Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 7 February 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 3 February 2014, Man_City 0 1 Chelsea; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 24 55 +26 7.37 86.68 2.61 80.57 4.95 35.92 21.15 49.29 82.18 95.63 99.82 0.00 0.00 Man_City 24 53 +41 0.52 51.69 7.10 83.72 4.41 61.82 52.14 81.19 95.74 99.35 99.99 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 24 53 +24 6.75 84.36 2.91 81.40 4.81 38.23 24.47 58.83 87.01 97.15 99.90 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 24 47 +29 0.46 51.91 6.43 73.67 4.98 40.92 2.09 9.48 27.79 70.76 96.39 0.00 0.00 Everton 24 45 +12 5.26 77.45 2.29 67.57 5.02 16.92 0.08 0.66 3.31 15.32 71.96 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 24 44 -1 7.00 83.96 -6.43 66.11 5.07 3.26 0.04 0.27 1.90 9.80 58.05 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 24 40 +10 -5.29 21.98 -9.34 66.55 4.89 21.84 0.04 0.29 2.07 11.86 67.76 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 24 37 +1 5.75 79.67 4.78 55.05 4.94 -1.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 3.22 0.00 0.00 Southampton 24 35 +7 2.77 65.94 8.96 54.31 5.02 6.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 2.90 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 24 27 -7 -0.34 48.99 2.65 44.52 4.89 -10.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.31R 0.20 Stoke 24 25 -14 -0.97 45.35 -3.18 40.82 4.82 -19.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.32R 1.48 Swansea 24 24 -6 -5.34 22.09 0.37 42.33 4.94 -7.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.40R 0.70 Hull 24 24 -7 -0.47 48.30 6.55 38.39 4.82 -13.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.66R 4.03 Sunderland 24 24 -11 -3.93 29.09 -3.51 39.15 4.57 -18.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.36R 2.56 Norwich 24 24 -18 -1.56 41.62 -5.17 36.94 4.63 -28.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.05R 7.95 West_Brom 24 23 -6 -7.14 15.09 -0.65 41.40 4.94 -8.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 8.45R 1.43 Crystal_Palace 24 23 -18 2.08 64.50 1.76 34.28 4.46 -29.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 57.16R 20.65 West_Ham 24 22 -9 -6.58 16.59 -1.70 37.89 4.78 -14.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.40R 4.71 Cardiff 24 21 -22 -0.64 47.45 -2.51 34.95 4.70 -30.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.85R 17.58 Fulham 24 19 -31 -4.59 24.61 -13.93 32.62 4.64 -41.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.07R 38.71Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 2 February 2014, Nott'm_Forest 3 1 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 29 66 +24 14.52 97.04 6.16 95.79 5.57 33.90 84.32 96.06 99.99 97.18P 0.00 0.00 QPR 28 56 +16 8.73 86.91 3.22 85.39 5.84 22.97 9.25 48.49 97.47 62.46P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 28 53 +19 8.06 85.36 9.05 81.76 5.97 25.07 3.63 25.18 92.18 41.73P 0.00 0.00 Derby 29 52 +17 6.99 80.72 8.99 79.47 5.74 23.52 1.42 14.59 86.50 30.25P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 28 50 +17 5.62 76.51 7.91 77.63 5.90 21.44 0.95 9.23 78.19 25.41P 0.00 0.00 Reading 29 47 +14 -1.75 41.41 0.30 75.98 5.76 22.86 0.40 5.56 70.88 24.96P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 29 43 +9 2.48 62.49 7.71 66.66 5.66 9.58 0.00 0.10 12.14 2.30P 0.00R 0.00 Blackburn 29 42 +2 0.27 51.74 -1.02 65.18 5.68 1.97 0.00 0.04 7.33 1.52P 0.01R 0.00 Brighton 28 40 +5 -2.31 38.19 -1.03 68.26 5.80 10.30 0.01 0.22 18.43 4.76P 0.00R 0.00 Wigan 27 40 +3 -2.22 38.94 -4.62 68.64 6.13 7.16 0.02 0.45 20.58 5.63P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds_United 28 39 +4 -0.01 50.40 3.24 63.82 5.88 4.16 0.00 0.04 5.69 1.20P 0.04R 0.00 Middlesbrough 29 38 +6 -2.87 36.42 4.28 62.31 5.75 7.51 0.00 0.01 3.54 0.79P 0.07R 0.00 Watford 27 34 +5 -7.42 16.59 -1.79 63.57 6.14 10.26 0.00 0.02 6.10 1.63P 0.06R 0.00 Huddersfield 28 34 -1 -0.78 46.49 4.45 56.88 5.88 -3.89 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.08P 1.42R 0.06 Bournemouth 28 34 -13 3.69 69.17 0.44 53.51 5.77 -21.30 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 6.05R 0.37 Blackpool 29 33 -14 -3.71 32.55 -9.43 54.42 5.53 -16.88 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 3.52R 0.18 Sheff_Wed 27 30 +0 -5.25 24.37 2.46 54.00 6.04 -2.96 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.05P 4.51R 0.31 Birmingham 28 30 -3 -9.28 11.21 -4.20 54.20 5.98 -3.66 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 4.30R 0.21 Doncaster 29 29 -18 -0.38 49.07 -2.45 46.27 5.40 -27.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.97R 6.18 Bolton 28 28 -13 -8.33 13.89 -9.62 53.53 6.01 -11.79 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 6.22R 0.55 Millwall 28 26 -26 -3.01 35.12 -11.43 44.66 5.56 -35.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 52.01R 12.05 Charlton 27 24 -13 -9.04 10.97 -7.49 48.30 5.99 -15.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.78R 3.45 Barnsley 27 21 -20 -7.19 15.59 -6.30 40.00 5.71 -31.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.82R 35.79 Yeovil 27 20 -20 -3.76 30.82 1.17 39.32 5.74 -30.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.22R 40.84League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 February 2014, Bristol_City 1 2 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brentford 29 63 +24 12.86 94.84 8.51 91.93 5.78 32.33 29.46 61.80 99.91 73.41P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 29 61 +29 4.27 69.98 3.82 92.94 5.64 42.08 39.83 72.14 99.94 83.52P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 28 60 +33 11.19 92.39 17.19 91.26 6.00 43.01 29.75 60.60 99.86 72.54P 0.00 0.00 Preston 28 52 +11 10.03 89.98 5.69 79.56 5.99 15.28 0.75 3.75 85.95 21.04P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 29 51 +13 10.18 88.80 11.88 74.20 5.92 12.47 0.06 0.55 57.69 9.56P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 29 46 +10 3.21 65.61 5.42 71.64 5.77 13.40 0.01 0.14 41.26 8.87P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 28 45 +8 -1.50 42.64 -4.40 75.40 6.09 17.16 0.13 0.99 67.43 19.41P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 29 41 +7 -6.43 20.99 -4.55 68.37 5.88 13.00 0.00 0.02 22.60 6.31P 0.03R 0.00 Port_Vale 27 39 -3 5.64 76.79 3.25 62.87 6.26 -7.08 0.00 0.00 5.47 0.85P 0.87R 0.04 Coventry 28 37 +9 3.54 66.89 1.34 65.60 6.07 14.98 0.00 0.00 12.39 3.00P 0.20R 0.01 MK_Dons 28 36 -1 -6.83 19.58 -7.59 61.86 6.05 0.64 0.00 0.00 3.85 0.87P 0.92R 0.05 Gillingham 30 35 -12 0.96 55.69 -0.37 53.40 5.48 -17.95 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 16.97R 1.68 Bradford 28 34 +4 0.42 52.95 11.10 56.50 5.94 0.58 0.00 0.00 0.61 0.09P 6.35R 0.51 Colchester 26 34 +1 0.65 53.88 4.61 58.86 6.26 -3.13 0.00 0.00 1.78 0.31P 3.70R 0.28 Oldham 29 33 -8 -0.68 47.25 1.11 54.04 5.74 -11.25 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 14.40R 1.40 Crawley_Town 25 31 -5 -0.10 50.02 0.14 57.16 6.48 -8.96 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.18P 7.83R 0.88 Tranmere 29 31 -18 -3.19 34.92 -9.44 52.17 5.70 -21.28 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 23.94R 3.45 Carlisle 28 30 -17 -0.37 49.02 -3.60 49.46 5.77 -25.92 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 41.82R 9.26 Crewe 29 30 -24 0.72 55.09 -6.53 46.70 5.47 -34.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.68R 20.32 Bristol_City 29 27 -7 -12.95 5.66 -6.74 50.78 5.90 -6.54 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 29.17R 5.67 Shrewsbury 29 27 -11 -6.67 19.73 -2.07 47.27 5.57 -15.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.40R 15.22 Notts_County 30 27 -13 -11.50 7.62 -8.60 47.95 5.56 -14.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.25R 12.11 Sheff_Utd 27 26 -12 -11.74 5.90 -13.06 52.03 6.15 -11.89 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 24.48R 4.10 Stevenage 27 25 -18 -4.98 25.47 -7.11 45.90 5.93 -25.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.00R 25.01 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 February 2014, Bury 1 1 Oxford_Utd; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 29 54 +21 3.63 67.46 5.68 83.21 5.74 29.53 47.57 83.93 99.49 89.06P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 29 51 +14 1.82 58.37 0.34 80.24 5.79 22.52 23.68 67.11 97.84 77.34P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 29 50 +16 4.66 71.98 7.84 75.79 5.71 19.69 7.62 36.89 91.22 51.78P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 28 48 +12 6.84 80.32 7.81 74.68 6.04 14.95 5.81 29.10 85.88 42.20P 0.00 0.00 Southend 28 47 +12 2.42 62.01 2.99 75.99 5.95 18.18 7.74 37.64 90.64 53.42P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 28 47 +9 4.72 72.33 3.27 74.83 6.15 13.64 5.76 30.02 85.70 44.10P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 28 47 +4 7.78 83.78 2.60 71.22 5.95 3.51 1.62 12.03 66.32 22.93P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 26 39 +5 8.17 86.08 11.95 63.76 6.47 1.22 0.15 1.88 22.86 5.26P 0.47R 0.11 Dag_&_Red 29 39 +1 1.11 56.01 3.41 62.21 5.76 1.05 0.01 0.46 14.17 3.11P 0.55R 0.12 AFC_Wimbledon 29 38 -1 2.89 65.28 5.47 59.10 5.67 -4.07 0.01 0.11 5.55 1.10P 1.99R 0.51 Morecambe 28 38 -4 1.58 58.39 -1.43 60.56 5.90 -6.85 0.01 0.29 8.74 1.96P 1.37R 0.40 Plymouth 28 36 -6 1.32 57.63 -1.78 57.87 5.75 -9.25 0.00 0.06 3.52 0.72P 3.77R 1.08 York 30 35 -3 -1.51 43.23 2.93 55.00 5.45 -5.49 0.00 0.01 1.08 0.19P 7.96R 2.51 Cheltenham 28 35 -4 -3.73 32.15 -4.67 58.58 5.98 -5.37 0.00 0.13 5.35 1.36P 3.25R 0.95 Hartlepool 29 35 -5 -5.22 26.21 -6.10 58.97 5.79 -3.74 0.00 0.08 5.36 1.41P 2.46R 0.75 Exeter 28 34 -4 -4.19 30.28 -3.87 58.96 6.02 -3.48 0.01 0.13 6.27 1.54P 2.73R 0.85 Bury 28 32 -3 -7.55 17.39 -4.88 57.53 6.11 -1.67 0.00 0.06 4.25 1.09P 4.78R 1.64 Accrington_Stanley 27 32 -6 -0.58 47.76 0.26 54.46 6.03 -11.13 0.00 0.03 1.36 0.29P 12.94R 4.98 Portsmouth 29 32 -9 -10.37 10.51 -12.99 56.51 5.90 -7.27 0.00 0.02 2.55 0.72P 6.29R 2.18 Mansfield 29 32 -9 -0.48 48.62 1.53 51.87 5.72 -13.82 0.00 0.00 0.39 0.06P 23.11R 9.93 Bristol_Rovers 28 30 -5 -5.24 25.24 -0.94 52.87 5.88 -7.33 0.00 0.01 0.66 0.15P 17.05R 7.07 Wycombe 28 29 -6 -7.34 17.50 -3.30 51.95 5.93 -8.33 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.12P 20.92R 9.19 Torquay 28 29 -13 -5.17 25.51 -7.26 51.22 5.87 -16.32 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.08P 27.92R 13.16 Northampton 27 23 -16 -8.71 11.58 -8.87 45.92 5.99 -20.16 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 62.43R 44.57Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 4 February 2014, Halifax 5 1 Salisbury; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 28 60 +37 6.71 81.44 12.64 94.75 5.63 53.28 76.89 99.97 85.74P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 28 57 +27 10.11 90.87 14.33 88.30 5.72 37.37 19.32 98.95 43.95P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 30 52 -1 13.79 95.66 4.71 74.00 5.42 -1.36 0.12 41.12 4.70P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 31 50 +11 4.35 70.68 6.26 71.43 5.24 12.30 0.01 26.43 4.64P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 32 50 +0 9.41 87.31 4.99 68.54 4.88 -0.93 0.00 9.70 1.21P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 26 48 +15 2.88 64.87 0.72 81.94 6.08 25.57 3.52 88.01 29.68P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 33 48 +11 1.30 56.35 9.34 66.74 5.02 12.24 0.00 6.91 1.12P 0.00R 0.00 Kidderminster 29 46 +4 -1.06 44.21 -7.76 73.01 5.69 9.69 0.07 37.08 8.82P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 29 46 -1 9.85 89.02 5.25 66.69 5.69 -5.42 0.00 7.55 0.99P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 30 45 +7 -4.52 28.68 -5.92 70.11 5.45 11.87 0.01 20.47 5.25P 0.00 0.00 Macclesfield 28 44 +7 1.52 58.14 0.76 67.56 5.97 5.07 0.01 11.58 2.13P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 29 42 +7 -6.99 18.48 -7.70 68.97 5.56 12.58 0.01 15.79 4.20P 0.00R 0.00 Welling 30 42 +4 2.57 62.75 6.94 62.94 5.56 2.25 0.00 2.21 0.36P 0.04R 0.00 Forest_Green 27 40 +13 -3.22 33.52 2.98 69.30 6.07 17.87 0.02 20.01 4.63P 0.00R 0.00 Hereford 30 39 -1 -5.40 25.41 -5.78 60.64 5.30 -1.22 0.00 0.61 0.15P 0.11R 0.00 Braintree_Town 25 38 +8 3.10 66.65 7.10 67.31 6.41 8.73 0.01 12.81 2.21P 0.02R 0.00 Woking 29 36 -6 -0.91 46.04 -0.67 53.76 5.40 -15.70 0.00 0.03 0.00P 4.17R 0.00 Lincoln_City 31 36 -7 -3.07 35.33 -1.38 55.08 5.19 -9.45 0.00 0.02 0.00 1.94R 0.00 Aldershot 29 30 +5 -7.04 19.10 -6.47 60.56 5.65 16.55 0.00 0.74 0.22P 0.32R 0.00 Chester 30 28 -19 -1.14 45.65 -0.31 45.25 5.19 -26.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 45.33R 0.01 Tamworth 27 27 -18 -0.64 47.53 -3.09 48.32 5.79 -25.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.23R 0.00 Southport 29 27 -21 -4.18 29.27 -6.61 45.21 5.36 -29.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.90R 0.00 Dartford 30 23 -26 -8.83 11.89 -10.27 41.20 5.29 -32.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.93R 0.06 Hyde_United 30 7 -56 -15.67 0.49 -20.06 18.00 4.54 -77.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.93 Adjustments: Aldershot -10