Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 21 December 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2013, Crystal_Palace 0 3 Newcastle; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Liverpool        17   36  +23       2.26    65.64     5.63    74.45     6.35    38.13    12.92    32.67    54.52    73.53    96.02     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         17   35  +31      -2.08    33.63     7.40    80.77     5.72    61.97    50.92    75.70    88.74    95.40    99.69     0.00     0.00  
Arsenal          16   35  +16       4.11    77.53     1.85    76.77     6.44    35.09    20.92    46.03    66.86    82.33    97.66     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          16   33  +14       1.89    63.11    -1.07    73.81     6.58    30.55    10.75    28.38    48.30    67.86    94.29     0.00     0.00  
Everton          16   31  +12       4.19    77.74     5.11    68.66     6.55    23.19     2.35     8.27    18.99    35.34    80.91     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        17   30   +2       7.65    91.05     4.63    57.24     6.38    -1.48     0.03     0.15     0.59     1.92    13.79     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          17   28   +8      -4.42    21.14    -6.55    68.85     6.20    27.60     2.00     8.22    20.05    37.99    83.16     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        16   27   -6       3.16    71.52    -8.25    60.31     6.60    -1.57     0.11     0.56     1.80     4.94    26.66     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      16   24   +5       2.79    70.17     7.12    52.92     6.68     2.66     0.00     0.03     0.14     0.58     5.82     0.26R    0.01  
Stoke            17   21   -4       0.67    55.81     0.71    45.38     6.17   -10.46     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.31     3.72R    0.25  
Swansea          16   20   +1      -1.27    41.57     2.62    48.07     6.41    -2.99     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.08     1.19     1.65R    0.11  
Hull             17   20   -6       3.24    74.06     4.67    40.35     6.08   -18.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    17.00R    1.98  
Aston_Villa      17   19   -6       0.32    53.27     1.73    44.50     6.16   -12.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23     5.27R    0.47  
Norwich          17   19  -14       1.15    59.61    -3.73    40.83     6.15   -26.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    16.85R    2.29  
Cardiff          17   17  -12       0.85    57.77    -0.73    38.71     6.02   -24.33     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    25.92R    4.23  
West_Brom        17   16   -5      -5.61    15.23    -1.33    42.23     6.39    -9.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.13    10.72R    1.19  
West_Ham         17   14   -8      -5.80    14.35    -2.16    38.33     6.18   -15.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    25.89R    4.34  
Crystal_Palace   17   13  -16      -1.01    43.95    -0.19    28.80     5.46   -38.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    86.28R   51.81  
Fulham           17   13  -17      -5.43    16.02    -8.11    36.97     6.17   -26.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    36.66R    7.49  
Sunderland       17   10  -18      -7.55     7.77    -9.36    31.84     5.84   -30.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    69.76R   25.83  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2013, Birmingham 0 0 Nott'm_Forest; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         21   43  +18       8.64    90.53     9.64    83.17     7.37    26.83    25.22    46.39    90.54    57.23P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             21   42  +13       6.42    83.64     3.29    83.54     7.28    23.44    25.45    47.07    91.02    60.08P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       21   42  +11       6.89    85.04     1.42    83.48     7.36    21.82    25.26    46.68    90.44    58.42P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           21   40  +18       6.29    82.58    10.45    80.62     7.39    27.85    15.82    33.59    84.12    45.53P    0.00R    0.00  
Leeds_United    21   34   +9       3.45    69.61     6.31    69.68     7.39    11.15     0.97     3.21    30.48     8.79P    0.03R    0.00  
Reading         21   34   +6      -0.11    49.12    -2.06    73.62     7.62    14.11     3.36     9.16    50.79    20.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   21   33   +7       1.98    61.70     3.56    69.31     7.27    10.24     0.81     2.76    28.33     8.40P    0.04R    0.00  
Brighton        21   32   +7      -1.24    42.55     0.40    71.13     7.24    14.27     1.28     4.30    38.06    13.64P    0.01R    0.00  
Ipswich         21   31   +6       2.70    66.06     6.59    66.05     7.36     7.25     0.26     1.03    16.10     3.92P    0.18R    0.01  
Blackpool       21   31   -1       1.23    57.41    -2.53    66.25     7.34     0.63     0.26     1.07    15.88     4.23P    0.16R    0.01  
Blackburn       21   30   +2       0.21    51.49     0.36    66.03     7.36     4.79     0.30     1.01    15.35     4.24P    0.18R    0.00  
Wigan           20   28   +1      -3.26    31.38    -4.72    68.43     7.81     8.34     0.81     2.73    26.09     8.99P    0.10R    0.00  
Huddersfield    21   27   +1       1.03    56.86     4.91    58.64     7.24    -2.73     0.01     0.07     2.53     0.52P    2.22R    0.18  
Watford         21   26   +2      -5.87    19.25    -2.74    64.24     7.53     7.98     0.18     0.72    12.17     3.67P    0.46R    0.02  
Bournemouth     21   25  -13       3.70    72.54    -0.51    51.55     7.23   -25.68     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   16.98R    3.12  
Birmingham      21   24   +0      -6.32    17.47    -2.31    59.14     7.34     1.48     0.00     0.08     3.26     0.83P    2.08R    0.14  
Middlesbrough   21   23   +1      -5.63    19.96     1.30    56.38     7.41    -0.48     0.01     0.04     1.59     0.40P    4.60R    0.51  
Bolton          21   23   -4      -7.11    14.23    -6.08    58.69     7.42    -1.74     0.01     0.09     2.74     0.73P    2.62R    0.27  
Millwall        21   21  -17      -1.89    39.42    -7.98    48.58     7.02   -27.45     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   28.84R    6.35  
Doncaster       21   20  -19       0.61    55.52    -4.56    44.16     6.92   -34.42     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    54.34R   18.04  
Charlton        21   19   -9      -7.66    11.76    -6.25    51.03     7.14   -11.78     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.04P   16.52R    2.83  
Sheff_Wed       20   17   -9      -6.56    14.57    -3.27    47.26     7.35   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.64R    8.39  
Yeovil          21   17  -11      -3.04    32.60     2.06    41.78     6.91   -25.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    65.48R   26.80  
Barnsley        21   16  -19      -5.25    20.09    -7.27    40.87     6.87   -33.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    71.49R   33.33  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2013, Crewe 1 1 Shrewsbury; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   21   44  +24       8.57    89.80    13.97    85.73     7.39    35.32    20.67    45.68    94.87    58.05P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   21   44  +19       4.22    73.38     2.69    91.43     7.32    38.85    52.17    75.15    98.92    83.30P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       21   43  +14       8.14    88.97     5.09    83.47     7.41    23.21    11.41    31.09    90.04    45.85P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    21   39  +11       2.17    61.76    -1.19    83.10     7.61    26.16    11.59    30.87    88.92    48.60P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         21   38   +8       7.05    85.30     4.78    75.57     7.38    12.85     1.59     6.11    59.04    16.58P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham       21   35   +9       7.11    84.96    10.78    68.65     7.72     7.59     0.26     1.30    24.75     4.81P    0.28R    0.01  
Swindon         21   33  +10      -3.16    31.57    -1.17    75.33     7.46    22.03     1.71     6.74    60.80    22.60P    0.01R    0.00  
Walsall         21   33   +5       3.00    67.68     3.09    69.24     7.39     8.02     0.20     1.08    26.32     6.04P    0.17R    0.00  
Bradford        21   30  +10       3.00    67.64    12.76    61.73     7.52     6.10     0.01     0.12     6.79     1.24P    2.73R    0.13  
Port_Vale       21   30   -3       4.35    74.24     2.38    60.94     7.61    -8.76     0.02     0.10     4.96     0.84P    4.23R    0.23  
MK_Dons         20   28   +4      -4.09    26.86    -3.07    69.42     7.78    12.62     0.33     1.55    29.46     8.76P    0.33R    0.01  
Crawley_Town    21   26   -4      -0.37    48.48    -0.25    56.80     7.33    -9.28     0.00     0.01     1.49     0.24P   10.61R    0.89  
Coventry        21   25   +6       2.41    63.42     0.24    63.09     7.65    11.62     0.02     0.18     9.56     2.34P    2.11R    0.12  
Gillingham      22   25   -9      -0.13    50.40    -0.89    51.65     7.16   -19.10     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.03P   29.73R    4.01  
Colchester      21   24   -7       0.19    52.19     0.51    54.15     7.26   -13.41     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.08P   18.79R    2.28  
Carlisle        21   24  -12       0.60    54.72    -3.12    51.04     7.17   -24.11     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   33.77R    5.18  
Shrewsbury      21   23   -2      -3.14    32.07     1.74    54.11     7.19    -6.39     0.00     0.00     0.61     0.10P   17.70R    1.86  
Oldham          20   22   -5      -1.55    41.36     0.68    52.07     7.43   -13.20     0.00     0.00     0.33     0.04P   27.38R    3.97  
Sheff_Utd       21   21   -9      -8.66     9.29   -10.45    57.20     7.39    -6.00     0.00     0.01     1.59     0.36P    9.66R    0.92  
Tranmere        21   20  -15      -5.21    21.73    -9.36    50.26     7.24   -21.20     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   37.06R    6.31  
Stevenage       21   19  -13      -4.51    24.68    -5.00    47.63     7.19   -21.49     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   51.06R   11.81  
Notts_County    22   18   -9     -11.14     4.79    -7.33    49.86     7.19   -10.73     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.03P   36.37R    6.54  
Crewe           21   18  -25      -1.68    40.79    -9.88    40.69     6.81   -44.11     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    85.43R   49.69  
Bristol_City    21   16   -7     -13.01     2.73    -7.00    50.75     7.66    -6.57     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.06P   32.57R    6.04  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2013, Bristol_Rovers 2 0 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Chesterfield         21   39  +14       3.42    69.67     4.22    80.89     7.29    25.00    36.21    71.88    94.46    79.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Oxford_Utd           21   38  +16       4.54    74.84     9.22    77.09     7.39    23.09    18.85    52.80    86.34    62.26P    0.00R    0.00  
Scunthorpe           21   37   +7       2.30    63.10    -1.68    78.08     7.57    17.03    22.02    56.09    87.57    65.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       21   35   +7       5.17    77.79     5.39    70.29     7.46     8.50     3.73    18.46    55.55    26.95P    0.07R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        21   35   +3       5.95    81.19     2.56    69.86     7.43     3.88     3.13    16.26    52.12    23.98P    0.11R    0.02  
Newport_County       20   34   +8       9.73    93.05    12.65    66.61     7.74     3.66     1.67     9.34    36.42    14.02P    0.49R    0.13  
Southend             21   34   +7       1.30    57.95     1.20    73.41     7.33    14.52     7.70    31.78    72.42    43.55P    0.02R    0.01  
Rochdale             21   34   +2       3.77    71.00    -0.10    70.37     7.52     5.03     3.65    18.29    55.23    26.88P    0.11R    0.02  
Morecambe            22   32   -3       3.39    69.34    -0.80    62.88     7.13    -5.70     0.30     2.66    18.03     5.79P    1.29R    0.39  
Dag_&_Red            21   30   +3       1.60    59.77     3.39    63.12     7.35     1.43     0.48     3.54    20.80     7.26P    1.23R    0.37  
Cheltenham           22   30   -2      -0.64    46.83    -2.81    63.68     7.19    -0.70     0.44     3.59    22.07     8.02P    1.01R    0.29  
Exeter               21   29   -2      -0.24    49.03    -2.64    64.52     7.46    -0.03     0.68     5.01    26.17    10.15P    0.98R    0.30  
Wycombe              21   27   +1      -1.91    38.97     0.73    61.90     7.40     1.98     0.29     2.72    17.28     6.32P    1.92R    0.64  
Hartlepool           21   27   +1      -4.36    26.15    -2.90    63.55     7.52     4.60     0.58     4.37    23.50     9.83P    1.24R    0.37  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   27   -1       3.10    69.28     4.15    58.18     7.43    -7.49     0.08     0.88     7.45     2.08P    6.20R    2.41  
Plymouth             21   26   -6       0.31    52.74    -2.47    56.12     6.99   -10.80     0.02     0.27     3.46     0.92P    8.91R    3.46  
Accrington_Stanley   21   23   -6      -1.93    39.39    -0.59    52.29     7.18   -13.10     0.00     0.08     1.41     0.33P   21.77R   10.62  
Bristol_Rovers       21   22   -3      -4.63    24.55    -0.22    54.16     7.31    -5.80     0.01     0.18     2.64     0.82P   14.56R    6.47  
Mansfield            21   22   -6      -1.71    40.75     1.54    50.30     7.33   -14.80     0.01     0.06     0.83     0.21P   31.38R   16.86  
Portsmouth           21   22   -9      -9.10     9.82   -12.43    58.97     7.67    -5.09     0.11     1.24     9.84     3.81P    5.52R    2.22  
York                 21   21   -4      -3.87    28.16     1.27    51.30     7.21    -9.36     0.00     0.07     1.00     0.24P   25.23R   12.78  
Torquay              21   21  -11      -4.72    24.06    -6.65    52.19     7.24   -15.30     0.00     0.07     1.28     0.34P   22.61R   11.16  
Bury                 21   20   -4      -9.75     7.52    -5.52    54.88     7.63    -2.97     0.02     0.34     3.76     1.34P   13.06R    5.98  
Northampton          21   18  -12      -7.52    12.16    -7.52    48.26     7.26   -17.58     0.00     0.03     0.36     0.10P   42.30R   25.49  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 21 December 2013, Aldershot 6 0 Tamworth; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    22   48  +26      10.62    94.85    15.09    89.31     6.93    38.98    41.73    96.96    56.24P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            23   47  +26       4.82    76.10     8.63    88.97     6.72    42.55    40.83    97.08    58.25P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          21   40  +13       3.49    69.98     1.35    82.70     7.11    26.27    10.98    82.86    31.06P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    24   40   -1       9.20    89.98     3.29    68.31     6.55    -4.84     0.09    10.83     1.23P    0.03R    0.00  
Barnet           23   39  +11      -1.32    42.09    -2.56    77.77     6.86    22.18     3.13    61.45    19.76P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    23   39   +9      -0.52    46.68    -3.83    76.95     6.78    19.07     2.40    56.15    15.58P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         23   39   +3       8.64    89.65     4.92    67.86     6.67    -1.13     0.10    10.37     1.42P    0.05R    0.00  
Halifax          24   37   +7       4.14    71.95     7.72    66.05     6.93     4.60     0.06     7.82     1.18P    0.09R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   22   35   +8       4.12    73.11     6.99    68.27     6.93     8.39     0.14    13.16     2.19P    0.02R    0.00  
Gateshead        22   35   +4       4.65    75.63     3.95    69.83     7.12     6.96     0.24    18.64     3.17P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury        22   34   +2       5.85    80.41     5.42    63.04     7.21    -4.49     0.04     4.03     0.61P    0.46R    0.00  
Welling          22   31   +3       3.68    70.59     7.69    64.62     7.31     3.94     0.04     6.18     0.98P    0.29R    0.00  
Forest_Green     22   30   +5      -3.30    31.27    -0.03    66.30     7.12    10.11     0.06     9.15     1.84P    0.15R    0.00  
Wrexham          22   29   +2      -7.16    14.06    -7.57    69.23     6.99    13.31     0.17    17.05     4.54P    0.03R    0.00  
Macclesfield     22   29   -2      -1.63    40.49    -2.43    60.78     7.02    -3.77     0.00     1.79     0.31P    1.06R    0.00  
Woking           23   29   -4      -0.06    50.35     0.54    55.97     6.66   -12.12     0.00     0.23     0.03P    4.03R    0.00  
Hereford         23   28   -2      -6.16    18.97    -5.96    59.58     6.69    -1.86     0.00     1.03     0.18P    1.09R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     22   27   -3      -1.12    43.80     0.12    58.24     6.93    -5.58     0.00     0.70     0.10P    2.10R    0.00  
Aldershot        22   22   +5      -5.34    21.71    -6.23    63.25     7.17    18.13     0.01     4.49     1.34P    0.48R    0.00  
Southport        22   22  -16      -1.55    41.51    -4.74    49.82     6.73   -25.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    21.35R    0.09  
Chester          23   20  -15      -2.12    38.76    -0.19    43.70     6.59   -27.59     0.00     0.00     0.00    56.45R    0.74  
Tamworth         21   20  -18      -0.52    47.98    -4.55    47.24     6.92   -29.74     0.00     0.00     0.00    35.54R    0.37  
Dartford         25   18  -25      -8.40    10.56   -11.67    40.43     6.20   -35.33     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.88R    2.02  
Hyde_United      22    3  -38     -15.52     0.12   -15.96    22.24     6.21   -63.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.90R   96.78  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10