Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 11 January 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 January 2014, Cardiff 0 2 West_Ham; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Chelsea 21 46 +21 5.06 79.02 1.56 79.15 5.40 36.37 20.47 48.75 74.32 89.09 98.89 0.00 0.00 Arsenal 20 45 +21 5.99 83.76 2.80 79.33 5.68 36.62 22.30 50.13 74.71 88.89 98.79 0.00 0.00 Man_City 20 44 +34 0.47 51.75 6.42 82.63 5.27 58.94 51.22 77.61 91.39 96.94 99.77 0.00 0.00 Everton 21 41 +15 4.85 77.36 4.40 68.73 5.61 21.51 0.60 3.09 9.72 23.63 72.01 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 21 40 +1 6.74 85.32 -5.16 66.47 5.66 5.60 0.21 1.29 4.32 12.41 52.46 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 20 39 +23 0.94 55.52 5.45 73.25 5.84 38.00 4.47 15.35 33.67 59.78 91.37 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 21 37 +11 -3.55 28.18 -7.46 69.46 5.42 26.00 0.73 3.76 11.77 28.68 78.68 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 20 33 +4 6.15 83.87 5.95 56.88 5.84 1.84 0.00 0.02 0.10 0.54 6.44 0.00R 0.00 Southampton 21 30 +4 2.39 65.26 6.73 52.60 5.66 2.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 1.51 0.05R 0.00 Hull 21 23 -5 1.65 61.95 7.28 41.14 5.52 -12.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 9.58R 1.37 Aston_Villa 20 23 -6 -0.14 50.32 1.00 43.57 5.53 -13.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 4.23R 0.42 Stoke 20 22 -11 0.11 51.64 -2.47 42.24 5.58 -17.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 7.22R 0.97 Swansea 21 21 -4 -4.45 24.50 1.93 44.29 5.56 -4.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 3.14R 0.35 West_Brom 21 21 -5 -5.59 18.85 -0.70 42.71 5.54 -8.18 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 5.77R 0.77 Norwich 21 20 -18 -1.47 41.44 -4.99 37.00 5.27 -28.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 31.35R 6.84 Fulham 21 19 -24 -3.26 30.94 -11.80 35.74 5.23 -36.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.43R 11.77 West_Ham 21 18 -9 -6.72 14.26 -2.16 37.10 5.33 -16.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 26.61R 5.85 Cardiff 21 18 -19 -1.25 43.22 -3.54 33.79 5.08 -31.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.00R 19.66 Sunderland 21 17 -15 -5.92 17.44 -6.19 35.39 5.21 -24.30 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.24R 11.04 Crystal_Palace 21 17 -18 -0.51 48.34 0.94 30.88 4.99 -32.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.38R 40.97Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 January 2014, Blackburn 1 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 25 54 +19 10.19 92.21 4.42 90.02 6.47 30.10 58.08 81.49 99.36 86.41P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 25 50 +19 9.29 90.15 9.35 83.69 6.50 26.38 18.23 45.73 94.84 58.12P 0.00 0.00 QPR 25 49 +14 7.22 84.03 3.19 83.74 6.49 22.61 17.14 44.52 94.64 59.62P 0.00 0.00 Derby 25 44 +15 5.63 77.48 8.80 77.69 6.56 22.69 4.01 15.07 77.99 29.19P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 25 41 +10 3.74 69.73 5.42 73.02 6.50 14.93 0.92 4.40 51.28 14.74P 0.00 0.00 Brighton 25 39 +8 -0.61 46.69 0.03 71.37 6.42 13.42 0.49 2.56 40.92 12.94P 0.00R 0.00 Reading 25 38 +3 -0.54 47.07 -3.43 71.38 6.64 10.01 0.53 2.73 40.43 12.53P 0.00R 0.00 Blackburn 25 37 +3 0.73 54.28 -0.11 66.10 6.52 3.74 0.05 0.39 14.68 3.47P 0.03R 0.00 Ipswich 25 36 +7 1.67 59.69 6.74 64.95 6.54 7.26 0.04 0.28 12.12 2.56P 0.04R 0.00 Wigan 24 36 +5 -2.48 36.82 -3.26 70.46 6.80 11.61 0.40 2.18 35.83 11.65P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds_United 25 35 +1 1.31 57.58 1.89 63.72 6.51 0.83 0.02 0.17 8.30 1.66P 0.08R 0.00 Huddersfield 25 34 +5 1.01 56.05 6.79 61.10 6.47 2.59 0.00 0.05 4.21 0.81P 0.25R 0.00 Middlesbrough 25 33 +7 -2.55 36.90 4.97 63.27 6.58 9.20 0.03 0.14 8.49 1.97P 0.15R 0.00 Blackpool 25 32 -6 -1.80 40.87 -5.44 60.04 6.35 -6.92 0.00 0.02 2.39 0.48P 0.45R 0.01 Watford 24 30 +5 -7.26 15.82 -1.79 63.85 6.82 10.50 0.04 0.23 10.49 2.97P 0.12R 0.00 Bournemouth 25 30 -13 3.75 70.80 0.32 52.88 6.50 -22.61 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.02P 7.33R 0.49 Birmingham 25 29 +0 -6.56 18.56 -2.03 58.84 6.58 1.75 0.00 0.01 2.14 0.48P 0.84R 0.02 Bolton 25 28 -5 -7.46 15.52 -6.84 57.65 6.51 -3.60 0.00 0.00 1.22 0.28P 1.36R 0.07 Sheff_Wed 24 25 -1 -5.94 20.24 1.74 52.88 6.64 -4.21 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.06P 6.42R 0.51 Charlton 24 24 -8 -7.00 16.10 -5.59 52.49 6.58 -10.15 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 7.22R 0.53 Millwall 25 22 -24 -3.77 29.95 -10.85 44.52 6.17 -33.70 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.69R 7.69 Doncaster 25 21 -24 -1.48 42.74 -6.05 40.61 6.07 -37.97 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 70.83R 21.41 Yeovil 24 17 -19 -4.24 27.01 -0.93 37.37 6.18 -34.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.76R 39.93 Barnsley 24 17 -21 -7.03 14.26 -7.32 38.94 6.26 -33.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.41R 29.32League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 January 2014, Bradford 1 1 Bristol_City; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brentford 25 55 +21 12.19 95.42 8.25 91.01 6.52 31.73 36.02 66.20 99.59 75.57P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 25 54 +31 10.49 92.62 16.99 90.47 6.60 42.68 36.11 66.12 99.46 75.46P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 26 52 +22 3.01 65.33 2.29 88.91 6.32 36.14 24.96 55.09 99.05 70.91P 0.00 0.00 Preston 25 47 +9 10.07 91.26 5.01 78.97 6.59 13.69 1.72 6.73 79.81 20.50P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 25 41 +8 7.78 84.78 10.21 68.15 6.74 5.09 0.03 0.28 21.53 3.41P 0.12R 0.00 Peterborough 25 39 +5 -1.50 42.10 -4.30 74.67 6.74 15.72 0.47 2.18 59.39 16.96P 0.00R 0.00 Walsall 25 38 +5 2.42 63.13 2.94 68.34 6.54 7.35 0.02 0.20 22.04 4.52P 0.07R 0.00 Swindon 24 37 +10 -3.46 31.34 -1.54 74.54 6.84 21.00 0.55 2.50 59.94 18.87P 0.00R 0.00 Port_Vale 25 36 -3 5.26 75.89 2.98 62.91 6.67 -6.53 0.00 0.03 6.08 0.94P 1.34R 0.04 MK_Dons 24 35 +5 -3.62 30.79 -3.64 69.64 6.91 11.65 0.10 0.50 30.39 7.71P 0.13R 0.00 Coventry 24 32 +10 3.59 68.39 1.49 66.37 6.96 16.42 0.02 0.18 17.47 4.30P 0.38R 0.01 Bradford 25 32 +6 1.32 57.81 11.33 57.65 6.51 1.17 0.00 0.00 1.41 0.17P 5.71R 0.32 Colchester 25 31 -1 -0.35 48.65 3.44 57.01 6.48 -5.34 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.15P 7.33R 0.43 Crawley_Town 23 29 -5 0.25 52.09 -0.71 56.95 6.85 -10.44 0.00 0.00 1.30 0.19P 9.14R 0.66 Gillingham 26 29 -12 0.00 51.13 -1.25 51.43 6.28 -20.24 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 29.27R 3.60 Oldham 24 27 -5 -1.85 40.51 0.96 52.67 6.63 -11.49 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 22.49R 2.31 Carlisle 25 27 -17 0.25 52.70 -4.61 49.54 6.30 -27.44 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 41.52R 6.45 Shrewsbury 26 26 -6 -5.46 23.11 -0.04 50.47 6.19 -10.21 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 32.28R 4.23 Sheff_Utd 25 25 -9 -10.58 7.22 -10.99 55.13 6.56 -6.89 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.10P 12.46R 1.13 Tranmere 25 25 -16 -4.65 26.64 -8.94 51.09 6.46 -20.36 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 31.39R 4.43 Notts_County 26 24 -7 -11.24 6.72 -6.20 50.54 6.40 -8.48 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 31.53R 4.58 Crewe 25 24 -27 0.13 51.98 -9.27 43.33 6.11 -42.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.60R 33.38 Bristol_City 24 23 -3 -11.74 5.65 -5.47 54.21 7.01 -1.59 0.00 0.00 0.58 0.13P 16.56R 2.07 Stevenage 24 19 -21 -6.11 18.65 -8.94 42.61 6.48 -31.12 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 79.68R 36.36 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 11 January 2014, AFC_Wimbledon 0 2 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Scunthorpe 25 47 +14 3.95 69.76 1.13 83.58 6.68 25.38 43.38 81.63 98.48 87.12P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 25 45 +6 9.38 89.67 3.87 73.81 6.57 6.19 4.56 25.39 76.24 36.07P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 24 44 +18 2.48 63.17 5.62 81.35 6.74 28.29 30.98 72.87 96.80 80.67P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 25 43 +7 5.66 77.44 2.47 74.87 6.71 11.48 6.07 32.24 81.18 44.43P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 25 42 +9 2.85 65.27 1.86 75.21 6.51 15.48 7.08 34.87 84.06 49.20P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 24 41 +9 6.25 80.48 6.17 72.42 6.87 10.89 3.57 21.63 70.27 32.56P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 24 39 +13 1.82 59.97 6.73 72.39 6.75 17.78 3.74 22.23 72.29 36.26P 0.01R 0.00 Newport_County 24 38 +7 8.97 89.00 12.70 65.26 6.87 2.88 0.38 4.12 29.93 8.37P 0.32R 0.07 Morecambe 27 37 -4 1.87 60.10 -1.53 61.04 6.10 -6.68 0.02 0.56 9.83 2.48P 1.19R 0.30 Dag_&_Red 26 34 +0 -0.05 50.39 2.04 60.14 6.33 -1.65 0.02 0.49 9.29 2.41P 2.01R 0.60 Plymouth 25 34 -3 2.39 63.79 -0.14 60.35 6.35 -5.71 0.03 0.51 9.09 2.29P 1.91R 0.55 Cheltenham 25 33 -3 -1.64 41.38 -3.68 61.75 6.59 -2.84 0.06 0.97 13.93 4.13P 1.47R 0.42 Exeter 25 32 -3 -2.53 37.18 -3.43 61.19 6.63 -2.33 0.06 0.91 12.93 3.83P 1.74R 0.57 York 26 31 +0 -1.62 42.09 3.90 55.96 6.21 -3.21 0.01 0.09 2.76 0.66P 6.83R 2.35 AFC_Wimbledon 25 31 -2 1.03 56.45 4.10 55.76 6.40 -7.75 0.00 0.06 2.74 0.56P 8.48R 3.12 Hartlepool 25 31 -4 -4.17 29.26 -5.62 60.62 6.63 -2.45 0.02 0.63 11.29 3.46P 2.18R 0.68 Mansfield 26 29 -9 0.51 53.89 1.45 51.98 6.30 -15.21 0.00 0.00 0.62 0.11P 23.04R 10.65 Wycombe 24 28 -3 -4.05 29.09 -1.91 56.76 6.80 -4.97 0.01 0.22 4.63 1.27P 7.46R 3.00 Bury 25 27 -4 -7.93 14.76 -5.04 56.95 6.82 -2.31 0.01 0.21 4.84 1.48P 7.04R 2.77 Portsmouth 25 27 -9 -9.65 10.09 -12.56 58.23 6.76 -5.45 0.01 0.28 6.16 1.98P 5.26R 1.97 Bristol_Rovers 24 26 -4 -4.38 27.26 -0.76 54.28 6.67 -6.40 0.00 0.07 1.97 0.51P 13.18R 5.52 Accrington_Stanley 25 26 -8 -3.65 31.42 -1.34 50.06 6.38 -14.90 0.00 0.00 0.37 0.08P 32.83R 17.14 Torquay 26 26 -13 -5.95 21.36 -7.82 50.03 6.25 -17.77 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.05P 33.73R 17.46 Northampton 25 22 -14 -7.93 13.31 -8.19 47.21 6.45 -18.74 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 51.30R 32.83Conference (Latest match accounted for: Friday 10 January 2014, Welling 1 1 Dartford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 27 57 +34 6.53 81.13 11.96 93.87 5.81 51.50 66.45 99.89 78.58P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 24 52 +27 11.38 95.32 15.40 89.76 6.52 38.68 29.49 98.41 49.52P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 29 49 -2 12.33 94.02 4.05 71.80 5.62 -3.40 0.04 24.05 2.68P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 24 44 +14 2.10 61.41 0.56 80.61 6.48 24.49 3.05 80.07 25.70P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 28 42 +9 2.68 63.34 8.24 65.77 6.01 6.97 0.01 6.66 1.01P 0.02R 0.00 Barnet 27 42 +9 -3.41 32.31 -4.03 73.78 6.07 17.73 0.14 41.80 11.78P 0.00R 0.00 Kidderminster 25 42 +4 0.91 54.66 -7.01 76.08 6.47 12.32 0.63 54.34 13.09P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 26 41 +8 3.30 67.32 4.85 69.61 6.26 9.67 0.03 18.76 3.19P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 26 41 +2 7.17 83.73 4.73 65.77 6.02 -2.08 0.01 5.94 0.79P 0.02R 0.00 Salisbury 24 40 +5 8.26 87.24 7.08 68.03 6.84 1.19 0.06 13.94 2.06P 0.03R 0.00 Braintree_Town 24 38 +9 4.22 72.79 7.68 68.61 6.57 9.62 0.04 15.83 2.64P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 25 38 +5 0.86 54.99 0.55 66.79 6.50 4.78 0.03 9.91 1.80P 0.03R 0.00 Wrexham 26 35 +4 -8.07 13.73 -7.94 67.88 6.15 12.43 0.01 12.48 3.34P 0.01R 0.00 Welling 25 35 +2 3.74 69.82 7.21 64.27 6.66 2.71 0.00 5.32 0.87P 0.15R 0.00 Forest_Green 25 34 +6 -3.77 30.01 0.32 66.17 6.47 11.01 0.01 9.02 2.01P 0.05R 0.00 Hereford 26 32 -2 -5.86 21.61 -5.28 60.51 6.12 -0.14 0.00 1.13 0.24P 0.44R 0.00 Lincoln_City 27 32 -6 -1.50 42.48 -0.56 57.16 5.94 -7.54 0.00 0.21 0.04P 1.59R 0.00 Woking 24 29 -6 -1.16 44.31 -0.81 53.43 6.39 -16.22 0.00 0.10 0.01P 7.23R 0.00 Southport 25 26 -16 -1.73 41.14 -4.82 49.66 6.16 -24.56 0.00 0.00 0.00P 19.30R 0.00 Aldershot 25 25 +4 -6.13 20.30 -6.82 61.51 6.49 16.31 0.00 2.13 0.65P 0.46R 0.00 Tamworth 24 24 -18 -0.05 51.03 -3.80 47.72 6.28 -28.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.88R 0.02 Chester 25 22 -15 -2.59 36.65 -0.12 43.74 6.11 -26.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 56.47R 0.06 Dartford 27 19 -26 -9.63 8.15 -11.73 39.23 5.73 -35.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 83.32R 0.31 Hyde_United 26 3 -51 -16.53 0.09 -19.69 17.66 5.31 -75.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 100.00R 99.60 Adjustments: Aldershot -10