Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 12 March 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 8 March 2014, Cardiff 3 1 Fulham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Chelsea 29 66 +34 8.02 86.20 5.16 84.67 3.66 43.86 53.60 85.35 96.45 99.91 100.00 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 28 59 +38 3.01 65.46 8.06 78.49 4.03 47.54 8.42 27.02 67.74 95.29 99.86 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 28 59 +24 5.62 77.40 0.50 76.95 4.07 30.62 3.42 13.77 42.41 89.69 99.47 0.00 0.00
Man_City 26 57 +42 0.39 50.99 6.47 82.64 4.10 58.32 34.57 73.75 91.16 99.31 99.99 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 29 53 +0 8.48 86.17 -6.45 67.64 3.94 3.35 0.00 0.06 0.96 5.99 70.46 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 28 48 +15 -5.07 24.31 -8.04 67.03 4.06 23.45 0.00 0.02 0.61 5.19 69.63 0.00 0.00
Everton 27 48 +11 4.73 73.87 2.22 66.38 4.42 15.80 0.00 0.04 0.68 4.61 58.65 0.00 0.00
Newcastle 28 43 -2 7.17 82.87 3.40 55.80 4.07 -4.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.41 0.00 0.00
Southampton 29 42 +4 3.37 67.18 6.88 53.76 3.82 2.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.00 0.00
West_Ham 28 31 -4 -4.30 28.68 1.35 42.44 3.95 -8.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.65R 0.04
Aston_Villa 28 31 -7 -2.04 40.38 2.28 42.49 3.92 -11.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.51R 0.06
Stoke 29 31 -14 -0.63 47.63 -1.32 42.42 3.86 -15.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.72R 0.08
Hull 28 30 -5 -0.35 49.26 7.89 39.99 3.94 -10.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.91R 0.37
Swansea 28 29 -4 -6.60 18.79 1.58 41.93 4.12 -5.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.84R 0.12
Norwich 29 29 -22 -1.22 44.24 -6.03 36.90 3.55 -29.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.88R 3.53
Crystal_Palace 28 27 -19 2.04 63.01 2.58 34.85 3.64 -27.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.95R 10.72
West_Brom 28 25 -11 -8.97 11.20 -2.91 37.40 4.04 -13.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.99R 3.18
Cardiff 29 25 -28 -1.04 45.45 -4.58 32.80 3.52 -35.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.37R 25.05
Sunderland 26 24 -16 -5.03 24.53 -5.63 36.54 4.17 -23.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.97R 5.79
Fulham 29 21 -36 -6.63 17.95 -13.42 30.97 3.72 -40.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.22R 51.06
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 March 2014, Birmingham 3 3 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Leicester 34 77 +33 14.42 95.86 8.69 98.17 4.51 40.30 92.41 99.75 100.00 99.82P 0.00 0.00
Burnley 35 70 +27 11.81 91.05 11.67 88.41 4.43 31.91 7.41 84.80 99.93 88.59P 0.00 0.00
Derby 35 62 +17 8.32 82.76 8.41 79.36 4.49 20.39 0.06 5.95 90.24 23.49P 0.00 0.00
QPR 34 60 +12 5.71 74.43 0.80 79.61 4.59 16.61 0.09 5.99 89.97 28.77P 0.00 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 35 56 +14 2.90 63.09 6.34 73.59 4.42 17.75 0.00 0.44 53.54 11.97P 0.00 0.00
Reading 35 55 +15 -3.01 36.53 -0.30 73.55 4.50 20.33 0.00 0.60 54.93 16.03P 0.00 0.00
Wigan 33 55 +12 0.49 52.06 -1.54 75.95 4.87 16.76 0.02 2.33 70.10 21.36P 0.00 0.00
Brighton 34 53 +9 0.38 52.04 0.00 71.54 4.53 12.07 0.00 0.13 32.23 8.09P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 35 51 +6 3.17 64.65 6.09 65.73 4.34 5.63 0.00 0.01 4.52 0.87P 0.00 0.00
Blackburn 34 46 -3 -0.52 47.84 -3.01 61.97 4.62 -3.51 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.16P 0.00R 0.00
Watford 34 45 +8 -7.67 18.93 -1.05 63.78 4.66 11.58 0.00 0.00 2.68 0.68P 0.00 0.00
Bournemouth 34 45 -7 5.31 73.65 4.33 60.00 4.70 -9.16 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.06P 0.02R 0.00
Middlesbrough 35 44 +6 -5.01 28.67 4.32 59.41 4.38 6.60 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 0.01R 0.00
Huddersfield 35 44 -1 -0.36 49.12 4.49 57.26 4.34 -3.90 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.03R 0.00
Leeds_United 34 44 -2 -0.50 48.25 1.46 60.60 4.64 -2.01 0.00 0.00 0.41 0.06P 0.01R 0.00
Bolton 35 40 -4 -9.26 14.59 -5.69 56.87 4.50 -1.29 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.26R 0.00
Sheff_Wed 34 39 -2 -4.55 30.12 2.11 54.31 4.58 -3.56 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.80R 0.01
Blackpool 35 38 -19 -5.12 28.05 -11.96 50.29 4.18 -23.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 6.39R 0.28
Birmingham 35 37 -5 -10.64 10.72 -4.45 52.02 4.48 -5.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.86R 0.11
Doncaster 35 36 -22 0.70 54.69 -3.11 45.94 4.06 -30.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.91R 3.41
Millwall 35 31 -30 -4.95 28.10 -11.80 42.77 4.16 -35.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.01R 15.54
Yeovil 34 29 -19 -4.25 31.00 1.53 40.47 4.24 -26.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.05R 31.41
Barnsley 34 29 -28 -4.91 27.75 -8.10 39.72 4.21 -37.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.02R 44.22
Charlton 31 28 -17 -8.87 13.04 -9.21 46.77 5.14 -19.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.63R 5.02
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 March 2014, Sheff_Utd 1 0 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Wolverhampton 34 76 +43 6.63 78.27 8.50 100.17 4.50 54.72 83.71 96.81 100.00 98.25P 0.00 0.00
Leyton_Orient 36 74 +37 11.32 89.41 17.02 90.88 4.23 41.76 5.89 41.36 100.00 60.48P 0.00 0.00
Brentford 34 73 +27 13.97 94.90 8.65 92.86 4.69 32.05 10.27 58.47 100.00 71.44P 0.00 0.00
Preston 36 68 +16 12.62 91.70 7.16 83.93 4.23 19.29 0.09 2.63 99.85 25.95P 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 35 65 +23 11.66 89.46 15.21 80.27 4.53 23.04 0.04 0.72 98.37 19.22P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 35 55 +8 -1.90 42.08 -5.56 73.10 4.54 12.70 0.00 0.00 75.48 18.85P 0.00 0.00
MK_Dons 36 52 +5 -4.20 32.31 -5.09 66.66 4.31 6.35 0.00 0.00 14.18 3.33P 0.00 0.00
Walsall 36 48 +1 -1.36 44.43 0.81 62.74 4.30 2.52 0.00 0.00 2.47 0.44P 0.02R 0.00
Swindon 36 47 +2 -9.07 16.12 -8.00 62.39 4.35 4.44 0.00 0.00 2.53 0.63P 0.03R 0.00
Sheff_Utd 34 47 -1 -4.33 31.11 -7.92 63.85 4.67 -0.22 0.00 0.00 4.69 1.06P 0.01R 0.00
Port_Vale 35 46 -9 4.14 68.07 1.20 58.88 4.52 -12.82 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.06P 0.69R 0.01
Bradford 35 44 +4 0.80 54.03 11.04 57.41 4.43 1.39 0.00 0.00 0.38 0.06P 1.15R 0.00
Gillingham 36 44 -11 1.80 58.59 0.60 55.35 4.11 -14.89 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 3.81R 0.07
Coventry 35 41 +1 -0.27 49.01 -3.41 56.49 4.54 1.41 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.05P 2.55R 0.07
Bristol_City 36 41 -5 -9.24 16.38 -5.57 55.85 4.36 -3.30 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 3.11R 0.12
Crawley_Town 31 40 -4 0.76 54.24 0.98 59.09 5.27 -6.10 0.00 0.00 1.04 0.16P 1.63R 0.07
Colchester 34 39 -5 -2.58 38.89 2.41 53.65 4.57 -7.77 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 10.38R 0.75
Oldham 36 38 -13 -2.97 37.28 -0.46 49.81 4.13 -15.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.96R 4.13
Carlisle 35 37 -19 -1.45 44.45 -3.57 48.98 4.27 -24.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.65R 7.62
Stevenage 35 36 -18 -3.79 33.85 -5.58 48.12 4.29 -22.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.76R 9.39
Tranmere 35 36 -21 -4.81 29.64 -9.76 50.05 4.45 -22.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 34.69R 5.28
Crewe 36 36 -27 -0.29 49.73 -5.12 46.74 4.13 -31.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.09R 18.70
Shrewsbury 35 33 -13 -7.58 18.98 -2.40 46.01 4.30 -15.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.14R 19.11
Notts_County 36 31 -21 -12.35 7.91 -11.16 44.31 4.27 -21.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.32R 34.67
Adjustments:
Coventry -10
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 March 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Chesterfield 36 63 +23 1.41 55.84 5.42 80.45 4.22 28.42 42.16 88.47 99.91 92.40P 0.00 0.00
Scunthorpe 36 62 +19 0.06 49.73 0.55 79.30 4.31 24.19 28.41 82.12 99.77 88.21P 0.00 0.00
Rochdale 35 61 +16 6.14 75.11 5.83 78.83 4.56 20.03 23.97 76.99 99.57 83.22P 0.00 0.00
Burton_Albion 36 60 +5 9.74 86.17 3.25 73.58 4.19 4.91 3.17 24.18 93.80 38.68P 0.00 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 36 58 +10 5.93 74.57 5.85 71.90 4.26 10.38 1.53 15.81 89.01 32.75P 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 36 56 +14 1.11 55.06 5.84 70.06 4.19 14.64 0.68 9.06 81.20 28.75P 0.00 0.00
Southend 36 51 +8 -3.98 33.34 -0.34 66.55 4.26 10.68 0.05 2.02 52.09 16.61P 0.00 0.00
Plymouth 35 51 +2 4.24 69.35 2.89 65.28 4.41 1.17 0.04 1.08 34.83 8.05P 0.00 0.00
York 36 49 +4 2.28 60.77 6.82 62.08 4.15 3.26 0.00 0.14 13.67 2.84P 0.06R 0.00
Hartlepool 36 46 +0 -6.02 26.09 -4.29 60.63 4.22 1.45 0.00 0.04 8.38 2.45P 0.27R 0.03
Morecambe 35 46 -7 1.21 56.21 -2.59 59.47 4.41 -9.28 0.00 0.02 4.61 0.92P 1.30R 0.18
Dag_&_Red 35 45 -1 -0.48 48.52 2.26 59.81 4.47 -1.25 0.00 0.02 6.36 1.32P 0.86R 0.14
Newport_County 34 44 -3 5.97 75.89 9.69 58.10 4.65 -6.46 0.00 0.02 3.51 0.54P 2.81R 0.60
Cheltenham 35 44 -6 -3.22 36.21 -5.38 58.85 4.46 -6.24 0.00 0.02 4.00 0.98P 1.64R 0.37
AFC_Wimbledon 36 43 -6 0.89 54.80 3.86 55.41 4.18 -7.61 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.10P 6.95R 1.44
Bristol_Rovers 35 42 -2 -3.63 34.47 0.74 56.39 4.43 -2.74 0.00 0.00 1.34 0.30P 4.68R 1.12
Portsmouth 36 42 -11 -9.04 16.63 -13.82 55.93 4.27 -10.61 0.00 0.00 0.77 0.22P 6.16R 1.30
Mansfield 36 42 -13 2.32 61.19 0.72 53.37 4.15 -16.23 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 19.14R 5.97
Bury 34 41 +0 -8.21 18.02 -3.99 58.39 4.77 1.42 0.00 0.02 5.01 1.37P 2.53R 0.59
Wycombe 35 41 -4 -5.17 28.26 -1.95 55.20 4.44 -5.15 0.00 0.00 0.76 0.16P 8.04R 2.33
Accrington_Stanley 35 41 -6 -1.49 43.94 1.40 54.69 4.37 -7.89 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.09P 10.42R 2.56
Exeter 36 40 -7 -8.25 18.34 -5.65 53.04 4.23 -7.91 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.04P 16.83R 5.33
Northampton 35 37 -15 -5.00 28.64 -7.23 51.05 4.40 -16.25 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 37.81R 14.00
Torquay 35 33 -20 -7.68 18.93 -9.88 45.95 4.39 -22.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.53R 64.03
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 March 2014, Aldershot 2 0 Chester; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Luton 35 77 +58 5.83 75.88 19.39 100.61 3.98 72.47 99.84 100.00 99.92P 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 34 62 +28 6.04 75.91 14.06 83.28 4.45 35.65 0.15 98.43 31.80P 0.00 0.00
Alfreton_Town 36 61 +0 14.29 94.88 5.11 75.25 4.26 0.56 0.00 58.59 7.48P 0.00 0.00
Nuneaton 37 60 -1 12.11 91.46 3.53 70.16 3.78 -4.33 0.00 14.93 1.92P 0.00 0.00
Barnet 36 57 +8 -1.67 42.48 -6.26 71.96 4.25 9.95 0.00 31.96 8.58P 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 36 55 +8 3.43 65.44 4.73 69.44 4.12 9.11 0.00 13.91 2.66P 0.00 0.00
Halifax 36 54 +16 0.60 52.65 10.14 67.48 4.30 15.45 0.00 8.87 1.73P 0.00 0.00
Grimsby 32 54 +15 -0.67 46.28 -1.11 76.83 4.96 21.09 0.01 73.27 23.28P 0.00 0.00
Kidderminster 35 54 +1 -0.68 46.74 -9.67 71.27 4.43 4.21 0.00 26.19 6.36P 0.00 0.00
Salisbury 36 54 -6 10.66 88.23 3.98 66.21 4.16 -8.36 0.00 3.24 0.42P 0.00 0.00
Welling 35 52 +6 5.07 71.45 7.85 66.36 4.36 4.69 0.00 5.03 0.79P 0.00 0.00
Forest_Green 33 51 +19 -3.34 34.65 4.19 71.26 4.89 22.56 0.00 32.00 8.50P 0.00 0.00
Braintree_Town 30 49 +13 5.22 74.40 8.74 70.98 5.39 12.72 0.00 29.88 5.78P 0.00 0.00
Macclesfield 34 48 +4 -1.07 45.07 0.37 64.59 4.70 3.99 0.00 3.02 0.61P 0.01R 0.00
Woking 36 48 -7 2.72 62.71 0.47 58.59 3.99 -12.71 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.10R 0.00
Wrexham 36 47 -1 -9.07 15.30 -11.55 63.25 4.19 2.75 0.00 0.66 0.16P 0.01R 0.00
Lincoln_City 37 47 -4 -1.26 44.73 0.53 58.14 3.89 -5.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13R 0.00
Hereford 36 41 -13 -6.78 22.05 -10.13 54.77 4.02 -12.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.55R 0.00
Chester 36 39 -18 1.86 59.47 1.45 50.89 3.89 -21.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.24R 0.00
Southport 35 37 -19 -2.24 40.14 -4.12 49.38 4.27 -23.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.04R 0.00
Aldershot 35 36 +5 -10.69 11.68 -8.51 54.37 4.30 10.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.23R 0.00
Dartford 36 33 -23 -7.83 17.88 -8.33 44.00 4.05 -27.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.76R 0.00
Tamworth 35 32 -23 -4.37 30.11 -4.56 42.66 4.09 -30.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.94R 0.00
Hyde_United 37 9 -66 -18.36 0.33 -20.30 14.83 3.17 -79.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00
Adjustments:
Aldershot -10
