Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 1 March 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Everton 1 0 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Chelsea          28   63  +30       7.89    86.10     3.69    83.50     3.93    40.41    44.41    78.09    93.21    99.60   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        28   59  +38       3.10    65.55     8.24    78.51     4.05    47.54    10.28    30.23    68.63    95.30    99.87     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          28   59  +24       5.46    76.61     0.31    76.91     4.12    30.53     4.49    16.00    43.74    89.44    99.59     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         26   57  +42       0.42    51.34     6.49    82.64     4.10    58.30    40.80    75.41    91.64    99.27   100.00     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        27   50   +3       7.55    84.18    -4.58    67.93     4.32     7.21     0.02     0.20     1.63     8.15    75.44     0.00     0.00  
Everton          27   48  +11       4.61    73.38     2.05    66.45     4.43    15.92     0.00     0.05     0.78     5.01    63.78     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          27   45  +12      -5.67    21.59    -9.38    65.64     4.35    20.72     0.00     0.02     0.37     3.23    59.09     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        28   43   -2       7.24    83.17     3.47    55.79     4.06    -4.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     1.79     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      28   39   +3       2.26    62.17     6.69    52.38     4.09     1.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.44     0.00     0.00  
West_Ham         28   31   -4      -4.35    28.31     1.27    42.41     3.95    -8.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.35R    0.06  
Hull             28   30   -5      -0.22    49.64     8.10    39.93     3.89   -10.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     7.79R    0.45  
Stoke            28   30  -14      -0.35    49.03    -1.39    42.68     4.10   -15.47     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.86R    0.10  
Swansea          27   28   -4      -5.85    21.44     2.10    43.03     4.32    -4.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     2.52R    0.12  
Aston_Villa      27   28  -10      -2.44    37.38     0.93    40.93     4.17   -14.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     6.63R    0.47  
Norwich          27   28  -19      -0.44    48.58    -4.69    38.54     4.07   -26.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    19.79R    2.04  
Crystal_Palace   26   26  -18       3.03    68.97     2.72    35.74     4.07   -28.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    45.32R    9.12  
West_Brom        27   25   -8      -8.82    11.35    -1.85    38.60     4.27   -10.98     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.91R    2.20  
Sunderland       26   24  -16      -5.10    24.15    -5.67    36.47     4.17   -23.59     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.58R    6.30  
Cardiff          27   22  -29      -1.34    43.49    -5.71    31.54     3.90   -37.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.98R   44.45  
Fulham           28   21  -34      -5.85    20.79   -12.78    32.38     3.98   -38.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.27R   34.68  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Bolton 4 0 Blackburn; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       33   74  +30      14.35    95.87     7.94    96.88     4.74    37.86    89.82    98.74   100.00    99.12P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         33   66  +26      10.86    90.25    11.15    87.02     4.89    30.70     8.45    66.70    99.61    75.04P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           33   61  +18      10.31    88.65     9.75    82.66     4.89    23.88     1.32    22.69    96.56    38.64P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             32   57  +12       5.53    74.65     0.91    79.07     5.03    16.37     0.35     7.01    85.94    28.18P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   33   55  +15       4.45    69.66     7.01    75.56     4.85    19.11     0.03     2.19    68.82    16.99P    0.00     0.00  
Wigan           32   52  +11      -0.54    47.19    -1.85    74.91     5.09    16.66     0.03     1.99    61.79    18.92P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         33   51  +13      -3.81    32.94    -1.49    71.94     4.96    17.79     0.01     0.50    39.79    11.71P    0.00     0.00  
Brighton        32   49   +7      -0.08    49.66    -0.87    70.37     4.99    10.29     0.00     0.13    25.22     6.66P    0.00     0.00  
Ipswich         33   48   +7       2.58    62.56     6.61    65.51     4.77     6.69     0.00     0.01     5.57     0.95P    0.00     0.00  
Blackburn       32   46   -1       1.81    58.98    -1.54    65.49     5.07    -0.35     0.00     0.01     5.32     1.01P    0.00     0.00  
Watford         33   45   +9      -6.56    22.13    -0.55    65.50     4.87    13.09     0.00     0.01     6.33     1.74P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    32   44   +4       0.17    51.22     4.10    64.40     5.11     5.70     0.00     0.01     4.37     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Huddersfield    33   43   +1       0.65    53.48     5.49    59.15     4.82    -1.69     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.06P    0.01R    0.00  
Middlesbrough   33   40   +4      -5.37    26.50     3.65    58.41     4.82     4.99     0.00     0.00     0.21     0.06P    0.03R    0.00  
Sheff_Wed       32   39   +1      -2.89    36.99     3.55    56.92     4.97    -0.77     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.01P    0.14R    0.00  
Bournemouth     32   39   -9       2.25    61.49     2.99    55.44     5.11   -13.22     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P    0.54R    0.01  
Birmingham      33   36   -3      -9.81    12.05    -3.82    54.02     4.88    -2.62     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.76R    0.01  
Bolton          33   36   -8      -9.36    13.71    -7.99    54.30     4.94    -7.34     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P    0.93R    0.02  
Blackpool       33   35  -19      -5.06    27.78   -11.36    50.98     4.68   -21.83     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.98R    0.22  
Doncaster       33   30  -25      -1.99    41.42    -5.07    41.91     4.48   -34.27     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.41R   13.79  
Millwall        33   28  -30      -5.92    23.50   -12.63    41.14     4.51   -37.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.88R   18.98  
Charlton        30   27  -17      -8.52    13.48    -9.17    47.42     5.38   -19.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    16.51R    2.42  
Yeovil          32   26  -20      -4.19    30.45     1.27    39.76     4.71   -28.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    72.29R   26.67  
Barnsley        32   26  -26      -6.57    20.36    -8.10    38.80     4.66   -36.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    80.52R   37.88  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Bradford 2 3 Stevenage; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   32   70  +37       5.78    75.94     6.44    96.93     4.98    48.57    72.14    92.19   100.00    95.48P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   34   70  +35      11.14    89.78    16.49    90.24     4.70    40.75    13.98    51.32    99.99    66.28P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       32   67  +23      12.51    93.28     7.23    90.55     5.14    29.46    13.19    49.90    99.97    65.28P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         34   64  +14      12.55    92.47     6.79    82.93     4.69    17.64     0.51     4.76    98.73    26.27P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       33   61  +21      11.42    89.93    14.74    79.12     5.02    21.16     0.16     1.56    93.35    17.86P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    32   52   +9      -0.66    46.82    -4.23    76.03     5.17    16.73     0.01     0.28    82.56    23.16P    0.00     0.00  
Swindon         34   47   +6      -7.59    19.26    -5.90    65.47     4.80     8.95     0.00     0.00     7.18     1.84P    0.01R    0.00  
Walsall         33   47   +5       0.32    51.99     2.69    66.46     4.92     7.39     0.00     0.00     9.41     1.97P    0.02R    0.00  
MK_Dons         34   46   +2      -6.65    22.65    -6.96    63.09     4.78     2.91     0.00     0.00     2.99     0.73P    0.05R    0.00  
Port_Vale       33   43   -8       3.58    66.76     1.66    58.47     4.95   -12.11     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.07P    2.00R    0.05  
Bradford        33   41   +4       0.26    52.01    10.68    56.01     4.80    -0.31     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P    4.51R    0.13  
Sheff_Utd       32   41   -4      -6.50    22.08    -9.33    60.93     5.15    -2.76     0.00     0.00     1.35     0.28P    0.67R    0.01  
Crawley_Town    28   38   -3       2.73    64.28     1.87    61.75     5.92    -4.31     0.00     0.00     2.56     0.44P    1.19R    0.05  
Oldham          34   38   -9      -1.89    41.94     1.02    52.64     4.66   -11.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    17.41R    1.56  
Gillingham      34   38  -14      -0.31    49.27    -0.68    51.50     4.60   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   26.08R    2.85  
Coventry        31   37   +3       0.97    54.33    -1.94    59.37     5.45     5.54     0.00     0.00     1.18     0.27P    1.88R    0.11  
Carlisle        33   37  -17       0.22    52.12    -2.99    50.86     4.69   -23.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    32.98R    4.96  
Tranmere        33   36  -17      -3.75    33.55    -8.42    52.54     4.87   -18.98     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   21.27R    2.58  
Colchester      31   35   -4      -2.81    37.35     3.00    53.87     5.30    -6.70     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   13.98R    1.63  
Bristol_City    34   35   -7     -11.96     9.29    -6.93    51.95     4.83    -6.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    20.94R    2.81  
Crewe           34   35  -25       0.22    52.16    -5.28    47.19     4.47   -32.04     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.02R   19.20  
Shrewsbury      32   31  -12      -6.16    22.85    -2.39    47.70     4.98   -15.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.54R   14.89  
Stevenage       32   31  -20      -4.27    31.03    -6.78    46.48     4.93   -25.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.11R   23.44  
Notts_County    34   30  -19     -11.72     8.54   -10.79    45.72     4.76   -20.26     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    70.35R   25.73  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Burton_Albion 2 1 Accrington_Stanley; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         33   61  +25       3.40    64.96     7.15    84.25     4.86    32.88    54.24    94.37    99.98    96.33P    0.00     0.00  
Scunthorpe           34   60  +19       1.28    55.66     1.22    81.10     4.71    25.71    22.15    84.20    99.83    89.66P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             33   60  +17       7.70    81.00     6.53    81.05     5.00    21.74    21.34    82.06    99.69    86.80P    0.00     0.00  
Burton_Albion        34   56   +4       8.69    83.95     2.70    71.60     4.61     2.92     0.51     9.33    81.27    23.80P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           34   55  +15       2.63    61.82     6.51    72.62     4.67    16.80     1.12    16.11    89.35    36.39P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       33   53   +9       5.63    74.14     5.80    70.88     4.96     9.17     0.53     9.19    78.09    24.67P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             34   50   +9      -2.58    38.35     0.23    68.31     4.69    11.73     0.09     3.67    63.20    21.52P    0.00     0.00  
Plymouth             33   48   +2       3.58    66.80     2.47    64.63     4.83     0.68     0.02     0.61    28.00     6.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Hartlepool           34   45   +1      -4.71    30.20    -3.80    62.61     4.74     2.82     0.00     0.14    17.37     4.91P    0.10R    0.01  
York                 34   43   +2      -0.47    48.50     5.65    58.66     4.63     1.00     0.00     0.02     4.41     0.96P    1.04R    0.20  
Newport_County       31   43   +1       7.41    81.67    11.27    61.27     5.36    -2.41     0.00     0.22    13.38     2.40P    0.66R    0.11  
AFC_Wimbledon        34   42   -5       2.16    60.51     4.39    56.85     4.60    -7.07     0.00     0.00     1.69     0.29P    3.14R    0.64  
Cheltenham           33   42   -6      -2.59    38.81    -5.40    58.92     4.88    -7.15     0.00     0.02     4.75     1.23P    1.44R    0.30  
Dag_&_Red            33   41   -2      -1.46    43.58     1.65    58.03     4.90    -2.99     0.00     0.01     3.56     0.77P    2.15R    0.50  
Morecambe            33   40  -11      -0.37    49.14    -4.23    55.80     4.81   -13.81     0.00     0.00     1.09     0.22P    6.64R    1.69  
Bury                 32   39   +0      -7.45    19.86    -3.99    59.38     5.23     1.79     0.00     0.05     7.85     2.15P    1.51R    0.31  
Bristol_Rovers       33   39   -2      -3.73    33.25     0.99    56.27     4.87    -2.53     0.00     0.00     1.83     0.47P    4.26R    1.09  
Exeter               34   39   -6      -6.77    22.21    -4.96    55.30     4.68    -6.14     0.00     0.00     0.81     0.20P    6.09R    1.70  
Portsmouth           33   39  -11      -8.37    17.30   -14.26    57.06     4.99   -10.68     0.00     0.00     2.40     0.68P    4.01R    0.95  
Mansfield            34   39  -13       1.99    60.11     0.83    53.16     4.64   -16.20     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   16.63R    5.43  
Wycombe              33   38   -4      -5.56    25.94    -2.05    55.09     4.88    -4.91     0.00     0.00     1.03     0.22P    7.16R    2.12  
Accrington_Stanley   33   37   -8      -2.44    39.04     0.03    52.67     4.78   -10.96     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   17.12R    5.40  
Northampton          33   33  -16      -6.43    22.37    -8.33    48.77     4.80   -18.76     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    50.09R   22.15  
Torquay              33   30  -20      -8.35    15.63   -10.39    45.19     4.77   -23.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    77.96R   57.41  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 March 2014, Aldershot 2 3 Lincoln_City; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Luton            33   75  +58       6.89    80.56    19.44   101.95     4.43    73.57    99.45   100.00    99.71P    0.00     0.00  
Cambridge_Utd    32   61  +29       7.28    81.03    14.35    84.82     4.90    36.33     0.52    98.83    31.79P    0.00     0.00  
Barnet           35   57   +9      -0.72    46.24    -5.92    74.27     4.47    12.29     0.00    54.03    14.65P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    34   57   -3      14.71    95.56     5.22    75.38     4.70    -0.04     0.00    60.37     7.39P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         35   54   -4      10.34    88.47     2.86    67.46     4.27    -6.65     0.00     6.84     0.90P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        34   53   -2      10.59    88.69     5.18    66.93     4.57    -6.14     0.00     6.10     0.77P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          30   52  +15       0.59    52.66    -0.44    78.31     5.44    22.17     0.02    80.53    25.28P    0.00     0.00  
Gateshead        35   52   +7       2.04    59.29     4.23    67.14     4.35     7.05     0.00     7.16     1.32P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          35   51  +12       0.80    53.88     9.35    65.93     4.53    11.48     0.00     5.68     1.02P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    33   50   +0      -1.59    42.54   -10.06    69.98     4.88     3.13     0.00    20.34     4.59P    0.00     0.00  
Welling          33   49   +7       3.97    67.58     7.62    65.79     4.89     5.33     0.00     5.85     0.97P    0.00     0.00  
Macclesfield     32   47   +5       0.22    51.36     0.70    65.87     5.10     4.32     0.00     6.82     1.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Wrexham          34   46   +2      -8.34    16.20   -10.21    65.76     4.62     6.94     0.00     4.79     1.33P    0.00     0.00  
Lincoln_City     35   46   -3      -0.09    50.13     0.61    59.85     4.39    -4.91     0.00     0.20     0.03P    0.09R    0.00  
Forest_Green     31   45  +14      -4.58    28.78     2.63    68.34     5.31    18.02     0.00    17.04     4.15P    0.00     0.00  
Braintree_Town   28   45  +10       5.22    75.27     7.68    69.94     5.86    10.02     0.00    25.38     4.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Woking           35   45   -9       2.11    60.06     0.15    57.29     4.24   -14.26     0.00     0.04     0.00P    0.71R    0.00  
Hereford         34   39  -13      -6.64    22.30   -10.94    54.27     4.42   -14.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     3.62R    0.00  
Southport        34   37  -17      -1.67    42.54    -3.42    50.58     4.49   -21.71     0.00     0.00     0.00    18.68R    0.00  
Chester          34   36  -17       0.39    52.75     0.83    49.23     4.31   -22.90     0.00     0.00     0.00    28.19R    0.00  
Aldershot        33   33   +4     -10.11    12.14    -8.28    55.53     4.75    11.53     0.00     0.01     0.00P    2.60R    0.00  
Dartford         35   33  -22      -6.77    21.48    -7.75    46.00     4.27   -25.40     0.00     0.00     0.00    58.82R    0.00  
Tamworth         33   29  -23      -5.28    25.74    -5.26    41.62     4.52   -31.66     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.28R    0.00  
Hyde_United      35    9  -59     -18.09     0.38   -18.59    16.53     3.65   -73.91     0.00     0.00     0.00   100.00R  100.00  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10