Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Thursday 12 December 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Monday 9 December 2013, Swansea 1 1 Hull; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 15 35 +19 4.68 81.67 3.60 77.99 6.56 37.73 35.54 61.65 79.37 89.99 98.62 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 15 30 +16 1.29 59.09 2.66 70.44 6.83 29.94 7.12 19.61 37.40 56.94 87.26 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 15 30 +13 1.30 59.23 -0.23 73.82 6.63 32.89 14.85 35.50 57.71 75.17 94.75 0.00 0.00 Man_City 15 29 +26 -3.10 25.98 6.67 77.94 6.19 56.50 37.89 65.61 82.14 91.60 98.84 0.00 0.00 Everton 15 28 +9 3.87 76.63 4.03 67.18 6.75 20.59 2.25 8.13 18.86 35.38 74.92 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 15 27 -1 3.52 74.90 -5.05 63.22 6.80 5.85 0.64 2.75 7.37 15.93 48.99 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 15 26 -1 7.41 92.07 3.11 55.80 6.82 -4.75 0.06 0.26 0.80 2.41 13.02 0.13R 0.01 Southampton 15 23 +5 2.96 72.09 6.75 52.86 6.84 2.15 0.01 0.08 0.31 1.02 7.55 0.42R 0.02 Man_Utd 15 22 +3 -5.73 13.75 -8.50 66.23 6.64 23.60 1.65 6.41 15.97 31.20 71.47 0.00R 0.00 Swansea 15 19 +1 -0.97 43.17 2.47 48.28 6.64 -3.16 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.16 1.82 2.27R 0.17 Aston_Villa 15 19 -2 1.74 63.99 3.56 47.33 6.57 -8.07 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.11 1.27 3.29R 0.31 Hull 15 18 -6 3.48 77.33 4.19 40.37 6.45 -19.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 21.82R 3.65 Stoke 15 17 -5 -0.45 47.25 -0.08 43.98 6.56 -11.59 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.39 8.40R 0.98 Norwich 15 17 -14 1.70 64.54 -3.90 41.29 6.54 -26.65 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.10 19.75R 3.44 West_Brom 15 15 -4 -3.86 22.77 -0.51 45.01 6.83 -7.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.73 7.28R 0.91 Cardiff 15 14 -11 -0.31 49.38 -1.53 37.57 6.36 -25.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 37.52R 8.78 West_Ham 15 13 -6 -4.75 18.22 -1.58 40.00 6.53 -14.07 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.11 21.91R 4.38 Fulham 15 13 -12 -4.55 19.27 -6.64 38.93 6.48 -22.27 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 29.38R 6.17 Crystal_Palace 15 13 -12 -0.14 50.55 0.24 30.85 5.95 -35.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.93R 41.76 Sunderland 15 8 -18 -6.82 8.25 -9.25 32.44 6.26 -31.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 68.89R 29.42Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2013, Birmingham 2 2 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 19 39 +17 7.71 89.35 9.11 81.82 7.68 25.70 24.21 44.25 86.82 55.14P 0.00 0.00 QPR 19 39 +12 6.78 86.24 3.10 82.91 7.77 22.04 28.01 49.04 88.48 60.15P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 19 38 +10 5.99 83.14 0.92 81.78 7.70 20.30 23.62 42.80 85.66 54.29P 0.00 0.00 Derby 19 34 +14 4.60 76.22 8.88 77.19 7.87 23.62 10.37 23.72 70.49 34.60P 0.00R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 19 31 +7 2.77 67.02 3.65 70.51 7.79 10.80 1.94 5.79 36.50 12.91P 0.05R 0.00 Reading 19 31 +6 -0.23 48.51 -1.96 74.13 8.05 15.34 5.46 13.85 54.36 25.07P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 19 31 +2 2.93 68.00 -0.97 69.41 7.61 4.33 1.28 3.91 29.44 9.57P 0.09R 0.00 Leeds_United 19 30 +6 3.39 70.62 5.21 68.80 7.82 8.64 1.23 3.83 28.60 8.91P 0.13R 0.01 Ipswich 19 29 +6 3.19 69.98 6.34 66.16 7.81 6.16 0.56 1.82 18.67 5.16P 0.38R 0.03 Brighton 19 28 +6 -2.03 37.17 -0.01 70.34 7.66 13.96 1.78 5.37 35.71 13.84P 0.07R 0.01 Huddersfield 19 26 +2 1.87 62.43 4.81 60.36 7.61 -2.05 0.08 0.34 5.08 1.17P 2.28R 0.17 Watford 19 25 +3 -4.05 26.00 -1.65 67.21 7.88 10.94 0.78 2.71 23.38 7.97P 0.36R 0.03 Blackburn 19 24 +0 -2.03 37.46 -0.14 63.18 7.76 3.40 0.14 0.63 9.87 2.74P 1.15R 0.07 Wigan 18 22 -1 -5.85 17.57 -5.73 64.42 8.19 5.25 0.41 1.37 14.75 5.15P 1.06R 0.08 Bolton 19 22 -3 -5.65 18.45 -5.52 60.94 7.77 -0.03 0.09 0.37 6.23 1.87P 2.18R 0.22 Bournemouth 19 22 -12 2.80 68.58 -0.33 51.27 7.76 -24.92 0.00 0.01 0.36 0.06P 23.79R 5.09 Millwall 19 21 -14 -0.42 48.04 -6.82 51.48 7.54 -24.33 0.00 0.01 0.32 0.06P 21.96R 4.13 Middlesbrough 19 20 +0 -5.63 18.52 0.74 55.84 7.74 -2.09 0.01 0.06 1.78 0.44P 8.07R 1.10 Birmingham 19 20 -2 -6.93 13.42 -3.21 57.58 7.79 -1.04 0.02 0.10 2.70 0.75P 5.42R 0.64 Doncaster 19 20 -14 1.34 60.35 -2.83 47.35 7.45 -28.85 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 41.48R 11.18 Charlton 19 18 -7 -6.64 14.08 -5.17 52.90 7.65 -9.73 0.00 0.02 0.61 0.13P 15.28R 2.56 Yeovil 19 16 -10 -2.19 37.16 1.98 43.57 7.41 -24.76 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 60.04R 23.49 Sheff_Wed 18 14 -9 -6.94 11.51 -3.31 46.66 7.73 -17.57 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 42.41R 12.64 Barnsley 19 14 -19 -4.65 21.80 -7.09 41.04 7.31 -35.14 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.79R 38.53League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2013, Notts_County 3 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 19 43 +25 10.69 95.60 15.54 88.96 7.79 38.57 23.90 58.30 97.71 68.43P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 19 43 +21 6.05 83.34 4.82 95.43 7.62 44.27 62.40 84.74 99.63 89.95P 0.00 0.00 Preston 19 37 +11 8.14 90.14 6.81 78.51 7.88 17.68 2.20 10.42 74.70 24.11P 0.00R 0.00 Brentford 19 37 +10 6.34 84.10 3.18 79.68 7.81 18.37 3.07 13.14 78.92 28.55P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 19 35 +10 1.96 61.44 -0.54 82.98 8.04 26.94 7.05 24.98 88.36 44.64P 0.00R 0.00 Rotherham 19 31 +8 5.94 81.96 9.84 65.52 8.08 3.65 0.07 0.44 16.70 2.96P 1.15R 0.03 Swindon 19 30 +10 -3.10 30.95 -0.78 75.87 7.85 23.23 1.17 6.33 64.87 23.75P 0.01R 0.00 Bradford 19 29 +11 4.05 73.76 12.67 62.60 7.92 5.58 0.02 0.22 9.77 1.79P 2.46R 0.09 Port_Vale 19 29 +0 5.30 79.71 3.95 63.74 8.08 -4.14 0.02 0.22 11.23 2.03P 2.41R 0.09 Walsall 19 27 +2 0.89 56.02 1.81 65.72 7.84 4.62 0.04 0.39 16.18 3.47P 0.99R 0.02 Coventry 19 24 +7 4.03 72.77 1.09 66.01 8.04 14.62 0.03 0.49 19.34 5.15P 1.11R 0.04 MK_Dons 18 22 -1 -6.27 15.67 -6.36 64.27 8.15 4.69 0.03 0.32 13.37 3.44P 1.91R 0.09 Shrewsbury 19 22 -1 -1.73 39.84 2.30 56.41 7.62 -4.60 0.00 0.01 1.77 0.32P 11.51R 1.00 Oldham 18 22 -2 0.05 51.15 2.06 55.67 7.84 -9.02 0.00 0.00 1.64 0.28P 14.55R 1.33 Crawley_Town 19 22 -5 -1.65 40.38 -1.37 54.13 7.64 -12.26 0.00 0.00 0.89 0.12P 19.11R 2.02 Colchester 19 21 -5 -0.64 46.98 1.67 54.38 7.61 -10.63 0.00 0.00 0.81 0.15P 18.43R 2.02 Gillingham 20 21 -10 -1.30 43.18 -1.70 48.55 7.50 -23.04 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.02P 46.05R 8.41 Carlisle 19 21 -13 0.19 52.45 -4.37 49.89 7.56 -26.50 0.00 0.00 0.22 0.03P 39.56R 6.57 Tranmere 19 20 -11 -3.35 30.20 -6.83 54.91 7.76 -14.20 0.00 0.00 1.09 0.16P 17.35R 1.80 Sheff_Utd 19 17 -10 -9.79 5.67 -11.18 55.60 7.79 -7.53 0.00 0.00 1.39 0.33P 14.40R 1.52 Stevenage 19 17 -13 -4.30 24.53 -5.70 47.89 7.57 -22.26 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.02P 48.87R 10.20 Crewe 19 16 -25 -1.57 40.67 -10.98 39.89 7.03 -46.89 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.52R 49.75 Bristol_City 19 15 -6 -11.50 3.57 -6.42 53.54 8.18 -3.96 0.00 0.00 1.12 0.29P 21.55R 2.99 Notts_County 20 14 -13 -11.20 3.59 -9.50 47.00 7.63 -17.19 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 52.04R 12.04 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2013, Morecambe 0 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 19 34 +15 3.80 72.44 8.94 76.45 7.74 23.03 18.93 48.08 82.02 57.42P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 19 33 +10 1.51 59.30 2.13 77.02 7.68 20.18 19.81 50.75 83.61 60.70P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 19 33 +8 3.15 69.02 2.45 76.12 7.76 16.89 16.62 45.26 80.12 54.99P 0.01R 0.00 Scunthorpe 19 33 +5 2.15 62.92 -2.08 76.81 8.14 15.01 19.79 48.31 80.62 57.80P 0.01R 0.00 Rochdale 19 33 +3 5.17 78.86 0.42 72.19 7.97 6.10 7.57 25.88 61.32 33.95P 0.05R 0.01 Burton_Albion 19 33 +3 6.79 85.59 2.69 70.47 7.80 3.69 4.71 18.79 52.63 25.67P 0.07R 0.02 Fleetwood_Town 19 32 +8 4.63 76.47 5.97 70.50 7.85 10.15 5.17 20.06 54.74 28.20P 0.10R 0.02 Newport_County 19 31 +6 8.50 90.89 11.34 63.45 7.92 -0.80 0.82 4.89 21.91 7.79P 1.44R 0.44 Dag_&_Red 19 30 +5 3.76 72.51 4.63 66.39 7.79 4.19 1.82 9.17 33.86 14.35P 0.55R 0.18 Morecambe 20 29 -2 2.60 66.02 -0.58 62.53 7.56 -4.87 0.47 3.08 17.18 5.91P 1.71R 0.49 Exeter 19 26 -1 -0.75 45.84 -2.00 64.68 7.86 1.58 1.11 6.08 26.41 10.96P 1.16R 0.41 AFC_Wimbledon 19 26 -1 3.70 73.03 4.64 58.85 7.71 -7.25 0.14 1.19 8.74 2.51P 5.44R 1.97 Cheltenham 20 26 -4 -1.36 42.05 -4.08 61.38 7.56 -4.19 0.28 2.13 14.02 4.90P 2.59R 0.86 Hartlepool 19 25 +1 -3.64 28.70 -2.89 64.81 7.91 5.39 1.24 6.70 28.03 12.88P 0.93R 0.26 Wycombe 19 23 -2 -2.27 36.67 -1.00 59.26 7.79 -3.01 0.23 1.52 10.01 3.61P 4.58R 1.65 Plymouth 19 23 -5 -0.60 46.75 -2.30 55.34 7.36 -10.45 0.04 0.27 3.10 0.87P 11.10R 4.50 Portsmouth 19 22 -5 -7.46 13.03 -10.10 64.25 8.09 2.80 1.09 6.18 25.80 12.23P 1.50R 0.52 Mansfield 19 21 -5 -0.25 49.55 2.17 52.43 7.82 -13.33 0.02 0.18 1.94 0.52P 22.00R 10.93 Accrington_Stanley 19 20 -6 -2.47 35.37 -1.10 51.73 7.48 -13.37 0.01 0.08 1.23 0.37P 24.00R 11.59 Bury 19 19 -3 -8.24 10.06 -4.81 57.77 8.00 -0.29 0.11 1.03 7.96 3.10P 7.21R 2.91 York 19 19 -4 -3.45 29.41 0.94 51.14 7.51 -10.71 0.00 0.09 1.24 0.32P 25.56R 12.68 Bristol_Rovers 19 19 -4 -4.90 21.76 -1.21 53.36 7.66 -7.60 0.02 0.19 2.30 0.66P 17.05R 7.98 Northampton 19 17 -9 -6.80 13.27 -6.07 50.66 7.59 -13.57 0.01 0.07 0.88 0.23P 28.09R 14.63 Torquay 19 15 -13 -7.73 10.15 -8.10 47.52 7.61 -19.57 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.08P 44.83R 27.93Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 10 December 2013, Cambridge_Utd 3 0 Macclesfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 21 48 +27 11.70 97.14 15.61 90.70 7.12 40.06 49.91 97.56 62.11P 0.00 0.00 Luton 22 44 +24 4.22 73.74 8.41 87.60 6.87 40.74 30.09 94.42 49.34P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 21 39 +13 1.31 57.47 -1.12 81.79 7.11 26.71 9.12 77.34 27.54P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 22 39 +5 9.64 92.37 6.33 70.64 6.91 3.16 0.27 17.79 2.71P 0.01R 0.00 Grimsby 20 37 +11 2.46 64.81 0.32 80.93 7.23 23.97 7.11 72.93 24.82P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 22 36 +10 -2.48 35.39 -2.96 77.01 7.08 22.53 2.49 54.06 16.87P 0.00R 0.00 Braintree_Town 22 35 +8 4.11 72.87 6.89 68.12 6.96 8.16 0.13 11.27 1.87P 0.03R 0.00 Gateshead 21 35 +6 5.17 78.46 4.49 70.89 7.16 8.51 0.32 20.32 3.64P 0.03R 0.00 Alfreton_Town 22 34 -4 6.82 84.35 1.44 63.93 6.93 -9.94 0.03 3.55 0.45P 0.38R 0.00 Salisbury 20 33 +3 7.07 85.82 5.66 65.33 7.79 -2.78 0.08 7.40 1.05P 0.49R 0.00 Halifax 22 31 +5 1.55 59.30 6.93 62.18 7.43 1.42 0.02 3.19 0.47P 0.89R 0.00 Forest_Green 21 30 +6 -2.18 37.11 0.53 67.89 7.35 11.45 0.14 12.19 2.57P 0.12R 0.00 Welling 21 30 +3 3.93 72.26 7.53 65.18 7.51 4.32 0.05 6.44 1.08P 0.42R 0.00 Wrexham 21 28 +2 -6.61 15.45 -7.39 69.65 7.21 13.40 0.24 17.01 4.57P 0.06R 0.00 Macclesfield 21 26 -3 -2.72 34.17 -2.72 59.57 7.21 -4.25 0.00 1.29 0.20P 1.94R 0.01 Lincoln_City 21 26 -3 -0.73 46.05 0.09 58.63 7.16 -5.34 0.00 0.87 0.14P 2.55R 0.01 Woking 22 26 -6 -1.41 42.47 -0.92 53.18 6.87 -16.16 0.00 0.09 0.01P 11.04R 0.02 Hereford 22 25 -3 -7.61 13.01 -6.62 57.74 6.96 -3.10 0.00 0.56 0.09P 2.81R 0.01 Southport 21 21 -16 -1.55 41.66 -5.38 49.37 6.98 -26.43 0.00 0.02 0.00 27.28R 0.27 Tamworth 20 20 -12 -0.82 45.75 -1.64 49.05 7.10 -22.70 0.00 0.01 0.00 28.27R 0.36 Aldershot 21 19 -1 -4.42 25.61 -8.26 60.50 7.31 10.24 0.00 1.70 0.47P 1.67R 0.01 Chester 22 19 -15 -1.82 40.19 -0.60 44.07 6.80 -27.07 0.00 0.00 0.00P 56.55R 1.10 Dartford 23 18 -23 -6.31 16.38 -10.94 42.91 6.52 -33.87 0.00 0.00 0.00 65.57R 1.51 Hyde_United 21 3 -37 -14.73 0.17 -15.69 23.03 6.42 -63.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.88R 96.71 Adjustments: Aldershot -10