Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 16 November 2013 at 23:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Man_Utd 1 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          11   25  +12       3.77    80.03     2.33    76.10     7.47    34.77    31.02    52.67    69.73    82.51    96.32     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   23  +11       2.52    70.78     2.62    70.67     7.55    27.29    10.44    24.53    40.91    58.50    86.97     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      11   22  +10       5.54    89.63     8.22    56.61     7.60     6.15     0.26     0.97     2.45     5.51    22.04     0.23R    0.00  
Chelsea          11   21   +8       0.38    52.77    -0.72    71.81     7.50    29.39    13.77    30.27    47.44    64.66    90.08     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          11   20   +5      -0.93    40.77    -4.64    73.71     7.37    32.14    19.31    39.47    58.52    74.76    93.45     0.00     0.00  
Everton          11   20   +4       2.16    68.39     0.09    62.03     7.55    11.44     1.17     3.85     8.52    16.50    47.72     0.02R    0.00  
Tottenham        11   20   +3       1.15    59.92    -2.53    62.03     7.56    10.39     1.10     3.62     8.52    16.51    47.54     0.03R    0.00  
Man_City         11   19  +16      -3.70    19.27     3.52    74.15     7.22    45.93    22.87    44.31    62.89    78.01    94.76     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        11   17   -1       3.73    80.06     2.30    51.57     7.59    -5.99     0.04     0.16     0.49     1.27     7.44     1.72R    0.09  
West_Brom        11   14   +0       0.17    52.45     2.19    51.00     7.63    -0.47     0.02     0.13     0.39     1.12     7.16     2.06R    0.09  
Aston_Villa      11   14   -1       1.56    65.04     3.25    47.06     7.41    -7.64     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.23     2.24     5.67R    0.31  
Hull             11   14   -5       3.57    81.55     2.42    39.21     7.07   -22.23     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.14    30.48R    3.80  
Swansea          11   12   +0      -2.21    31.98     1.27    46.12     7.42    -5.03     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.22     1.94     6.94R    0.41  
Cardiff          11   12   -6       0.90    59.98    -0.09    40.09     7.31   -20.64     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.24    26.73R    3.24  
Norwich          11   11  -12      -0.12    50.38    -4.95    38.95     7.27   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    33.22R    4.62  
West_Ham         11   10   -2      -3.57    21.27     0.05    42.33     7.28    -9.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.54    15.76R    1.50  
Stoke            11   10   -4      -2.24    30.27     0.18    42.22     7.25   -10.28     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.54    16.39R    1.30  
Fulham           11   10   -9      -2.55    28.63    -4.73    42.52     7.42   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.07     0.68    16.96R    1.48  
Sunderland       11    7  -14      -4.29    15.91    -8.31    35.78     7.06   -27.77     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.02    49.60R    8.25  
Crystal_Palace   11    4  -15      -3.83    15.49    -2.46    24.33     6.59   -43.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.19R   74.91  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Yeovil 0 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         15   34  +17       8.74    94.61     9.86    83.93     8.56    28.34    28.87    48.90    86.95    58.13P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       15   32   +9       6.32    87.53     1.26    82.24     8.49    20.77    21.04    39.27    81.86    50.26P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             15   32   +9       7.31    91.19     2.93    83.10     8.57    21.62    24.01    43.40    84.20    54.72P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       15   27   +5       3.97    75.90     1.26    73.01     8.54    10.46     3.57     9.20    43.90    16.98P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   26   +7       3.47    73.78     3.97    71.66     8.58    11.86     2.66     7.30    38.30    14.06P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         15   24   +5      -0.87    43.87    -1.55    74.02     8.94    16.71     5.15    12.61    49.81    22.70P    0.03R    0.00  
Watford         15   23   +7      -0.98    43.04     1.59    74.10     8.74    20.52     5.15    12.65    51.06    22.90P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   23   +4       2.33    66.90     3.85    66.49     8.67     5.36     0.69     2.33    19.16     5.64P    0.52R    0.04  
Derby           15   22   +6       0.57    54.36     4.79    68.28     8.74    11.79     1.16     3.62    26.11     8.51P    0.38R    0.01  
Wigan           14   22   +5      -1.63    38.26    -1.65    74.43     9.11    18.12     5.73    13.77    51.99    25.00P    0.06R    0.00  
Brighton        15   21   +4      -2.55    32.29    -0.47    69.43     8.43    13.03     1.30     4.32    29.42    11.05P    0.16R    0.00  
Ipswich         15   20   +3       0.41    53.93     4.49    61.74     8.57     1.79     0.17     0.64     8.07     2.10P    1.98R    0.15  
Blackburn       15   19   +1      -2.03    36.13     0.30    63.94     8.62     4.79     0.30     1.11    12.34     3.66P    1.09R    0.09  
Bournemouth     15   18   -9       2.41    68.32    -0.21    50.87     8.58   -25.50     0.00     0.04     0.59     0.12P   22.69R    4.41  
Huddersfield    15   17   +0      -1.58    39.40     3.00    54.55     8.39    -7.57     0.01     0.06     1.39     0.29P   10.03R    1.39  
Middlesbrough   15   16   +1      -4.91    18.90     0.52    56.37     8.68    -2.76     0.04     0.16     2.67     0.72P    7.37R    0.88  
Bolton          15   16   -5      -5.46    16.05    -6.42    60.20     8.61    -2.49     0.07     0.33     5.68     1.52P    3.28R    0.29  
Birmingham      15   14   -5      -6.13    12.90    -4.21    57.78     8.62    -3.06     0.04     0.16     3.44     0.93P    5.49R    0.64  
Charlton        14   14   -6      -4.20    21.53    -4.56    56.32     8.61    -7.97     0.03     0.12     2.31     0.56P    7.71R    1.01  
Millwall        15   14  -13      -2.73    31.54    -7.07    49.07     8.29   -24.84     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.04P   28.64R    5.74  
Doncaster       14   13  -11      -0.70    46.27    -2.44    46.01     8.48   -27.56     0.00     0.00     0.11     0.03P   43.02R   11.75  
Sheff_Wed       14   11   -6      -5.76    12.94    -2.25    49.03     8.62   -15.01     0.00     0.01     0.37     0.09P   27.61R    5.71  
Barnsley        15   11  -15      -4.28    20.86    -6.31    42.50     8.12   -33.15     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   60.47R   22.00  
Yeovil          15    9  -13      -3.61    24.38    -0.68    37.66     7.98   -35.23     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   79.32R   45.89  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2013, Brentford 5 0 Crewe; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Wolverhampton   16   39  +20       7.18    90.34     5.03    97.26     8.36    46.46    62.18    83.76    99.48    88.98P    0.00     0.00  
Leyton_Orient   16   38  +23      10.56    97.12    14.69    87.56     8.45    35.65    14.89    42.53    94.35    55.15P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    15   32  +13       3.91    75.09     1.48    88.39     8.89    34.84    17.92    46.85    93.98    61.43P    0.00     0.00  
Brentford       16   30   +8       3.56    72.86     1.34    75.36     8.45    14.24     1.05     5.21    55.61    16.56P    0.04R    0.00  
Preston         16   30   +8       6.42    86.98     5.56    76.08     8.49    15.29     0.96     5.75    59.12    16.30P    0.06R    0.00  
Swindon         16   26  +10      -2.16    34.48     0.40    78.13     8.45    26.63     1.99     9.69    69.80    27.88P    0.01R    0.00  
Rotherham       16   24   +2       4.93    80.22     6.84    59.71     8.68    -7.55     0.02     0.08     5.32     0.83P    7.12R    0.55  
Bradford        15   23  +10       3.63    74.51    11.74    60.53     8.74     2.30     0.03     0.20     6.98     1.26P    5.21R    0.38  
Port_Vale       16   23   -1       3.61    73.45     3.40    61.37     8.71    -6.19     0.02     0.15     7.46     1.28P    4.94R    0.43  
MK_Dons         15   22   +4      -2.69    31.34    -2.32    71.69     8.73    14.67     0.43     2.44    39.42    11.79P    0.29R    0.01  
Walsall         15   22   +2       1.22    59.00     1.75    66.25     8.60     4.56     0.05     0.59    17.51     3.89P    1.26R    0.06  
Coventry        15   20  +12       4.98    80.76     5.17    71.33     8.86    25.80     0.46     2.68    40.30    12.55P    0.30R    0.02  
Crawley_Town    16   20   -4       0.01    50.78    -0.72    56.19     8.28   -11.86     0.00     0.01     1.92     0.31P   13.20R    1.61  
Gillingham      16   18   -5      -0.58    47.11     0.39    53.03     8.51   -14.62     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.17P   24.03R    3.76  
Colchester      16   17   -6      -0.79    45.70     0.34    52.80     8.11   -14.27     0.00     0.00     0.67     0.08P   23.47R    3.72  
Carlisle        16   17  -12      -0.29    49.32    -4.33    49.34     8.12   -27.20     0.00     0.00     0.25     0.02P   39.87R    8.47  
Shrewsbury      16   16   -3      -2.94    30.53     1.40    54.28     8.21    -6.99     0.00     0.01     1.07     0.18P   18.01R    2.37  
Oldham          15   15   -4      -2.59    32.19     0.72    51.57     8.42   -12.98     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.08P   28.47R    4.75  
Bristol_City    16   14   -4      -8.98     6.34    -5.25    57.24     8.90    -1.15     0.01     0.05     3.50     0.86P   11.78R    1.35  
Stevenage       16   14  -11      -4.13    22.98    -5.16    48.34     8.10   -21.32     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.02P   43.72R    9.44  
Tranmere        16   14  -14      -5.19    18.08    -9.92    50.19     8.15   -21.65     0.00     0.00     0.28     0.05P   35.39R    6.40  
Crewe           16   13  -24      -1.39    41.07   -11.18    40.35     7.75   -47.48     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   81.30R   44.18  
Sheff_Utd       16   12  -11     -10.62     2.75   -11.96    53.81     8.37    -9.83     0.00     0.00     1.07     0.28P   19.68R    2.84  
Notts_County    16   10  -13      -9.78     3.40    -9.40    48.56     8.49   -17.35     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.05P   41.86R    9.66  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2013, AFC_Wimbledon 4 0 Portsmouth; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Oxford_Utd           16   29  +12       4.27    76.89     7.89    76.22     8.47    20.98    18.30    46.00    77.66    54.47P    0.01R    0.00  
Chesterfield         16   29   +9       2.67    67.76     2.62    78.89     8.34    21.70    27.38    58.31    85.74    66.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             16   29   +5       5.01    80.30     2.00    73.91     8.61    10.51    11.69    33.92    66.96    41.56P    0.07R    0.01  
Fleetwood_Town       16   28   +9       4.77    79.35     7.03    71.74     8.41    12.88     7.52    25.81    58.89    33.43P    0.13R    0.03  
Southend             16   26   +6       1.12    57.64     1.64    73.45     8.40    15.25    10.60    32.61    66.55    42.06P    0.08R    0.01  
Newport_County       16   26   +5       7.21    89.39     9.86    59.78     8.51    -6.38     0.51     2.67    12.22     4.30P    5.14R    1.88  
Dag_&_Red            16   26   +4       4.08    76.10     3.96    65.96     8.40     2.34     1.99     8.97    31.41    13.60P    0.96R    0.26  
Morecambe            16   25   +1       3.32    72.15     1.40    65.61     8.44     0.37     1.71     8.46    29.80    13.16P    1.15R    0.36  
AFC_Wimbledon        16   24   +2       4.69    79.44     6.01    61.66     8.35    -3.21     0.62     3.49    16.05     5.87P    3.25R    1.10  
Exeter               16   24   +1       0.72    55.07    -0.97    67.23     8.49     4.16     2.87    11.91    37.09    18.13P    0.74R    0.22  
Burton_Albion        16   24   +0       3.16    70.97     1.70    65.66     8.53     0.66     1.87     8.51    29.96    13.12P    1.25R    0.37  
Scunthorpe           16   24   -2      -0.56    46.05    -5.92    68.66     8.81     3.31     4.24    15.92    43.36    23.41P    0.55R    0.19  
Wycombe              15   21   +2      -0.38    47.79     0.73    63.34     8.64     1.82     1.15     5.86    22.87     9.87P    2.28R    0.79  
Hartlepool           16   21   +0      -3.10    29.92    -3.24    65.15     8.69     4.62     1.83     8.56    29.45    14.49P    1.50R    0.54  
Mansfield            16   21   -2       2.55    68.07     2.96    56.33     8.52   -10.39     0.12     1.00     6.22     2.02P   11.64R    5.06  
Portsmouth           15   20   -3      -4.30    23.14    -8.57    70.42     9.08     9.03     6.77    22.42    52.10    31.77P    0.45R    0.15  
Cheltenham           16   20   -5      -1.61    39.71    -4.50    60.70     8.56    -5.65     0.54     2.95    14.08     5.54P    4.61R    1.75  
Plymouth             16   19   -5      -0.61    46.70    -2.30    55.12     7.96   -10.90     0.05     0.44     3.70     1.12P   12.96R    5.49  
York                 16   17   -3      -2.28    35.07     0.85    52.47     8.21   -11.26     0.03     0.27     2.25     0.64P   21.73R   10.79  
Bristol_Rovers       16   15   -6      -4.72    20.65    -2.97    51.85     8.32   -12.28     0.02     0.20     1.98     0.59P   24.29R   12.23  
Bury                 16   14   -4      -8.50     7.10    -4.84    56.87     8.79    -1.27     0.18     1.34     7.90     3.26P   10.52R    4.72  
Accrington_Stanley   16   14   -8      -4.09    23.66    -2.57    48.66     8.13   -17.19     0.00     0.07     0.70     0.17P   38.68R   22.83  
Torquay              16   14  -10      -5.73    15.49    -6.78    51.42     8.29   -15.28     0.02     0.17     1.71     0.50P   26.50R   13.92  
Northampton          16   13   -8      -7.45     9.18    -5.96    50.07     8.31   -13.82     0.02     0.13     1.36     0.41P   31.51R   17.29  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 16 November 2013, Alfreton_Town 3 1 Braintree_Town; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    19   42  +22      10.71    96.23    14.07    87.85     7.55    35.71    44.02    94.72    56.47P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    19   36  +12       2.17    63.32    -0.35    83.03     7.48    27.96    18.97    84.08    37.68P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            19   35  +15       2.90    67.79     5.25    82.90     7.58    32.01    19.07    84.26    37.55P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          18   33  +10       2.06    63.05     0.57    80.76     7.61    24.66    11.52    75.82    29.52P    0.00     0.00  
Halifax          19   31   +8       4.42    75.62     7.64    67.03     8.09     5.76     0.42    14.88     2.64P    0.50R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town    19   31   +3       5.94    82.89     5.04    66.74     7.60     0.06     0.24    11.75     1.79P    0.38R    0.00  
Barnet           19   30   +8      -3.30    29.83    -3.33    75.74     7.72    21.64     4.22    52.33    18.41P    0.02R    0.00  
Salisbury        18   30   +5       6.53    85.62     6.97    66.54     8.26     1.93     0.46    13.13     2.41P    0.80R    0.00  
Nuneaton         19   30   +0       6.49    85.72     4.16    64.90     7.44    -3.33     0.12     7.28     1.09P    0.76R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   19   29   +6       2.82    67.76     5.83    65.78     7.53     5.39     0.17     9.98     1.81P    0.51R    0.00  
Gateshead        19   29   +4       2.32    64.75     3.21    66.52     7.58     4.70     0.19    11.61     2.05P    0.43R    0.00  
Welling          19   29   +4       4.63    76.33     6.93    64.87     7.93     1.90     0.21     8.69     1.54P    1.12R    0.00  
Forest_Green     19   27   +5      -2.44    34.67    -0.37    66.39     7.67     8.50     0.22    12.03     2.66P    0.52R    0.00  
Macclesfield     19   26   +1      -1.53    40.37    -1.18    62.13     7.57    -0.46     0.05     4.07     0.70P    1.84R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     19   25   -2       0.98    56.95     1.06    61.41     7.61    -2.79     0.02     3.50     0.58P    2.29R    0.00  
Wrexham          19   22   -4      -7.99     9.39   -10.40    64.98     7.64     5.07     0.08     8.55     2.26P    0.82R    0.00  
Hereford         19   21   -3      -6.86    13.20    -5.66    59.05     7.50    -1.25     0.01     1.85     0.41P    4.34R    0.01  
Southport        19   21   -9      -1.47    41.41    -3.12    51.63     7.22   -20.22     0.00     0.15     0.02P   24.23R    0.21  
Woking           19   20   -6      -4.18    25.23    -2.53    48.77     7.22   -20.49     0.00     0.04     0.01P   37.16R    0.44  
Tamworth         19   20  -10      -0.61    47.12    -1.81    49.79     7.13   -21.50     0.00     0.05     0.01P   32.57R    0.45  
Chester          20   19  -12      -0.42    48.89     0.49    47.06     7.34   -23.74     0.00     0.03     0.00P   47.76R    0.94  
Dartford         19   18  -15      -3.48    28.38    -7.37    49.03     7.44   -24.87     0.00     0.03     0.00P   37.27R    0.64  
Aldershot        19   13   -6      -5.38    19.92    -9.73    57.47     7.72     5.51     0.00     1.17     0.38P    6.83R    0.07  
Hyde_United      20    3  -36     -13.73     0.22   -15.36    24.37     6.64   -62.14     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.84R   97.22  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10