Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Tuesday 12 November 2013 at 23:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Man_Utd 1 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          11   25  +12       3.79    80.39     2.32    76.19     7.46    34.86    31.79    53.43    70.40    83.14    96.35     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   23  +11       2.56    71.33     2.68    70.64     7.53    27.28    10.57    24.92    41.14    58.68    87.09     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      11   22  +10       5.49    89.58     8.16    56.71     7.57     6.35     0.24     0.99     2.48     5.61    22.41     0.20R    0.00  
Chelsea          11   21   +8       0.50    53.84    -0.57    71.51     7.44    28.85    12.74    28.36    45.93    63.92    89.74     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          11   20   +5      -0.96    40.58    -4.67    73.85     7.31    32.41    19.60    40.58    59.79    75.51    93.92     0.00     0.00  
Everton          11   20   +4       2.15    68.27     0.06    61.97     7.48    11.38     1.14     3.77     8.31    16.18    47.40     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham        11   20   +3       1.17    60.16    -2.52    61.95     7.57    10.27     1.09     3.78     8.49    16.26    46.96     0.03R    0.00  
Man_City         11   19  +16      -3.69    18.85     3.53    74.05     7.21    45.77    22.78    43.90    62.39    77.61    94.83     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        11   17   -1       3.77    80.49     2.35    51.47     7.61    -6.12     0.04     0.13     0.48     1.28     7.38     1.81R    0.07  
West_Brom        11   14   +0       0.18    52.53     2.21    51.05     7.69    -0.39     0.01     0.10     0.43     1.18     7.32     2.13R    0.06  
Aston_Villa      11   14   -1       1.45    63.97     3.11    47.24     7.43    -7.38     0.00     0.01     0.08     0.28     2.45     5.40R    0.35  
Hull             11   14   -5       3.62    81.73     2.50    39.11     7.07   -22.41     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    30.98R    3.82  
Swansea          11   12   +0      -2.19    31.95     1.29    46.05     7.40    -5.12     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     1.89     7.05R    0.39  
Cardiff          11   12   -6       0.94    60.07    -0.06    40.01     7.23   -20.80     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.19    26.57R    3.31  
Norwich          11   11  -12      -0.14    50.14    -4.92    38.85     7.20   -27.61     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.15    33.60R    4.77  
West_Ham         11   10   -2      -3.60    21.13     0.01    42.45     7.36    -9.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.55    15.89R    1.47  
Stoke            11   10   -4      -2.30    29.64     0.11    42.30     7.22   -10.10     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.52    16.03R    1.27  
Fulham           11   10   -9      -2.55    28.73    -4.73    42.57     7.44   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.64    16.89R    1.45  
Sunderland       11    7  -14      -4.36    15.66    -8.39    35.84     7.08   -27.63     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.06    49.52R    8.43  
Crystal_Palace   11    4  -15      -3.83    15.52    -2.47    24.44     6.62   -43.50     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.86R   74.60  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Yeovil 0 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         15   34  +17       8.90    94.97    10.09    83.73     8.61    28.03    27.53    47.29    86.26    56.65P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       15   32   +9       6.21    87.16     1.12    82.33     8.57    20.97    21.27    39.62    82.22    50.65P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             15   32   +9       7.16    90.58     2.74    83.39     8.63    21.98    25.08    44.85    84.76    56.02P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       15   27   +5       4.03    76.11     1.39    72.99     8.58    10.41     3.60     9.10    43.55    16.79P    0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   26   +7       3.50    73.62     3.99    71.68     8.68    11.85     2.79     7.49    38.16    14.28P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         15   24   +5      -0.86    43.70    -1.56    74.11     8.91    16.91     4.94    12.46    50.60    23.02P    0.06R    0.00  
Watford         15   23   +7      -1.06    42.45     1.49    74.22     8.69    20.70     5.11    12.59    51.47    22.79P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   23   +4       2.32    66.71     3.79    66.47     8.65     5.33     0.73     2.28    19.04     5.62P    0.50R    0.04  
Derby           15   22   +6       0.60    54.35     4.85    68.14     8.75    11.54     1.12     3.53    25.31     8.24P    0.35R    0.02  
Wigan           14   22   +5      -1.68    37.26    -1.71    74.48     9.08    18.14     5.75    13.75    52.14    24.83P    0.06R    0.00  
Brighton        15   21   +4      -2.53    32.29    -0.42    69.42     8.49    13.02     1.39     4.32    29.29    11.09P    0.18R    0.01  
Ipswich         15   20   +3       0.38    53.66     4.43    61.70     8.62     1.69     0.19     0.74     7.98     2.13P    1.93R    0.16  
Blackburn       15   19   +1      -1.97    36.45     0.33    63.98     8.55     4.86     0.30     1.12    12.22     3.55P    1.00R    0.06  
Bournemouth     15   18   -9       2.37    67.94    -0.28    50.94     8.59   -25.38     0.00     0.01     0.64     0.13P   22.36R    4.24  
Huddersfield    15   17   +0      -1.56    39.32     3.06    54.52     8.42    -7.65     0.02     0.06     1.46     0.31P   10.15R    1.36  
Middlesbrough   15   16   +1      -4.94    18.41     0.48    56.50     8.68    -2.57     0.03     0.13     2.79     0.66P    7.04R    0.82  
Bolton          15   16   -5      -5.51    16.05    -6.47    60.24     8.73    -2.44     0.08     0.41     5.97     1.70P    3.28R    0.34  
Birmingham      15   14   -5      -6.03    13.50    -4.11    57.65     8.69    -3.26     0.05     0.14     3.33     0.89P    5.80R    0.63  
Charlton        14   14   -6      -4.10    22.04    -4.43    56.07     8.58    -8.33     0.02     0.08     2.06     0.50P    8.11R    1.17  
Millwall        15   14  -13      -2.85    30.27    -7.24    49.29     8.31   -24.46     0.00     0.01     0.30     0.07P   27.47R    5.44  
Doncaster       14   13  -11      -0.70    46.50    -2.48    45.93     8.50   -27.70     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.03P   43.36R   11.87  
Sheff_Wed       14   11   -6      -5.71    13.12    -2.17    49.00     8.64   -15.05     0.00     0.01     0.33     0.07P   27.78R    5.72  
Barnsley        15   11  -15      -4.22    21.55    -6.17    42.31     8.08   -33.46     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    61.19R   22.42  
Yeovil          15    9  -13      -3.66    24.11    -0.71    37.74     7.99   -35.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    79.23R   45.70  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2013, Bristol_City 2 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   15   38  +24      11.86    98.75    15.49    90.04     8.74    38.42    23.05    54.41    97.01    64.90P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   15   36  +19       6.07    87.00     4.71    96.37     8.57    46.76    55.52    80.49    99.48    87.11P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    15   32  +13       3.95    75.11     1.51    88.44     8.87    34.87    17.83    45.62    95.01    61.19P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         15   27   +7       4.80    80.91     4.64    73.60     8.70    13.09     0.59     3.60    51.61    13.29P    0.16R    0.01  
Brentford       15   27   +3       3.68    74.48    -1.03    72.62     8.58     7.58     0.56     2.86    45.95    11.38P    0.18R    0.00  
Bradford        15   23  +10       3.61    74.12    11.67    60.66     8.75     2.55     0.02     0.16     8.46     1.50P    5.78R    0.51  
Swindon         15   23   +9      -3.31    26.80     0.14    76.61     8.72    25.85     1.46     7.20    66.97    25.41P    0.05R    0.00  
MK_Dons         15   22   +4      -2.57    32.04    -2.13    71.67     8.75    14.59     0.43     2.45    43.59    12.91P    0.30R    0.01  
Walsall         15   22   +2       1.20    58.90     1.72    66.31     8.64     4.70     0.07     0.52    20.61     4.23P    1.51R    0.09  
Rotherham       15   21   -1       4.00    76.87     4.97    56.51     8.86   -13.17     0.01     0.03     3.40     0.48P   15.88R    2.15  
Coventry        15   20  +12       5.04    81.33     5.20    71.23     8.84    25.56     0.43     2.49    43.18    13.04P    0.37R    0.02  
Port_Vale       15   20   -3       2.57    68.43     2.40    58.70     8.96    -9.80     0.01     0.09     5.71     0.93P   10.55R    1.34  
Crawley_Town    15   19   -4       0.18    52.21    -1.01    56.82     8.50   -11.55     0.00     0.02     3.18     0.50P   13.25R    1.82  
Colchester      15   17   -5      -0.04    50.90     0.40    53.93     8.46   -13.66     0.00     0.01     1.57     0.18P   21.92R    3.79  
Shrewsbury      15   16   -1      -2.23    34.78     2.37    56.29     8.44    -4.06     0.00     0.02     2.69     0.47P   13.89R    1.85  
Carlisle        15   16  -12       0.05    51.76    -4.32    49.85     8.38   -27.18     0.00     0.00     0.49     0.05P   39.99R    9.82  
Oldham          15   15   -4      -2.50    32.98     0.84    51.60     8.38   -12.91     0.00     0.00     0.80     0.13P   30.07R    5.80  
Gillingham      15   15   -6      -2.06    36.38    -0.33    49.90     8.60   -17.90     0.00     0.00     0.57     0.10P   38.44R    9.34  
Stevenage       15   14   -8      -3.36    26.91    -3.09    51.37     8.45   -15.78     0.00     0.00     0.66     0.10P   31.78R    6.46  
Bristol_City    15   13   -4      -8.61     6.58    -5.19    57.75     9.15    -1.02     0.01     0.04     5.26     1.24P   12.13R    1.88  
Tranmere        15   13  -14      -4.85    18.65    -9.93    50.31     8.39   -22.16     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.11P   37.08R    8.30  
Crewe           15   13  -19      -1.43    40.59    -8.68    42.57     8.03   -40.67     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   73.93R   35.44  
Sheff_Utd       15   12  -10      -9.23     4.15   -10.98    56.17     8.58    -7.49     0.00     0.00     2.69     0.67P   14.70R    2.12  
Notts_County    15   10  -12      -9.09     4.17    -9.38    49.79     8.65   -16.64     0.00     0.00     0.55     0.08P   38.02R    9.27  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Fleetwood_Town       15   28  +10       6.08    86.25     7.93    73.61     8.74    14.60    11.28    31.92    64.30    39.33P    0.08R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           15   26  +10       3.33    72.56     6.90    73.80     8.67    17.90    11.58    33.22    66.01    41.75P    0.06R    0.01  
Chesterfield         15   26   +7       1.70    61.94     1.53    76.64     8.57    18.82    18.58    45.28    76.77    54.54P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             15   26   +4       3.50    73.27     1.18    71.73     8.82     8.67     7.89    24.23    55.37    31.50P    0.16R    0.03  
Morecambe            15   25   +2       4.56    79.31     2.25    67.09     8.69     1.50     2.64    11.34    34.14    15.94P    0.61R    0.16  
Exeter               15   24   +3       1.84    63.06     0.62    69.56     8.81     7.62     5.04    17.50    46.06    24.43P    0.34R    0.08  
Burton_Albion        15   24   +2       3.83    75.29     2.66    68.01     8.72     4.09     3.26    12.84    38.42    18.26P    0.56R    0.13  
Scunthorpe           15   24   +0       0.54    54.01    -4.29    71.96     9.14     8.04     8.90    25.72    55.57    33.84P    0.22R    0.05  
Southend             15   23   +4      -0.09    49.52     0.26    70.95     8.70    12.07     6.54    21.76    52.80    30.33P    0.17R    0.05  
Newport_County       15   23   +3       5.99    86.13     8.56    56.60     8.65   -10.90     0.19     1.19     6.44     2.03P    9.06R    3.39  
Dag_&_Red            15   23   +2       2.94    70.77     2.69    63.72     8.58    -0.62     1.18     5.58    21.62     8.91P    1.56R    0.47  
Wycombe              14   21   +3       0.86    56.80     1.57    65.47     8.93     3.86     2.18     9.19    29.23    13.66P    1.14R    0.33  
Hartlepool           15   21   +2      -2.16    35.31    -1.82    67.77     8.93     8.46     3.64    13.66    38.73    20.73P    0.65R    0.20  
Mansfield            15   21   +0       3.24    72.79     3.93    58.54     8.69    -6.94     0.27     1.76     9.28     3.15P    6.24R    2.28  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   21   -2       3.83    76.25     3.16    57.68     8.51   -10.79     0.18     1.15     7.22     2.21P    7.40R    2.76  
Portsmouth           14   20   +1      -3.92    24.20    -6.08    74.91     9.27    17.95    15.98    39.08    68.98    48.96P    0.11R    0.02  
Plymouth             15   18   -5      -0.35    48.34    -2.43    55.66     8.24   -10.69     0.08     0.55     4.03     1.25P   10.40R    4.05  
Cheltenham           15   17   -6      -3.26    28.51    -5.49    58.41     8.71    -7.71     0.24     1.63     8.91     3.39P    6.57R    2.42  
York                 15   16   -3      -1.62    39.63     1.27    52.81     8.42   -11.26     0.05     0.32     2.41     0.73P   17.94R    8.04  
Bristol_Rovers       15   14   -6      -4.34    21.50    -2.96    52.05     8.45   -12.60     0.03     0.21     2.03     0.58P   20.71R    9.20  
Torquay              15   14   -8      -4.88    18.99    -5.48    53.23     8.57   -12.71     0.05     0.34     2.74     0.92P   17.46R    7.93  
Bury                 15   13   -4      -8.15     7.23    -4.85    57.29     8.97    -1.25     0.22     1.45     8.06     3.31P    8.69R    3.49  
Accrington_Stanley   15   11  -10      -5.55    14.70    -4.24    45.05     8.21   -22.27     0.00     0.02     0.21     0.06P   52.29R   33.95  
Northampton          15   10   -9      -9.03     4.29    -6.86    47.82     8.49   -15.85     0.00     0.06     0.66     0.18P   37.56R   20.94  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 12 November 2013, Barnet 0 0 Welling; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    18   41  +22      10.88    97.08    13.85    87.69     7.67    34.93    44.03    94.52    56.39P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            18   34  +15       3.61    72.77     5.69    83.77     7.74    32.72    23.87    86.68    41.71P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    18   33  +10       1.38    58.67    -0.98    81.39     7.69    25.69    14.92    78.82    33.28P    0.00R    0.00  
Grimsby          17   30   +8       1.11    57.22    -0.41    78.63     7.83    21.89     8.20    66.81    24.13P    0.00R    0.00  
Salisbury        17   30   +6       7.32    89.02     6.92    67.72     8.48     2.82     0.74    17.72     3.46P    0.67R    0.00  
Barnet           18   29   +8      -2.57    33.32    -2.74    76.44     7.98    22.00     6.04    57.18    21.12P    0.03R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   18   29   +8       3.53    72.28     6.74    67.38     7.73     7.80     0.43    15.38     2.91P    0.39R    0.00  
Welling          18   29   +5       6.00    83.04     7.78    67.31     8.25     4.69     0.57    16.11     3.10P    0.73R    0.00  
Halifax          18   28   +4       4.21    75.38     6.03    63.15     8.26    -1.93     0.12     7.36     1.20P    2.35R    0.01  
Alfreton_Town    18   28   +1       4.98    79.99     4.04    64.81     7.76    -2.39     0.16     8.69     1.37P    1.11R    0.00  
Nuneaton         18   27   -1       4.85    79.67     3.05    62.02     7.62    -6.26     0.06     4.15     0.62P    2.54R    0.00  
Gateshead        18   26   +3       1.23    58.45     2.95    65.07     7.74     4.05     0.20     9.70     1.84P    0.85R    0.00  
Lincoln_City     18   25   +1       1.50    60.61     2.60    63.19     7.74     0.91     0.09     6.20     1.09P    1.77R    0.00  
Forest_Green     18   24   +2      -3.08    30.29    -1.87    64.26     7.91     4.77     0.18     8.63     1.89P    1.43R    0.01  
Macclesfield     18   23   -1      -2.32    35.15    -1.93    60.79     7.77    -1.95     0.03     3.43     0.60P    3.41R    0.01  
Wrexham          18   22   -2      -7.37    10.61    -9.56    66.52     7.84     7.37     0.33    13.40     3.84P    0.67R    0.00  
Southport        18   21   -6      -0.64    46.48    -1.16    54.29     7.49   -14.81     0.00     0.43     0.07P   15.98R    0.13  
Tamworth         18   20   -8       0.18    52.40    -0.73    51.53     7.40   -18.66     0.00     0.18     0.03P   26.56R    0.35  
Hereford         18   18   -6      -7.82     9.45    -7.69    56.19     7.69    -6.14     0.01     0.99     0.23P   10.16R    0.07  
Chester          19   18  -12      -0.48    48.54    -0.18    46.86     7.48   -24.58     0.00     0.03     0.01P   51.26R    1.29  
Dartford         18   18  -13      -2.94    31.07    -6.83    50.21     7.58   -22.99     0.00     0.09     0.02P   33.55R    0.52  
Woking           18   17   -7      -5.15    19.37    -2.53    48.30     7.46   -19.21     0.00     0.04     0.01P   42.38R    0.79  
Aldershot        18   13   -2      -4.96    20.73    -7.18    60.30     7.97    11.70     0.01     3.47     1.07P    4.35R    0.03  
Hyde_United      19    3  -35     -13.03     0.25   -15.86    24.91     6.70   -62.42     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.81R   96.78  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10