Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 26 February 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 23 February 2014, Liverpool 4 3 Swansea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 27 60 +28 7.44 85.10 3.65 82.52 4.16 39.45 37.24 70.36 88.81 99.16 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 27 59 +25 6.89 83.07 1.09 78.96 4.32 32.62 12.64 32.89 66.59 95.14 99.88 0.00 0.00 Man_City 26 57 +42 0.33 50.48 6.39 82.55 4.12 58.16 43.15 74.82 91.18 99.26 99.99 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 27 56 +35 2.58 63.27 7.20 77.03 4.34 44.75 6.94 21.66 50.77 90.81 99.64 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 27 50 +3 7.53 84.26 -4.55 67.96 4.30 7.23 0.02 0.19 1.68 8.64 78.73 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 27 45 +12 -5.64 21.82 -9.35 65.67 4.37 20.77 0.00 0.02 0.42 3.55 62.86 0.00 0.00 Everton 26 45 +10 3.55 68.77 1.85 65.37 4.60 15.73 0.00 0.05 0.55 3.44 56.54 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 27 40 -5 6.51 81.17 1.87 53.78 4.29 -7.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.00 0.00 Southampton 27 39 +6 2.56 63.83 7.93 53.68 4.32 4.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.38 0.00 0.00 West_Ham 27 31 -3 -3.54 32.09 1.46 43.18 4.15 -8.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 1.88R 0.06 Hull 27 30 -2 0.16 51.81 9.28 41.74 4.21 -6.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.11R 0.17 Swansea 27 28 -4 -5.79 21.79 2.11 42.97 4.34 -4.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.77R 0.15 Aston_Villa 27 28 -10 -2.40 37.79 1.01 40.88 4.17 -14.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 7.29R 0.55 Norwich 27 28 -19 -0.47 48.32 -4.73 38.56 4.05 -26.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.75R 2.28 Stoke 27 27 -15 -1.99 39.94 -2.24 40.34 4.28 -17.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.02R 0.94 Crystal_Palace 26 26 -18 2.99 68.57 2.77 35.77 4.09 -28.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.80R 10.26 West_Brom 27 25 -8 -8.86 11.23 -2.00 38.56 4.27 -11.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 17.62R 2.58 Sunderland 26 24 -16 -5.13 23.90 -5.76 36.53 4.17 -23.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.08R 6.78 Cardiff 27 22 -29 -1.38 43.67 -5.63 31.63 3.96 -37.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 82.29R 46.08 Fulham 27 21 -32 -5.37 22.25 -12.37 33.12 4.18 -37.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.39R 30.15Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 22 February 2014, Barnsley 1 0 Millwall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 32 71 +27 13.90 95.48 6.83 95.88 4.99 35.69 87.00 97.29 100.00 98.09P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 32 63 +24 9.92 88.24 10.23 85.48 5.15 28.82 8.08 50.59 98.84 62.79P 0.00 0.00 Derby 32 61 +20 10.87 89.83 10.45 83.64 5.14 25.26 3.58 32.82 97.25 46.64P 0.00 0.00 QPR 31 56 +12 5.94 76.37 1.05 80.07 5.24 17.23 1.02 11.12 88.65 32.13P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 32 55 +18 4.81 71.37 8.45 77.56 5.08 23.04 0.26 5.77 80.87 23.22P 0.00 0.00 Reading 32 50 +13 -2.93 36.37 -0.68 73.49 5.16 19.70 0.04 1.37 53.03 16.28P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 31 49 +8 -0.79 46.26 -2.73 72.33 5.32 12.26 0.03 0.87 39.91 11.34P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 31 46 +6 -1.33 43.46 -1.29 68.86 5.20 9.44 0.00 0.10 17.58 4.52P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 31 46 +3 1.71 58.70 0.24 67.43 5.31 4.48 0.00 0.07 11.16 2.29P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 32 45 +6 1.32 56.78 6.22 64.09 5.06 5.96 0.00 0.01 3.74 0.73P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 31 43 +4 0.22 51.52 3.63 64.18 5.30 4.87 0.00 0.01 4.40 0.85P 0.00R 0.00 Watford 32 42 +5 -6.50 22.31 -1.92 63.90 5.13 9.08 0.00 0.01 3.70 0.93P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 32 40 +5 -4.65 29.10 3.73 59.88 5.06 6.11 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.14P 0.04R 0.00 Huddersfield 32 40 -4 0.91 54.96 3.21 57.35 5.01 -6.90 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 0.24R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 31 36 +0 -4.25 30.40 3.00 55.40 5.24 -1.58 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 0.83R 0.03 Birmingham 32 36 -2 -8.94 14.05 -3.58 55.26 5.13 -1.83 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 0.82R 0.03 Bournemouth 31 36 -14 2.91 64.95 1.46 53.19 5.28 -19.15 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 3.57R 0.22 Blackpool 32 35 -15 -5.15 26.84 -9.68 52.43 4.89 -17.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 3.18R 0.18 Bolton 32 33 -12 -9.66 12.05 -10.00 52.36 5.12 -11.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 3.75R 0.21 Doncaster 32 30 -20 -2.32 39.64 -3.12 43.55 4.78 -28.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.23R 10.20 Millwall 32 28 -29 -5.06 26.62 -12.40 42.24 4.72 -36.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.94R 17.45 Charlton 29 27 -14 -8.35 13.85 -8.07 48.35 5.53 -16.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.51R 2.38 Barnsley 31 26 -21 -6.70 19.70 -5.85 40.28 4.91 -30.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.17R 29.79 Yeovil 31 25 -20 -4.01 31.21 0.85 39.10 4.83 -30.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.71R 39.49League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2014, Colchester 0 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 33 67 +34 10.06 87.90 16.35 89.17 4.89 40.53 12.57 43.41 99.97 61.17P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 31 67 +34 5.41 74.36 5.57 96.13 5.17 46.91 66.54 89.68 100.00 94.12P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 31 66 +23 13.12 94.44 7.50 91.48 5.35 30.28 20.34 61.33 99.97 73.00P 0.00 0.00 Preston 33 61 +13 11.19 90.22 6.24 81.49 4.94 16.91 0.40 3.64 96.28 24.37P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 32 58 +15 12.33 91.85 12.77 76.86 5.21 14.15 0.06 0.83 81.68 13.31P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 31 52 +10 0.45 51.79 -3.68 77.88 5.40 18.54 0.09 1.11 86.64 25.96P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 32 47 +6 1.28 56.35 3.19 67.72 5.16 8.28 0.00 0.00 14.88 3.15P 0.00R 0.00 Swindon 33 46 +6 -7.00 21.01 -5.53 66.36 5.03 9.72 0.00 0.00 10.13 2.67P 0.01R 0.00 MK_Dons 33 46 +3 -5.37 26.73 -6.11 64.83 5.03 4.46 0.00 0.00 5.92 1.41P 0.02R 0.00 Port_Vale 32 43 -5 3.61 66.55 2.45 59.27 5.12 -10.12 0.00 0.00 0.69 0.09P 1.59R 0.04 Bradford 32 41 +5 1.24 56.49 10.97 57.98 5.08 1.63 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.09P 2.24R 0.06 Sheff_Utd 31 38 -5 -7.90 17.03 -10.03 59.01 5.31 -4.18 0.00 0.00 0.66 0.15P 2.02R 0.08 Gillingham 33 38 -13 0.47 53.25 -0.67 52.56 4.81 -18.40 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 20.49R 1.74 Coventry 31 37 +3 1.05 55.10 -1.86 59.32 5.46 5.40 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.22P 1.83R 0.10 Oldham 33 37 -9 -1.34 44.41 1.21 52.63 4.85 -12.05 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 18.82R 1.58 Carlisle 32 36 -17 0.18 51.72 -3.62 50.81 4.90 -24.28 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 33.61R 4.79 Colchester 30 35 -3 -2.05 40.78 3.07 54.64 5.43 -6.61 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 11.70R 1.15 Crawley_Town 27 35 -4 1.10 56.12 0.91 59.70 6.11 -6.01 0.00 0.00 1.54 0.27P 3.26R 0.27 Tranmere 32 35 -17 -3.21 35.63 -8.31 53.02 5.13 -18.82 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 19.63R 2.19 Crewe 33 34 -25 0.52 53.62 -5.42 47.00 4.66 -32.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.59R 18.06 Bristol_City 33 32 -8 -12.99 7.07 -6.93 50.72 5.09 -6.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.73R 4.74 Shrewsbury 32 31 -12 -6.12 23.07 -2.29 47.74 4.99 -15.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.23R 13.32 Notts_County 33 30 -13 -12.37 6.98 -8.16 47.43 4.99 -13.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.59R 13.80 Stevenage 31 28 -21 -5.69 24.01 -7.61 44.31 5.12 -27.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.62R 38.09 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2014, Cheltenham 1 4 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 33 61 +25 3.21 64.23 6.88 84.26 4.90 32.88 53.73 93.57 99.97 95.81P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 33 59 +19 1.69 57.18 1.31 81.94 4.96 26.41 28.89 85.32 99.81 90.29P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 32 57 +14 7.25 79.77 5.35 79.19 5.24 18.42 12.86 66.61 98.80 75.18P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 33 55 +18 2.85 62.98 7.91 74.34 4.89 20.25 2.98 28.61 94.12 47.67P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 33 53 +3 7.46 80.95 2.27 70.30 4.87 2.42 0.35 6.87 73.46 20.30P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 32 52 +9 6.28 76.78 6.17 71.59 5.19 9.60 0.95 12.85 81.98 27.93P 0.00 0.00 Southend 33 49 +9 -2.16 40.23 0.32 68.96 4.88 12.10 0.22 5.26 68.69 23.96P 0.00 0.00 Plymouth 32 45 -3 4.06 69.42 0.22 62.40 5.00 -5.05 0.01 0.25 16.43 3.25P 0.28R 0.04 Newport_County 30 42 +1 7.45 82.00 10.64 60.95 5.57 -3.40 0.00 0.27 13.49 2.35P 1.18R 0.31 Hartlepool 33 42 -2 -4.99 28.63 -4.96 60.91 4.95 -0.22 0.00 0.08 11.03 3.08P 0.62R 0.12 AFC_Wimbledon 33 41 -5 2.22 61.26 4.02 56.96 4.82 -7.49 0.00 0.00 2.38 0.38P 4.25R 1.10 York 33 40 +1 -1.68 42.74 5.26 56.75 4.85 -0.34 0.00 0.00 2.45 0.50P 4.09R 1.15 Dag_&_Red 32 40 -2 -1.12 45.25 1.67 58.69 5.11 -2.57 0.00 0.03 5.74 1.20P 2.44R 0.67 Morecambe 32 40 -6 -0.64 47.77 -1.68 57.59 5.06 -8.12 0.00 0.02 3.45 0.75P 3.97R 1.06 Bury 31 39 +1 -6.47 22.50 -3.47 60.93 5.48 3.04 0.00 0.21 14.71 4.22P 1.10R 0.29 Exeter 33 39 -5 -5.65 25.90 -4.41 56.72 4.90 -5.07 0.00 0.00 2.25 0.48P 4.77R 1.35 Cheltenham 32 39 -7 -3.66 33.68 -5.58 57.05 5.12 -8.50 0.00 0.01 2.88 0.67P 5.01R 1.55 Portsmouth 33 39 -11 -8.31 17.51 -14.21 57.28 5.00 -10.35 0.00 0.01 2.78 0.78P 4.53R 1.27 Bristol_Rovers 32 38 -2 -3.34 34.97 1.05 56.65 5.09 -2.52 0.00 0.01 2.94 0.67P 5.31R 1.59 Mansfield 33 38 -13 2.03 60.38 0.50 53.26 4.88 -16.65 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.05P 19.54R 7.78 Wycombe 32 37 -4 -5.08 27.86 -1.91 55.17 5.09 -5.29 0.00 0.01 1.51 0.36P 8.87R 3.01 Accrington_Stanley 32 37 -7 -1.56 43.43 0.27 53.88 5.00 -10.15 0.00 0.00 0.77 0.12P 14.38R 4.83 Northampton 32 32 -16 -6.21 22.79 -8.42 49.04 5.05 -18.90 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 50.58R 26.54 Torquay 32 30 -17 -8.26 15.93 -9.21 46.61 5.02 -20.50 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 69.09R 47.34Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 25 February 2014, Braintree_Town 1 0 Cambridge_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 32 72 +55 6.74 80.56 19.05 101.40 4.60 72.50 99.50 100.00 99.74P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 31 58 +25 7.10 81.35 12.58 83.08 5.12 32.05 0.46 95.81 29.12P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 34 57 +11 0.41 51.66 -4.26 76.85 4.61 16.16 0.00 70.54 20.51P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 33 57 +0 14.83 95.83 5.67 75.95 4.83 1.29 0.01 59.71 7.43P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 33 53 +0 10.83 89.47 5.36 67.78 4.74 -4.97 0.00 7.62 0.98P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 34 53 -4 10.79 89.86 2.82 67.52 4.48 -7.00 0.00 6.19 0.78P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 34 51 +7 2.41 61.54 4.23 67.68 4.54 7.30 0.00 7.65 1.43P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 32 50 +4 -1.90 40.94 -8.78 71.45 5.04 7.40 0.00 27.08 6.92P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 29 49 +13 -0.14 49.02 -1.01 77.26 5.60 21.06 0.03 71.12 21.52P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 34 48 +10 0.04 50.46 8.82 64.98 4.76 10.62 0.00 3.55 0.69P 0.00R 0.00 Macclesfield 31 47 +6 1.14 55.81 1.04 67.02 5.34 4.96 0.00 9.07 1.75P 0.00R 0.00 Welling 32 46 +6 2.90 63.59 7.50 64.35 5.06 4.55 0.00 2.99 0.48P 0.02R 0.00 Forest_Green 30 44 +14 -4.10 30.59 2.70 68.50 5.53 17.70 0.00 16.09 4.09P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 33 43 +0 -9.21 13.39 -10.95 63.64 4.90 4.21 0.00 1.84 0.51P 0.04R 0.00 Lincoln_City 34 43 -4 -1.52 43.38 -0.18 57.28 4.54 -7.41 0.00 0.04 0.00P 0.82R 0.00 Braintree_Town 27 42 +9 4.43 72.24 8.14 69.46 5.98 10.96 0.00 20.64 4.01P 0.01R 0.00 Woking 34 42 -11 0.71 53.99 -1.48 54.69 4.38 -17.89 0.00 0.00 0.00P 3.90R 0.00 Hereford 33 39 -11 -5.96 24.27 -10.06 56.01 4.68 -12.04 0.00 0.01 0.00P 2.17R 0.00 Chester 33 35 -17 1.15 56.59 1.03 49.70 4.53 -22.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.34R 0.00 Southport 33 34 -20 -2.36 39.15 -4.83 49.00 4.73 -24.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.61R 0.00 Aldershot 32 33 +5 -8.91 14.79 -7.60 57.82 4.95 13.97 0.00 0.05 0.01P 1.24R 0.00 Dartford 34 33 -19 -6.38 22.66 -6.33 47.41 4.52 -22.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.40R 0.00 Tamworth 32 29 -21 -4.73 27.72 -4.65 42.32 4.68 -30.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.45R 0.00 Hyde_United 34 9 -58 -17.40 0.49 -18.80 16.84 3.75 -74.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10