Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 29 November 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 November 2013, West_Brom 2 2 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          12   28  +14       4.37    82.74     2.70    77.16     7.23    35.85    30.88    54.14    72.07    85.59    97.85     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        12   24  +11       2.20    67.44     2.57    70.66     7.32    27.99     8.15    20.74    37.18    56.71    88.96     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          12   24  +11       1.22    59.60     0.93    73.79     7.22    33.09    16.11    35.28    54.90    73.46    94.90     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   22  +22      -3.70    19.30     6.51    76.98     6.84    55.04    31.85    56.50    74.58    87.37    98.16     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      12   22   +8       5.01    86.48     7.69    55.67     7.44     4.75     0.10     0.43     1.32     3.37    19.30     0.26R    0.00  
Man_Utd          12   21   +5      -1.76    34.51    -5.30    72.69     7.12    31.45    11.95    29.07    49.24    68.87    92.95     0.00     0.00  
Everton          12   21   +4       1.65    63.44    -0.10    61.73     7.29    11.49     0.59     2.34     6.27    13.50    48.40     0.02R    0.00  
Newcastle        12   20   +0       4.71    84.43     2.48    52.69     7.35    -5.90     0.02     0.10     0.45     1.33     9.74     0.73R    0.03  
Tottenham        12   20   -3       1.26    60.49    -6.14    59.70     7.45     2.93     0.33     1.35     3.70     8.55    35.80     0.06R    0.00  
Swansea          12   15   +1      -0.73    44.95     2.05    48.52     7.27    -3.22     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.34     3.79     2.85R    0.18  
West_Brom        12   15   +0      -0.40    47.07     2.07    49.99     7.43    -1.68     0.01     0.04     0.17     0.56     5.56     2.17R    0.13  
Aston_Villa      12   15   -1       1.41    63.22     3.71    47.52     7.25    -6.74     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.22     2.60     3.99R    0.36  
Hull             12   14   -6       2.08    69.72     1.49    36.75     6.73   -25.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    40.69R    7.47  
Stoke            12   13   -2      -1.22    39.93     1.42    44.14     7.08    -8.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06     0.99     8.75R    0.73  
Cardiff          12   13   -6       1.00    60.49     0.83    40.66     7.12   -19.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.31    20.94R    3.12  
Norwich          12   11  -13      -0.98    42.66    -4.84    38.00     7.03   -28.08     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    34.54R    6.81  
West_Ham         12   10   -5      -4.15    18.41    -1.67    40.49     7.03   -13.86     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.23    20.19R    3.07  
Fulham           12   10  -10      -3.88    20.23    -5.54    40.69     7.24   -18.85     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.33    21.13R    2.91  
Crystal_Palace   12    7  -14      -2.08    32.11    -1.49    27.00     6.46   -41.28     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.47R   60.92  
Sunderland       12    7  -16      -5.03    12.72    -9.36    34.35     6.88   -30.36     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    55.21R   14.27  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 29 November 2013, Nott'm_Forest 2 3 Reading; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         16   35  +17       8.50    93.58    10.05    83.71     8.32    28.53    25.45    46.56    87.21    56.19P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       16   35  +10       7.55    90.95     1.69    84.05     8.32    22.09    25.79    46.40    87.31    56.77P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             16   35  +10       8.23    92.92     3.03    84.82     8.38    22.65    28.76    50.32    88.69    60.85P    0.00     0.00  
Reading         17   28   +6       0.01    49.92    -1.13    76.18     8.44    19.10     6.29    15.87    59.77    28.30P    0.02R    0.00  
Blackpool       16   28   +5       3.68    73.75     1.46    72.65     8.30    10.50     2.60     7.42    41.91    15.18P    0.02R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   17   27   +6       1.90    62.38     3.21    69.27     8.22     9.88     1.07     3.39    27.35     8.81P    0.11R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   26   +5       3.61    73.75     4.26    68.19     8.44     6.51     0.87     2.77    23.99     6.91P    0.19R    0.01  
Derby           16   25   +7       1.96    63.61     5.38    69.81     8.55    12.67     1.53     4.66    30.99    10.35P    0.13R    0.00  
Brighton        16   24   +5      -0.91    43.71     0.54    71.78     8.25    14.97     1.98     6.22    39.10    15.16P    0.04R    0.00  
Watford         16   23   +6      -2.44    33.66     0.56    71.60     8.50    17.67     2.49     6.92    39.31    15.38P    0.06R    0.00  
Wigan           15   22   +4      -2.78    30.78    -2.28    71.68     8.86    14.98     2.68     7.40    39.43    16.78P    0.10R    0.00  
Ipswich         16   20   +2      -0.66    46.06     3.90    60.08     8.40     0.41     0.06     0.31     5.40     1.38P    2.49R    0.21  
Huddersfield    16   20   +1      -0.06    50.41     3.79    56.73     8.21    -5.65     0.02     0.09     2.27     0.48P    5.47R    0.56  
Blackburn       16   20   +1      -2.35    34.37     0.32    63.38     8.34     4.60     0.17     0.70    10.21     2.84P    0.93R    0.06  
Bolton          16   19   -4      -3.75    25.61    -5.33    62.95     8.44     0.32     0.17     0.65     9.38     2.71P    1.33R    0.10  
Bournemouth     16   18  -10       1.35    60.68    -0.87    49.40     8.23   -26.22     0.00     0.01     0.29     0.04P   25.71R    4.63  
Charlton        16   17   -5      -4.21    22.90    -4.09    57.00     8.23    -6.30     0.02     0.09     2.40     0.58P    5.16R    0.49  
Millwall        16   17  -12      -1.49    40.57    -6.78    50.60     8.08   -23.67     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.04P   20.40R    3.13  
Middlesbrough   16   16   +0      -5.95    14.84     0.03    55.05     8.50    -3.62     0.01     0.09     1.78     0.43P    8.39R    0.94  
Doncaster       16   16  -12      -0.04    51.43    -2.99    45.87     7.94   -29.12     0.00     0.00     0.07     0.02P   41.57R    8.92  
Birmingham      16   15   -5      -6.40    12.73    -4.15    57.23     8.44    -3.22     0.02     0.11     2.69     0.77P    5.32R    0.54  
Sheff_Wed       15   11   -7      -6.97     8.96    -3.03    47.05     8.34   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   33.86R    6.94  
Barnsley        16   11  -16      -5.08    17.31    -6.54    40.89     7.87   -34.32     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01P   66.11R   24.73  
Yeovil          16    9  -14      -4.54    19.57    -1.03    36.45     7.77   -35.93     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.59R   48.74  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2013, Bradford 1 1 Notts_County; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   18   43  +22       7.14    88.59     5.31    97.50     7.86    46.53    69.78    90.38    99.81    93.73P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   18   42  +25      11.31    97.13    15.85    89.54     8.03    38.82    22.19    64.43    97.97    73.02P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         18   34  +10       6.86    86.71     6.33    76.89     8.05    16.66     1.25     8.09    69.99    21.14P    0.02R    0.00  
Brentford       18   34   +9       5.09    79.70     2.74    78.01     8.06    17.34     1.70    10.13    74.16    25.34P    0.01R    0.00  
Peterborough    18   32   +9       0.34    51.65    -1.53    80.83     8.20    25.15     4.12    18.66    84.18    38.90P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford        18   28  +11       4.48    76.38    12.80    62.94     8.17     5.46     0.01     0.27    12.34     2.33P    2.88R    0.10  
Rotherham       18   28   +5       5.40    80.53     8.50    62.95     8.24    -0.81     0.01     0.26    11.52     2.00P    3.37R    0.09  
Swindon         18   27   +8      -3.80    26.48    -1.28    74.71     8.11    22.05     0.72     5.48    61.34    22.51P    0.07R    0.00  
Walsall         18   27   +4       1.86    62.30     3.26    68.28     7.97     8.36     0.07     0.93    28.36     6.61P    0.51R    0.01  
Port_Vale       18   26   -2       4.02    74.08     2.59    60.90     8.29    -8.08     0.02     0.15     7.84     1.39P    6.02R    0.27  
MK_Dons         17   22   +1      -5.15    19.76    -4.83    66.60     8.37     8.16     0.09     0.82    23.36     6.48P    1.31R    0.04  
Crawley_Town    18   22   -4      -0.40    48.17    -0.50    56.36     7.89   -10.10     0.00     0.01     2.36     0.42P   14.07R    1.19  
Coventry        18   21   +5       2.93    67.67    -0.10    63.47     8.24    11.07     0.02     0.32    14.41     3.77P    2.75R    0.13  
Oldham          17   21   -2       0.52    54.38     2.21    55.95     8.08    -9.19     0.00     0.02     2.44     0.40P   15.75R    1.20  
Colchester      18   21   -4       0.44    54.04     2.23    55.90     7.88    -9.38     0.00     0.01     1.95     0.30P   15.54R    1.25  
Gillingham      18   21   -5      -0.50    47.76     0.05    52.74     8.04   -15.30     0.00     0.00     1.00     0.17P   27.83R    2.94  
Carlisle        18   21  -11       0.74    56.20    -3.82    50.80     7.64   -25.23     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.04P   37.50R    4.46  
Shrewsbury      18   19   -3      -2.93    31.83     0.97    54.11     7.80    -7.53     0.00     0.00     1.24     0.21P   20.53R    2.00  
Stevenage       18   17  -11      -3.30    29.64    -4.31    49.83     7.81   -19.24     0.00     0.00     0.26     0.04P   40.91R    5.84  
Tranmere        18   17  -12      -4.66    22.22    -7.33    53.04     7.98   -15.60     0.00     0.00     0.89     0.18P   26.53R    2.68  
Sheff_Utd       18   16  -10      -9.68     5.27   -11.53    55.55     7.99    -8.15     0.00     0.02     1.82     0.45P   16.69R    1.34  
Bristol_City    18   15   -5     -10.45     4.79    -5.82    54.74     8.45    -3.25     0.00     0.01     2.25     0.58P   19.70R    2.05  
Crewe           18   13  -26      -3.08    30.40   -11.60    37.55     7.25   -49.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    92.07R   62.18  
Notts_County    18   11  -14     -11.27     2.38   -10.15    46.63     8.01   -18.43     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   55.94R   12.24  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 1 1 Dag_&_Red; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           18   33  +15       4.20    75.47     8.97    76.97     7.99    23.24    18.79    48.94    82.49    58.05P    0.00R    0.00  
Chesterfield         18   33  +11       2.88    67.85     3.15    79.22     7.91    22.31    26.55    59.76    88.54    68.61P    0.00     0.00  
Southend             18   32   +8       3.67    72.53     2.65    76.98     8.00    17.64    17.83    47.62    81.74    56.99P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             18   32   +3       5.62    81.59     0.57    72.89     8.16     6.58     7.79    27.47    63.63    35.59P    0.06R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town       18   31   +8       5.01    78.91     5.99    70.87     8.10    10.13     5.43    20.77    55.51    28.41P    0.11R    0.03  
Scunthorpe           18   30   +3       1.27    57.89    -2.94    75.25     8.27    13.16    13.35    38.70    74.22    49.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Burton_Albion        18   30   +2       5.42    81.01     2.09    68.60     8.04     2.33     2.74    12.93    43.00    19.30P    0.34R    0.10  
Newport_County       18   28   +5       7.00    87.17    10.42    60.59     8.09    -3.43     0.32     2.41    13.73     4.36P    3.65R    1.26  
Dag_&_Red            18   27   +3       2.68    67.42     3.42    64.16     8.04     1.26     0.96     5.47    24.94     9.64P    1.33R    0.44  
AFC_Wimbledon        18   26   +2       4.17    75.64     6.28    61.12     7.90    -2.82     0.33     2.37    13.89     4.38P    3.13R    1.11  
Morecambe            18   26   -2       2.32    65.40    -0.52    62.61     7.97    -4.44     0.47     3.38    18.36     6.41P    2.11R    0.67  
Exeter               18   25   -1      -0.29    48.63    -1.88    65.20     8.07     1.85     1.25     6.63    28.21    11.80P    1.01R    0.34  
Hartlepool           18   24   +1      -3.31    30.06    -2.88    65.52     8.16     5.84     1.43     7.73    31.08    14.51P    0.90R    0.28  
Plymouth             18   23   -4       0.35    53.34    -1.75    57.24     7.59    -8.78     0.06     0.63     5.43     1.66P    7.28R    2.79  
Wycombe              17   22   +0      -1.31    42.01    -0.14    61.02     8.25    -1.02     0.41     2.70    15.22     5.58P    3.68R    1.41  
Cheltenham           18   22   -5      -2.66    33.60    -5.06    59.00     7.95    -6.93     0.16     1.30     9.54     3.28P    5.38R    2.07  
Mansfield            18   21   -4       0.81    56.41     2.70    53.98     8.17   -12.05     0.03     0.38     3.49     0.95P   17.33R    8.21  
Portsmouth           17   20   -5      -6.60    14.73    -9.93    65.84     8.72     4.13     1.96     9.37    33.44    16.93P    1.40R    0.50  
Accrington_Stanley   18   20   -5      -1.44    41.34    -0.53    53.17     7.76   -12.31     0.02     0.18     2.12     0.55P   18.71R    8.92  
Bury                 18   18   -3      -7.71    10.61    -4.56    57.60     8.12    -1.00     0.09     1.02     7.70     2.89P    7.69R    3.23  
York                 18   18   -4      -3.11    31.07     1.03    51.23     7.78   -11.37     0.01     0.07     1.31     0.31P   25.36R   12.72  
Bristol_Rovers       18   16   -7      -5.74    16.88    -3.11    50.78     7.85   -11.99     0.02     0.10     1.18     0.32P   27.24R   14.26  
Torquay              18   15  -11      -7.22    11.64    -7.43    48.87     7.80   -17.59     0.00     0.03     0.61     0.18P   37.16R   21.34  
Northampton          18   14  -10      -8.09     8.49    -6.48    48.95     7.82   -14.75     0.00     0.03     0.61     0.16P   36.10R   20.32  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 26 November 2013, Aldershot 2 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    20   45  +24      11.25    96.90    14.37    89.10     7.34    37.09    44.73    95.83    57.15P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            21   41  +19       4.15    74.09     5.96    84.68     7.11    33.64    20.23    88.38    39.00P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    20   39  +14       2.59    65.21    -0.43    83.99     7.29    29.20    18.32    85.63    37.41P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          19   36  +11       3.28    70.10     0.91    82.21     7.47    25.51    12.36    78.67    30.19P    0.00     0.00  
Nuneaton         21   36   +4       8.16    89.74     5.69    67.94     7.01     0.41     0.14    10.64     1.48P    0.09R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town    21   34   +1       6.87    84.97     4.25    66.39     7.12    -2.96     0.10     7.67     1.06P    0.14R    0.00  
Barnet           21   33   +9      -3.28    30.71    -2.69    76.43     7.22    23.37     2.99    52.29    17.21P    0.00R    0.00  
Salisbury        20   33   +3       7.10    86.34     5.72    65.41     7.63    -2.71     0.11     7.29     1.07P    0.40R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   21   32   +6       3.16    68.67     6.01    66.17     7.10     5.61     0.08     7.60     1.24P    0.14R    0.00  
Gateshead        20   32   +5       3.67    71.99     3.76    68.60     7.34     6.48     0.24    14.01     2.54P    0.09R    0.00  
Halifax          21   31   +6       2.83    66.70     7.55    64.79     7.58     4.64     0.08     6.89     1.13P    0.44R    0.00  
Forest_Green     21   30   +6      -2.21    36.88     0.48    68.11     7.33    11.81     0.20    13.47     2.91P    0.11R    0.00  
Welling          20   29   +3       3.91    72.66     6.98    64.45     7.75     2.49     0.07     6.35     1.05P    0.68R    0.00  
Wrexham          21   28   +2      -6.69    15.04    -7.53    69.62     7.20    13.35     0.28    17.66     4.95P    0.05R    0.00  
Macclesfield     20   26   +0      -2.51    34.99    -1.49    60.87     7.34    -1.38     0.02     2.13     0.39P    1.38R    0.01  
Lincoln_City     20   26   -2       0.45    53.60     0.84    60.72     7.43    -3.39     0.01     2.07     0.32P    1.60R    0.00  
Hereford         21   25   -2      -6.19    17.59    -5.59    60.22     7.09    -0.48     0.00     1.44     0.32P    1.45R    0.00  
Southport        21   21  -16      -1.43    42.04    -5.16    49.18     6.92   -26.96     0.00     0.01     0.00P   27.95R    0.22  
Woking           20   20   -8      -4.57    23.56    -2.78    47.93     7.15   -21.70     0.00     0.02     0.00P   32.74R    0.28  
Tamworth         20   20  -12      -1.03    44.50    -1.79    49.12     7.05   -22.64     0.00     0.02     0.00    27.40R    0.33  
Aldershot        21   19   -1      -4.58    24.62    -8.48    60.62     7.26    10.47     0.00     1.92     0.56P    1.53R    0.00  
Chester          21   19  -13      -1.21    43.93     0.32    46.30     7.12   -23.76     0.00     0.00     0.00    42.36R    0.71  
Dartford         22   18  -22      -5.75    18.49   -11.14    43.38     6.67   -34.73     0.00     0.00     0.00    61.58R    1.51  
Hyde_United      21    3  -37     -14.87     0.16   -15.77    22.99     6.40   -63.36     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.87R   96.93  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10