Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 4 March 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 March 2014, Aston_Villa 4 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 28 63 +30 8.00 86.26 3.83 83.46 3.94 40.36 44.50 77.79 93.00 99.51 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 28 59 +38 3.10 65.86 8.25 78.51 4.04 47.55 10.51 30.73 68.28 94.95 99.88 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 59 +24 5.56 77.38 0.39 77.00 4.11 30.64 4.68 16.48 44.73 89.07 99.61 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 57 +42 0.40 50.88 6.50 82.54 4.13 58.18 40.28 74.65 90.98 99.10 99.99 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 28 53 +4 8.26 85.92 -4.95 68.60 4.14 6.71 0.02 0.25 1.96 9.53 79.53 0.00 0.00 Everton 27 48 +11 4.59 73.18 1.93 66.52 4.39 16.00 0.01 0.06 0.70 4.80 62.28 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 27 45 +12 -5.76 21.32 -9.48 65.66 4.32 20.79 0.00 0.03 0.34 3.03 56.83 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 28 43 -2 7.39 83.33 3.72 55.75 4.04 -4.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.54 0.00 0.00 Southampton 28 39 +3 2.28 62.23 6.71 52.36 4.09 1.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 28 31 -4 -4.45 27.89 1.11 42.42 3.98 -8.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.12R 0.06 Aston_Villa 28 31 -7 -2.03 40.12 2.26 42.49 3.93 -11.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.04R 0.08 Hull 28 30 -5 -0.25 49.70 8.04 39.92 3.92 -10.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.65R 0.33 Stoke 28 30 -14 -0.28 49.56 -1.30 42.62 4.10 -15.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.70R 0.12 Swansea 28 29 -4 -6.62 18.87 1.58 41.90 4.13 -5.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.39R 0.11 Norwich 28 28 -22 -0.78 46.62 -5.89 37.27 3.79 -29.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.07R 3.37 Crystal_Palace 27 27 -18 3.03 68.63 3.17 36.04 3.88 -27.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.37R 6.69 West_Brom 27 25 -8 -8.69 11.68 -1.73 38.64 4.28 -10.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.54R 2.06 Sunderland 26 24 -16 -5.16 23.75 -5.84 36.55 4.19 -23.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.13R 5.79 Cardiff 28 22 -30 -2.01 39.81 -5.72 31.08 3.77 -37.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.44R 47.41 Fulham 28 21 -34 -5.81 21.18 -12.58 32.38 3.99 -38.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.54R 33.96Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Bolton 4 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 33 74 +30 14.15 95.80 7.73 97.02 4.72 38.06 90.26 98.74 100.00 99.10P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 33 66 +26 11.09 90.52 11.50 86.97 4.90 30.64 7.99 66.10 99.61 74.51P 0.00 0.00 Derby 33 61 +18 10.04 87.69 9.29 82.72 4.88 24.00 1.36 23.15 96.72 39.53P 0.00 0.00 QPR 32 57 +12 5.42 74.53 0.78 79.16 4.99 16.46 0.31 7.22 86.19 28.52P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 33 55 +15 4.35 69.25 6.83 75.59 4.85 19.20 0.03 2.27 69.27 17.08P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 32 52 +11 -0.52 47.41 -1.77 74.82 5.07 16.54 0.05 1.83 61.11 18.71P 0.00 0.00 Reading 33 51 +13 -3.59 33.90 -1.17 71.87 4.92 17.69 0.00 0.52 39.15 11.31P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 32 49 +7 -0.15 49.47 -1.05 70.43 4.97 10.33 0.00 0.13 25.64 6.38P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 33 48 +7 2.54 61.96 6.55 65.51 4.83 6.70 0.00 0.02 5.76 1.11P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 32 46 -1 1.85 59.05 -1.48 65.44 5.07 -0.44 0.00 0.01 5.12 1.01P 0.00 0.00 Watford 33 45 +9 -6.58 22.24 -0.59 65.51 4.87 13.10 0.00 0.00 6.27 1.67P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 32 44 +4 0.30 51.83 4.19 64.42 5.11 5.73 0.00 0.01 4.49 0.94P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 33 43 +1 0.67 53.83 5.56 59.12 4.83 -1.73 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.04P 0.02R 0.00 Middlesbrough 33 40 +4 -5.59 25.52 3.37 58.48 4.83 5.09 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.05P 0.04R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 32 39 +1 -3.12 35.50 3.22 57.01 5.01 -0.64 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 0.14R 0.00 Bournemouth 32 39 -9 2.25 61.48 2.99 55.47 5.09 -13.19 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 0.44R 0.01 Birmingham 33 36 -3 -9.90 11.66 -4.01 54.08 4.89 -2.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.72R 0.01 Bolton 33 36 -8 -9.33 13.41 -7.93 54.22 4.90 -7.43 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.85R 0.02 Blackpool 33 35 -19 -4.98 28.02 -11.20 50.96 4.68 -21.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.83R 0.19 Doncaster 33 30 -25 -1.78 42.42 -4.69 41.79 4.46 -34.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.33R 14.32 Millwall 33 28 -30 -5.75 23.97 -12.38 41.07 4.48 -37.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.07R 19.01 Charlton 30 27 -17 -8.38 13.79 -8.98 47.40 5.37 -19.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.37R 2.42 Yeovil 32 26 -20 -4.26 30.20 1.23 39.81 4.70 -28.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.59R 25.85 Barnsley 32 26 -26 -6.46 20.55 -8.00 38.75 4.65 -36.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.58R 38.16League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 March 2014, Colchester 0 0 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 32 70 +37 5.63 75.01 6.26 96.94 5.00 48.57 72.04 91.97 100.00 95.38P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 34 70 +35 11.02 89.69 16.35 90.32 4.68 40.84 14.53 52.64 99.99 67.41P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 32 67 +23 12.56 93.45 7.31 90.46 5.13 29.33 12.81 49.28 99.99 64.76P 0.00 0.00 Preston 34 64 +14 12.42 92.12 6.60 82.98 4.68 17.69 0.54 5.03 99.03 27.43P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 34 62 +21 11.08 88.70 14.76 78.63 4.78 21.06 0.07 1.00 93.76 17.75P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 33 52 +7 -1.11 45.04 -4.80 74.32 4.97 14.14 0.00 0.08 76.01 20.46P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 34 47 +6 -7.59 19.25 -5.95 65.43 4.79 8.92 0.00 0.00 8.76 2.33P 0.01R 0.00 Walsall 33 47 +5 0.48 52.34 2.94 66.39 4.90 7.30 0.00 0.00 11.55 2.23P 0.00R 0.00 MK_Dons 34 46 +2 -6.36 23.99 -6.50 63.05 4.76 2.83 0.00 0.00 3.82 0.89P 0.05R 0.00 Sheff_Utd 33 44 -2 -5.42 26.66 -8.17 62.73 4.89 -0.50 0.00 0.00 2.85 0.68P 0.14R 0.00 Port_Vale 33 43 -8 3.49 66.03 1.55 58.54 4.97 -12.04 0.00 0.00 0.64 0.10P 2.05R 0.04 Bradford 33 41 +4 0.22 51.77 10.64 56.07 4.81 -0.23 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.03P 4.32R 0.16 Crawley_Town 29 39 -3 2.26 61.66 1.69 60.93 5.68 -4.94 0.00 0.00 2.38 0.36P 1.36R 0.07 Coventry 32 38 +3 0.34 51.45 -2.39 58.48 5.23 4.78 0.00 0.00 0.92 0.20P 2.28R 0.14 Oldham 34 38 -9 -1.89 41.78 1.01 52.60 4.65 -11.63 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 17.55R 1.63 Gillingham 34 38 -14 -0.24 49.95 -0.54 51.48 4.58 -18.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.28R 3.01 Carlisle 33 37 -17 0.24 52.11 -3.10 50.85 4.71 -23.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.36R 5.01 Colchester 32 36 -4 -3.15 36.15 3.00 53.54 5.07 -6.56 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 14.59R 1.64 Tranmere 33 36 -17 -3.97 32.82 -8.77 52.55 4.89 -18.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 21.32R 2.64 Bristol_City 34 35 -7 -12.09 8.94 -7.11 52.00 4.84 -6.31 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 20.74R 2.92 Crewe 34 35 -25 0.23 52.11 -5.33 47.23 4.48 -31.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.60R 19.63 Shrewsbury 33 32 -12 -6.13 23.33 -1.92 47.83 4.76 -14.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.59R 13.74 Stevenage 33 32 -20 -4.57 29.68 -6.79 46.49 4.75 -24.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.49R 23.14 Notts_County 34 30 -19 -11.69 8.58 -10.75 45.80 4.73 -20.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.26R 26.24 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 March 2014, Newport_County 0 0 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 34 62 +25 2.64 61.70 6.71 83.35 4.66 32.06 48.51 93.37 99.97 95.73P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 34 60 +19 1.35 55.51 1.38 81.08 4.73 25.69 24.46 84.74 99.82 90.00P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 33 60 +17 7.49 80.45 6.21 81.16 5.02 21.92 24.69 82.99 99.74 87.79P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 34 56 +4 8.49 83.28 2.38 71.69 4.66 3.08 0.63 10.21 81.80 24.78P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 34 55 +15 2.63 61.82 6.49 72.64 4.64 16.82 1.23 16.79 89.64 37.25P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 34 54 +9 5.40 73.13 5.90 70.34 4.71 8.92 0.36 7.08 76.41 22.50P 0.00 0.00 Southend 34 50 +9 -2.72 37.65 0.03 68.31 4.68 11.75 0.11 3.75 63.98 21.74P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 33 48 +2 3.81 67.73 2.79 64.58 4.81 0.62 0.01 0.62 28.34 6.29P 0.02R 0.00 Hartlepool 34 45 +1 -4.56 30.73 -3.58 62.56 4.72 2.77 0.00 0.17 17.46 4.87P 0.10R 0.01 Newport_County 32 44 +1 7.01 79.95 10.99 61.04 5.16 -2.13 0.00 0.14 12.04 1.98P 0.54R 0.06 York 34 43 +2 -0.52 48.20 5.61 58.62 4.61 0.96 0.00 0.01 4.27 0.85P 1.01R 0.20 AFC_Wimbledon 34 42 -5 1.80 59.14 3.81 56.94 4.62 -6.92 0.00 0.00 1.86 0.29P 3.02R 0.60 Cheltenham 33 42 -6 -2.58 38.95 -5.38 58.95 4.91 -7.16 0.00 0.03 5.11 1.18P 1.50R 0.31 Dag_&_Red 33 41 -2 -1.32 44.43 1.87 58.00 4.89 -3.03 0.00 0.01 3.62 0.75P 2.24R 0.51 Portsmouth 34 40 -11 -8.29 17.84 -13.71 57.15 4.78 -9.95 0.00 0.00 2.16 0.54P 3.20R 0.70 Morecambe 33 40 -11 -0.45 48.73 -4.37 55.81 4.82 -13.79 0.00 0.01 1.20 0.22P 6.68R 1.63 Bury 32 39 +0 -7.33 20.08 -3.76 59.32 5.22 1.69 0.00 0.07 8.22 2.24P 1.40R 0.31 Bristol_Rovers 33 39 -2 -3.80 33.17 0.84 56.33 4.88 -2.42 0.00 0.00 2.01 0.49P 4.16R 1.06 Exeter 34 39 -6 -6.75 22.35 -5.00 55.38 4.68 -6.03 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.19P 6.00R 1.67 Mansfield 34 39 -13 2.00 60.10 0.80 53.11 4.63 -16.26 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.03P 16.69R 5.35 Wycombe 33 38 -4 -5.23 27.45 -1.61 54.95 4.90 -5.04 0.00 0.00 1.06 0.25P 7.43R 2.19 Accrington_Stanley 33 37 -8 -2.52 38.85 -0.12 52.69 4.78 -10.95 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.04P 17.16R 5.23 Northampton 33 33 -16 -6.28 22.59 -8.16 48.69 4.81 -18.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.59R 22.45 Torquay 33 30 -20 -8.16 16.54 -10.13 45.15 4.80 -23.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.27R 57.71Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Aldershot 2 3 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 33 75 +58 6.85 80.38 19.45 102.00 4.48 73.67 99.39 100.00 99.65P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 32 61 +29 7.34 81.39 14.49 84.76 4.90 36.20 0.56 98.80 32.01P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 35 57 +9 -0.67 46.72 -5.91 74.23 4.45 12.25 0.00 53.66 14.41P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 34 57 -3 14.46 95.36 4.76 75.45 4.68 0.08 0.00 61.07 7.61P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 35 54 -4 10.53 89.03 3.16 67.41 4.24 -6.71 0.00 6.59 0.81P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 34 53 -2 10.67 89.02 5.30 66.92 4.56 -6.14 0.00 6.19 0.81P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 30 52 +15 0.51 52.21 -0.55 78.33 5.38 22.20 0.04 81.12 25.57P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 35 52 +7 2.01 59.32 4.24 67.10 4.32 7.00 0.00 6.99 1.25P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 35 51 +12 0.52 52.32 8.82 65.97 4.52 11.60 0.00 5.70 1.04P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 33 50 +0 -1.66 42.29 -10.26 70.05 4.88 3.26 0.00 21.10 4.75P 0.00 0.00 Welling 33 49 +7 4.14 68.55 7.87 65.73 4.84 5.22 0.00 5.60 0.97P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 32 47 +5 0.03 50.23 0.46 65.93 5.10 4.37 0.00 6.88 1.27P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 34 46 +2 -8.06 17.19 -9.73 65.63 4.64 6.70 0.00 4.59 1.21P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 46 -3 -0.10 50.00 0.58 59.95 4.39 -4.76 0.00 0.17 0.03P 0.09R 0.00 Forest_Green 31 45 +14 -4.35 29.82 2.90 68.32 5.29 17.96 0.00 16.52 4.15P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 28 45 +10 5.26 75.43 7.73 69.89 5.79 9.97 0.00 25.01 4.45P 0.00 0.00 Woking 35 45 -9 1.94 59.35 -0.08 57.35 4.26 -14.15 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.64R 0.00 Hereford 34 39 -13 -6.77 21.54 -11.13 54.26 4.44 -14.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.67R 0.00 Southport 34 37 -17 -1.92 41.51 -3.76 50.64 4.49 -21.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.14R 0.00 Chester 34 36 -17 0.57 53.71 1.07 49.25 4.30 -22.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.30R 0.00 Aldershot 33 33 +4 -9.95 12.54 -8.06 55.49 4.76 11.49 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.56R 0.00 Dartford 35 33 -22 -6.58 21.91 -7.42 46.00 4.28 -25.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.88R 0.00 Tamworth 33 29 -23 -5.19 26.18 -5.11 41.53 4.50 -31.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.70R 0.00 Hyde_United 35 9 -59 -18.20 0.34 -18.81 16.53 3.65 -73.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10