Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 17 November 2013 at 23:00:02 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Man_Utd 1 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          11   25  +12       3.74    80.08     2.28    76.21     7.42    34.94    31.64    53.17    70.33    83.27    96.41     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   23  +11       2.57    71.36     2.69    70.58     7.57    27.22    10.54    24.74    40.69    58.06    86.59     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      11   22  +10       5.51    89.82     8.19    56.63     7.58     6.15     0.24     0.90     2.45     5.51    21.80     0.18R    0.00  
Chelsea          11   21   +8       0.46    53.76    -0.63    71.66     7.48    29.09    13.18    29.06    46.67    64.11    89.58     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          11   20   +5      -0.99    40.32    -4.70    73.72     7.34    32.18    19.25    39.87    58.74    74.65    93.35     0.00     0.00  
Everton          11   20   +4       2.12    67.98     0.03    62.15     7.50    11.64     1.16     3.71     8.81    16.76    48.04     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham        11   20   +3       1.14    59.60    -2.54    62.15     7.60    10.53     1.19     3.90     8.80    17.10    48.00     0.04R    0.00  
Man_City         11   19  +16      -3.71    18.88     3.55    74.07     7.23    45.78    22.74    44.35    62.43    77.23    94.65     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        11   17   -1       3.72    80.36     2.28    51.66     7.64    -5.79     0.03     0.16     0.53     1.49     7.78     1.66R    0.07  
West_Brom        11   14   +0       0.16    52.41     2.20    51.05     7.65    -0.39     0.02     0.11     0.37     1.11     7.06     2.14R    0.09  
Aston_Villa      11   14   -1       1.55    64.92     3.26    47.15     7.44    -7.56     0.00     0.03     0.07     0.28     2.49     5.45R    0.34  
Hull             11   14   -5       3.62    81.97     2.49    39.06     7.01   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    31.02R    3.85  
Swansea          11   12   +0      -2.20    31.87     1.28    46.16     7.46    -5.02     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.23     2.04     7.05R    0.45  
Cardiff          11   12   -6       0.89    59.55    -0.12    40.07     7.29   -20.65     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24    26.46R    3.22  
Norwich          11   11  -12      -0.16    49.60    -4.96    38.91     7.23   -27.55     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.11    33.16R    4.52  
West_Ham         11   10   -2      -3.57    21.30     0.05    42.31     7.29    -9.64     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.60    15.75R    1.52  
Stoke            11   10   -4      -2.23    30.53     0.21    42.13     7.24   -10.40     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.48    16.69R    1.35  
Fulham           11   10   -9      -2.51    28.98    -4.67    42.44     7.43   -16.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.62    17.11R    1.53  
Sunderland       11    7  -14      -4.34    15.62    -8.39    35.79     7.03   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    49.46R    8.50  
Crystal_Palace   11    4  -15      -3.82    15.59    -2.49    24.43     6.63   -43.51     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.79R   74.55  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Yeovil 0 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         15   34  +17       8.79    94.72     9.95    83.92     8.61    28.28    28.32    48.68    86.65    57.82P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       15   32   +9       6.28    87.39     1.20    82.27     8.55    20.88    21.20    39.44    82.05    50.77P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             15   32   +9       7.15    90.55     2.73    83.37     8.63    21.92    24.71    44.37    84.75    55.57P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       15   27   +5       4.01    75.94     1.33    72.95     8.53    10.37     3.37     8.95    43.55    16.51P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   26   +7       3.47    73.75     3.97    71.72     8.54    11.95     2.58     7.16    38.72    13.95P    0.08R    0.01  
Reading         15   24   +5      -0.92    43.41    -1.59    74.09     8.95    16.80     5.10    12.58    50.00    22.83P    0.04R    0.00  
Watford         15   23   +7      -0.96    43.42     1.59    74.09     8.77    20.56     5.13    12.65    51.22    22.80P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   23   +4       2.39    66.95     3.95    66.34     8.62     5.13     0.64     2.17    18.57     5.43P    0.50R    0.02  
Derby           15   22   +6       0.64    54.99     4.90    68.05     8.74    11.43     1.09     3.35    25.18     8.11P    0.35R    0.02  
Wigan           14   22   +5      -1.67    37.38    -1.68    74.51     9.09    18.23     5.86    13.80    52.28    25.22P    0.03R    0.00  
Brighton        15   21   +4      -2.54    32.26    -0.44    69.43     8.45    13.02     1.31     4.20    29.67    10.99P    0.15R    0.01  
Ipswich         15   20   +3       0.54    54.78     4.65    61.51     8.62     1.39     0.15     0.62     7.93     2.00P    2.11R    0.16  
Blackburn       15   19   +1      -2.03    36.08     0.28    64.00     8.63     4.82     0.28     1.16    12.52     3.71P    1.23R    0.08  
Bournemouth     15   18   -9       2.38    68.15    -0.24    50.91     8.54   -25.47     0.00     0.02     0.60     0.10P   22.84R    4.43  
Huddersfield    15   17   +0      -1.57    39.46     3.04    54.41     8.35    -7.80     0.01     0.05     1.35     0.30P   10.38R    1.36  
Middlesbrough   15   16   +1      -4.94    18.43     0.44    56.54     8.65    -2.45     0.04     0.14     2.71     0.68P    7.17R    0.84  
Bolton          15   16   -5      -5.44    16.35    -6.37    60.18     8.71    -2.57     0.10     0.38     5.92     1.70P    3.30R    0.35  
Birmingham      15   14   -5      -5.99    13.64    -4.04    57.45     8.61    -3.54     0.05     0.15     3.21     0.84P    6.12R    0.62  
Charlton        14   14   -6      -4.24    21.29    -4.67    56.42     8.61    -7.80     0.04     0.11     2.35     0.54P    7.50R    0.99  
Millwall        15   14  -13      -2.76    31.33    -7.17    49.25     8.23   -24.54     0.00     0.01     0.24     0.05P   27.58R    5.47  
Doncaster       14   13  -11      -0.68    46.36    -2.48    46.01     8.50   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.10     0.02P   43.15R   12.38  
Sheff_Wed       14   11   -6      -5.81    12.41    -2.37    49.26     8.60   -14.66     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.06P   27.10R    5.26  
Barnsley        15   11  -15      -4.18    21.62    -6.11    42.30     8.07   -33.56     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.41R   22.60  
Yeovil          15    9  -13      -3.74    23.78    -0.89    37.85     8.07   -34.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.88R   45.41  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 17 November 2013, Bradford 3 3 Coventry; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   16   39  +20       7.16    90.28     4.96    97.40     8.33    46.70    62.41    84.17    99.51    89.49P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   16   38  +23      10.52    96.89    14.57    87.73     8.45    35.93    15.07    42.86    94.73    55.44P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    15   32  +13       3.92    75.08     1.47    88.53     8.76    35.06    17.79    47.80    94.62    62.55P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       16   30   +8       3.60    73.13     1.39    75.40     8.41    14.36     1.05     5.18    56.40    16.58P    0.03R    0.00  
Preston         16   30   +8       6.50    87.15     5.70    75.93     8.49    15.09     0.98     5.38    58.81    16.21P    0.04R    0.00  
Swindon         16   26  +10      -2.15    34.78     0.40    78.05     8.44    26.59     1.91     9.35    70.09    27.74P    0.01R    0.00  
Bradford        16   24  +10       3.45    72.39    12.16    60.46     8.57     2.55     0.02     0.11     6.64     1.19P    5.23R    0.37  
Rotherham       16   24   +2       4.86    80.03     6.75    59.83     8.66    -7.37     0.02     0.10     5.66     0.88P    6.87R    0.53  
Port_Vale       16   23   -1       3.53    73.06     3.31    61.44     8.76    -6.08     0.00     0.12     8.00     1.28P    5.01R    0.38  
MK_Dons         15   22   +4      -2.64    31.65    -2.22    71.55     8.72    14.42     0.38     2.28    39.48    11.71P    0.23R    0.01  
Walsall         15   22   +2       1.20    59.28     1.69    66.26     8.69     4.60     0.08     0.55    18.23     3.81P    1.36R    0.05  
Coventry        16   21  +12       4.49    77.42     4.98    70.41     8.66    25.05     0.28     2.01    36.10    10.92P    0.42R    0.03  
Crawley_Town    16   20   -4      -0.17    49.64    -0.97    56.48     8.37   -11.48     0.00     0.03     2.37     0.40P   12.64R    1.41  
Gillingham      16   18   -5      -0.51    47.60     0.52    52.87     8.46   -14.82     0.00     0.01     0.96     0.15P   24.31R    3.64  
Colchester      16   17   -6      -0.78    45.74     0.38    52.83     8.18   -14.26     0.00     0.00     0.78     0.10P   23.55R    3.64  
Carlisle        16   17  -12      -0.29    49.43    -4.32    49.33     8.06   -27.31     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.03P   40.21R    8.32  
Shrewsbury      16   16   -3      -3.07    29.89     1.28    54.48     8.23    -6.83     0.00     0.01     1.18     0.21P   17.10R    2.33  
Oldham          15   15   -4      -2.57    32.45     0.70    51.63     8.45   -12.96     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.10P   28.38R    4.73  
Bristol_City    16   14   -4      -8.93     6.57    -5.16    57.10     8.94    -1.39     0.00     0.04     3.58     0.83P   12.11R    1.63  
Stevenage       16   14  -11      -4.14    23.17    -5.15    48.36     8.16   -21.29     0.00     0.00     0.19     0.03P   43.75R    9.48  
Tranmere        16   14  -14      -5.08    18.69    -9.73    49.91     8.19   -22.13     0.00     0.00     0.30     0.05P   36.78R    7.09  
Crewe           16   13  -24      -1.34    41.69   -11.07    40.26     7.76   -47.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    81.40R   44.40  
Sheff_Utd       16   12  -11     -10.71     2.47   -12.13    54.00     8.50    -9.59     0.00     0.00     1.15     0.25P   19.58R    2.82  
Notts_County    16   10  -13      -9.86     3.37    -9.51    48.69     8.44   -17.12     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   41.00R    9.15  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 4 0 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           16   29  +12       4.31    77.26     7.95    76.13     8.39    20.89    17.43    45.13    77.42    53.69P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         16   29   +9       2.60    67.33     2.52    78.92     8.34    21.75    27.58    58.09    85.83    66.81P    0.00     0.00  
Rochdale             16   29   +5       4.97    80.22     1.92    73.99     8.65    10.69    11.82    34.32    66.99    42.05P    0.07R    0.02  
Fleetwood_Town       16   28   +9       4.88    79.93     7.15    71.63     8.48    12.72     7.53    25.53    58.04    33.07P    0.14R    0.04  
Southend             16   26   +6       1.10    57.73     1.59    73.59     8.41    15.51    10.86    33.26    67.27    42.73P    0.06R    0.02  
Newport_County       16   26   +5       7.24    89.35     9.88    59.75     8.54    -6.44     0.54     2.61    12.17     4.12P    5.35R    2.05  
Dag_&_Red            16   26   +4       4.11    76.48     3.98    65.93     8.44     2.26     2.03     9.11    31.37    13.72P    0.99R    0.32  
Morecambe            16   25   +1       3.37    72.17     1.50    65.48     8.38     0.20     1.66     8.06    29.17    12.57P    1.14R    0.37  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   24   +2       4.83    80.47     6.23    61.38     8.35    -3.68     0.56     3.17    15.38     5.37P    3.63R    1.25  
Exeter               16   24   +1       0.79    55.71    -0.91    67.25     8.50     4.25     2.79    11.92    37.09    18.19P    0.74R    0.23  
Burton_Albion        16   24   +0       3.12    70.89     1.64    65.66     8.48     0.67     1.73     8.27    30.02    12.85P    1.21R    0.42  
Scunthorpe           16   24   -2      -0.63    45.71    -5.99    68.85     8.89     3.54     4.59    16.62    44.15    24.31P    0.60R    0.18  
Wycombe              15   21   +2      -0.30    48.30     0.86    63.12     8.70     1.51     1.14     5.80    22.21     9.61P    2.43R    0.85  
Hartlepool           16   21   +0      -3.13    29.81    -3.23    65.10     8.65     4.61     1.78     8.31    29.39    14.09P    1.43R    0.44  
Mansfield            16   21   -2       2.44    67.37     2.82    56.47     8.50   -10.17     0.13     0.98     6.33     2.00P   11.28R    4.89  
Portsmouth           15   20   -3      -4.37    22.94    -8.68    70.54     9.14     9.15     6.95    23.13    53.25    32.48P    0.48R    0.17  
Cheltenham           16   20   -5      -1.71    39.25    -4.67    60.81     8.55    -5.51     0.57     3.09    14.36     5.59P    4.59R    1.69  
Plymouth             16   19   -5      -0.71    45.62    -2.45    55.46     8.00   -10.44     0.07     0.52     3.89     1.22P   12.02R    5.01  
York                 16   17   -3      -2.18    35.86     0.97    52.25     8.21   -11.57     0.03     0.21     2.12     0.59P   22.33R   11.03  
Bristol_Rovers       16   15   -6      -4.66    20.67    -2.85    51.83     8.34   -12.28     0.02     0.19     2.05     0.61P   24.37R   12.37  
Bury                 16   14   -4      -8.55     6.78    -4.93    56.92     8.79    -1.21     0.18     1.30     7.89     3.20P   10.10R    4.56  
Accrington_Stanley   16   14   -8      -4.08    23.79    -2.55    48.62     8.15   -17.25     0.00     0.06     0.66     0.19P   38.97R   22.99  
Torquay              16   14  -10      -5.63    16.16    -6.62    51.26     8.30   -15.58     0.02     0.18     1.68     0.52P   27.13R   14.31  
Northampton          16   13   -8      -7.54     8.79    -6.14    50.18     8.29   -13.60     0.01     0.14     1.26     0.43P   30.89R   16.79  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2013, Alfreton_Town 3 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    19   42  +22      10.55    96.07    13.82    88.11     7.51    36.10    45.34    95.20    58.03P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    19   36  +12       2.24    63.97    -0.22    82.98     7.43    27.88    18.55    84.47    37.84P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            19   35  +15       2.99    68.46     5.38    82.81     7.49    31.82    18.30    84.27    36.92P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          18   33  +10       2.14    63.73     0.68    80.55     7.65    24.30    11.60    74.77    29.05P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          19   31   +8       4.59    76.45     7.92    66.79     8.04     5.40     0.38    14.00     2.53P    0.57R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town    19   31   +3       5.98    82.95     5.14    66.60     7.57    -0.11     0.24    11.54     1.72P    0.41R    0.00  
Barnet           19   30   +8      -3.26    29.95    -3.25    75.62     7.74    21.48     4.06    52.26    17.80P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury        18   30   +5       6.50    85.78     6.94    66.58     8.22     1.94     0.36    13.33     2.39P    0.77R    0.00  
Nuneaton         19   30   +0       6.43    85.39     4.07    64.94     7.46    -3.21     0.13     7.38     1.20P    0.83R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   19   29   +6       2.77    67.46     5.79    65.89     7.54     5.54     0.20    10.27     1.87P    0.49R    0.00  
Gateshead        19   29   +4       2.40    65.05     3.33    66.46     7.54     4.63     0.21    11.51     2.04P    0.45R    0.00  
Welling          19   29   +4       4.68    76.69     6.97    64.70     7.85     1.69     0.15     8.44     1.40P    1.11R    0.00  
Forest_Green     19   27   +5      -2.51    34.07    -0.50    66.54     7.63     8.78     0.22    12.36     2.71P    0.49R    0.00  
Macclesfield     19   26   +1      -1.70    39.41    -1.41    62.27     7.59    -0.24     0.06     4.41     0.85P    1.77R    0.01  
Lincoln_City     19   25   -2       1.03    57.52     1.14    61.46     7.62    -2.80     0.05     3.52     0.60P    2.37R    0.01  
Wrexham          19   22   -4      -8.07     9.16   -10.58    65.14     7.61     5.34     0.13     8.96     2.28P    0.73R    0.00  
Hereford         19   21   -3      -6.93    13.00    -5.73    59.10     7.47    -1.17     0.01     1.83     0.40P    3.95R    0.02  
Southport        19   21   -9      -1.44    41.79    -3.11    51.62     7.27   -20.15     0.00     0.10     0.01P   24.27R    0.23  
Woking           19   20   -6      -4.19    25.15    -2.51    48.76     7.28   -20.58     0.00     0.04     0.00P   38.02R    0.51  
Tamworth         19   20  -10      -0.51    47.59    -1.67    49.65     7.15   -21.65     0.00     0.04     0.01P   33.24R    0.51  
Chester          20   19  -12      -0.54    48.03     0.31    47.27     7.41   -23.48     0.00     0.03     0.00P   46.79R    1.00  
Dartford         19   18  -15      -3.59    27.69    -7.51    49.20     7.37   -24.68     0.00     0.05     0.01P   36.46R    0.54  
Aldershot        19   13   -6      -5.24    20.38    -9.55    57.30     7.79     5.17     0.00     1.21     0.34P    7.47R    0.06  
Hyde_United      20    3  -36     -13.77     0.20   -15.44    24.44     6.62   -62.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R   97.08  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10