Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 15 March 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2014, Aston_Villa 1 0 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          30   66  +33       6.63    80.80     4.36    82.54     3.41    41.65    32.24    72.54    91.95    99.70   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         27   60  +44       1.07    54.77     6.98    83.38     3.91    58.93    52.09    80.71    94.12    99.55   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        28   59  +38       3.09    65.87     8.14    78.56     4.05    47.62    10.86    30.54    68.05    95.11    99.83     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          28   59  +24       5.53    77.14     0.38    77.07     4.08    30.85     4.81    16.06    43.73    89.55    99.45     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        29   53   +0       8.49    86.33    -6.43    67.55     3.94     3.19     0.00     0.03     0.83     5.50    66.98     0.00     0.00  
Everton          28   51  +12       5.39    76.20     1.72    67.17     4.22    15.53     0.00     0.08     0.72     5.42    64.31     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          28   48  +15      -5.15    23.86    -8.16    67.16     4.03    23.67     0.00     0.04     0.61     5.16    68.36     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      30   45   +6       4.06    69.74     7.62    54.93     3.58     3.95     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        29   43   -3       6.21    79.08     3.06    54.17     3.78    -5.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.41     0.00     0.00  
Aston_Villa      29   34   -6      -0.32    48.94     3.25    44.82     3.71    -9.10     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.19R    0.00  
Stoke            30   34  -12       0.17    51.78    -0.46    44.15     3.61   -13.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28R    0.01  
West_Ham         29   31   -6      -5.06    25.67     0.29    41.05     3.70   -10.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.02R    0.08  
Hull             29   30   -7      -0.53    48.31     7.73    39.21     3.72   -11.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.18R    0.55  
Swansea          29   29   -5      -7.75    15.46     1.03    40.16     3.83    -6.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     5.50R    0.43  
Norwich          30   29  -24      -1.78    41.45    -6.38    35.98     3.30   -31.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.34R    6.71  
West_Brom        29   28  -10      -7.52    16.09    -2.23    39.50     3.80   -12.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     8.60R    0.93  
Crystal_Palace   29   28  -19       2.08    62.91     2.84    34.98     3.39   -27.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    46.78R   11.26  
Sunderland       27   25  -16      -5.65    22.06    -6.06    35.71     3.92   -24.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    37.98R    9.18  
Cardiff          30   25  -29      -1.75    41.59    -4.49    32.26     3.36   -34.87     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.58R   37.03  
Fulham           30   24  -35      -5.31    24.20   -13.20    32.72     3.42   -39.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.54R   33.82  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2014, Bolton 0 2 Brighton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       35   80  +35      14.86    96.18     8.76    99.06     4.36    41.18    93.14    99.83   100.00    99.87P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         36   73  +28      12.71    92.63    11.61    89.44     4.22    31.97     6.71    87.49    99.98    90.53P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           36   63  +17       8.24    82.21     8.89    79.40     4.25    21.07     0.01     3.68    90.81    21.38P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             35   63  +15       5.69    74.03     1.43    80.64     4.40    18.74     0.11     5.80    93.29    29.84P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           34   58  +14       1.36    55.88    -0.72    77.85     4.62    19.19     0.03     2.83    81.84    24.92P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   36   57  +14       2.39    60.65     6.11    72.22     4.21    16.27     0.00     0.06    37.34     7.97P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         36   56  +15      -3.55    34.68    -0.49    72.69     4.25    19.54     0.00     0.15    42.90    12.03P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        35   56  +11       1.40    56.33     1.14    73.54     4.31    14.57     0.00     0.15    47.67    12.14P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         36   51   +4       2.59    61.78     5.26    64.15     4.10     3.21     0.00     0.00     1.43     0.26P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       35   49   -1       0.67    53.41    -1.52    63.90     4.41    -1.12     0.00     0.00     1.49     0.31P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         35   48  +11      -7.62    19.44    -0.47    64.74     4.43    13.52     0.00     0.00     2.89     0.70P    0.00     0.00  
Bournemouth     35   46   -7       4.98    72.15     4.24    59.65     4.50    -9.09     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   36   45   +6      -5.42    27.40     4.19    59.18     4.12     6.81     0.00     0.00     0.08     0.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    35   44   -3      -1.40    44.10     1.20    59.78     4.41    -2.17     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P    0.01R    0.00  
Huddersfield    36   44   -3      -0.98    46.25     3.75    55.59     4.11    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.09R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       35   42   +1      -4.16    31.68     3.43    56.04     4.35    -0.45     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.12R    0.00  
Bolton          36   40   -6      -9.89    13.39    -6.57    55.20     4.28    -3.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.37R    0.00  
Blackpool       36   38  -21      -5.37    27.38   -12.13    49.59     3.98   -24.06     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.75R    0.23  
Birmingham      36   37   -8     -11.00    10.41    -5.83    50.57     4.26    -8.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     4.21R    0.13  
Doncaster       36   37  -22       0.45    53.28    -3.13    46.53     3.90   -28.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    22.82R    1.46  
Millwall        36   32  -30      -5.30    26.90   -11.95    42.27     3.91   -35.19     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    68.95R   13.72  
Charlton        32   29  -17      -9.14    12.38    -9.25    46.51     4.91   -19.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.12R    3.57  
Yeovil          35   29  -22      -3.81    33.07     1.38    39.55     4.06   -29.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.01R   34.95  
Barnsley        35   29  -31      -5.27    26.52    -9.30    39.08     4.04   -38.79     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.54R   45.93  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2014, Bradford 1 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   35   77  +43       5.34    73.15     7.41    98.92     4.29    53.35    75.10    95.79   100.00    97.75P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       35   76  +28      15.14    95.97     8.99    94.85     4.46    33.55    21.72    79.77   100.00    85.92P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   37   74  +36      10.27    86.82    16.64    89.27     3.96    40.38     3.03    21.59   100.00    46.68P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         36   68  +16      12.64    92.03     7.18    83.78     4.26    19.06     0.13     2.41    99.84    25.61P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       36   66  +23      11.39    88.66    15.31    79.62     4.32    22.63     0.02     0.43    98.55    18.40P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    36   58  +10      -1.04    45.44    -4.67    75.05     4.25    15.23     0.00     0.00    89.90    23.12P    0.00     0.00  
MK_Dons         37   52   +3      -5.13    29.11    -6.46    65.03     4.05     4.02     0.00     0.00     4.28     0.96P    0.00     0.00  
Walsall         37   49   +1      -1.33    44.81     1.28    62.56     4.05     2.85     0.00     0.00     1.37     0.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Swindon         37   48   +2      -9.30    15.74    -7.71    61.94     4.10     4.35     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.27P    0.01R    0.00  
Sheff_Utd       34   47   -1      -4.46    30.54    -8.14    63.89     4.67    -0.16     0.00     0.00     3.33     0.76P    0.02R    0.00  
Port_Vale       35   46   -9       4.36    69.06     1.52    58.76     4.48   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.05P    0.62R    0.00  
Bradford        36   45   +4       0.67    53.55    11.34    56.68     4.17     0.88     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.01P    1.07R    0.00  
Gillingham      37   45  -11       1.56    57.15     0.71    55.19     3.87   -14.55     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    3.00R    0.02  
Crawley_Town    32   43   -3       2.02    59.80     1.33    60.64     5.07    -5.16     0.00     0.00     1.10     0.16P    0.54R    0.01  
Bristol_City    37   42   -5      -9.57    15.75    -5.66    55.57     4.10    -3.18     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00     2.69R    0.05  
Coventry        35   41   +1      -0.12    49.58    -3.16    56.49     4.51     1.39     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.02P    2.33R    0.06  
Colchester      35   39   -6      -3.38    35.29     2.18    52.30     4.34    -8.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    15.00R    1.21  
Oldham          37   39  -13      -3.46    35.16    -0.75    49.49     3.89   -15.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.56R    3.42  
Tranmere        36   39  -20      -3.71    34.45    -9.52    51.73     4.22   -21.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.06R    1.34  
Carlisle        36   38  -19      -1.93    42.20    -3.99    48.39     4.02   -24.43     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.01R    7.66  
Stevenage       36   37  -18      -3.88    33.30    -5.39    47.83     4.03   -22.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    53.31R    8.28  
Crewe           37   37  -27      -0.59    48.18    -5.13    46.30     3.85   -31.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.96R   18.84  
Shrewsbury      36   34  -13      -7.42    19.85    -1.74    46.57     4.17   -14.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    60.54R   13.33  
Notts_County    37   31  -22     -13.41     6.60   -11.55    43.03     4.03   -22.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.27R   45.77  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2014, Burton_Albion 1 1 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         37   66  +26       1.68    57.02     6.46    81.97     3.97    31.30    45.31    93.17   100.00    95.56P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           37   65  +21       0.86    53.29     1.25    80.88     4.04    26.11    30.19    89.24    99.98    93.01P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             36   64  +17       7.20    78.57     6.05    80.05     4.34    20.39    21.95    82.26    99.89    87.17P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       37   61  +12       7.03    77.76     7.07    73.62     4.02    12.48     1.51    19.29    95.99    37.57P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        37   61   +5       9.18    83.97     3.04    72.76     3.95     4.31     0.98    12.21    92.85    29.67P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           37   56  +11       0.92    54.14     4.39    68.79     3.96    11.76     0.05     2.78    73.23    21.56P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             37   52   +8      -4.26    32.30    -0.24    65.97     3.98    10.37     0.01     0.65    48.19    14.62P    0.00     0.00  
York                 37   52   +6       2.92    62.84     7.47    63.86     3.94     5.46     0.00     0.16    25.22     5.46P    0.00R    0.00  
Plymouth             36   51   +0       3.86    67.32     2.27    63.85     4.15    -0.94     0.00     0.14    23.53     4.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Hartlepool           37   49   +4      -6.21    25.28    -2.74    62.43     4.01     5.69     0.00     0.04    17.24     5.08P    0.02R    0.00  
Cheltenham           36   47   -5      -1.84    42.46    -4.75    60.11     4.21    -5.74     0.00     0.02     6.01     1.36P    0.38R    0.03  
Morecambe            36   47   -7       1.02    55.00    -2.36    59.22     4.18    -9.14     0.00     0.01     3.68     0.74P    0.74R    0.07  
Dag_&_Red            36   46   -1      -0.90    46.42     2.19    59.25     4.21    -1.53     0.00     0.00     4.50     1.02P    0.61R    0.08  
Newport_County       34   44   -3       5.87    75.33     9.53    58.20     4.67    -6.30     0.00     0.02     3.90     0.59P    2.07R    0.36  
AFC_Wimbledon        37   44   -6       0.40    52.75     3.67    55.54     3.98    -6.94     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.10P    4.50R    0.68  
Mansfield            37   43  -13       2.20    60.58     1.13    53.19     3.90   -16.03     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   14.99R    3.90  
Bury                 35   42   +0      -8.33    18.17    -3.71    58.26     4.54     1.75     0.00     0.00     4.09     1.21P    1.72R    0.32  
Bristol_Rovers       36   42   -6      -3.20    36.50    -0.71    54.90     4.17    -7.00     0.00     0.00     0.38     0.09P    6.76R    1.51  
Portsmouth           37   42  -13      -9.70    14.89   -14.73    54.58     4.03   -12.62     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.07P    8.49R    1.63  
Wycombe              36   41   -6      -5.81    26.00    -2.97    53.80     4.19    -7.22     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.05P   10.65R    2.55  
Accrington_Stanley   36   41   -7      -2.38    39.99     1.24    53.78     4.18    -8.18     0.00     0.00     0.23     0.04P   11.18R    2.30  
Exeter               36   40   -7      -8.37    17.76    -5.81    52.97     4.21    -8.02     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   14.47R    3.94  
Northampton          36   38  -15      -5.45    26.90    -7.28    50.51     4.19   -16.49     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    38.29R   12.06  
Torquay              36   33  -21      -8.72    15.93   -10.47    44.89     4.14   -23.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.13R   70.57  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 March 2014, Aldershot 2 2 Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            35   77  +58       5.78    75.64    19.40   100.64     3.97    72.48    99.92   100.00    99.97P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    37   64   +1      15.71    96.07     5.71    77.11     4.03     1.92     0.00    73.27     9.80P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    35   63  +28       5.27    72.68    13.50    81.92     4.30    34.09     0.06    96.82    31.25P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         38   61   -1      12.19    90.99     4.34    70.39     3.62    -3.41     0.00    13.81     1.90P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          37   57  +17       1.63    57.13    10.20    69.51     4.01    17.09     0.00    14.44     2.98P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          33   57  +17       0.28    51.02    -0.10    78.07     4.75    22.52     0.01    79.79    26.10P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           37   57   +7      -2.55    38.87    -6.43    70.82     3.99     9.27     0.00    19.60     5.32P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    36   57   +2       0.43    51.83    -9.40    72.67     4.21     4.91     0.00    33.29     8.16P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        37   56   +8       3.22    64.12     4.93    69.15     3.91     9.22     0.00    10.04     1.87P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        37   55   -6      10.72    88.23     4.43    65.64     3.91    -8.64     0.00     1.48     0.17P    0.00     0.00  
Forest_Green     35   54  +18      -3.12    35.86     3.34    70.50     4.45    20.01     0.00    21.93     5.58P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   32   52  +13       5.82    75.63     9.31    72.03     5.02    13.98     0.00    33.05     6.45P    0.00     0.00  
Welling          36   52   +5       3.82    66.35     7.04    64.63     4.09     3.16     0.00     1.50     0.25P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     38   50   -2      -0.53    48.17     1.07    59.74     3.65    -3.83     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.00R    0.00  
Macclesfield     35   48   +1      -1.52    43.52    -0.99    62.92     4.44     0.56     0.00     0.82     0.16P    0.00     0.00  
Woking           36   48   -7       2.90    63.33     0.76    58.64     4.00   -12.65     0.00     0.02     0.00     0.09R    0.00  
Wrexham          37   47   -3      -9.27    14.83   -11.76    62.26     3.94     1.28     0.00     0.11     0.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Hereford         37   42  -13      -7.66    19.40   -11.18    53.31     3.86   -14.48     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.71R    0.00  
Southport        36   40  -16      -1.89    41.74    -3.13    51.32     4.05   -19.89     0.00     0.00     0.00    10.27R    0.00  
Chester          37   39  -19       0.93    55.21     0.99    49.31     3.62   -22.79     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.98R    0.00  
Aldershot        36   37   +5     -11.39    10.59    -8.93    53.21     4.10     9.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.20R    0.00  
Dartford         37   34  -23      -7.88    18.23    -7.90    44.51     3.83   -25.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.55R    0.00  
Tamworth         36   32  -24      -5.51    25.98    -5.27    41.50     3.83   -31.02     0.00     0.00     0.00    90.19R    0.00  
Hyde_United      38   10  -66     -18.20     0.43   -19.96    15.45     3.01   -76.92     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10