Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 27 January 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 January 2014, West_Brom 1 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 22 51 +24 7.49 88.16 2.83 80.96 5.26 36.72 22.45 53.45 82.06 93.78 99.53 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 50 +38 1.49 58.26 6.25 84.06 4.91 59.68 53.22 80.54 94.67 98.58 99.94 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 22 49 +23 5.93 82.26 2.34 80.78 5.21 38.54 21.75 53.12 81.79 93.89 99.51 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 43 +25 0.70 53.48 4.86 72.83 5.55 37.49 2.04 8.99 24.98 56.02 90.37 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 43 +3 7.65 87.79 -4.28 68.48 5.47 8.16 0.20 1.46 5.89 19.05 66.30 0.00 0.00 Everton 22 42 +15 4.29 74.13 4.13 68.22 5.40 21.26 0.22 1.45 5.66 19.25 66.96 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 37 +9 -4.10 26.29 -8.11 68.16 5.25 24.02 0.12 0.98 4.87 18.83 69.23 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 22 36 +4 6.73 84.46 6.54 57.94 5.39 3.20 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.57 7.10 0.00 0.00 Southampton 22 31 +4 2.08 62.90 6.91 52.29 5.46 2.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.05 0.03R 0.00 Aston_Villa 22 24 -7 -0.83 45.86 2.01 43.40 5.26 -11.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.42R 0.42 Hull 22 23 -6 0.77 56.10 6.92 39.86 5.23 -13.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.10R 2.12 Norwich 22 23 -17 -0.17 50.23 -4.52 38.62 5.12 -27.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.08R 4.16 West_Brom 22 22 -5 -5.80 18.55 -0.43 42.58 5.42 -7.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.38R 0.79 Stoke 22 22 -14 -1.59 40.82 -3.62 39.52 5.15 -21.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.26R 2.62 Swansea 22 21 -6 -5.28 21.18 0.87 42.54 5.32 -7.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.03R 0.75 Crystal_Palace 22 20 -17 0.98 57.87 1.50 32.81 4.80 -31.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.55R 27.72 Fulham 22 19 -26 -3.63 29.05 -11.88 35.42 5.16 -36.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.08R 14.40 West_Ham 22 18 -11 -7.62 11.55 -3.30 35.43 5.11 -19.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.50R 11.18 Sunderland 22 18 -15 -6.26 16.66 -6.00 35.01 4.93 -24.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.70R 13.31 Cardiff 22 18 -21 -1.68 40.31 -3.00 33.68 5.04 -31.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.86R 22.54Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2014, Blackburn 1 1 Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 27 60 +22 12.06 94.66 5.34 92.99 6.03 32.57 71.47 90.46 99.93 93.15P 0.00 0.00 QPR 26 52 +15 8.15 86.52 3.24 85.13 6.28 23.28 15.40 50.05 97.26 64.15P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 26 51 +19 8.72 88.14 9.10 82.59 6.30 25.27 9.10 33.88 94.40 49.44P 0.00 0.00 Derby 27 48 +16 6.63 80.23 9.40 78.93 6.15 23.65 2.80 15.85 86.29 31.78P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 26 44 +13 4.34 72.07 6.90 74.87 6.28 18.24 0.79 5.49 66.31 19.70P 0.00 0.00 Reading 27 41 +7 -1.92 40.28 -1.87 72.20 6.18 14.92 0.25 2.31 49.48 15.01P 0.00R 0.00 Ipswich 27 39 +8 1.62 58.77 7.26 65.32 6.08 8.43 0.01 0.14 12.80 2.57P 0.03R 0.00 Brighton 26 39 +7 -1.55 41.64 -0.37 69.94 6.21 12.29 0.11 0.97 34.45 9.83P 0.00R 0.00 Blackburn 27 38 +0 0.08 50.56 -1.48 63.96 6.07 0.09 0.01 0.06 7.86 1.68P 0.08R 0.00 Middlesbrough 27 36 +6 -1.98 40.17 4.53 63.51 6.20 8.19 0.00 0.06 8.78 1.90P 0.14R 0.00 Wigan 25 36 +2 -3.10 33.85 -5.11 67.62 6.57 6.51 0.07 0.58 22.19 6.23P 0.03R 0.00 Leeds_United 26 35 +0 0.45 52.94 1.73 62.26 6.29 -0.27 0.00 0.05 5.67 1.15P 0.29R 0.01 Huddersfield 26 34 +4 0.24 51.98 6.63 60.27 6.31 2.23 0.00 0.01 3.44 0.62P 0.70R 0.06 Blackpool 27 33 -8 -3.28 33.89 -7.15 56.98 5.99 -10.97 0.00 0.00 0.67 0.13P 2.09R 0.09 Watford 25 31 +5 -7.77 14.62 -1.97 63.05 6.57 9.87 0.00 0.09 8.61 2.30P 0.32R 0.02 Bournemouth 26 31 -13 3.36 68.53 0.34 52.78 6.23 -22.08 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.02P 11.13R 1.22 Birmingham 26 29 -2 -7.79 14.54 -3.79 56.14 6.35 -2.25 0.00 0.00 0.78 0.17P 3.36R 0.21 Bolton 26 28 -11 -6.68 18.47 -9.34 55.49 6.38 -10.93 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.11P 4.95R 0.42 Sheff_Wed 25 26 -1 -5.94 20.45 2.27 53.13 6.45 -3.39 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.06P 9.07R 1.02 Doncaster 27 25 -21 -0.69 47.37 -3.91 44.01 5.78 -31.74 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.55R 16.79 Millwall 26 25 -23 -2.40 37.45 -10.33 46.68 6.02 -31.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.24R 8.94 Charlton 25 24 -9 -7.88 13.48 -5.85 51.32 6.35 -10.83 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 14.45R 1.76 Yeovil 25 20 -17 -2.84 35.10 0.59 40.45 6.06 -30.35 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.74R 36.69 Barnsley 25 20 -19 -5.97 19.39 -6.16 41.12 6.08 -30.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.83R 32.76League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2014, Notts_County 1 5 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brentford 27 59 +22 12.66 95.26 8.09 91.51 6.15 31.60 33.43 65.67 99.78 75.56P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 26 57 +32 11.52 93.85 17.07 91.40 6.46 42.59 37.01 67.63 99.66 76.75P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 27 55 +24 3.58 67.31 2.64 90.25 6.09 37.83 28.19 59.50 99.59 74.73P 0.00 0.00 Preston 26 48 +9 9.59 89.73 4.85 78.51 6.42 13.59 1.04 4.55 79.26 19.74P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 27 45 +11 7.75 83.33 11.27 70.01 6.36 8.96 0.04 0.32 30.92 5.25P 0.01R 0.00 Walsall 28 45 +10 3.43 67.27 5.26 72.15 6.01 13.61 0.04 0.38 44.31 9.43P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 28 45 +8 -1.34 43.52 -4.14 75.36 6.11 17.07 0.20 1.51 65.72 18.63P 0.00 0.00 Swindon 27 40 +8 -4.74 27.03 -3.72 70.99 6.19 15.34 0.04 0.33 38.51 10.80P 0.01R 0.00 Port_Vale 26 39 -2 6.49 80.15 3.36 64.45 6.50 -5.62 0.00 0.02 8.76 1.33P 0.43R 0.01 MK_Dons 26 36 +3 -5.02 25.83 -5.03 66.55 6.51 7.55 0.00 0.06 16.41 4.00P 0.15R 0.00 Coventry 26 34 +10 2.69 63.32 1.30 65.11 6.50 15.55 0.00 0.04 12.29 2.95P 0.37R 0.01 Colchester 26 34 +1 0.65 53.93 4.62 58.96 6.29 -2.96 0.00 0.00 1.86 0.33P 3.02R 0.12 Bradford 26 33 +6 1.08 56.31 11.63 57.69 6.33 1.59 0.00 0.00 1.32 0.20P 4.52R 0.33 Gillingham 28 32 -11 0.53 53.73 0.16 53.20 5.92 -16.79 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 17.33R 1.66 Crawley_Town 25 31 -5 -0.18 49.81 -0.05 57.17 6.46 -8.94 0.00 0.00 0.94 0.15P 6.67R 0.44 Oldham 27 30 -6 -2.17 39.09 1.36 52.56 6.06 -11.11 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 19.34R 1.97 Tranmere 27 28 -18 -3.72 31.55 -9.84 51.27 6.10 -22.31 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 28.26R 3.75 Notts_County 29 27 -11 -11.02 8.42 -7.94 49.32 5.77 -12.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 35.89R 5.59 Carlisle 26 27 -19 -0.63 47.80 -5.47 47.82 6.10 -30.28 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 51.13R 11.69 Crewe 28 27 -27 -0.15 50.49 -8.13 44.13 5.59 -39.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.52R 29.22 Sheff_Utd 26 26 -9 -11.06 6.83 -11.08 54.44 6.40 -7.39 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.07P 13.03R 1.42 Shrewsbury 28 26 -11 -6.47 20.01 -2.34 47.30 5.78 -15.90 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 50.63R 11.18 Bristol_City 26 24 -5 -12.49 5.42 -5.85 52.61 6.57 -3.41 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.04P 20.32R 2.96 Stevenage 26 22 -20 -5.83 21.38 -8.03 43.89 6.11 -28.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.36R 29.65 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Monday 27 January 2014, Scunthorpe 0 0 Fleetwood_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Scunthorpe 28 50 +14 2.35 60.98 0.45 80.81 6.04 22.92 27.65 65.90 97.54 76.03P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 27 48 +17 2.20 61.04 4.30 80.20 6.17 25.90 25.80 63.40 96.90 74.08P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 27 48 +13 8.06 85.19 8.64 76.70 6.27 16.90 10.68 38.44 90.26 50.42P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 27 47 +10 5.80 76.71 3.82 76.92 6.40 15.70 11.30 39.54 89.80 51.96P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 27 46 +4 8.24 85.67 2.73 71.77 6.13 3.69 2.22 12.67 66.90 23.14P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 26 45 +15 4.35 71.60 7.72 75.18 6.32 19.11 8.00 31.43 85.46 45.69P 0.00 0.00 Southend 26 45 +12 3.38 67.21 3.33 77.64 6.35 19.54 14.06 45.07 92.26 59.11P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 25 38 +5 8.49 87.32 12.10 63.53 6.67 0.23 0.21 1.78 20.46 4.68P 0.51R 0.10 Morecambe 28 38 -4 1.55 58.28 -1.35 60.56 5.88 -6.92 0.01 0.27 7.58 1.67P 1.15R 0.27 Dag_&_Red 27 35 +0 -0.19 49.49 2.51 60.15 6.14 -1.24 0.01 0.29 8.02 1.95P 1.67R 0.41 AFC_Wimbledon 27 35 -1 2.38 62.97 5.15 58.09 6.05 -5.06 0.00 0.11 4.28 0.87P 3.22R 0.95 Plymouth 27 35 -6 1.78 60.17 -1.57 58.45 5.94 -8.99 0.01 0.08 4.04 0.77P 2.95R 0.78 Cheltenham 27 34 -4 -3.30 33.55 -4.54 59.37 6.13 -4.83 0.01 0.17 6.18 1.50P 2.35R 0.73 Hartlepool 27 34 -4 -4.01 30.52 -5.77 60.85 6.23 -2.52 0.02 0.34 9.75 2.72P 1.38R 0.37 York 28 32 -2 -2.52 37.84 2.94 54.08 5.83 -5.44 0.00 0.01 0.96 0.21P 10.56R 3.73 Exeter 26 32 -4 -3.72 31.81 -4.16 59.67 6.43 -3.52 0.01 0.27 7.86 2.07P 2.51R 0.75 Mansfield 28 31 -9 -0.24 50.00 1.46 52.03 5.88 -14.08 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.05P 20.93R 8.80 Bristol_Rovers 26 30 -2 -3.68 31.52 0.42 55.83 6.27 -4.04 0.00 0.04 2.40 0.56P 7.57R 2.83 Wycombe 26 29 -4 -5.55 23.59 -2.54 54.86 6.37 -6.26 0.00 0.04 1.85 0.43P 10.42R 3.98 Accrington_Stanley 26 29 -7 -2.15 39.56 -0.52 52.36 6.20 -12.90 0.00 0.01 0.64 0.13P 20.46R 8.97 Portsmouth 27 29 -9 -10.48 9.63 -12.74 56.75 6.38 -6.59 0.00 0.06 3.06 0.93P 6.62R 2.39 Bury 26 28 -4 -8.47 13.65 -5.34 56.32 6.58 -2.61 0.00 0.09 3.31 1.02P 7.57R 2.90 Torquay 27 26 -14 -6.63 19.27 -7.90 48.94 6.05 -18.35 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 40.47R 21.44 Northampton 26 22 -16 -8.66 11.62 -9.18 45.99 6.20 -20.66 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 59.68R 40.58Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2014, Aldershot 2 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 28 60 +37 6.79 81.83 12.88 94.70 5.62 53.15 71.35 99.96 82.20P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 27 57 +28 11.54 94.24 15.39 90.07 5.93 38.94 26.57 99.39 48.91P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 30 52 -1 13.77 95.57 4.71 74.01 5.42 -1.34 0.11 42.59 4.88P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 30 47 +9 3.30 65.99 5.18 69.73 5.47 10.14 0.00 18.95 3.32P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 25 45 +14 1.32 56.92 -0.09 79.57 6.37 23.44 1.69 78.74 24.52P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 31 45 +9 2.02 59.75 8.91 66.57 5.45 10.39 0.00 8.10 1.41P 0.00R 0.00 Barnet 30 45 +7 -4.51 28.82 -5.87 70.17 5.48 11.95 0.01 21.55 5.62P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 27 45 +6 -0.10 49.22 -7.00 74.74 6.05 11.74 0.21 50.39 12.53P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 29 44 -1 7.57 83.72 4.07 65.61 5.46 -3.44 0.00 5.21 0.63P 0.00R 0.00 Salisbury 27 43 +2 8.53 86.80 6.15 66.86 6.13 -1.63 0.01 9.94 1.36P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 27 41 +6 0.63 53.39 0.82 66.79 6.09 5.38 0.01 10.32 1.95P 0.02R 0.00 Forest_Green 27 40 +13 -3.31 33.05 2.86 69.44 6.16 18.11 0.01 21.91 5.17P 0.00R 0.00 Wrexham 28 39 +5 -7.66 15.88 -8.20 68.07 5.77 11.64 0.00 13.90 3.74P 0.01R 0.00 Welling 29 39 +2 1.83 59.56 6.31 60.65 5.75 -0.72 0.00 1.11 0.16P 0.28R 0.00 Braintree_Town 25 38 +8 3.24 67.75 7.27 67.13 6.39 8.45 0.02 12.64 2.24P 0.01R 0.00 Hereford 28 38 +2 -4.53 27.94 -4.14 63.26 5.79 3.17 0.00 3.06 0.67P 0.06R 0.00 Lincoln_City 29 33 -8 -2.70 36.84 -1.61 55.20 5.62 -9.89 0.00 0.06 0.01P 2.83R 0.00 Woking 28 33 -9 -1.70 41.71 -2.31 51.61 5.56 -19.58 0.00 0.01 0.00 11.02R 0.00 Aldershot 28 30 +6 -6.13 21.45 -6.19 62.35 5.86 18.14 0.00 2.15 0.68P 0.21R 0.00 Chester 28 28 -16 0.34 53.34 0.24 47.66 5.59 -23.95 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.37R 0.00 Tamworth 26 27 -16 -0.13 50.15 -2.53 48.92 5.88 -25.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.54R 0.00 Southport 29 27 -21 -4.32 28.98 -6.83 45.31 5.43 -29.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.35R 0.00 Dartford 30 23 -26 -8.72 12.12 -10.13 41.05 5.29 -32.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.29R 0.03 Hyde_United 30 7 -56 -15.51 0.51 -19.88 17.82 4.51 -77.38 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.96 Adjustments: Aldershot -10