Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 26 January 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 January 2014, West_Brom 1 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1
Arsenal 22 51 +24 7.49 88.35 2.91 80.96 5.28 36.74 22.89 53.58 82.10 93.80 99.54 0.00 0.00
Man_City 22 50 +38 1.61 58.68 6.40 84.04 4.91 59.61 52.80 80.74 94.51 98.60 99.94 0.00 0.00
Chelsea 22 49 +23 5.94 82.26 2.33 80.72 5.20 38.37 21.66 52.69 81.91 93.75 99.53 0.00 0.00
Liverpool 22 43 +25 0.76 53.84 4.96 72.87 5.51 37.55 2.07 9.03 24.86 56.41 90.60 0.00 0.00
Tottenham 22 43 +3 7.76 87.95 -4.15 68.46 5.47 8.10 0.24 1.49 5.74 18.85 66.38 0.00 0.00
Everton 22 42 +15 4.34 74.49 4.24 68.14 5.41 21.16 0.22 1.39 5.58 18.81 66.30 0.00 0.00
Man_Utd 22 37 +9 -4.29 25.20 -8.47 68.27 5.23 24.19 0.12 1.07 5.24 19.25 69.72 0.00 0.00
Newcastle 22 36 +4 6.80 84.62 6.60 57.88 5.43 3.14 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.50 6.97 0.00 0.00
Southampton 22 31 +4 2.17 63.35 7.03 52.25 5.42 2.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 1.01 0.03R 0.00
Aston_Villa 22 24 -7 -0.82 45.67 1.98 43.43 5.25 -11.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.55R 0.40
Hull 22 23 -6 0.84 56.64 6.96 39.83 5.23 -13.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.29R 2.08
Norwich 22 23 -17 -0.26 49.38 -4.72 38.59 5.12 -27.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.09R 4.10
West_Brom 22 22 -5 -5.80 18.94 -0.42 42.63 5.40 -7.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.09R 0.74
Stoke 22 22 -14 -1.82 39.45 -3.87 39.61 5.17 -20.92 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.07R 2.52
Swansea 22 21 -6 -5.28 21.00 0.89 42.59 5.36 -6.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.97R 0.73
Crystal_Palace 22 20 -17 1.05 58.56 1.63 32.75 4.78 -31.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.11R 28.14
Fulham 22 19 -26 -3.61 29.16 -11.90 35.40 5.16 -36.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.09R 14.80
West_Ham 22 18 -11 -7.66 11.73 -3.29 35.37 5.10 -19.19 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.87R 11.35
Sunderland 22 18 -15 -6.44 15.94 -6.20 35.06 4.97 -24.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.20R 12.85
Cardiff 22 18 -21 -1.62 41.11 -2.91 33.74 5.07 -31.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.63R 22.30
Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2014, Blackburn 1 1 Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1
Leicester 27 60 +22 12.27 94.98 5.65 92.85 6.03 32.37 71.36 90.30 99.90 93.01P 0.00 0.00
QPR 26 52 +15 8.46 87.28 3.62 84.95 6.28 23.04 15.10 48.86 97.12 62.94P 0.00 0.00
Burnley 26 51 +19 8.79 88.20 9.19 82.54 6.29 25.22 9.18 34.25 94.08 49.11P 0.00 0.00
Derby 27 48 +16 6.42 79.51 9.13 79.04 6.13 23.82 2.92 16.01 86.66 32.05P 0.00 0.00
Nott'm_Forest 26 44 +13 4.07 70.76 6.54 75.02 6.27 18.48 1.01 6.14 66.88 20.59P 0.00 0.00
Reading 27 41 +7 -1.87 40.56 -1.88 72.28 6.24 15.01 0.25 2.45 49.87 15.66P 0.00R 0.00
Ipswich 27 39 +8 1.49 58.04 7.07 65.39 6.09 8.53 0.01 0.13 13.13 2.64P 0.04R 0.00
Brighton 26 39 +7 -1.49 41.98 -0.33 69.92 6.22 12.27 0.11 1.06 33.97 9.76P 0.00R 0.00
Blackburn 27 38 +0 0.01 50.31 -1.58 64.03 6.07 0.14 0.01 0.07 7.90 1.63P 0.07R 0.00
Middlesbrough 27 36 +6 -2.09 39.19 4.38 63.52 6.17 8.22 0.00 0.06 8.64 1.93P 0.13R 0.00
Wigan 25 36 +2 -2.96 34.84 -4.97 67.59 6.56 6.43 0.04 0.53 21.97 6.06P 0.04R 0.00
Leeds_United 26 35 +0 0.48 53.24 1.76 62.22 6.30 -0.31 0.00 0.05 5.53 1.10P 0.28R 0.01
Huddersfield 26 34 +4 0.27 51.97 6.73 60.19 6.34 2.10 0.00 0.01 3.37 0.61P 0.68R 0.03
Blackpool 27 33 -8 -3.19 34.01 -6.96 56.95 5.94 -11.03 0.00 0.00 0.68 0.11P 1.98R 0.09
Watford 25 31 +5 -7.77 14.78 -1.92 62.98 6.56 9.76 0.00 0.09 8.45 2.38P 0.33R 0.01
Bournemouth 26 31 -13 3.39 68.70 0.34 52.79 6.28 -22.11 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.02P 11.20R 1.12
Birmingham 26 29 -2 -7.88 14.12 -3.89 56.22 6.33 -2.13 0.00 0.00 0.82 0.21P 3.11R 0.17
Bolton 26 28 -11 -6.86 17.83 -9.61 55.62 6.43 -10.73 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.10P 4.81R 0.44
Sheff_Wed 25 26 -1 -6.05 20.04 2.15 53.18 6.45 -3.30 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.06P 8.92R 1.05
Doncaster 27 25 -21 -0.65 47.94 -3.83 44.00 5.78 -31.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 59.58R 16.86
Millwall 26 25 -23 -2.32 38.16 -10.13 46.61 6.01 -32.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.74R 8.99
Charlton 25 24 -9 -7.77 13.70 -5.73 51.25 6.37 -10.91 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 14.80R 1.80
Yeovil 25 20 -17 -2.88 34.92 0.43 40.53 6.05 -30.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.54R 36.82
Barnsley 25 20 -19 -5.97 19.49 -6.18 41.14 6.11 -30.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.75R 32.60
League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2014, Notts_County 1 5 Walsall; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1
Brentford 27 59 +22 12.77 95.42 8.20 91.47 6.13 31.51 33.15 65.21 99.76 75.10P 0.00 0.00
Leyton_Orient 26 57 +32 11.42 93.75 16.88 91.54 6.39 42.80 37.65 68.23 99.70 77.64P 0.00 0.00
Wolverhampton 27 55 +24 3.47 66.94 2.50 90.28 6.14 37.84 27.87 59.44 99.58 74.60P 0.00 0.00
Preston 26 48 +9 9.64 89.88 4.99 78.42 6.39 13.43 0.95 4.44 79.01 19.48P 0.00 0.00
Rotherham 27 45 +11 7.82 83.70 11.30 69.99 6.28 8.94 0.04 0.27 30.16 4.79P 0.01R 0.00
Walsall 28 45 +10 3.42 67.07 5.22 72.19 5.98 13.64 0.05 0.36 44.59 9.86P 0.00 0.00
Peterborough 28 45 +8 -1.51 42.61 -4.42 75.44 6.10 17.23 0.26 1.62 66.30 18.72P 0.00 0.00
Swindon 27 40 +8 -4.79 27.06 -3.75 71.06 6.27 15.44 0.03 0.31 38.75 10.92P 0.01R 0.00
Port_Vale 26 39 -2 6.51 80.14 3.44 64.42 6.54 -5.69 0.00 0.03 8.84 1.32P 0.50R 0.01
MK_Dons 26 36 +3 -4.99 25.48 -5.02 66.53 6.52 7.55 0.01 0.05 16.30 3.85P 0.15R 0.00
Coventry 26 34 +10 2.76 63.59 1.42 65.07 6.51 15.47 0.00 0.03 12.29 2.90P 0.37R 0.01
Colchester 26 34 +1 0.85 55.00 4.89 58.86 6.30 -3.14 0.00 0.00 1.74 0.29P 3.21R 0.14
Bradford 26 33 +6 0.92 55.70 11.41 57.77 6.33 1.75 0.00 0.00 1.37 0.22P 4.49R 0.25
Gillingham 28 32 -11 0.59 53.93 0.19 53.17 5.95 -16.82 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 17.71R 1.76
Crawley_Town 25 31 -5 -0.18 49.79 0.03 57.19 6.45 -8.93 0.00 0.00 0.92 0.16P 6.66R 0.47
Oldham 27 30 -6 -2.05 39.81 1.48 52.66 6.04 -11.03 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 18.93R 1.90
Tranmere 27 28 -18 -3.70 31.79 -9.73 51.20 6.07 -22.43 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 28.23R 3.83
Notts_County 29 27 -11 -11.08 8.23 -8.01 49.26 5.79 -12.82 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 36.30R 5.83
Carlisle 26 27 -19 -0.56 48.14 -5.33 47.81 6.09 -30.36 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 50.57R 11.83
Crewe 28 27 -27 -0.20 50.15 -8.22 44.17 5.57 -39.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.99R 28.57
Sheff_Utd 26 26 -9 -11.05 6.71 -11.04 54.34 6.40 -7.47 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.06P 13.66R 1.47
Shrewsbury 28 26 -11 -6.58 19.52 -2.48 47.36 5.77 -15.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.18R 10.64
Bristol_City 26 24 -5 -12.57 5.23 -5.97 52.65 6.65 -3.36 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.05P 20.30R 2.96
Stevenage 26 22 -20 -5.81 21.18 -7.96 43.82 6.08 -28.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.73R 30.31
Adjustments:
Coventry -10
League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 2 1 Exeter; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1
Scunthorpe 27 49 +14 2.75 63.27 0.43 81.77 6.27 23.78 32.95 70.02 97.93 79.00P 0.00 0.00
Chesterfield 27 48 +17 2.20 61.01 4.30 80.16 6.16 25.84 23.89 62.67 96.84 73.86P 0.00 0.00
Fleetwood_Town 26 47 +13 8.23 85.83 8.31 76.69 6.46 16.29 10.62 37.62 89.26 49.17P 0.00 0.00
Rochdale 27 47 +10 5.80 77.09 3.87 76.93 6.31 15.72 9.99 38.95 89.93 51.69P 0.00 0.00
Burton_Albion 27 46 +4 8.29 85.92 2.82 71.75 6.13 3.67 1.99 12.29 66.56 22.92P 0.00 0.00
Oxford_Utd 26 45 +15 4.41 71.93 7.77 75.13 6.34 19.07 7.12 30.27 85.27 44.93P 0.00 0.00
Southend 26 45 +12 3.48 68.07 3.45 77.63 6.36 19.48 13.13 44.45 91.98 58.56P 0.00 0.00
Newport_County 25 38 +5 8.02 86.04 11.48 63.88 6.68 0.77 0.20 2.01 21.83 5.36P 0.45R 0.07
Morecambe 28 38 -4 1.52 58.22 -1.43 60.54 5.85 -6.93 0.01 0.22 7.47 1.62P 1.18R 0.31
Dag_&_Red 27 35 +0 -0.31 48.65 2.33 60.21 6.20 -1.11 0.01 0.28 8.60 1.96P 1.62R 0.45
AFC_Wimbledon 27 35 -1 2.38 63.15 5.22 58.06 6.07 -5.12 0.01 0.09 4.34 0.82P 3.20R 0.97
Plymouth 27 35 -6 1.70 59.71 -1.62 58.50 5.98 -8.91 0.00 0.07 4.15 0.88P 2.94R 0.86
Cheltenham 27 34 -4 -3.18 34.34 -4.34 59.30 6.22 -4.93 0.01 0.22 6.24 1.59P 2.54R 0.75
Hartlepool 27 34 -4 -4.03 30.49 -5.78 60.86 6.24 -2.52 0.03 0.36 9.80 2.67P 1.45R 0.41
York 28 32 -2 -2.52 37.61 2.94 54.07 5.81 -5.43 0.00 0.01 0.91 0.16P 10.48R 3.52
Exeter 26 32 -4 -3.62 32.31 -4.00 59.69 6.40 -3.54 0.02 0.28 7.78 2.05P 2.42R 0.73
Mansfield 28 31 -9 -0.13 50.54 1.60 51.99 5.90 -14.15 0.00 0.00 0.36 0.05P 21.09R 9.00
Bristol_Rovers 26 30 -2 -3.64 31.98 0.49 55.81 6.25 -4.06 0.00 0.04 2.25 0.52P 7.68R 2.76
Wycombe 26 29 -4 -5.35 24.12 -2.25 54.74 6.37 -6.46 0.00 0.02 1.72 0.38P 10.76R 4.21
Accrington_Stanley 26 29 -7 -2.20 39.03 -0.55 52.41 6.21 -12.89 0.00 0.01 0.61 0.11P 20.01R 8.77
Portsmouth 27 29 -9 -10.59 9.06 -12.91 56.78 6.31 -6.57 0.00 0.05 2.99 0.87P 6.16R 2.18
Bury 26 28 -4 -8.32 14.04 -5.12 56.21 6.53 -2.77 0.00 0.06 3.05 0.80P 7.70R 2.90
Torquay 27 26 -14 -6.71 18.73 -8.00 48.92 6.01 -18.44 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.03P 40.07R 21.16
Northampton 26 22 -16 -8.55 11.76 -9.01 45.88 6.20 -20.79 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 60.24R 40.95
Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 25 January 2014, Aldershot 2 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1
Luton 28 60 +37 6.77 81.91 12.83 94.71 5.63 53.14 71.17 99.96 82.10P 0.00 0.00
Cambridge_Utd 27 57 +28 11.60 94.33 15.46 90.05 5.92 38.89 26.76 99.43 48.74P 0.00 0.00
Alfreton_Town 30 52 -1 13.60 95.39 4.40 74.10 5.41 -1.22 0.08 42.71 4.87P 0.00 0.00
Gateshead 30 47 +9 3.38 66.40 5.29 69.75 5.46 10.23 0.01 19.01 3.40P 0.00 0.00
Grimsby 25 45 +14 1.30 56.72 -0.09 79.60 6.36 23.46 1.75 78.80 25.19P 0.00 0.00
Halifax 31 45 +9 1.98 59.64 8.91 66.56 5.48 10.37 0.00 8.17 1.35P 0.00R 0.00
Barnet 30 45 +7 -4.48 28.90 -5.80 70.16 5.50 11.94 0.00 21.54 5.51P 0.00 0.00
Kidderminster 27 45 +6 -0.18 48.77 -7.05 74.72 6.08 11.72 0.19 49.90 12.31P 0.00 0.00
Nuneaton 29 44 -1 7.47 83.60 3.95 65.64 5.49 -3.40 0.00 5.23 0.67P 0.01R 0.00
Salisbury 27 43 +2 8.33 85.95 5.84 66.99 6.17 -1.45 0.01 10.40 1.42P 0.02R 0.00
Macclesfield 27 41 +6 0.70 53.87 0.96 66.70 6.12 5.24 0.00 10.17 1.85P 0.01R 0.00
Forest_Green 27 40 +13 -3.26 33.34 2.89 69.41 6.16 18.08 0.02 21.56 5.00P 0.01R 0.00
Wrexham 28 39 +5 -7.60 16.15 -8.07 68.10 5.80 11.66 0.00 13.97 3.79P 0.01R 0.00
Welling 29 39 +2 1.96 60.36 6.50 60.60 5.76 -0.78 0.00 1.07 0.20P 0.28R 0.00
Braintree_Town 25 38 +8 3.20 67.17 7.23 67.19 6.36 8.56 0.01 12.65 2.22P 0.01R 0.00
Hereford 28 38 +2 -4.59 27.92 -4.20 63.27 5.80 3.21 0.00 3.14 0.66P 0.08R 0.00
Lincoln_City 29 33 -8 -2.49 37.97 -1.27 55.10 5.62 -10.01 0.00 0.07 0.01P 3.10R 0.00
Woking 28 33 -9 -1.64 42.11 -2.24 51.58 5.56 -19.69 0.00 0.01 0.00 11.14R 0.00
Aldershot 28 30 +6 -6.09 21.75 -6.17 62.29 5.89 18.02 0.00 2.21 0.71P 0.21R 0.00
Chester 28 28 -16 0.10 52.01 -0.16 47.79 5.62 -23.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.48R 0.00
Tamworth 26 27 -16 -0.04 50.92 -2.43 48.90 5.89 -25.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.60R 0.00
Southport 29 27 -21 -4.11 29.68 -6.48 45.12 5.38 -29.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.25R 0.00
Dartford 30 23 -26 -8.81 12.12 -10.22 41.13 5.29 -32.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.78R 0.05
Hyde_United 30 7 -56 -15.61 0.57 -20.08 17.86 4.51 -77.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.94
Adjustments:
Aldershot -10
