Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 27 December 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, Aston_Villa 0 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 18 39 +18 4.35 76.93 2.37 77.43 6.06 35.99 20.84 48.66 70.41 84.98 98.11 0.00 0.00 Man_City 18 38 +32 -1.11 40.57 7.34 81.78 5.51 61.60 56.58 80.18 91.48 96.92 99.79 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 18 37 +15 2.58 66.96 -0.55 74.57 6.22 30.56 10.44 29.37 51.11 71.19 95.28 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 18 36 +22 1.38 58.77 5.70 73.61 6.19 38.03 8.54 25.83 47.18 67.96 94.23 0.00 0.00 Everton 18 34 +12 3.72 73.51 4.05 67.57 6.23 21.08 1.07 5.03 12.89 26.41 73.32 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 18 33 +6 8.10 91.50 6.81 59.36 6.25 3.32 0.05 0.30 1.05 3.13 19.48 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 18 31 +9 -3.62 26.22 -6.84 70.12 6.03 28.17 2.41 10.11 23.87 43.65 85.70 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 18 31 -5 3.88 74.30 -8.12 61.51 6.18 -0.78 0.07 0.49 1.91 5.32 28.55 0.00 0.00 Southampton 18 27 +7 2.41 66.65 8.08 53.65 6.24 5.29 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.44 5.02 0.08R 0.01 Stoke 18 21 -8 0.41 53.96 -1.51 43.57 5.97 -15.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 6.58R 0.82 Swansea 18 20 -1 -2.92 31.32 2.25 46.12 6.08 -3.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.31 2.78R 0.29 Hull 18 20 -7 2.43 68.32 4.59 39.61 5.92 -18.45 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 20.20R 3.98 Aston_Villa 18 19 -7 -1.15 42.88 0.62 41.79 5.95 -15.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 11.42R 1.88 Norwich 18 19 -15 -0.08 50.57 -4.52 38.91 5.87 -28.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 25.82R 5.94 West_Brom 18 17 -5 -5.63 16.29 -0.85 42.60 6.21 -8.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 9.28R 1.62 Cardiff 18 17 -15 0.34 54.12 -2.33 36.49 5.73 -28.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 40.31R 11.63 Crystal_Palace 18 16 -15 0.87 58.23 0.80 31.48 5.38 -35.52 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.76R 40.71 Fulham 18 16 -16 -3.80 26.01 -7.14 39.06 6.00 -24.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 24.43R 5.83 West_Ham 18 14 -10 -6.41 12.72 -2.94 37.03 6.00 -17.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.66R 9.44 Sunderland 18 13 -17 -5.52 16.61 -7.80 34.80 5.77 -27.24 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 50.68R 17.85Championship (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, Barnsley 0 1 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 22 45 +12 8.20 88.66 2.04 84.95 7.09 22.60 37.33 59.97 94.19 69.11P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 22 43 +17 7.58 86.82 9.14 81.30 7.13 25.10 20.44 40.45 87.22 52.21P 0.00 0.00 QPR 22 42 +11 5.81 80.63 2.30 81.09 7.06 20.00 18.07 37.68 85.89 51.46P 0.00 0.00 Derby 22 41 +18 5.90 80.05 10.43 79.99 7.21 27.45 16.09 34.49 83.35 46.27P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 22 36 +9 3.10 67.59 4.77 71.67 7.11 13.26 1.77 5.76 41.26 13.72P 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 22 35 +9 3.05 67.23 6.23 69.64 7.18 11.70 1.02 3.50 31.35 9.37P 0.01R 0.00 Ipswich 22 34 +9 3.37 69.38 8.12 68.02 7.14 10.80 0.57 2.19 23.64 6.48P 0.04R 0.00 Reading 22 34 +5 -1.08 43.87 -2.45 72.29 7.35 13.16 2.42 7.31 44.74 17.33P 0.00R 0.00 Brighton 22 32 +6 -2.29 36.65 -0.21 69.27 7.06 12.59 0.85 3.12 29.29 10.39P 0.02R 0.00 Blackpool 22 32 -1 0.79 54.90 -2.62 65.70 7.08 0.40 0.23 0.89 13.88 3.69P 0.11R 0.00 Blackburn 22 31 +2 -0.47 47.41 -0.10 65.02 7.10 3.96 0.21 0.77 12.37 3.36P 0.18R 0.00 Watford 22 29 +6 -5.74 20.49 -1.15 66.19 7.26 12.49 0.35 1.38 17.94 5.82P 0.12R 0.00 Wigan 21 29 +1 -3.74 29.25 -4.84 67.51 7.46 7.57 0.57 2.11 22.13 7.68P 0.12R 0.01 Huddersfield 22 28 +1 0.60 54.37 4.77 58.71 7.01 -2.07 0.02 0.07 2.40 0.53P 1.71R 0.09 Bournemouth 22 28 -10 4.08 73.46 0.41 53.87 7.03 -21.50 0.00 0.01 0.51 0.08P 7.91R 0.78 Middlesbrough 22 26 +2 -4.08 27.93 2.06 58.41 7.12 1.17 0.01 0.07 2.52 0.64P 1.96R 0.12 Bolton 22 26 -3 -5.96 19.07 -5.84 60.34 7.13 -0.69 0.03 0.14 3.92 1.04P 1.00R 0.04 Birmingham 22 25 +0 -6.44 17.29 -2.01 59.14 7.14 2.06 0.02 0.08 3.00 0.74P 1.57R 0.10 Charlton 22 22 -8 -6.20 17.69 -5.53 53.12 6.98 -10.25 0.00 0.00 0.33 0.07P 8.74R 0.81 Millwall 22 21 -21 -1.99 39.14 -9.80 47.16 6.84 -31.59 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 33.54R 6.64 Doncaster 22 20 -22 0.25 53.16 -5.88 42.31 6.61 -38.37 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 63.37R 20.40 Sheff_Wed 21 18 -9 -6.59 15.05 -2.91 47.36 7.08 -15.90 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 29.54R 5.68 Yeovil 22 17 -14 -3.39 31.11 0.68 39.92 6.60 -29.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.57R 30.59 Barnsley 22 16 -20 -6.10 16.91 -7.58 39.47 6.63 -34.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.50R 34.74League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, Bradford 0 1 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 22 47 +25 9.80 92.09 14.46 86.84 7.20 35.51 22.80 50.07 96.20 61.43P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 22 47 +21 4.88 75.89 3.10 91.96 7.12 39.01 52.87 76.66 99.16 84.35P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 22 46 +15 9.43 91.57 5.56 85.40 7.23 24.65 15.12 39.04 93.41 52.99P 0.00 0.00 Preston 22 41 +9 8.18 88.21 5.08 77.07 7.20 13.69 1.95 7.63 65.50 19.37P 0.01R 0.00 Peterborough 22 39 +9 1.45 57.71 -2.18 80.64 7.38 22.54 5.63 18.03 81.86 36.32P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 22 38 +10 8.40 87.92 11.25 70.64 7.48 9.26 0.36 1.72 31.54 6.64P 0.07R 0.00 Swindon 22 33 +9 -4.33 26.48 -1.93 73.90 7.30 20.91 0.77 3.90 51.12 17.80P 0.01R 0.00 Walsall 22 33 +4 2.01 61.91 2.62 67.57 7.19 6.54 0.07 0.51 17.90 4.13P 0.25R 0.00 Port_Vale 22 33 -2 5.73 79.23 2.93 62.83 7.39 -7.38 0.03 0.15 6.66 1.14P 1.94R 0.06 MK_Dons 21 31 +6 -3.22 31.62 -2.21 71.13 7.45 14.71 0.35 1.92 35.45 10.74P 0.06R 0.00 Bradford 22 30 +9 2.00 62.02 12.31 59.97 7.30 4.51 0.00 0.04 3.74 0.67P 3.73R 0.16 Coventry 22 28 +8 3.51 68.87 1.41 65.53 7.39 15.04 0.05 0.31 13.58 3.60P 0.73R 0.03 Colchester 22 27 -3 0.59 54.27 2.73 56.87 7.08 -7.82 0.00 0.00 1.08 0.20P 9.07R 0.71 Crawley_Town 22 26 -6 -0.93 45.59 -1.04 55.14 7.07 -11.78 0.00 0.00 0.59 0.12P 13.96R 1.16 Gillingham 23 25 -10 -0.92 45.90 -0.89 50.60 6.94 -19.54 0.00 0.00 0.11 0.02P 33.19R 4.26 Carlisle 22 24 -13 -0.25 49.62 -3.39 49.85 7.01 -24.77 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.02P 38.49R 6.00 Shrewsbury 22 23 -3 -4.40 26.12 0.83 52.36 6.96 -7.89 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.02P 22.55R 2.53 Oldham 21 23 -5 -1.80 39.86 0.78 52.22 7.24 -12.44 0.00 0.00 0.27 0.05P 24.85R 3.07 Tranmere 22 23 -14 -3.71 29.77 -8.62 52.32 7.07 -19.48 0.00 0.00 0.21 0.03P 25.09R 2.91 Sheff_Utd 22 22 -9 -9.36 8.39 -10.89 56.55 7.17 -6.45 0.00 0.00 0.93 0.24P 9.70R 0.75 Bristol_City 22 19 -6 -11.66 4.81 -6.43 52.71 7.37 -5.07 0.00 0.00 0.40 0.10P 22.11R 2.87 Stevenage 22 19 -17 -4.95 23.17 -7.48 45.43 6.87 -26.84 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 62.72R 16.68 Notts_County 23 18 -10 -12.10 3.84 -7.70 48.08 7.01 -12.39 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 44.59R 8.48 Crewe 22 18 -27 -2.16 37.90 -10.31 40.13 6.67 -44.53 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.89R 50.32 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 22 40 +14 2.80 65.84 3.88 80.19 7.13 24.52 34.75 69.34 93.23 77.00P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 22 38 +15 3.14 67.40 8.14 74.98 7.14 21.05 13.01 41.21 79.30 51.73P 0.01R 0.00 Scunthorpe 22 38 +7 1.92 60.50 -1.71 77.57 7.31 16.78 21.11 54.00 86.26 63.92P 0.00R 0.00 Burton_Albion 22 38 +4 7.25 85.36 3.03 71.14 7.18 4.44 4.50 19.90 57.70 27.88P 0.03R 0.01 Newport_County 21 37 +9 11.36 95.39 13.56 68.82 7.47 5.65 2.93 14.00 45.65 19.32P 0.12R 0.02 Southend 22 37 +8 2.51 64.23 1.65 74.96 7.12 15.39 11.85 39.56 78.35 51.01P 0.00R 0.00 Rochdale 22 37 +5 4.27 72.95 1.22 72.20 7.32 8.31 6.40 25.40 64.32 34.71P 0.02R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 22 35 +6 4.21 72.98 4.95 68.57 7.21 7.01 2.49 12.84 45.17 19.96P 0.11R 0.02 Morecambe 23 35 -2 4.76 75.31 -0.28 64.83 6.92 -4.23 0.57 4.18 23.99 8.09P 0.43R 0.08 Cheltenham 23 33 -1 0.64 53.96 -2.37 65.49 6.97 0.57 0.78 5.33 27.91 10.72P 0.35R 0.08 Dag_&_Red 22 30 +2 0.80 55.30 3.27 61.72 7.11 0.48 0.28 2.12 14.49 4.91P 1.48R 0.43 Exeter 22 29 -3 -1.17 43.57 -3.02 62.91 7.29 -1.38 0.38 3.22 18.59 7.08P 1.31R 0.40 Plymouth 22 29 -5 1.93 62.41 -1.41 58.74 6.88 -8.63 0.04 0.57 6.33 1.73P 3.68R 1.18 Hartlepool 22 28 +1 -4.81 24.93 -2.98 63.92 7.30 5.61 0.54 4.45 23.63 10.18P 0.81R 0.25 Wycombe 22 27 +0 -3.09 33.04 -0.01 59.70 7.18 -0.21 0.11 1.23 9.99 3.34P 2.89R 0.94 AFC_Wimbledon 21 27 -2 2.30 64.54 3.90 56.60 7.24 -8.73 0.04 0.40 4.44 1.11P 7.83R 3.03 Portsmouth 22 25 -8 -8.13 12.98 -12.43 60.76 7.41 -3.83 0.17 1.69 12.53 4.96P 2.75R 0.96 Accrington_Stanley 22 24 -6 -2.40 36.78 -0.75 51.76 6.93 -13.33 0.00 0.05 0.82 0.18P 21.64R 9.89 Bristol_Rovers 22 23 -3 -5.02 23.25 -0.29 53.99 7.03 -5.47 0.01 0.17 2.11 0.62P 12.62R 5.23 York 22 22 -4 -4.01 27.70 1.56 50.85 6.96 -9.44 0.00 0.04 0.76 0.17P 24.49R 11.76 Mansfield 22 22 -9 -1.92 40.00 0.36 48.56 7.08 -18.30 0.00 0.01 0.32 0.07P 38.85R 22.00 Torquay 22 22 -11 -5.09 22.66 -6.73 51.65 7.00 -15.48 0.01 0.04 0.85 0.22P 22.60R 10.75 Bury 22 21 -4 -10.15 7.19 -5.56 54.80 7.39 -2.59 0.01 0.27 3.09 1.07P 11.52R 5.05 Northampton 22 18 -13 -8.44 10.07 -7.97 47.09 7.00 -18.19 0.00 0.01 0.16 0.04P 46.47R 27.90Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, Barnet 1 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 23 51 +27 11.76 96.25 15.43 90.18 6.79 38.75 37.96 97.85 53.68P 0.00 0.00 Luton 24 50 +27 6.33 82.15 9.47 91.10 6.50 44.27 46.17 98.61 62.99P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 22 43 +15 4.54 74.83 2.51 84.72 6.88 28.82 12.31 89.20 34.63P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 25 43 +0 10.96 93.38 4.57 71.05 6.46 -1.83 0.14 18.92 2.30P 0.00R 0.00 Kidderminster 24 42 +10 0.27 51.03 -4.06 78.15 6.58 19.51 2.08 62.16 17.02P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 24 40 +3 8.43 88.38 5.10 67.49 6.48 -1.11 0.04 8.56 1.15P 0.01R 0.00 Barnet 24 39 +10 -2.72 34.72 -3.55 75.93 6.72 20.42 0.98 49.37 14.62P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 25 38 +7 3.98 70.54 8.05 66.34 6.76 5.77 0.03 7.58 1.17P 0.05R 0.00 Salisbury 23 37 +4 6.77 83.07 6.34 65.94 7.05 -0.44 0.05 7.54 1.10P 0.06R 0.00 Gateshead 23 36 +4 4.13 72.56 3.68 68.66 6.83 5.66 0.07 13.07 2.07P 0.02R 0.00 Braintree_Town 23 35 +7 3.47 69.41 6.97 67.56 6.85 8.42 0.04 10.43 1.63P 0.05R 0.00 Welling 23 34 +4 4.78 74.95 7.82 66.77 7.13 5.79 0.04 9.32 1.41P 0.10R 0.00 Forest_Green 23 33 +7 -2.29 37.05 0.98 68.40 6.94 12.80 0.07 13.63 2.81P 0.03R 0.00 Macclesfield 23 32 +1 -1.26 42.96 -1.50 62.06 6.90 -1.44 0.00 2.43 0.45P 0.39R 0.00 Wrexham 23 29 +1 -8.66 10.24 -8.82 66.51 6.83 10.18 0.02 8.37 2.14P 0.06R 0.00 Woking 24 29 -6 -0.98 45.06 -0.59 53.51 6.44 -16.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 6.43R 0.01 Hereford 24 28 -3 -6.88 16.56 -5.94 58.69 6.58 -2.12 0.00 0.56 0.11P 1.16R 0.00 Lincoln_City 23 27 -5 -1.78 40.38 -0.78 56.26 6.79 -8.54 0.00 0.29 0.06P 2.86R 0.00 Southport 23 23 -16 -2.17 38.25 -5.29 48.54 6.52 -26.23 0.00 0.00 0.00 23.29R 0.08 Aldershot 23 22 +3 -5.81 20.34 -6.83 61.42 6.95 15.31 0.00 2.02 0.63P 0.60R 0.00 Chester 24 21 -15 -2.51 36.86 -0.57 44.19 6.48 -25.98 0.00 0.00 0.00 48.73R 0.41 Tamworth 22 21 -18 -0.73 46.75 -4.35 46.72 6.63 -29.80 0.00 0.00 0.00P 34.34R 0.25 Dartford 26 18 -26 -9.52 8.18 -12.23 38.77 5.90 -36.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.90R 1.89 Hyde_United 23 3 -41 -15.47 0.10 -16.40 21.17 5.99 -65.46 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.93R 97.36 Adjustments: Aldershot -10