Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 24 January 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 20 January 2014, West_Brom 1 1 Everton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 22 51 +24 7.53 88.21 2.99 80.97 5.32 36.71 23.02 53.91 81.87 93.57 99.45 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 50 +38 1.62 58.93 6.46 84.05 4.92 59.60 53.22 80.63 94.37 98.55 99.93 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 22 49 +23 5.94 82.28 2.39 80.73 5.21 38.38 21.31 52.64 81.81 93.73 99.56 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 43 +25 0.77 54.23 5.04 72.85 5.50 37.48 1.88 8.92 25.14 56.55 90.42 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 22 43 +3 7.69 87.74 -4.21 68.47 5.45 8.16 0.25 1.44 5.77 18.75 66.09 0.00 0.00 Everton 22 42 +15 4.32 74.20 4.17 68.18 5.45 21.18 0.23 1.50 5.92 19.09 66.47 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 22 37 +9 -4.32 25.09 -8.51 68.27 5.20 24.23 0.10 0.94 5.02 19.20 69.86 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 22 36 +4 6.78 84.37 6.62 57.94 5.46 3.22 0.00 0.01 0.09 0.52 7.19 0.00 0.00 Southampton 22 31 +4 2.06 62.58 6.92 52.31 5.47 2.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.02 0.01R 0.00 Aston_Villa 22 24 -7 -0.83 45.70 2.02 43.38 5.25 -11.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.57R 0.36 Hull 22 23 -6 0.69 55.72 6.77 39.88 5.22 -13.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.10R 2.15 Norwich 22 23 -17 -0.24 49.59 -4.65 38.59 5.10 -27.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.38R 4.12 West_Brom 22 22 -5 -5.69 19.23 -0.33 42.59 5.37 -7.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 5.05R 0.81 Stoke 22 22 -14 -1.67 40.57 -3.70 39.54 5.20 -21.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.61R 2.68 Swansea 22 21 -6 -5.26 21.45 0.88 42.61 5.32 -6.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 4.94R 0.78 Crystal_Palace 22 20 -17 0.96 57.96 1.50 32.75 4.78 -31.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.82R 28.21 Fulham 22 19 -26 -3.57 29.24 -11.79 35.37 5.15 -36.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.05R 14.53 West_Ham 22 18 -11 -7.73 11.48 -3.48 35.44 5.10 -19.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.20R 10.84 Sunderland 22 18 -15 -6.32 16.45 -6.06 35.00 4.99 -24.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.01R 13.47 Cardiff 22 18 -21 -1.67 40.84 -3.05 33.73 5.06 -31.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 54.25R 22.05Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 January 2014, Barnsley 2 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 26 57 +20 11.49 94.11 4.97 91.57 6.26 30.91 64.74 85.70 99.72 89.69P 0.00 0.00 QPR 26 52 +15 8.27 86.88 3.41 84.98 6.25 23.10 17.72 49.05 96.91 62.69P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 26 51 +19 8.86 88.32 9.29 82.52 6.31 25.17 10.83 34.21 93.60 48.70P 0.00 0.00 Derby 26 47 +16 6.81 81.50 9.12 79.28 6.37 23.59 4.35 18.12 85.23 33.22P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 26 44 +13 4.18 71.12 6.70 74.98 6.27 18.42 1.18 6.02 65.10 19.91P 0.00 0.00 Reading 26 41 +9 -1.21 43.68 -0.94 74.14 6.42 17.79 0.90 4.81 60.02 20.35P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 26 39 +7 -1.57 41.74 -0.40 69.98 6.20 12.33 0.15 1.02 32.61 9.31P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 26 37 +0 0.45 52.62 -1.48 64.50 6.31 0.28 0.01 0.13 9.03 1.83P 0.07R 0.00 Middlesbrough 26 36 +8 -1.60 41.71 5.03 64.68 6.34 9.79 0.02 0.18 11.32 2.61P 0.05R 0.00 Ipswich 26 36 +6 0.60 53.55 6.15 63.18 6.30 5.65 0.00 0.05 7.19 1.45P 0.12R 0.00 Wigan 25 36 +2 -3.17 33.79 -5.22 67.68 6.53 6.59 0.08 0.57 20.96 6.03P 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 26 35 +0 0.47 52.93 1.79 62.16 6.30 -0.39 0.00 0.03 4.92 0.94P 0.34R 0.01 Huddersfield 26 34 +4 0.32 52.27 6.80 60.16 6.26 2.06 0.00 0.01 2.76 0.51P 0.66R 0.02 Blackpool 26 32 -8 -2.62 36.80 -6.67 58.08 6.14 -9.87 0.00 0.00 1.03 0.21P 1.52R 0.08 Watford 25 31 +5 -7.73 14.45 -1.89 63.11 6.54 9.95 0.01 0.08 7.93 2.17P 0.28R 0.01 Bournemouth 26 31 -13 3.31 68.50 0.20 52.89 6.24 -21.91 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.03P 10.60R 1.12 Birmingham 26 29 -2 -7.73 14.57 -3.70 56.13 6.37 -2.27 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.15P 3.22R 0.19 Bolton 26 28 -11 -6.97 17.31 -9.76 55.76 6.41 -10.52 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.12P 4.43R 0.32 Sheff_Wed 25 26 -1 -5.88 20.54 2.36 53.13 6.46 -3.39 0.00 0.00 0.26 0.05P 8.69R 0.95 Millwall 26 25 -23 -2.31 38.33 -10.18 46.48 6.02 -32.17 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 42.10R 9.07 Charlton 25 24 -9 -7.80 13.67 -5.71 51.21 6.35 -11.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 14.49R 1.88 Doncaster 26 24 -21 -0.67 47.67 -4.32 43.68 5.98 -32.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.12R 18.31 Yeovil 25 20 -17 -2.87 35.29 0.55 40.47 6.06 -30.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.50R 36.11 Barnsley 25 20 -19 -5.87 19.91 -6.09 41.06 6.10 -30.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.80R 31.95League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 24 January 2014, Brentford 2 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brentford 27 59 +22 12.96 95.59 8.51 91.32 6.16 31.30 34.77 66.99 99.75 76.25P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 26 57 +32 11.48 93.84 16.97 91.51 6.43 42.73 40.53 70.36 99.73 78.61P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 26 52 +22 3.07 65.33 2.39 88.86 6.30 36.09 22.74 52.46 99.22 69.95P 0.00 0.00 Preston 26 48 +9 9.55 89.67 4.80 78.49 6.40 13.51 1.11 5.18 80.48 20.29P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 27 45 +9 -0.14 49.33 -3.32 77.41 6.29 19.00 0.72 3.89 77.35 24.47P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 26 44 +11 8.28 85.57 11.40 70.72 6.55 9.52 0.09 0.56 36.55 5.90P 0.01R 0.00 Walsall 27 42 +6 3.23 66.53 3.27 69.49 6.19 8.19 0.01 0.17 28.97 5.83P 0.01R 0.00 Port_Vale 26 39 -2 6.64 80.49 3.56 64.27 6.47 -5.85 0.00 0.02 8.75 1.22P 0.51R 0.01 Swindon 26 37 +6 -5.51 23.49 -4.40 69.76 6.42 13.89 0.03 0.27 32.76 8.98P 0.02R 0.00 MK_Dons 26 36 +3 -5.16 25.10 -5.26 66.76 6.46 7.86 0.01 0.07 17.78 4.40P 0.16R 0.00 Coventry 26 34 +10 2.72 63.41 1.36 65.14 6.53 15.60 0.00 0.04 13.12 3.13P 0.34R 0.01 Colchester 26 34 +1 0.69 54.04 4.68 58.95 6.31 -2.98 0.00 0.00 1.87 0.32P 3.35R 0.15 Bradford 26 33 +6 1.10 56.23 11.63 57.69 6.38 1.64 0.00 0.00 1.52 0.27P 5.15R 0.29 Gillingham 28 32 -11 0.53 53.58 0.09 53.22 5.94 -16.70 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 18.09R 1.89 Crawley_Town 24 30 -5 0.10 51.32 -0.25 57.22 6.64 -9.38 0.00 0.00 1.17 0.18P 7.55R 0.58 Notts_County 28 27 -7 -10.95 8.07 -6.06 51.46 6.02 -7.46 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 24.46R 3.21 Oldham 26 27 -7 -3.58 31.61 0.26 50.18 6.23 -13.05 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 33.36R 5.58 Carlisle 26 27 -19 -0.54 48.39 -5.39 47.84 6.11 -30.22 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 51.49R 12.54 Crewe 27 27 -26 0.77 55.73 -7.74 45.27 5.77 -38.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 69.05R 23.86 Sheff_Utd 26 26 -9 -11.08 6.77 -11.09 54.34 6.33 -7.48 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.06P 13.64R 1.65 Shrewsbury 27 26 -9 -6.00 21.04 -1.78 48.34 5.92 -14.33 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 44.35R 9.03 Tranmere 26 25 -19 -4.83 25.83 -10.00 49.87 6.29 -23.05 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 37.58R 7.32 Bristol_City 25 24 -3 -12.19 5.32 -5.52 53.76 6.73 -1.75 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.10P 16.76R 2.36 Stevenage 26 22 -20 -5.87 21.18 -8.11 43.89 6.10 -28.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.12R 31.50 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 January 2014, Chesterfield 2 2 Rochdale; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Scunthorpe 26 48 +14 3.39 66.80 0.95 82.44 6.50 24.13 39.60 74.97 97.84 82.15P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 27 47 +10 5.78 76.92 3.81 76.87 6.35 15.62 10.61 41.29 89.26 53.25P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 26 46 +6 9.05 88.28 3.86 73.63 6.34 6.47 4.37 21.96 75.54 32.95P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 26 45 +15 1.46 57.53 3.65 78.46 6.44 23.69 18.17 53.88 93.53 66.94P 0.00 0.00 Southend 26 45 +12 3.38 67.34 3.32 77.58 6.36 19.42 13.70 46.53 91.52 59.86P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 25 44 +11 7.15 83.05 7.11 74.45 6.62 13.44 6.74 27.75 80.16 39.47P 0.00R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 25 42 +14 3.12 66.27 7.26 73.99 6.55 18.74 6.12 27.24 79.58 41.49P 0.00 0.00 Newport_County 24 38 +7 8.88 88.61 12.58 65.36 6.91 3.00 0.55 3.74 29.11 7.88P 0.37R 0.08 Morecambe 27 37 -4 1.84 60.10 -1.58 60.95 6.07 -6.81 0.03 0.38 8.91 2.02P 1.33R 0.39 Dag_&_Red 26 34 +0 0.08 51.12 2.22 60.11 6.32 -1.73 0.01 0.38 8.41 2.05P 2.14R 0.71 Plymouth 26 34 -6 2.17 62.45 -1.57 58.75 6.09 -8.97 0.01 0.14 4.68 1.02P 3.34R 1.07 Cheltenham 26 33 -4 -2.77 35.93 -4.31 59.66 6.39 -4.92 0.02 0.34 7.03 1.87P 2.77R 0.82 York 27 32 +0 -1.82 41.31 4.03 55.35 6.00 -3.47 0.00 0.04 1.72 0.33P 7.98R 2.91 AFC_Wimbledon 26 32 -2 0.95 55.92 4.36 56.20 6.25 -6.43 0.00 0.07 2.72 0.52P 7.27R 2.70 Exeter 25 32 -3 -2.52 37.21 -3.39 61.25 6.64 -2.22 0.06 0.79 12.23 3.54P 1.78R 0.56 Hartlepool 26 31 -6 -4.61 27.65 -6.36 58.88 6.41 -4.97 0.01 0.20 5.90 1.53P 3.65R 1.25 Mansfield 27 30 -9 0.21 52.49 1.48 52.34 6.13 -14.08 0.00 0.01 0.61 0.12P 21.44R 9.93 Accrington_Stanley 26 29 -7 -2.19 39.21 -0.55 52.34 6.16 -12.94 0.00 0.01 0.52 0.09P 21.13R 9.77 Bury 26 28 -4 -8.54 13.33 -5.38 56.31 6.57 -2.63 0.00 0.09 3.16 0.89P 7.97R 3.17 Wycombe 25 28 -4 -4.87 25.64 -2.19 55.13 6.52 -6.31 0.00 0.06 2.08 0.55P 11.08R 4.78 Portsmouth 26 28 -9 -10.11 9.61 -12.76 57.22 6.54 -6.43 0.00 0.11 3.87 1.13P 6.53R 2.50 Bristol_Rovers 25 27 -4 -4.64 26.50 -0.69 54.09 6.46 -6.11 0.00 0.02 1.37 0.31P 13.80R 6.10 Torquay 26 26 -13 -5.66 22.44 -7.40 49.82 6.19 -18.09 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 36.00R 19.79 Northampton 25 22 -14 -8.07 12.68 -8.44 47.40 6.37 -18.44 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 51.40R 33.47Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 21 January 2014, Barnet 1 3 Aldershot; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 27 57 +34 6.37 80.66 11.76 93.75 5.82 51.16 63.83 99.93 77.49P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 26 56 +28 12.25 95.66 15.97 90.78 6.12 39.27 33.75 99.59 53.68P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 29 49 -2 12.22 93.84 3.84 71.75 5.61 -3.41 0.04 29.01 3.22P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 30 47 +9 3.49 66.91 5.40 69.72 5.44 10.11 0.01 20.19 3.44P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 25 45 +14 1.28 56.63 -0.08 79.59 6.34 23.44 2.05 80.18 25.32P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 27 45 +6 -0.06 49.40 -6.91 74.59 6.06 11.56 0.21 50.89 12.21P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 30 44 +9 2.22 60.84 8.66 66.00 5.64 8.75 0.01 8.05 1.35P 0.01R 0.00 Nuneaton 28 44 +2 7.49 83.82 4.74 66.44 5.68 -1.37 0.00 8.04 1.08P 0.01R 0.00 Salisbury 26 43 +3 9.32 88.80 6.35 67.79 6.38 -1.42 0.03 14.25 1.86P 0.01R 0.00 Barnet 29 42 +6 -5.33 25.17 -5.69 69.50 5.68 12.53 0.00 20.73 5.25P 0.00R 0.00 Macclesfield 27 41 +6 0.74 53.97 1.03 66.77 6.12 5.40 0.01 11.26 2.00P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 28 39 +5 -7.69 15.86 -8.20 68.13 5.77 11.76 0.02 15.07 4.08P 0.00R 0.00 Welling 28 39 +3 3.00 65.19 6.92 62.80 6.02 1.51 0.00 3.28 0.53P 0.14R 0.00 Braintree_Town 25 38 +8 3.25 67.66 7.29 67.12 6.42 8.46 0.02 13.76 2.37P 0.01R 0.00 Forest_Green 26 37 +10 -3.58 31.43 1.98 68.29 6.30 15.83 0.02 18.38 4.06P 0.03R 0.00 Hereford 27 35 +1 -5.56 23.18 -4.27 62.11 6.01 2.86 0.00 2.62 0.54P 0.18R 0.00 Lincoln_City 28 32 -8 -1.98 40.30 -1.15 56.05 5.85 -9.14 0.00 0.16 0.04P 2.49R 0.00 Woking 27 32 -9 -1.40 43.13 -2.43 51.47 5.78 -20.40 0.00 0.03 0.00P 11.86R 0.00 Aldershot 27 29 +6 -5.45 23.90 -5.70 63.65 6.07 19.58 0.00 4.57 1.47P 0.18R 0.00 Chester 27 28 -13 0.20 52.58 0.79 48.77 5.79 -21.37 0.00 0.00 0.00P 23.69R 0.01 Southport 28 27 -20 -3.60 32.03 -6.81 45.96 5.52 -29.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.32R 0.01 Tamworth 25 24 -19 -0.93 45.46 -4.20 46.45 6.08 -29.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.10R 0.05 Dartford 29 22 -26 -8.51 12.27 -10.50 40.97 5.43 -32.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.98R 0.20 Hyde_United 29 7 -53 -15.03 0.66 -18.80 19.73 4.86 -73.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.73 Adjustments: Aldershot -10