Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 18 January 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 January 2014, Arsenal 2 0 Fulham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 22 51 +24 7.41 87.95 2.77 81.06 5.33 36.88 24.98 58.30 82.57 93.54 99.56 0.00 0.00 Man_City 22 50 +38 1.63 59.05 6.49 84.09 4.91 59.64 55.98 82.92 94.85 98.57 99.95 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 21 46 +21 5.00 78.58 1.55 79.16 5.46 36.40 15.88 42.72 72.89 88.55 98.84 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 22 43 +25 0.67 53.40 4.79 72.89 5.46 37.55 2.20 9.97 27.49 56.30 91.30 0.00 0.00 Everton 21 41 +15 4.92 77.66 4.53 68.67 5.64 21.38 0.42 2.29 8.04 22.27 71.01 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 21 40 +1 6.79 85.19 -5.07 66.47 5.70 5.54 0.11 0.84 3.66 11.72 51.99 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 21 37 +11 -3.55 28.36 -7.50 69.61 5.44 26.21 0.43 2.95 10.41 28.53 79.02 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 22 36 +4 6.90 85.00 6.76 57.84 5.39 3.06 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.50 7.15 0.00 0.00 Southampton 22 31 +4 2.05 62.78 6.82 52.27 5.46 2.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 1.14 0.02R 0.00 Aston_Villa 22 24 -7 -0.85 45.83 1.92 43.45 5.24 -11.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 3.44R 0.39 Hull 22 23 -6 0.87 57.05 7.08 39.77 5.24 -13.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 12.71R 2.43 Norwich 22 23 -17 -0.24 49.58 -4.69 38.63 5.13 -27.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 20.06R 4.12 Stoke 22 22 -14 -1.69 40.03 -3.70 39.53 5.18 -21.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 14.58R 2.65 Swansea 21 21 -4 -4.46 24.65 1.91 44.25 5.60 -4.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.04R 0.41 West_Brom 21 21 -5 -5.56 19.22 -0.61 42.70 5.55 -8.21 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 5.71R 0.89 Crystal_Palace 22 20 -17 1.00 58.26 1.50 32.76 4.77 -31.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.10R 28.38 Fulham 22 19 -26 -3.62 28.92 -11.90 35.36 5.10 -36.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.62R 14.70 West_Ham 22 18 -11 -7.64 11.76 -3.32 35.40 5.11 -19.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.09R 11.42 Sunderland 22 18 -15 -6.34 16.33 -6.09 35.06 4.98 -24.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.77R 13.26 Cardiff 22 18 -21 -1.83 39.72 -3.25 33.84 5.05 -30.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.87R 21.35Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 January 2014, Barnsley 2 0 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 26 57 +20 11.35 93.88 4.71 91.69 6.22 31.06 65.21 86.00 99.80 89.82P 0.00 0.00 QPR 26 52 +15 8.27 86.70 3.38 84.96 6.25 23.08 17.31 48.72 96.88 62.57P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 26 51 +19 8.73 88.16 9.09 82.59 6.30 25.26 10.87 34.47 93.80 49.60P 0.00 0.00 Derby 26 47 +16 6.93 81.84 9.32 79.18 6.34 23.43 4.28 17.73 85.01 32.69P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 26 44 +13 4.22 71.40 6.75 75.01 6.25 18.44 1.15 5.93 65.28 19.64P 0.00 0.00 Reading 26 41 +9 -1.35 42.86 -1.16 74.27 6.43 17.98 0.94 5.07 60.68 20.68P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 26 39 +7 -1.54 41.81 -0.34 69.92 6.20 12.27 0.13 1.01 31.95 9.19P 0.00 0.00 Blackburn 26 37 +0 0.45 52.65 -1.43 64.48 6.31 0.26 0.01 0.15 8.75 1.92P 0.11R 0.00 Middlesbrough 26 36 +8 -1.48 42.57 5.16 64.62 6.31 9.72 0.01 0.17 10.90 2.39P 0.10R 0.01 Ipswich 26 36 +6 0.63 53.95 6.22 63.19 6.30 5.66 0.00 0.08 7.21 1.56P 0.15R 0.00 Wigan 25 36 +2 -3.11 34.15 -5.10 67.63 6.53 6.50 0.06 0.52 20.71 5.68P 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 26 35 +0 0.42 52.78 1.71 62.25 6.33 -0.32 0.00 0.05 5.16 0.96P 0.29R 0.01 Huddersfield 26 34 +4 0.41 52.58 6.89 60.14 6.29 2.04 0.00 0.01 2.98 0.58P 0.62R 0.03 Blackpool 26 32 -8 -2.76 36.12 -6.85 58.17 6.12 -9.73 0.00 0.00 1.09 0.22P 1.53R 0.08 Watford 25 31 +5 -7.81 14.47 -2.03 63.19 6.59 10.02 0.01 0.08 8.24 2.18P 0.24R 0.01 Bournemouth 26 31 -13 3.43 68.81 0.43 52.74 6.24 -22.12 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.01P 10.83R 1.07 Birmingham 26 29 -2 -7.73 14.79 -3.71 56.20 6.34 -2.19 0.00 0.00 0.71 0.14P 3.21R 0.16 Bolton 26 28 -11 -6.84 17.77 -9.53 55.67 6.36 -10.67 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.10P 4.43R 0.33 Sheff_Wed 25 26 -1 -6.02 20.19 2.17 53.22 6.44 -3.23 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.04P 8.44R 0.88 Millwall 26 25 -23 -2.30 38.52 -10.09 46.47 6.00 -32.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.86R 9.01 Charlton 25 24 -9 -7.85 13.63 -5.86 51.25 6.33 -10.89 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 14.07R 1.78 Doncaster 26 24 -21 -0.60 48.10 -4.25 43.56 5.95 -32.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.92R 18.93 Yeovil 25 20 -17 -2.79 35.38 0.65 40.42 6.05 -30.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.55R 36.03 Barnsley 25 20 -19 -5.90 19.56 -6.13 41.10 6.06 -30.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.64R 31.69League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 January 2014, Bristol_City 2 2 MK_Dons; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 26 57 +32 11.56 94.10 17.05 91.38 6.42 42.53 41.49 71.54 99.73 79.66P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 26 56 +21 11.86 94.47 8.37 90.40 6.33 31.36 31.55 63.17 99.58 73.33P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 26 52 +22 2.97 64.50 2.29 88.95 6.32 36.22 24.98 54.99 99.15 71.27P 0.00 0.00 Preston 26 48 +9 9.54 89.75 4.81 78.48 6.41 13.49 1.22 5.65 79.76 20.64P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 26 44 +11 8.29 85.61 11.44 70.63 6.57 9.41 0.09 0.58 35.42 5.99P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 26 42 +8 -1.03 44.49 -3.16 76.05 6.52 18.32 0.56 3.16 69.17 21.60P 0.00 0.00 Walsall 27 42 +6 3.17 66.21 3.18 69.59 6.15 8.32 0.01 0.17 28.45 5.76P 0.01R 0.00 Port_Vale 26 39 -2 6.59 80.63 3.47 64.36 6.51 -5.74 0.00 0.04 9.04 1.33P 0.48R 0.01 Swindon 26 37 +6 -5.50 23.41 -4.41 69.79 6.38 13.97 0.04 0.28 32.22 8.90P 0.03R 0.00 MK_Dons 25 36 +5 -4.09 29.24 -3.84 69.32 6.66 11.70 0.06 0.35 29.57 7.65P 0.06R 0.00 Coventry 26 34 +10 2.84 64.16 1.55 65.02 6.55 15.44 0.00 0.08 12.50 3.00P 0.35R 0.01 Colchester 26 34 +1 0.87 55.38 4.87 58.86 6.32 -3.02 0.00 0.00 1.81 0.29P 3.35R 0.14 Bradford 26 33 +6 1.22 57.04 11.77 57.61 6.33 1.55 0.00 0.00 1.38 0.21P 4.85R 0.26 Gillingham 27 32 -10 1.10 56.50 -0.18 54.09 6.15 -16.51 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.02P 14.75R 1.23 Crawley_Town 24 30 -5 0.09 51.16 -0.33 57.23 6.65 -9.36 0.00 0.00 1.16 0.18P 7.30R 0.49 Notts_County 27 27 -6 -9.94 9.66 -5.77 52.30 6.14 -7.23 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 20.27R 1.99 Oldham 26 27 -7 -3.46 32.29 0.42 50.06 6.19 -13.24 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00P 33.34R 4.58 Carlisle 26 27 -19 -0.57 48.12 -5.48 47.78 6.11 -30.26 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 51.25R 10.24 Sheff_Utd 26 26 -9 -11.11 6.58 -11.21 54.44 6.39 -7.38 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.05P 13.37R 1.23 Shrewsbury 27 26 -9 -6.00 21.77 -1.76 48.40 5.96 -14.24 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 43.43R 7.36 Tranmere 26 25 -19 -4.90 25.73 -10.14 49.88 6.29 -23.04 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 36.51R 6.05 Bristol_City 25 24 -3 -12.08 5.55 -5.39 53.78 6.71 -1.66 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.07P 16.17R 1.88 Crewe 26 24 -28 -0.61 47.98 -9.21 42.62 5.90 -42.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.52R 38.18 Stevenage 26 22 -20 -6.00 20.63 -8.33 43.99 6.10 -28.30 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 72.96R 26.34 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 January 2014, Bury 0 0 Burton_Albion; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Scunthorpe 26 48 +14 3.38 66.89 0.89 82.37 6.43 24.01 38.13 74.37 97.95 82.06P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 26 46 +10 6.06 78.65 3.67 76.73 6.52 14.87 10.38 39.71 88.12 51.95P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 26 46 +6 9.09 88.69 3.87 73.58 6.34 6.44 4.25 21.38 75.16 32.18P 0.00 0.00 Southend 26 45 +12 3.53 67.95 3.55 77.57 6.32 19.43 12.98 46.02 91.71 59.44P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 25 44 +15 1.85 59.71 3.67 79.38 6.54 24.45 21.81 58.98 94.57 70.57P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 25 44 +11 7.35 83.86 7.40 74.26 6.61 13.19 6.08 26.66 79.28 38.65P 0.00R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 25 42 +14 3.16 66.45 7.32 74.02 6.50 18.80 5.79 26.64 79.88 41.04P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 24 38 +7 8.82 88.83 12.46 65.43 6.86 3.12 0.43 3.66 29.55 7.70P 0.32R 0.06 Morecambe 27 37 -4 1.90 60.42 -1.51 60.92 6.06 -6.83 0.02 0.39 8.72 2.07P 1.30R 0.34 Dag_&_Red 26 34 +0 0.14 51.27 2.29 60.07 6.35 -1.73 0.03 0.45 8.43 2.15P 2.15R 0.69 Plymouth 26 34 -6 2.12 62.12 -1.62 58.80 6.11 -8.93 0.00 0.14 4.76 0.99P 3.23R 0.95 Cheltenham 26 33 -4 -2.84 35.73 -4.42 59.64 6.38 -4.94 0.01 0.26 7.30 1.96P 2.77R 0.92 York 27 32 +0 -1.86 40.95 3.95 55.45 5.98 -3.32 0.00 0.04 1.72 0.39P 7.65R 2.65 AFC_Wimbledon 26 32 -2 0.94 55.90 4.38 56.19 6.22 -6.38 0.00 0.05 2.67 0.53P 7.32R 2.71 Exeter 25 32 -3 -2.57 36.88 -3.46 61.31 6.60 -2.15 0.07 0.78 12.17 3.45P 1.71R 0.55 Hartlepool 26 31 -6 -4.59 27.79 -6.30 58.79 6.43 -5.07 0.01 0.19 5.69 1.56P 3.84R 1.39 Mansfield 27 30 -9 0.28 52.32 1.59 52.32 6.10 -14.10 0.00 0.00 0.44 0.07P 21.55R 9.86 Accrington_Stanley 26 29 -7 -2.19 39.12 -0.56 52.35 6.21 -12.94 0.00 0.01 0.60 0.09P 21.34R 10.00 Bury 26 28 -4 -8.47 13.55 -5.34 56.30 6.58 -2.69 0.00 0.05 3.30 0.95P 8.16R 3.21 Wycombe 25 28 -4 -5.02 24.98 -2.38 55.20 6.56 -6.17 0.00 0.06 2.37 0.58P 10.81R 4.60 Portsmouth 26 28 -9 -10.25 9.33 -12.96 57.33 6.56 -6.30 0.00 0.12 3.99 1.23P 6.34R 2.45 Bristol_Rovers 25 27 -4 -4.53 26.89 -0.56 54.01 6.43 -6.22 0.00 0.03 1.40 0.33P 13.92R 6.19 Torquay 26 26 -13 -5.77 22.11 -7.64 49.89 6.18 -17.95 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.03P 35.73R 19.29 Northampton 25 22 -14 -7.96 13.16 -8.30 47.32 6.44 -18.59 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 51.85R 34.12Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 18 January 2014, Chester 2 1 Barnet; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 27 57 +34 6.61 81.61 12.11 93.75 5.84 51.22 68.57 99.90 80.13P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 25 53 +27 11.01 94.17 15.42 89.36 6.35 38.68 28.21 98.71 49.34P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 29 49 -2 12.26 93.85 3.88 71.79 5.63 -3.37 0.06 26.46 3.03P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 29 46 +9 4.14 70.28 5.76 70.66 5.65 10.99 0.02 23.03 3.95P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 25 45 +14 1.46 57.70 0.10 79.43 6.28 23.25 2.03 77.41 23.37P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 26 45 +7 1.29 56.73 -6.00 77.42 6.20 14.92 0.96 66.01 17.22P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 30 44 +9 2.39 61.47 9.00 65.84 5.61 8.48 0.00 6.43 1.04P 0.00R 0.00 Nuneaton 28 44 +2 7.46 83.82 4.70 66.57 5.62 -1.18 0.01 7.18 0.92P 0.01R 0.00 Salisbury 26 43 +3 9.18 88.80 6.23 67.80 6.40 -1.38 0.02 12.80 1.88P 0.02R 0.00 Barnet 28 42 +8 -4.59 27.70 -4.70 71.65 5.89 15.67 0.05 30.76 8.45P 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 25 38 +8 3.22 67.63 7.25 67.13 6.38 8.42 0.03 11.89 2.04P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 26 38 +4 -0.03 50.19 0.31 65.33 6.27 3.68 0.01 6.99 1.33P 0.05R 0.00 Welling 27 38 +3 3.03 65.65 6.48 62.59 6.18 0.58 0.00 2.99 0.47P 0.18R 0.00 Forest_Green 26 37 +10 -3.51 31.66 2.07 68.32 6.21 15.87 0.02 16.04 3.47P 0.01R 0.00 Wrexham 27 36 +4 -8.74 12.38 -8.38 66.53 6.00 10.79 0.00 9.28 2.35P 0.03R 0.00 Hereford 27 35 +1 -5.56 23.09 -4.32 62.16 5.94 2.89 0.00 2.14 0.47P 0.15R 0.00 Lincoln_City 27 32 -6 -1.67 41.47 -0.84 57.38 5.96 -7.17 0.00 0.28 0.04P 1.43R 0.00 Woking 26 32 -8 -0.13 50.26 -1.65 53.60 5.95 -18.30 0.00 0.08 0.01P 6.55R 0.00 Southport 27 27 -19 -2.61 36.79 -6.45 47.10 5.69 -29.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.93R 0.01 Aldershot 26 26 +4 -6.46 19.44 -6.62 60.99 6.22 15.94 0.00 1.62 0.48P 0.52R 0.00 Chester 26 25 -14 -1.30 44.11 0.29 46.39 5.97 -23.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 37.96R 0.02 Tamworth 24 24 -18 -0.23 49.76 -4.09 47.83 6.30 -28.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.74R 0.02 Dartford 28 19 -27 -10.35 7.14 -11.84 38.31 5.57 -35.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 87.40R 0.59 Hyde_United 29 7 -53 -15.06 0.55 -18.71 19.74 4.78 -73.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.36 Adjustments: Aldershot -10