Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 14 December 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2013, Cardiff 1 0 West_Brom; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          16   35  +16       4.13    77.61     1.81    76.79     6.45    35.37    26.13    53.54    73.29    86.21    97.99     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          16   33  +14       2.02    64.23    -1.02    73.82     6.51    30.79    13.67    33.64    55.79    73.90    94.83     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         16   32  +29      -2.58    29.75     7.33    79.59     5.90    60.49    48.11    74.49    88.15    94.94    99.47     0.00     0.00  
Everton          16   31  +12       4.18    77.94     5.08    68.64     6.56    23.33     3.29    11.03    23.99    42.53    81.48     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        15   30  +16       1.26    58.92     2.65    70.40     6.80    29.78     6.70    18.70    36.09    55.10    86.95     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        16   27   -1       6.91    89.93     3.09    54.97     6.52    -5.47     0.03     0.13     0.46     1.45     9.37     0.13R    0.00  
Tottenham        15   27   -1       3.56    74.78    -4.92    63.26     6.79     5.91     0.59     2.51     7.01    15.28    48.22     0.00R    0.00  
Southampton      16   24   +5       2.66    69.68     6.85    52.96     6.61     2.77     0.01     0.05     0.22     0.82     6.88     0.29R    0.01  
Man_Utd          15   22   +3      -5.76    13.45    -8.45    66.24     6.57    23.55     1.46     5.90    14.94    29.51    71.08     0.00R    0.00  
Swansea          15   19   +1      -0.96    43.57     2.55    48.25     6.67    -3.30     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.15     1.72     2.26R    0.20  
Aston_Villa      15   19   -2       1.74    63.94     3.63    47.45     6.62    -8.03     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.11     1.30     3.22R    0.33  
Hull             16   19   -6       3.23    74.83     4.36    39.85     6.17   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    22.87R    3.82  
Stoke            16   18   -5      -0.60    46.63     0.17    43.62     6.35   -11.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.23     8.69R    1.05  
Cardiff          16   17  -10       1.15    59.97    -0.90    39.45     6.13   -23.73     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    25.63R    4.96  
Norwich          15   17  -14       1.70    64.81    -3.73    41.39     6.50   -26.58     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.11    18.72R    3.48  
West_Brom        16   15   -5      -4.96    17.80    -1.05    43.26     6.53    -8.90     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.23    10.33R    1.51  
West_Ham         16   14   -6      -5.35    15.88    -1.94    39.04     6.26   -14.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.05    25.82R    4.75  
Crystal_Palace   16   13  -13      -0.61    46.95     1.12    30.81     5.81   -34.24     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.85R   42.56  
Fulham           16   13  -15      -4.84    18.50    -7.67    37.78     6.31   -25.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    35.46R    8.36  
Sunderland       16    9  -18      -6.92     8.74    -8.96    32.60     6.09   -30.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    67.71R   28.96  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2013, Barnsley 1 1 Yeovil; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

QPR             20   42  +14       7.78    89.07     4.20    85.46     7.49    25.23    36.70    58.56    93.56    68.83P    0.00     0.00  
Burnley         20   40  +17       7.52    87.89     9.36    81.93     7.52    26.37    20.50    40.79    86.59    52.12P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       20   39  +10       5.47    80.02     0.77    80.96     7.57    19.56    16.83    34.40    82.50    47.04P    0.00     0.00  
Derby           20   37  +16       5.90    81.32    10.39    79.43     7.62    26.62    13.19    29.13    78.66    40.70P    0.00R    0.00  
Reading         20   34   +7       0.97    55.60    -1.52    76.11     7.75    16.80     6.40    15.72    62.53    28.63P    0.00     0.00  
Leeds_United    20   33   +9       4.02    73.29     6.60    71.32     7.63    13.12     1.78     5.49    38.59    12.48P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   20   32   +7       2.21    63.35     3.32    69.51     7.55     9.97     1.01     3.41    29.03     9.32P    0.05R    0.00  
Brighton        20   31   +7      -0.50    46.98     0.86    72.12     7.46    15.17     1.93     6.08    42.22    16.09P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool       20   31   +0       2.15    63.40    -2.17    67.28     7.45     1.14     0.47     1.69    18.80     5.36P    0.12R    0.00  
Ipswich         20   30   +6       3.13    69.15     6.70    66.39     7.58     7.15     0.42     1.47    17.24     4.53P    0.22R    0.01  
Blackburn       20   27   +1      -0.96    44.70     0.02    64.27     7.57     3.58     0.17     0.73    10.99     3.06P    0.51R    0.03  
Huddersfield    20   26   +1       1.01    57.13     4.44    58.53     7.44    -3.58     0.01     0.08     2.66     0.58P    2.89R    0.28  
Watford         20   25   +2      -5.58    19.70    -2.86    64.45     7.70     7.78     0.22     0.91    12.30     3.75P    0.56R    0.04  
Birmingham      20   23   +0      -6.01    17.77    -2.32    59.90     7.59     2.07     0.03     0.16     4.24     1.12P    2.20R    0.16  
Wigan           18   22   -1      -5.88    17.59    -5.78    64.34     8.20     5.12     0.30     1.10    13.23     4.52P    0.87R    0.07  
Bolton          19   22   -3      -5.59    18.81    -5.42    60.87     7.75    -0.08     0.06     0.27     5.34     1.55P    1.93R    0.18  
Bournemouth     20   22  -14       2.16    64.97    -1.24    49.02     7.38   -28.21     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   29.83R    6.84  
Millwall        20   21  -15      -1.23    43.41    -7.01    50.77     7.37   -24.28     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.04P   21.30R    4.22  
Middlesbrough   20   20   -1      -6.68    14.79     0.21    54.05     7.60    -3.61     0.00     0.02     0.81     0.19P   10.06R    1.60  
Doncaster       20   20  -17       0.94    57.73    -4.37    45.04     7.09   -33.31     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   51.40R   16.24  
Charlton        20   18   -9      -7.67    11.06    -6.75    51.04     7.34   -12.35     0.00     0.00     0.18     0.03P   18.60R    3.28  
Sheff_Wed       19   17   -8      -5.22    19.63    -2.27    49.58     7.64   -14.38     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.05P   25.75R    5.71  
Yeovil          20   17  -10      -2.21    37.04     2.40    43.31     7.17   -24.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00P   58.63R   21.72  
Barnsley        20   15  -19      -5.22    19.79    -7.56    40.31     7.08   -35.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    75.03R   39.61  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2013, Bradford 1 1 Leyton_Orient; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   20   44  +25      10.14    94.23    15.33    88.10     7.58    37.81    28.15    58.89    97.20    68.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   20   43  +19       4.92    77.34     3.26    92.48     7.54    39.78    53.82    78.61    99.19    85.87P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       20   40  +11       7.48    87.61     3.46    80.84     7.61    18.68     5.73    18.74    82.90    34.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Preston         20   38  +11       7.53    87.65     6.49    77.94     7.64    17.38     2.83    10.69    72.54    23.80P    0.00R    0.00  
Peterborough    20   36  +10       1.16    56.33    -1.26    81.83     7.86    25.78     7.94    24.59    85.88    43.19P    0.00R    0.00  
Rotherham       20   34   +9       7.28    86.17    10.40    68.07     7.82     6.24     0.21     1.14    24.26     4.77P    0.36R    0.01  
Bradford        20   30  +11       3.93    72.44    13.01    62.61     7.71     6.23     0.02     0.23     9.25     1.76P    2.28R    0.09  
Swindon         20   30   +9      -4.39    24.77    -1.58    73.98     7.70    21.50     0.98     5.01    55.13    20.10P    0.04R    0.00  
Walsall         20   30   +3       2.32    64.41     2.48    67.46     7.64     5.80     0.11     0.70    21.09     4.76P    0.50R    0.01  
Port_Vale       20   30   +0       4.58    75.27     3.46    62.99     7.90    -4.76     0.03     0.20     9.42     1.67P    2.76R    0.14  
Coventry        20   25   +7       3.28    68.46     0.37    64.39     7.89    12.40     0.04     0.33    14.08     3.69P    1.61R    0.06  
MK_Dons         19   25   +1      -4.72    22.87    -4.54    67.31     7.92     8.87     0.14     0.86    22.20     6.28P    0.66R    0.03  
Carlisle        20   24  -10       1.17    58.28    -2.40    52.47     7.38   -21.94     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.06P   27.36R    3.57  
Crawley_Town    20   23   -5      -1.97    39.02    -1.30    54.14     7.47   -11.82     0.00     0.00     0.74     0.14P   19.41R    2.19  
Shrewsbury      20   22   -2      -2.80    33.83     1.66    54.85     7.42    -5.84     0.00     0.00     0.94     0.17P   16.08R    1.71  
Oldham          19   22   -3      -0.87    45.27     1.65    54.59     7.65    -9.46     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.20P   17.83R    2.01  
Gillingham      21   22  -10      -1.40    42.76    -1.25    49.13     7.32   -21.40     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   43.41R    8.38  
Colchester      20   21   -9      -0.93    45.33    -0.61    51.49     7.39   -16.94     0.00     0.00     0.29     0.04P   30.84R    5.06  
Sheff_Utd       20   20   -9      -8.21    10.02   -10.31    57.79     7.58    -5.72     0.00     0.02     2.14     0.48P    9.05R    0.83  
Tranmere        20   20  -14      -4.04    26.73    -8.73    52.42     7.51   -18.93     0.00     0.00     0.40     0.07P   27.40R    3.87  
Stevenage       20   18  -13      -4.50    24.25    -5.39    48.02     7.42   -21.54     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.01P   48.94R   11.27  
Notts_County    21   17   -9     -10.68     5.11    -7.22    50.13     7.48   -10.94     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.03P   35.57R    6.46  
Crewe           20   17  -25      -1.46    42.02   -10.08    40.76     6.98   -44.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    84.54R   48.23  
Bristol_City    20   15   -7     -12.57     2.85    -6.91    51.10     7.93    -6.64     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.09P   31.35R    6.10  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 0 0 Mansfield; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           20   37  +16       4.97    77.46     9.27    77.89     7.55    23.71    23.65    55.93    87.22    64.57P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         20   36  +12       2.31    63.81     2.99    78.76     7.46    22.32    26.49    60.00    89.21    69.05P    0.00     0.00  
Fleetwood_Town       20   35   +9       6.10    82.27     6.78    72.68     7.66    11.95     7.75    27.85    65.81    36.76P    0.03R    0.00  
Newport_County       20   34   +8       9.74    93.05    12.69    66.78     7.76     3.85     1.92     9.60    35.52    14.10P    0.40R    0.08  
Scunthorpe           20   34   +5       1.64    59.63    -2.28    76.29     7.74    14.78    16.74    45.50    80.37    56.00P    0.01R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        20   34   +3       6.22    82.85     2.45    69.64     7.60     3.03     3.38    15.43    48.75    22.46P    0.14R    0.04  
Southend             20   33   +7       1.89    61.72     1.57    74.19     7.58    15.13    10.47    35.09    72.93    46.05P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             20   33   +2       4.04    72.97    -0.22    70.12     7.72     4.05     4.18    17.56    51.55    25.32P    0.14R    0.04  
Morecambe            21   32   -1       3.81    71.89    -0.19    64.31     7.35    -3.73     0.70     4.53    22.62     8.21P    0.73R    0.19  
Dag_&_Red            20   30   +4       2.89    67.57     4.35    65.20     7.62     3.38     1.19     6.39    28.49    10.95P    0.70R    0.19  
Exeter               20   29   +0       0.55    53.45    -1.44    66.50     7.72     2.82     1.64     8.67    33.74    14.71P    0.54R    0.15  
AFC_Wimbledon        20   27   -1       3.11    69.22     4.19    58.22     7.41    -7.44     0.09     0.84     6.75     1.90P    5.51R    2.11  
Cheltenham           21   27   -4      -1.76    40.24    -4.05    60.99     7.39    -4.30     0.24     1.75    12.57     4.35P    2.52R    0.87  
Hartlepool           20   26   +1      -4.00    27.52    -2.89    64.50     7.66     5.44     0.91     5.77    26.37    11.73P    0.90R    0.27  
Wycombe              20   24   -2      -2.70    34.51    -1.08    58.99     7.59    -2.84     0.16     1.17     9.01     2.93P    4.58R    1.79  
Plymouth             20   23   -7      -1.12    43.56    -3.15    54.03     7.22   -12.40     0.01     0.17     1.95     0.49P   14.20R    6.29  
Mansfield            20   22   -5      -0.51    48.21     2.19    52.28     7.59   -12.77     0.01     0.15     1.58     0.47P   21.45R   10.85  
Portsmouth           20   22   -7      -8.52    10.58   -11.63    61.36     7.88    -1.53     0.38     2.62    15.37     6.58P    3.06R    1.12  
Bury                 20   20   -3      -8.59     9.60    -4.78    56.69     7.80    -1.32     0.07     0.70     5.80     2.17P    8.54R    3.73  
York                 20   20   -4      -3.60    29.09     1.27    51.30     7.36    -9.92     0.00     0.08     1.00     0.27P   23.71R   11.91  
Accrington_Stanley   20   20   -7      -3.52    29.52    -1.55    50.13     7.35   -14.81     0.00     0.03     0.68     0.16P   30.56R   16.61  
Bristol_Rovers       20   19   -5      -5.89    17.66    -1.64    52.00     7.47    -8.62     0.00     0.10     1.35     0.39P   21.39R   10.45  
Northampton          20   18   -9      -6.77    14.27    -5.51    50.45     7.44   -13.30     0.01     0.04     0.76     0.21P   28.51R   15.21  
Torquay              20   18  -12      -6.22    16.54    -7.36    49.82     7.45   -17.49     0.01     0.05     0.60     0.17P   32.37R   18.09  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 14 December 2013, Dartford 1 2 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    21   48  +27      11.59    96.89    15.47    90.92     7.15    40.32    52.52    97.76    64.33P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            22   44  +24       4.14    73.26     8.30    87.64     6.89    40.81    31.49    94.81    50.99P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    22   39  +11      -0.08    48.86    -3.22    78.63     7.02    21.71     4.30    63.52    20.07P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         22   39   +5       9.79    92.87     6.61    70.45     6.91     2.83     0.36    18.08     2.62P    0.01R    0.00  
Grimsby          20   37  +11       2.56    65.29     0.45    80.95     7.30    23.98     7.51    74.15    25.39P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    23   37   -2       8.36    88.32     3.50    67.23     6.86    -5.03     0.08     8.76     1.07P    0.08R    0.00  
Barnet           22   36  +10      -2.41    35.61    -2.78    76.82     7.10    22.28     2.59    54.50    17.73P    0.00R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   22   35   +8       4.05    72.87     6.78    68.22     6.95     8.40     0.13    12.36     1.98P    0.05R    0.00  
Gateshead        21   35   +6       5.22    78.41     4.56    70.79     7.24     8.35     0.40    21.28     3.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Halifax          23   34   +6       2.73    65.28     7.12    64.29     7.20     3.31     0.05     5.45     0.84P    0.27R    0.00  
Salisbury        21   33   +2       6.46    83.05     5.78    64.15     7.53    -3.33     0.04     5.40     0.86P    0.53R    0.00  
Forest_Green     21   30   +6      -2.26    36.86     0.45    67.97     7.40    11.55     0.18    13.34     2.99P    0.08R    0.00  
Welling          21   30   +3       3.90    72.20     7.45    65.16     7.59     4.29     0.08     7.28     1.19P    0.36R    0.00  
Macclesfield     22   29   -2      -1.57    41.27    -2.43    60.84     7.01    -3.72     0.00     1.73     0.25P    0.99R    0.00  
Wrexham          21   28   +2      -6.66    15.48    -7.39    69.54     7.23    13.19     0.25    17.87     4.84P    0.04R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     21   26   -3      -0.76    45.67     0.02    58.60     7.18    -5.40     0.00     0.95     0.14P    2.31R    0.01  
Woking           22   26   -6      -1.36    42.35    -0.88    53.21     6.88   -16.06     0.00     0.12     0.02P    9.87R    0.02  
Hereford         22   25   -3      -7.68    12.87    -6.74    57.91     6.94    -2.88     0.00     0.63     0.16P    2.44R    0.01  
Southport        21   21  -16      -1.44    42.06    -5.28    49.35     6.97   -26.42     0.00     0.02     0.00P   25.38R    0.23  
Tamworth         20   20  -12      -0.91    45.29    -1.77    49.06     7.09   -22.64     0.00     0.03     0.00P   26.56R    0.27  
Aldershot        21   19   -1      -4.44    25.46    -8.23    60.50     7.37    10.21     0.00     1.97     0.61P    1.47R    0.00  
Chester          22   19  -15      -1.77    40.69    -0.64    44.02     6.81   -27.07     0.00     0.00     0.00    55.23R    1.05  
Dartford         24   18  -24      -7.46    13.04   -11.53    41.12     6.33   -35.54     0.00     0.00     0.00    74.46R    2.16  
Hyde_United      21    3  -37     -14.61     0.17   -15.60    22.95     6.37   -63.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.87R   96.26  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10