Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 14 November 2013 at 23:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Man_Utd 1 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          11   25  +12       3.84    80.54     2.42    76.06     7.44    34.70    31.00    53.04    69.95    82.88    96.20     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   23  +11       2.59    71.51     2.75    70.52     7.59    27.05    10.50    24.26    40.60    58.08    86.63     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      11   22  +10       5.51    89.60     8.17    56.63     7.55     6.19     0.23     0.92     2.45     5.58    22.32     0.21R    0.00  
Chelsea          11   21   +8       0.45    53.57    -0.64    71.63     7.51    29.07    13.21    29.32    46.62    64.22    89.73     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          11   20   +5      -0.92    40.80    -4.62    73.71     7.37    32.16    19.24    39.66    58.70    74.77    93.54     0.00     0.00  
Everton          11   20   +4       2.16    68.24     0.06    62.03     7.54    11.47     1.14     3.77     8.52    16.53    47.99     0.02R    0.00  
Tottenham        11   20   +3       1.11    59.47    -2.57    62.01     7.59    10.34     1.13     3.88     8.70    16.56    47.31     0.02R    0.00  
Man_City         11   19  +16      -3.73    18.81     3.50    74.19     7.25    46.07    23.49    44.87    63.37    78.27    94.82     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        11   17   -1       3.77    80.45     2.38    51.49     7.59    -6.06     0.02     0.11     0.46     1.26     7.34     1.88R    0.09  
West_Brom        11   14   +0       0.20    52.58     2.26    50.98     7.74    -0.55     0.02     0.11     0.41     1.15     7.34     2.29R    0.08  
Aston_Villa      11   14   -1       1.54    64.82     3.23    47.01     7.45    -7.72     0.00     0.04     0.12     0.31     2.36     5.82R    0.42  
Hull             11   14   -5       3.62    81.75     2.50    39.12     7.07   -22.38     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    31.18R    3.77  
Swansea          11   12   +0      -2.22    31.47     1.24    46.19     7.44    -4.95     0.00     0.02     0.07     0.26     1.97     6.92R    0.39  
Cardiff          11   12   -6       0.89    59.89    -0.14    40.19     7.31   -20.49     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.27    26.10R    3.24  
Norwich          11   11  -12      -0.16    50.06    -4.92    38.95     7.23   -27.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.17    33.32R    4.53  
West_Ham         11   10   -2      -3.60    21.07     0.06    42.41     7.30    -9.61     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.61    15.81R    1.50  
Stoke            11   10   -4      -2.28    29.83     0.12    42.37     7.22   -10.04     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.59    15.87R    1.26  
Fulham           11   10   -9      -2.58    28.49    -4.79    42.57     7.43   -16.60     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.06     0.61    17.01R    1.39  
Sunderland       11    7  -14      -4.41    15.48    -8.49    35.87     7.12   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    49.51R    8.33  
Crystal_Palace   11    4  -15      -3.85    15.65    -2.53    24.38     6.61   -43.62     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.04R   75.00  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Yeovil 0 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         15   34  +17       8.72    94.68     9.82    84.09     8.55    28.50    28.87    49.38    87.19    58.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester       15   32   +9       6.25    87.20     1.15    82.29     8.58    20.91    21.06    38.99    82.01    49.89P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             15   32   +9       7.18    90.78     2.74    83.48     8.63    22.09    25.00    44.79    84.99    56.00P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       15   27   +5       4.08    76.41     1.43    72.87     8.51    10.18     3.07     8.67    42.79    16.25P    0.03R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   26   +7       3.50    73.69     4.00    71.60     8.61    11.73     2.65     7.10    38.17    13.95P    0.08R    0.00  
Reading         15   24   +5      -0.98    42.77    -1.74    74.27     8.94    17.12     5.24    12.92    50.96    23.66P    0.06R    0.00  
Watford         15   23   +7      -1.02    42.59     1.55    74.12     8.70    20.59     4.96    12.41    51.37    22.52P    0.03R    0.01  
Leeds_United    15   23   +4       2.37    67.12     3.88    66.48     8.72     5.41     0.72     2.41    19.31     5.83P    0.54R    0.03  
Derby           15   22   +6       0.55    54.24     4.76    68.38     8.74    11.88     1.16     3.59    26.15     8.41P    0.31R    0.02  
Wigan           14   22   +5      -1.57    38.47    -1.55    74.18     9.07    17.74     5.28    12.88    50.67    23.73P    0.05R    0.00  
Brighton        15   21   +4      -2.58    31.88    -0.46    69.46     8.46    13.02     1.32     4.25    29.41    11.20P    0.21R    0.02  
Ipswich         15   20   +3       0.44    53.88     4.52    61.74     8.63     1.77     0.18     0.67     8.14     2.05P    2.03R    0.14  
Blackburn       15   19   +1      -2.08    35.73     0.24    64.01     8.57     4.84     0.30     1.08    12.31     3.61P    1.12R    0.10  
Bournemouth     15   18   -9       2.37    68.07    -0.29    50.86     8.58   -25.52     0.01     0.04     0.58     0.12P   22.76R    4.44  
Huddersfield    15   17   +0      -1.64    38.96     2.91    54.57     8.39    -7.54     0.02     0.08     1.44     0.34P   10.10R    1.25  
Middlesbrough   15   16   +1      -4.95    18.51     0.50    56.45     8.73    -2.65     0.03     0.12     2.80     0.68P    7.28R    0.86  
Bolton          15   16   -5      -5.38    16.39    -6.28    60.04     8.59    -2.74     0.09     0.38     5.60     1.55P    3.37R    0.32  
Birmingham      15   14   -5      -6.00    13.37    -4.07    57.54     8.64    -3.41     0.02     0.14     3.07     0.79P    6.10R    0.70  
Charlton        14   14   -6      -4.08    22.23    -4.39    56.05     8.59    -8.35     0.02     0.10     2.24     0.55P    8.09R    1.06  
Millwall        15   14  -13      -2.75    31.27    -7.08    49.20     8.32   -24.73     0.00     0.01     0.28     0.06P   27.79R    5.69  
Doncaster       14   13  -11      -0.58    47.23    -2.32    45.83     8.51   -27.86     0.00     0.01     0.13     0.02P   43.88R   12.32  
Sheff_Wed       14   11   -6      -5.76    12.82    -2.24    49.12     8.68   -14.81     0.00     0.00     0.37     0.05P   27.27R    5.76  
Barnsley        15   11  -15      -4.27    21.14    -6.23    42.40     8.11   -33.31     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   60.35R   22.33  
Yeovil          15    9  -13      -3.72    24.18    -0.86    37.86     8.05   -34.88     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    78.56R   44.96  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2013, Bristol_City 2 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   15   38  +24      11.86    98.82    15.51    90.12     8.65    38.50    23.14    54.62    97.03    65.28P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   15   36  +19       6.08    87.27     4.72    96.22     8.52    46.58    55.15    79.97    99.42    86.85P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    15   32  +13       3.99    75.58     1.60    88.45     8.78    34.83    18.03    45.77    95.15    60.92P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         15   27   +7       4.89    81.21     4.77    73.55     8.67    13.00     0.65     3.49    50.84    12.68P    0.10R    0.00  
Brentford       15   27   +3       3.55    73.63    -1.24    72.93     8.61     8.08     0.55     2.95    47.12    12.04P    0.15R    0.00  
Bradford        15   23  +10       3.63    74.42    11.74    60.66     8.79     2.44     0.01     0.16     8.48     1.50P    5.85R    0.54  
Swindon         15   23   +9      -3.22    27.60     0.27    76.54     8.72    25.72     1.54     7.21    66.21    25.40P    0.03R    0.00  
MK_Dons         15   22   +4      -2.66    31.34    -2.26    71.77     8.77    14.76     0.41     2.41    43.47    12.82P    0.29R    0.01  
Walsall         15   22   +2       1.19    58.82     1.70    66.39     8.68     4.79     0.07     0.61    20.55     4.33P    1.47R    0.10  
Rotherham       15   21   -1       4.05    76.89     5.08    56.30     8.93   -13.52     0.00     0.03     3.30     0.49P   16.36R    2.28  
Coventry        15   20  +12       5.00    80.86     5.20    71.37     8.85    25.92     0.41     2.57    43.50    13.10P    0.35R    0.01  
Port_Vale       15   20   -3       2.49    67.70     2.21    58.87     8.92    -9.60     0.02     0.08     5.75     0.93P    9.97R    1.27  
Crawley_Town    15   19   -4       0.33    53.33    -0.76    56.50     8.55   -12.01     0.00     0.02     3.08     0.41P   14.24R    1.89  
Colchester      15   17   -5      -0.04    50.60     0.37    53.87     8.40   -13.76     0.00     0.01     1.48     0.20P   21.95R    3.68  
Shrewsbury      15   16   -1      -2.21    35.16     2.45    56.29     8.44    -4.07     0.00     0.02     2.72     0.49P   13.79R    1.89  
Carlisle        15   16  -12       0.15    52.55    -4.21    49.75     8.44   -27.39     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.06P   40.32R    9.90  
Oldham          15   15   -4      -2.50    32.92     0.85    51.51     8.39   -13.03     0.00     0.00     0.72     0.09P   30.15R    5.90  
Gillingham      15   15   -6      -2.18    35.34    -0.56    50.16     8.63   -17.48     0.00     0.01     0.59     0.11P   37.16R    8.84  
Stevenage       15   14   -8      -3.37    26.82    -3.11    51.41     8.46   -15.70     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.12P   31.35R    6.31  
Bristol_City    15   13   -4      -8.66     6.44    -5.28    57.85     9.31    -0.85     0.00     0.08     5.55     1.39P   12.39R    1.95  
Tranmere        15   13  -14      -4.82    18.93    -9.87    50.21     8.38   -22.32     0.00     0.00     0.51     0.09P   37.38R    8.16  
Crewe           15   13  -19      -1.48    40.44    -8.79    42.56     8.10   -40.73     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.01P   73.57R   35.80  
Sheff_Utd       15   12  -10      -9.26     4.17   -11.01    56.21     8.61    -7.44     0.00     0.01     2.71     0.62P   14.51R    2.11  
Notts_County    15   10  -12      -9.10     4.28    -9.39    49.73     8.69   -16.74     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.09P   38.61R    9.36  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Fleetwood_Town       15   28  +10       6.09    86.36     7.95    73.66     8.75    14.71    11.46    32.20    64.60    39.51P    0.05R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           15   26  +10       3.27    71.99     6.85    73.73     8.65    17.80    11.61    32.89    65.60    41.39P    0.06R    0.02  
Chesterfield         15   26   +7       1.73    62.07     1.58    76.62     8.57    18.80    18.67    45.36    76.46    54.36P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             15   26   +4       3.61    73.97     1.34    71.50     8.73     8.32     7.37    23.39    54.52    30.63P    0.15R    0.03  
Morecambe            15   25   +2       4.50    79.26     2.16    67.19     8.67     1.67     2.77    11.30    34.91    16.30P    0.54R    0.15  
Exeter               15   24   +3       1.82    63.23     0.60    69.46     8.75     7.48     4.84    17.23    45.29    24.11P    0.35R    0.09  
Burton_Albion        15   24   +2       3.92    76.00     2.79    67.83     8.77     3.79     3.14    12.60    37.84    17.91P    0.61R    0.18  
Scunthorpe           15   24   +0       0.56    53.82    -4.31    71.98     9.04     8.06     8.83    26.07    56.04    34.35P    0.22R    0.04  
Southend             15   23   +4      -0.10    49.29     0.26    70.94     8.64    12.02     6.37    21.75    52.75    30.27P    0.20R    0.05  
Newport_County       15   23   +3       5.87    85.58     8.37    56.82     8.65   -10.60     0.20     1.25     6.56     2.11P    8.88R    3.37  
Dag_&_Red            15   23   +2       2.98    70.56     2.76    63.74     8.63    -0.67     1.26     5.81    21.92     8.96P    1.64R    0.48  
Wycombe              14   21   +3       0.81    56.35     1.50    65.42     8.96     3.83     2.30     9.16    29.09    13.77P    1.23R    0.34  
Hartlepool           15   21   +2      -2.18    34.89    -1.88    67.94     8.90     8.63     3.73    14.01    39.78    21.26P    0.54R    0.14  
Mansfield            15   21   +0       3.32    73.32     4.02    58.53     8.77    -7.01     0.34     1.84     9.37     3.23P    6.43R    2.46  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   21   -2       3.91    76.95     3.25    57.67     8.45   -10.86     0.17     1.18     6.85     2.15P    7.26R    2.70  
Portsmouth           14   20   +1      -3.95    23.92    -6.13    74.93     9.31    18.03    16.24    39.20    69.19    49.15P    0.10R    0.03  
Plymouth             15   18   -5      -0.31    48.73    -2.36    55.57     8.15   -10.82     0.08     0.52     3.89     1.22P   10.26R    4.10  
Cheltenham           15   17   -6      -3.31    28.31    -5.56    58.44     8.66    -7.60     0.25     1.64     8.96     3.35P    6.43R    2.30  
York                 15   16   -3      -1.77    38.39     1.12    53.09     8.41   -10.88     0.04     0.34     2.66     0.78P   16.97R    7.55  
Bristol_Rovers       15   14   -6      -4.31    21.68    -2.91    52.01     8.60   -12.63     0.03     0.26     2.11     0.68P   21.49R    9.97  
Torquay              15   14   -8      -4.83    19.16    -5.40    53.17     8.54   -12.80     0.04     0.36     2.59     0.85P   17.60R    8.04  
Bury                 15   13   -4      -8.14     7.23    -4.82    57.27     9.00    -1.25     0.24     1.56     8.15     3.41P    8.78R    3.56  
Accrington_Stanley   15   11  -10      -5.63    14.73    -4.38    45.21     8.19   -21.98     0.01     0.03     0.22     0.06P   51.69R   32.74  
Northampton          15   10   -9      -8.98     4.33    -6.80    47.71     8.50   -16.03     0.02     0.06     0.65     0.20P   38.50R   21.64  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 November 2013, Barnet 0 0 Welling; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    18   41  +22      10.84    96.93    13.80    87.74     7.69    34.96    44.31    94.63    56.79P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            18   34  +15       3.54    72.34     5.62    83.84     7.69    32.78    23.95    87.20    41.87P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    18   33  +10       1.34    58.52    -1.07    81.53     7.63    25.90    15.37    79.50    33.60P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          17   30   +8       1.26    58.42    -0.21    78.44     7.84    21.56     7.93    66.12    23.42P    0.00R    0.00  
Salisbury        17   30   +6       7.45    89.59     7.14    67.54     8.44     2.53     0.66    17.07     3.22P    0.77R    0.00  
Barnet           18   29   +8      -2.61    32.87    -2.84    76.49     7.89    22.12     5.71    57.34    21.22P    0.01R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   18   29   +8       3.58    72.35     6.81    67.37     7.76     7.79     0.42    15.58     2.98P    0.39R    0.00  
Welling          18   29   +5       6.00    83.23     7.80    67.28     8.09     4.62     0.52    15.70     3.00P    0.59R    0.00  
Halifax          18   28   +4       4.27    76.14     6.17    63.02     8.20    -2.13     0.13     7.00     1.14P    2.42R    0.01  
Alfreton_Town    18   28   +1       4.91    79.36     3.96    64.79     7.77    -2.38     0.17     8.70     1.38P    1.05R    0.00  
Nuneaton         18   27   -1       4.77    79.09     2.92    62.16     7.61    -5.98     0.07     4.45     0.66P    2.30R    0.00  
Gateshead        18   26   +3       1.27    58.71     3.01    65.02     7.77     4.00     0.17     9.62     1.79P    0.93R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     18   25   +1       1.49    60.57     2.63    63.19     7.76     0.94     0.10     6.26     1.15P    1.66R    0.01  
Forest_Green     18   24   +2      -3.02    30.70    -1.79    64.22     7.88     4.68     0.13     8.50     1.94P    1.33R    0.01  
Macclesfield     18   23   -1      -2.31    35.37    -1.89    60.77     7.72    -1.94     0.03     3.53     0.67P    3.38R    0.02  
Wrexham          18   22   -2      -7.34    10.71    -9.56    66.53     7.81     7.33     0.28    13.49     3.76P    0.59R    0.01  
Southport        18   21   -6      -0.63    46.70    -1.13    54.39     7.53   -14.70     0.00     0.44     0.06P   15.73R    0.13  
Tamworth         18   20   -8       0.18    52.38    -0.77    51.46     7.42   -18.73     0.00     0.15     0.02P   27.03R    0.39  
Hereford         18   18   -6      -7.89     9.44    -7.80    56.38     7.67    -5.88     0.00     0.95     0.18P    9.77R    0.07  
Chester          19   18  -12      -0.41    48.94    -0.03    46.76     7.54   -24.77     0.00     0.01     0.00    52.13R    1.41  
Dartford         18   18  -13      -3.06    30.41    -7.06    50.33     7.59   -22.76     0.00     0.12     0.02P   32.90R    0.51  
Woking           18   17   -7      -5.08    20.11    -2.37    48.13     7.51   -19.54     0.00     0.06     0.01P   43.31R    0.88  
Aldershot        18   13   -2      -5.14    19.88    -7.38    60.45     7.95    11.92     0.03     3.60     1.14P    3.92R    0.03  
Hyde_United      19    3  -35     -13.08     0.27   -15.98    24.91     6.78   -62.34     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.79R   96.52  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10