Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 1 March 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Everton 1 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 28 63 +30 7.89 86.10 3.69 83.50 3.93 40.41 44.41 78.09 93.21 99.60 100.00 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 28 59 +38 3.10 65.55 8.24 78.51 4.05 47.54 10.28 30.23 68.63 95.30 99.87 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 28 59 +24 5.46 76.61 0.31 76.91 4.12 30.53 4.49 16.00 43.74 89.44 99.59 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 57 +42 0.42 51.34 6.49 82.64 4.10 58.30 40.80 75.41 91.64 99.27 100.00 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 27 50 +3 7.55 84.18 -4.58 67.93 4.32 7.21 0.02 0.20 1.63 8.15 75.44 0.00 0.00 Everton 27 48 +11 4.61 73.38 2.05 66.45 4.43 15.92 0.00 0.05 0.78 5.01 63.78 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 27 45 +12 -5.67 21.59 -9.38 65.64 4.35 20.72 0.00 0.02 0.37 3.23 59.09 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 28 43 -2 7.24 83.17 3.47 55.79 4.06 -4.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 1.79 0.00 0.00 Southampton 28 39 +3 2.26 62.17 6.69 52.38 4.09 1.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 28 31 -4 -4.35 28.31 1.27 42.41 3.95 -8.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.35R 0.06 Hull 28 30 -5 -0.22 49.64 8.10 39.93 3.89 -10.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.79R 0.45 Stoke 28 30 -14 -0.35 49.03 -1.39 42.68 4.10 -15.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.86R 0.10 Swansea 27 28 -4 -5.85 21.44 2.10 43.03 4.32 -4.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.52R 0.12 Aston_Villa 27 28 -10 -2.44 37.38 0.93 40.93 4.17 -14.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.63R 0.47 Norwich 27 28 -19 -0.44 48.58 -4.69 38.54 4.07 -26.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 19.79R 2.04 Crystal_Palace 26 26 -18 3.03 68.97 2.72 35.74 4.07 -28.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.32R 9.12 West_Brom 27 25 -8 -8.82 11.35 -1.85 38.60 4.27 -10.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.91R 2.20 Sunderland 26 24 -16 -5.10 24.15 -5.67 36.47 4.17 -23.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.58R 6.30 Cardiff 27 22 -29 -1.34 43.49 -5.71 31.54 3.90 -37.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.98R 44.45 Fulham 28 21 -34 -5.85 20.79 -12.78 32.38 3.98 -38.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.27R 34.68Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Bolton 4 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 33 74 +30 14.35 95.87 7.94 96.88 4.74 37.86 89.82 98.74 100.00 99.12P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 33 66 +26 10.86 90.25 11.15 87.02 4.89 30.70 8.45 66.70 99.61 75.04P 0.00 0.00 Derby 33 61 +18 10.31 88.65 9.75 82.66 4.89 23.88 1.32 22.69 96.56 38.64P 0.00 0.00 QPR 32 57 +12 5.53 74.65 0.91 79.07 5.03 16.37 0.35 7.01 85.94 28.18P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 33 55 +15 4.45 69.66 7.01 75.56 4.85 19.11 0.03 2.19 68.82 16.99P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 32 52 +11 -0.54 47.19 -1.85 74.91 5.09 16.66 0.03 1.99 61.79 18.92P 0.00 0.00 Reading 33 51 +13 -3.81 32.94 -1.49 71.94 4.96 17.79 0.01 0.50 39.79 11.71P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 32 49 +7 -0.08 49.66 -0.87 70.37 4.99 10.29 0.00 0.13 25.22 6.66P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 33 48 +7 2.58 62.56 6.61 65.51 4.77 6.69 0.00 0.01 5.57 0.95P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 32 46 -1 1.81 58.98 -1.54 65.49 5.07 -0.35 0.00 0.01 5.32 1.01P 0.00 0.00 Watford 33 45 +9 -6.56 22.13 -0.55 65.50 4.87 13.09 0.00 0.01 6.33 1.74P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 32 44 +4 0.17 51.22 4.10 64.40 5.11 5.70 0.00 0.01 4.37 0.90P 0.00 0.00 Huddersfield 33 43 +1 0.65 53.48 5.49 59.15 4.82 -1.69 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.06P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 33 40 +4 -5.37 26.50 3.65 58.41 4.82 4.99 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.06P 0.03R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 32 39 +1 -2.89 36.99 3.55 56.92 4.97 -0.77 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 0.14R 0.00 Bournemouth 32 39 -9 2.25 61.49 2.99 55.44 5.11 -13.22 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.54R 0.01 Birmingham 33 36 -3 -9.81 12.05 -3.82 54.02 4.88 -2.62 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.76R 0.01 Bolton 33 36 -8 -9.36 13.71 -7.99 54.30 4.94 -7.34 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 0.93R 0.02 Blackpool 33 35 -19 -5.06 27.78 -11.36 50.98 4.68 -21.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.98R 0.22 Doncaster 33 30 -25 -1.99 41.42 -5.07 41.91 4.48 -34.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.41R 13.79 Millwall 33 28 -30 -5.92 23.50 -12.63 41.14 4.51 -37.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.88R 18.98 Charlton 30 27 -17 -8.52 13.48 -9.17 47.42 5.38 -19.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.51R 2.42 Yeovil 32 26 -20 -4.19 30.45 1.27 39.76 4.71 -28.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.29R 26.67 Barnsley 32 26 -26 -6.57 20.36 -8.10 38.80 4.66 -36.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.52R 37.88League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Bradford 2 3 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Wolverhampton 32 70 +37 5.78 75.94 6.44 96.93 4.98 48.57 72.14 92.19 100.00 95.48P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 34 70 +35 11.14 89.78 16.49 90.24 4.70 40.75 13.98 51.32 99.99 66.28P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 32 67 +23 12.51 93.28 7.23 90.55 5.14 29.46 13.19 49.90 99.97 65.28P 0.00 0.00 Preston 34 64 +14 12.55 92.47 6.79 82.93 4.69 17.64 0.51 4.76 98.73 26.27P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 33 61 +21 11.42 89.93 14.74 79.12 5.02 21.16 0.16 1.56 93.35 17.86P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 32 52 +9 -0.66 46.82 -4.23 76.03 5.17 16.73 0.01 0.28 82.56 23.16P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 34 47 +6 -7.59 19.26 -5.90 65.47 4.80 8.95 0.00 0.00 7.18 1.84P 0.01R 0.00 Walsall 33 47 +5 0.32 51.99 2.69 66.46 4.92 7.39 0.00 0.00 9.41 1.97P 0.02R 0.00 MK_Dons 34 46 +2 -6.65 22.65 -6.96 63.09 4.78 2.91 0.00 0.00 2.99 0.73P 0.05R 0.00 Port_Vale 33 43 -8 3.58 66.76 1.66 58.47 4.95 -12.11 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.07P 2.00R 0.05 Bradford 33 41 +4 0.26 52.01 10.68 56.01 4.80 -0.31 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 4.51R 0.13 Sheff_Utd 32 41 -4 -6.50 22.08 -9.33 60.93 5.15 -2.76 0.00 0.00 1.35 0.28P 0.67R 0.01 Crawley_Town 28 38 -3 2.73 64.28 1.87 61.75 5.92 -4.31 0.00 0.00 2.56 0.44P 1.19R 0.05 Oldham 34 38 -9 -1.89 41.94 1.02 52.64 4.66 -11.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.41R 1.56 Gillingham 34 38 -14 -0.31 49.27 -0.68 51.50 4.60 -18.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 26.08R 2.85 Coventry 31 37 +3 0.97 54.33 -1.94 59.37 5.45 5.54 0.00 0.00 1.18 0.27P 1.88R 0.11 Carlisle 33 37 -17 0.22 52.12 -2.99 50.86 4.69 -23.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 32.98R 4.96 Tranmere 33 36 -17 -3.75 33.55 -8.42 52.54 4.87 -18.98 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 21.27R 2.58 Colchester 31 35 -4 -2.81 37.35 3.00 53.87 5.30 -6.70 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 13.98R 1.63 Bristol_City 34 35 -7 -11.96 9.29 -6.93 51.95 4.83 -6.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.94R 2.81 Crewe 34 35 -25 0.22 52.16 -5.28 47.19 4.47 -32.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.02R 19.20 Shrewsbury 32 31 -12 -6.16 22.85 -2.39 47.70 4.98 -15.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.54R 14.89 Stevenage 32 31 -20 -4.27 31.03 -6.78 46.48 4.93 -25.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.11R 23.44 Notts_County 34 30 -19 -11.72 8.54 -10.79 45.72 4.76 -20.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.35R 25.73 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Burton_Albion 2 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 33 61 +25 3.40 64.96 7.15 84.25 4.86 32.88 54.24 94.37 99.98 96.33P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 34 60 +19 1.28 55.66 1.22 81.10 4.71 25.71 22.15 84.20 99.83 89.66P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 33 60 +17 7.70 81.00 6.53 81.05 5.00 21.74 21.34 82.06 99.69 86.80P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 34 56 +4 8.69 83.95 2.70 71.60 4.61 2.92 0.51 9.33 81.27 23.80P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 34 55 +15 2.63 61.82 6.51 72.62 4.67 16.80 1.12 16.11 89.35 36.39P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 33 53 +9 5.63 74.14 5.80 70.88 4.96 9.17 0.53 9.19 78.09 24.67P 0.00 0.00 Southend 34 50 +9 -2.58 38.35 0.23 68.31 4.69 11.73 0.09 3.67 63.20 21.52P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 33 48 +2 3.58 66.80 2.47 64.63 4.83 0.68 0.02 0.61 28.00 6.26P 0.00R 0.00 Hartlepool 34 45 +1 -4.71 30.20 -3.80 62.61 4.74 2.82 0.00 0.14 17.37 4.91P 0.10R 0.01 York 34 43 +2 -0.47 48.50 5.65 58.66 4.63 1.00 0.00 0.02 4.41 0.96P 1.04R 0.20 Newport_County 31 43 +1 7.41 81.67 11.27 61.27 5.36 -2.41 0.00 0.22 13.38 2.40P 0.66R 0.11 AFC_Wimbledon 34 42 -5 2.16 60.51 4.39 56.85 4.60 -7.07 0.00 0.00 1.69 0.29P 3.14R 0.64 Cheltenham 33 42 -6 -2.59 38.81 -5.40 58.92 4.88 -7.15 0.00 0.02 4.75 1.23P 1.44R 0.30 Dag_&_Red 33 41 -2 -1.46 43.58 1.65 58.03 4.90 -2.99 0.00 0.01 3.56 0.77P 2.15R 0.50 Morecambe 33 40 -11 -0.37 49.14 -4.23 55.80 4.81 -13.81 0.00 0.00 1.09 0.22P 6.64R 1.69 Bury 32 39 +0 -7.45 19.86 -3.99 59.38 5.23 1.79 0.00 0.05 7.85 2.15P 1.51R 0.31 Bristol_Rovers 33 39 -2 -3.73 33.25 0.99 56.27 4.87 -2.53 0.00 0.00 1.83 0.47P 4.26R 1.09 Exeter 34 39 -6 -6.77 22.21 -4.96 55.30 4.68 -6.14 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.20P 6.09R 1.70 Portsmouth 33 39 -11 -8.37 17.30 -14.26 57.06 4.99 -10.68 0.00 0.00 2.40 0.68P 4.01R 0.95 Mansfield 34 39 -13 1.99 60.11 0.83 53.16 4.64 -16.20 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 16.63R 5.43 Wycombe 33 38 -4 -5.56 25.94 -2.05 55.09 4.88 -4.91 0.00 0.00 1.03 0.22P 7.16R 2.12 Accrington_Stanley 33 37 -8 -2.44 39.04 0.03 52.67 4.78 -10.96 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 17.12R 5.40 Northampton 33 33 -16 -6.43 22.37 -8.33 48.77 4.80 -18.76 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 50.09R 22.15 Torquay 33 30 -20 -8.35 15.63 -10.39 45.19 4.77 -23.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.96R 57.41Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Aldershot 2 3 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 33 75 +58 6.89 80.56 19.44 101.95 4.43 73.57 99.45 100.00 99.71P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 32 61 +29 7.28 81.03 14.35 84.82 4.90 36.33 0.52 98.83 31.79P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 35 57 +9 -0.72 46.24 -5.92 74.27 4.47 12.29 0.00 54.03 14.65P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 34 57 -3 14.71 95.56 5.22 75.38 4.70 -0.04 0.00 60.37 7.39P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 35 54 -4 10.34 88.47 2.86 67.46 4.27 -6.65 0.00 6.84 0.90P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 34 53 -2 10.59 88.69 5.18 66.93 4.57 -6.14 0.00 6.10 0.77P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 30 52 +15 0.59 52.66 -0.44 78.31 5.44 22.17 0.02 80.53 25.28P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 35 52 +7 2.04 59.29 4.23 67.14 4.35 7.05 0.00 7.16 1.32P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 35 51 +12 0.80 53.88 9.35 65.93 4.53 11.48 0.00 5.68 1.02P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 33 50 +0 -1.59 42.54 -10.06 69.98 4.88 3.13 0.00 20.34 4.59P 0.00 0.00 Welling 33 49 +7 3.97 67.58 7.62 65.79 4.89 5.33 0.00 5.85 0.97P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 32 47 +5 0.22 51.36 0.70 65.87 5.10 4.32 0.00 6.82 1.36P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 34 46 +2 -8.34 16.20 -10.21 65.76 4.62 6.94 0.00 4.79 1.33P 0.00 0.00 Lincoln_City 35 46 -3 -0.09 50.13 0.61 59.85 4.39 -4.91 0.00 0.20 0.03P 0.09R 0.00 Forest_Green 31 45 +14 -4.58 28.78 2.63 68.34 5.31 18.02 0.00 17.04 4.15P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 28 45 +10 5.22 75.27 7.68 69.94 5.86 10.02 0.00 25.38 4.75P 0.00R 0.00 Woking 35 45 -9 2.11 60.06 0.15 57.29 4.24 -14.26 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.71R 0.00 Hereford 34 39 -13 -6.64 22.30 -10.94 54.27 4.42 -14.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.62R 0.00 Southport 34 37 -17 -1.67 42.54 -3.42 50.58 4.49 -21.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 18.68R 0.00 Chester 34 36 -17 0.39 52.75 0.83 49.23 4.31 -22.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.19R 0.00 Aldershot 33 33 +4 -10.11 12.14 -8.28 55.53 4.75 11.53 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.60R 0.00 Dartford 35 33 -22 -6.77 21.48 -7.75 46.00 4.27 -25.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.82R 0.00 Tamworth 33 29 -23 -5.28 25.74 -5.26 41.62 4.52 -31.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.28R 0.00 Hyde_United 35 9 -59 -18.09 0.38 -18.59 16.53 3.65 -73.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10