Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Friday 6 December 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 December 2013, Arsenal 2 0 Hull; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 14 34 +19 5.43 87.00 3.99 79.21 6.80 39.21 35.30 61.64 80.09 90.74 98.89 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 14 30 +14 2.85 71.22 1.04 76.01 6.80 35.11 18.63 42.19 65.53 81.31 97.13 0.00 0.00 Man_City 14 28 +26 -2.32 29.74 7.07 79.12 6.39 58.02 37.33 65.74 83.12 92.46 99.15 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 14 27 +13 0.85 56.05 1.65 69.09 6.97 27.28 3.79 11.89 25.41 44.72 83.40 0.00 0.00 Everton 14 27 +9 3.90 77.69 3.52 66.81 6.91 19.40 1.61 5.95 15.12 30.16 73.96 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 14 24 -2 2.33 67.71 -5.43 61.50 7.00 4.74 0.23 1.26 3.98 10.17 39.36 0.01R 0.00 Newcastle 14 23 -2 5.48 86.03 1.50 52.47 6.94 -8.99 0.00 0.05 0.22 0.86 6.39 0.59R 0.04 Southampton 14 22 +5 2.94 72.74 6.15 52.61 6.99 1.09 0.01 0.06 0.23 0.95 7.54 0.45R 0.02 Man_Utd 14 22 +4 -3.82 22.09 -6.70 69.44 6.71 28.06 3.09 11.18 26.16 47.94 85.65 0.00 0.00 Aston_Villa 14 19 +0 2.46 69.42 4.57 49.17 6.84 -5.38 0.00 0.01 0.06 0.25 2.71 1.78R 0.12 Swansea 14 18 +1 -0.25 48.99 2.88 49.68 6.82 -1.62 0.00 0.02 0.06 0.28 3.27 1.43R 0.06 Hull 14 17 -6 3.37 77.43 3.62 39.78 6.55 -20.71 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 22.68R 3.26 West_Brom 14 15 -2 -2.35 32.33 1.63 47.85 7.05 -2.97 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.14 2.06 3.30R 0.27 Stoke 14 14 -6 -2.13 33.37 -1.17 41.47 6.66 -13.66 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.18 14.76R 1.88 Cardiff 14 14 -9 0.56 56.20 -0.24 39.44 6.65 -22.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.05 25.02R 4.70 Norwich 14 14 -16 -0.08 50.73 -6.01 38.21 6.64 -31.22 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.04 32.85R 6.77 West_Ham 14 13 -3 -4.56 18.88 -0.64 40.95 6.67 -11.75 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.15 16.45R 2.41 Fulham 14 10 -14 -5.60 12.82 -7.77 37.04 6.64 -24.83 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 37.45R 8.28 Crystal_Palace 14 10 -14 -1.30 40.66 -0.88 28.53 6.02 -39.31 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.61R 54.08 Sunderland 14 8 -17 -5.83 11.34 -8.79 33.84 6.50 -30.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 57.63R 18.10Championship (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 December 2013, Derby 2 1 Middlesbrough; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 18 38 +12 6.75 86.86 2.06 83.62 7.87 22.97 28.85 50.11 89.68 60.85P 0.00 0.00 QPR 18 38 +12 7.24 88.62 3.18 84.11 7.99 23.19 30.74 52.79 90.16 63.45P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 18 36 +16 6.85 86.90 9.27 80.96 7.94 25.92 18.74 37.71 83.48 49.28P 0.00 0.00 Derby 18 31 +10 4.34 75.86 7.00 74.24 8.00 17.48 4.36 12.21 55.29 21.79P 0.01R 0.00 Reading 18 31 +7 1.32 58.01 -0.54 77.26 8.21 19.18 9.58 22.22 68.51 35.20P 0.01R 0.00 Blackpool 18 31 +6 3.20 69.81 1.36 71.77 7.90 9.83 2.49 7.05 41.37 14.88P 0.05R 0.00 Leeds_United 18 29 +6 3.73 73.18 5.05 69.37 7.98 8.99 1.20 4.00 31.12 9.55P 0.14R 0.01 Nott'm_Forest 18 28 +6 1.38 59.07 2.98 68.51 8.01 9.29 1.12 3.53 27.66 8.88P 0.18R 0.00 Ipswich 18 26 +5 1.96 63.06 5.87 64.74 8.01 5.55 0.34 1.22 14.90 3.97P 0.73R 0.05 Huddersfield 18 26 +3 2.93 69.19 5.31 61.55 7.87 -1.19 0.12 0.43 7.40 1.69P 1.75R 0.14 Brighton 18 25 +4 -3.05 30.77 -1.12 67.91 7.80 10.87 0.82 2.75 24.94 8.80P 0.20R 0.01 Watford 18 24 +3 -3.69 27.36 -1.70 67.27 8.05 10.46 0.74 2.55 23.62 8.09P 0.33R 0.04 Blackburn 18 23 +0 -1.98 37.76 -0.57 62.93 7.86 2.53 0.16 0.68 9.73 2.77P 1.24R 0.10 Wigan 17 22 +0 -4.71 21.88 -5.05 66.53 8.36 7.35 0.66 2.35 21.06 7.88P 0.61R 0.03 Doncaster 18 20 -11 1.62 62.10 -1.54 49.03 7.71 -25.15 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.02P 32.14R 8.00 Middlesbrough 18 19 +0 -5.41 18.73 0.48 55.74 7.95 -2.75 0.01 0.04 1.93 0.44P 8.50R 1.31 Birmingham 18 19 -2 -6.27 15.14 -2.86 58.54 8.01 -0.13 0.03 0.15 3.94 1.12P 4.34R 0.58 Bolton 18 19 -6 -6.14 15.47 -6.80 58.85 7.89 -3.61 0.03 0.19 3.72 1.03P 4.22R 0.50 Bournemouth 18 19 -13 1.06 58.74 -1.58 47.70 7.80 -29.23 0.00 0.00 0.15 0.02P 39.44R 11.65 Millwall 18 18 -15 -1.95 37.97 -7.71 49.26 7.72 -26.14 0.00 0.00 0.17 0.04P 31.15R 7.74 Charlton 18 17 -7 -6.18 14.94 -5.11 53.62 7.72 -9.01 0.00 0.02 0.79 0.20P 12.96R 2.23 Yeovil 18 15 -10 -1.74 39.92 1.96 43.61 7.62 -25.06 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 58.90R 24.13 Sheff_Wed 17 14 -8 -5.85 15.01 -2.80 48.40 7.93 -16.08 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.03P 33.62R 8.90 Barnsley 18 14 -18 -3.93 25.09 -7.14 41.74 7.46 -35.24 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00P 69.49R 34.58League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 December 2013, Oldham 1 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 19 43 +25 10.68 95.70 15.52 88.95 7.85 38.50 23.56 58.20 97.54 68.36P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 19 43 +21 5.95 83.09 4.72 95.51 7.67 44.38 62.64 84.87 99.67 89.95P 0.00 0.00 Preston 19 37 +11 8.08 90.01 6.71 78.57 7.82 17.75 2.30 10.50 75.08 23.89P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 19 37 +10 6.27 83.78 3.12 79.66 7.84 18.35 2.96 12.90 78.74 28.37P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 19 35 +10 1.90 60.87 -0.63 82.99 8.07 26.92 7.10 25.05 88.47 44.83P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 19 31 +8 6.05 82.27 9.98 65.42 8.11 3.56 0.06 0.47 16.24 3.02P 1.24R 0.04 Swindon 19 30 +10 -3.10 30.82 -0.79 75.86 7.93 23.31 1.20 6.40 64.89 23.85P 0.01R 0.00 Bradford 19 29 +11 4.07 73.55 12.70 62.57 7.96 5.56 0.02 0.22 9.70 1.82P 2.48R 0.11 Port_Vale 19 29 +0 5.30 79.56 3.94 63.77 8.02 -4.11 0.02 0.21 11.14 2.04P 2.28R 0.08 Walsall 19 27 +2 0.87 55.86 1.74 65.70 7.79 4.63 0.04 0.33 15.84 3.40P 0.98R 0.03 Coventry 19 24 +7 4.05 73.09 1.11 66.01 8.08 14.58 0.06 0.53 19.74 5.18P 1.04R 0.03 MK_Dons 18 22 -1 -6.13 16.34 -6.12 64.09 8.15 4.38 0.03 0.26 13.21 3.46P 2.05R 0.09 Shrewsbury 19 22 -1 -1.81 39.29 2.27 56.52 7.66 -4.46 0.00 0.00 1.87 0.32P 11.32R 1.01 Oldham 18 22 -2 -0.09 50.41 1.88 55.74 7.86 -8.92 0.00 0.01 1.74 0.30P 14.34R 1.23 Crawley_Town 19 22 -5 -1.56 40.81 -1.23 54.09 7.61 -12.33 0.00 0.00 0.88 0.15P 18.98R 2.02 Colchester 19 21 -5 -0.68 46.65 1.59 54.48 7.70 -10.45 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.18P 17.73R 1.99 Gillingham 19 21 -8 -0.68 46.65 -0.99 50.26 7.71 -20.29 0.00 0.00 0.30 0.03P 36.71R 5.83 Carlisle 19 21 -13 0.28 53.08 -4.26 49.72 7.49 -26.72 0.00 0.00 0.20 0.04P 40.28R 6.51 Tranmere 19 20 -11 -3.28 30.64 -6.72 54.74 7.80 -14.44 0.00 0.01 1.15 0.21P 17.90R 1.77 Sheff_Utd 19 17 -10 -9.67 5.79 -11.02 55.49 7.85 -7.65 0.00 0.01 1.38 0.35P 14.86R 1.45 Stevenage 19 17 -13 -4.10 25.67 -5.42 47.65 7.56 -22.61 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.01P 49.77R 10.35 Crewe 19 16 -25 -1.67 40.22 -11.16 40.02 7.03 -46.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 86.21R 47.28 Bristol_City 19 15 -6 -11.47 3.72 -6.30 53.52 8.18 -4.03 0.00 0.00 1.12 0.24P 21.47R 2.96 Notts_County 19 11 -15 -12.22 1.96 -10.64 45.30 7.80 -19.27 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.01P 60.35R 17.21 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Wednesday 4 December 2013, Portsmouth 2 2 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 19 34 +15 3.73 72.04 8.82 76.67 7.74 23.29 19.07 49.04 82.52 58.28P 0.00 0.00 Chesterfield 19 33 +10 1.57 59.35 2.17 77.04 7.73 20.21 19.57 50.07 83.21 60.40P 0.00R 0.00 Southend 19 33 +8 2.85 67.36 1.97 76.51 7.86 17.45 17.80 46.84 80.85 56.55P 0.00R 0.00 Scunthorpe 19 33 +5 2.09 62.47 -2.14 76.78 8.15 14.98 19.34 47.54 80.50 56.95P 0.01R 0.01 Rochdale 19 33 +3 5.23 79.45 0.47 72.20 7.91 6.14 7.24 25.39 61.30 33.58P 0.10R 0.02 Burton_Albion 19 33 +3 6.88 85.88 2.83 70.46 7.81 3.69 4.41 18.11 52.25 25.07P 0.12R 0.03 Fleetwood_Town 19 32 +8 4.63 76.75 5.97 70.44 7.90 10.03 5.07 19.67 53.71 27.23P 0.11R 0.02 Newport_County 19 31 +6 8.51 91.02 11.31 63.41 7.91 -0.85 0.82 4.63 21.32 7.42P 1.47R 0.46 Dag_&_Red 19 30 +5 3.77 72.48 4.64 66.38 7.77 4.10 1.78 8.76 33.34 14.04P 0.55R 0.14 Morecambe 19 29 -1 3.78 72.78 0.20 64.53 7.84 -3.04 0.97 5.56 24.74 9.59P 1.02R 0.31 Exeter 19 26 -1 -0.66 46.23 -1.89 64.63 7.87 1.50 1.11 5.84 26.07 10.88P 1.04R 0.32 AFC_Wimbledon 19 26 -1 3.70 72.93 4.58 58.79 7.69 -7.32 0.14 1.20 8.36 2.50P 5.17R 1.96 Hartlepool 19 25 +1 -3.62 28.66 -2.84 64.81 7.90 5.38 1.16 6.59 27.67 12.77P 0.90R 0.28 Wycombe 19 23 -2 -2.32 36.32 -1.01 59.29 7.79 -2.96 0.19 1.45 9.88 3.33P 4.63R 1.71 Cheltenham 19 23 -5 -2.90 32.82 -4.88 59.30 7.75 -5.88 0.16 1.37 9.51 3.26P 4.75R 1.77 Plymouth 19 23 -5 -0.61 46.77 -2.26 55.35 7.39 -10.43 0.02 0.26 3.12 0.86P 10.87R 4.44 Portsmouth 19 22 -5 -7.46 13.07 -10.07 64.32 8.19 2.88 1.01 6.08 26.35 12.34P 1.49R 0.47 Mansfield 19 21 -5 -0.28 49.28 2.16 52.36 7.88 -13.42 0.01 0.16 1.95 0.49P 22.17R 11.00 Accrington_Stanley 19 20 -6 -2.45 35.21 -1.04 51.67 7.54 -13.46 0.01 0.09 1.19 0.32P 23.55R 11.74 Bury 19 19 -3 -8.23 9.85 -4.80 57.71 8.03 -0.35 0.11 1.02 7.64 2.90P 7.13R 2.93 York 19 19 -4 -3.40 29.64 1.04 51.03 7.53 -10.92 0.00 0.07 1.08 0.26P 25.23R 12.52 Bristol_Rovers 19 19 -4 -4.75 22.41 -1.01 53.18 7.67 -7.88 0.02 0.19 2.14 0.62P 17.48R 8.35 Northampton 19 17 -9 -6.89 13.27 -6.18 50.75 7.64 -13.48 0.01 0.07 0.97 0.28P 27.50R 14.08 Torquay 19 15 -13 -7.73 10.35 -8.07 47.46 7.60 -19.68 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.07P 44.71R 27.43Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2013, Aldershot 2 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 20 45 +24 11.32 96.79 14.46 89.00 7.31 36.92 44.22 95.79 56.66P 0.00 0.00 Luton 21 41 +19 4.10 73.82 5.88 84.78 7.18 33.79 21.02 88.31 39.85P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 20 39 +14 2.68 65.97 -0.31 83.88 7.32 29.01 18.15 85.24 36.99P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 19 36 +11 3.32 70.34 0.95 82.18 7.46 25.44 12.20 78.70 30.15P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 21 36 +4 8.10 89.26 5.63 67.94 7.03 0.43 0.15 10.88 1.57P 0.08R 0.00 Alfreton_Town 21 34 +1 6.75 84.56 4.09 66.59 7.16 -2.64 0.10 8.48 1.15P 0.15R 0.00 Barnet 21 33 +9 -3.19 31.40 -2.54 76.30 7.27 23.15 3.06 51.43 17.01P 0.00R 0.00 Salisbury 20 33 +3 7.21 86.71 5.91 65.19 7.71 -3.12 0.10 7.24 1.04P 0.47R 0.00 Braintree_Town 21 32 +6 3.06 68.41 5.83 66.34 7.15 5.88 0.11 8.25 1.44P 0.17R 0.00 Gateshead 20 32 +5 3.68 72.03 3.78 68.69 7.39 6.59 0.26 14.46 2.68P 0.05R 0.00 Halifax 21 31 +6 2.88 66.90 7.68 64.72 7.62 4.50 0.06 6.81 1.17P 0.52R 0.00 Forest_Green 21 30 +6 -2.10 37.45 0.64 67.97 7.28 11.58 0.20 12.88 2.76P 0.11R 0.00 Welling 20 29 +3 4.00 73.16 7.11 64.29 7.71 2.20 0.05 6.02 1.00P 0.69R 0.00 Wrexham 21 28 +2 -6.74 14.85 -7.58 69.58 7.22 13.32 0.29 17.77 4.89P 0.05R 0.00 Macclesfield 20 26 +0 -2.59 34.31 -1.61 61.05 7.38 -1.14 0.01 2.23 0.41P 1.42R 0.00 Lincoln_City 20 26 -2 0.48 53.76 0.91 60.62 7.36 -3.48 0.01 1.97 0.32P 1.66R 0.00 Hereford 21 25 -2 -6.28 17.22 -5.70 60.31 7.13 -0.31 0.00 1.55 0.31P 1.51R 0.00 Southport 21 21 -16 -1.65 41.13 -5.53 49.47 6.91 -26.47 0.00 0.02 0.00P 26.51R 0.26 Woking 20 20 -8 -4.67 22.93 -2.99 48.11 7.11 -21.33 0.00 0.02 0.00 32.15R 0.24 Tamworth 20 20 -12 -0.99 44.66 -1.75 49.11 7.06 -22.64 0.00 0.02 0.00 27.72R 0.29 Aldershot 21 19 -1 -4.42 25.29 -8.26 60.41 7.36 10.15 0.00 1.95 0.59P 1.71R 0.00 Chester 21 19 -13 -1.16 44.23 0.41 46.29 7.12 -23.82 0.00 0.01 0.00P 42.98R 0.62 Dartford 22 18 -22 -5.78 18.33 -11.14 43.38 6.68 -34.69 0.00 0.00 0.00 62.19R 1.38 Hyde_United 21 3 -37 -14.90 0.13 -15.87 22.98 6.36 -63.32 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.86R 97.22 Adjustments: Aldershot -10