Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 18 November 2013 at 23:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Man_Utd 1 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          11   25  +12       3.84    80.63     2.43    76.03     7.45    34.70    30.92    52.61    69.80    82.70    96.13     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   23  +11       2.55    71.27     2.68    70.71     7.52    27.31    10.68    24.87    41.13    58.97    87.26     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      11   22  +10       5.47    89.40     8.12    56.69     7.54     6.24     0.23     0.92     2.33     5.39    22.18     0.21R    0.00  
Chelsea          11   21   +8       0.41    52.99    -0.69    71.67     7.42    29.16    13.20    29.10    46.65    64.38    90.07     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          11   20   +5      -1.00    40.16    -4.75    73.80     7.36    32.30    19.74    40.33    59.18    74.88    93.54     0.00     0.00  
Everton          11   20   +4       2.20    68.65     0.15    61.90     7.51    11.28     1.10     3.60     8.11    15.90    46.69     0.02R    0.00  
Tottenham        11   20   +3       1.07    58.87    -2.65    62.21     7.63    10.64     1.25     4.04     9.11    16.95    48.39     0.03R    0.00  
Man_City         11   19  +16      -3.73    18.56     3.49    74.09     7.21    45.88    22.83    44.23    62.66    77.91    94.72     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        11   17   -1       3.80    80.80     2.41    51.47     7.57    -6.14     0.04     0.15     0.46     1.16     7.17     1.80R    0.06  
West_Brom        11   14   +0       0.21    52.82     2.24    50.98     7.65    -0.50     0.01     0.10     0.36     1.08     6.94     2.12R    0.09  
Aston_Villa      11   14   -1       1.47    64.26     3.13    47.20     7.45    -7.41     0.00     0.03     0.08     0.27     2.45     5.52R    0.34  
Hull             11   14   -5       3.64    82.00     2.51    39.19     7.06   -22.36     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.15    30.54R    3.68  
Swansea          11   12   +0      -2.21    31.77     1.27    46.10     7.46    -5.05     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.23     1.98     7.12R    0.41  
Cardiff          11   12   -6       0.95    60.34    -0.00    40.06     7.30   -20.74     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.27    26.78R    3.17  
Norwich          11   11  -12      -0.19    49.64    -5.01    38.96     7.25   -27.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    33.06R    4.71  
West_Ham         11   10   -2      -3.58    21.19     0.07    42.34     7.36    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.62    16.07R    1.59  
Stoke            11   10   -4      -2.22    30.45     0.19    42.22     7.23   -10.23     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.03     0.52    16.36R    1.33  
Fulham           11   10   -9      -2.58    28.62    -4.79    42.58     7.47   -16.58     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.72    16.95R    1.57  
Sunderland       11    7  -14      -4.37    15.70    -8.42    35.84     7.06   -27.60     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    49.30R    8.01  
Crystal_Palace   11    4  -15      -3.78    15.87    -2.39    24.32     6.63   -43.84     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.13R   75.05  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Yeovil 0 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         15   34  +17       8.80    94.72     9.93    83.95     8.64    28.31    28.55    48.30    86.67    57.67P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       15   32   +9       6.33    87.67     1.31    82.16     8.50    20.67    20.57    38.71    81.68    49.79P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             15   32   +9       7.17    90.61     2.75    83.42     8.65    22.01    24.75    44.78    84.98    55.79P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       15   27   +5       4.02    76.11     1.37    72.93     8.57    10.30     3.53     8.99    43.05    16.43P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   26   +7       3.48    73.87     3.97    71.62     8.63    11.85     2.77     7.18    38.14    14.08P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         15   24   +5      -0.85    44.02    -1.54    74.10     9.03    16.86     5.05    12.81    50.27    23.19P    0.06R    0.01  
Watford         15   23   +7      -1.09    42.24     1.43    74.27     8.75    20.87     5.29    12.98    51.95    23.30P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   23   +4       2.31    66.58     3.82    66.57     8.68     5.49     0.68     2.27    19.49     5.75P    0.47R    0.03  
Derby           15   22   +6       0.48    53.75     4.66    68.42     8.76    11.94     1.24     3.76    26.38     8.77P    0.30R    0.01  
Wigan           14   22   +5      -1.62    37.96    -1.59    74.26     9.08    17.82     5.46    13.19    51.05    24.28P    0.06R    0.00  
Brighton        15   21   +4      -2.51    32.35    -0.42    69.36     8.49    12.91     1.38     4.25    29.06    10.99P    0.20R    0.01  
Ipswich         15   20   +3       0.43    53.88     4.51    61.66     8.66     1.61     0.17     0.65     8.11     2.05P    2.15R    0.16  
Blackburn       15   19   +1      -2.05    35.74     0.23    64.08     8.62     5.04     0.36     1.24    12.69     3.86P    1.03R    0.09  
Bournemouth     15   18   -9       2.38    68.11    -0.27    50.81     8.57   -25.61     0.00     0.03     0.58     0.11P   23.06R    4.39  
Huddersfield    15   17   +0      -1.62    39.16     2.93    54.65     8.41    -7.48     0.02     0.08     1.50     0.31P    9.93R    1.32  
Middlesbrough   15   16   +1      -4.94    18.36     0.47    56.46     8.72    -2.66     0.04     0.15     2.70     0.67P    7.26R    0.84  
Bolton          15   16   -5      -5.39    16.37    -6.29    60.02     8.62    -2.77     0.08     0.36     5.43     1.48P    3.42R    0.34  
Birmingham      15   14   -5      -6.10    13.00    -4.21    57.68     8.63    -3.20     0.02     0.14     3.36     0.84P    5.68R    0.67  
Charlton        14   14   -6      -4.09    22.34    -4.45    56.19     8.57    -8.09     0.02     0.10     2.10     0.50P    7.76R    0.98  
Millwall        15   14  -13      -2.75    31.31    -7.12    49.16     8.32   -24.72     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.05P   28.27R    5.84  
Doncaster       14   13  -11      -0.61    46.94    -2.39    45.83     8.42   -27.78     0.00     0.00     0.12     0.02P   43.43R   11.96  
Sheff_Wed       14   11   -6      -5.76    13.00    -2.26    49.12     8.68   -14.80     0.00     0.01     0.39     0.07P   27.32R    5.57  
Barnsley        15   11  -15      -4.22    21.31    -6.16    42.44     8.11   -33.37     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   60.19R   22.00  
Yeovil          15    9  -13      -3.64    24.24    -0.69    37.68     8.00   -35.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.27R   45.78  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Monday 18 November 2013, Walsall 2 0 Peterborough; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   16   39  +20       7.07    89.98     4.85    97.65     8.27    47.13    67.94    87.01    99.53    91.29P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   16   38  +23      10.57    97.13    14.66    87.69     8.47    35.89    16.30    47.32    94.45    58.69P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    16   32  +11       3.08    69.27     0.41    85.35     8.59    30.09    10.53    35.01    90.06    51.70P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       16   30   +8       3.71    73.72     1.56    75.27     8.39    14.14     1.02     5.87    55.14    16.88P    0.04R    0.00  
Preston         16   30   +8       6.47    87.07     5.58    75.95     8.48    15.14     1.19     6.64    58.23    17.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Swindon         16   26  +10      -2.21    34.59     0.30    78.10     8.47    26.67     2.07    11.07    69.80    29.01P    0.02R    0.00  
Walsall         16   25   +4       2.68    68.36     3.46    68.93     8.46     8.15     0.15     1.15    26.25     6.03P    0.51R    0.01  
Bradford        16   24  +10       3.21    71.11    11.77    61.00     8.60     3.34     0.02     0.23     7.24     1.38P    4.69R    0.36  
Rotherham       16   24   +2       4.80    79.73     6.63    59.83     8.65    -7.36     0.01     0.07     5.44     0.83P    6.85R    0.53  
Port_Vale       16   23   -1       3.57    73.22     3.39    61.26     8.79    -6.37     0.02     0.19     7.57     1.40P    5.40R    0.46  
MK_Dons         15   22   +4      -2.65    31.45    -2.28    71.59     8.82    14.53     0.50     2.97    39.05    12.08P    0.26R    0.01  
Coventry        16   21  +12       4.50    77.69     4.96    70.53     8.62    25.23     0.25     2.36    35.93    11.36P    0.33R    0.02  
Crawley_Town    16   20   -4      -0.07    50.56    -0.84    56.30     8.21   -11.71     0.00     0.02     2.09     0.32P   12.63R    1.35  
Gillingham      16   18   -5      -0.54    47.23     0.48    52.91     8.54   -14.76     0.00     0.01     0.97     0.17P   24.48R    3.78  
Colchester      16   17   -6      -0.82    45.09     0.33    52.95     8.19   -14.11     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.12P   23.46R    3.52  
Carlisle        16   17  -12      -0.27    49.30    -4.30    49.37     8.13   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   40.00R    8.34  
Shrewsbury      16   16   -3      -2.97    30.50     1.35    54.28     8.22    -7.03     0.00     0.01     1.11     0.18P   17.82R    2.39  
Oldham          15   15   -4      -2.59    32.26     0.68    51.60     8.42   -12.92     0.00     0.00     0.64     0.11P   28.55R    4.62  
Bristol_City    16   14   -4      -9.08     6.22    -5.38    57.25     8.96    -1.15     0.00     0.06     3.65     0.88P   11.99R    1.47  
Stevenage       16   14  -11      -4.16    22.76    -5.14    48.47     8.14   -21.14     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   43.38R    9.09  
Tranmere        16   14  -14      -5.12    18.48    -9.81    50.05     8.18   -21.93     0.00     0.00     0.27     0.05P   36.52R    6.78  
Crewe           16   13  -24      -1.27    42.22   -10.93    40.15     7.74   -47.89     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    82.03R   45.31  
Sheff_Utd       16   12  -11     -10.76     2.53   -12.20    53.99     8.46    -9.65     0.00     0.01     1.19     0.30P   19.71R    2.78  
Notts_County    16   10  -13      -9.85     3.39    -9.50    48.73     8.45   -17.09     0.00     0.00     0.22     0.04P   41.30R    9.20  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 4 0 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           16   29  +12       4.34    77.27     7.99    76.10     8.42    20.85    17.55    45.25    77.20    53.53P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         16   29   +9       2.71    68.04     2.63    78.82     8.35    21.59    26.95    57.73    85.62    66.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Rochdale             16   29   +5       4.94    80.18     1.91    74.08     8.65    10.80    11.97    34.40    67.17    42.25P    0.08R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town       16   28   +9       4.77    79.62     7.02    71.80     8.51    12.94     7.84    25.99    58.74    33.37P    0.15R    0.03  
Southend             16   26   +6       1.07    57.48     1.64    73.55     8.50    15.41    11.15    32.73    66.82    42.57P    0.08R    0.02  
Newport_County       16   26   +5       7.14    88.98     9.70    59.92     8.59    -6.17     0.45     2.70    12.70     4.34P    5.36R    1.94  
Dag_&_Red            16   26   +4       4.10    76.13     3.98    66.09     8.41     2.49     2.05     9.33    32.00    14.19P    0.85R    0.26  
Morecambe            16   25   +1       3.31    71.74     1.42    65.76     8.52     0.58     1.92     8.78    30.35    13.55P    1.10R    0.36  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   24   +2       4.71    79.77     6.04    61.50     8.36    -3.44     0.63     3.29    15.78     5.52P    3.40R    1.20  
Exeter               16   24   +1       0.80    55.81    -0.88    67.17     8.55     4.09     2.85    11.77    36.89    17.89P    0.76R    0.23  
Burton_Albion        16   24   +0       3.02    70.40     1.52    65.79     8.48     0.86     1.78     8.52    30.48    13.23P    1.20R    0.37  
Scunthorpe           16   24   -2      -0.50    46.72    -5.81    68.62     8.76     3.20     4.01    15.69    42.71    23.11P    0.63R    0.20  
Wycombe              15   21   +2      -0.38    47.77     0.76    63.28     8.76     1.74     1.32     6.25    22.94    10.15P    2.44R    0.87  
Hartlepool           16   21   +0      -3.12    30.00    -3.26    65.10     8.79     4.57     1.95     8.67    29.39    14.58P    1.50R    0.52  
Mansfield            16   21   -2       2.48    67.91     2.85    56.26     8.47   -10.44     0.14     1.03     6.02     1.87P   11.48R    4.85  
Portsmouth           15   20   -3      -4.22    23.44    -8.47    70.34     9.10     8.88     6.64    22.40    51.81    31.64P    0.49R    0.16  
Cheltenham           16   20   -5      -1.73    38.73    -4.68    60.90     8.45    -5.39     0.46     2.97    14.36     5.65P    4.13R    1.49  
Plymouth             16   19   -5      -0.63    46.41    -2.37    55.23     7.96   -10.72     0.06     0.49     3.69     1.15P   12.66R    5.41  
York                 16   17   -3      -2.16    36.02     1.01    52.13     8.19   -11.73     0.03     0.23     2.00     0.60P   22.71R   11.22  
Bristol_Rovers       16   15   -6      -4.63    20.96    -2.86    51.81     8.28   -12.34     0.03     0.22     1.93     0.61P   24.29R   12.41  
Bury                 16   14   -4      -8.52     7.14    -4.90    56.93     8.79    -1.23     0.19     1.25     7.86     3.18P   10.29R    4.46  
Accrington_Stanley   16   14   -8      -4.15    23.27    -2.65    48.70     8.13   -17.13     0.01     0.06     0.75     0.23P   38.04R   22.24  
Torquay              16   14  -10      -5.59    16.25    -6.54    51.11     8.30   -15.74     0.01     0.15     1.59     0.42P   27.79R   14.79  
Northampton          16   13   -8      -7.49     9.14    -6.06    50.16     8.29   -13.67     0.00     0.09     1.20     0.31P   30.55R   16.94  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2013, Alfreton_Town 3 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    19   42  +22      10.61    96.11    13.96    87.91     7.50    35.84    44.11    94.99    56.70P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    19   36  +12       2.19    63.56    -0.29    82.96     7.48    27.85    19.03    84.11    37.71P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            19   35  +15       2.89    67.80     5.21    82.97     7.53    32.14    18.84    84.42    37.42P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          18   33  +10       2.09    63.13     0.61    80.70     7.67    24.53    11.88    75.50    29.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Halifax          19   31   +8       4.58    76.55     7.92    66.82     8.11     5.42     0.42    14.22     2.57P    0.58R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town    19   31   +3       6.00    83.29     5.16    66.66     7.62    -0.06     0.28    11.58     1.83P    0.42R    0.00  
Barnet           19   30   +8      -3.19    30.45    -3.13    75.56     7.68    21.35     3.87    51.55    17.82P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury        18   30   +5       6.46    85.58     6.86    66.64     8.20     2.05     0.41    13.41     2.51P    0.71R    0.00  
Nuneaton         19   30   +0       6.44    85.20     4.02    64.99     7.48    -3.21     0.10     7.53     1.12P    0.76R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   19   29   +6       2.84    67.83     5.89    65.80     7.54     5.40     0.19     9.98     1.76P    0.49R    0.00  
Gateshead        19   29   +4       2.32    64.73     3.18    66.61     7.58     4.87     0.23    11.84     2.06P    0.38R    0.00  
Welling          19   29   +4       4.63    76.55     6.94    64.77     7.94     1.72     0.20     8.83     1.62P    1.13R    0.00  
Forest_Green     19   27   +5      -2.44    34.57    -0.41    66.48     7.76     8.68     0.25    12.49     2.64P    0.56R    0.00  
Macclesfield     19   26   +1      -1.54    40.14    -1.13    62.02     7.56    -0.57     0.04     4.02     0.78P    1.96R    0.01  
Lincoln_City     19   25   -2       1.05    57.85     1.15    61.34     7.59    -2.96     0.02     3.36     0.55P    2.48R    0.01  
Wrexham          19   22   -4      -8.04     9.13   -10.55    65.10     7.67     5.27     0.11     8.90     2.38P    0.86R    0.00  
Hereford         19   21   -3      -6.92    13.07    -5.77    59.12     7.54    -1.14     0.00     1.90     0.40P    4.27R    0.01  
Southport        19   21   -9      -1.51    41.24    -3.19    51.70     7.22   -20.08     0.00     0.11     0.01P   23.67R    0.20  
Woking           19   20   -6      -4.23    25.10    -2.58    48.82     7.30   -20.47     0.00     0.04     0.01P   37.36R    0.42  
Tamworth         19   20  -10      -0.50    48.09    -1.65    49.58     7.17   -21.73     0.00     0.04     0.00P   33.80R    0.56  
Chester          20   19  -12      -0.66    47.33     0.16    47.32     7.34   -23.33     0.00     0.02     0.00P   46.63R    0.99  
Dartford         19   18  -15      -3.50    28.09    -7.39    49.11     7.35   -24.78     0.00     0.03     0.00P   36.85R    0.53  
Aldershot        19   13   -6      -5.29    20.19    -9.61    57.36     7.75     5.29     0.00     1.13     0.35P    7.29R    0.06  
Hyde_United      20    3  -36     -13.73     0.17   -15.36    24.45     6.61   -62.06     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R   97.21  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10