Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 12 February 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 12 February 2014, Arsenal 0 0 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 26 57 +27 6.28 81.55 3.28 81.40 4.37 39.22 32.19 65.69 85.92 97.24 99.96 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 26 56 +22 6.63 82.24 0.47 78.24 4.50 31.03 12.66 32.92 64.05 90.79 99.67 0.00 0.00 Man_City 25 54 +41 -0.33 46.60 6.83 82.24 4.25 59.66 47.34 76.48 91.62 98.70 99.99 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 26 53 +34 1.57 57.95 7.39 76.37 4.56 45.24 7.56 23.15 50.28 84.32 99.25 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 26 50 +4 8.82 88.55 -3.81 69.82 4.57 8.96 0.20 1.44 6.21 19.61 86.63 0.00 0.00 Everton 25 45 +11 4.49 73.55 2.20 66.15 4.80 15.84 0.05 0.28 1.47 6.17 61.17 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 26 42 +10 -6.32 18.57 -9.86 64.73 4.54 19.83 0.00 0.04 0.45 3.14 50.24 0.00 0.00 Southampton 26 39 +8 3.31 67.83 8.96 55.03 4.57 6.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.52 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 26 37 -6 5.33 77.45 1.72 52.49 4.52 -8.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 26 28 -3 -5.04 24.67 1.81 43.49 4.50 -4.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 2.44R 0.16 West_Ham 26 28 -5 -4.54 26.52 0.44 41.43 4.38 -10.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 6.06R 0.55 Aston_Villa 26 28 -9 -1.60 41.92 1.25 42.07 4.38 -13.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.08R 0.48 Hull 26 27 -6 -0.07 51.04 7.41 39.45 4.39 -11.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 13.53R 1.94 Stoke 26 27 -14 -1.39 42.89 -2.67 40.63 4.37 -18.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.85R 1.21 Crystal_Palace 25 26 -16 3.28 70.37 3.12 36.48 4.29 -27.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.63R 9.69 Norwich 26 25 -20 -1.99 39.45 -5.31 36.41 4.26 -28.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.58R 9.51 West_Brom 26 24 -8 -8.13 12.84 -1.35 39.58 4.50 -10.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.09R 2.49 Sunderland 25 24 -13 -5.04 24.24 -5.10 37.19 4.34 -21.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.40R 6.39 Cardiff 26 22 -25 -1.20 44.19 -4.01 33.45 4.25 -32.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.49R 29.82 Fulham 26 20 -32 -5.33 21.98 -12.79 32.93 4.37 -38.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.86R 37.76Championship (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 February 2014, Bolton 0 1 Burnley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 30 67 +24 13.99 95.96 5.88 94.79 5.39 32.96 80.51 93.90 99.99 95.60P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 30 59 +22 10.00 89.76 10.12 84.53 5.55 27.25 8.54 39.96 97.24 53.84P 0.00 0.00 QPR 29 56 +15 7.60 83.15 2.60 83.99 5.64 21.92 6.74 33.17 96.01 51.28P 0.00 0.00 Derby 30 55 +18 8.34 84.53 9.56 81.16 5.55 24.61 2.57 18.79 91.47 34.69P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 30 54 +20 5.82 76.46 9.34 79.23 5.48 24.93 1.51 11.81 86.06 29.34P 0.00 0.00 Reading 30 47 +12 -2.67 37.06 -0.89 73.36 5.55 18.92 0.09 1.62 50.56 15.57P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 30 46 +7 -0.14 49.40 -0.57 70.57 5.42 10.97 0.02 0.31 27.19 7.26P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 30 44 +9 1.88 59.53 7.41 66.11 5.48 9.27 0.00 0.06 8.92 1.75P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 29 43 +5 -2.94 35.94 -4.01 69.34 5.69 9.79 0.01 0.30 21.58 6.03P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 30 43 +2 0.14 50.82 -0.65 65.19 5.47 2.57 0.00 0.02 5.99 1.29P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 30 42 +4 0.43 52.56 3.45 64.22 5.48 4.32 0.00 0.01 4.69 0.85P 0.01R 0.00 Middlesbrough 30 39 +6 -3.20 34.92 4.34 61.52 5.52 6.95 0.00 0.00 2.12 0.46P 0.04R 0.00 Watford 29 38 +6 -6.58 20.54 -1.43 65.18 5.78 11.84 0.00 0.04 7.68 1.95P 0.02R 0.00 Huddersfield 30 37 -3 0.42 52.92 3.77 56.88 5.44 -6.26 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.03P 0.63R 0.01 Bournemouth 29 35 -13 3.58 68.75 0.84 53.90 5.63 -20.04 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 3.50R 0.15 Blackpool 30 34 -14 -3.93 31.56 -9.32 54.05 5.29 -16.84 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 2.52R 0.08 Sheff_Wed 29 33 -1 -4.45 28.77 2.24 54.74 5.66 -3.14 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 1.83R 0.06 Birmingham 30 33 -2 -8.87 13.22 -3.15 55.27 5.52 -1.38 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 1.35R 0.03 Bolton 30 29 -14 -10.11 10.27 -10.80 50.99 5.57 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.51R 0.73 Doncaster 30 29 -19 -1.04 45.84 -2.74 45.55 5.26 -27.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 36.14R 5.36 Millwall 30 27 -28 -3.75 31.73 -11.87 43.63 5.18 -36.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.52R 10.30 Charlton 28 24 -15 -9.87 9.47 -8.80 46.43 5.74 -18.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.29R 4.43 Barnsley 28 22 -20 -7.33 15.84 -5.95 39.73 5.49 -30.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.30R 30.32 Yeovil 29 21 -21 -5.11 25.03 0.63 37.43 5.25 -32.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.33R 48.53League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 February 2014, Carlisle 1 0 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brentford 29 63 +24 12.94 95.03 8.55 91.99 5.74 32.46 36.82 72.45 99.90 80.62P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 29 61 +29 4.37 70.22 3.96 92.96 5.65 42.01 48.69 79.63 99.95 87.61P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 30 60 +30 9.01 86.31 15.10 86.96 5.57 37.57 12.37 36.94 99.32 54.99P 0.00 0.00 Preston 29 55 +12 11.29 92.00 6.17 81.12 5.78 16.17 1.61 7.56 91.18 25.50P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 29 51 +13 10.39 89.03 12.29 73.89 5.94 12.01 0.10 0.82 55.26 9.30P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 29 48 +9 0.06 50.25 -3.49 77.52 5.87 18.97 0.39 2.44 78.86 24.07P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 30 46 +7 2.80 63.51 3.81 69.61 5.56 9.46 0.00 0.08 25.69 5.45P 0.00R 0.00 Swindon 30 44 +8 -5.44 25.52 -4.53 69.91 5.60 13.89 0.01 0.08 29.27 8.02P 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 29 42 -2 5.39 74.46 3.53 63.47 5.85 -5.47 0.00 0.00 5.03 0.79P 0.45R 0.01 MK_Dons 29 39 +2 -6.15 22.46 -6.03 64.26 5.89 4.80 0.00 0.00 7.17 1.74P 0.28R 0.01 Gillingham 31 38 -11 2.43 62.29 0.36 55.28 5.28 -16.51 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 9.96R 0.73 Coventry 29 37 +6 2.99 64.26 -0.26 63.63 5.86 11.03 0.00 0.00 6.32 1.51P 0.40R 0.02 Bradford 30 35 +3 -1.04 45.97 10.71 54.19 5.54 -1.35 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 12.39R 1.06 Colchester 27 34 -1 0.19 51.61 3.96 57.24 6.03 -5.45 0.00 0.00 0.72 0.15P 6.64R 0.56 Oldham 30 34 -8 -1.11 45.42 1.02 53.65 5.50 -11.27 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 16.24R 1.56 Carlisle 30 33 -17 -0.27 49.70 -3.90 49.58 5.32 -26.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.78R 8.52 Bristol_City 31 31 -5 -12.37 7.23 -5.76 53.07 5.51 -2.84 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 17.58R 2.28 Crawley_Town 25 31 -5 -0.13 50.02 0.07 57.14 6.43 -8.99 0.00 0.00 0.86 0.14P 8.41R 0.86 Tranmere 30 31 -19 -4.13 30.91 -9.78 50.84 5.47 -22.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 33.97R 5.83 Crewe 30 31 -24 0.55 53.90 -6.06 46.71 5.27 -34.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.69R 21.40 Notts_County 31 30 -10 -10.98 9.26 -7.33 50.17 5.34 -10.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 34.87R 5.99 Sheff_Utd 28 29 -10 -10.84 8.19 -12.11 53.60 5.96 -9.96 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 17.85R 2.40 Shrewsbury 30 27 -13 -7.28 17.89 -3.07 46.08 5.41 -17.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.11R 22.01 Stevenage 27 25 -18 -5.03 25.44 -7.21 45.99 5.93 -25.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.38R 26.77 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 February 2014, Bristol_Rovers 1 0 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 30 55 +21 3.42 65.99 5.96 82.99 5.53 29.72 48.72 84.58 99.50 89.54P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 30 52 +14 1.61 57.60 0.59 79.66 5.62 22.23 21.07 64.98 97.75 75.60P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 30 51 +16 4.26 70.08 7.82 75.24 5.49 19.43 6.94 33.65 90.72 49.05P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 29 50 +12 5.22 73.89 4.61 76.83 5.90 17.15 10.50 42.96 92.97 55.71P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 29 50 +5 9.12 87.10 3.11 73.15 5.71 4.93 3.21 18.83 78.96 30.95P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 29 49 +12 6.46 78.63 7.88 74.25 5.82 14.88 5.06 26.81 85.62 40.13P 0.00 0.00 Southend 29 47 +11 1.29 56.48 2.34 73.95 5.72 16.26 4.27 25.55 85.27 43.01P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 26 39 +5 8.15 86.02 11.89 63.71 6.42 1.16 0.21 1.81 22.24 5.10P 0.48R 0.09 Dag_&_Red 30 39 -1 0.26 51.81 2.17 60.46 5.54 -1.48 0.00 0.13 7.78 1.67P 1.09R 0.25 Plymouth 29 39 -4 2.44 63.21 -0.52 59.97 5.58 -6.59 0.00 0.15 6.29 1.26P 1.22R 0.25 Hartlepool 30 38 -3 -4.39 30.01 -5.26 61.04 5.59 -1.12 0.00 0.17 9.18 2.50P 0.82R 0.22 AFC_Wimbledon 30 38 -4 2.62 63.42 4.04 57.40 5.43 -7.51 0.00 0.03 2.54 0.45P 3.60R 1.04 Morecambe 29 38 -5 0.49 53.02 -2.10 59.03 5.68 -8.06 0.00 0.13 4.95 1.08P 2.21R 0.65 York 31 36 -3 -1.89 41.48 2.80 54.55 5.22 -5.56 0.00 0.01 0.75 0.14P 8.24R 2.55 Cheltenham 30 36 -5 -4.88 27.77 -5.02 56.72 5.52 -6.55 0.00 0.02 2.04 0.50P 4.68R 1.42 Exeter 29 35 -4 -4.46 29.27 -3.79 58.48 5.74 -3.61 0.00 0.08 4.47 1.08P 2.77R 0.83 Mansfield 30 35 -8 1.06 56.07 2.30 54.07 5.52 -12.01 0.00 0.01 0.61 0.10P 12.62R 4.63 Bristol_Rovers 30 34 -4 -4.23 30.26 -0.48 54.45 5.45 -5.84 0.00 0.01 0.96 0.22P 9.61R 3.29 Accrington_Stanley 28 33 -6 -0.93 45.88 0.16 54.37 5.83 -10.67 0.00 0.02 1.04 0.16P 12.33R 4.71 Portsmouth 30 33 -9 -10.69 10.19 -12.98 56.14 5.63 -7.26 0.00 0.02 1.74 0.50P 6.23R 2.13 Bury 28 32 -3 -7.49 17.66 -4.82 57.67 6.12 -1.47 0.00 0.05 4.36 1.20P 4.68R 1.64 Wycombe 30 31 -6 -8.18 15.29 -3.59 51.03 5.46 -8.55 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.05P 24.75R 11.01 Torquay 29 29 -14 -6.23 21.54 -7.82 49.36 5.66 -18.03 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 40.17R 20.46 Northampton 29 26 -17 -8.03 14.75 -9.30 45.99 5.63 -21.46 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 64.50R 44.83Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 11 February 2014, Cambridge_Utd 0 1 Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 29 63 +38 7.87 85.00 12.94 96.41 5.41 54.33 89.94 99.99 93.70P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 29 57 +26 8.79 86.98 13.44 85.69 5.56 34.40 8.13 97.40 35.33P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 32 56 +0 15.26 96.40 5.79 76.52 5.05 1.79 0.18 60.62 7.62P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 31 50 +11 4.26 70.00 6.04 71.53 5.24 12.42 0.02 26.67 5.17P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 31 50 +1 10.33 89.07 5.74 67.44 5.26 -3.98 0.00 7.80 1.00P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 32 50 +0 9.34 87.23 4.85 68.56 4.91 -0.94 0.00 9.66 1.45P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 27 49 +15 2.04 60.38 0.07 80.27 5.99 23.51 1.64 82.26 27.64P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 33 48 +11 1.13 55.42 9.08 66.79 5.02 12.32 0.00 6.84 1.27P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 29 46 +4 -1.01 44.65 -7.63 73.02 5.72 9.72 0.06 36.96 9.30P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 30 45 +7 -4.55 28.69 -5.95 70.21 5.51 12.00 0.00 20.83 5.80P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 29 44 +6 0.66 53.26 0.57 66.27 5.72 4.18 0.00 7.47 1.48P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 30 42 +6 -8.53 14.28 -8.90 66.49 5.45 9.79 0.00 7.22 2.05P 0.00 0.00 Welling 30 42 +4 2.53 62.53 6.82 62.89 5.56 2.23 0.00 2.09 0.34P 0.05R 0.00 Forest_Green 27 40 +13 -3.24 33.26 2.90 69.36 6.10 17.92 0.02 20.24 5.02P 0.00 0.00 Hereford 30 39 -1 -5.40 25.25 -5.83 60.75 5.33 -1.04 0.00 0.64 0.15P 0.14R 0.00 Lincoln_City 32 39 -6 -1.81 41.99 -0.87 56.53 4.96 -8.76 0.00 0.04 0.00P 1.02R 0.00 Braintree_Town 25 38 +8 3.09 66.70 7.06 67.22 6.40 8.59 0.00 12.50 2.44P 0.01R 0.00 Woking 30 36 -8 -1.30 44.05 -1.18 52.55 5.15 -17.35 0.00 0.01 0.00 6.75R 0.00 Aldershot 29 30 +5 -7.08 18.91 -6.46 60.61 5.64 16.63 0.00 0.75 0.24P 0.32R 0.00 Tamworth 28 28 -18 -1.37 43.61 -3.81 46.93 5.54 -27.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.92R 0.00 Chester 30 28 -19 -0.99 46.17 -0.05 45.15 5.21 -26.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.74R 0.00 Southport 30 28 -21 -4.10 30.15 -6.09 45.91 5.28 -27.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 44.48R 0.00 Dartford 31 26 -25 -7.12 17.63 -9.17 43.93 5.16 -29.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.57R 0.00 Hyde_United 32 8 -57 -16.53 0.44 -19.36 17.07 4.13 -76.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 100.00 Adjustments: Aldershot -10