Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 3 January 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 January 2014, Arsenal 2 0 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 20 45 +21 6.00 83.86 2.82 79.37 5.65 36.71 23.86 54.03 77.70 90.77 99.15 0.00 0.00 Man_City 20 44 +34 0.60 52.50 6.62 82.57 5.25 58.85 53.57 79.55 92.35 97.63 99.83 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 20 43 +19 4.34 75.84 0.91 77.91 5.62 34.90 16.37 42.38 69.46 86.28 98.54 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 20 39 +23 1.06 56.55 5.68 73.10 5.87 37.74 4.75 16.53 36.33 62.93 92.72 0.00 0.00 Everton 20 38 +13 4.28 75.32 4.01 67.75 5.80 20.55 0.59 2.82 8.67 22.18 70.43 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 20 37 -1 6.21 83.83 -5.44 65.57 5.86 4.68 0.21 1.25 4.21 11.92 51.57 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 20 34 +9 -4.22 24.44 -8.02 68.60 5.60 25.29 0.66 3.44 11.15 27.60 78.06 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 20 33 +4 6.19 83.82 5.97 56.86 5.76 1.80 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.64 8.13 0.01R 0.00 Southampton 20 27 +3 1.26 58.75 6.59 51.11 5.87 1.57 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 1.38 0.19R 0.01 Hull 20 23 -3 2.12 65.25 8.02 42.21 5.69 -10.86 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 7.39R 0.87 Aston_Villa 20 23 -6 -0.17 49.93 1.00 43.49 5.54 -13.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 4.71R 0.46 Stoke 20 22 -11 0.00 51.18 -2.56 42.21 5.57 -17.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 7.85R 1.02 Swansea 20 21 -2 -4.11 25.73 2.25 45.03 5.70 -3.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 2.81R 0.26 West_Brom 20 21 -4 -4.73 22.05 -0.42 44.03 5.83 -7.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 4.23R 0.49 Norwich 20 20 -16 -1.12 43.56 -4.64 37.82 5.45 -27.72 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.39R 5.73 Fulham 20 19 -21 -2.39 35.77 -9.99 37.97 5.50 -32.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.62R 6.24 Cardiff 20 18 -17 -0.50 48.36 -2.50 35.67 5.41 -29.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.23R 12.07 Crystal_Palace 20 17 -16 -0.09 51.12 1.43 31.46 5.12 -32.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.73R 36.02 West_Ham 20 15 -11 -7.94 9.27 -3.39 35.23 5.54 -18.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.52R 11.99 Sunderland 20 14 -18 -6.95 11.96 -8.34 32.83 5.32 -28.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.33R 24.83Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 January 2014, Birmingham 1 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 24 51 +16 9.70 91.50 3.24 88.19 6.73 26.66 53.19 75.68 98.41 81.92P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 24 47 +18 8.17 87.44 9.16 82.48 6.68 25.97 18.76 44.23 92.35 56.45P 0.00 0.00 QPR 24 46 +12 6.44 81.91 2.39 81.51 6.67 19.81 14.35 36.32 89.58 51.51P 0.00 0.00 Derby 24 44 +18 5.79 78.65 9.88 79.33 6.79 26.06 9.87 27.09 84.24 40.60P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 24 40 +10 3.98 70.85 5.24 73.22 6.70 14.69 1.75 6.50 53.10 16.96P 0.00 0.00 Ipswich 24 36 +9 2.35 63.19 7.70 66.68 6.78 9.86 0.21 1.01 19.46 4.68P 0.03R 0.00 Brighton 24 36 +7 -1.73 40.33 -0.25 69.98 6.63 12.74 0.47 2.35 34.37 11.16P 0.00R 0.00 Leeds_United 24 35 +7 0.85 55.08 5.05 66.48 6.73 9.03 0.15 0.85 18.20 4.40P 0.04R 0.00 Reading 24 35 +2 -1.89 39.86 -4.02 69.21 6.91 8.18 0.45 2.09 29.89 9.41P 0.02R 0.00 Blackburn 24 34 +2 -0.13 49.75 -0.00 65.21 6.74 3.79 0.08 0.49 12.87 3.26P 0.08R 0.00 Wigan 23 33 +2 -2.67 35.51 -4.13 69.05 6.97 8.97 0.48 2.10 29.20 9.55P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 24 32 -4 -0.99 45.00 -4.26 62.08 6.65 -3.96 0.01 0.14 5.50 1.20P 0.28R 0.00 Huddersfield 24 31 +4 -0.01 50.53 6.67 59.91 6.68 2.14 0.01 0.07 3.43 0.69P 0.66R 0.02 Watford 23 30 +6 -6.08 19.46 -1.10 65.77 7.03 12.38 0.18 0.86 17.48 5.40P 0.08R 0.00 Middlesbrough 24 30 +5 -3.77 30.37 3.65 61.01 6.78 6.21 0.01 0.11 5.20 1.15P 0.46R 0.02 Bournemouth 24 30 -10 3.90 71.74 1.21 54.07 6.70 -19.87 0.00 0.00 0.45 0.07P 5.85R 0.42 Birmingham 24 29 +1 -5.78 21.23 -1.86 60.11 6.80 2.64 0.01 0.08 3.94 1.02P 0.70R 0.02 Bolton 24 27 -5 -7.00 16.53 -6.72 58.29 6.81 -3.25 0.00 0.03 2.06 0.52P 1.51R 0.08 Charlton 24 24 -8 -7.06 15.73 -5.70 52.53 6.59 -10.04 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.04P 7.79R 0.63 Sheff_Wed 23 22 -7 -5.64 20.52 -1.46 49.56 6.75 -12.59 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 16.70R 1.91 Millwall 24 22 -23 -3.03 33.68 -10.73 45.61 6.44 -33.21 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 39.06R 6.94 Doncaster 24 21 -23 -0.75 47.26 -6.01 41.37 6.26 -38.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.17R 20.26 Yeovil 23 17 -18 -3.25 32.02 -0.56 38.03 6.36 -34.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.59R 38.61 Barnsley 24 17 -21 -7.08 14.14 -7.39 39.02 6.26 -33.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.96R 31.10League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Friday 3 January 2014, Gillingham 1 0 Wolverhampton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brentford 24 52 +19 11.44 94.58 7.62 89.75 6.78 30.32 39.23 66.48 98.98 75.02P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 25 49 +20 2.32 61.71 1.63 87.43 6.51 34.30 26.42 54.80 98.19 69.69P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 23 48 +25 9.57 91.25 14.68 87.19 7.08 36.60 27.35 53.63 97.45 64.59P 0.00 0.00 Preston 24 47 +11 10.53 92.78 5.69 80.20 6.77 15.48 4.59 14.46 84.34 28.34P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 24 39 +6 -0.61 46.61 -4.06 76.02 7.00 16.56 1.41 5.69 66.68 21.83P 0.01R 0.00 Rotherham 24 38 +6 7.00 82.66 9.44 66.85 6.95 3.65 0.07 0.34 17.64 3.04P 0.33R 0.01 Walsall 24 37 +5 2.88 65.80 3.08 68.83 6.76 7.49 0.09 0.55 25.53 5.56P 0.11R 0.00 Port_Vale 24 36 -1 5.74 78.31 3.56 63.99 6.92 -4.97 0.02 0.10 8.91 1.44P 1.14R 0.02 Swindon 23 34 +9 -4.89 24.33 -2.19 73.04 7.06 20.17 0.65 2.95 51.94 17.72P 0.02R 0.00 Coventry 24 32 +10 3.64 68.68 1.64 66.47 7.00 16.49 0.05 0.32 18.37 4.66P 0.40R 0.03 MK_Dons 23 32 +4 -4.75 25.35 -3.84 68.46 7.13 11.25 0.12 0.65 25.73 6.97P 0.25R 0.02 Bradford 24 31 +6 1.66 59.58 11.34 57.91 6.79 0.95 0.00 0.01 1.83 0.31P 6.57R 0.49 Crawley_Town 23 29 -5 0.38 52.99 -0.60 57.00 6.83 -10.33 0.00 0.00 1.19 0.19P 9.73R 0.77 Gillingham 25 29 -9 0.50 53.56 0.27 53.08 6.55 -16.64 0.00 0.00 0.23 0.03P 22.93R 2.72 Colchester 24 28 -4 -0.71 46.71 2.29 54.74 6.68 -9.27 0.00 0.00 0.52 0.08P 15.64R 1.62 Carlisle 24 27 -13 -0.08 50.66 -3.48 51.03 6.56 -23.24 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 34.38R 5.31 Shrewsbury 24 26 -3 -4.06 28.64 0.90 52.93 6.61 -7.51 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.04P 22.01R 2.75 Sheff_Utd 24 25 -8 -9.43 9.35 -10.38 56.72 6.81 -5.54 0.00 0.00 1.02 0.22P 9.90R 0.86 Oldham 23 24 -6 -3.00 33.55 0.62 50.92 6.73 -12.69 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 32.91R 5.60 Tranmere 24 24 -16 -4.39 27.35 -9.06 51.24 6.73 -20.60 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.02P 33.38R 5.38 Crewe 24 24 -25 0.84 56.37 -8.75 44.54 6.31 -40.61 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 73.70R 29.54 Bristol_City 23 22 -3 -11.20 6.16 -5.20 54.62 7.24 -1.57 0.00 0.00 0.76 0.20P 16.81R 2.42 Notts_County 25 21 -8 -12.45 4.25 -6.63 48.67 6.59 -9.85 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 44.44R 9.70 Stevenage 23 19 -20 -5.19 22.56 -8.54 43.75 6.66 -30.45 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 75.35R 32.76 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 January 2014, Dag_&_Red 1 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Scunthorpe 24 44 +12 3.39 67.44 0.64 82.05 6.84 23.54 41.91 77.51 96.50 83.54P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 24 42 +5 8.14 87.02 3.41 72.01 6.73 4.93 4.22 20.87 63.66 29.82P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 23 41 +14 2.17 61.89 3.52 79.15 6.92 23.54 25.45 63.84 92.39 72.93P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 24 41 +9 3.24 67.53 1.90 75.81 6.75 15.79 11.48 42.52 83.17 54.31P 0.00R 0.00 Rochdale 24 40 +4 4.88 74.79 0.74 72.19 6.90 6.95 4.40 22.81 64.89 32.77P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 23 38 +13 2.30 62.75 6.89 72.89 6.96 17.99 6.33 28.75 71.02 40.53P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 23 38 +8 4.99 76.00 5.74 70.38 6.97 9.22 3.03 16.96 56.03 25.78P 0.03R 0.01 Newport_County 22 37 +8 10.42 93.42 13.13 67.60 7.27 4.94 1.57 9.87 39.77 15.02P 0.16R 0.03 Morecambe 25 35 -4 2.48 63.90 -1.65 61.80 6.50 -6.66 0.09 1.27 12.00 3.51P 0.95R 0.24 Dag_&_Red 24 34 +3 1.97 61.15 4.00 63.42 6.80 2.17 0.25 2.76 19.75 6.55P 0.57R 0.14 Cheltenham 24 33 -2 -0.69 46.75 -3.27 63.09 6.72 -1.91 0.19 2.19 17.48 6.01P 0.69R 0.20 Plymouth 24 33 -3 2.62 65.26 -0.28 60.41 6.52 -6.07 0.05 0.79 8.74 2.44P 1.66R 0.46 Exeter 23 32 -1 -0.05 50.09 -1.77 65.07 7.02 1.36 0.59 4.73 27.05 10.13P 0.44R 0.11 Hartlepool 24 31 -1 -3.81 30.45 -3.98 63.09 6.87 2.07 0.26 2.60 18.80 7.14P 0.74R 0.19 AFC_Wimbledon 23 28 -3 0.96 56.44 3.39 54.93 6.76 -9.57 0.01 0.14 2.16 0.53P 10.27R 4.04 Bury 24 27 +0 -8.29 13.34 -3.56 59.00 6.97 2.70 0.03 0.70 8.08 2.83P 3.21R 1.13 Wycombe 22 27 +0 -2.98 33.56 0.14 59.54 7.18 -0.43 0.10 1.16 9.73 3.29P 3.06R 1.05 Mansfield 24 26 -8 -0.71 46.93 1.12 51.04 6.69 -15.35 0.00 0.02 0.51 0.14P 24.43R 11.49 Portsmouth 24 26 -9 -9.43 10.18 -12.80 58.33 6.89 -5.89 0.04 0.42 5.80 2.10P 4.36R 1.64 York 24 25 -4 -3.60 30.91 1.69 51.66 6.56 -8.64 0.00 0.01 0.68 0.16P 19.63R 8.66 Accrington_Stanley 24 25 -8 -3.25 32.81 -1.39 50.36 6.55 -14.84 0.00 0.01 0.35 0.09P 26.92R 13.24 Bristol_Rovers 23 23 -5 -5.49 21.50 -1.01 52.35 6.87 -7.89 0.00 0.05 1.15 0.33P 17.72R 8.02 Torquay 24 22 -15 -6.64 17.51 -8.90 48.14 6.59 -20.76 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 40.77R 22.77 Northampton 23 19 -13 -8.56 10.10 -7.70 47.34 6.80 -17.17 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.03P 44.36R 26.56Conference (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 January 2014, Alfreton_Town 1 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 26 56 +34 7.01 83.59 12.04 94.55 6.03 51.95 69.09 99.85 80.43P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 24 52 +27 11.45 95.31 15.59 89.71 6.54 38.60 27.01 98.22 47.92P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 27 49 +2 13.17 95.74 4.81 74.14 6.00 -0.08 0.20 36.43 4.51P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 24 44 +14 2.12 61.41 0.57 80.68 6.51 24.50 2.81 78.04 25.22P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 27 42 +11 3.17 65.93 8.69 67.80 6.31 10.07 0.02 11.47 1.89P 0.01R 0.00 Kidderminster 25 42 +4 0.89 54.64 -6.95 76.07 6.45 12.31 0.52 51.39 13.00P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 25 41 +3 8.10 86.88 5.05 67.17 6.27 -1.03 0.01 8.50 1.17P 0.01R 0.00 Salisbury 24 40 +5 8.03 86.40 6.65 68.43 6.86 1.81 0.08 14.00 2.15P 0.02R 0.00 Barnet 26 39 +8 -4.44 27.48 -4.08 72.97 6.32 18.08 0.14 34.82 10.11P 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 24 38 +9 4.08 71.96 7.50 68.76 6.63 9.80 0.03 15.13 2.70P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 25 38 +5 0.92 55.34 0.71 66.73 6.52 4.66 0.02 8.77 1.62P 0.03R 0.00 Gateshead 25 38 +4 3.48 68.46 3.99 68.35 6.40 6.41 0.01 12.69 2.22P 0.01R 0.00 Welling 24 34 +2 4.40 73.30 7.62 65.53 6.91 4.06 0.01 7.45 1.13P 0.10R 0.00 Forest_Green 24 33 +6 -3.02 33.43 0.88 67.07 6.70 11.80 0.02 10.64 2.31P 0.03R 0.00 Wrexham 25 32 +3 -9.17 10.30 -8.03 66.31 6.42 11.46 0.01 7.90 2.28P 0.03R 0.00 Hereford 25 31 -2 -5.69 21.84 -5.59 60.38 6.36 -0.95 0.00 1.14 0.26P 0.35R 0.00 Woking 24 29 -6 -1.01 45.15 -0.59 53.51 6.39 -16.01 0.00 0.07 0.01P 5.54R 0.00 Lincoln_City 25 28 -9 -1.88 39.97 -2.10 55.15 6.42 -11.72 0.00 0.13 0.02P 3.12R 0.00 Aldershot 24 25 +5 -5.11 24.30 -6.30 62.62 6.76 16.89 0.00 3.36 1.04P 0.30R 0.00 Southport 24 23 -17 -2.93 34.22 -4.99 47.91 6.36 -25.90 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.24R 0.03 Chester 25 22 -15 -2.64 36.29 -0.24 43.80 6.18 -26.08 0.00 0.00 0.00 47.90R 0.08 Tamworth 23 21 -20 -1.24 43.66 -5.01 45.58 6.45 -31.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.57R 0.10 Dartford 26 18 -26 -9.40 8.47 -11.89 38.76 5.88 -36.78 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.74R 0.63 Hyde_United 25 3 -47 -16.39 0.07 -18.32 18.45 5.47 -72.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 99.16 Adjustments: Aldershot -10