Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation
Updated Tuesday 12 November 2013 at 23:00:01 GMT
Premier League (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Man_Utd 1 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ------------------- Percentage chance -------------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top3 Top4 Top6 Bot3 Bot1 Arsenal 11 25 +12 3.79 80.39 2.32 76.19 7.46 34.86 31.79 53.43 70.40 83.14 96.35 0.00 0.00 Liverpool 11 23 +11 2.56 71.33 2.68 70.64 7.53 27.28 10.57 24.92 41.14 58.68 87.09 0.00 0.00 Southampton 11 22 +10 5.49 89.58 8.16 56.71 7.57 6.35 0.24 0.99 2.48 5.61 22.41 0.20R 0.00 Chelsea 11 21 +8 0.50 53.84 -0.57 71.51 7.44 28.85 12.74 28.36 45.93 63.92 89.74 0.00 0.00 Man_Utd 11 20 +5 -0.96 40.58 -4.67 73.85 7.31 32.41 19.60 40.58 59.79 75.51 93.92 0.00 0.00 Everton 11 20 +4 2.15 68.27 0.06 61.97 7.48 11.38 1.14 3.77 8.31 16.18 47.40 0.03R 0.00 Tottenham 11 20 +3 1.17 60.16 -2.52 61.95 7.57 10.27 1.09 3.78 8.49 16.26 46.96 0.03R 0.00 Man_City 11 19 +16 -3.69 18.85 3.53 74.05 7.21 45.77 22.78 43.90 62.39 77.61 94.83 0.00 0.00 Newcastle 11 17 -1 3.77 80.49 2.35 51.47 7.61 -6.12 0.04 0.13 0.48 1.28 7.38 1.81R 0.07 West_Brom 11 14 +0 0.18 52.53 2.21 51.05 7.69 -0.39 0.01 0.10 0.43 1.18 7.32 2.13R 0.06 Aston_Villa 11 14 -1 1.45 63.97 3.11 47.24 7.43 -7.38 0.00 0.01 0.08 0.28 2.45 5.40R 0.35 Hull 11 14 -5 3.62 81.73 2.50 39.11 7.07 -22.41 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.15 30.98R 3.82 Swansea 11 12 +0 -2.19 31.95 1.29 46.05 7.40 -5.12 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.20 1.89 7.05R 0.39 Cardiff 11 12 -6 0.94 60.07 -0.06 40.01 7.23 -20.80 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.19 26.57R 3.31 Norwich 11 11 -12 -0.14 50.14 -4.92 38.85 7.20 -27.61 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.15 33.60R 4.77 West_Ham 11 10 -2 -3.60 21.13 0.01 42.45 7.36 -9.46 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.03 0.55 15.89R 1.47 Stoke 11 10 -4 -2.30 29.64 0.11 42.30 7.22 -10.10 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.04 0.52 16.03R 1.27 Fulham 11 10 -9 -2.55 28.73 -4.73 42.57 7.44 -16.65 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.05 0.64 16.89R 1.45 Sunderland 11 7 -14 -4.36 15.66 -8.39 35.84 7.08 -27.63 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.06 49.52R 8.43 Crystal_Palace 11 4 -15 -3.83 15.52 -2.47 24.44 6.62 -43.50 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 93.86R 74.60Championship (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Yeovil 0 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot3 Bot1 Burnley 15 34 +17 8.90 94.97 10.09 83.73 8.61 28.03 27.53 47.29 86.26 56.65P 0.00 0.00 Leicester 15 32 +9 6.21 87.16 1.12 82.33 8.57 20.97 21.27 39.62 82.22 50.65P 0.00 0.00 QPR 15 32 +9 7.16 90.58 2.74 83.39 8.63 21.98 25.08 44.85 84.76 56.02P 0.00R 0.00 Blackpool 15 27 +5 4.03 76.11 1.39 72.99 8.58 10.41 3.60 9.10 43.55 16.79P 0.04R 0.00 Nott'm_Forest 15 26 +7 3.50 73.62 3.99 71.68 8.68 11.85 2.79 7.49 38.16 14.28P 0.07R 0.00 Reading 15 24 +5 -0.86 43.70 -1.56 74.11 8.91 16.91 4.94 12.46 50.60 23.02P 0.06R 0.00 Watford 15 23 +7 -1.06 42.45 1.49 74.22 8.69 20.70 5.11 12.59 51.47 22.79P 0.03R 0.00 Leeds_United 15 23 +4 2.32 66.71 3.79 66.47 8.65 5.33 0.73 2.28 19.04 5.62P 0.50R 0.04 Derby 15 22 +6 0.60 54.35 4.85 68.14 8.75 11.54 1.12 3.53 25.31 8.24P 0.35R 0.02 Wigan 14 22 +5 -1.68 37.26 -1.71 74.48 9.08 18.14 5.75 13.75 52.14 24.83P 0.06R 0.00 Brighton 15 21 +4 -2.53 32.29 -0.42 69.42 8.49 13.02 1.39 4.32 29.29 11.09P 0.18R 0.01 Ipswich 15 20 +3 0.38 53.66 4.43 61.70 8.62 1.69 0.19 0.74 7.98 2.13P 1.93R 0.16 Blackburn 15 19 +1 -1.97 36.45 0.33 63.98 8.55 4.86 0.30 1.12 12.22 3.55P 1.00R 0.06 Bournemouth 15 18 -9 2.37 67.94 -0.28 50.94 8.59 -25.38 0.00 0.01 0.64 0.13P 22.36R 4.24 Huddersfield 15 17 +0 -1.56 39.32 3.06 54.52 8.42 -7.65 0.02 0.06 1.46 0.31P 10.15R 1.36 Middlesbrough 15 16 +1 -4.94 18.41 0.48 56.50 8.68 -2.57 0.03 0.13 2.79 0.66P 7.04R 0.82 Bolton 15 16 -5 -5.51 16.05 -6.47 60.24 8.73 -2.44 0.08 0.41 5.97 1.70P 3.28R 0.34 Birmingham 15 14 -5 -6.03 13.50 -4.11 57.65 8.69 -3.26 0.05 0.14 3.33 0.89P 5.80R 0.63 Charlton 14 14 -6 -4.10 22.04 -4.43 56.07 8.58 -8.33 0.02 0.08 2.06 0.50P 8.11R 1.17 Millwall 15 14 -13 -2.85 30.27 -7.24 49.29 8.31 -24.46 0.00 0.01 0.30 0.07P 27.47R 5.44 Doncaster 14 13 -11 -0.70 46.50 -2.48 45.93 8.50 -27.70 0.00 0.00 0.13 0.03P 43.36R 11.87 Sheff_Wed 14 11 -6 -5.71 13.12 -2.17 49.00 8.64 -15.05 0.00 0.01 0.33 0.07P 27.78R 5.72 Barnsley 15 11 -15 -4.22 21.55 -6.17 42.31 8.08 -33.46 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 61.19R 22.42 Yeovil 15 9 -13 -3.66 24.11 -0.71 37.74 7.99 -35.16 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 79.23R 45.70League 1 (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2013, Bristol_City 2 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top2 Top6 2+[3-6] Bot4 Bot1 Leyton_Orient 15 38 +24 11.86 98.75 15.49 90.04 8.74 38.42 23.05 54.41 97.01 64.90P 0.00 0.00 Wolverhampton 15 36 +19 6.07 87.00 4.71 96.37 8.57 46.76 55.52 80.49 99.48 87.11P 0.00 0.00 Peterborough 15 32 +13 3.95 75.11 1.51 88.44 8.87 34.87 17.83 45.62 95.01 61.19P 0.00 0.00 Preston 15 27 +7 4.80 80.91 4.64 73.60 8.70 13.09 0.59 3.60 51.61 13.29P 0.16R 0.01 Brentford 15 27 +3 3.68 74.48 -1.03 72.62 8.58 7.58 0.56 2.86 45.95 11.38P 0.18R 0.00 Bradford 15 23 +10 3.61 74.12 11.67 60.66 8.75 2.55 0.02 0.16 8.46 1.50P 5.78R 0.51 Swindon 15 23 +9 -3.31 26.80 0.14 76.61 8.72 25.85 1.46 7.20 66.97 25.41P 0.05R 0.00 MK_Dons 15 22 +4 -2.57 32.04 -2.13 71.67 8.75 14.59 0.43 2.45 43.59 12.91P 0.30R 0.01 Walsall 15 22 +2 1.20 58.90 1.72 66.31 8.64 4.70 0.07 0.52 20.61 4.23P 1.51R 0.09 Rotherham 15 21 -1 4.00 76.87 4.97 56.51 8.86 -13.17 0.01 0.03 3.40 0.48P 15.88R 2.15 Coventry 15 20 +12 5.04 81.33 5.20 71.23 8.84 25.56 0.43 2.49 43.18 13.04P 0.37R 0.02 Port_Vale 15 20 -3 2.57 68.43 2.40 58.70 8.96 -9.80 0.01 0.09 5.71 0.93P 10.55R 1.34 Crawley_Town 15 19 -4 0.18 52.21 -1.01 56.82 8.50 -11.55 0.00 0.02 3.18 0.50P 13.25R 1.82 Colchester 15 17 -5 -0.04 50.90 0.40 53.93 8.46 -13.66 0.00 0.01 1.57 0.18P 21.92R 3.79 Shrewsbury 15 16 -1 -2.23 34.78 2.37 56.29 8.44 -4.06 0.00 0.02 2.69 0.47P 13.89R 1.85 Carlisle 15 16 -12 0.05 51.76 -4.32 49.85 8.38 -27.18 0.00 0.00 0.49 0.05P 39.99R 9.82 Oldham 15 15 -4 -2.50 32.98 0.84 51.60 8.38 -12.91 0.00 0.00 0.80 0.13P 30.07R 5.80 Gillingham 15 15 -6 -2.06 36.38 -0.33 49.90 8.60 -17.90 0.00 0.00 0.57 0.10P 38.44R 9.34 Stevenage 15 14 -8 -3.36 26.91 -3.09 51.37 8.45 -15.78 0.00 0.00 0.66 0.10P 31.78R 6.46 Bristol_City 15 13 -4 -8.61 6.58 -5.19 57.75 9.15 -1.02 0.01 0.04 5.26 1.24P 12.13R 1.88 Tranmere 15 13 -14 -4.85 18.65 -9.93 50.31 8.39 -22.16 0.00 0.00 0.53 0.11P 37.08R 8.30 Crewe 15 13 -19 -1.43 40.59 -8.68 42.57 8.03 -40.67 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00P 73.93R 35.44 Sheff_Utd 15 12 -10 -9.23 4.15 -10.98 56.17 8.58 -7.49 0.00 0.00 2.69 0.67P 14.70R 2.12 Notts_County 15 10 -12 -9.09 4.17 -9.38 49.79 8.65 -16.64 0.00 0.00 0.55 0.08P 38.02R 9.27 Adjustments: Coventry -10League 2 (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- --------------- Percentage chance --------------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top3 Top7 3+[4-7] Bot2 Bot1 Fleetwood_Town 15 28 +10 6.08 86.25 7.93 73.61 8.74 14.60 11.28 31.92 64.30 39.33P 0.08R 0.02 Oxford_Utd 15 26 +10 3.33 72.56 6.90 73.80 8.67 17.90 11.58 33.22 66.01 41.75P 0.06R 0.01 Chesterfield 15 26 +7 1.70 61.94 1.53 76.64 8.57 18.82 18.58 45.28 76.77 54.54P 0.02R 0.00 Rochdale 15 26 +4 3.50 73.27 1.18 71.73 8.82 8.67 7.89 24.23 55.37 31.50P 0.16R 0.03 Morecambe 15 25 +2 4.56 79.31 2.25 67.09 8.69 1.50 2.64 11.34 34.14 15.94P 0.61R 0.16 Exeter 15 24 +3 1.84 63.06 0.62 69.56 8.81 7.62 5.04 17.50 46.06 24.43P 0.34R 0.08 Burton_Albion 15 24 +2 3.83 75.29 2.66 68.01 8.72 4.09 3.26 12.84 38.42 18.26P 0.56R 0.13 Scunthorpe 15 24 +0 0.54 54.01 -4.29 71.96 9.14 8.04 8.90 25.72 55.57 33.84P 0.22R 0.05 Southend 15 23 +4 -0.09 49.52 0.26 70.95 8.70 12.07 6.54 21.76 52.80 30.33P 0.17R 0.05 Newport_County 15 23 +3 5.99 86.13 8.56 56.60 8.65 -10.90 0.19 1.19 6.44 2.03P 9.06R 3.39 Dag_&_Red 15 23 +2 2.94 70.77 2.69 63.72 8.58 -0.62 1.18 5.58 21.62 8.91P 1.56R 0.47 Wycombe 14 21 +3 0.86 56.80 1.57 65.47 8.93 3.86 2.18 9.19 29.23 13.66P 1.14R 0.33 Hartlepool 15 21 +2 -2.16 35.31 -1.82 67.77 8.93 8.46 3.64 13.66 38.73 20.73P 0.65R 0.20 Mansfield 15 21 +0 3.24 72.79 3.93 58.54 8.69 -6.94 0.27 1.76 9.28 3.15P 6.24R 2.28 AFC_Wimbledon 15 21 -2 3.83 76.25 3.16 57.68 8.51 -10.79 0.18 1.15 7.22 2.21P 7.40R 2.76 Portsmouth 14 20 +1 -3.92 24.20 -6.08 74.91 9.27 17.95 15.98 39.08 68.98 48.96P 0.11R 0.02 Plymouth 15 18 -5 -0.35 48.34 -2.43 55.66 8.24 -10.69 0.08 0.55 4.03 1.25P 10.40R 4.05 Cheltenham 15 17 -6 -3.26 28.51 -5.49 58.41 8.71 -7.71 0.24 1.63 8.91 3.39P 6.57R 2.42 York 15 16 -3 -1.62 39.63 1.27 52.81 8.42 -11.26 0.05 0.32 2.41 0.73P 17.94R 8.04 Bristol_Rovers 15 14 -6 -4.34 21.50 -2.96 52.05 8.45 -12.60 0.03 0.21 2.03 0.58P 20.71R 9.20 Torquay 15 14 -8 -4.88 18.99 -5.48 53.23 8.57 -12.71 0.05 0.34 2.74 0.92P 17.46R 7.93 Bury 15 13 -4 -8.15 7.23 -4.85 57.29 8.97 -1.25 0.22 1.45 8.06 3.31P 8.69R 3.49 Accrington_Stanley 15 11 -10 -5.55 14.70 -4.24 45.05 8.21 -22.27 0.00 0.02 0.21 0.06P 52.29R 33.95 Northampton 15 10 -9 -9.03 4.29 -6.86 47.82 8.49 -15.85 0.00 0.06 0.66 0.18P 37.56R 20.94Conference (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 November 2013, Barnet 0 0 Welling; Check up-to-date)
-- Current -- --------- Luck --------- ------- Expected ------- ---------- Percentage chance ----------- Team Pld Pts GD Points %(pts) GD Points sd(pts) GD Top1 Top5 1+[2-5] Bot3 Bot1 Cambridge_Utd 18 41 +22 10.88 97.08 13.85 87.69 7.67 34.93 44.03 94.52 56.39P 0.00 0.00 Luton 18 34 +15 3.61 72.77 5.69 83.77 7.74 32.72 23.87 86.68 41.71P 0.00 0.00 Kidderminster 18 33 +10 1.38 58.67 -0.98 81.39 7.69 25.69 14.92 78.82 33.28P 0.00R 0.00 Grimsby 17 30 +8 1.11 57.22 -0.41 78.63 7.83 21.89 8.20 66.81 24.13P 0.00R 0.00 Salisbury 17 30 +6 7.32 89.02 6.92 67.72 8.48 2.82 0.74 17.72 3.46P 0.67R 0.00 Barnet 18 29 +8 -2.57 33.32 -2.74 76.44 7.98 22.00 6.04 57.18 21.12P 0.03R 0.00 Braintree_Town 18 29 +8 3.53 72.28 6.74 67.38 7.73 7.80 0.43 15.38 2.91P 0.39R 0.00 Welling 18 29 +5 6.00 83.04 7.78 67.31 8.25 4.69 0.57 16.11 3.10P 0.73R 0.00 Halifax 18 28 +4 4.21 75.38 6.03 63.15 8.26 -1.93 0.12 7.36 1.20P 2.35R 0.01 Alfreton_Town 18 28 +1 4.98 79.99 4.04 64.81 7.76 -2.39 0.16 8.69 1.37P 1.11R 0.00 Nuneaton 18 27 -1 4.85 79.67 3.05 62.02 7.62 -6.26 0.06 4.15 0.62P 2.54R 0.00 Gateshead 18 26 +3 1.23 58.45 2.95 65.07 7.74 4.05 0.20 9.70 1.84P 0.85R 0.00 Lincoln_City 18 25 +1 1.50 60.61 2.60 63.19 7.74 0.91 0.09 6.20 1.09P 1.77R 0.00 Forest_Green 18 24 +2 -3.08 30.29 -1.87 64.26 7.91 4.77 0.18 8.63 1.89P 1.43R 0.01 Macclesfield 18 23 -1 -2.32 35.15 -1.93 60.79 7.77 -1.95 0.03 3.43 0.60P 3.41R 0.01 Wrexham 18 22 -2 -7.37 10.61 -9.56 66.52 7.84 7.37 0.33 13.40 3.84P 0.67R 0.00 Southport 18 21 -6 -0.64 46.48 -1.16 54.29 7.49 -14.81 0.00 0.43 0.07P 15.98R 0.13 Tamworth 18 20 -8 0.18 52.40 -0.73 51.53 7.40 -18.66 0.00 0.18 0.03P 26.56R 0.35 Hereford 18 18 -6 -7.82 9.45 -7.69 56.19 7.69 -6.14 0.01 0.99 0.23P 10.16R 0.07 Chester 19 18 -12 -0.48 48.54 -0.18 46.86 7.48 -24.58 0.00 0.03 0.01P 51.26R 1.29 Dartford 18 18 -13 -2.94 31.07 -6.83 50.21 7.58 -22.99 0.00 0.09 0.02P 33.55R 0.52 Woking 18 17 -7 -5.15 19.37 -2.53 48.30 7.46 -19.21 0.00 0.04 0.01P 42.38R 0.79 Aldershot 18 13 -2 -4.96 20.73 -7.18 60.30 7.97 11.70 0.01 3.47 1.07P 4.35R 0.03 Hyde_United 19 3 -35 -13.03 0.25 -15.86 24.91 6.70 -62.42 0.00 0.00 0.00 99.81R 96.78 Adjustments: Aldershot -10