Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 28 February 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 February 2014, Liverpool 4 3 Swansea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 27 60 +28 7.40 85.00 3.56 82.56 4.17 39.49 37.12 70.25 89.00 99.15 99.98 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 27 59 +25 6.88 82.85 1.10 78.97 4.33 32.63 12.64 32.88 66.26 95.18 99.86 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 57 +42 0.37 50.80 6.44 82.56 4.14 58.15 43.17 74.46 91.10 99.30 99.99 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 27 56 +35 2.51 63.06 7.04 77.11 4.33 44.84 7.04 22.10 51.02 91.02 99.61 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 27 50 +3 7.57 84.44 -4.53 67.93 4.32 7.20 0.02 0.22 1.66 8.50 78.28 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 27 45 +12 -5.76 21.05 -9.52 65.67 4.30 20.77 0.00 0.02 0.41 3.37 63.18 0.00 0.00 Everton 26 45 +10 3.54 68.80 1.84 65.37 4.61 15.70 0.01 0.07 0.55 3.47 56.83 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 27 40 -5 6.50 81.15 1.90 53.75 4.26 -7.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.00 0.00 Southampton 27 39 +6 2.53 63.46 7.86 53.70 4.33 4.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.39 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 27 31 -3 -3.54 31.85 1.52 43.17 4.15 -8.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.87R 0.05 Hull 27 30 -2 0.23 52.18 9.41 41.70 4.23 -6.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.21R 0.19 Swansea 27 28 -4 -5.95 21.04 1.96 42.99 4.33 -4.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.65R 0.13 Aston_Villa 27 28 -10 -2.55 37.17 0.78 40.92 4.15 -14.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.17R 0.48 Norwich 27 28 -19 -0.46 48.41 -4.72 38.53 4.04 -26.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.63R 2.32 Stoke 27 27 -15 -1.98 39.83 -2.23 40.37 4.28 -17.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.65R 0.97 Crystal_Palace 26 26 -18 2.97 68.46 2.69 35.78 4.08 -28.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.67R 9.81 West_Brom 27 25 -8 -8.79 11.53 -1.81 38.58 4.24 -11.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.61R 2.37 Sunderland 26 24 -16 -5.08 24.01 -5.71 36.51 4.15 -23.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.83R 6.71 Cardiff 27 22 -29 -1.19 44.42 -5.37 31.50 3.90 -38.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.38R 47.03 Fulham 27 21 -32 -5.29 22.69 -12.22 33.14 4.18 -37.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.32R 29.93Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 February 2014, Barnsley 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 32 71 +27 14.07 95.64 7.08 95.83 4.98 35.64 87.04 97.19 100.00 97.87P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 32 63 +24 10.12 88.95 10.53 85.36 5.13 28.65 7.66 49.33 98.69 61.48P 0.00 0.00 Derby 32 61 +20 10.60 89.34 10.06 83.76 5.10 25.47 3.92 34.25 97.40 48.00P 0.00 0.00 QPR 31 56 +12 5.94 76.31 1.05 80.12 5.25 17.27 1.04 11.15 88.81 32.10P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 32 55 +18 4.92 72.02 8.62 77.47 5.09 22.92 0.25 5.84 80.18 23.33P 0.00 0.00 Reading 32 50 +13 -2.98 36.33 -0.74 73.55 5.16 19.75 0.05 1.31 53.47 16.46P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 31 49 +8 -0.94 45.48 -2.86 72.37 5.28 12.35 0.02 0.74 40.14 11.14P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 31 46 +6 -1.38 43.30 -1.46 68.90 5.19 9.50 0.00 0.09 17.57 4.57P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 31 46 +3 1.81 59.36 0.39 67.44 5.29 4.48 0.00 0.09 11.10 2.30P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 32 45 +6 1.30 56.45 6.10 64.18 5.03 6.09 0.00 0.00 3.64 0.69P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 31 43 +4 0.12 50.94 3.51 64.19 5.29 4.90 0.00 0.01 4.45 0.98P 0.00R 0.00 Watford 32 42 +5 -6.61 21.78 -2.11 63.95 5.12 9.15 0.00 0.00 3.62 0.86P 0.00R 0.00 Middlesbrough 32 40 +5 -4.53 29.67 3.90 59.78 5.07 5.99 0.00 0.00 0.68 0.17P 0.04R 0.00 Huddersfield 32 40 -4 1.07 55.89 3.44 57.27 4.99 -7.01 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 0.24R 0.00 Sheff_Wed 31 36 +0 -4.38 29.80 2.86 55.49 5.24 -1.47 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.03P 0.80R 0.02 Birmingham 32 36 -2 -8.83 14.64 -3.44 55.19 5.11 -1.90 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.82R 0.01 Bournemouth 31 36 -14 2.73 64.11 1.09 53.27 5.32 -19.05 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 3.48R 0.18 Blackpool 32 35 -15 -5.10 27.39 -9.59 52.41 4.91 -17.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.35R 0.16 Bolton 32 33 -12 -9.51 12.61 -9.79 52.27 5.12 -11.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.78R 0.25 Doncaster 32 30 -20 -2.31 39.75 -3.03 43.48 4.78 -28.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.74R 10.53 Millwall 32 28 -29 -5.00 27.08 -12.28 42.19 4.73 -36.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 64.29R 17.80 Charlton 29 27 -14 -8.35 13.85 -8.12 48.39 5.55 -16.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 16.42R 2.41 Barnsley 31 26 -21 -6.74 19.68 -5.92 40.33 4.92 -30.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.74R 29.47 Yeovil 31 25 -20 -4.11 30.73 0.70 39.12 4.84 -30.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.29R 39.18League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2014, Colchester 0 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 33 67 +34 10.17 88.23 16.59 89.10 4.90 40.46 12.77 43.02 99.95 60.95P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 31 67 +34 5.61 75.25 5.85 96.07 5.14 46.81 65.77 89.75 100.00 94.01P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 31 66 +23 13.15 94.52 7.48 91.52 5.35 30.38 20.92 61.65 99.96 73.20P 0.00 0.00 Preston 33 61 +13 11.36 90.62 6.45 81.47 4.91 16.88 0.36 3.59 96.33 24.03P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 32 58 +15 12.29 91.78 12.69 76.90 5.22 14.22 0.07 0.79 81.28 13.36P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 31 52 +10 0.49 52.24 -3.62 77.92 5.42 18.54 0.11 1.20 86.80 26.25P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 32 47 +6 1.27 56.27 3.11 67.78 5.14 8.35 0.00 0.00 15.12 3.15P 0.00R 0.00 Swindon 33 46 +6 -7.19 20.40 -5.79 66.38 5.02 9.79 0.00 0.00 10.14 2.69P 0.01R 0.00 MK_Dons 33 46 +3 -5.39 26.71 -6.12 64.81 5.02 4.39 0.00 0.00 6.02 1.51P 0.02R 0.00 Port_Vale 32 43 -5 3.30 65.39 1.98 59.40 5.13 -9.90 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.10P 1.49R 0.04 Bradford 32 41 +5 1.55 57.85 11.46 57.87 5.05 1.44 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.06P 2.43R 0.07 Sheff_Utd 31 38 -5 -7.89 17.22 -9.97 58.95 5.35 -4.25 0.00 0.00 0.68 0.18P 2.03R 0.09 Gillingham 33 38 -13 0.61 53.82 -0.39 52.57 4.81 -18.39 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 20.12R 1.77 Coventry 31 37 +3 1.04 54.82 -1.91 59.28 5.45 5.40 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.21P 1.98R 0.12 Oldham 33 37 -9 -1.61 43.13 0.81 52.79 4.87 -11.86 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 17.69R 1.45 Carlisle 32 36 -17 0.21 51.99 -3.52 50.74 4.89 -24.37 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 34.13R 4.96 Colchester 30 35 -3 -2.08 40.64 3.02 54.65 5.47 -6.61 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 11.85R 1.19 Crawley_Town 27 35 -4 1.39 57.91 1.30 59.57 6.11 -6.22 0.00 0.00 1.40 0.25P 3.46R 0.25 Tranmere 32 35 -17 -3.38 34.98 -8.58 53.13 5.11 -18.66 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 19.00R 2.02 Crewe 33 34 -25 0.29 52.55 -5.74 47.04 4.68 -32.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.39R 18.35 Bristol_City 33 32 -8 -13.09 7.07 -7.07 50.71 5.07 -6.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 29.74R 4.72 Shrewsbury 32 31 -12 -6.04 23.38 -2.23 47.71 4.97 -15.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.88R 13.34 Notts_County 33 30 -13 -12.42 7.09 -8.23 47.40 4.97 -13.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.09R 13.68 Stevenage 31 28 -21 -5.66 24.39 -7.57 44.33 5.11 -27.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.69R 37.95 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2014, Cheltenham 1 4 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 33 61 +25 3.38 64.81 7.12 84.22 4.89 32.82 53.91 93.67 99.96 95.89P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 33 59 +19 1.74 57.56 1.46 81.89 4.96 26.32 28.67 85.24 99.78 90.01P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 32 57 +14 7.22 79.97 5.32 79.18 5.25 18.39 13.05 66.18 98.97 75.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 33 55 +18 2.97 63.28 8.13 74.29 4.91 20.21 2.74 28.58 94.10 47.66P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 33 53 +3 7.38 80.55 2.13 70.35 4.87 2.47 0.44 6.98 73.72 20.32P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 32 52 +9 5.99 75.74 5.81 71.64 5.19 9.69 0.98 12.99 82.05 28.53P 0.00 0.00 Southend 33 49 +9 -2.00 40.97 0.51 68.89 4.91 12.03 0.19 5.35 68.29 23.69P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 32 45 -3 4.09 69.29 0.27 62.35 5.01 -5.13 0.01 0.26 15.99 3.14P 0.26R 0.03 Newport_County 30 42 +1 7.31 81.67 10.46 61.06 5.59 -3.25 0.01 0.36 14.02 2.51P 1.13R 0.27 Hartlepool 33 42 -2 -4.89 29.09 -4.85 60.92 4.93 -0.22 0.00 0.08 11.00 2.95P 0.61R 0.12 AFC_Wimbledon 33 41 -5 2.31 61.56 4.11 56.89 4.81 -7.56 0.00 0.00 2.25 0.36P 4.37R 1.08 York 33 40 +1 -1.59 43.14 5.30 56.77 4.84 -0.31 0.00 0.01 2.48 0.49P 4.01R 1.08 Dag_&_Red 32 40 -2 -1.11 45.33 1.70 58.64 5.15 -2.63 0.00 0.02 5.53 1.21P 2.59R 0.76 Morecambe 32 40 -6 -0.96 46.09 -2.19 57.76 5.06 -7.89 0.00 0.01 3.77 0.79P 3.67R 0.95 Bury 31 39 +1 -6.35 22.99 -3.33 60.94 5.48 3.04 0.00 0.23 14.49 4.18P 1.10R 0.27 Exeter 33 39 -5 -5.84 25.34 -4.66 56.84 4.92 -4.92 0.00 0.00 2.42 0.60P 4.61R 1.38 Cheltenham 32 39 -7 -3.78 33.04 -5.74 57.11 5.12 -8.40 0.00 0.01 3.05 0.69P 4.88R 1.38 Portsmouth 33 39 -11 -8.23 17.65 -14.07 57.22 4.95 -10.42 0.00 0.01 2.59 0.73P 4.37R 1.17 Bristol_Rovers 32 38 -2 -3.42 34.50 0.95 56.68 5.07 -2.49 0.00 0.01 2.83 0.60P 5.03R 1.58 Mansfield 33 38 -13 2.34 61.85 0.95 53.13 4.84 -16.84 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.03P 20.13R 7.72 Wycombe 32 37 -4 -5.33 26.86 -2.24 55.22 5.10 -5.20 0.00 0.00 1.65 0.42P 8.70R 2.88 Accrington_Stanley 32 37 -7 -1.61 43.23 0.21 53.85 5.01 -10.16 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.16P 14.29R 4.96 Northampton 32 32 -16 -6.19 22.69 -8.45 49.06 5.04 -18.87 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 50.47R 26.13 Torquay 32 30 -17 -8.05 16.32 -8.91 46.52 5.04 -20.69 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 69.78R 48.23Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2014, Braintree_Town 1 0 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 32 72 +55 6.67 80.19 18.94 101.39 4.62 72.57 99.52 100.00 99.73P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 31 58 +25 7.20 81.34 12.73 83.04 5.11 32.00 0.44 95.71 28.90P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 34 57 +11 0.27 50.97 -4.55 76.87 4.63 16.21 0.00 70.57 20.78P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 33 57 +0 14.82 95.89 5.70 75.99 4.81 1.34 0.00 60.26 7.68P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 33 53 +0 10.98 89.76 5.55 67.73 4.76 -5.03 0.00 7.59 1.04P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 34 53 -4 10.75 89.89 2.81 67.52 4.49 -7.04 0.00 6.22 0.78P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 34 51 +7 2.39 61.32 4.18 67.72 4.53 7.35 0.00 7.73 1.41P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 32 50 +4 -1.94 40.71 -8.82 71.47 5.02 7.49 0.00 27.00 6.86P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 29 49 +13 0.00 49.77 -0.83 77.19 5.55 20.94 0.04 70.67 21.36P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 34 48 +10 0.24 51.39 9.14 64.93 4.74 10.49 0.00 3.31 0.64P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 31 47 +6 0.98 54.91 0.82 67.11 5.32 5.07 0.00 9.32 1.89P 0.00R 0.00 Welling 32 46 +6 3.07 64.50 7.80 64.29 5.08 4.47 0.00 3.03 0.50P 0.00R 0.00 Forest_Green 30 44 +14 -4.20 29.87 2.58 68.54 5.51 17.73 0.00 15.98 4.03P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 33 43 +0 -9.34 13.03 -11.22 63.74 4.86 4.34 0.00 1.78 0.47P 0.02R 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 43 -4 -1.64 42.68 -0.34 57.29 4.52 -7.41 0.00 0.02 0.00P 0.87R 0.00 Braintree_Town 27 42 +9 4.49 72.51 8.19 69.45 6.00 10.97 0.00 20.74 3.91P 0.01R 0.00 Woking 34 42 -11 0.71 53.94 -1.48 54.66 4.40 -17.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.96R 0.00 Hereford 33 39 -11 -6.02 23.98 -10.15 56.00 4.67 -12.06 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.11R 0.00 Chester 33 35 -17 1.25 57.22 1.12 49.64 4.54 -22.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.58R 0.00 Southport 33 34 -20 -2.19 39.86 -4.55 48.94 4.72 -24.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.55R 0.00 Aldershot 32 33 +5 -8.93 14.72 -7.66 57.82 4.95 13.95 0.00 0.05 0.02P 1.19R 0.00 Dartford 34 33 -19 -6.15 23.35 -6.04 47.35 4.51 -22.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.82R 0.00 Tamworth 32 29 -21 -4.87 27.06 -4.83 42.38 4.70 -30.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.86R 0.00 Hyde_United 34 9 -58 -17.60 0.45 -19.09 16.94 3.78 -74.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10