Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 25 November 2013 at 22:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 25 November 2013, West_Brom 2 2 Aston_Villa; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          12   28  +14       4.35    82.56     2.66    77.24     7.25    36.04    31.29    54.55    72.37    85.85    97.84     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        12   24  +11       2.15    67.11     2.46    70.65     7.35    28.01     8.14    20.63    37.17    56.45    89.09     0.00R    0.00  
Chelsea          12   24  +11       1.18    59.38     0.88    73.82     7.20    33.19    15.96    35.33    55.25    73.65    94.87     0.00     0.00  
Man_City         12   22  +22      -3.68    19.60     6.54    76.86     6.86    54.77    31.52    56.14    74.25    87.00    98.09     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      12   22   +8       4.98    86.47     7.65    55.75     7.42     4.89     0.11     0.43     1.36     3.54    19.77     0.23R    0.01  
Man_Utd          12   21   +5      -1.71    34.77    -5.24    72.67     7.16    31.39    11.99    28.92    48.75    68.77    92.79     0.00     0.00  
Everton          12   21   +4       1.62    63.24    -0.11    61.71     7.37    11.47     0.63     2.48     6.33    13.67    48.74     0.03R    0.00  
Newcastle        12   20   +0       4.80    85.09     2.64    52.59     7.38    -6.14     0.03     0.14     0.48     1.37     9.53     0.89R    0.03  
Tottenham        12   20   -3       1.26    60.98    -6.17    59.66     7.38     2.85     0.32     1.28     3.68     8.44    35.36     0.05R    0.00  
Swansea          12   15   +1      -0.70    44.76     2.14    48.38     7.21    -3.46     0.01     0.02     0.09     0.30     3.49     2.93R    0.20  
West_Brom        12   15   +0      -0.45    46.75     1.99    50.18     7.43    -1.43     0.01     0.06     0.20     0.63     5.84     1.97R    0.13  
Aston_Villa      12   15   -1       1.43    63.23     3.78    47.37     7.25    -6.96     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.24     2.60     4.26R    0.32  
Hull             12   14   -6       2.15    70.56     1.56    36.69     6.77   -25.13     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    41.29R    7.49  
Stoke            12   13   -2      -1.14    40.76     1.53    44.10     7.10    -8.12     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.93     8.82R    0.81  
Cardiff          12   13   -6       0.91    59.55     0.71    40.78     7.14   -19.32     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.31    20.67R    3.08  
Norwich          12   11  -13      -1.06    41.84    -4.95    38.07     7.03   -27.99     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.09    34.33R    6.83  
West_Ham         12   10   -5      -4.21    18.37    -1.75    40.69     7.10   -13.56     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.28    19.62R    3.00  
Fulham           12   10  -10      -3.88    20.10    -5.52    40.73     7.18   -18.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.31    21.15R    2.88  
Crystal_Palace   12    7  -14      -2.07    32.13    -1.45    26.99     6.48   -41.30     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    88.54R   60.64  
Sunderland       12    7  -16      -5.02    12.85    -9.34    34.32     6.84   -30.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    55.21R   14.58  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2013, Birmingham 1 1 Blackpool; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         16   35  +17       8.50    93.48    10.06    83.88     8.37    28.72    26.61    47.99    87.61    57.62P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       16   35  +10       7.55    91.00     1.70    84.17     8.29    22.26    27.05    47.48    87.78    57.76P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             16   35  +10       8.40    93.23     3.23    84.44     8.32    22.13    27.46    49.16    88.35    59.92P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       16   28   +5       3.70    73.48     1.43    72.76     8.29    10.66     2.75     7.88    42.66    15.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   16   27   +7       3.19    71.33     4.09    70.98     8.33    11.40     1.77     5.51    35.21    11.96P    0.09R    0.00  
Leeds_United    16   26   +5       3.53    73.40     4.16    68.05     8.46     6.35     0.92     2.90    23.60     7.21P    0.24R    0.01  
Derby           16   25   +7       1.81    62.60     5.11    70.00     8.45    12.93     1.43     4.62    31.86    10.58P    0.14R    0.00  
Reading         16   25   +5      -1.12    42.64    -1.33    73.64     8.73    16.61     3.94    10.69    48.57    21.30P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton        16   24   +5      -0.91    43.63     0.52    71.91     8.14    15.15     2.00     6.20    39.82    15.46P    0.05R    0.00  
Watford         16   23   +6      -2.40    34.12     0.60    71.60     8.53    17.65     2.60     7.35    39.67    15.77P    0.10R    0.01  
Wigan           15   22   +4      -2.88    30.32    -2.40    71.84     8.95    15.26     2.99     8.15    40.75    17.76P    0.10R    0.00  
Ipswich         16   20   +2      -0.61    46.57     3.96    60.05     8.38     0.35     0.07     0.25     5.38     1.22P    2.73R    0.23  
Huddersfield    16   20   +1      -0.09    50.19     3.77    56.77     8.22    -5.60     0.02     0.08     2.37     0.47P    5.47R    0.54  
Blackburn       16   20   +1      -2.25    35.12     0.47    63.26     8.39     4.41     0.20     0.79    10.28     2.88P    1.02R    0.07  
Bolton          16   19   -4      -3.77    25.49    -5.32    62.89     8.40     0.24     0.14     0.69     9.25     2.64P    1.26R    0.09  
Bournemouth     16   18  -10       1.35    60.87    -0.87    49.44     8.28   -26.14     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.05P   26.31R    5.01  
Millwall        16   17  -12      -1.49    40.58    -6.82    50.52     8.07   -23.83     0.00     0.00     0.31     0.06P   21.14R    3.16  
Middlesbrough   16   16   +0      -5.83    15.25     0.15    54.87     8.42    -3.86     0.01     0.05     1.68     0.38P    8.69R    0.94  
Doncaster       15   16  -10       0.53    55.29    -2.15    47.43     8.31   -26.75     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   35.16R    7.18  
Birmingham      16   15   -5      -6.45    12.65    -4.22    57.21     8.46    -3.25     0.01     0.10     2.70     0.73P    5.78R    0.59  
Charlton        15   14   -7      -5.02    17.77    -4.96    55.31     8.42    -8.39     0.02     0.07     1.56     0.40P    8.48R    1.06  
Sheff_Wed       15   11   -7      -7.05     9.03    -3.17    47.06     8.37   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   34.47R    7.20  
Barnsley        16   11  -16      -5.28    16.38    -6.92    41.10     7.83   -33.79     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    65.82R   24.28  
Yeovil          16    9  -14      -4.59    19.31    -1.12    36.49     7.76   -35.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    82.90R   49.62  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2013, Bristol_City 0 1 Sheff_Utd; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   17   41  +25      11.78    97.99    16.02    90.41     8.26    39.59    27.56    66.29    98.01    74.48P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   17   40  +20       6.49    87.03     4.78    96.21     8.13    45.05    61.58    86.10    99.66    90.90P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    17   32  +10       1.58    59.88    -0.69    82.52     8.53    26.52     7.03    24.66    86.39    44.07P    0.00R    0.00  
Brentford       17   31   +8       3.75    73.52     2.18    75.73     8.22    15.38     1.17     6.52    62.21    19.62P    0.03R    0.00  
Preston         17   31   +8       5.89    84.04     5.29    74.83     8.29    14.04     0.92     5.12    58.16    15.88P    0.06R    0.00  
Bradford        17   27  +11       4.89    79.16    12.83    63.81     8.45     6.21     0.03     0.42    14.63     2.69P    2.59R    0.13  
Swindon         17   26   +8      -3.18    29.31    -0.99    75.63     8.31    22.96     1.20     6.87    63.86    24.00P    0.05R    0.00  
Walsall         17   26   +4       2.13    64.43     3.16    68.54     8.23     8.18     0.14     1.06    28.66     6.43P    0.55R    0.02  
Port_Vale       17   26   +0       4.74    78.12     3.60    62.96     8.56    -5.05     0.03     0.28    11.82     1.99P    3.78R    0.22  
Rotherham       17   25   +2       4.36    76.99     6.35    59.07     8.35    -7.52     0.01     0.08     5.25     0.82P    8.57R    0.54  
MK_Dons         16   22   +3      -4.05    24.10    -3.26    69.18     8.57    11.93     0.23     1.62    32.89     9.55P    0.60R    0.01  
Coventry        17   21   +8       3.84    73.36     2.16    66.72     8.47    17.13     0.08     0.87    24.51     6.90P    1.18R    0.04  
Crawley_Town    17   21   -4      -0.25    49.11    -0.77    56.05     8.10   -11.27     0.01     0.03     2.38     0.41P   14.88R    1.46  
Shrewsbury      17   19   -2      -1.70    39.41     1.72    56.07     7.99    -5.64     0.00     0.02     2.20     0.35P   13.91R    1.30  
Oldham          16   18   -3      -1.04    43.57     1.37    53.65     8.20   -11.10     0.00     0.01     1.38     0.24P   22.45R    2.69  
Gillingham      17   18   -6      -1.63    40.18    -0.31    50.69     8.16   -16.79     0.00     0.01     0.52     0.09P   35.65R    5.55  
Colchester      17   18   -6      -0.97    44.38     0.51    53.03     8.06   -13.22     0.00     0.01     0.94     0.14P   25.13R    3.23  
Carlisle        17   18  -12      -0.41    48.43    -4.06    49.17     7.88   -26.30     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.03P   44.00R    8.11  
Tranmere        17   17  -10      -4.14    24.67    -6.64    54.07     8.08   -14.19     0.00     0.00     1.16     0.22P   21.50R    2.41  
Stevenage       17   17  -10      -2.36    34.93    -4.07    51.60     7.98   -17.47     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.10P   31.29R    4.38  
Sheff_Utd       17   15  -10      -9.28     5.53   -11.48    55.95     8.20    -8.09     0.00     0.02     2.21     0.56P   14.98R    1.46  
Bristol_City    17   14   -5     -10.18     4.45    -5.99    54.90     8.63    -3.61     0.00     0.02     2.15     0.49P   18.86R    2.42  
Crewe           17   13  -25      -2.25    35.51   -11.48    38.96     7.55   -48.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    87.46R   53.29  
Notts_County    17   10  -14     -10.96     2.36   -10.22    46.94     8.26   -18.53     0.00     0.00     0.14     0.02P   52.48R   12.74  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2013, Accrington_Stanley 2 1 Torquay; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           17   32  +15       4.89    79.19     9.45    78.34     8.23    24.76    21.28    52.68    84.65    61.28P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         17   32  +11       3.57    72.60     3.53    80.61     8.15    23.85    29.94    63.10    89.91    71.39P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             17   32   +7       6.01    84.03     3.04    75.96     8.33    13.22    13.26    39.55    74.71    47.71P    0.02R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       17   31  +10       5.87    83.52     7.27    73.10     8.29    13.40     8.04    27.48    63.74    35.54P    0.05R    0.01  
Southend             17   29   +7       2.05    63.48     1.60    74.90     8.27    15.98    10.83    35.23    71.69    45.66P    0.02R    0.01  
Newport_County       17   27   +5       7.06    88.31    10.09    60.05     8.29    -5.17     0.31     2.13    11.80     3.73P    4.25R    1.48  
Burton_Albion        17   27   +1       4.26    76.09     1.89    67.35     8.30     1.79     1.76     9.65    35.84    15.07P    0.61R    0.19  
Scunthorpe           17   27   -1       0.90    55.82    -5.14    71.42     8.47     5.93     5.49    20.77    54.62    29.96P    0.16R    0.03  
Dag_&_Red            17   26   +3       2.86    68.63     3.18    64.51     8.17     1.09     0.93     5.45    24.34     9.39P    1.06R    0.33  
AFC_Wimbledon        17   25   +2       4.53    78.36     6.31    61.75     8.14    -2.61     0.38     2.61    15.30     4.83P    2.63R    0.93  
Morecambe            17   25   -2       2.99    69.98    -0.02    63.43     8.19    -3.87     0.67     4.04    20.04     7.31P    1.71R    0.52  
Hartlepool           17   24   +2      -2.25    35.93    -2.31    67.11     8.49     7.14     2.01    10.12    36.42    17.80P    0.64R    0.19  
Exeter               17   24   -1      -0.01    50.39    -1.93    65.49     8.26     1.71     1.12     6.71    28.17    11.85P    0.97R    0.31  
Plymouth             17   22   -4       0.57    54.84    -1.89    57.38     7.83    -9.13     0.05     0.62     5.42     1.64P    7.10R    2.75  
Wycombe              16   21   +0      -0.92    44.14    -0.05    61.64     8.46    -0.68     0.44     3.13    16.34     6.10P    2.94R    0.99  
Mansfield            17   21   -3       1.54    61.27     2.82    55.45     8.38   -11.10     0.07     0.57     4.57     1.27P   12.62R    5.59  
Cheltenham           17   21   -5      -2.31    35.53    -5.01    59.84     8.24    -6.39     0.23     1.72    10.80     3.90P    4.56R    1.70  
Portsmouth           16   20   -4      -5.55    18.30    -9.41    68.12     8.92     6.58     3.10    13.44    41.26    22.20P    0.73R    0.22  
York                 17   17   -4      -2.97    31.18     0.83    51.34     8.04   -12.01     0.00     0.09     1.45     0.37P   24.10R   12.10  
Accrington_Stanley   17   17   -7      -2.61    33.45    -1.76    50.51     7.92   -16.01     0.00     0.07     0.99     0.26P   28.17R   14.73  
Bury                 17   15   -4      -9.14     6.37    -5.20    55.86     8.54    -2.21     0.07     0.65     5.50     2.06P   11.26R    5.01  
Bristol_Rovers       17   15   -7      -5.56    16.90    -3.21    50.61     8.03   -13.02     0.00     0.07     1.05     0.27P   26.93R   14.05  
Torquay              17   14  -11      -6.75    12.21    -7.21    49.64     8.05   -17.02     0.00     0.08     0.86     0.28P   32.21R   17.53  
Northampton          17   13  -10      -8.06     7.95    -6.84    48.46     8.02   -16.22     0.00     0.04     0.53     0.14P   37.26R   21.31  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 23 November 2013, Aldershot 5 1 Southport; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    20   45  +24      11.29    96.76    14.44    89.05     7.28    37.03    46.03    95.93    58.46P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    20   39  +14       2.52    65.11    -0.55    84.02     7.29    29.19    19.36    86.20    38.71P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            20   38  +16       3.83    72.71     5.17    83.63     7.39    31.55    17.80    84.87    36.20P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          19   36  +11       3.39    70.70     1.09    82.03     7.46    25.19    12.53    78.86    30.87P    0.00     0.00  
Alfreton_Town    20   34   +4       7.06    86.14     5.28    68.36     7.38     1.13     0.30    13.72     2.04P    0.11R    0.00  
Salisbury        19   33   +6       7.58    88.30     7.15    68.42     8.01     3.11     0.49    15.74     2.84P    0.20R    0.00  
Nuneaton         20   33   +1       7.50    88.39     4.17    65.89     7.24    -3.31     0.10     7.50     1.10P    0.28R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   20   32   +7       3.99    73.63     6.23    66.95     7.30     5.72     0.17    10.40     1.90P    0.15R    0.00  
Gateshead        20   32   +5       3.82    72.46     4.02    68.46     7.33     6.24     0.26    14.20     2.62P    0.07R    0.00  
Halifax          20   31   +7       3.76    71.76     7.77    65.68     7.86     4.88     0.20     9.47     1.72P    0.47R    0.00  
Barnet           20   30   +7      -4.08    26.18    -3.52    74.62     7.50    21.03     2.23    43.36    14.10P    0.00R    0.00  
Welling          20   29   +3       4.00    73.10     7.17    64.12     7.74     1.97     0.08     6.37     1.11P    0.86R    0.00  
Wrexham          21   28   +2      -6.70    15.09    -7.57    69.55     7.23    13.27     0.33    18.31     5.00P    0.07R    0.00  
Forest_Green     20   27   +3      -3.01    31.76    -1.08    65.07     7.52     6.62     0.09     7.46     1.61P    0.48R    0.00  
Macclesfield     20   26   +0      -2.57    34.51    -1.62    60.99     7.37    -1.22     0.02     2.33     0.48P    1.60R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     20   26   -2       0.48    53.81     0.86    60.63     7.40    -3.53     0.01     2.16     0.35P    1.84R    0.00  
Hereford         20   22   -3      -7.17    13.04    -5.61    59.05     7.33    -0.79     0.00     1.28     0.32P    2.77R    0.00  
Southport        20   21  -13      -1.43    41.88    -4.58    50.21     7.10   -24.60     0.00     0.04     0.01P   24.99R    0.18  
Woking           20   20   -8      -4.61    23.50    -2.85    48.00     7.09   -21.51     0.00     0.02     0.00P   34.80R    0.24  
Tamworth         20   20  -12      -1.01    44.48    -1.85    49.18     7.10   -22.57     0.00     0.02     0.00P   29.19R    0.30  
Chester          21   19  -13      -1.28    43.42     0.16    46.35     7.12   -23.65     0.00     0.01     0.01P   44.47R    0.56  
Dartford         21   18  -20      -5.11    20.98   -10.28    44.91     6.93   -32.43     0.00     0.00     0.00    54.95R    0.95  
Aldershot        20   16   -2      -5.41    20.17    -8.27    59.48     7.56    10.14     0.00     1.74     0.54P    2.82R    0.01  
Hyde_United      21    3  -37     -14.85     0.12   -15.73    22.89     6.33   -63.46     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.89R   97.75  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10