Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Wednesday 1 January 2014 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 January 2014, Arsenal 2 0 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 20 45 +21 5.99 83.59 2.77 79.33 5.62 36.65 23.25 53.81 77.29 90.63 99.18 0.00 0.00 Man_City 20 44 +34 0.50 51.87 6.40 82.61 5.22 58.94 54.09 79.84 92.55 97.65 99.86 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 20 43 +19 4.28 75.60 0.86 77.93 5.69 34.93 16.67 42.76 69.40 86.09 98.43 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 20 39 +23 1.08 56.43 5.72 73.05 5.84 37.68 4.65 16.17 35.88 62.55 92.62 0.00 0.00 Everton 20 38 +13 4.24 75.06 4.00 67.82 5.81 20.63 0.52 2.80 9.26 22.97 70.89 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 20 37 -1 6.12 83.65 -5.59 65.60 5.83 4.73 0.22 1.12 4.16 11.93 51.86 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 20 34 +9 -4.20 24.31 -7.97 68.58 5.61 25.19 0.60 3.49 11.34 27.44 77.70 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 20 33 +4 6.27 84.18 6.12 56.78 5.80 1.74 0.00 0.01 0.12 0.68 7.85 0.00R 0.00 Southampton 20 27 +3 1.23 58.43 6.55 51.12 5.86 1.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 1.36 0.14R 0.01 Hull 20 23 -3 2.17 65.47 8.07 42.15 5.70 -10.88 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 7.83R 0.91 Aston_Villa 20 23 -6 -0.01 51.02 1.21 43.38 5.54 -13.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 4.85R 0.50 Stoke 20 22 -11 0.05 51.46 -2.57 42.22 5.59 -17.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 7.92R 1.03 Swansea 20 21 -2 -4.05 26.10 2.32 45.05 5.74 -3.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 2.75R 0.32 West_Brom 20 21 -4 -4.59 22.86 -0.20 43.92 5.78 -7.48 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 4.45R 0.55 Norwich 20 20 -16 -1.18 42.96 -4.69 37.88 5.44 -27.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.03R 5.53 Fulham 20 19 -21 -2.44 35.45 -10.09 38.04 5.49 -32.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 27.15R 6.02 Cardiff 20 18 -17 -0.52 48.12 -2.54 35.73 5.41 -28.96 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 41.72R 11.94 Crystal_Palace 20 17 -16 -0.20 50.38 1.31 31.55 5.14 -32.13 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 72.15R 35.54 West_Ham 20 15 -11 -7.84 9.36 -3.27 35.18 5.55 -19.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 42.03R 12.47 Sunderland 20 14 -18 -6.99 11.65 -8.39 32.82 5.34 -28.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.97R 25.18Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 January 2014, Birmingham 1 1 Barnsley; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 24 51 +16 9.79 91.57 3.40 88.13 6.73 26.62 52.98 75.71 98.49 81.94P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 24 47 +18 8.23 87.78 9.24 82.42 6.67 25.86 18.98 44.44 92.39 56.53P 0.00 0.00 QPR 24 46 +12 6.45 82.06 2.42 81.44 6.61 19.72 14.29 35.87 89.57 51.31P 0.00 0.00 Derby 24 44 +18 5.89 78.93 10.08 79.19 6.79 25.81 9.81 26.94 83.70 40.20P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 24 40 +10 3.90 70.81 5.09 73.34 6.72 14.88 1.82 6.73 53.88 17.75P 0.00R 0.00 Ipswich 24 36 +9 2.41 63.53 7.75 66.65 6.72 9.82 0.20 0.99 18.96 4.58P 0.02R 0.00 Brighton 24 36 +7 -1.70 40.55 -0.23 69.96 6.62 12.68 0.54 2.47 33.76 10.86P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 24 35 +7 1.00 55.92 5.28 66.37 6.73 8.91 0.19 0.88 18.04 4.42P 0.04R 0.00 Reading 24 35 +2 -1.94 39.62 -4.11 69.22 6.89 8.17 0.50 2.16 29.97 9.60P 0.01R 0.00 Blackburn 24 34 +2 -0.24 48.87 -0.17 65.33 6.74 4.00 0.10 0.53 13.37 3.37P 0.08R 0.00 Wigan 23 33 +2 -2.67 35.35 -4.09 69.06 6.96 8.94 0.41 2.04 29.31 9.55P 0.02R 0.00 Blackpool 24 32 -4 -1.04 44.56 -4.32 62.08 6.64 -3.93 0.02 0.11 5.58 1.19P 0.28R 0.01 Huddersfield 24 31 +4 -0.02 50.37 6.68 59.90 6.65 2.13 0.00 0.05 3.40 0.65P 0.63R 0.02 Watford 23 30 +6 -6.13 19.36 -1.16 65.79 7.04 12.39 0.16 0.87 17.78 5.32P 0.08R 0.00 Middlesbrough 24 30 +5 -3.68 30.90 3.79 60.92 6.78 6.07 0.01 0.11 5.10 1.20P 0.52R 0.02 Bournemouth 24 30 -10 3.84 71.40 1.14 54.18 6.68 -19.65 0.00 0.01 0.47 0.06P 5.75R 0.38 Birmingham 24 29 +1 -5.85 20.86 -1.97 60.17 6.76 2.68 0.00 0.07 3.91 0.92P 0.64R 0.02 Bolton 24 27 -5 -7.06 16.32 -6.76 58.25 6.83 -3.31 0.00 0.02 2.06 0.47P 1.55R 0.06 Charlton 24 24 -8 -6.94 16.09 -5.53 52.55 6.60 -10.06 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 7.85R 0.60 Sheff_Wed 23 22 -7 -5.79 19.99 -1.70 49.74 6.75 -12.37 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.02P 16.07R 1.84 Millwall 24 22 -23 -2.96 34.26 -10.63 45.52 6.40 -33.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.84R 7.27 Doncaster 24 21 -23 -0.81 46.76 -6.09 41.36 6.24 -38.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.77R 20.21 Yeovil 23 17 -18 -3.43 30.83 -0.86 38.21 6.39 -34.36 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 80.96R 37.33 Barnsley 24 17 -21 -7.01 14.62 -7.26 38.94 6.33 -33.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.88R 32.23League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 January 2014, Crewe 2 1 Carlisle; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Brentford 24 52 +19 11.56 94.68 7.81 89.55 6.81 30.06 32.81 61.58 98.89 71.47P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 24 49 +21 3.56 68.45 2.39 90.06 6.75 37.22 38.09 66.98 99.04 78.21P 0.00 0.00 Leyton_Orient 23 48 +25 9.54 91.12 14.58 87.19 7.06 36.64 23.34 49.61 97.52 61.86P 0.00 0.00 Preston 24 47 +11 10.51 92.80 5.70 80.26 6.83 15.57 3.87 12.91 84.48 27.09P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 24 39 +6 -0.79 45.65 -4.40 76.18 6.92 16.88 1.16 4.81 67.53 21.88P 0.01R 0.00 Rotherham 24 38 +6 7.24 83.66 9.83 66.60 6.90 3.29 0.04 0.24 16.41 2.60P 0.33R 0.01 Walsall 24 37 +5 2.85 65.54 3.02 68.87 6.81 7.56 0.08 0.51 25.62 5.54P 0.10R 0.00 Port_Vale 24 36 -1 5.91 78.64 3.87 63.85 6.98 -5.26 0.01 0.09 8.73 1.42P 1.19R 0.04 Swindon 23 34 +9 -4.98 24.12 -2.33 73.15 7.06 20.34 0.49 2.50 52.51 17.32P 0.02R 0.00 Coventry 24 32 +10 3.77 69.21 1.84 66.37 7.03 16.37 0.04 0.29 18.07 4.71P 0.45R 0.01 MK_Dons 23 32 +4 -4.55 26.25 -3.54 68.21 7.14 10.93 0.09 0.49 24.94 6.78P 0.25R 0.01 Bradford 24 31 +6 1.49 58.66 11.14 57.99 6.82 1.06 0.00 0.00 2.04 0.30P 6.18R 0.39 Crawley_Town 23 29 -5 0.42 52.77 -0.51 56.92 6.86 -10.43 0.00 0.00 1.22 0.21P 9.45R 0.82 Colchester 24 28 -4 -0.67 47.11 2.39 54.67 6.66 -9.43 0.00 0.00 0.47 0.07P 15.12R 1.57 Carlisle 24 27 -13 0.11 51.47 -3.17 50.81 6.53 -23.55 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 34.33R 5.27 Shrewsbury 24 26 -3 -3.96 29.31 1.02 52.88 6.57 -7.59 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.04P 21.06R 2.60 Gillingham 24 26 -10 -1.38 43.66 -0.91 50.60 6.72 -19.12 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.01P 35.17R 6.14 Sheff_Utd 24 25 -8 -9.44 9.19 -10.37 56.72 6.75 -5.56 0.00 0.00 0.91 0.21P 9.23R 0.80 Oldham 23 24 -6 -3.02 33.85 0.63 50.96 6.82 -12.69 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.04P 31.75R 5.57 Tranmere 24 24 -16 -4.40 27.25 -9.09 51.38 6.73 -20.42 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.01P 30.91R 5.19 Crewe 24 24 -25 0.59 54.63 -9.20 44.72 6.29 -40.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 71.78R 27.75 Bristol_City 23 22 -3 -11.38 5.89 -5.46 54.83 7.24 -1.24 0.00 0.00 0.84 0.20P 15.52R 2.12 Notts_County 25 21 -8 -12.45 4.23 -6.71 48.65 6.54 -9.89 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 43.36R 9.24 Stevenage 23 19 -20 -5.18 22.45 -8.52 43.78 6.70 -30.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.77R 32.48 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 January 2014, Dag_&_Red 1 0 AFC_Wimbledon; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Scunthorpe 24 44 +12 3.27 67.04 0.49 82.04 6.87 23.50 42.25 77.49 96.55 83.54P 0.00 0.00 Burton_Albion 24 42 +5 8.11 86.89 3.33 72.09 6.68 5.04 4.22 21.48 63.97 30.57P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 23 41 +14 2.19 62.14 3.58 79.04 6.93 23.44 25.24 63.33 92.02 72.52P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 24 41 +9 3.26 67.32 1.97 75.70 6.72 15.64 11.27 42.28 82.88 54.10P 0.00R 0.00 Rochdale 24 40 +4 4.88 74.91 0.77 72.22 6.90 7.00 4.45 22.84 64.96 32.64P 0.01R 0.00 Oxford_Utd 23 38 +13 2.37 63.10 7.00 72.83 6.94 17.93 6.21 28.46 71.07 40.19P 0.00 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 23 38 +8 4.90 75.36 5.64 70.32 6.99 9.16 3.12 17.07 55.33 25.65P 0.02R 0.01 Newport_County 22 37 +8 10.41 93.19 13.07 67.59 7.28 4.88 1.62 10.04 39.91 15.27P 0.16R 0.03 Morecambe 25 35 -4 2.58 64.31 -1.50 61.70 6.49 -6.81 0.10 1.14 11.65 3.25P 1.02R 0.25 Dag_&_Red 24 34 +3 1.83 60.68 3.85 63.54 6.72 2.35 0.27 2.83 19.98 6.70P 0.53R 0.12 Cheltenham 24 33 -2 -0.60 46.91 -3.15 63.12 6.83 -1.88 0.24 2.45 18.04 6.29P 0.73R 0.20 Plymouth 24 33 -3 2.68 65.75 -0.19 60.39 6.55 -6.09 0.07 0.85 8.70 2.53P 1.69R 0.49 Exeter 23 32 -1 -0.04 50.21 -1.73 65.07 6.98 1.32 0.52 4.73 26.88 10.06P 0.42R 0.13 Hartlepool 24 31 -1 -3.76 30.60 -3.91 63.03 6.85 2.01 0.20 2.48 18.57 7.02P 0.71R 0.17 AFC_Wimbledon 23 28 -3 0.96 56.55 3.39 55.03 6.76 -9.41 0.01 0.14 2.30 0.55P 9.96R 3.93 Bury 24 27 +0 -8.20 13.42 -3.45 58.98 7.02 2.71 0.07 0.75 8.29 2.99P 3.22R 1.04 Wycombe 22 27 +0 -3.10 32.87 -0.08 59.73 7.17 -0.16 0.11 1.13 10.19 3.30P 2.89R 0.99 Mansfield 24 26 -8 -0.65 47.62 1.22 51.02 6.69 -15.39 0.00 0.02 0.56 0.14P 24.57R 11.69 Portsmouth 24 26 -9 -9.39 10.43 -12.72 58.24 6.93 -6.04 0.03 0.43 5.86 2.14P 4.48R 1.65 York 24 25 -4 -3.60 30.66 1.74 51.61 6.53 -8.76 0.00 0.03 0.63 0.16P 19.61R 8.76 Accrington_Stanley 24 25 -8 -3.28 32.56 -1.45 50.43 6.52 -14.79 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.06P 26.79R 12.88 Bristol_Rovers 23 23 -5 -5.58 21.16 -1.17 52.50 6.82 -7.64 0.00 0.04 1.09 0.27P 17.11R 7.46 Torquay 24 22 -15 -6.67 16.93 -8.99 48.16 6.64 -20.71 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 40.85R 23.25 Northampton 23 19 -13 -8.57 10.14 -7.71 47.23 6.79 -17.30 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.03P 45.23R 26.95Conference (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 1 January 2014, Alfreton_Town 1 0 Wrexham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Luton 26 56 +34 7.03 83.83 12.05 94.55 6.00 51.97 68.92 99.89 80.18P 0.00 0.00 Cambridge_Utd 24 52 +27 11.41 95.31 15.50 89.77 6.55 38.65 27.20 98.20 48.32P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 27 49 +2 13.41 96.03 5.22 73.84 5.99 -0.55 0.20 34.86 4.22P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 24 44 +14 2.16 61.70 0.60 80.70 6.52 24.50 2.86 78.55 25.55P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 27 42 +11 3.20 66.00 8.76 67.74 6.31 10.01 0.01 11.45 1.88P 0.01R 0.00 Kidderminster 25 42 +4 1.00 55.14 -6.75 75.92 6.43 12.07 0.49 50.99 12.64P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 25 41 +3 8.14 87.11 5.15 67.15 6.26 -1.03 0.01 8.65 1.18P 0.00R 0.00 Salisbury 24 40 +5 8.16 86.85 6.89 68.23 6.81 1.53 0.06 13.53 2.09P 0.02R 0.00 Barnet 26 39 +8 -4.49 27.25 -4.15 72.98 6.23 18.07 0.13 34.97 10.10P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 24 38 +9 4.14 72.24 7.53 68.74 6.60 9.80 0.03 15.17 2.61P 0.01R 0.00 Macclesfield 25 38 +5 0.87 54.84 0.61 66.77 6.51 4.77 0.01 8.98 1.71P 0.02R 0.00 Gateshead 25 38 +4 3.49 68.81 4.01 68.40 6.38 6.46 0.02 13.01 2.26P 0.01R 0.00 Welling 24 34 +2 4.10 71.58 7.16 65.82 6.92 4.55 0.02 7.99 1.42P 0.08R 0.00 Forest_Green 24 33 +6 -3.03 33.70 0.88 67.03 6.69 11.76 0.01 10.63 2.30P 0.03R 0.00 Wrexham 25 32 +3 -9.22 9.97 -8.13 66.41 6.41 11.61 0.01 8.46 2.30P 0.04R 0.00 Hereford 25 31 -2 -5.68 21.91 -5.58 60.33 6.36 -1.04 0.00 1.10 0.23P 0.44R 0.00 Woking 24 29 -6 -1.07 44.68 -0.67 53.54 6.43 -16.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 5.48R 0.00 Lincoln_City 25 28 -9 -1.78 40.59 -1.93 55.10 6.42 -11.78 0.00 0.13 0.02P 3.26R 0.00 Aldershot 24 25 +5 -5.19 23.39 -6.43 62.75 6.71 17.01 0.00 3.36 0.98P 0.24R 0.00 Southport 24 23 -17 -2.98 34.12 -5.11 47.91 6.38 -25.87 0.00 0.00 0.00P 23.68R 0.03 Chester 25 22 -15 -2.64 36.47 -0.21 43.76 6.15 -26.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.48R 0.10 Tamworth 23 21 -20 -1.28 43.59 -4.98 45.69 6.46 -31.47 0.00 0.00 0.00 38.09R 0.09 Dartford 26 18 -26 -9.53 8.20 -12.11 38.85 5.88 -36.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 80.13R 0.60 Hyde_United 25 3 -47 -16.40 0.08 -18.32 18.47 5.47 -72.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.99R 99.17 Adjustments: Aldershot -10