Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 8 January 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 January 2014, Arsenal 2 0 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 20 45 +21 5.98 83.62 2.80 79.34 5.66 36.68 24.01 53.82 77.29 90.42 99.12 0.00 0.00 Man_City 20 44 +34 0.49 51.60 6.42 82.57 5.27 58.91 53.50 79.41 92.46 97.56 99.86 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 20 43 +19 4.36 76.08 0.98 77.91 5.65 34.83 16.26 42.48 69.44 86.35 98.39 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 20 39 +23 1.02 56.20 5.64 73.16 5.87 37.81 4.92 16.82 36.52 63.20 92.90 0.00 0.00 Everton 20 38 +13 4.28 75.41 4.00 67.83 5.78 20.62 0.53 2.86 8.97 22.77 70.91 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 20 37 -1 6.19 83.53 -5.47 65.57 5.85 4.70 0.24 1.20 4.18 11.89 51.73 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 20 34 +9 -4.12 24.89 -7.85 68.55 5.59 25.10 0.53 3.39 11.02 27.11 77.43 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 20 33 +4 6.27 84.10 6.13 56.76 5.82 1.67 0.00 0.01 0.11 0.64 8.06 0.00R 0.00 Southampton 20 27 +3 1.31 59.36 6.68 51.04 5.88 1.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.40 0.21R 0.01 Hull 20 23 -3 2.07 64.77 7.92 42.27 5.69 -10.73 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 7.38R 0.90 Aston_Villa 20 23 -6 -0.12 50.27 1.05 43.49 5.55 -13.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 4.50R 0.49 Stoke 20 22 -11 0.02 51.31 -2.54 42.21 5.56 -17.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 7.74R 0.96 Swansea 20 21 -2 -4.06 26.04 2.34 45.01 5.72 -3.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 2.75R 0.26 West_Brom 20 21 -4 -4.66 22.80 -0.29 43.95 5.80 -7.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 4.48R 0.50 Norwich 20 20 -16 -1.11 43.49 -4.58 37.76 5.48 -27.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 28.05R 6.27 Fulham 20 19 -21 -2.41 35.39 -10.03 37.98 5.45 -32.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.42R 6.16 Cardiff 20 18 -17 -0.61 47.59 -2.69 35.78 5.39 -28.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.33R 11.73 Crystal_Palace 20 17 -16 -0.18 50.47 1.29 31.53 5.15 -32.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.57R 35.82 West_Ham 20 15 -11 -7.84 9.21 -3.36 35.10 5.54 -19.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.87R 12.69 Sunderland 20 14 -18 -7.02 11.88 -8.43 32.95 5.34 -28.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 60.70R 24.22Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 January 2014, Birmingham 1 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 24 51 +16 9.73 91.59 3.33 88.14 6.69 26.60 52.62 75.45 98.65 81.78P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 24 47 +18 8.22 87.64 9.18 82.43 6.73 25.84 19.08 44.41 92.38 56.50P 0.00 0.00 QPR 24 46 +12 6.38 81.70 2.32 81.56 6.72 19.85 14.69 36.76 89.56 51.67P 0.00 0.00 Derby 24 44 +18 5.98 79.23 10.19 79.21 6.73 25.87 9.64 26.45 83.69 40.14P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 24 40 +10 3.96 71.43 5.18 73.28 6.66 14.80 1.76 6.48 53.06 16.92P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 24 36 +9 2.38 63.39 7.72 66.71 6.75 9.89 0.23 1.01 19.31 4.77P 0.03R 0.00 Brighton 24 36 +7 -1.72 40.49 -0.23 69.89 6.69 12.59 0.56 2.46 33.67 10.83P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 24 35 +7 1.00 55.86 5.27 66.41 6.73 8.93 0.15 0.82 17.86 4.45P 0.03R 0.00 Reading 24 35 +2 -1.90 39.90 -4.10 69.29 6.88 8.30 0.45 2.03 30.27 9.43P 0.01R 0.00 Blackburn 24 34 +2 -0.11 49.71 0.09 65.12 6.71 3.65 0.08 0.48 12.63 3.11P 0.07R 0.00 Wigan 23 33 +2 -2.89 34.56 -4.41 69.29 7.02 9.33 0.52 2.27 30.51 9.86P 0.03R 0.00 Blackpool 24 32 -4 -1.13 44.04 -4.44 62.15 6.64 -3.82 0.01 0.13 5.65 1.31P 0.27R 0.01 Huddersfield 24 31 +4 -0.13 49.79 6.46 59.97 6.70 2.30 0.01 0.08 3.53 0.73P 0.64R 0.02 Watford 23 30 +6 -6.10 19.27 -1.12 65.77 7.07 12.37 0.17 0.92 17.66 5.59P 0.08R 0.00 Middlesbrough 24 30 +5 -3.73 30.44 3.71 60.98 6.79 6.14 0.02 0.12 5.12 1.23P 0.55R 0.02 Bournemouth 24 30 -10 3.74 70.77 0.92 54.27 6.69 -19.56 0.00 0.00 0.42 0.07P 5.56R 0.31 Birmingham 24 29 +1 -5.70 21.19 -1.75 60.04 6.77 2.50 0.01 0.10 3.69 0.97P 0.70R 0.02 Bolton 24 27 -5 -7.13 16.12 -6.84 58.31 6.83 -3.21 0.00 0.04 2.09 0.57P 1.53R 0.04 Charlton 24 24 -8 -6.95 16.23 -5.49 52.37 6.54 -10.26 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 8.02R 0.61 Sheff_Wed 23 22 -7 -5.64 20.39 -1.52 49.65 6.76 -12.46 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.03P 16.23R 1.82 Millwall 24 22 -23 -2.95 34.29 -10.55 45.46 6.41 -33.44 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 39.75R 7.29 Doncaster 24 21 -23 -0.69 47.46 -5.91 41.33 6.25 -38.10 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.54R 20.44 Yeovil 23 17 -18 -3.31 31.53 -0.62 38.10 6.34 -34.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.21R 37.94 Barnsley 24 17 -21 -7.06 14.32 -7.39 38.95 6.26 -33.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.77R 31.48League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 January 2014, Shrewsbury 0 2 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brentford 24 52 +19 11.39 94.58 7.60 89.75 6.75 30.29 36.29 64.44 99.04 73.71P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 24 51 +27 10.58 92.95 15.70 88.69 6.84 38.46 32.46 60.43 98.61 70.33P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 25 49 +20 2.20 60.89 1.53 87.51 6.54 34.39 24.90 52.28 98.24 68.21P 0.00 0.00 Preston 24 47 +11 10.59 92.84 5.83 80.23 6.82 15.52 4.28 13.41 84.32 27.24P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 24 39 +6 -0.46 47.26 -3.89 75.99 6.99 16.52 1.26 5.27 66.55 21.59P 0.01R 0.00 Rotherham 24 38 +6 7.24 83.53 9.77 66.64 6.90 3.35 0.04 0.24 16.60 2.59P 0.32R 0.01 Walsall 24 37 +5 2.79 65.38 2.94 68.80 6.75 7.46 0.08 0.45 25.43 5.40P 0.10R 0.00 Port_Vale 24 36 -1 5.76 78.26 3.63 63.97 6.91 -5.05 0.00 0.07 8.92 1.37P 1.12R 0.04 Swindon 23 34 +9 -4.89 24.48 -2.22 73.07 7.08 20.25 0.56 2.61 51.97 16.95P 0.04R 0.00 Coventry 24 32 +10 3.67 68.81 1.69 66.43 7.02 16.50 0.04 0.24 18.38 4.54P 0.46R 0.02 MK_Dons 23 32 +4 -4.74 25.02 -3.83 68.50 7.10 11.29 0.09 0.52 25.91 7.00P 0.23R 0.01 Bradford 24 31 +6 1.63 59.67 11.28 57.93 6.77 1.06 0.00 0.01 1.80 0.32P 6.41R 0.39 Crawley_Town 23 29 -5 0.35 52.70 -0.62 57.03 6.87 -10.32 0.00 0.00 1.25 0.18P 9.50R 0.82 Gillingham 25 29 -9 0.34 52.76 0.03 53.24 6.53 -16.40 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.03P 21.39R 2.62 Colchester 24 28 -4 -0.87 45.96 2.10 54.93 6.64 -8.99 0.00 0.00 0.50 0.08P 14.52R 1.47 Carlisle 24 27 -13 0.11 51.61 -3.21 50.77 6.57 -23.63 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 35.26R 5.72 Shrewsbury 25 26 -5 -4.59 26.42 0.09 51.40 6.37 -9.75 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 28.46R 4.04 Sheff_Utd 24 25 -8 -9.54 9.04 -10.48 56.75 6.77 -5.51 0.00 0.00 0.97 0.23P 9.32R 0.86 Oldham 23 24 -6 -3.16 32.91 0.49 51.03 6.86 -12.55 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 32.19R 5.55 Tranmere 24 24 -16 -4.40 27.07 -9.12 51.25 6.68 -20.61 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 32.28R 5.38 Crewe 24 24 -25 0.84 56.28 -8.74 44.48 6.27 -40.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.55R 29.11 Bristol_City 23 22 -3 -11.22 6.15 -5.26 54.67 7.23 -1.48 0.00 0.00 0.75 0.16P 16.58R 2.14 Notts_County 25 21 -8 -12.49 4.02 -6.71 48.67 6.55 -9.81 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 43.71R 9.45 Stevenage 23 19 -20 -5.22 22.20 -8.58 43.83 6.69 -30.32 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 74.57R 32.38 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 4 January 2014, Exeter 0 1 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Scunthorpe 24 44 +12 3.25 66.51 0.42 82.09 6.95 23.52 42.94 78.51 96.88 84.42P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 24 42 +5 8.13 86.94 3.40 72.07 6.72 5.04 4.24 22.10 66.39 31.43P 0.01R 0.00 Chesterfield 23 41 +14 2.31 62.61 3.74 79.03 6.92 23.38 24.96 64.45 93.05 73.73P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 24 41 +9 3.23 67.21 1.88 75.83 6.73 15.79 11.71 43.95 84.98 55.85P 0.00 0.00 Rochdale 24 40 +4 4.84 74.58 0.71 72.32 6.85 7.14 4.40 24.22 68.15 34.76P 0.02R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 23 38 +13 2.26 62.53 6.84 73.00 6.89 18.17 6.64 30.02 74.22 42.10P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 23 38 +8 4.97 75.67 5.72 70.39 7.00 9.28 3.27 17.77 58.78 27.15P 0.04R 0.01 Newport_County 23 37 +7 9.27 90.37 12.45 65.65 7.03 3.03 0.76 6.15 32.01 10.53P 0.32R 0.10 Morecambe 26 36 -4 2.22 62.12 -1.49 61.45 6.30 -6.62 0.08 1.01 11.60 3.11P 1.28R 0.29 Dag_&_Red 25 34 +1 1.01 56.03 2.66 61.80 6.53 -0.24 0.13 1.55 14.54 4.33P 1.16R 0.33 Cheltenham 24 33 -2 -0.46 47.95 -2.92 62.99 6.76 -2.04 0.22 2.32 18.95 6.24P 1.05R 0.29 Plymouth 24 33 -3 2.65 65.45 -0.24 60.42 6.54 -6.09 0.05 0.80 9.66 2.59P 2.18R 0.60 Exeter 24 32 -2 -1.45 42.51 -2.81 62.85 6.82 -0.85 0.24 2.40 19.13 6.53P 1.07R 0.32 AFC_Wimbledon 24 31 +0 1.83 60.82 5.27 57.83 6.63 -4.72 0.04 0.39 5.53 1.42P 5.11R 1.79 Hartlepool 24 31 -1 -3.69 30.96 -3.84 62.93 6.84 1.87 0.20 2.46 19.93 7.44P 1.09R 0.30 Mansfield 25 29 -7 0.89 55.91 1.98 53.38 6.57 -13.23 0.01 0.06 1.30 0.31P 17.56R 7.72 York 25 28 -2 -2.53 36.85 2.92 53.62 6.35 -6.21 0.00 0.05 1.34 0.26P 14.20R 5.77 Bury 24 27 +0 -8.27 13.36 -3.50 59.02 7.02 2.76 0.06 0.84 9.29 3.34P 4.11R 1.48 Wycombe 23 27 -3 -3.66 30.61 -1.84 57.02 6.92 -5.12 0.02 0.33 5.19 1.41P 7.36R 2.89 Portsmouth 24 26 -9 -9.51 10.06 -12.87 58.44 6.96 -5.75 0.03 0.55 7.08 2.57P 5.27R 1.93 Accrington_Stanley 24 25 -8 -3.25 32.97 -1.40 50.42 6.57 -14.77 0.00 0.01 0.47 0.11P 31.13R 16.03 Bristol_Rovers 23 23 -5 -5.69 20.78 -1.33 52.51 6.82 -7.62 0.00 0.04 1.19 0.30P 20.22R 9.52 Torquay 25 23 -15 -6.93 16.77 -8.86 47.62 6.36 -20.94 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 48.97R 29.76 Northampton 24 22 -12 -7.02 15.74 -6.88 49.26 6.60 -15.78 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.05P 37.83R 20.85Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 7 January 2014, Lincoln_City 4 1 Alfreton_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 27 57 +34 6.62 81.47 12.02 93.77 5.80 51.32 66.55 99.87 78.66P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 24 52 +27 11.49 95.46 15.60 89.66 6.48 38.57 29.18 98.47 49.30P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 29 49 -2 12.14 93.82 3.78 71.75 5.62 -3.41 0.05 23.15 2.63P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 24 44 +14 1.96 60.49 0.29 80.82 6.50 24.81 3.27 80.57 26.13P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 28 42 +9 2.54 62.73 8.06 65.79 5.97 7.01 0.01 6.40 1.11P 0.02R 0.00 Barnet 27 42 +9 -3.36 32.54 -3.97 73.65 6.06 17.53 0.17 40.10 11.14P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 25 42 +4 1.11 55.80 -6.68 75.90 6.44 12.02 0.60 52.30 12.59P 0.00 0.00 Gateshead 26 41 +8 3.30 67.50 4.84 69.56 6.26 9.56 0.04 18.23 3.23P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 26 41 +2 7.17 83.74 4.70 65.81 6.04 -2.02 0.01 5.79 0.72P 0.03R 0.00 Salisbury 24 40 +5 8.23 87.22 7.05 68.10 6.78 1.32 0.04 13.66 2.07P 0.02R 0.00 Braintree_Town 24 38 +9 4.19 72.54 7.62 68.64 6.56 9.64 0.03 15.88 2.64P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 25 38 +5 0.81 54.40 0.44 66.71 6.51 4.64 0.02 9.39 1.73P 0.03R 0.00 Wrexham 26 35 +4 -8.12 13.57 -8.05 67.90 6.18 12.52 0.01 12.10 3.21P 0.02R 0.00 Welling 24 34 +2 4.17 72.37 7.30 65.81 6.90 4.49 0.01 8.69 1.41P 0.15R 0.00 Forest_Green 24 33 +6 -3.04 33.41 0.84 67.09 6.71 11.83 0.02 11.78 2.50P 0.06R 0.00 Lincoln_City 27 32 -6 -1.57 42.05 -0.64 57.31 6.03 -7.36 0.00 0.22 0.04P 1.61R 0.00 Hereford 25 31 -2 -5.69 21.74 -5.59 60.39 6.31 -0.96 0.00 1.30 0.23P 0.48R 0.00 Woking 24 29 -6 -1.09 44.55 -0.79 53.42 6.37 -16.18 0.00 0.07 0.00P 7.12R 0.00 Southport 25 26 -16 -1.66 41.35 -4.72 49.60 6.11 -24.68 0.00 0.01 0.00P 19.39R 0.01 Aldershot 25 25 +4 -6.06 20.30 -6.68 61.46 6.47 16.23 0.00 2.02 0.65P 0.48R 0.00 Tamworth 24 24 -18 -0.18 50.28 -3.96 47.84 6.30 -28.49 0.00 0.00 0.00 30.03R 0.03 Chester 25 22 -15 -2.59 36.54 -0.10 43.77 6.16 -26.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.65R 0.07 Dartford 26 18 -26 -9.39 8.21 -11.84 38.73 5.86 -36.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.92R 0.43 Hyde_United 26 3 -51 -16.49 0.09 -19.53 17.62 5.31 -75.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 99.46 Adjustments: Aldershot -10