Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 15 February 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 February 2014, Arsenal 0 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Chelsea 26 57 +27 6.41 81.58 3.48 81.31 4.38 39.06 31.99 65.63 85.63 97.35 99.96 0.00 0.00
Arsenal 26 56 +22 6.75 82.80 0.68 78.18 4.52 30.93 12.61 32.78 63.89 90.22 99.66 0.00 0.00
Man_City 25 54 +41 -0.42 45.99 6.64 82.22 4.24 59.64 47.60 76.95 91.59 98.64 99.98 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 26 53 +34 1.67 58.57 7.58 76.36 4.51 45.26 7.55 22.89 50.82 84.62 99.19 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 26 50 +4 8.74 88.31 -3.89 69.82 4.60 9.01 0.23 1.43 6.21 19.57 86.48 0.00 0.00
Everton 25 45 +11 4.26 72.41 1.86 66.28 4.80 16.04 0.03 0.28 1.43 6.63 61.82 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 26 42 +10 -6.24 18.88 -9.72 64.65 4.53 19.69 0.00 0.04 0.43 2.95 49.67 0.00 0.00
Southampton 26 39 +8 3.30 67.73 8.88 55.09 4.58 6.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 2.73 0.00 0.00
Newcastle 26 37 -6 5.48 77.98 1.93 52.37 4.50 -8.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.00R 0.00
Swansea 26 28 -3 -5.10 24.30 1.77 43.50 4.49 -4.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.37R 0.14
West_Ham 26 28 -5 -4.48 26.75 0.50 41.44 4.39 -10.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.89R 0.48
Aston_Villa 26 28 -9 -1.74 41.08 1.06 42.11 4.37 -13.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.92R 0.48
Hull 26 27 -6 -0.13 50.21 7.24 39.46 4.39 -11.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.51R 2.04
Stoke 26 27 -14 -1.42 42.59 -2.74 40.66 4.37 -18.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.72R 1.26
Crystal_Palace 25 26 -16 3.33 70.60 3.25 36.50 4.30 -27.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.47R 9.63
Norwich 26 25 -20 -2.00 39.40 -5.28 36.37 4.24 -28.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.38R 9.54
West_Brom 26 24 -8 -8.17 12.82 -1.41 39.61 4.50 -10.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.00R 2.57
Sunderland 25 24 -13 -4.95 24.36 -4.96 37.13 4.29 -21.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.93R 6.57
Cardiff 26 22 -25 -1.21 44.24 -4.07 33.46 4.23 -32.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.24R 29.61
Fulham 26 20 -32 -5.34 22.03 -12.78 32.96 4.38 -38.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.57R 37.68
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 February 2014, Birmingham 1 2 Huddersfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Leicester 30 67 +24 13.80 96.10 5.67 94.88 5.37 33.09 82.11 94.58 99.98 96.06P 0.00 0.00
Burnley 31 60 +22 9.34 87.47 9.69 83.85 5.36 26.83 6.74 36.45 97.00 51.39P 0.00 0.00
QPR 29 56 +15 7.76 83.97 2.81 83.93 5.62 21.79 6.64 34.26 96.04 51.86P 0.00 0.00
Derby 30 55 +18 8.52 84.84 9.78 81.20 5.53 24.65 2.77 19.76 91.92 35.41P 0.00 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 30 54 +20 5.79 76.13 9.32 79.24 5.47 24.99 1.58 12.51 86.52 30.44P 0.00 0.00
Reading 30 47 +12 -2.59 37.95 -0.75 73.36 5.54 18.94 0.11 1.70 51.09 15.65P 0.00 0.00
Brighton 30 46 +7 -0.11 49.57 -0.54 70.49 5.40 10.83 0.02 0.32 26.56 6.76P 0.00 0.00
Ipswich 31 45 +9 1.36 56.88 7.16 65.29 5.22 8.65 0.00 0.03 6.33 1.28P 0.01R 0.00
Wigan 29 43 +5 -2.99 35.74 -4.09 69.39 5.68 9.87 0.02 0.29 22.23 6.09P 0.00 0.00
Blackburn 30 43 +2 0.22 51.31 -0.55 65.08 5.49 2.40 0.00 0.03 5.80 1.18P 0.00R 0.00
Leeds_United 30 42 +4 0.46 52.74 3.45 64.20 5.47 4.34 0.00 0.02 4.85 0.91P 0.01R 0.00
Watford 30 41 +7 -5.31 25.96 -0.95 66.35 5.55 12.17 0.00 0.05 9.92 2.61P 0.00 0.00
Huddersfield 31 40 -2 1.80 59.37 4.37 59.24 5.27 -4.14 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.10P 0.10R 0.00
Middlesbrough 31 39 +5 -4.02 31.53 4.09 60.41 5.30 6.38 0.00 0.00 1.07 0.25P 0.06R 0.00
Bournemouth 30 36 -13 3.42 67.60 1.08 53.87 5.42 -19.49 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 2.89R 0.13
Blackpool 31 35 -14 -4.13 31.32 -9.19 54.08 5.15 -16.18 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 1.88R 0.05
Sheff_Wed 29 33 -1 -4.45 28.60 2.16 54.81 5.64 -3.10 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 1.62R 0.04
Birmingham 31 33 -3 -10.18 10.58 -4.03 53.27 5.34 -3.30 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 2.49R 0.10
Bolton 31 30 -14 -10.39 10.12 -10.64 50.45 5.37 -14.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.51R 0.68
Doncaster 31 30 -19 -1.27 44.63 -2.43 44.87 4.99 -27.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.93R 5.96
Millwall 31 28 -28 -4.24 29.98 -12.13 43.43 4.92 -36.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.40R 10.05
Charlton 28 24 -15 -9.79 9.41 -8.69 46.29 5.70 -18.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.71R 4.41
Barnsley 29 23 -20 -7.65 15.69 -5.85 39.65 5.33 -30.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.44R 30.26
Yeovil 29 21 -21 -5.30 24.28 0.28 37.53 5.30 -31.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.96R 48.32
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 February 2014, Bristol_City 2 2 Tranmere; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Brentford 30 66 +26 13.42 95.29 8.90 93.30 5.54 33.98 39.88 79.06 99.96 85.33P 0.00 0.00
Wolverhampton 30 64 +31 4.95 72.72 4.39 94.06 5.43 43.21 51.02 84.52 99.98 90.68P 0.00 0.00
Leyton_Orient 31 61 +30 8.67 84.88 15.13 86.57 5.36 37.54 8.05 29.51 99.39 50.22P 0.00 0.00
Preston 30 56 +12 11.00 91.18 6.22 80.76 5.55 16.17 0.78 4.77 91.00 23.67P 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 30 54 +14 11.40 90.84 12.31 75.09 5.68 12.37 0.10 0.78 63.86 10.57P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 30 49 +9 -0.70 46.46 -4.10 76.82 5.66 18.42 0.17 1.30 76.90 23.41P 0.00 0.00
Walsall 31 47 +7 2.56 62.30 4.01 69.65 5.35 10.09 0.00 0.03 25.18 5.19P 0.00 0.00
Swindon 31 45 +8 -5.96 23.68 -4.68 68.87 5.43 12.87 0.00 0.02 22.35 6.27P 0.01R 0.00
Port_Vale 30 43 -2 5.27 73.82 3.80 63.09 5.63 -5.44 0.00 0.00 4.15 0.63P 0.30R 0.00
MK_Dons 30 42 +3 -5.10 26.95 -5.84 65.48 5.69 5.19 0.00 0.00 9.44 2.39P 0.09R 0.00
Gillingham 31 38 -11 2.38 61.90 0.33 55.33 5.28 -16.44 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 8.48R 0.42
Coventry 29 37 +6 3.23 65.14 0.15 63.46 5.89 10.74 0.00 0.00 5.93 1.34P 0.42R 0.01
Bradford 30 35 +3 -1.19 45.02 10.44 54.26 5.49 -1.17 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 10.55R 0.78
Colchester 28 35 -1 -0.08 50.24 4.00 57.71 5.89 -4.13 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.12P 4.44R 0.27
Oldham 31 34 -9 -1.73 42.28 1.08 52.57 5.31 -11.83 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 18.56R 1.78
Carlisle 30 33 -17 -0.36 49.42 -4.03 49.63 5.26 -25.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.69R 6.63
Bristol_City 32 32 -5 -12.89 6.97 -5.94 52.24 5.31 -3.53 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.01P 18.35R 2.18
Tranmere 31 32 -19 -4.42 30.10 -9.58 50.97 5.33 -21.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 29.62R 4.17
Crawley_Town 25 31 -5 -0.06 50.53 0.11 57.02 6.46 -9.14 0.00 0.00 0.85 0.13P 8.02R 0.75
Crewe 31 31 -26 0.05 51.27 -6.54 45.76 5.08 -35.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.69R 23.47
Notts_County 32 30 -12 -11.41 8.49 -7.87 49.31 5.24 -11.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.49R 6.37
Sheff_Utd 28 29 -10 -10.84 8.12 -12.17 53.57 5.95 -9.99 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 16.27R 1.78
Shrewsbury 31 28 -13 -7.60 17.14 -3.10 45.62 5.17 -17.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.93R 20.59
Stevenage 28 25 -19 -5.63 23.18 -7.02 44.73 5.73 -26.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.12R 30.81
Adjustments:
Coventry -10
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 February 2014, Burton_Albion 1 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Chesterfield 31 58 +23 4.14 68.93 6.60 84.13 5.31 31.01 50.28 87.15 99.83 91.30P 0.00 0.00
Scunthorpe 31 55 +15 2.72 62.29 0.74 81.07 5.42 22.97 22.71 69.34 98.97 78.83P 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 31 54 +19 4.52 70.46 8.90 76.80 5.29 22.31 7.53 38.99 95.14 54.54P 0.00 0.00
Rochdale 30 53 +13 6.32 77.31 4.81 78.18 5.72 17.74 10.89 46.83 95.89 59.08P 0.00 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 30 52 +14 7.18 80.87 8.55 75.89 5.61 16.89 5.60 31.33 91.94 45.51P 0.00 0.00
Burton_Albion 30 51 +5 8.75 85.71 3.11 72.57 5.54 4.61 1.66 12.95 76.79 25.40P 0.00 0.00
Southend 30 47 +10 0.06 50.24 1.50 71.87 5.56 14.29 1.29 12.20 76.54 30.63P 0.00R 0.00
Hartlepool 31 41 +0 -3.96 32.18 -3.89 62.85 5.37 2.07 0.01 0.27 14.91 3.99P 0.18R 0.03
Dag_&_Red 31 40 -1 0.03 50.83 2.34 60.40 5.36 -1.09 0.00 0.06 6.70 1.35P 0.76R 0.18
Newport_County 27 39 +2 8.15 85.87 11.00 61.90 6.22 -2.53 0.04 0.65 13.95 2.69P 0.83R 0.13
York 32 39 +1 -1.30 44.28 5.35 56.92 5.06 -0.60 0.00 0.00 1.87 0.36P 2.34R 0.52
Plymouth 30 39 -8 2.16 61.51 -2.94 57.72 5.35 -11.89 0.00 0.02 2.62 0.47P 2.51R 0.54
Exeter 30 38 -3 -3.25 35.01 -3.31 60.80 5.62 -1.71 0.00 0.12 8.52 2.03P 0.84R 0.20
AFC_Wimbledon 31 38 -5 1.93 60.24 4.02 56.44 5.26 -7.90 0.00 0.00 1.55 0.23P 3.88R 1.05
Morecambe 30 38 -6 -0.31 49.11 -2.20 57.98 5.47 -8.62 0.00 0.01 3.13 0.61P 2.62R 0.66
Cheltenham 30 36 -5 -5.03 27.11 -5.15 56.70 5.53 -6.58 0.00 0.02 2.09 0.46P 4.08R 1.06
Portsmouth 31 36 -8 -9.89 12.69 -13.14 57.60 5.43 -6.53 0.00 0.01 2.59 0.79P 2.72R 0.70
Mansfield 31 35 -11 0.90 55.42 1.16 52.81 5.36 -14.90 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.05P 15.78R 5.61
Bristol_Rovers 30 34 -4 -4.32 30.16 -0.43 54.54 5.49 -5.76 0.00 0.00 0.92 0.20P 8.39R 2.73
Accrington_Stanley 29 33 -7 -1.84 41.51 -0.05 53.35 5.60 -11.24 0.00 0.00 0.65 0.13P 13.37R 4.80
Bury 28 32 -3 -7.63 17.28 -5.01 57.85 6.14 -1.21 0.00 0.04 4.87 1.29P 3.89R 1.15
Wycombe 30 31 -6 -8.14 15.79 -3.50 51.06 5.47 -8.54 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.05P 22.34R 8.87
Torquay 30 29 -16 -6.78 19.77 -8.50 48.44 5.47 -19.45 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 44.10R 20.76
Northampton 30 26 -19 -8.50 14.06 -9.97 44.69 5.41 -23.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.36R 51.02
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 15 February 2014, Barnet 1 0 Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Luton 30 66 +45 6.96 82.00 15.40 98.09 5.17 61.75 94.24 100.00 96.70P 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 29 57 +26 8.82 87.44 13.52 85.57 5.54 34.22 4.71 97.93 32.98P 0.00 0.00
Alfreton_Town 32 56 +0 15.19 96.56 5.76 76.59 5.05 1.79 0.08 65.28 8.09P 0.00 0.00
Nuneaton 33 53 +1 10.35 89.38 4.88 69.12 4.69 -1.63 0.00 12.64 1.69P 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 32 50 +9 3.31 65.58 4.85 69.11 5.01 8.78 0.00 15.74 2.79P 0.00 0.00
Salisbury 32 50 -1 9.61 87.18 4.96 65.92 4.97 -6.30 0.00 4.82 0.58P 0.00R 0.00
Grimsby 27 49 +15 2.06 60.48 0.14 80.37 5.96 23.63 0.94 85.14 28.34P 0.00 0.00
Halifax 34 48 +10 0.12 50.78 8.83 65.09 4.74 10.79 0.00 3.77 0.70P 0.01R 0.00
Barnet 31 48 +8 -3.76 32.33 -6.13 71.11 5.29 11.91 0.01 28.01 7.96P 0.00 0.00
Kidderminster 30 46 +2 -1.83 41.02 -8.70 71.41 5.45 7.31 0.01 28.92 6.91P 0.00 0.00
Macclesfield 29 44 +6 0.61 52.92 0.50 66.28 5.73 4.24 0.00 8.88 1.79P 0.01R 0.00
Wrexham 30 42 +6 -8.45 14.21 -8.79 66.54 5.43 9.84 0.00 8.50 2.40P 0.00R 0.00
Welling 30 42 +4 2.59 62.87 7.05 62.93 5.57 2.24 0.00 2.74 0.44P 0.11R 0.00
Lincoln_City 33 42 -4 -1.01 45.68 -0.09 58.46 4.73 -6.26 0.00 0.13 0.03P 0.37R 0.00
Forest_Green 27 40 +13 -3.31 32.90 2.88 69.29 6.07 17.76 0.01 22.28 5.68P 0.01R 0.00
Woking 31 39 -6 -0.11 50.07 0.05 55.27 5.05 -13.55 0.00 0.02 0.01P 3.17R 0.00
Hereford 31 39 -8 -4.03 31.37 -8.36 59.11 5.14 -8.48 0.00 0.21 0.04P 0.45R 0.00
Braintree_Town 25 38 +8 3.20 67.13 7.21 67.29 6.40 8.62 0.01 14.05 2.57P 0.03R 0.00
Chester 31 31 -18 0.09 52.08 0.01 47.11 4.95 -25.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.55R 0.00
Southport 31 31 -19 -3.11 35.08 -4.85 47.60 5.08 -25.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.01R 0.00
Aldershot 29 30 +5 -7.11 19.02 -6.53 60.60 5.64 16.55 0.00 0.94 0.31P 0.54R 0.00
Tamworth 29 28 -19 -1.96 40.70 -3.68 46.32 5.37 -27.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.89R 0.00
Dartford 31 26 -25 -7.18 17.55 -9.14 43.90 5.17 -29.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.84R 0.00
Hyde_United 33 8 -58 -17.45 0.34 -19.79 16.71 4.00 -75.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00
Adjustments:
Aldershot -10
