Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 26 December 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, Aston_Villa 0 1 Crystal_Palace; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          18   39  +18       4.38    77.23     2.35    77.46     6.04    36.04    20.79    48.61    70.75    85.21    98.18     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         18   38  +32      -1.03    41.06     7.55    81.68     5.56    61.30    56.03    79.59    91.35    96.64    99.78     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          18   37  +15       2.48    66.26    -0.75    74.63     6.16    30.68    10.59    29.52    51.34    71.79    95.52     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        18   36  +22       1.36    58.55     5.61    73.68     6.21    38.16     8.84    26.50    47.46    68.41    94.31     0.00     0.00  
Everton          18   34  +12       3.81    73.96     4.19    67.49     6.19    20.98     1.06     4.77    12.27    25.53    73.05     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        18   33   +6       8.12    91.58     6.86    59.31     6.23     3.26     0.05     0.32     1.05     3.03    19.17     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          18   31   +9      -3.69    25.81    -6.91    70.17     5.98    28.24     2.52    10.12    23.75    43.80    86.15     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        18   31   -5       3.95    74.70    -8.05    61.37     6.23    -1.00     0.11     0.56     1.94     5.15    28.19     0.00R    0.00  
Southampton      18   27   +7       2.50    66.92     8.21    53.60     6.24     5.21     0.00     0.01     0.10     0.42     5.11     0.09R    0.01  
Stoke            18   21   -8       0.52    54.79    -1.33    43.42     5.99   -15.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.07     7.09R    0.95  
Swansea          18   20   -1      -3.00    31.03     2.17    46.14     6.09    -3.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.32     2.74R    0.29  
Hull             18   20   -7       2.58    69.60     4.80    39.53     5.83   -18.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    20.40R    3.85  
Aston_Villa      18   19   -7      -1.29    42.36     0.35    41.91     6.00   -15.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    11.11R    1.81  
Norwich          18   19  -15      -0.12    50.40    -4.58    38.86     5.89   -28.05     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    26.00R    6.02  
West_Brom        18   17   -5      -5.72    15.87    -1.03    42.71     6.24    -8.39     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08     9.23R    1.58  
Cardiff          18   17  -15       0.29    53.77    -2.38    36.59     5.72   -28.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    39.78R   11.59  
Crystal_Palace   18   16  -15       0.79    57.66     0.67    31.58     5.38   -35.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.25R   40.37  
Fulham           18   16  -16      -3.77    26.11    -7.15    39.03     6.03   -24.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    24.48R    5.92  
West_Ham         18   14  -10      -6.42    12.82    -2.90    37.09     5.98   -17.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    33.33R    9.22  
Sunderland       18   13  -17      -5.49    16.66    -7.70    34.70     5.75   -27.40     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    51.50R   18.38  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, Barnsley 0 1 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Leicester       22   45  +12       8.24    88.73     2.08    84.86     7.11    22.45    37.05    59.47    94.01    68.53P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         22   43  +17       7.48    86.33     8.98    81.34     7.08    25.13    20.81    41.20    86.93    52.70P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             22   42  +11       5.97    80.83     2.52    80.96     7.14    19.85    17.73    37.13    85.05    50.79P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           22   41  +18       6.05    80.63    10.64    79.88     7.18    27.28    15.96    33.93    83.04    45.75P    0.00     0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   22   36   +9       2.95    66.79     4.53    71.77     7.07    13.44     1.92     5.83    41.73    14.16P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    22   35   +9       3.03    67.13     6.24    69.65     7.15    11.71     1.04     3.57    31.11     9.48P    0.02R    0.00  
Ipswich         22   34   +9       3.29    68.83     8.02    68.03     7.15    10.81     0.59     2.38    23.67     6.61P    0.04R    0.00  
Reading         22   34   +5      -1.08    43.93    -2.51    72.38     7.37    13.27     2.56     7.62    45.17    17.97P    0.01R    0.00  
Brighton        22   32   +6      -2.39    36.23    -0.30    69.32     7.02    12.65     0.85     3.01    29.56    10.22P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool       22   32   -1       0.86    55.31    -2.53    65.61     7.09     0.29     0.22     0.85    13.58     3.55P    0.15R    0.00  
Blackburn       22   31   +2      -0.43    47.91    -0.06    65.00     7.13     3.89     0.16     0.77    12.48     3.41P    0.16R    0.00  
Watford         22   29   +6      -5.66    20.49    -1.02    66.19     7.24    12.48     0.34     1.46    17.91     5.73P    0.12R    0.01  
Wigan           21   29   +1      -3.96    28.26    -5.17    67.79     7.48     7.93     0.70     2.43    23.19     8.18P    0.09R    0.00  
Huddersfield    22   28   +1       0.60    54.34     4.81    58.79     6.97    -2.02     0.01     0.06     2.39     0.47P    1.60R    0.11  
Bournemouth     22   28  -10       4.13    73.88     0.46    53.90     7.06   -21.41     0.00     0.01     0.55     0.08P    8.15R    0.82  
Middlesbrough   22   26   +2      -4.10    27.66     2.07    58.33     7.16     1.07     0.01     0.09     2.45     0.56P    2.07R    0.13  
Bolton          22   26   -3      -5.86    19.65    -5.67    60.16     7.18    -0.97     0.02     0.13     3.95     1.03P    1.14R    0.06  
Birmingham      22   25   +0      -6.41    17.36    -1.96    59.07     7.14     1.97     0.02     0.07     2.88     0.71P    1.64R    0.09  
Charlton        22   22   -8      -6.24    17.68    -5.56    53.19     6.92   -10.20     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.07P    8.56R    0.85  
Millwall        22   21  -21      -1.93    39.36    -9.69    47.06     6.85   -31.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    34.09R    6.98  
Doncaster       22   20  -22       0.23    53.28    -5.96    42.31     6.65   -38.29     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    63.25R   20.58  
Sheff_Wed       21   18   -9      -6.56    14.92    -2.88    47.37     7.09   -15.93     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   29.59R    5.70  
Yeovil          22   17  -14      -3.51    30.35     0.49    40.03     6.59   -29.17     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    73.15R   29.98  
Barnsley        22   16  -20      -6.08    17.25    -7.52    39.47     6.67   -34.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.16R   34.68  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, Bradford 0 1 Rotherham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   22   47  +25       9.85    92.30    14.55    86.80     7.27    35.45    22.76    49.83    95.87    61.09P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   22   47  +21       4.86    76.05     3.07    92.11     7.16    39.23    53.31    76.74    99.13    84.24P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       22   46  +15       9.37    91.61     5.45    85.50     7.19    24.73    15.02    39.00    93.68    52.68P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         22   41   +9       8.14    88.09     4.98    77.20     7.21    13.87     1.91     7.82    65.97    19.63P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough    22   39   +9       1.33    57.06    -2.36    80.74     7.36    22.70     5.50    18.30    81.99    36.86P    0.00     0.00  
Rotherham       22   38  +10       8.58    88.48    11.52    70.49     7.48     9.02     0.30     1.57    30.85     6.23P    0.09R    0.00  
Swindon         22   33   +9      -4.32    26.44    -1.93    73.80     7.25    20.76     0.70     3.66    50.24    17.46P    0.02R    0.00  
Walsall         22   33   +4       1.96    61.52     2.55    67.65     7.16     6.66     0.07     0.47    18.13     4.18P    0.20R    0.00  
Port_Vale       22   33   -2       5.82    79.69     3.13    62.76     7.37    -7.52     0.02     0.12     6.51     1.13P    1.85R    0.06  
MK_Dons         21   31   +6      -3.32    30.93    -2.38    71.27     7.49    14.94     0.37     2.08    36.08    11.28P    0.10R    0.00  
Bradford        22   30   +9       1.99    61.87    12.24    60.03     7.24     4.56     0.01     0.03     3.57     0.64P    3.55R    0.17  
Coventry        22   28   +8       3.36    68.00     1.13    65.74     7.40    15.35     0.04     0.35    14.30     3.82P    0.62R    0.03  
Colchester      22   27   -3       0.54    54.11     2.65    56.87     7.07    -7.80     0.00     0.01     1.04     0.16P    8.83R    0.65  
Crawley_Town    22   26   -6      -0.82    45.92    -0.87    54.97     7.08   -11.97     0.00     0.00     0.60     0.10P   14.28R    1.12  
Gillingham      23   25  -10      -0.85    46.38    -0.75    50.49     6.86   -19.72     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   33.31R    4.25  
Carlisle        22   24  -13      -0.29    49.49    -3.45    49.84     6.93   -24.75     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   38.09R    5.68  
Shrewsbury      22   23   -3      -4.41    25.96     0.84    52.37     6.95    -7.90     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.02P   22.48R    2.38  
Oldham          21   23   -5      -1.79    39.94     0.80    52.14     7.16   -12.56     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.05P   24.92R    3.03  
Tranmere        22   23  -14      -3.78    29.47    -8.75    52.41     7.11   -19.37     0.00     0.00     0.20     0.04P   24.90R    2.74  
Sheff_Utd       22   22   -9      -9.34     8.44   -10.89    56.48     7.18    -6.49     0.00     0.00     0.88     0.25P   10.05R    0.81  
Bristol_City    22   19   -6     -11.63     4.69    -6.40    52.69     7.43    -5.06     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.08P   22.47R    3.00  
Stevenage       22   19  -17      -4.86    23.34    -7.30    45.28     6.90   -27.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   63.05R   17.23  
Notts_County    23   18  -10     -12.15     3.85    -7.71    48.15     7.00   -12.25     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   44.00R    8.32  
Crewe           22   18  -27      -2.08    38.58   -10.15    40.01     6.63   -44.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   87.20R   50.53  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 0 1 Southend; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         22   40  +14       2.84    65.99     3.94    80.16     7.09    24.48    34.54    69.75    93.68    77.36P    0.00     0.00  
Oxford_Utd           22   38  +15       3.16    67.64     8.18    74.85     7.18    20.86    12.81    40.62    78.85    51.29P    0.01R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           22   38   +7       1.85    60.19    -1.81    77.62     7.42    16.87    21.75    54.08    86.21    63.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        22   38   +4       7.36    85.59     3.11    71.08     7.18     4.33     4.41    19.94    57.16    27.73P    0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County       21   37   +9      11.28    95.08    13.45    68.94     7.59     5.80     3.25    14.78    46.32    20.23P    0.13R    0.02  
Southend             22   37   +8       2.61    64.86     1.80    74.87     7.13    15.28    11.51    38.93    77.94    50.18P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             22   37   +5       4.26    72.84     1.17    72.21     7.33     8.31     6.23    25.13    64.13    34.57P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       22   35   +6       4.13    72.80     4.83    68.65     7.18     7.15     2.50    12.88    45.71    20.17P    0.11R    0.02  
Morecambe            23   35   -2       4.58    74.71    -0.48    64.87     6.91    -4.15     0.58     4.33    24.01     8.34P    0.45R    0.11  
Cheltenham           23   33   -1       0.78    54.75    -2.15    65.37     6.98     0.40     0.73     5.24    27.40    10.59P    0.40R    0.09  
Dag_&_Red            22   30   +2       0.71    54.89     3.12    61.85     7.16     0.67     0.33     2.32    15.31     5.24P    1.40R    0.41  
Exeter               22   29   -3      -1.16    43.71    -3.05    62.93     7.25    -1.36     0.34     3.18    18.68     6.95P    1.32R    0.43  
Plymouth             22   29   -5       1.79    61.61    -1.58    58.89     6.91    -8.41     0.07     0.66     6.65     1.91P    3.64R    1.17  
Hartlepool           22   28   +1      -4.76    24.93    -2.94    63.84     7.27     5.51     0.56     4.24    23.37    10.09P    0.73R    0.22  
Wycombe              22   27   +0      -3.01    33.20     0.09    59.62     7.15    -0.31     0.12     1.17     9.66     3.19P    2.98R    0.96  
AFC_Wimbledon        21   27   -2       2.22    63.96     3.83    56.63     7.25    -8.71     0.04     0.43     4.64     1.18P    7.89R    3.04  
Portsmouth           22   25   -8      -7.96    13.32   -12.17    60.60     7.47    -4.09     0.19     1.75    12.17     4.87P    3.08R    1.16  
Accrington_Stanley   22   24   -6      -2.42    36.85    -0.81    51.79     6.94   -13.29     0.00     0.05     0.88     0.20P   21.71R   10.05  
Bristol_Rovers       22   23   -3      -5.03    23.07    -0.30    53.97     7.06    -5.50     0.01     0.12     2.04     0.55P   12.93R    5.44  
York                 22   22   -4      -4.00    28.00     1.55    50.87     6.98    -9.39     0.00     0.04     0.72     0.17P   24.56R   11.68  
Mansfield            22   22   -9      -1.91    40.11     0.38    48.65     7.10   -18.23     0.00     0.02     0.32     0.08P   38.21R   21.60  
Torquay              22   22  -11      -5.08    22.89    -6.68    51.61     7.05   -15.54     0.01     0.06     0.88     0.25P   22.94R   10.93  
Bury                 22   21   -4     -10.14     7.28    -5.52    54.79     7.45    -2.60     0.02     0.27     3.11     1.11P   11.81R    5.10  
Northampton          22   18  -13      -8.44     9.98    -7.97    47.18     6.97   -18.09     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.04P   45.65R   27.56  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Thursday 26 December 2013, Barnet 1 2 Luton; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    23   51  +27      11.85    96.28    15.59    90.18     6.77    38.73    37.70    97.91    53.54P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            24   50  +27       6.34    81.95     9.53    91.09     6.47    44.25    45.98    98.72    62.95P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          22   43  +15       4.44    74.33     2.40    84.80     6.93    28.94    12.77    89.64    35.08P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    25   43   +0      10.84    93.26     4.38    71.13     6.42    -1.71     0.14    19.09     2.31P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    24   42  +10       0.45    52.45    -3.78    78.05     6.55    19.25     2.06    62.00    16.69P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         24   40   +3       8.37    88.48     5.05    67.49     6.44    -1.09     0.05     8.47     1.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Barnet           24   39  +10      -2.61    35.55    -3.38    75.83     6.68    20.30     0.97    49.32    14.39P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          25   38   +7       3.89    70.11     7.91    66.33     6.73     5.78     0.03     7.58     1.14P    0.05R    0.00  
Salisbury        23   37   +4       6.80    83.11     6.33    65.98     7.00    -0.36     0.03     7.42     1.07P    0.08R    0.00  
Gateshead        23   36   +4       4.24    73.17     3.85    68.56     6.80     5.54     0.06    12.85     2.12P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   23   35   +7       3.48    69.40     7.06    67.46     6.80     8.29     0.04    10.29     1.71P    0.04R    0.00  
Welling          23   34   +4       4.79    75.03     7.83    66.78     7.14     5.79     0.04     9.44     1.46P    0.10R    0.00  
Forest_Green     23   33   +7      -2.23    37.15     1.08    68.34     6.95    12.74     0.10    13.55     3.03P    0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield     23   32   +1      -1.32    42.48    -1.66    62.08     6.84    -1.40     0.01     2.41     0.37P    0.36R    0.00  
Wrexham          23   29   +1      -8.65    10.37    -8.83    66.43     6.81    10.02     0.04     8.19     2.11P    0.07R    0.00  
Woking           24   29   -6      -1.05    45.13    -0.74    53.59     6.47   -15.86     0.00     0.07     0.01P    6.22R    0.00  
Hereford         24   28   -3      -6.95    16.38    -6.08    58.74     6.56    -2.03     0.00     0.60     0.10P    1.10R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     23   27   -5      -1.91    39.44    -1.00    56.43     6.79    -8.29     0.00     0.28     0.04P    2.81R    0.00  
Southport        23   23  -16      -2.24    37.69    -5.40    48.60     6.57   -26.06     0.00     0.01     0.00P   23.03R    0.06  
Aldershot        23   22   +3      -5.84    20.58    -6.87    61.47     6.97    15.45     0.00     2.15     0.72P    0.60R    0.01  
Chester          24   21  -15      -2.31    38.08    -0.33    44.02     6.42   -26.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    49.67R    0.40  
Tamworth         22   21  -18      -0.78    46.47    -4.48    46.75     6.70   -29.69     0.00     0.00     0.00    34.01R    0.23  
Dartford         26   18  -26      -9.35     8.65   -12.00    38.74     5.92   -36.82     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.86R    1.82  
Hyde_United      23    3  -41     -15.48     0.11   -16.46    21.15     5.99   -65.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.95R   97.49  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10