Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Saturday 7 December 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2013, Crystal_Palace 2 0 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 14 34 +19 5.36 86.35 3.92 79.35 6.84 39.43 41.99 67.58 83.31 91.98 98.79 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 15 30 +16 1.27 59.01 2.66 70.44 6.83 29.90 6.46 18.62 36.29 56.95 87.44 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 15 30 +13 1.25 58.98 -0.36 73.81 6.61 32.87 13.15 33.70 57.49 75.57 94.88 0.00 0.00 Man_City 15 29 +26 -3.10 26.09 6.62 77.90 6.19 56.47 34.40 64.13 81.82 91.55 98.82 0.00 0.00 Everton 14 27 +9 3.87 77.48 3.46 66.80 6.94 19.38 2.11 7.56 17.75 33.12 72.15 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 15 27 -1 3.49 74.64 -5.11 63.38 6.82 6.14 0.60 2.71 7.58 16.61 49.91 0.00R 0.00 Newcastle 15 26 -1 7.41 92.33 3.14 55.77 6.75 -4.81 0.03 0.20 0.70 2.21 12.83 0.13R 0.00 Southampton 15 23 +5 2.90 71.74 6.63 52.98 6.84 2.30 0.01 0.07 0.31 1.06 7.75 0.39R 0.03 Man_Utd 15 22 +3 -5.66 13.92 -8.34 66.11 6.58 23.38 1.25 5.40 14.60 30.33 70.69 0.00R 0.00 Aston_Villa 14 19 +0 2.54 69.90 4.72 49.06 6.83 -5.52 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.25 2.53 1.88R 0.16 Swansea 14 18 +1 -0.15 49.49 3.03 49.40 6.83 -2.05 0.00 0.01 0.07 0.29 2.84 1.63R 0.11 Stoke 15 17 -5 -0.45 47.51 -0.08 43.96 6.56 -11.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.41 7.91R 0.95 Hull 14 17 -6 3.37 77.34 3.54 39.99 6.57 -20.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.08 22.70R 3.92 Norwich 15 17 -14 1.70 64.45 -3.90 41.33 6.55 -26.54 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.15 18.29R 3.14 West_Brom 15 15 -4 -3.71 23.91 -0.30 44.92 6.80 -7.43 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.60 6.98R 0.83 Cardiff 15 14 -11 -0.29 49.49 -1.41 37.46 6.35 -25.29 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 35.87R 8.46 West_Ham 15 13 -6 -4.75 18.14 -1.58 40.01 6.51 -14.09 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.07 20.91R 3.76 Crystal_Palace 15 13 -12 -0.05 51.37 0.35 30.66 5.91 -36.25 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.52R 41.10 Fulham 14 10 -14 -5.68 12.48 -7.81 37.09 6.69 -24.67 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.03 38.01R 9.74 Sunderland 15 8 -18 -6.80 8.43 -9.18 32.45 6.28 -31.34 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.77R 27.80Championship (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2013, Birmingham 2 2 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 19 39 +17 7.90 89.82 9.33 81.62 7.73 25.42 23.39 43.31 86.12 54.11P 0.00 0.00 QPR 19 39 +12 6.64 85.59 2.89 83.13 7.77 22.27 29.17 50.21 89.14 61.56P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 19 38 +10 5.94 82.72 0.87 81.86 7.75 20.41 24.11 43.47 85.81 54.81P 0.00R 0.00 Derby 19 34 +14 4.62 76.37 8.94 77.16 7.83 23.56 10.05 23.37 70.45 34.23P 0.00 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 19 31 +7 2.77 66.90 3.64 70.45 7.74 10.78 1.84 5.57 35.95 12.44P 0.06R 0.00 Reading 19 31 +6 -0.16 48.98 -1.81 74.04 8.03 15.22 5.19 13.25 54.14 24.59P 0.03R 0.00 Blackpool 19 31 +2 2.96 68.24 -0.95 69.53 7.65 4.48 1.30 4.20 30.44 9.82P 0.07R 0.01 Leeds_United 19 30 +6 3.33 70.40 5.11 68.78 7.83 8.61 1.21 3.85 28.64 9.12P 0.15R 0.01 Ipswich 19 29 +6 3.14 69.46 6.29 66.20 7.80 6.22 0.56 1.89 18.84 5.18P 0.40R 0.04 Brighton 19 28 +6 -1.99 37.32 0.09 70.26 7.62 13.87 1.61 5.15 35.53 13.76P 0.07R 0.00 Huddersfield 19 26 +2 2.06 63.52 5.07 60.20 7.64 -2.27 0.06 0.28 5.11 1.17P 2.57R 0.25 Watford 19 25 +3 -4.22 25.43 -1.94 67.45 7.86 11.36 0.85 2.92 24.28 8.38P 0.27R 0.02 Blackburn 19 24 +0 -1.97 37.96 -0.10 63.07 7.73 3.20 0.14 0.70 9.90 2.88P 1.22R 0.11 Wigan 18 22 -1 -5.79 17.77 -5.64 64.23 8.10 4.99 0.37 1.32 13.86 4.80P 1.03R 0.09 Bolton 19 22 -3 -5.51 19.04 -5.24 60.67 7.72 -0.42 0.08 0.32 5.66 1.65P 2.42R 0.23 Bournemouth 19 22 -12 2.82 68.85 -0.28 51.12 7.71 -25.13 0.00 0.01 0.34 0.06P 24.19R 5.24 Millwall 19 21 -14 -0.60 47.03 -7.14 51.71 7.50 -23.91 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.06P 20.99R 3.97 Middlesbrough 19 20 +0 -5.70 18.10 0.66 55.91 7.77 -1.93 0.02 0.07 1.87 0.46P 8.00R 1.04 Birmingham 19 20 -2 -6.94 13.18 -3.26 57.77 7.71 -0.77 0.03 0.10 2.93 0.76P 5.01R 0.62 Doncaster 19 20 -14 1.23 59.68 -2.99 47.47 7.40 -28.69 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 41.09R 10.65 Charlton 19 18 -7 -6.66 13.93 -5.19 52.96 7.56 -9.64 0.00 0.00 0.51 0.13P 14.90R 2.50 Yeovil 19 16 -10 -2.00 38.43 2.32 43.26 7.36 -25.27 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00P 61.97R 25.19 Sheff_Wed 18 14 -9 -6.94 11.26 -3.36 46.71 7.71 -17.50 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.02P 42.42R 12.69 Barnsley 19 14 -19 -4.80 21.05 -7.33 41.21 7.28 -34.84 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 73.14R 37.34League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2013, Notts_County 3 1 Gillingham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 19 43 +25 10.80 95.78 15.64 88.84 7.89 38.42 23.46 57.64 97.41 67.89P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 19 43 +21 6.00 83.36 4.69 95.47 7.68 44.32 62.78 84.92 99.60 90.21P 0.00 0.00 Preston 19 37 +11 8.02 89.87 6.66 78.63 7.78 17.87 2.10 10.18 75.44 24.10P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 19 37 +10 6.32 83.90 3.18 79.58 7.76 18.25 2.88 12.58 78.92 28.21P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 19 35 +10 1.88 60.86 -0.65 83.08 8.04 27.11 7.29 25.98 88.54 45.22P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 19 31 +8 5.85 81.22 9.68 65.62 8.11 3.89 0.09 0.49 16.98 3.14P 1.23R 0.05 Swindon 19 30 +10 -3.02 31.42 -0.68 75.80 7.92 23.16 1.20 6.55 64.42 23.86P 0.03R 0.00 Bradford 19 29 +11 4.07 73.65 12.74 62.58 7.89 5.54 0.02 0.18 9.64 1.74P 2.37R 0.12 Port_Vale 19 29 +0 5.21 78.98 3.84 63.83 8.05 -4.05 0.02 0.25 11.25 1.98P 2.32R 0.13 Walsall 19 27 +2 0.86 56.04 1.76 65.80 7.79 4.74 0.04 0.36 16.23 3.47P 1.05R 0.01 Coventry 19 24 +7 4.12 73.30 1.22 65.95 8.08 14.48 0.06 0.53 19.55 5.14P 1.07R 0.07 MK_Dons 18 22 -1 -6.16 16.47 -6.24 64.18 8.12 4.56 0.04 0.29 13.22 3.41P 2.09R 0.11 Shrewsbury 19 22 -1 -1.75 39.81 2.29 56.47 7.59 -4.53 0.00 0.01 1.75 0.29P 11.18R 0.94 Oldham 18 22 -2 0.01 50.95 2.02 55.63 7.79 -9.06 0.00 0.00 1.52 0.27P 14.34R 1.36 Crawley_Town 19 22 -5 -1.67 40.30 -1.41 54.16 7.64 -12.20 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.17P 18.93R 1.96 Colchester 19 21 -5 -0.64 46.92 1.63 54.45 7.69 -10.49 0.00 0.01 0.88 0.13P 18.24R 2.06 Gillingham 20 21 -10 -1.34 43.00 -1.80 48.56 7.55 -22.96 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.01P 45.72R 8.61 Carlisle 19 21 -13 0.17 52.32 -4.38 49.83 7.49 -26.52 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.03P 39.69R 6.40 Tranmere 19 20 -11 -3.35 30.07 -6.83 54.90 7.71 -14.25 0.00 0.00 0.98 0.16P 17.30R 1.69 Sheff_Utd 19 17 -10 -9.72 5.63 -11.07 55.52 7.75 -7.62 0.00 0.01 1.32 0.33P 14.59R 1.48 Stevenage 19 17 -13 -4.32 24.40 -5.71 47.88 7.59 -22.26 0.00 0.00 0.08 0.01P 48.87R 10.30 Crewe 19 16 -25 -1.61 40.75 -11.02 39.96 7.10 -46.82 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.46R 49.28 Bristol_City 19 15 -6 -11.37 3.82 -6.18 53.35 8.18 -4.31 0.00 0.01 1.00 0.24P 22.34R 3.24 Notts_County 20 14 -13 -11.12 3.67 -9.36 46.95 7.59 -17.26 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 52.17R 12.20 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2013, Morecambe 0 1 Cheltenham; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 19 34 +15 3.93 73.31 9.11 76.32 7.77 22.84 18.32 47.50 81.66 56.89P 0.01R 0.00 Chesterfield 19 33 +10 1.59 59.51 2.26 76.96 7.75 20.11 19.83 50.23 83.00 60.14P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 19 33 +8 2.95 68.17 2.16 76.28 7.76 17.16 16.96 46.02 80.69 55.99P 0.01R 0.00 Scunthorpe 19 33 +5 2.02 62.01 -2.25 76.94 8.11 15.22 20.22 48.81 81.10 58.32P 0.00R 0.00 Rochdale 19 33 +3 5.15 78.84 0.34 72.32 7.92 6.33 7.59 26.35 61.66 34.25P 0.06R 0.01 Burton_Albion 19 33 +3 6.82 85.55 2.71 70.59 7.84 3.86 4.84 18.91 53.13 25.97P 0.11R 0.03 Fleetwood_Town 19 32 +8 4.54 76.14 5.86 70.51 7.87 10.17 5.15 20.24 54.77 28.14P 0.10R 0.03 Newport_County 19 31 +6 8.56 91.01 11.39 63.33 7.90 -0.96 0.81 4.54 21.33 7.24P 1.46R 0.45 Dag_&_Red 19 30 +5 3.78 72.76 4.63 66.44 7.71 4.23 1.77 8.86 33.78 14.16P 0.51R 0.17 Morecambe 20 29 -2 2.57 65.81 -0.64 62.67 7.51 -4.71 0.44 3.13 17.37 6.05P 1.65R 0.51 Exeter 19 26 -1 -0.71 45.99 -1.94 64.60 7.86 1.48 1.00 5.97 26.08 10.89P 1.14R 0.36 AFC_Wimbledon 19 26 -1 3.78 73.37 4.70 58.85 7.63 -7.27 0.15 1.16 8.27 2.44P 5.25R 1.92 Cheltenham 20 26 -4 -1.45 41.53 -4.14 61.42 7.56 -4.15 0.26 2.28 14.11 5.03P 2.46R 0.75 Hartlepool 19 25 +1 -3.57 29.04 -2.79 64.73 7.89 5.29 1.13 6.34 27.50 12.47P 0.83R 0.23 Wycombe 19 23 -2 -2.30 36.20 -1.01 59.29 7.78 -3.01 0.18 1.46 10.15 3.53P 4.63R 1.66 Plymouth 19 23 -5 -0.68 46.38 -2.37 55.45 7.39 -10.28 0.04 0.34 3.29 0.95P 10.71R 4.35 Portsmouth 19 22 -5 -7.52 12.88 -10.22 64.41 8.09 3.06 1.13 6.16 26.95 12.52P 1.40R 0.49 Mansfield 19 21 -5 -0.29 49.33 2.16 52.35 7.89 -13.44 0.01 0.19 1.96 0.53P 22.46R 11.35 Accrington_Stanley 19 20 -6 -2.40 35.38 -0.99 51.61 7.44 -13.56 0.00 0.08 1.17 0.25P 23.96R 11.85 Bury 19 19 -3 -8.09 10.39 -4.60 57.55 8.01 -0.58 0.14 1.07 7.59 2.93P 7.68R 3.15 York 19 19 -4 -3.41 29.54 1.02 51.09 7.51 -10.85 0.00 0.08 1.04 0.27P 25.42R 12.74 Bristol_Rovers 19 19 -4 -4.78 22.53 -1.07 53.15 7.67 -7.91 0.02 0.20 2.13 0.67P 17.85R 8.42 Northampton 19 17 -9 -6.82 13.44 -6.09 50.63 7.60 -13.60 0.00 0.06 0.91 0.29P 28.00R 14.41 Torquay 19 15 -13 -7.79 10.14 -8.22 47.60 7.64 -19.42 0.00 0.02 0.34 0.08P 44.26R 27.11Conference (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 7 December 2013, Alfreton_Town 0 5 Luton; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 20 45 +24 11.17 96.69 14.28 89.04 7.33 36.96 39.15 95.37 53.07P 0.00 0.00 Luton 22 44 +24 4.31 74.06 8.59 87.49 6.96 40.58 30.85 93.93 49.43P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 20 39 +14 2.56 65.29 -0.49 83.96 7.36 29.04 15.66 84.40 34.69P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 22 39 +5 9.65 92.45 6.36 70.60 6.94 3.04 0.30 17.31 2.63P 0.02R 0.00 Grimsby 19 36 +11 3.33 70.11 1.03 82.13 7.49 25.30 10.55 77.14 28.13P 0.00 0.00 Barnet 22 36 +10 -2.39 35.95 -2.71 76.79 7.09 22.25 2.50 52.32 16.18P 0.00 0.00 Braintree_Town 22 35 +8 3.99 72.36 6.72 68.30 6.96 8.46 0.13 11.48 1.83P 0.04R 0.00 Alfreton_Town 22 34 -4 6.80 84.33 1.45 63.96 6.86 -9.92 0.02 3.27 0.38P 0.31R 0.00 Salisbury 20 33 +3 7.15 86.40 5.71 65.37 7.70 -2.70 0.11 6.88 1.12P 0.36R 0.00 Gateshead 20 32 +5 3.87 72.75 4.05 68.43 7.48 6.18 0.20 12.92 2.36P 0.08R 0.00 Halifax 22 31 +5 1.48 59.15 6.80 62.25 7.37 1.61 0.02 2.92 0.45P 0.81R 0.00 Forest_Green 21 30 +6 -2.35 36.13 0.28 68.10 7.34 11.73 0.15 12.52 2.76P 0.11R 0.00 Welling 20 29 +3 3.94 72.69 6.97 64.66 7.78 2.85 0.08 6.17 1.01P 0.60R 0.00 Wrexham 21 28 +2 -6.74 14.98 -7.53 69.68 7.23 13.45 0.27 17.02 4.59P 0.03R 0.00 Macclesfield 20 26 +0 -2.60 34.17 -1.64 61.19 7.36 -0.88 0.01 2.16 0.39P 1.17R 0.00 Lincoln_City 20 26 -2 0.45 53.53 0.80 60.74 7.38 -3.31 0.01 1.81 0.29P 1.36R 0.00 Hereford 22 25 -3 -7.63 12.99 -6.67 57.83 6.97 -3.04 0.00 0.59 0.12P 2.78R 0.00 Woking 21 23 -7 -2.95 33.08 -1.71 50.89 7.04 -18.41 0.00 0.05 0.01P 18.15R 0.07 Southport 21 21 -16 -1.49 42.03 -5.31 49.30 6.98 -26.56 0.00 0.01 0.00P 26.18R 0.23 Tamworth 20 20 -12 -0.94 44.87 -1.72 49.20 7.12 -22.43 0.00 0.02 0.00P 26.27R 0.28 Aldershot 21 19 -1 -4.39 25.57 -8.20 60.43 7.37 10.08 0.00 1.72 0.54P 1.66R 0.01 Chester 22 19 -15 -1.64 41.26 -0.34 43.91 6.80 -27.32 0.00 0.00 0.00P 56.47R 1.08 Dartford 23 18 -23 -6.34 16.31 -10.99 42.97 6.58 -33.81 0.00 0.00 0.00 63.75R 1.42 Hyde_United 21 3 -37 -14.77 0.14 -15.75 22.94 6.41 -63.15 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.84R 96.91 Adjustments: Aldershot -10