Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 26 December 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, Aston_Villa 0 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 18 39 +18 4.38 77.23 2.35 77.46 6.04 36.04 20.79 48.61 70.75 85.21 98.18 0.00 0.00 Man_City 18 38 +32 -1.03 41.06 7.55 81.68 5.56 61.30 56.03 79.59 91.35 96.64 99.78 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 18 37 +15 2.48 66.26 -0.75 74.63 6.16 30.68 10.59 29.52 51.34 71.79 95.52 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 18 36 +22 1.36 58.55 5.61 73.68 6.21 38.16 8.84 26.50 47.46 68.41 94.31 0.00 0.00 Everton 18 34 +12 3.81 73.96 4.19 67.49 6.19 20.98 1.06 4.77 12.27 25.53 73.05 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 18 33 +6 8.12 91.58 6.86 59.31 6.23 3.26 0.05 0.32 1.05 3.03 19.17 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 18 31 +9 -3.69 25.81 -6.91 70.17 5.98 28.24 2.52 10.12 23.75 43.80 86.15 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 18 31 -5 3.95 74.70 -8.05 61.37 6.23 -1.00 0.11 0.56 1.94 5.15 28.19 0.00R 0.00 Southampton 18 27 +7 2.50 66.92 8.21 53.60 6.24 5.21 0.00 0.01 0.10 0.42 5.11 0.09R 0.01 Stoke 18 21 -8 0.52 54.79 -1.33 43.42 5.99 -15.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 7.09R 0.95 Swansea 18 20 -1 -3.00 31.03 2.17 46.14 6.09 -3.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.32 2.74R 0.29 Hull 18 20 -7 2.58 69.60 4.80 39.53 5.83 -18.62 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 20.40R 3.85 Aston_Villa 18 19 -7 -1.29 42.36 0.35 41.91 6.00 -15.28 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 11.11R 1.81 Norwich 18 19 -15 -0.12 50.40 -4.58 38.86 5.89 -28.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 26.00R 6.02 West_Brom 18 17 -5 -5.72 15.87 -1.03 42.71 6.24 -8.39 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 9.23R 1.58 Cardiff 18 17 -15 0.29 53.77 -2.38 36.59 5.72 -28.64 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 39.78R 11.59 Crystal_Palace 18 16 -15 0.79 57.66 0.67 31.58 5.38 -35.33 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 74.25R 40.37 Fulham 18 16 -16 -3.77 26.11 -7.15 39.03 6.03 -24.60 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 24.48R 5.92 West_Ham 18 14 -10 -6.42 12.82 -2.90 37.09 5.98 -17.51 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 33.33R 9.22 Sunderland 18 13 -17 -5.49 16.66 -7.70 34.70 5.75 -27.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 51.50R 18.38Championship (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, Barnsley 0 1 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 22 45 +12 8.24 88.73 2.08 84.86 7.11 22.45 37.05 59.47 94.01 68.53P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 22 43 +17 7.48 86.33 8.98 81.34 7.08 25.13 20.81 41.20 86.93 52.70P 0.00 0.00 QPR 22 42 +11 5.97 80.83 2.52 80.96 7.14 19.85 17.73 37.13 85.05 50.79P 0.00 0.00 Derby 22 41 +18 6.05 80.63 10.64 79.88 7.18 27.28 15.96 33.93 83.04 45.75P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 22 36 +9 2.95 66.79 4.53 71.77 7.07 13.44 1.92 5.83 41.73 14.16P 0.00 0.00 Leeds_United 22 35 +9 3.03 67.13 6.24 69.65 7.15 11.71 1.04 3.57 31.11 9.48P 0.02R 0.00 Ipswich 22 34 +9 3.29 68.83 8.02 68.03 7.15 10.81 0.59 2.38 23.67 6.61P 0.04R 0.00 Reading 22 34 +5 -1.08 43.93 -2.51 72.38 7.37 13.27 2.56 7.62 45.17 17.97P 0.01R 0.00 Brighton 22 32 +6 -2.39 36.23 -0.30 69.32 7.02 12.65 0.85 3.01 29.56 10.22P 0.02R 0.00 Blackpool 22 32 -1 0.86 55.31 -2.53 65.61 7.09 0.29 0.22 0.85 13.58 3.55P 0.15R 0.00 Blackburn 22 31 +2 -0.43 47.91 -0.06 65.00 7.13 3.89 0.16 0.77 12.48 3.41P 0.16R 0.00 Watford 22 29 +6 -5.66 20.49 -1.02 66.19 7.24 12.48 0.34 1.46 17.91 5.73P 0.12R 0.01 Wigan 21 29 +1 -3.96 28.26 -5.17 67.79 7.48 7.93 0.70 2.43 23.19 8.18P 0.09R 0.00 Huddersfield 22 28 +1 0.60 54.34 4.81 58.79 6.97 -2.02 0.01 0.06 2.39 0.47P 1.60R 0.11 Bournemouth 22 28 -10 4.13 73.88 0.46 53.90 7.06 -21.41 0.00 0.01 0.55 0.08P 8.15R 0.82 Middlesbrough 22 26 +2 -4.10 27.66 2.07 58.33 7.16 1.07 0.01 0.09 2.45 0.56P 2.07R 0.13 Bolton 22 26 -3 -5.86 19.65 -5.67 60.16 7.18 -0.97 0.02 0.13 3.95 1.03P 1.14R 0.06 Birmingham 22 25 +0 -6.41 17.36 -1.96 59.07 7.14 1.97 0.02 0.07 2.88 0.71P 1.64R 0.09 Charlton 22 22 -8 -6.24 17.68 -5.56 53.19 6.92 -10.20 0.00 0.00 0.29 0.07P 8.56R 0.85 Millwall 22 21 -21 -1.93 39.36 -9.69 47.06 6.85 -31.68 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 34.09R 6.98 Doncaster 22 20 -22 0.23 53.28 -5.96 42.31 6.65 -38.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.25R 20.58 Sheff_Wed 21 18 -9 -6.56 14.92 -2.88 47.37 7.09 -15.93 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.01P 29.59R 5.70 Yeovil 22 17 -14 -3.51 30.35 0.49 40.03 6.59 -29.17 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.15R 29.98 Barnsley 22 16 -20 -6.08 17.25 -7.52 39.47 6.67 -34.56 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 76.16R 34.68League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, Bradford 0 1 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 22 47 +25 9.85 92.30 14.55 86.80 7.27 35.45 22.76 49.83 95.87 61.09P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 22 47 +21 4.86 76.05 3.07 92.11 7.16 39.23 53.31 76.74 99.13 84.24P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 22 46 +15 9.37 91.61 5.45 85.50 7.19 24.73 15.02 39.00 93.68 52.68P 0.00 0.00 Preston 22 41 +9 8.14 88.09 4.98 77.20 7.21 13.87 1.91 7.82 65.97 19.63P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 22 39 +9 1.33 57.06 -2.36 80.74 7.36 22.70 5.50 18.30 81.99 36.86P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 22 38 +10 8.58 88.48 11.52 70.49 7.48 9.02 0.30 1.57 30.85 6.23P 0.09R 0.00 Swindon 22 33 +9 -4.32 26.44 -1.93 73.80 7.25 20.76 0.70 3.66 50.24 17.46P 0.02R 0.00 Walsall 22 33 +4 1.96 61.52 2.55 67.65 7.16 6.66 0.07 0.47 18.13 4.18P 0.20R 0.00 Port_Vale 22 33 -2 5.82 79.69 3.13 62.76 7.37 -7.52 0.02 0.12 6.51 1.13P 1.85R 0.06 MK_Dons 21 31 +6 -3.32 30.93 -2.38 71.27 7.49 14.94 0.37 2.08 36.08 11.28P 0.10R 0.00 Bradford 22 30 +9 1.99 61.87 12.24 60.03 7.24 4.56 0.01 0.03 3.57 0.64P 3.55R 0.17 Coventry 22 28 +8 3.36 68.00 1.13 65.74 7.40 15.35 0.04 0.35 14.30 3.82P 0.62R 0.03 Colchester 22 27 -3 0.54 54.11 2.65 56.87 7.07 -7.80 0.00 0.01 1.04 0.16P 8.83R 0.65 Crawley_Town 22 26 -6 -0.82 45.92 -0.87 54.97 7.08 -11.97 0.00 0.00 0.60 0.10P 14.28R 1.12 Gillingham 23 25 -10 -0.85 46.38 -0.75 50.49 6.86 -19.72 0.00 0.00 0.09 0.01P 33.31R 4.25 Carlisle 22 24 -13 -0.29 49.49 -3.45 49.84 6.93 -24.75 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 38.09R 5.68 Shrewsbury 22 23 -3 -4.41 25.96 0.84 52.37 6.95 -7.90 0.00 0.00 0.19 0.02P 22.48R 2.38 Oldham 21 23 -5 -1.79 39.94 0.80 52.14 7.16 -12.56 0.00 0.00 0.25 0.05P 24.92R 3.03 Tranmere 22 23 -14 -3.78 29.47 -8.75 52.41 7.11 -19.37 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 24.90R 2.74 Sheff_Utd 22 22 -9 -9.34 8.44 -10.89 56.48 7.18 -6.49 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.25P 10.05R 0.81 Bristol_City 22 19 -6 -11.63 4.69 -6.40 52.69 7.43 -5.06 0.00 0.00 0.31 0.08P 22.47R 3.00 Stevenage 22 19 -17 -4.86 23.34 -7.30 45.28 6.90 -27.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 63.05R 17.23 Notts_County 23 18 -10 -12.15 3.85 -7.71 48.15 7.00 -12.25 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.01P 44.00R 8.32 Crewe 22 18 -27 -2.08 38.58 -10.15 40.01 6.63 -44.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00P 87.20R 50.53 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Chesterfield 22 40 +14 2.84 65.99 3.94 80.16 7.09 24.48 34.54 69.75 93.68 77.36P 0.00 0.00 Oxford_Utd 22 38 +15 3.16 67.64 8.18 74.85 7.18 20.86 12.81 40.62 78.85 51.29P 0.01R 0.00 Scunthorpe 22 38 +7 1.85 60.19 -1.81 77.62 7.42 16.87 21.75 54.08 86.21 63.73P 0.00R 0.00 Burton_Albion 22 38 +4 7.36 85.59 3.11 71.08 7.18 4.33 4.41 19.94 57.16 27.73P 0.02R 0.00 Newport_County 21 37 +9 11.28 95.08 13.45 68.94 7.59 5.80 3.25 14.78 46.32 20.23P 0.13R 0.02 Southend 22 37 +8 2.61 64.86 1.80 74.87 7.13 15.28 11.51 38.93 77.94 50.18P 0.01R 0.00 Rochdale 22 37 +5 4.26 72.84 1.17 72.21 7.33 8.31 6.23 25.13 64.13 34.57P 0.01R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 22 35 +6 4.13 72.80 4.83 68.65 7.18 7.15 2.50 12.88 45.71 20.17P 0.11R 0.02 Morecambe 23 35 -2 4.58 74.71 -0.48 64.87 6.91 -4.15 0.58 4.33 24.01 8.34P 0.45R 0.11 Cheltenham 23 33 -1 0.78 54.75 -2.15 65.37 6.98 0.40 0.73 5.24 27.40 10.59P 0.40R 0.09 Dag_&_Red 22 30 +2 0.71 54.89 3.12 61.85 7.16 0.67 0.33 2.32 15.31 5.24P 1.40R 0.41 Exeter 22 29 -3 -1.16 43.71 -3.05 62.93 7.25 -1.36 0.34 3.18 18.68 6.95P 1.32R 0.43 Plymouth 22 29 -5 1.79 61.61 -1.58 58.89 6.91 -8.41 0.07 0.66 6.65 1.91P 3.64R 1.17 Hartlepool 22 28 +1 -4.76 24.93 -2.94 63.84 7.27 5.51 0.56 4.24 23.37 10.09P 0.73R 0.22 Wycombe 22 27 +0 -3.01 33.20 0.09 59.62 7.15 -0.31 0.12 1.17 9.66 3.19P 2.98R 0.96 AFC_Wimbledon 21 27 -2 2.22 63.96 3.83 56.63 7.25 -8.71 0.04 0.43 4.64 1.18P 7.89R 3.04 Portsmouth 22 25 -8 -7.96 13.32 -12.17 60.60 7.47 -4.09 0.19 1.75 12.17 4.87P 3.08R 1.16 Accrington_Stanley 22 24 -6 -2.42 36.85 -0.81 51.79 6.94 -13.29 0.00 0.05 0.88 0.20P 21.71R 10.05 Bristol_Rovers 22 23 -3 -5.03 23.07 -0.30 53.97 7.06 -5.50 0.01 0.12 2.04 0.55P 12.93R 5.44 York 22 22 -4 -4.00 28.00 1.55 50.87 6.98 -9.39 0.00 0.04 0.72 0.17P 24.56R 11.68 Mansfield 22 22 -9 -1.91 40.11 0.38 48.65 7.10 -18.23 0.00 0.02 0.32 0.08P 38.21R 21.60 Torquay 22 22 -11 -5.08 22.89 -6.68 51.61 7.05 -15.54 0.01 0.06 0.88 0.25P 22.94R 10.93 Bury 22 21 -4 -10.14 7.28 -5.52 54.79 7.45 -2.60 0.02 0.27 3.11 1.11P 11.81R 5.10 Northampton 22 18 -13 -8.44 9.98 -7.97 47.18 6.97 -18.09 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.04P 45.65R 27.56Conference (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, Barnet 1 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 23 51 +27 11.85 96.28 15.59 90.18 6.77 38.73 37.70 97.91 53.54P 0.00 0.00 Luton 24 50 +27 6.34 81.95 9.53 91.09 6.47 44.25 45.98 98.72 62.95P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 22 43 +15 4.44 74.33 2.40 84.80 6.93 28.94 12.77 89.64 35.08P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 25 43 +0 10.84 93.26 4.38 71.13 6.42 -1.71 0.14 19.09 2.31P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 24 42 +10 0.45 52.45 -3.78 78.05 6.55 19.25 2.06 62.00 16.69P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 24 40 +3 8.37 88.48 5.05 67.49 6.44 -1.09 0.05 8.47 1.17P 0.01R 0.00 Barnet 24 39 +10 -2.61 35.55 -3.38 75.83 6.68 20.30 0.97 49.32 14.39P 0.00 0.00 Halifax 25 38 +7 3.89 70.11 7.91 66.33 6.73 5.78 0.03 7.58 1.14P 0.05R 0.00 Salisbury 23 37 +4 6.80 83.11 6.33 65.98 7.00 -0.36 0.03 7.42 1.07P 0.08R 0.00 Gateshead 23 36 +4 4.24 73.17 3.85 68.56 6.80 5.54 0.06 12.85 2.12P 0.01R 0.00 Braintree_Town 23 35 +7 3.48 69.40 7.06 67.46 6.80 8.29 0.04 10.29 1.71P 0.04R 0.00 Welling 23 34 +4 4.79 75.03 7.83 66.78 7.14 5.79 0.04 9.44 1.46P 0.10R 0.00 Forest_Green 23 33 +7 -2.23 37.15 1.08 68.34 6.95 12.74 0.10 13.55 3.03P 0.03R 0.00 Macclesfield 23 32 +1 -1.32 42.48 -1.66 62.08 6.84 -1.40 0.01 2.41 0.37P 0.36R 0.00 Wrexham 23 29 +1 -8.65 10.37 -8.83 66.43 6.81 10.02 0.04 8.19 2.11P 0.07R 0.00 Woking 24 29 -6 -1.05 45.13 -0.74 53.59 6.47 -15.86 0.00 0.07 0.01P 6.22R 0.00 Hereford 24 28 -3 -6.95 16.38 -6.08 58.74 6.56 -2.03 0.00 0.60 0.10P 1.10R 0.00 Lincoln_City 23 27 -5 -1.91 39.44 -1.00 56.43 6.79 -8.29 0.00 0.28 0.04P 2.81R 0.00 Southport 23 23 -16 -2.24 37.69 -5.40 48.60 6.57 -26.06 0.00 0.01 0.00P 23.03R 0.06 Aldershot 23 22 +3 -5.84 20.58 -6.87 61.47 6.97 15.45 0.00 2.15 0.72P 0.60R 0.01 Chester 24 21 -15 -2.31 38.08 -0.33 44.02 6.42 -26.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 49.67R 0.40 Tamworth 22 21 -18 -0.78 46.47 -4.48 46.75 6.70 -29.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 34.01R 0.23 Dartford 26 18 -26 -9.35 8.65 -12.00 38.74 5.92 -36.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 81.86R 1.82 Hyde_United 23 3 -41 -15.48 0.11 -16.46 21.15 5.99 -65.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.95R 97.49 Adjustments: Aldershot -10