Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 2 March 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 March 2014, Aston_Villa 4 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 28 63 +30 7.91 86.35 3.76 83.45 3.93 40.34 44.38 77.70 93.19 99.58 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 28 59 +38 3.13 65.74 8.25 78.54 4.05 47.58 10.65 30.94 68.64 94.93 99.88 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 59 +24 5.50 76.93 0.35 76.97 4.09 30.64 4.39 16.32 43.82 89.15 99.63 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 57 +42 0.39 50.81 6.50 82.56 4.14 58.19 40.54 74.65 91.23 99.18 99.98 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 28 53 +4 8.37 86.31 -4.81 68.58 4.15 6.68 0.03 0.31 2.12 9.41 79.56 0.00 0.00 Everton 27 48 +11 4.56 73.14 1.93 66.45 4.40 15.89 0.00 0.06 0.64 4.61 61.59 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 27 45 +12 -5.62 21.56 -9.29 65.67 4.31 20.82 0.00 0.01 0.38 3.13 57.50 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 28 43 -2 7.30 83.40 3.58 55.77 4.05 -4.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.52 0.00 0.00 Southampton 28 39 +3 2.32 62.47 6.77 52.32 4.09 1.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 28 31 -4 -4.28 28.66 1.35 42.36 3.95 -8.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.25R 0.05 Aston_Villa 28 31 -7 -2.04 40.28 2.28 42.47 3.92 -11.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.09R 0.03 Hull 28 30 -5 -0.27 49.52 8.00 39.95 3.92 -10.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.56R 0.33 Stoke 28 30 -14 -0.33 49.19 -1.38 42.67 4.07 -15.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.63R 0.13 Swansea 28 29 -4 -6.60 18.80 1.56 41.91 4.11 -5.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.52R 0.16 Norwich 28 28 -22 -0.74 46.84 -5.84 37.30 3.81 -29.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.70R 3.21 Crystal_Palace 27 27 -18 2.96 68.07 3.04 36.09 3.88 -27.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.99R 6.51 West_Brom 27 25 -8 -8.78 11.32 -1.82 38.65 4.28 -10.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.49R 2.03 Sunderland 26 24 -16 -5.16 23.91 -5.88 36.57 4.18 -23.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.25R 5.72 Cardiff 28 22 -30 -1.99 39.82 -5.67 31.04 3.78 -37.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.66R 48.16 Fulham 28 21 -34 -5.80 20.81 -12.68 32.38 3.99 -38.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.87R 33.66Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Bolton 4 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 33 74 +30 14.06 95.55 7.58 97.01 4.73 38.05 90.28 98.88 100.00 99.20P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 33 66 +26 11.09 90.86 11.52 86.93 4.89 30.61 8.06 65.96 99.64 74.43P 0.00 0.00 Derby 33 61 +18 10.18 88.28 9.52 82.69 4.90 23.94 1.28 23.23 96.66 39.26P 0.00 0.00 QPR 32 57 +12 5.34 73.80 0.70 79.17 5.00 16.48 0.33 7.20 86.27 28.52P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 33 55 +15 4.42 69.87 6.93 75.62 4.82 19.21 0.02 2.24 69.14 17.12P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 32 52 +11 -0.38 48.00 -1.57 74.76 5.10 16.47 0.04 1.82 60.75 18.61P 0.00 0.00 Reading 33 51 +13 -3.58 34.03 -1.17 71.91 4.94 17.73 0.01 0.47 39.66 11.62P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 32 49 +7 -0.05 49.97 -0.86 70.37 4.99 10.25 0.00 0.16 25.35 6.53P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 33 48 +7 2.52 61.88 6.54 65.49 4.79 6.65 0.00 0.01 5.50 1.00P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 32 46 -1 1.69 58.19 -1.75 65.55 5.05 -0.31 0.00 0.00 5.36 1.01P 0.00 0.00 Watford 33 45 +9 -6.63 22.05 -0.70 65.52 4.89 13.11 0.00 0.01 6.48 1.69P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 32 44 +4 0.31 51.91 4.29 64.40 5.09 5.70 0.00 0.01 4.46 0.87P 0.00R 0.00 Huddersfield 33 43 +1 0.41 52.22 5.11 59.16 4.83 -1.67 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.04P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 33 40 +4 -5.40 26.48 3.53 58.44 4.82 5.04 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.06P 0.03R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 32 39 +1 -3.10 35.83 3.30 57.03 4.99 -0.63 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 0.16R 0.00 Bournemouth 32 39 -9 2.17 61.33 2.88 55.49 5.11 -13.14 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.54R 0.02 Birmingham 33 36 -3 -9.79 12.27 -3.79 53.96 4.95 -2.69 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01P 0.84R 0.03 Bolton 33 36 -8 -9.40 13.29 -8.05 54.27 4.89 -7.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 0.85R 0.02 Blackpool 33 35 -19 -4.99 27.86 -11.28 50.97 4.65 -21.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.74R 0.19 Doncaster 33 30 -25 -1.85 41.97 -4.84 41.85 4.49 -34.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.97R 14.31 Millwall 33 28 -30 -5.84 23.56 -12.48 41.14 4.50 -37.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.59R 18.61 Charlton 30 27 -17 -8.39 13.63 -8.95 47.34 5.36 -19.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.59R 2.46 Yeovil 32 26 -20 -4.10 31.03 1.45 39.77 4.70 -28.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.95R 26.32 Barnsley 32 26 -26 -6.48 20.69 -7.91 38.75 4.65 -36.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.73R 38.02League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 March 2014, Coventry 0 0 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 32 70 +37 5.57 74.91 6.22 96.93 4.98 48.57 72.02 91.91 100.00 95.38P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 34 70 +35 11.17 89.86 16.60 90.28 4.72 40.78 14.14 51.55 99.98 66.60P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 32 67 +23 12.49 93.18 7.16 90.57 5.15 29.45 13.18 49.95 99.97 65.06P 0.00 0.00 Preston 34 64 +14 12.49 92.45 6.68 82.93 4.69 17.62 0.47 4.79 98.85 26.09P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 33 61 +21 11.51 89.76 14.83 79.09 5.03 21.13 0.17 1.49 93.46 17.81P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 32 52 +9 -0.70 46.86 -4.31 76.04 5.19 16.75 0.01 0.31 82.73 23.40P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 34 47 +6 -7.81 18.79 -6.19 65.51 4.80 9.03 0.00 0.00 7.18 1.88P 0.01R 0.00 Walsall 33 47 +5 0.52 52.94 2.97 66.39 4.95 7.31 0.00 0.00 9.40 1.98P 0.01R 0.00 MK_Dons 34 46 +2 -6.53 23.14 -6.74 63.08 4.78 2.89 0.00 0.00 2.91 0.72P 0.05R 0.00 Port_Vale 33 43 -8 3.53 66.28 1.56 58.51 4.96 -12.04 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.06P 2.14R 0.06 Bradford 33 41 +4 0.35 52.21 10.82 55.99 4.81 -0.36 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 4.59R 0.15 Sheff_Utd 32 41 -4 -6.53 21.82 -9.44 60.93 5.13 -2.74 0.00 0.00 1.38 0.34P 0.71R 0.01 Coventry 32 38 +3 0.47 52.01 -2.16 58.44 5.24 4.65 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.16P 2.31R 0.09 Crawley_Town 28 38 -3 2.60 63.63 1.73 61.82 5.95 -4.18 0.00 0.00 2.77 0.49P 1.23R 0.07 Oldham 34 38 -9 -1.82 42.39 1.07 52.62 4.67 -11.60 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 17.63R 1.61 Gillingham 34 38 -14 -0.21 49.97 -0.47 51.42 4.62 -19.01 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 26.64R 3.12 Carlisle 33 37 -17 0.08 51.28 -3.39 50.92 4.72 -23.44 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 32.54R 4.96 Tranmere 33 36 -17 -3.81 33.27 -8.51 52.51 4.84 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 21.20R 2.48 Colchester 31 35 -4 -2.69 37.82 3.25 53.81 5.29 -6.79 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 14.10R 1.82 Bristol_City 34 35 -7 -11.90 9.29 -6.79 51.89 4.82 -6.50 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 21.11R 2.93 Crewe 34 35 -25 0.23 52.23 -5.37 47.24 4.48 -31.94 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.67R 19.02 Shrewsbury 33 32 -12 -6.29 22.96 -2.11 47.86 4.79 -14.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.17R 13.50 Stevenage 32 31 -20 -4.30 30.52 -6.86 46.47 4.97 -25.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.19R 23.73 Notts_County 34 30 -19 -11.55 9.14 -10.54 45.68 4.73 -20.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.70R 26.44 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Burton_Albion 2 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 33 61 +25 3.36 65.04 7.08 84.26 4.90 32.86 54.11 94.36 99.97 96.31P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 34 60 +19 1.30 55.42 1.25 81.11 4.76 25.70 22.16 84.03 99.80 89.45P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 33 60 +17 7.64 80.97 6.50 81.08 5.02 21.80 21.38 82.04 99.69 86.89P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 34 56 +4 8.52 83.46 2.46 71.70 4.65 3.06 0.59 9.81 81.61 24.63P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 34 55 +15 2.76 62.32 6.72 72.59 4.65 16.75 1.05 15.87 89.08 36.15P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 33 53 +9 5.58 73.97 5.63 70.95 4.94 9.23 0.59 9.30 78.62 25.11P 0.00 0.00 Southend 34 50 +9 -2.45 39.09 0.38 68.22 4.71 11.61 0.10 3.50 62.34 20.98P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 33 48 +2 3.80 67.78 2.76 64.56 4.82 0.61 0.01 0.59 27.71 6.21P 0.02R 0.00 Hartlepool 34 45 +1 -4.43 31.19 -3.45 62.53 4.71 2.74 0.00 0.12 17.11 4.75P 0.10R 0.01 York 34 43 +2 -0.57 47.78 5.56 58.62 4.63 0.95 0.00 0.02 4.17 0.87P 1.01R 0.17 Newport_County 31 43 +1 7.15 80.85 10.89 61.37 5.39 -2.26 0.01 0.28 14.06 2.47P 0.56R 0.10 AFC_Wimbledon 34 42 -5 2.01 60.04 4.08 56.90 4.61 -6.96 0.00 0.00 1.75 0.31P 3.04R 0.56 Cheltenham 33 42 -6 -2.55 38.60 -5.36 58.93 4.87 -7.16 0.00 0.02 4.69 1.07P 1.33R 0.28 Dag_&_Red 33 41 -2 -1.41 44.03 1.74 57.96 4.89 -3.06 0.00 0.00 3.46 0.75P 2.35R 0.56 Morecambe 33 40 -11 -0.47 48.49 -4.33 55.78 4.83 -13.84 0.00 0.00 1.15 0.23P 6.78R 1.70 Bury 32 39 +0 -7.36 20.12 -3.81 59.33 5.30 1.70 0.00 0.05 8.12 2.24P 1.63R 0.35 Bristol_Rovers 33 39 -2 -3.87 32.58 0.73 56.35 4.82 -2.42 0.00 0.00 1.88 0.42P 4.09R 0.95 Exeter 34 39 -6 -6.86 21.94 -5.10 55.38 4.69 -6.08 0.00 0.00 0.92 0.24P 6.12R 1.71 Portsmouth 33 39 -11 -8.23 17.90 -14.06 57.03 5.00 -10.72 0.00 0.01 2.38 0.62P 4.17R 0.94 Mansfield 34 39 -13 2.04 60.35 0.88 53.12 4.64 -16.23 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.02P 16.81R 5.47 Wycombe 33 38 -4 -5.65 25.71 -2.17 55.12 4.85 -4.88 0.00 0.00 1.04 0.25P 6.84R 1.82 Accrington_Stanley 33 37 -8 -2.55 39.01 -0.12 52.71 4.82 -10.91 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.05P 17.04R 5.16 Northampton 33 33 -16 -6.31 22.62 -8.16 48.78 4.81 -18.76 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 50.12R 22.30 Torquay 33 30 -20 -8.16 16.52 -10.08 45.13 4.83 -23.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.00R 57.91Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Aldershot 2 3 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 33 75 +58 6.84 80.64 19.43 102.02 4.47 73.68 99.45 100.00 99.71P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 32 61 +29 7.29 81.14 14.44 84.77 4.90 36.28 0.52 98.73 32.21P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 35 57 +9 -0.74 46.79 -5.94 74.27 4.44 12.30 0.00 53.96 14.09P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 34 57 -3 14.64 95.60 5.05 75.41 4.69 0.05 0.00 60.33 7.34P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 35 54 -4 10.37 88.54 2.91 67.48 4.29 -6.59 0.00 7.17 0.88P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 34 53 -2 10.49 88.68 5.04 66.97 4.58 -6.07 0.00 6.36 0.84P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 30 52 +15 0.44 51.92 -0.67 78.37 5.38 22.23 0.03 81.12 25.62P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 35 52 +7 2.14 59.92 4.39 67.07 4.35 6.98 0.00 6.81 1.21P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 35 51 +12 0.65 53.03 9.06 65.94 4.51 11.56 0.00 5.49 0.89P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 33 50 +0 -1.63 42.56 -10.10 69.93 4.88 3.11 0.00 20.10 4.56P 0.00 0.00 Welling 33 49 +7 4.04 68.00 7.73 65.80 4.86 5.28 0.00 5.78 1.02P 0.00R 0.00 Macclesfield 32 47 +5 0.20 51.05 0.70 65.90 5.12 4.33 0.00 7.05 1.44P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 34 46 +2 -8.20 16.65 -9.94 65.67 4.63 6.80 0.00 4.66 1.27P 0.00R 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 46 -3 0.14 51.15 0.94 59.84 4.38 -4.96 0.00 0.17 0.03P 0.09R 0.00 Forest_Green 31 45 +14 -4.55 28.73 2.65 68.36 5.31 18.04 0.00 16.92 4.26P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 28 45 +10 5.16 74.93 7.57 69.99 5.87 10.09 0.00 25.33 4.64P 0.00 0.00 Woking 35 45 -9 1.92 59.26 -0.16 57.33 4.23 -14.20 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.63R 0.00 Hereford 34 39 -13 -6.64 21.99 -10.94 54.27 4.45 -14.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.60R 0.00 Southport 34 37 -17 -1.92 41.56 -3.82 50.60 4.49 -21.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.35R 0.00 Chester 34 36 -17 0.64 54.19 1.08 49.14 4.29 -23.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.51R 0.00 Aldershot 33 33 +4 -10.07 12.34 -8.21 55.49 4.77 11.48 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.62R 0.00 Dartford 35 33 -22 -6.59 21.91 -7.50 45.99 4.29 -25.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.83R 0.00 Tamworth 33 29 -23 -5.19 25.98 -5.13 41.58 4.51 -31.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.36R 0.00 Hyde_United 35 9 -59 -18.11 0.37 -18.57 16.55 3.67 -73.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10