Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Monday 2 December 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 December 2013, Chelsea 3 1 Southampton; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 13 31 +17 5.00 85.35 4.05 78.59 7.01 38.94 36.08 61.08 78.76 90.17 98.73 0.00 0.00 Chelsea 13 27 +13 1.92 65.15 1.29 75.01 7.00 34.63 17.92 39.94 62.04 79.94 96.71 0.00 0.00 Man_City 13 25 +25 -3.26 22.77 7.37 77.79 6.66 56.96 33.66 60.40 78.80 90.28 98.63 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 13 24 +9 0.77 55.94 0.47 67.60 7.12 23.40 3.05 9.90 21.62 39.09 79.78 0.00 0.00 Everton 13 24 +8 2.02 65.69 2.09 63.95 7.15 16.51 0.98 3.89 9.80 20.82 61.82 0.00R 0.00 Newcastle 13 23 +1 5.98 88.92 3.03 54.37 7.10 -4.96 0.02 0.17 0.62 1.97 12.60 0.37R 0.02 Southampton 13 22 +6 4.51 83.54 7.25 54.89 7.21 3.65 0.04 0.22 0.85 2.43 15.77 0.29R 0.01 Man_Utd 13 22 +5 -2.29 30.99 -5.64 72.01 6.88 31.23 8.06 23.42 44.39 66.77 92.62 0.00 0.00 Tottenham 13 21 -3 0.97 58.16 -5.99 59.71 7.17 3.44 0.19 0.96 2.99 7.83 34.24 0.05R 0.00 Hull 13 17 -4 3.67 79.70 3.55 40.31 6.70 -20.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.21 23.11R 2.48 Aston_Villa 13 16 -1 0.83 57.99 3.52 46.38 6.94 -7.98 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.13 1.59 5.18R 0.40 West_Brom 13 15 -1 -1.57 37.71 1.53 48.82 7.21 -2.43 0.00 0.02 0.08 0.30 3.64 2.97R 0.17 Swansea 13 15 -2 -0.94 43.25 1.26 47.47 7.06 -5.49 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.20 2.41 3.99R 0.21 Norwich 13 14 -12 -0.06 50.72 -4.78 39.33 6.83 -27.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.11 29.50R 4.39 West_Ham 13 13 -2 -3.25 25.70 0.28 42.81 6.88 -9.94 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.54 12.54R 1.43 Stoke 13 13 -6 -1.45 38.45 -0.73 42.35 6.87 -12.93 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.38 14.13R 1.29 Cardiff 13 13 -9 0.59 56.73 -0.58 39.27 6.83 -23.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.13 28.58R 4.52 Fulham 13 10 -13 -4.52 17.35 -7.26 38.57 6.92 -23.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.10 32.33R 5.02 Sunderland 13 8 -16 -5.12 13.32 -9.08 34.71 6.63 -29.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 55.23R 12.63 Crystal_Palace 13 7 -15 -2.90 25.89 -1.64 26.33 6.25 -41.26 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 91.73R 67.43Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 December 2013, Wigan 1 3 Derby; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Leicester 17 38 +13 8.05 91.77 2.98 85.91 8.11 25.35 38.10 59.49 92.43 68.15P 0.00 0.00 Burnley 17 35 +16 7.25 89.02 9.27 81.86 8.20 26.80 20.71 40.46 83.85 51.28P 0.00 0.00 QPR 17 35 +9 6.99 88.37 2.19 82.08 8.23 19.76 20.00 39.58 83.14 51.71P 0.00 0.00 Blackpool 17 31 +7 4.47 76.95 2.19 74.23 8.12 12.39 4.30 11.43 51.19 20.57P 0.03R 0.00 Derby 17 28 +9 3.18 70.15 6.77 73.01 8.30 17.09 3.32 9.46 47.15 17.70P 0.04R 0.00 Reading 17 28 +6 0.15 50.72 -0.91 76.04 8.47 18.81 7.01 17.55 61.31 29.90P 0.01R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 17 27 +6 1.98 63.26 3.33 69.36 8.21 9.93 1.24 4.26 29.61 9.96P 0.15R 0.00 Leeds_United 17 26 +4 2.74 68.35 4.03 66.79 8.25 5.54 0.64 2.19 19.98 5.67P 0.34R 0.01 Brighton 17 25 +5 -1.37 40.70 0.39 70.81 8.03 14.08 1.79 5.34 36.07 13.88P 0.07R 0.00 Watford 17 23 +3 -3.48 28.07 -1.93 67.47 8.31 10.18 0.88 2.96 23.10 8.10P 0.29R 0.02 Ipswich 17 23 +3 0.92 57.03 4.76 62.40 8.16 2.48 0.15 0.64 8.64 2.21P 1.27R 0.09 Huddersfield 17 23 +2 1.42 60.29 4.55 58.83 8.00 -3.94 0.03 0.18 3.79 0.79P 3.40R 0.28 Blackburn 17 23 +2 -1.22 42.23 0.57 65.07 8.16 5.66 0.32 1.32 14.58 4.34P 0.59R 0.03 Wigan 16 22 +2 -3.89 25.23 -3.87 68.93 8.60 10.89 1.34 4.35 29.06 11.45P 0.24R 0.02 Middlesbrough 17 19 +1 -4.60 22.12 0.50 56.85 8.26 -2.18 0.03 0.11 2.74 0.60P 5.99R 0.61 Bolton 17 19 -5 -4.77 21.14 -5.78 61.21 8.17 -1.25 0.10 0.37 6.59 1.88P 1.96R 0.14 Bournemouth 17 19 -10 1.31 60.35 -0.44 49.24 8.05 -25.86 0.00 0.00 0.24 0.03P 28.13R 5.73 Doncaster 17 19 -11 1.42 61.18 -2.36 48.89 7.93 -26.10 0.00 0.00 0.14 0.03P 29.38R 5.80 Birmingham 17 18 -2 -5.61 17.38 -2.39 59.71 8.24 1.06 0.05 0.29 5.02 1.41P 2.98R 0.26 Charlton 17 17 -6 -5.35 17.90 -4.86 54.46 7.98 -8.95 0.01 0.03 1.13 0.29P 9.49R 1.19 Millwall 17 17 -15 -1.75 38.98 -7.97 49.23 7.85 -26.64 0.00 0.00 0.18 0.04P 27.45R 5.19 Yeovil 17 12 -11 -3.28 28.69 1.32 41.02 7.79 -27.76 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 66.86R 27.57 Sheff_Wed 16 11 -9 -7.50 8.04 -3.77 45.56 8.16 -18.84 0.00 0.00 0.07 0.02P 43.16R 11.65 Barnsley 17 11 -19 -5.84 14.59 -8.56 38.74 7.55 -38.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 78.19R 41.42League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 December 2013, Oldham 1 1 Bradford; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 19 43 +25 10.79 95.74 15.69 88.77 7.85 38.21 23.51 57.12 97.41 67.36P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 19 43 +21 6.06 83.53 4.84 95.33 7.69 44.04 62.35 84.60 99.62 89.91P 0.00 0.00 Preston 19 37 +11 8.15 90.11 6.83 78.48 7.84 17.63 2.26 10.62 74.50 24.02P 0.01R 0.00 Brentford 19 37 +10 6.36 84.11 3.21 79.56 7.78 18.21 2.94 12.91 78.58 28.38P 0.00R 0.00 Peterborough 19 35 +10 1.94 61.21 -0.60 83.03 8.04 26.96 7.40 25.96 88.51 44.95P 0.00 0.00 Rotherham 19 31 +8 5.89 81.56 9.77 65.58 8.08 3.77 0.07 0.52 16.79 3.12P 1.13R 0.04 Swindon 19 30 +10 -3.00 31.39 -0.62 75.84 7.89 23.24 1.27 6.47 64.87 24.17P 0.02R 0.00 Bradford 19 29 +11 3.97 73.37 12.52 62.74 7.93 5.81 0.02 0.25 10.17 1.96P 2.38R 0.11 Port_Vale 19 29 +0 5.29 79.22 3.91 63.79 8.14 -4.01 0.03 0.29 11.73 2.15P 2.34R 0.09 Walsall 19 27 +2 0.83 55.59 1.70 65.77 7.82 4.71 0.05 0.34 16.13 3.60P 0.99R 0.04 Coventry 19 24 +7 4.12 72.99 1.23 65.88 8.11 14.36 0.08 0.57 19.05 5.16P 1.14R 0.06 MK_Dons 18 22 -1 -6.17 16.15 -6.25 64.13 8.25 4.46 0.03 0.32 13.29 3.48P 2.16R 0.15 Shrewsbury 19 22 -1 -1.76 39.66 2.29 56.46 7.63 -4.52 0.00 0.01 1.81 0.36P 11.34R 0.94 Oldham 18 22 -2 -0.04 50.53 1.90 55.74 7.91 -8.91 0.00 0.01 1.75 0.30P 14.54R 1.42 Crawley_Town 19 22 -5 -1.71 40.09 -1.47 54.38 7.64 -11.94 0.00 0.01 0.99 0.17P 18.37R 1.77 Colchester 19 21 -5 -0.51 47.62 1.84 54.28 7.66 -10.79 0.00 0.00 0.89 0.15P 18.55R 2.02 Gillingham 19 21 -8 -0.71 46.58 -1.05 50.27 7.72 -20.25 0.00 0.00 0.28 0.05P 37.12R 5.83 Carlisle 19 21 -13 0.33 53.18 -4.19 49.65 7.49 -26.80 0.00 0.00 0.16 0.02P 40.91R 6.70 Tranmere 19 20 -11 -3.41 29.96 -6.94 54.97 7.76 -14.11 0.00 0.00 1.05 0.16P 17.22R 1.72 Sheff_Utd 19 17 -10 -9.73 5.80 -11.05 55.50 7.76 -7.62 0.00 0.00 1.30 0.29P 14.61R 1.36 Stevenage 19 17 -13 -4.23 24.71 -5.58 47.81 7.61 -22.33 0.00 0.00 0.10 0.01P 49.26R 10.25 Crewe 19 16 -25 -1.69 40.37 -11.16 40.05 7.15 -46.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 85.72R 47.46 Bristol_City 19 15 -6 -11.38 3.74 -6.12 53.33 8.14 -4.30 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.23P 22.09R 3.17 Notts_County 19 11 -15 -12.28 1.82 -10.72 45.36 7.75 -19.18 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 60.10R 16.88 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 1 December 2013, Newport_County 3 2 Chesterfield; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Oxford_Utd 19 34 +15 3.86 72.84 9.03 76.32 7.76 22.83 18.31 47.37 81.17 56.65P 0.00R 0.00 Chesterfield 19 33 +10 1.55 59.49 2.18 77.02 7.74 20.17 19.69 50.29 83.03 60.21P 0.01R 0.00 Southend 19 33 +8 3.07 68.54 2.28 76.19 7.81 17.07 16.83 44.89 79.86 54.83P 0.01R 0.00 Scunthorpe 19 33 +5 2.09 62.58 -2.19 76.86 8.10 15.15 19.75 48.16 80.78 57.93P 0.00R 0.00 Rochdale 19 33 +3 5.12 78.55 0.33 72.28 7.94 6.26 7.44 25.81 61.38 33.84P 0.08R 0.02 Burton_Albion 19 33 +3 6.89 85.93 2.83 70.48 7.83 3.67 4.67 18.48 52.42 25.56P 0.13R 0.03 Fleetwood_Town 19 32 +8 4.69 76.92 6.06 70.42 7.91 9.99 5.06 19.64 53.69 27.18P 0.12R 0.02 Newport_County 19 31 +6 8.54 91.09 11.37 63.35 7.84 -0.96 0.76 4.43 21.21 7.09P 1.44R 0.38 Dag_&_Red 19 30 +5 3.79 72.65 4.65 66.36 7.79 4.09 1.81 8.96 33.11 13.96P 0.53R 0.14 Morecambe 19 29 -1 3.77 72.86 0.17 64.53 7.79 -3.04 1.01 5.50 24.36 9.37P 1.09R 0.36 Exeter 19 26 -1 -0.63 46.49 -1.82 64.50 7.80 1.36 0.98 5.51 25.07 10.24P 1.13R 0.35 AFC_Wimbledon 19 26 -1 3.67 73.03 4.57 58.95 7.64 -7.12 0.17 1.11 8.31 2.35P 4.96R 1.81 Hartlepool 19 25 +1 -3.62 28.93 -2.86 64.78 7.91 5.35 1.22 6.62 27.42 12.52P 0.92R 0.30 Cheltenham 19 23 -5 -2.95 32.27 -4.95 59.33 7.79 -5.85 0.17 1.34 9.41 3.25P 5.02R 1.90 Plymouth 19 23 -5 -0.67 46.24 -2.34 55.45 7.33 -10.31 0.04 0.30 3.05 0.88P 10.43R 4.28 Wycombe 18 22 -2 -2.08 37.33 -1.30 58.94 7.92 -4.07 0.19 1.42 9.28 3.29P 5.41R 2.04 Portsmouth 18 21 -5 -7.03 13.68 -10.01 65.60 8.35 4.27 1.76 8.72 31.70 16.12P 1.20R 0.39 Mansfield 19 21 -5 -0.35 48.92 2.06 52.52 7.84 -13.18 0.01 0.17 1.94 0.50P 21.55R 10.54 Accrington_Stanley 19 20 -6 -2.44 35.56 -1.06 51.75 7.51 -13.33 0.02 0.08 1.22 0.31P 23.19R 11.52 Bury 19 19 -3 -8.17 9.96 -4.69 57.54 7.93 -0.55 0.10 0.92 7.18 2.71P 7.29R 3.01 York 19 19 -4 -3.42 29.61 1.00 51.16 7.51 -10.73 0.00 0.07 1.06 0.29P 24.97R 12.52 Bristol_Rovers 19 19 -4 -4.85 21.68 -1.16 53.19 7.61 -7.85 0.02 0.16 2.10 0.55P 17.28R 8.13 Northampton 19 17 -9 -6.73 13.89 -5.93 50.49 7.68 -13.82 0.01 0.07 0.94 0.30P 28.93R 15.09 Torquay 19 15 -13 -7.80 10.21 -8.22 47.61 7.66 -19.42 0.00 0.01 0.31 0.07P 44.29R 27.16Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2013, Aldershot 2 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 20 45 +24 11.21 96.72 14.29 89.07 7.29 37.04 44.29 95.91 57.19P 0.00 0.00 Luton 21 41 +19 4.14 73.83 5.90 84.76 7.20 33.72 20.87 88.25 39.70P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 20 39 +14 2.60 65.61 -0.39 83.96 7.30 29.15 18.09 85.50 37.01P 0.00 0.00 Grimsby 19 36 +11 3.24 69.80 0.86 82.22 7.50 25.54 12.30 78.77 29.98P 0.00 0.00 Nuneaton 21 36 +4 8.24 89.65 5.84 67.86 7.02 0.29 0.16 10.52 1.46P 0.06R 0.00 Alfreton_Town 21 34 +1 6.65 84.35 3.94 66.58 7.12 -2.66 0.11 8.14 1.20P 0.17R 0.00 Barnet 21 33 +9 -3.19 31.13 -2.60 76.37 7.20 23.29 3.00 51.89 16.93P 0.00R 0.00 Salisbury 20 33 +3 7.14 85.99 5.78 65.31 7.77 -2.92 0.13 7.59 1.15P 0.52R 0.00 Braintree_Town 21 32 +6 3.17 68.79 6.01 66.24 7.09 5.71 0.09 7.81 1.26P 0.15R 0.00 Gateshead 20 32 +5 3.70 71.98 3.84 68.60 7.36 6.45 0.25 14.10 2.52P 0.07R 0.00 Halifax 21 31 +6 2.94 67.28 7.84 64.66 7.66 4.39 0.08 6.66 1.16P 0.50R 0.00 Forest_Green 21 30 +6 -2.16 36.87 0.51 68.15 7.30 11.84 0.20 13.42 2.92P 0.13R 0.00 Welling 20 29 +3 3.81 72.12 6.80 64.52 7.78 2.60 0.08 6.52 1.18P 0.68R 0.00 Wrexham 21 28 +2 -6.74 14.94 -7.54 69.48 7.25 13.13 0.30 17.23 4.69P 0.06R 0.00 Macclesfield 20 26 +0 -2.49 35.15 -1.50 60.83 7.35 -1.46 0.02 2.20 0.41P 1.39R 0.00 Lincoln_City 20 26 -2 0.43 53.60 0.82 60.68 7.32 -3.40 0.02 1.94 0.31P 1.50R 0.00 Hereford 21 25 -2 -6.24 17.35 -5.73 60.28 7.10 -0.39 0.01 1.54 0.33P 1.51R 0.00 Southport 21 21 -16 -1.49 41.68 -5.30 49.35 6.89 -26.70 0.00 0.01 0.00 26.91R 0.20 Woking 20 20 -8 -4.59 23.33 -2.84 48.02 7.11 -21.51 0.00 0.01 0.00P 32.50R 0.25 Tamworth 20 20 -12 -1.00 44.37 -1.77 49.13 7.09 -22.60 0.00 0.02 0.00P 27.23R 0.32 Aldershot 21 19 -1 -4.44 25.42 -8.31 60.50 7.36 10.30 0.00 1.95 0.60P 1.64R 0.01 Chester 21 19 -13 -1.16 44.09 0.42 46.24 7.07 -23.79 0.00 0.00 0.00 43.26R 0.63 Dartford 22 18 -22 -5.81 18.39 -11.22 43.45 6.66 -34.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 61.80R 1.28 Hyde_United 21 3 -37 -14.83 0.14 -15.66 22.96 6.30 -63.40 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.90R 97.31 Adjustments: Aldershot -10