Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Friday 15 November 2013 at 23:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Man_Utd 1 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          11   25  +12       3.77    80.03     2.34    76.09     7.42    34.83    31.28    53.06    69.97    82.83    96.27     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   23  +11       2.58    71.59     2.71    70.59     7.55    27.10    10.41    24.28    40.66    58.15    86.79     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      11   22  +10       5.49    89.34     8.17    56.67     7.59     6.19     0.24     0.94     2.42     5.38    22.00     0.21R    0.01  
Chelsea          11   21   +8       0.45    53.45    -0.65    71.71     7.44    29.22    13.21    29.32    47.01    64.62    90.12     0.00R    0.00  
Man_Utd          11   20   +5      -0.89    41.15    -4.60    73.70     7.41    32.16    19.20    39.68    58.45    74.46    93.24     0.00     0.00  
Everton          11   20   +4       2.18    68.33     0.09    62.00     7.59    11.41     1.12     3.73     8.57    16.49    47.31     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham        11   20   +3       1.07    59.27    -2.64    62.24     7.58    10.64     1.34     4.13     9.06    17.04    48.25     0.02R    0.00  
Man_City         11   19  +16      -3.75    18.53     3.51    74.11     7.19    45.97    23.15    44.53    62.85    77.86    94.72     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        11   17   -1       3.71    79.93     2.28    51.65     7.59    -5.87     0.02     0.17     0.47     1.34     7.57     1.75R    0.08  
West_Brom        11   14   +0       0.15    52.35     2.14    51.01     7.69    -0.46     0.03     0.13     0.38     1.19     7.11     2.12R    0.09  
Aston_Villa      11   14   -1       1.53    64.80     3.21    47.06     7.39    -7.65     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.26     2.33     5.61R    0.36  
Hull             11   14   -5       3.67    82.18     2.51    39.14     7.04   -22.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    30.64R    3.51  
Swansea          11   12   +0      -2.19    31.86     1.28    46.12     7.36    -5.06     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     1.83     6.72R    0.41  
Cardiff          11   12   -6       0.97    60.55    -0.03    40.01     7.29   -20.75     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27    27.08R    3.11  
Norwich          11   11  -12      -0.18    49.77    -5.02    39.02     7.29   -27.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.16    32.79R    4.58  
West_Ham         11   10   -2      -3.62    21.17     0.01    42.37     7.36    -9.63     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.08     0.65    15.91R    1.57  
Stoke            11   10   -4      -2.25    30.29     0.16    42.25     7.29   -10.17     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.58    16.28R    1.33  
Fulham           11   10   -9      -2.54    28.60    -4.71    42.49     7.46   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.04     0.60    17.07R    1.42  
Sunderland       11    7  -14      -4.32    15.56    -8.36    35.78     7.07   -27.67     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03    49.44R    8.44  
Crystal_Palace   11    4  -15      -3.79    15.79    -2.40    24.26     6.61   -43.81     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.31R   75.10  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Yeovil 0 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         15   34  +17       8.73    94.74     9.87    84.04     8.57    28.48    28.95    48.99    87.10    58.30P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       15   32   +9       6.25    87.44     1.17    82.30     8.56    20.87    21.22    39.33    81.97    50.56P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             15   32   +9       7.23    90.89     2.83    83.26     8.60    21.81    24.25    43.65    84.70    54.94P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       15   27   +5       4.11    76.65     1.49    72.83     8.46    10.16     3.16     8.63    42.94    16.04P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   26   +7       3.52    73.87     4.03    71.64     8.59    11.75     2.59     7.13    38.26    13.90P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         15   24   +5      -0.93    43.46    -1.64    74.25     9.01    17.06     5.29    12.96    50.86    23.36P    0.06R    0.00  
Watford         15   23   +7      -1.11    41.88     1.41    74.24     8.73    20.80     4.98    12.67    51.59    23.10P    0.06R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   23   +4       2.29    66.46     3.78    66.53     8.64     5.39     0.68     2.24    19.10     5.46P    0.55R    0.03  
Derby           15   22   +6       0.55    54.37     4.78    68.19     8.73    11.60     1.07     3.51    25.44     8.19P    0.33R    0.02  
Wigan           14   22   +5      -1.66    38.00    -1.66    74.48     9.23    18.19     5.87    14.19    52.02    25.29P    0.06R    0.00  
Brighton        15   21   +4      -2.48    32.73    -0.34    69.29     8.47    12.81     1.33     4.06    28.99    10.84P    0.18R    0.01  
Ipswich         15   20   +3       0.35    53.37     4.39    61.76     8.67     1.87     0.12     0.62     8.44     2.12P    2.05R    0.17  
Blackburn       15   19   +1      -1.98    36.10     0.34    63.91     8.62     4.74     0.31     1.19    12.15     3.73P    1.07R    0.09  
Bournemouth     15   18   -9       2.39    68.25    -0.23    50.93     8.57   -25.41     0.00     0.01     0.57     0.09P   22.57R    4.16  
Huddersfield    15   17   +0      -1.60    39.43     3.01    54.51     8.39    -7.71     0.01     0.06     1.36     0.29P   10.13R    1.38  
Middlesbrough   15   16   +1      -4.90    18.57     0.55    56.41     8.66    -2.69     0.03     0.11     2.58     0.58P    7.33R    0.84  
Bolton          15   16   -5      -5.41    16.11    -6.34    60.09     8.67    -2.67     0.09     0.37     5.62     1.64P    3.46R    0.38  
Birmingham      15   14   -5      -6.04    13.27    -4.14    57.61     8.65    -3.28     0.03     0.15     3.26     0.80P    5.95R    0.64  
Charlton        14   14   -6      -4.18    21.72    -4.56    56.20     8.65    -8.13     0.02     0.12     2.28     0.61P    7.92R    1.05  
Millwall        15   14  -13      -2.69    31.68    -7.04    49.10     8.31   -24.81     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.02P   28.16R    5.74  
Doncaster       14   13  -11      -0.72    46.17    -2.55    46.07     8.57   -27.41     0.00     0.00     0.15     0.03P   42.83R   11.86  
Sheff_Wed       14   11   -6      -5.74    12.83    -2.21    49.19     8.57   -14.71     0.01     0.01     0.36     0.09P   26.96R    5.33  
Barnsley        15   11  -15      -4.23    21.13    -6.21    42.38     8.07   -33.44     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    60.55R   21.89  
Yeovil          15    9  -13      -3.64    24.61    -0.73    37.59     8.00   -35.25     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.65R   46.41  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2013, Bristol_City 2 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   15   38  +24      11.90    98.75    15.53    90.03     8.69    38.39    22.84    53.59    97.08    64.31P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   15   36  +19       6.03    86.76     4.67    96.38     8.55    46.75    55.56    80.65    99.45    87.29P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    15   32  +13       3.88    74.98     1.39    88.62     8.80    35.15    18.07    46.40    95.36    61.70P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         15   27   +7       4.87    81.32     4.72    73.52     8.63    12.96     0.62     3.34    50.94    12.89P    0.11R    0.01  
Brentford       15   27   +3       3.69    74.28    -1.01    72.47     8.65     7.47     0.48     2.82    44.99    11.31P    0.20R    0.01  
Bradford        15   23  +10       3.60    74.24    11.70    60.65     8.71     2.45     0.02     0.14     8.29     1.39P    5.73R    0.53  
Swindon         15   23   +9      -3.29    26.99     0.17    76.75     8.69    25.99     1.53     7.34    67.58    25.49P    0.05R    0.00  
MK_Dons         15   22   +4      -2.62    32.01    -2.18    71.81     8.73    14.80     0.41     2.42    44.06    13.02P    0.29R    0.01  
Walsall         15   22   +2       1.17    59.05     1.67    66.42     8.59     4.82     0.06     0.55    20.81     4.35P    1.29R    0.07  
Rotherham       15   21   -1       4.05    77.03     5.05    56.42     8.83   -13.34     0.00     0.03     3.37     0.40P   15.62R    2.13  
Coventry        15   20  +12       5.04    81.27     5.26    71.22     8.84    25.56     0.41     2.45    43.20    13.15P    0.33R    0.01  
Port_Vale       15   20   -3       2.56    68.10     2.36    58.66     8.96    -9.93     0.01     0.08     5.53     0.83P   10.84R    1.38  
Crawley_Town    15   19   -4       0.27    52.82    -0.82    56.60     8.56   -11.93     0.01     0.05     3.09     0.53P   14.07R    1.86  
Colchester      15   17   -5       0.02    51.28     0.46    53.78     8.34   -13.84     0.00     0.01     1.37     0.17P   22.16R    3.69  
Shrewsbury      15   16   -1      -2.21    34.88     2.41    56.42     8.42    -3.85     0.00     0.02     2.79     0.50P   13.52R    1.75  
Carlisle        15   16  -12       0.14    52.51    -4.22    49.79     8.35   -27.27     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.05P   40.03R    9.81  
Oldham          15   15   -4      -2.52    32.67     0.77    51.64     8.44   -12.82     0.00     0.00     0.91     0.14P   29.99R    5.73  
Gillingham      15   15   -6      -2.18    35.45    -0.53    50.09     8.65   -17.60     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.11P   37.77R    8.86  
Stevenage       15   14   -8      -3.35    27.23    -3.04    51.23     8.41   -15.97     0.00     0.01     0.69     0.08P   32.00R    6.42  
Bristol_City    15   13   -4      -8.69     6.36    -5.37    57.98     9.24    -0.64     0.01     0.08     5.53     1.41P   11.89R    1.79  
Tranmere        15   13  -14      -4.91    18.58   -10.04    50.43     8.45   -21.98     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.08P   36.42R    8.20  
Crewe           15   13  -19      -1.36    41.30    -8.57    42.41     8.05   -41.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   74.29R   36.17  
Sheff_Utd       15   12  -10      -9.31     4.24   -11.06    56.19     8.64    -7.39     0.00     0.03     2.76     0.68P   14.64R    2.16  
Notts_County    15   10  -12      -9.03     4.47    -9.30    49.68     8.64   -16.78     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.10P   38.77R    9.40  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Friday 15 November 2013, Newport_County 2 0 Hartlepool; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Fleetwood_Town       15   28  +10       6.05    86.06     7.93    73.53     8.68    14.52    11.30    31.73    64.64    39.02P    0.06R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           15   26  +10       3.22    71.89     6.73    73.91     8.59    17.99    12.24    34.16    67.18    42.80P    0.06R    0.01  
Chesterfield         15   26   +7       1.68    61.56     1.52    76.62     8.59    18.83    18.92    45.95    77.06    55.22P    0.02R    0.00  
Newport_County       16   26   +5       7.15    89.20     9.79    59.98     8.57    -6.15     0.55     2.61    11.89     4.05P    4.26R    1.42  
Rochdale             15   26   +4       3.52    73.53     1.21    71.56     8.87     8.44     8.02    24.61    54.77    31.60P    0.16R    0.04  
Morecambe            15   25   +2       4.43    78.85     2.07    67.41     8.68     1.98     3.03    11.97    36.03    16.94P    0.61R    0.18  
Exeter               15   24   +3       1.78    62.69     0.58    69.62     8.77     7.64     5.19    18.36    46.83    25.50P    0.32R    0.07  
Burton_Albion        15   24   +2       3.97    76.09     2.87    67.71     8.76     3.63     3.16    12.78    37.54    17.80P    0.64R    0.18  
Scunthorpe           15   24   +0       0.55    53.89    -4.26    71.98     9.01     8.06     9.10    26.21    56.49    34.62P    0.15R    0.03  
Southend             15   23   +4      -0.10    49.51     0.21    70.99     8.65    12.10     6.75    22.55    53.78    31.40P    0.18R    0.05  
Dag_&_Red            15   23   +2       3.10    71.22     2.94    63.38     8.60    -1.12     1.11     5.41    20.91     8.61P    1.83R    0.54  
Wycombe              14   21   +3       0.84    56.60     1.50    65.40     8.90     3.79     2.22     9.32    29.42    14.06P    1.19R    0.41  
Hartlepool           16   21   +0      -3.21    29.54    -3.37    65.15     8.73     4.66     1.86     8.16    28.66    14.05P    1.21R    0.34  
Mansfield            15   21   +0       3.15    72.09     3.85    58.72     8.78    -6.75     0.35     2.05     9.94     3.55P    6.53R    2.28  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   21   -2       3.89    76.68     3.26    57.51     8.46   -11.14     0.17     1.25     6.94     2.26P    7.91R    2.90  
Portsmouth           14   20   +1      -3.76    25.19    -5.85    74.54     9.36    17.35    15.36    38.01    67.98    47.82P    0.12R    0.04  
Plymouth             15   18   -5      -0.31    48.70    -2.36    55.62     8.18   -10.76     0.05     0.56     4.19     1.24P   10.74R    4.16  
Cheltenham           15   17   -6      -3.29    28.10    -5.55    58.45     8.63    -7.62     0.23     1.63     8.99     3.38P    6.60R    2.38  
York                 15   16   -3      -1.67    38.79     1.20    52.91     8.42   -11.14     0.05     0.40     2.57     0.80P   18.14R    8.04  
Bristol_Rovers       15   14   -6      -4.31    21.64    -2.92    52.12     8.53   -12.46     0.03     0.30     2.17     0.72P   21.36R    9.76  
Torquay              15   14   -8      -4.94    18.60    -5.57    53.37     8.50   -12.46     0.05     0.40     2.89     0.96P   17.25R    7.81  
Bury                 15   13   -4      -8.08     7.44    -4.73    57.15     9.05    -1.37     0.25     1.50     8.16     3.36P    9.49R    3.93  
Accrington_Stanley   15   11  -10      -5.58    14.74    -4.33    45.07     8.22   -22.20     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.05P   52.79R   34.03  
Northampton          15   10   -9      -8.94     4.62    -6.72    47.86     8.48   -15.84     0.00     0.07     0.74     0.21P   38.37R   21.38  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 November 2013, Barnet 0 0 Welling; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    18   41  +22      10.83    97.04    13.77    87.79     7.64    35.07    44.69    94.60    57.16P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            18   34  +15       3.60    72.90     5.70    83.73     7.71    32.66    23.42    86.81    41.41P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    18   33  +10       1.43    59.00    -0.96    81.42     7.66    25.80    15.01    79.22    33.45P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          17   30   +8       1.16    57.56    -0.32    78.54     7.87    21.74     8.28    66.67    24.07P    0.00     0.00  
Salisbury        17   30   +6       7.39    89.30     7.08    67.63     8.48     2.62     0.74    17.29     3.34P    0.68R    0.00  
Barnet           18   29   +8      -2.58    33.15    -2.74    76.46     7.91    22.02     5.82    57.13    20.90P    0.02R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   18   29   +8       3.54    72.38     6.76    67.32     7.71     7.77     0.42    15.11     2.79P    0.33R    0.00  
Welling          18   29   +5       5.83    82.32     7.52    67.50     8.14     5.00     0.55    16.40     3.05P    0.63R    0.00  
Halifax          18   28   +4       4.23    75.94     6.14    63.08     8.22    -2.06     0.11     7.07     1.18P    2.31R    0.01  
Alfreton_Town    18   28   +1       4.90    79.39     3.91    64.77     7.81    -2.40     0.18     8.68     1.38P    1.08R    0.00  
Nuneaton         18   27   -1       4.85    79.61     3.03    62.04     7.64    -6.18     0.06     4.35     0.64P    2.40R    0.01  
Gateshead        18   26   +3       1.34    59.39     3.09    64.97     7.77     3.87     0.15     9.49     1.81P    0.99R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     18   25   +1       1.44    60.36     2.54    63.29     7.78     1.09     0.11     6.47     1.16P    1.58R    0.00  
Forest_Green     18   24   +2      -3.06    30.15    -1.87    64.19     7.86     4.68     0.14     8.39     1.85P    1.41R    0.00  
Macclesfield     18   23   -1      -2.29    35.29    -1.90    60.80     7.75    -1.88     0.04     3.53     0.64P    3.45R    0.01  
Wrexham          18   22   -2      -7.38    10.57    -9.62    66.57     7.81     7.41     0.27    13.46     3.70P    0.64R    0.00  
Southport        18   21   -6      -0.72    45.98    -1.26    54.45     7.55   -14.60     0.00     0.43     0.07P   15.39R    0.11  
Tamworth         18   20   -8       0.28    53.07    -0.63    51.34     7.38   -18.95     0.00     0.14     0.02P   27.33R    0.36  
Hereford         18   18   -6      -7.74     9.73    -7.59    56.17     7.69    -6.18     0.00     1.00     0.21P   10.39R    0.08  
Chester          19   18  -12      -0.41    48.78    -0.02    46.74     7.48   -24.82     0.00     0.03     0.01P   52.27R    1.32  
Dartford         18   18  -13      -3.12    29.92    -7.11    50.37     7.58   -22.70     0.00     0.08     0.01P   32.86R    0.46  
Woking           18   17   -7      -5.07    19.96    -2.34    48.21     7.49   -19.48     0.00     0.05     0.01P   42.62R    0.86  
Aldershot        18   13   -2      -5.09    20.17    -7.37    60.54     7.92    12.02     0.02     3.57     1.15P    3.80R    0.03  
Hyde_United      19    3  -35     -12.97     0.29   -15.82    24.84     6.71   -62.50     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.80R   96.75  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10