Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 17 March 2014 at 22:00:02 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 March 2014, Man_Utd 0 3 Liverpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Chelsea 30 66 +33 6.59 80.75 4.33 82.50 3.40 41.58 27.76 62.27 86.65 99.83 100.00 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 29 62 +41 3.97 69.87 9.74 80.66 3.73 51.48 18.96 43.88 76.76 99.09 100.00 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 29 62 +25 6.92 81.93 1.07 78.65 3.81 31.72 6.42 19.84 46.00 96.56 99.94 0.00 0.00
Man_City 27 60 +44 1.09 54.91 7.12 83.35 3.90 58.83 46.86 73.99 90.21 99.71 100.00 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 30 53 -1 7.51 82.53 -6.80 66.13 3.67 2.08 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.94 64.42 0.00 0.00
Everton 28 51 +12 5.36 76.22 1.70 67.19 4.21 15.55 0.00 0.02 0.32 3.18 73.91 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 29 48 +12 -5.76 22.28 -9.77 65.24 3.81 19.77 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.70 59.78 0.00 0.00
Southampton 30 45 +6 4.01 69.47 7.56 55.01 3.61 4.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.26 0.00 0.00
Newcastle 29 43 -3 6.33 79.39 3.18 54.11 3.80 -5.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.68 0.00 0.00
Aston_Villa 29 34 -6 -0.35 48.89 3.21 44.87 3.74 -8.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18R 0.00
Stoke 30 34 -12 0.30 52.53 -0.28 44.14 3.57 -13.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.21R 0.00
West_Ham 29 31 -6 -5.06 25.55 0.30 41.02 3.69 -10.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.12R 0.13
Hull 29 30 -7 -0.51 48.31 7.79 39.21 3.75 -11.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.19R 0.62
Swansea 29 29 -5 -7.85 15.01 0.83 40.19 3.84 -6.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.56R 0.39
Norwich 30 29 -24 -1.90 40.69 -6.61 35.98 3.30 -31.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.47R 6.59
West_Brom 29 28 -10 -7.54 16.23 -2.31 39.53 3.79 -11.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.37R 0.89
Crystal_Palace 29 28 -19 2.04 62.78 2.81 34.97 3.38 -27.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.76R 11.12
Sunderland 27 25 -16 -5.73 21.77 -6.22 35.74 3.94 -24.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.55R 9.23
Cardiff 30 25 -29 -1.65 42.45 -4.48 32.26 3.34 -34.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.82R 36.58
Fulham 30 24 -35 -5.29 24.24 -13.16 32.70 3.42 -39.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.77R 34.44
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2014, Bolton 0 2 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Leicester 35 80 +35 14.92 96.23 8.86 99.01 4.37 41.13 92.99 99.80 100.00 99.85P 0.00 0.00
Burnley 36 73 +28 12.91 92.75 11.88 89.38 4.21 31.91 6.88 87.20 99.98 90.43P 0.00 0.00
Derby 36 63 +17 8.32 82.28 9.00 79.40 4.25 21.06 0.01 3.74 90.67 21.29P 0.00 0.00
QPR 35 63 +15 5.84 74.60 1.67 80.61 4.39 18.68 0.10 5.81 93.35 29.57P 0.00 0.00
Wigan 34 58 +14 1.26 55.30 -0.89 77.86 4.63 19.19 0.02 3.04 81.48 25.37P 0.00 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 36 57 +14 2.15 59.71 5.81 72.28 4.19 16.35 0.00 0.08 37.18 7.97P 0.00 0.00
Reading 36 56 +15 -3.65 34.45 -0.58 72.76 4.24 19.65 0.00 0.14 43.32 11.96P 0.00 0.00
Brighton 35 56 +11 1.35 56.06 1.08 73.59 4.33 14.61 0.00 0.19 47.59 12.22P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 36 51 +4 2.72 62.41 5.40 64.15 4.14 3.22 0.00 0.00 1.51 0.27P 0.00 0.00
Blackburn 35 49 -1 0.50 52.55 -1.78 63.92 4.40 -1.08 0.00 0.00 1.53 0.28P 0.00 0.00
Watford 35 48 +11 -7.56 19.66 -0.41 64.75 4.46 13.53 0.00 0.00 3.03 0.74P 0.00 0.00
Bournemouth 35 46 -7 5.05 72.52 4.30 59.63 4.49 -9.09 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.01P 0.01R 0.00
Middlesbrough 36 45 +6 -5.22 28.17 4.52 59.13 4.10 6.74 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 0.01R 0.00
Leeds_United 35 44 -3 -1.40 44.29 1.16 59.81 4.46 -2.13 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 0.01R 0.00
Huddersfield 36 44 -3 -1.10 45.63 3.63 55.58 4.12 -6.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08R 0.00
Sheff_Wed 35 42 +1 -4.07 32.25 3.52 56.04 4.36 -0.45 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.14R 0.00
Bolton 36 40 -6 -10.09 12.92 -6.88 55.22 4.28 -3.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.31R 0.00
Blackpool 36 38 -21 -5.37 27.07 -12.14 49.59 3.99 -24.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.67R 0.22
Birmingham 36 37 -8 -11.00 10.45 -5.86 50.58 4.22 -8.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.89R 0.13
Doncaster 36 37 -22 0.42 52.95 -3.18 46.51 3.89 -28.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.16R 1.42
Millwall 36 32 -30 -5.28 27.01 -11.95 42.27 3.90 -35.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.77R 13.60
Charlton 32 29 -17 -9.20 12.60 -9.21 46.46 4.94 -19.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.62R 3.82
Yeovil 35 29 -22 -4.03 31.98 1.00 39.62 4.08 -29.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.42R 34.09
Barnsley 35 29 -31 -5.01 27.74 -8.94 38.99 4.03 -38.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 88.91R 46.73
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 March 2014, Preston 0 0 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Wolverhampton 35 77 +43 5.57 74.06 7.77 98.90 4.26 53.27 74.95 96.01 100.00 97.82P 0.00 0.00
Brentford 35 76 +28 15.30 96.25 9.19 94.81 4.48 33.50 21.90 80.06 100.00 86.31P 0.00 0.00
Leyton_Orient 37 74 +36 10.41 87.12 16.84 89.20 3.96 40.30 3.06 21.81 100.00 47.01P 0.00 0.00
Preston 37 69 +16 12.40 91.15 7.30 83.22 4.00 18.76 0.08 1.68 99.88 24.64P 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 36 66 +23 11.30 88.37 15.15 79.60 4.30 22.62 0.02 0.44 98.70 18.46P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 36 58 +10 -0.84 46.48 -4.40 74.94 4.27 15.07 0.00 0.00 90.02 23.18P 0.00 0.00
MK_Dons 37 52 +3 -4.78 30.27 -5.90 64.95 4.06 3.88 0.00 0.00 4.32 1.06P 0.00 0.00
Walsall 37 49 +1 -1.45 44.04 1.07 62.62 4.04 2.90 0.00 0.00 1.22 0.28P 0.01R 0.00
Swindon 37 48 +2 -9.52 15.00 -8.05 62.00 4.09 4.45 0.00 0.00 1.19 0.28P 0.01R 0.00
Sheff_Utd 35 48 -1 -4.79 29.52 -8.10 63.80 4.49 0.19 0.00 0.00 3.01 0.68P 0.01R 0.00
Port_Vale 36 47 -9 3.91 67.22 1.45 58.92 4.26 -12.04 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.04P 0.41R 0.00
Bradford 36 45 +4 0.47 52.80 11.03 56.71 4.20 0.94 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 1.09R 0.01
Gillingham 37 45 -11 1.63 57.69 0.78 55.19 3.89 -14.55 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 3.10R 0.03
Crawley_Town 32 43 -3 2.02 60.09 1.25 60.67 5.05 -5.12 0.00 0.00 1.11 0.18P 0.43R 0.00
Coventry 36 42 +1 -0.85 46.46 -3.73 55.57 4.27 0.52 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 3.09R 0.08
Bristol_City 37 42 -5 -9.67 15.31 -5.78 55.54 4.10 -3.17 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.83R 0.06
Colchester 35 39 -6 -3.32 35.71 2.26 52.29 4.35 -8.74 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 15.25R 1.10
Oldham 37 39 -13 -3.41 35.90 -0.67 49.50 3.91 -15.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.53R 3.34
Tranmere 36 39 -20 -3.69 34.37 -9.51 51.69 4.21 -21.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.39R 1.40
Carlisle 36 38 -19 -1.80 42.82 -3.77 48.41 4.00 -24.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.72R 7.48
Stevenage 36 37 -18 -4.02 33.16 -5.57 47.90 4.03 -22.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.73R 7.92
Crewe 37 37 -27 -0.59 48.33 -5.14 46.32 3.86 -31.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.91R 18.82
Shrewsbury 36 34 -13 -7.54 19.44 -1.92 46.60 4.16 -14.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.04R 13.11
Notts_County 37 31 -22 -13.41 6.74 -11.54 42.97 4.03 -22.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.45R 46.65
Adjustments:
Coventry -10
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 16 March 2014, Newport_County 1 1 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Chesterfield 37 66 +26 1.65 56.78 6.46 81.95 3.97 31.26 45.25 93.28 99.99 95.61P 0.00 0.00
Scunthorpe 37 65 +21 0.82 53.22 1.25 80.88 4.04 26.11 30.30 89.15 99.98 92.94P 0.00 0.00
Rochdale 36 64 +17 7.23 78.58 6.07 80.00 4.35 20.33 21.96 81.89 99.89 86.79P 0.00 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 37 61 +12 6.78 76.92 6.76 73.65 4.01 12.49 1.57 19.58 96.13 38.17P 0.00 0.00
Burton_Albion 37 61 +5 9.12 83.88 2.96 72.76 3.93 4.33 0.85 12.31 92.84 29.25P 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 37 56 +11 1.06 54.64 4.67 68.68 3.96 11.64 0.06 2.75 72.52 21.42P 0.00 0.00
Southend 37 52 +8 -4.35 31.79 -0.37 66.02 3.97 10.45 0.01 0.64 48.65 14.83P 0.00 0.00
York 37 52 +6 3.00 63.45 7.59 63.86 3.92 5.42 0.00 0.16 25.06 5.53P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 36 51 +0 3.74 66.63 2.09 63.94 4.17 -0.79 0.00 0.17 24.65 5.20P 0.00R 0.00
Hartlepool 37 49 +4 -6.46 24.39 -3.10 62.49 4.01 5.76 0.00 0.04 17.42 5.09P 0.01R 0.00
Cheltenham 36 47 -5 -1.78 42.74 -4.66 60.06 4.21 -5.79 0.00 0.01 5.90 1.37P 0.36R 0.02
Morecambe 36 47 -7 0.79 53.91 -2.66 59.26 4.16 -9.07 0.00 0.01 3.82 0.81P 0.72R 0.06
Dag_&_Red 36 46 -1 -0.86 46.80 2.23 59.30 4.23 -1.46 0.00 0.01 4.64 1.03P 0.65R 0.08
Newport_County 35 45 -3 5.71 74.15 9.93 57.82 4.42 -6.33 0.00 0.01 2.83 0.50P 1.83R 0.32
AFC_Wimbledon 37 44 -6 0.80 54.29 4.25 55.47 3.92 -7.03 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.07P 4.48R 0.69
Mansfield 37 43 -13 2.22 60.62 1.06 53.22 3.92 -15.99 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 15.10R 3.76
Bury 35 42 +0 -8.28 18.08 -3.61 58.22 4.53 1.69 0.00 0.00 4.07 1.12P 1.68R 0.31
Bristol_Rovers 36 42 -6 -3.25 36.16 -0.82 54.90 4.19 -7.00 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.10P 6.88R 1.50
Portsmouth 37 42 -13 -9.71 15.01 -14.78 54.58 4.04 -12.61 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.05P 8.48R 1.60
Wycombe 36 41 -6 -5.92 25.87 -3.10 53.82 4.19 -7.17 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.06P 10.63R 2.62
Exeter 37 41 -7 -8.62 17.38 -5.73 52.54 3.93 -8.11 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.02P 15.02R 3.99
Accrington_Stanley 36 41 -7 -2.36 40.41 1.26 53.78 4.16 -8.17 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.03P 11.08R 2.29
Northampton 36 38 -15 -5.58 26.19 -7.50 50.58 4.17 -16.42 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 37.34R 11.66
Torquay 36 33 -21 -8.56 16.29 -10.27 44.82 4.11 -23.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.75R 71.10
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Monday 17 March 2014, Luton 0 1 Woking; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Luton 36 77 +57 4.27 68.97 18.38 97.80 3.86 68.76 99.68 100.00 99.82P 0.00 0.00
Alfreton_Town 37 64 +1 15.73 95.99 5.68 77.05 4.00 1.85 0.00 72.83 9.60P 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 35 63 +28 5.24 72.60 13.44 81.90 4.29 34.07 0.23 96.62 30.96P 0.00 0.00
Nuneaton 38 61 -1 12.11 91.04 4.15 70.39 3.59 -3.40 0.00 13.43 1.79P 0.00 0.00
Halifax 37 57 +17 1.71 57.46 10.32 69.47 4.01 17.06 0.00 14.72 2.97P 0.00 0.00
Grimsby 33 57 +17 0.21 50.80 -0.24 78.12 4.77 22.55 0.08 79.93 26.31P 0.00 0.00
Barnet 37 57 +7 -2.81 37.78 -6.83 70.93 3.97 9.39 0.00 20.00 5.46P 0.00 0.00
Kidderminster 36 57 +2 0.31 51.39 -9.57 72.73 4.19 4.96 0.00 33.54 8.28P 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 37 56 +8 3.35 64.51 5.14 69.17 3.89 9.23 0.00 9.85 1.84P 0.00 0.00
Salisbury 37 55 -6 10.65 87.90 4.39 65.63 3.90 -8.64 0.00 1.40 0.20P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 35 54 +18 -3.11 36.06 3.38 70.47 4.45 19.94 0.00 21.54 5.66P 0.00 0.00
Braintree_Town 32 52 +13 5.75 75.91 9.16 72.12 5.01 14.12 0.00 33.62 6.67P 0.00 0.00
Welling 36 52 +5 4.03 67.46 7.29 64.61 4.11 3.16 0.00 1.47 0.24P 0.00 0.00
Woking 37 51 -6 4.68 70.69 2.24 61.48 3.91 -9.13 0.00 0.10 0.01P 0.01R 0.00
Lincoln_City 38 50 -2 -0.54 47.97 1.06 59.72 3.64 -3.83 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.01R 0.00
Macclesfield 35 48 +1 -1.36 43.84 -0.74 62.84 4.46 0.46 0.00 0.82 0.15P 0.00R 0.00
Wrexham 37 47 -3 -9.35 14.89 -11.89 62.23 3.95 1.23 0.00 0.12 0.02P 0.00R 0.00
Hereford 37 42 -13 -7.65 19.49 -11.13 53.29 3.86 -14.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.89R 0.00
Southport 36 40 -16 -1.76 42.58 -3.00 51.25 4.03 -20.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.84R 0.00
Chester 37 39 -19 0.82 54.85 0.79 49.36 3.61 -22.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.87R 0.00
Aldershot 36 37 +5 -11.30 10.86 -8.84 53.22 4.11 9.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.27R 0.00
Dartford 37 34 -23 -7.82 18.23 -7.92 44.56 3.87 -25.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.23R 0.00
Tamworth 36 32 -24 -5.47 25.86 -5.22 41.53 3.85 -30.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 89.88R 0.00
Hyde_United 38 10 -66 -18.14 0.46 -20.03 15.42 3.03 -76.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00
Adjustments:
Aldershot -10
