Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 13 January 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 January 2014, Newcastle 0 2 Man_City; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Man_City 21 47 +36 1.22 56.35 7.05 83.79 5.02 60.21 57.40 82.24 93.76 98.14 99.90 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 21 46 +21 5.07 79.13 1.57 79.17 5.42 36.42 17.36 45.47 71.62 88.21 98.88 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 45 +21 5.88 83.37 2.63 79.33 5.67 36.59 19.04 47.00 72.05 87.92 98.81 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 21 42 +25 1.74 60.36 5.94 74.50 5.64 39.63 5.00 18.44 39.51 66.49 94.29 0.00 0.00 Everton 21 41 +15 4.84 77.48 4.34 68.76 5.62 21.53 0.47 2.58 8.49 21.63 71.65 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 21 40 +1 6.73 85.47 -5.19 66.53 5.68 5.61 0.17 1.03 3.85 11.07 51.89 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 21 37 +11 -3.52 28.36 -7.38 69.49 5.44 26.02 0.54 3.23 10.68 26.27 78.88 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 21 33 +2 5.66 80.92 5.35 55.81 5.65 0.44 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.23 4.24 0.01R 0.00 Southampton 21 30 +4 2.49 65.69 6.91 52.60 5.65 2.44 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.42 0.03R 0.00 Hull 21 23 -5 1.62 61.62 7.21 41.27 5.50 -12.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 8.82R 1.25 Aston_Villa 20 23 -6 -0.12 50.45 1.10 43.46 5.56 -13.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 4.39R 0.50 Stoke 21 22 -13 -0.60 47.33 -3.04 41.18 5.40 -19.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 9.79R 1.30 Swansea 21 21 -4 -4.44 24.65 1.98 44.22 5.57 -4.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.21R 0.38 West_Brom 21 21 -5 -5.57 18.98 -0.63 42.71 5.58 -8.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 5.74R 0.71 Norwich 21 20 -18 -1.52 41.16 -5.07 37.03 5.32 -28.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.13R 7.14 Fulham 21 19 -24 -3.22 30.77 -11.81 35.81 5.23 -36.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.63R 11.51 West_Ham 21 18 -9 -6.78 13.97 -2.24 37.18 5.35 -16.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.20R 5.77 Cardiff 21 18 -19 -1.26 43.34 -3.47 33.91 5.12 -31.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.99R 19.01 Sunderland 21 17 -15 -5.97 17.18 -6.23 35.35 5.18 -24.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.45R 11.20 Crystal_Palace 21 17 -18 -0.48 48.57 0.98 30.86 4.97 -32.99 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.59R 41.24Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 January 2014, Blackburn 1 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 25 54 +19 10.12 92.02 4.31 90.17 6.47 30.28 59.29 82.08 99.38 86.81P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 25 50 +19 9.33 90.11 9.43 83.60 6.53 26.25 17.74 45.78 94.53 57.89P 0.00 0.00 QPR 25 49 +14 7.46 84.79 3.51 83.57 6.43 22.38 16.38 43.27 94.47 58.22P 0.00 0.00 Derby 25 44 +15 5.52 77.16 8.63 77.77 6.55 22.80 4.16 15.55 78.23 29.93P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 25 41 +10 3.79 69.71 5.46 72.93 6.47 14.79 0.85 4.45 50.54 14.91P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 25 39 +8 -0.64 46.46 0.00 71.39 6.41 13.42 0.48 2.58 40.95 12.91P 0.00 0.00 Reading 25 38 +3 -0.48 47.56 -3.40 71.38 6.60 10.02 0.46 2.57 40.10 12.23P 0.00R 0.00 Blackburn 25 37 +3 0.70 53.95 -0.14 66.15 6.55 3.83 0.08 0.49 14.87 3.58P 0.02R 0.00 Ipswich 25 36 +7 1.58 59.04 6.61 65.01 6.52 7.32 0.04 0.28 12.22 2.62P 0.04R 0.00 Wigan 24 36 +5 -2.63 35.90 -3.47 70.63 6.79 11.84 0.45 2.31 37.03 12.12P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 25 35 +1 1.37 57.83 2.01 63.67 6.53 0.75 0.02 0.17 8.07 1.61P 0.11R 0.00 Huddersfield 25 34 +5 1.06 56.33 6.85 61.06 6.51 2.48 0.01 0.05 4.26 0.86P 0.27R 0.00 Middlesbrough 25 33 +7 -2.58 36.62 4.90 63.29 6.54 9.22 0.01 0.15 8.46 1.89P 0.13R 0.00 Blackpool 25 32 -6 -1.81 40.67 -5.49 60.05 6.34 -6.90 0.00 0.03 2.29 0.48P 0.46R 0.01 Watford 24 30 +5 -7.33 15.56 -1.85 63.89 6.82 10.56 0.03 0.23 10.48 2.99P 0.16R 0.00 Bournemouth 25 30 -13 3.69 70.50 0.22 52.93 6.48 -22.50 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.02P 6.93R 0.49 Birmingham 25 29 +0 -6.70 17.82 -2.24 58.98 6.58 1.90 0.00 0.02 2.15 0.51P 0.80R 0.02 Bolton 25 28 -5 -7.43 15.48 -6.75 57.74 6.57 -3.53 0.00 0.00 1.35 0.33P 1.46R 0.08 Sheff_Wed 24 25 -1 -5.86 20.29 1.85 52.76 6.61 -4.42 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.06P 6.48R 0.45 Charlton 24 24 -8 -6.78 16.73 -5.31 52.22 6.57 -10.51 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 7.69R 0.57 Millwall 25 22 -24 -3.78 30.12 -10.83 44.63 6.20 -33.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.19R 7.67 Doncaster 25 21 -24 -1.50 42.74 -6.12 40.58 6.07 -38.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.15R 21.32 Yeovil 24 17 -19 -4.22 27.27 -0.90 37.31 6.15 -34.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.15R 40.41 Barnsley 24 17 -21 -7.06 14.38 -7.30 38.99 6.29 -33.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.97R 28.98League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 12 January 2014, Coventry 2 2 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brentford 25 55 +21 12.06 95.20 8.08 91.05 6.51 31.83 35.85 66.46 99.57 75.43P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 25 54 +31 10.55 92.48 17.02 90.54 6.58 42.82 36.47 65.86 99.48 75.23P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 26 52 +22 2.96 64.71 2.17 89.00 6.30 36.25 25.03 55.16 99.14 71.12P 0.00 0.00 Preston 25 47 +9 10.03 91.32 4.93 78.97 6.57 13.71 1.57 6.71 80.51 21.10P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 25 41 +8 7.72 84.47 10.11 68.26 6.71 5.20 0.05 0.33 22.35 3.47P 0.11R 0.00 Peterborough 25 39 +5 -1.54 41.83 -4.42 74.70 6.76 15.81 0.44 2.27 60.38 17.33P 0.00R 0.00 Walsall 25 38 +5 2.63 64.21 3.23 68.16 6.58 7.09 0.04 0.22 22.19 4.49P 0.11R 0.00 Swindon 24 37 +10 -3.43 31.43 -1.51 74.55 6.82 20.97 0.47 2.42 60.70 18.95P 0.01R 0.00 Port_Vale 25 36 -3 5.53 76.93 3.49 62.61 6.70 -7.00 0.00 0.02 5.78 0.76P 1.50R 0.04 MK_Dons 24 35 +5 -3.59 31.06 -3.61 69.62 6.90 11.61 0.07 0.43 30.80 7.88P 0.08R 0.00 Coventry 25 33 +10 3.05 65.06 1.24 65.33 6.77 15.33 0.01 0.11 13.95 3.32P 0.45R 0.01 Bradford 25 32 +6 1.39 58.17 11.43 57.62 6.50 1.12 0.00 0.00 1.48 0.26P 5.86R 0.33 Colchester 25 31 -1 -0.34 48.85 3.43 56.98 6.50 -5.38 0.00 0.00 0.92 0.14P 7.61R 0.52 Crawley_Town 24 30 -5 0.07 51.00 -0.30 57.22 6.66 -9.37 0.00 0.00 1.16 0.18P 8.07R 0.48 Gillingham 26 29 -12 0.14 51.99 -1.01 51.25 6.26 -20.50 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 30.22R 3.92 Oldham 24 27 -5 -1.89 40.08 0.88 52.65 6.63 -11.52 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.04P 22.74R 2.41 Carlisle 25 27 -17 0.13 51.53 -4.81 49.67 6.32 -27.29 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 40.99R 6.46 Shrewsbury 26 26 -6 -5.50 23.21 -0.12 50.48 6.21 -10.17 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00P 32.10R 4.50 Sheff_Utd 25 25 -9 -10.54 7.35 -10.99 55.17 6.57 -6.84 0.00 0.00 0.46 0.11P 12.51R 1.16 Tranmere 25 25 -16 -4.67 26.57 -8.92 51.12 6.53 -20.31 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 31.73R 4.56 Notts_County 26 24 -7 -11.34 6.61 -6.41 50.61 6.37 -8.36 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 31.16R 4.43 Crewe 25 24 -27 0.20 52.62 -9.14 43.32 6.06 -42.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.31R 33.33 Bristol_City 24 23 -3 -11.84 5.71 -5.62 54.26 7.01 -1.53 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.15P 16.66R 2.04 Stevenage 24 19 -21 -6.27 18.20 -9.15 42.75 6.53 -30.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.80R 35.82 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 January 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Scunthorpe 25 47 +14 3.97 69.92 1.13 83.57 6.69 25.34 43.62 81.48 98.42 86.94P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 25 45 +6 9.36 89.49 3.83 73.84 6.59 6.22 4.50 25.56 76.26 36.20P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 24 44 +18 2.41 62.99 5.58 81.34 6.72 28.32 30.81 72.83 96.85 80.98P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 25 43 +7 5.67 77.56 2.50 74.91 6.70 11.58 6.20 32.62 81.58 44.68P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 25 42 +9 2.81 64.88 1.81 75.27 6.54 15.52 7.00 35.00 84.27 49.35P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 24 41 +9 6.37 80.88 6.29 72.39 6.85 10.82 3.59 21.30 70.17 32.38P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 24 39 +13 1.96 60.81 6.92 72.31 6.74 17.69 3.61 22.17 71.89 35.81P 0.00R 0.00 Newport_County 24 38 +7 8.85 88.63 12.51 65.36 6.90 3.01 0.43 4.14 30.59 8.72P 0.34R 0.07 Morecambe 27 37 -4 1.90 60.40 -1.44 61.01 6.14 -6.73 0.02 0.51 9.96 2.46P 1.32R 0.31 Dag_&_Red 26 34 +0 0.17 51.60 2.38 59.98 6.32 -1.90 0.01 0.40 8.56 2.15P 2.00R 0.59 Plymouth 25 34 -3 2.41 63.78 -0.09 60.32 6.34 -5.75 0.03 0.49 8.79 2.18P 1.97R 0.61 Cheltenham 25 33 -3 -1.72 41.15 -3.77 61.79 6.61 -2.81 0.07 1.08 14.35 4.25P 1.38R 0.40 Exeter 25 32 -3 -2.66 36.33 -3.64 61.25 6.62 -2.22 0.05 0.85 13.19 3.89P 1.79R 0.51 York 26 31 +0 -1.53 42.68 4.04 55.91 6.23 -3.29 0.00 0.08 2.66 0.64P 7.04R 2.48 AFC_Wimbledon 25 31 -2 0.98 56.31 4.01 55.81 6.42 -7.66 0.00 0.10 2.78 0.58P 8.46R 3.07 Hartlepool 25 31 -4 -4.17 29.11 -5.59 60.58 6.64 -2.53 0.03 0.69 10.88 3.45P 2.21R 0.70 Mansfield 26 29 -9 0.47 53.71 1.29 52.02 6.24 -15.14 0.00 0.01 0.61 0.10P 22.93R 10.52 Wycombe 24 28 -3 -4.03 29.20 -1.90 56.77 6.71 -4.95 0.01 0.21 4.45 1.10P 7.16R 2.78 Bury 25 27 -4 -8.13 14.34 -5.29 57.02 6.79 -2.17 0.01 0.18 5.05 1.57P 6.84R 2.69 Portsmouth 25 27 -9 -9.65 10.33 -12.60 58.21 6.76 -5.50 0.01 0.24 6.00 1.97P 5.39R 2.05 Bristol_Rovers 24 26 -4 -4.43 27.26 -0.83 54.39 6.67 -6.26 0.00 0.06 2.00 0.46P 13.05R 5.69 Accrington_Stanley 25 26 -8 -3.64 31.50 -1.30 50.04 6.37 -14.94 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.05P 33.16R 17.11 Torquay 26 26 -13 -5.84 21.86 -7.67 49.96 6.24 -17.87 0.00 0.01 0.27 0.06P 33.92R 17.68 Northampton 25 22 -14 -7.94 13.15 -8.19 47.21 6.40 -18.77 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 51.02R 32.73Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 January 2014, Gateshead 2 1 Nuneaton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 27 57 +34 6.53 81.21 11.95 93.90 5.82 51.42 66.72 99.89 78.64P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 24 52 +27 11.45 95.37 15.55 89.68 6.56 38.60 28.98 98.51 49.17P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 29 49 -2 12.25 93.97 3.89 71.77 5.61 -3.44 0.04 24.41 2.60P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 26 45 +7 1.43 57.28 -5.78 77.35 6.24 14.79 0.86 63.32 15.97P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 24 44 +14 2.12 61.59 0.52 80.66 6.52 24.55 3.17 80.42 25.92P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 27 44 +9 4.42 72.12 5.14 70.79 6.06 10.01 0.05 23.27 3.97P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 29 43 +9 2.39 61.77 8.37 66.34 5.82 8.68 0.00 7.48 1.20P 0.02R 0.00 Barnet 27 42 +9 -3.38 32.80 -3.94 73.61 6.07 17.48 0.13 41.18 11.14P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 27 41 +1 6.28 80.17 4.45 64.91 5.86 -2.31 0.00 4.37 0.54P 0.03R 0.00 Salisbury 25 40 +2 8.14 86.55 6.17 66.76 6.60 -1.55 0.02 9.60 1.31P 0.05R 0.00 Braintree_Town 25 38 +8 3.09 67.06 7.08 67.28 6.37 8.70 0.01 11.26 1.88P 0.02R 0.00 Macclesfield 25 38 +5 0.99 55.57 0.83 66.55 6.49 4.42 0.01 9.47 1.69P 0.03R 0.00 Wrexham 27 36 +4 -8.79 12.16 -8.39 66.59 5.93 10.90 0.00 8.37 2.16P 0.02R 0.00 Welling 25 35 +2 3.86 70.36 7.36 64.19 6.64 2.55 0.00 5.51 0.83P 0.14R 0.00 Forest_Green 25 34 +6 -3.72 30.33 0.44 66.23 6.43 11.09 0.01 9.16 2.01P 0.03R 0.00 Hereford 26 32 -2 -5.88 21.46 -5.31 60.61 6.10 -0.04 0.00 1.21 0.23P 0.37R 0.00 Woking 25 32 -5 0.11 51.28 -0.51 55.17 6.19 -14.88 0.00 0.14 0.01P 3.98R 0.00 Lincoln_City 27 32 -6 -1.56 42.16 -0.65 57.25 6.00 -7.42 0.00 0.25 0.03P 1.52R 0.00 Southport 26 27 -16 -2.46 37.19 -5.45 48.21 5.94 -26.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 25.99R 0.00 Aldershot 25 25 +4 -6.25 19.68 -7.01 61.45 6.49 16.21 0.00 2.19 0.69P 0.50R 0.00 Tamworth 24 24 -18 -0.10 50.71 -3.81 47.78 6.24 -28.51 0.00 0.01 0.00 30.25R 0.01 Chester 25 22 -15 -2.76 35.61 -0.43 43.98 6.15 -25.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 53.81R 0.06 Dartford 27 19 -26 -9.45 8.77 -11.45 39.11 5.74 -35.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.26R 0.36 Hyde_United 27 4 -51 -16.43 0.14 -19.01 18.14 5.16 -73.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.57 Adjustments: Aldershot -10