 Southend 39 56 +11 -4.46 31.97 0.70 67.11 3.47 13.18 0.00 0.11 58.02 18.55P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 39 55 +0 3.63 65.62 2.13 64.17 3.44 -0.41 0.00 0.00 18.22 3.78P 0.00 0.00 Dag_&_Red 39 51 +0 -0.11 50.07 2.97 60.41 3.49 -0.15 0.00 0.00 3.47 0.74P 0.01R 0.00 Hartlepool 39 49 +1 -7.84 20.85 -4.23 59.18 3.53 1.95 0.00 0.00 1.85 0.58P 0.03R 0.00 Newport_County 38 49 -3 5.64 73.38 9.73 58.17 3.69 -5.63 0.00 0.00 1.24 0.23P 0.23R 0.00 AFC_Wimbledon 39 48 -5 1.54 57.39 4.80 56.94 3.44 -5.83 0.00 0.00 0.34 0.05P 0.40R 0.01 Cheltenham 39 48 -8 -3.89 34.53 -6.14 56.73 3.46 -9.21 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.08P 0.50R 0.02 Morecambe 39 48 -12 -0.09 50.08 -4.38 56.34 3.44 -13.77 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.01P 0.93R 0.07 Exeter 39 47 -3 -6.72 24.27 -3.65 56.20 3.45 -3.56 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 0.71R 0.05 Mansfield 39 47 -11 2.52 61.18 1.74 55.77 3.49 -12.15 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 1.66R 0.17 Accrington_Stanley 39 46 -3 -3.03 37.73 3.03 55.00 3.44 -3.75 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 1.93R 0.17 Bury 38 44 -1 -10.19 14.15 -4.41 55.50 3.77 -0.20 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.06P 2.33R 0.21 Bristol_Rovers 38 43 -8 -4.21 32.76 -1.74 53.50 3.71 -8.54 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 7.11R 1.12 Wycombe 39 42 -9 -7.47 21.12 -4.05 51.10 3.44 -9.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.02R 4.04 Portsmouth 39 42 -17 -10.60 13.51 -16.09 51.71 3.51 -16.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.66R 3.21 Northampton 39 40 -18 -6.28 24.91 -8.41 48.56 3.44 -19.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.15R 14.28 Torquay 39 36 -22 -9.08 15.96 -10.55 43.85 3.35 -24.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 92.32R 76.63Conference (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 26 March 2014, Salisbury 0 3 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 38 83 +61 5.62 73.92 19.02 100.12 3.42 71.05 99.93 100.00 99.98P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 37 69 +32 6.67 77.22 14.79 84.53 3.80 37.24 0.07 99.61 33.70P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 39 67 +1 15.96 95.95 5.84 77.12 3.56 1.72 0.00 74.07 9.48P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 39 62 +11 5.24 71.46 6.05 72.67 3.43 12.65 0.00 30.32 5.91P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 39 61 -2 11.09 88.82 3.56 69.12 3.33 -4.27 0.00 6.02 0.84P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 38 60 +19 2.42 60.02 10.74 70.59 3.77 18.26 0.00 17.99 3.70P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 36 60 +16 -0.36 48.32 -0.43 77.02 4.05 21.58 0.00 75.33 24.07P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 39 60 +7 -2.59 39.38 -6.87 70.55 3.49 8.48 0.00 13.23 3.49P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 38 59 +2 -0.52 47.63 -9.70 71.55 3.74 4.29 0.00 19.91 5.03P 0.00 0.00 Forest_Green 37 58 +19 -2.65 38.45 3.20 70.82 3.97 19.57 0.00 19.83 5.10P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 35 58 +14 7.19 79.28 9.40 73.49 4.34 14.40 0.00 41.56 8.32P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 39 56 -9 10.57 87.32 3.84 64.63 3.44 -10.51 0.00 0.25 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 37 54 +4 0.37 51.89 -0.14 65.40 3.99 2.41 0.00 1.74 0.32P 0.00 0.00 Welling 39 53 +2 2.69 61.55 6.90 62.39 3.41 1.58 0.00 0.04 0.01P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 40 53 -2 -0.02 50.20 1.31 61.00 3.17 -2.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 39 51 -1 -9.56 14.69 -12.04 62.23 3.48 1.37 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.00 0.00 Woking 37 51 -6 4.47 69.29 1.80 61.61 3.92 -8.91 0.00 0.10 0.02P 0.00R 0.00 Chester 40 43 -20 1.15 55.86 0.97 49.77 2.93 -22.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.51R 0.00 Southport 38 42 -16 -2.08 41.30 -2.33 51.53 3.62 -18.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.24R 0.00 Hereford 39 42 -17 -8.38 17.85 -12.20 51.52 3.47 -17.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.85R 0.00 Aldershot 39 38 +3 -13.94 7.11 -9.93 49.14 3.29 5.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 15.62R 0.00 Dartford 38 37 -21 -6.81 22.16 -7.04 46.17 3.59 -23.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.17R 0.00 Tamworth 39 32 -29 -7.05 20.99 -5.96 38.86 3.17 -33.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 98.61R 0.00 Hyde_United 39 10 -68 -18.80 0.36 -20.80 14.10 2.68 -78.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10