Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 1 February 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2014, Cardiff 2 1 Norwich; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 23 53 +42 1.98 60.97 7.80 85.82 4.61 64.28 70.26 90.50 97.88 99.69 100.00 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 23 52 +24 6.95 85.36 2.67 80.10 5.09 35.92 15.54 50.41 79.33 94.61 99.73 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 23 50 +23 5.10 77.80 1.88 79.11 5.04 36.14 11.19 41.80 74.64 93.07 99.53 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 23 46 +29 1.01 55.32 6.53 74.68 5.22 41.98 2.91 15.84 39.77 76.43 97.14 0.00 0.00 Everton 24 45 +12 5.31 77.73 2.42 67.54 5.00 16.90 0.05 0.73 3.80 15.01 72.17 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 24 44 -1 6.99 84.11 -6.43 66.11 5.02 3.23 0.02 0.34 2.16 9.62 58.16 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 24 40 +10 -5.20 22.18 -9.15 66.41 4.91 21.68 0.02 0.39 2.41 11.43 66.93 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 24 37 +1 5.67 79.61 4.62 55.09 4.91 -1.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 3.23 0.00 0.00 Southampton 24 35 +7 2.58 65.10 8.71 54.44 5.03 6.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 3.10 0.00R 0.00 Aston_Villa 24 27 -7 -0.33 48.87 2.65 44.53 4.87 -10.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 2.24R 0.19 Stoke 24 25 -14 -0.90 45.63 -2.99 40.81 4.79 -19.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 10.35R 1.52 Swansea 24 24 -6 -5.29 22.36 0.48 42.33 4.91 -7.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.40R 0.72 Hull 24 24 -7 -0.41 48.68 6.62 38.33 4.81 -14.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.86R 4.18 Sunderland 24 24 -11 -4.02 28.48 -3.55 39.23 4.61 -18.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 16.31R 2.74 Norwich 24 24 -18 -1.50 41.78 -5.03 36.90 4.63 -28.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.36R 8.14 Crystal_Palace 23 23 -16 2.38 66.29 1.99 34.53 4.60 -30.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.41R 20.21 West_Brom 23 22 -6 -6.96 15.12 -0.95 41.36 5.17 -8.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.27R 1.73 West_Ham 24 22 -9 -6.50 17.10 -1.49 37.87 4.80 -14.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.08R 5.05 Cardiff 24 21 -22 -0.84 46.44 -2.78 35.05 4.73 -30.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.20R 17.09 Fulham 24 19 -31 -4.66 24.43 -13.98 32.63 4.61 -41.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.52R 38.44Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2014, Birmingham 3 3 Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 29 66 +24 14.70 97.21 6.39 95.76 5.57 33.77 84.07 96.13 99.99 97.11P 0.00 0.00 QPR 28 56 +16 8.73 86.90 3.21 85.39 5.90 22.94 9.62 49.18 97.53 62.64P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 28 53 +19 8.02 85.15 9.03 81.83 5.95 25.16 3.73 25.35 92.28 41.90P 0.00 0.00 Derby 29 52 +17 7.02 80.85 9.06 79.52 5.75 23.62 1.41 14.92 86.58 30.54P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 27 47 +15 5.11 74.52 7.64 76.65 6.05 20.49 0.74 7.55 72.21 22.63P 0.00 0.00 Reading 29 47 +14 -1.66 41.77 0.46 75.91 5.76 22.72 0.39 5.68 70.20 24.88P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 29 43 +9 2.44 62.16 7.68 66.65 5.65 9.57 0.00 0.10 12.30 2.47P 0.01R 0.00 Blackburn 29 42 +2 0.50 52.77 -0.65 65.01 5.65 1.73 0.00 0.05 6.67 1.40P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 27 40 +7 -1.58 41.70 0.08 69.76 6.02 12.50 0.01 0.58 27.05 7.58P 0.00 0.00 Wigan 27 40 +3 -2.31 38.44 -4.74 68.72 6.13 7.28 0.02 0.41 21.08 5.76P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds_United 28 39 +4 0.09 50.74 3.37 63.64 5.89 3.91 0.00 0.03 5.57 1.13P 0.05R 0.00 Middlesbrough 29 38 +6 -2.88 36.38 4.28 62.31 5.73 7.53 0.00 0.01 3.53 0.74P 0.09R 0.00 Huddersfield 28 34 -1 -0.73 46.83 4.56 56.80 5.88 -4.01 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.08P 1.58R 0.06 Bournemouth 28 34 -13 3.62 69.09 0.33 53.55 5.84 -21.26 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 6.70R 0.53 Blackpool 29 33 -14 -3.73 32.53 -9.45 54.47 5.54 -16.83 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 3.78R 0.19 Watford 26 31 +3 -8.44 13.07 -2.84 61.83 6.38 8.06 0.00 0.02 4.08 1.06P 0.36R 0.01 Sheff_Wed 27 30 +0 -5.34 24.04 2.32 54.02 6.07 -2.97 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 4.72R 0.29 Birmingham 28 30 -3 -9.28 11.19 -4.28 54.33 5.94 -3.42 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.03P 4.10R 0.24 Doncaster 29 29 -18 -0.30 49.76 -2.36 46.19 5.38 -27.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.05R 7.07 Bolton 28 28 -13 -8.39 13.66 -9.73 53.64 6.01 -11.67 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 6.30R 0.54 Millwall 28 26 -26 -3.08 34.81 -11.52 44.71 5.50 -35.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.82R 12.55 Charlton 27 24 -13 -9.06 10.73 -7.54 48.25 5.97 -15.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.24R 3.91 Barnsley 27 21 -20 -7.14 15.96 -6.22 39.93 5.65 -31.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.82R 37.88 Yeovil 26 20 -18 -3.59 31.38 0.91 40.15 5.93 -29.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.39R 36.74League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2014, Bristol_City 2 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brentford 29 63 +24 12.94 95.06 8.61 91.99 5.77 32.42 30.07 62.77 99.91 73.94P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 29 61 +29 4.54 71.41 4.21 92.84 5.65 41.93 39.52 71.56 99.95 82.97P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 28 60 +33 11.31 92.81 17.35 91.17 5.98 42.85 29.48 60.41 99.83 72.29P 0.00 0.00 Preston 28 52 +11 10.13 90.27 5.79 79.51 5.96 15.18 0.69 3.62 86.30 21.61P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 29 51 +13 10.32 89.19 12.10 74.08 5.89 12.28 0.09 0.57 57.96 9.35P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 29 46 +10 3.06 64.95 5.25 71.70 5.75 13.48 0.02 0.15 41.90 9.29P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 28 45 +8 -1.35 43.25 -4.19 75.38 6.09 17.12 0.13 0.89 67.85 19.44P 0.00R 0.00 Swindon 29 41 +7 -6.56 20.82 -4.76 68.44 5.85 13.11 0.00 0.04 23.27 6.54P 0.02R 0.00 Port_Vale 27 39 -3 5.39 75.24 2.90 62.98 6.32 -6.87 0.00 0.00 5.97 0.91P 0.89R 0.04 MK_Dons 28 36 -1 -6.81 19.44 -7.52 61.90 6.04 0.69 0.00 0.00 4.24 0.99P 0.91R 0.03 Gillingham 29 35 -10 1.63 58.99 0.48 54.98 5.75 -15.50 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.03P 11.84R 0.95 Coventry 27 34 +8 2.14 60.73 0.75 63.81 6.33 13.69 0.00 0.00 8.71 2.00P 0.63R 0.01 Bradford 28 34 +4 0.60 53.83 11.35 56.40 5.92 0.44 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.09P 6.67R 0.46 Colchester 26 34 +1 0.69 54.05 4.64 58.99 6.31 -2.94 0.00 0.00 1.93 0.32P 3.74R 0.23 Oldham 29 33 -8 -0.74 47.07 0.94 54.07 5.74 -11.21 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 14.35R 1.26 Crawley_Town 25 31 -5 -0.22 49.67 -0.03 57.24 6.47 -8.85 0.00 0.00 0.99 0.17P 7.65R 0.66 Tranmere 29 31 -18 -3.26 34.50 -9.54 52.20 5.67 -21.26 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 24.04R 3.09 Carlisle 28 30 -17 -0.60 47.81 -3.93 49.56 5.78 -25.76 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 41.40R 7.99 Crewe 29 30 -24 0.73 54.96 -6.41 46.60 5.45 -34.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.72R 18.38 Bristol_City 28 27 -6 -11.94 6.90 -6.30 52.46 6.17 -5.11 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 21.41R 3.17 Shrewsbury 29 27 -11 -6.73 19.62 -2.21 47.33 5.58 -15.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.50R 13.07 Notts_County 30 27 -13 -11.59 7.35 -8.71 47.97 5.56 -14.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.19R 10.12 Sheff_Utd 27 26 -12 -11.59 6.18 -12.88 51.96 6.14 -11.98 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 24.82R 3.58 Stevenage 26 22 -20 -5.79 21.31 -7.89 43.76 6.11 -28.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.21R 36.95 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2014, Burton_Albion 1 1 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 29 54 +21 3.61 67.30 5.73 83.22 5.73 29.53 47.30 83.64 99.41 88.82P 0.00 0.00 Scunthorpe 29 51 +14 1.97 59.15 0.49 80.21 5.82 22.53 23.56 66.22 97.77 76.47P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 28 49 +16 5.09 74.21 7.94 76.15 5.90 19.71 8.77 38.97 91.15 53.58P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 28 48 +12 6.93 80.82 8.01 74.70 6.02 14.97 5.57 29.04 86.04 41.98P 0.00 0.00 Southend 28 47 +12 2.44 62.09 3.04 75.92 5.91 18.11 7.47 36.88 90.66 52.88P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 28 47 +9 4.71 72.10 3.29 74.81 6.14 13.60 5.41 29.69 85.56 43.59P 0.00R 0.00 Burton_Albion 28 47 +4 7.78 83.80 2.54 71.30 5.95 3.61 1.69 12.19 66.87 23.05P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 26 39 +5 8.15 86.19 11.92 63.87 6.45 1.39 0.18 1.80 23.51 5.32P 0.47R 0.11 Dag_&_Red 29 39 +1 1.12 56.05 3.45 62.16 5.79 0.96 0.02 0.51 13.62 3.26P 0.61R 0.15 AFC_Wimbledon 29 38 -1 2.99 65.33 5.61 59.04 5.69 -4.15 0.00 0.10 5.44 1.05P 2.02R 0.53 Morecambe 28 38 -4 1.60 58.64 -1.37 60.52 5.88 -6.94 0.01 0.31 8.50 1.92P 1.45R 0.39 Plymouth 28 36 -6 1.35 57.79 -1.73 57.81 5.71 -9.32 0.00 0.05 3.29 0.66P 3.65R 1.15 York 30 35 -3 -1.48 43.66 2.97 54.90 5.42 -5.61 0.00 0.01 0.96 0.17P 7.87R 2.43 Cheltenham 28 35 -4 -3.72 32.09 -4.65 58.60 5.95 -5.39 0.00 0.13 5.05 1.27P 3.22R 0.84 Hartlepool 29 35 -5 -5.14 26.85 -6.01 58.95 5.79 -3.74 0.00 0.09 5.01 1.37P 2.53R 0.68 Exeter 28 34 -4 -4.36 29.39 -4.08 59.14 5.99 -3.26 0.00 0.19 6.29 1.66P 2.52R 0.71 Accrington_Stanley 27 32 -6 -0.65 47.30 0.19 54.39 6.00 -11.20 0.00 0.00 1.29 0.24P 12.77R 5.09 Portsmouth 29 32 -9 -10.49 10.17 -13.19 56.51 5.86 -7.23 0.00 0.02 2.38 0.75P 6.02R 2.04 Mansfield 29 32 -9 -0.44 48.87 1.57 51.80 5.76 -13.88 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.05P 23.55R 10.27 Bury 27 31 -3 -7.43 17.20 -5.19 58.03 6.29 -1.48 0.00 0.14 5.38 1.58P 4.43R 1.57 Bristol_Rovers 28 30 -5 -5.29 25.15 -1.03 52.89 5.85 -7.29 0.00 0.00 0.66 0.13P 16.84R 6.94 Wycombe 28 29 -6 -7.36 17.60 -3.35 51.96 5.93 -8.35 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.12P 21.32R 9.19 Torquay 28 29 -13 -5.14 25.54 -7.19 51.20 5.89 -16.36 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.07P 28.25R 13.23 Northampton 27 23 -16 -8.77 11.64 -8.91 45.92 6.01 -20.21 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 62.48R 44.66Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 1 February 2014, Chester 1 3 Welling; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 28 60 +37 6.64 81.25 12.61 94.80 5.62 53.36 77.77 99.96 86.43P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 28 57 +27 10.40 91.60 14.75 88.09 5.70 37.03 18.37 98.87 42.24P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 30 52 -1 13.87 95.69 4.83 73.96 5.44 -1.45 0.10 40.74 4.71P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 31 50 +11 4.43 70.75 6.39 71.35 5.24 12.16 0.02 26.01 4.56P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 26 48 +15 2.80 64.16 0.66 81.86 6.13 25.45 3.58 87.83 29.74P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 31 47 -1 7.99 83.96 4.33 66.42 5.09 -2.68 0.00 5.18 0.68P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 29 46 +4 -0.94 45.28 -7.61 72.95 5.66 9.65 0.07 36.98 8.76P 0.00 0.00 Salisbury 28 46 +3 9.51 88.56 6.24 68.41 5.94 -0.77 0.02 13.54 1.80P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 32 45 +7 1.53 57.61 8.43 65.13 5.25 8.21 0.00 4.29 0.68P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 30 45 +7 -4.50 28.91 -5.94 70.15 5.49 11.92 0.01 20.89 5.61P 0.00 0.00 Wrexham 29 42 +7 -7.15 18.20 -7.95 69.05 5.62 12.64 0.01 16.88 4.54P 0.00R 0.00 Welling 30 42 +4 2.34 61.39 6.59 63.01 5.55 2.36 0.00 2.39 0.41P 0.03R 0.00 Macclesfield 27 41 +6 0.73 53.90 0.98 66.73 6.13 5.32 0.01 10.11 1.89P 0.02R 0.00 Forest_Green 27 40 +13 -3.25 33.47 2.95 69.40 6.16 18.00 0.03 21.19 5.04P 0.00 0.00 Hereford 29 39 +2 -4.89 26.94 -4.11 62.44 5.57 2.47 0.00 1.78 0.38P 0.05R 0.00 Braintree_Town 25 38 +8 3.11 67.06 7.08 67.18 6.38 8.50 0.00 12.38 2.20P 0.01R 0.00 Lincoln_City 30 36 -6 -1.63 42.59 -0.41 56.86 5.40 -7.87 0.00 0.06 0.01P 1.02R 0.00 Woking 28 33 -9 -1.59 42.46 -2.15 51.55 5.59 -19.68 0.00 0.01 0.00P 9.65R 0.00 Aldershot 29 30 +5 -7.32 17.94 -6.90 60.72 5.64 16.79 0.00 0.90 0.30P 0.25R 0.00 Chester 29 28 -18 -0.48 48.83 -0.64 45.86 5.33 -26.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.86R 0.01 Tamworth 27 27 -18 -0.60 47.79 -3.06 48.24 5.80 -25.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.41R 0.00 Southport 29 27 -21 -4.30 29.04 -6.85 45.28 5.40 -29.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 46.27R 0.00 Dartford 30 23 -26 -8.85 11.72 -10.27 41.11 5.23 -32.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.42R 0.05 Hyde_United 30 7 -56 -15.55 0.47 -19.95 17.96 4.54 -77.20 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.95 Adjustments: Aldershot -10