Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Sunday 15 December 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 December 2013, Aston_Villa 0 3 Man_Utd; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 16 35 +16 4.17 77.78 1.90 76.76 6.48 35.13 23.84 48.85 69.11 83.59 97.91 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 16 33 +21 1.84 62.45 5.74 73.73 6.54 37.82 12.96 31.64 52.71 71.75 95.33 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 16 33 +14 1.86 62.94 -1.06 73.77 6.54 30.57 12.31 30.36 50.45 69.84 95.18 0.00 0.00 Man_City 16 32 +29 -2.69 28.97 7.23 79.66 5.92 60.32 46.12 71.63 86.04 94.01 99.54 0.00 0.00 Everton 16 31 +12 4.32 78.43 5.33 68.53 6.56 23.04 2.70 9.04 20.21 37.15 82.16 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 16 27 -1 6.91 89.93 3.03 55.03 6.55 -5.47 0.02 0.09 0.43 1.22 9.56 0.13R 0.00 Tottenham 16 27 -6 3.16 71.73 -8.34 60.39 6.61 -1.54 0.12 0.65 2.19 5.89 29.39 0.00R 0.00 Man_Utd 16 25 +6 -4.99 17.85 -6.78 68.10 6.30 26.96 1.93 7.72 18.67 35.80 81.76 0.00 0.00 Southampton 16 24 +5 2.76 70.39 7.02 53.01 6.64 2.86 0.00 0.02 0.16 0.63 6.69 0.29R 0.02 Swansea 16 20 +1 -1.26 41.69 2.62 47.93 6.39 -3.18 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.07 1.27 2.00R 0.13 Aston_Villa 16 19 -5 1.21 59.85 1.96 45.71 6.35 -11.68 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.47 4.90R 0.51 Hull 16 19 -6 3.14 74.16 4.05 40.08 6.23 -19.11 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 21.82R 3.69 Stoke 16 18 -5 -0.60 46.39 0.16 43.78 6.34 -11.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.25 7.93R 0.91 Norwich 16 18 -14 1.32 61.42 -3.83 40.85 6.28 -26.77 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.09 19.91R 3.68 Cardiff 16 17 -10 1.17 60.11 -0.83 39.14 6.18 -24.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 27.21R 5.39 West_Brom 16 15 -5 -4.84 18.16 -0.80 43.23 6.59 -8.90 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.01 0.27 10.15R 1.39 West_Ham 16 14 -6 -5.43 15.66 -2.01 39.07 6.28 -14.85 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 25.03R 5.12 Crystal_Palace 16 13 -13 -0.66 46.55 1.04 30.92 5.83 -33.91 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 77.90R 41.48 Fulham 16 13 -15 -4.82 18.56 -7.64 37.73 6.33 -25.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 35.27R 8.54 Sunderland 16 9 -18 -6.87 8.86 -8.81 32.58 6.13 -30.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 67.45R 29.14Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 15 December 2013, Wigan 3 2 Bolton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 QPR 20 42 +14 7.70 88.73 4.18 85.37 7.51 25.18 36.50 58.25 93.29 68.58P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 20 40 +17 7.51 88.00 9.36 81.80 7.52 26.18 20.48 40.04 86.17 51.68P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 20 39 +10 5.27 79.24 0.47 81.19 7.47 19.90 17.26 35.41 83.25 48.01P 0.00 0.00 Derby 20 37 +16 6.00 81.62 10.54 79.33 7.62 26.42 12.77 28.60 78.12 40.16P 0.00 0.00 Reading 20 34 +7 1.05 56.31 -1.42 75.95 7.82 16.60 6.38 15.59 61.39 28.14P 0.01R 0.00 Leeds_United 20 33 +9 4.06 73.54 6.69 71.25 7.61 12.96 1.76 5.45 37.48 12.11P 0.03R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 20 32 +7 2.08 62.58 3.19 69.60 7.50 10.10 1.05 3.45 28.87 9.09P 0.05R 0.01 Brighton 20 31 +7 -0.46 47.07 0.90 72.13 7.47 15.15 1.98 6.29 42.35 16.38P 0.02R 0.00 Blackpool 20 31 +0 1.95 61.90 -2.44 67.58 7.45 1.59 0.51 1.93 19.52 5.66P 0.12R 0.00 Ipswich 20 30 +6 3.12 69.14 6.68 66.45 7.64 7.24 0.42 1.47 17.48 4.54P 0.23R 0.01 Blackburn 20 27 +1 -0.99 44.38 -0.00 64.34 7.53 3.67 0.17 0.64 10.92 2.92P 0.50R 0.03 Huddersfield 20 26 +1 1.08 57.33 4.56 58.53 7.40 -3.61 0.02 0.09 2.61 0.55P 2.99R 0.27 Watford 20 25 +2 -5.75 18.98 -3.11 64.70 7.67 8.14 0.23 0.92 12.88 4.05P 0.45R 0.03 Wigan 19 25 +0 -4.73 23.50 -5.44 65.86 7.97 5.96 0.40 1.53 16.63 5.74P 0.39R 0.03 Birmingham 20 23 +0 -5.94 18.27 -2.20 59.80 7.57 1.89 0.04 0.17 4.04 1.03P 2.15R 0.17 Bolton 20 22 -4 -6.58 15.36 -5.84 59.70 7.54 -0.84 0.04 0.14 3.60 1.02P 2.33R 0.25 Bournemouth 20 22 -14 2.11 64.47 -1.36 49.03 7.42 -28.18 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 30.05R 7.06 Millwall 20 21 -15 -1.26 43.22 -7.03 50.81 7.33 -24.25 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.02P 21.48R 4.17 Middlesbrough 20 20 -1 -6.70 15.00 0.20 54.04 7.57 -3.59 0.00 0.02 0.77 0.20P 9.94R 1.48 Doncaster 20 20 -17 1.01 58.12 -4.24 45.04 7.08 -33.37 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 51.02R 16.17 Charlton 20 18 -9 -7.56 11.65 -6.60 50.94 7.31 -12.47 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.06P 18.69R 3.31 Sheff_Wed 19 17 -8 -5.09 20.25 -2.13 49.49 7.59 -14.54 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 25.49R 5.71 Yeovil 20 17 -10 -2.11 38.03 2.59 43.24 7.20 -24.58 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 58.99R 21.84 Barnsley 20 15 -19 -5.23 19.86 -7.54 40.28 7.09 -35.55 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 75.08R 39.48League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2013, Bradford 1 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 20 44 +25 10.24 94.25 15.44 88.02 7.64 37.69 27.55 58.36 97.09 68.40P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 20 43 +19 4.87 77.34 3.20 92.53 7.53 39.82 54.35 78.47 99.13 85.50P 0.00 0.00 Brentford 20 40 +11 7.36 87.27 3.31 80.98 7.57 18.97 5.57 19.24 83.38 34.79P 0.00 0.00 Preston 20 38 +11 7.59 87.70 6.53 77.80 7.62 17.19 2.88 10.81 71.64 23.66P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 20 36 +10 1.07 55.82 -1.37 81.91 7.78 25.87 8.10 24.69 86.51 43.74P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 20 34 +9 7.48 86.48 10.70 67.83 7.86 5.84 0.18 1.09 23.38 4.56P 0.44R 0.01 Bradford 20 30 +11 3.95 72.41 13.03 62.72 7.72 6.38 0.04 0.21 9.48 1.67P 2.21R 0.09 Swindon 20 30 +9 -4.20 25.71 -1.29 73.84 7.71 21.21 1.02 4.90 54.73 19.63P 0.06R 0.00 Walsall 20 30 +3 2.21 63.90 2.28 67.60 7.62 5.99 0.09 0.71 21.65 5.05P 0.45R 0.02 Port_Vale 20 30 +0 4.71 76.12 3.66 62.73 7.90 -5.17 0.03 0.21 8.87 1.55P 2.95R 0.12 Coventry 20 25 +7 3.24 68.28 0.33 64.47 7.85 12.60 0.06 0.38 14.30 3.74P 1.53R 0.10 MK_Dons 19 25 +1 -4.75 22.96 -4.60 67.43 8.01 9.05 0.14 0.89 22.91 6.37P 0.70R 0.03 Carlisle 20 24 -10 1.06 57.68 -2.57 52.53 7.39 -21.81 0.00 0.00 0.48 0.07P 27.19R 3.61 Crawley_Town 20 23 -5 -1.88 39.56 -1.15 54.01 7.42 -12.03 0.00 0.00 0.73 0.11P 19.63R 2.31 Shrewsbury 20 22 -2 -2.84 33.37 1.63 54.94 7.38 -5.73 0.00 0.00 0.90 0.13P 15.44R 1.72 Oldham 19 22 -3 -0.65 46.86 1.99 54.37 7.59 -9.82 0.00 0.00 0.95 0.16P 18.54R 2.24 Gillingham 21 22 -10 -1.50 42.22 -1.45 49.35 7.34 -21.03 0.00 0.00 0.12 0.01P 42.12R 8.06 Colchester 20 21 -9 -1.07 44.46 -0.86 51.67 7.46 -16.67 0.00 0.00 0.32 0.06P 30.43R 4.82 Sheff_Utd 20 20 -9 -8.29 9.96 -10.43 57.89 7.64 -5.56 0.00 0.01 2.40 0.61P 8.97R 0.80 Tranmere 20 20 -14 -4.03 26.91 -8.69 52.28 7.47 -19.18 0.00 0.00 0.35 0.05P 27.79R 4.00 Stevenage 20 18 -13 -4.44 24.29 -5.34 47.84 7.36 -21.81 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.01P 50.41R 11.51 Notts_County 21 17 -9 -10.78 4.95 -7.34 50.23 7.43 -10.75 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 34.97R 6.11 Crewe 20 17 -25 -1.45 42.12 -9.95 40.76 7.01 -44.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 84.82R 48.61 Bristol_City 20 15 -7 -12.65 2.66 -7.03 51.18 7.91 -6.47 0.00 0.00 0.43 0.12P 31.34R 5.86 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 20 37 +16 4.98 77.66 9.28 77.95 7.51 23.81 23.62 56.36 87.56 64.88P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 20 36 +12 2.28 63.46 2.94 78.82 7.56 22.41 26.76 60.09 89.11 69.16P 0.00R 0.00 Fleetwood_Town 20 35 +9 6.00 82.16 6.62 72.79 7.64 12.13 7.74 28.50 66.26 37.16P 0.01R 0.01 Newport_County 20 34 +8 9.97 93.47 13.08 66.43 7.73 3.41 1.76 8.72 33.83 12.92P 0.45R 0.10 Scunthorpe 20 34 +5 1.68 59.32 -2.21 76.19 7.87 14.66 16.68 45.14 79.53 55.44P 0.02R 0.01 Burton_Albion 20 34 +3 6.20 82.75 2.41 69.59 7.57 2.96 3.32 15.27 48.62 22.10P 0.14R 0.02 Southend 20 33 +7 1.92 61.80 1.61 74.17 7.56 15.10 10.60 35.06 73.40 46.22P 0.02R 0.00 Rochdale 20 33 +2 3.94 72.55 -0.36 70.22 7.73 4.20 4.28 18.04 51.94 25.80P 0.12R 0.04 Morecambe 21 32 -1 3.79 71.75 -0.21 64.31 7.29 -3.69 0.63 4.31 22.62 8.18P 0.80R 0.21 Dag_&_Red 20 30 +4 2.83 67.15 4.23 65.33 7.64 3.56 1.19 6.62 29.44 11.52P 0.68R 0.20 Exeter 20 29 +0 0.65 54.27 -1.32 66.38 7.68 2.66 1.57 8.34 33.53 14.42P 0.59R 0.18 AFC_Wimbledon 20 27 -1 3.26 70.24 4.41 58.09 7.38 -7.67 0.07 0.81 6.51 1.85P 5.73R 2.15 Cheltenham 21 27 -4 -1.76 40.05 -4.06 60.92 7.42 -4.44 0.23 1.77 12.60 4.35P 2.54R 0.85 Hartlepool 20 26 +1 -4.02 27.51 -2.88 64.50 7.71 5.44 0.99 5.78 26.80 11.89P 0.90R 0.22 Wycombe 20 24 -2 -2.67 34.53 -0.99 58.98 7.57 -2.88 0.14 1.31 8.97 3.11P 4.70R 1.79 Plymouth 20 23 -7 -1.06 44.09 -3.07 53.95 7.14 -12.49 0.01 0.14 1.84 0.50P 14.62R 6.29 Mansfield 20 22 -5 -0.59 47.52 2.07 52.42 7.61 -12.64 0.01 0.13 1.69 0.45P 21.53R 10.91 Portsmouth 20 22 -7 -8.52 10.67 -11.62 61.28 7.89 -1.67 0.31 2.65 15.43 6.68P 3.12R 1.08 Bury 20 20 -3 -8.74 9.18 -4.98 56.89 7.76 -1.01 0.07 0.71 6.00 2.26P 8.10R 3.51 York 20 20 -4 -3.54 29.53 1.37 51.16 7.33 -10.12 0.00 0.07 0.99 0.27P 24.79R 12.74 Accrington_Stanley 20 20 -7 -3.50 29.72 -1.57 50.17 7.24 -14.73 0.01 0.03 0.64 0.14P 30.18R 16.27 Bristol_Rovers 20 19 -5 -5.77 18.20 -1.49 51.84 7.43 -8.84 0.00 0.08 1.29 0.33P 21.94R 11.18 Northampton 20 18 -9 -6.92 13.69 -5.75 50.81 7.39 -12.81 0.01 0.04 0.77 0.22P 26.83R 14.20 Torquay 20 18 -12 -6.30 16.07 -7.51 49.96 7.44 -17.34 0.01 0.03 0.63 0.16P 32.20R 18.04Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2013, Dartford 1 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 21 48 +27 11.76 96.96 15.73 90.73 7.12 40.08 51.74 97.64 63.63P 0.00 0.00 Luton 22 44 +24 4.08 72.94 8.25 87.70 6.88 40.83 32.06 94.94 51.26P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 22 39 +11 -0.03 49.48 -3.11 78.67 6.99 21.70 4.36 63.87 19.98P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 22 39 +5 9.77 92.92 6.58 70.46 6.92 2.86 0.30 18.30 2.69P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 20 37 +11 2.59 65.74 0.48 80.94 7.25 23.97 7.60 74.15 25.97P 0.00 0.00 Alfreton_Town 23 37 -2 8.32 88.39 3.38 67.19 6.78 -4.98 0.06 8.21 0.96P 0.06R 0.00 Barnet 22 36 +10 -2.37 36.25 -2.70 76.76 7.13 22.16 2.67 54.09 17.43P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 22 35 +8 4.06 72.78 6.82 68.24 6.98 8.41 0.17 12.39 2.15P 0.03R 0.00 Gateshead 21 35 +6 5.30 78.88 4.66 70.71 7.19 8.23 0.37 20.91 3.69P 0.02R 0.00 Halifax 23 34 +6 2.81 65.75 7.25 64.33 7.17 3.33 0.03 5.46 0.89P 0.26R 0.00 Salisbury 21 33 +2 6.21 82.31 5.32 64.55 7.57 -2.71 0.07 6.13 1.03P 0.40R 0.00 Forest_Green 21 30 +6 -2.18 37.08 0.52 67.93 7.35 11.52 0.19 13.19 2.83P 0.10R 0.00 Welling 21 30 +3 4.06 72.87 7.72 64.93 7.59 3.94 0.07 6.95 1.15P 0.43R 0.00 Macclesfield 22 29 -2 -1.64 41.01 -2.53 60.89 7.00 -3.65 0.01 1.70 0.30P 1.05R 0.01 Wrexham 21 28 +2 -6.81 14.75 -7.65 69.70 7.18 13.47 0.30 18.51 5.18P 0.03R 0.00 Lincoln_City 21 26 -3 -0.66 46.39 0.18 58.49 7.15 -5.56 0.01 0.90 0.14P 2.45R 0.00 Woking 22 26 -6 -1.32 42.76 -0.80 53.09 6.84 -16.22 0.00 0.10 0.01P 10.34R 0.03 Hereford 22 25 -3 -7.67 12.98 -6.72 57.88 6.92 -2.94 0.00 0.53 0.12P 2.50R 0.00 Southport 21 21 -16 -1.39 42.45 -5.20 49.23 6.97 -26.63 0.00 0.01 0.00P 26.04R 0.26 Tamworth 20 20 -12 -0.96 44.75 -1.86 49.09 7.11 -22.56 0.00 0.02 0.00 26.40R 0.30 Aldershot 21 19 -1 -4.48 25.31 -8.31 60.51 7.37 10.21 0.00 2.01 0.60P 1.53R 0.00 Chester 22 19 -15 -1.74 41.09 -0.57 44.00 6.93 -27.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 55.38R 1.09 Dartford 24 18 -24 -7.55 12.70 -11.71 41.28 6.32 -35.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.10R 2.10 Hyde_United 21 3 -37 -14.68 0.12 -15.74 22.99 6.39 -63.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.86R 96.21 Adjustments: Aldershot -10