Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Monday 11 November 2013 at 23:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Man_Utd 1 0 Arsenal; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          11   25  +12       3.82    80.33     2.38    76.10     7.46    34.75    31.04    53.02    69.93    82.78    96.27     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   23  +11       2.56    71.43     2.69    70.65     7.54    27.26    10.72    24.73    41.04    58.61    87.15     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      11   22  +10       5.57    89.77     8.29    56.55     7.55     6.07     0.23     0.86     2.34     5.40    21.67     0.21R    0.00  
Chelsea          11   21   +8       0.40    53.02    -0.72    71.69     7.46    29.12    13.25    29.37    47.04    64.64    90.21     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          11   20   +5      -0.95    40.66    -4.65    73.74     7.36    32.19    19.38    39.83    58.74    74.77    93.72     0.00     0.00  
Everton          11   20   +4       2.18    68.58     0.11    61.97     7.52    11.38     1.13     3.82     8.40    16.16    47.39     0.01R    0.00  
Tottenham        11   20   +3       1.18    60.26    -2.46    62.06     7.62    10.40     1.22     3.88     8.59    16.57    47.53     0.02R    0.00  
Man_City         11   19  +16      -3.68    19.15     3.56    74.11     7.18    45.86    22.98    44.20    62.87    78.00    94.84     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        11   17   -1       3.79    80.72     2.36    51.50     7.56    -6.11     0.03     0.15     0.49     1.28     7.25     1.77R    0.07  
West_Brom        11   14   +0       0.20    52.60     2.25    51.00     7.66    -0.47     0.02     0.11     0.39     1.12     6.99     2.21R    0.07  
Aston_Villa      11   14   -1       1.52    64.57     3.20    47.13     7.39    -7.59     0.01     0.03     0.08     0.28     2.35     5.50R    0.36  
Hull             11   14   -5       3.58    81.68     2.40    39.12     7.08   -22.35     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.17    31.05R    3.75  
Swansea          11   12   +0      -2.27    31.25     1.18    46.27     7.46    -4.77     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.23     2.17     6.89R    0.38  
Cardiff          11   12   -6       0.91    59.78    -0.09    40.10     7.30   -20.63     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.30    26.56R    3.21  
Norwich          11   11  -12      -0.17    49.94    -4.98    38.98     7.23   -27.44     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.18    33.01R    4.47  
West_Ham         11   10   -2      -3.63    21.12    -0.01    42.45     7.35    -9.44     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.60    15.85R    1.55  
Stoke            11   10   -4      -2.27    30.07     0.15    42.23     7.26   -10.22     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.59    16.48R    1.24  
Fulham           11   10   -9      -2.55    28.62    -4.74    42.43     7.41   -16.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.56    17.41R    1.56  
Sunderland       11    7  -14      -4.38    15.51    -8.46    35.85     7.08   -27.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.04    49.08R    8.48  
Crystal_Palace   11    4  -15      -3.82    15.76    -2.46    24.34     6.61   -43.68     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.95R   74.87  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 10 November 2013, Yeovil 0 1 Wigan; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         15   34  +17       8.71    94.73     9.83    83.98     8.61    28.35    28.50    48.56    86.72    57.69P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       15   32   +9       6.15    86.88     0.98    82.46     8.56    21.15    21.43    39.76    82.64    50.81P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             15   32   +9       7.10    90.52     2.68    83.46     8.61    22.03    24.46    44.47    85.06    55.50P    0.00R    0.00  
Blackpool       15   27   +5       3.96    75.79     1.27    73.11     8.52    10.60     3.38     9.06    44.03    16.81P    0.04R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   26   +7       3.55    74.02     4.04    71.65     8.66    11.85     2.68     7.18    38.33    14.01P    0.06R    0.00  
Reading         15   24   +5      -0.89    43.31    -1.60    74.23     8.99    17.02     5.27    12.72    50.69    23.22P    0.06R    0.01  
Watford         15   23   +7      -1.06    42.20     1.46    74.13     8.72    20.64     4.92    12.33    51.19    22.55P    0.03R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   23   +4       2.35    66.96     3.86    66.47     8.70     5.33     0.70     2.17    18.97     5.42P    0.54R    0.03  
Derby           15   22   +6       0.66    55.08     4.91    68.15     8.71    11.53     1.08     3.36    25.33     8.19P    0.31R    0.02  
Wigan           14   22   +5      -1.67    37.46    -1.71    74.50     9.14    18.19     5.70    13.86    51.80    25.22P    0.05R    0.00  
Brighton        15   21   +4      -2.49    32.72    -0.37    69.32     8.49    12.85     1.26     4.07    28.82    10.80P    0.15R    0.01  
Ipswich         15   20   +3       0.39    53.57     4.46    61.72     8.64     1.80     0.15     0.64     8.16     2.08P    1.95R    0.17  
Blackburn       15   19   +1      -1.97    36.14     0.37    63.84     8.56     4.62     0.27     1.00    11.85     3.48P    1.07R    0.08  
Bournemouth     15   18   -9       2.44    68.55    -0.14    50.69     8.58   -25.81     0.00     0.04     0.57     0.12P   23.44R    4.52  
Huddersfield    15   17   +0      -1.52    39.92     3.12    54.49     8.37    -7.71     0.02     0.05     1.34     0.26P   10.18R    1.41  
Middlesbrough   15   16   +1      -4.90    18.65     0.54    56.36     8.63    -2.78     0.03     0.11     2.64     0.62P    7.30R    0.85  
Bolton          15   16   -5      -5.42    16.32    -6.35    60.04     8.65    -2.72     0.09     0.34     5.49     1.56P    3.50R    0.37  
Birmingham      15   14   -5      -6.07    13.32    -4.16    57.75     8.66    -3.10     0.02     0.15     3.48     0.96P    5.71R    0.74  
Charlton        14   14   -6      -4.12    21.84    -4.47    56.10     8.59    -8.26     0.02     0.11     2.15     0.54P    7.92R    1.06  
Millwall        15   14  -13      -2.66    31.64    -6.94    48.95     8.23   -25.08     0.00     0.01     0.20     0.04P   28.78R    6.05  
Doncaster       14   13  -11      -0.70    46.47    -2.51    46.03     8.48   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.09     0.01P   42.69R   11.61  
Sheff_Wed       14   11   -6      -5.76    12.84    -2.25    49.18     8.62   -14.74     0.00     0.01     0.41     0.09P   26.85R    5.61  
Barnsley        15   11  -15      -4.23    21.30    -6.18    42.39     8.14   -33.36     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.01P   60.74R   22.69  
Yeovil          15    9  -13      -3.74    23.68    -0.86    37.90     7.96   -34.88     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    78.63R   44.77  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2013, Bristol_City 2 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   15   38  +24      11.93    98.88    15.59    90.05     8.70    38.42    23.28    54.24    97.15    64.76P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   15   36  +19       6.14    87.37     4.77    96.30     8.66    46.65    55.03    80.08    99.38    86.81P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    15   32  +13       3.96    75.46     1.55    88.48     8.77    34.92    17.93    45.76    95.33    61.34P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         15   27   +7       4.93    81.44     4.79    73.54     8.67    12.95     0.68     3.51    50.82    12.77P    0.12R    0.01  
Brentford       15   27   +3       3.71    74.56    -0.99    72.67     8.58     7.68     0.52     2.89    46.09    11.81P    0.17R    0.00  
Bradford        15   23  +10       3.53    73.51    11.56    60.79     8.86     2.62     0.03     0.20     8.86     1.56P    5.80R    0.53  
Swindon         15   23   +9      -3.34    26.76     0.10    76.69     8.72    25.95     1.53     7.54    66.59    25.34P    0.04R    0.00  
MK_Dons         15   22   +4      -2.64    31.58    -2.20    71.76     8.76    14.79     0.48     2.39    43.66    12.92P    0.26R    0.02  
Walsall         15   22   +2       1.25    59.19     1.78    66.36     8.66     4.72     0.08     0.54    20.45     4.33P    1.35R    0.08  
Rotherham       15   21   -1       4.03    77.06     5.04    56.33     8.77   -13.41     0.01     0.04     3.15     0.40P   15.50R    2.32  
Coventry        15   20  +12       4.86    80.37     4.96    71.44     8.75    25.98     0.40     2.58    43.68    13.31P    0.34R    0.01  
Port_Vale       15   20   -3       2.55    68.11     2.33    58.71     8.96    -9.84     0.01     0.07     5.62     0.87P   10.35R    1.33  
Crawley_Town    15   19   -4       0.28    53.16    -0.80    56.56     8.55   -12.00     0.00     0.03     3.04     0.43P   14.30R    1.89  
Colchester      15   17   -5      -0.09    50.45     0.31    53.96     8.40   -13.60     0.00     0.01     1.56     0.28P   21.74R    3.49  
Shrewsbury      15   16   -1      -2.21    34.92     2.39    56.38     8.52    -3.96     0.00     0.03     2.84     0.50P   13.67R    1.89  
Carlisle        15   16  -12       0.18    52.75    -4.13    49.66     8.34   -27.53     0.00     0.00     0.39     0.05P   40.53R   10.06  
Oldham          15   15   -4      -2.62    32.09     0.64    51.64     8.40   -12.78     0.00     0.00     0.92     0.14P   29.68R    5.58  
Gillingham      15   15   -6      -2.17    35.65    -0.49    50.11     8.56   -17.53     0.00     0.01     0.56     0.09P   37.61R    8.85  
Stevenage       15   14   -8      -3.32    27.29    -3.01    51.29     8.43   -15.87     0.00     0.01     0.76     0.14P   31.73R    6.26  
Bristol_City    15   13   -4      -8.55     6.64    -5.09    57.69     9.21    -1.16     0.00     0.07     5.23     1.27P   12.42R    1.85  
Tranmere        15   13  -14      -4.88    18.75    -9.95    50.19     8.37   -22.39     0.00     0.00     0.45     0.07P   37.73R    8.63  
Crewe           15   13  -19      -1.45    40.36    -8.75    42.61     8.09   -40.63     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   73.51R   35.65  
Sheff_Utd       15   12  -10      -9.33     4.08   -11.09    56.38     8.60    -7.17     0.00     0.02     2.89     0.71P   14.12R    2.00  
Notts_County    15   10  -12      -9.02     4.37    -9.31    49.65     8.70   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.08P   39.04R    9.52  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Fleetwood_Town       15   28  +10       6.07    86.25     7.93    73.64     8.66    14.66    11.16    32.07    64.66    39.51P    0.06R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           15   26  +10       3.42    72.97     7.03    73.54     8.63    17.54    10.93    32.00    65.09    40.31P    0.07R    0.01  
Chesterfield         15   26   +7       1.61    61.52     1.44    76.87     8.63    19.16    19.61    46.56    77.69    55.86P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             15   26   +4       3.52    73.49     1.20    71.50     8.88     8.38     7.45    23.70    54.36    30.89P    0.19R    0.04  
Morecambe            15   25   +2       4.47    79.02     2.09    67.32     8.69     1.82     2.95    11.55    35.17    16.41P    0.63R    0.17  
Exeter               15   24   +3       1.82    63.16     0.59    69.51     8.70     7.50     4.85    17.47    45.72    24.45P    0.29R    0.08  
Burton_Albion        15   24   +2       3.97    76.20     2.87    67.76     8.76     3.76     3.18    12.69    37.41    17.71P    0.58R    0.14  
Scunthorpe           15   24   +0       0.46    53.30    -4.41    72.03     9.00     8.17     8.62    25.79    56.39    34.34P    0.18R    0.04  
Southend             15   23   +4      -0.02    49.98     0.34    70.99     8.56    12.14     6.38    21.82    53.05    30.31P    0.18R    0.04  
Newport_County       15   23   +3       5.96    85.86     8.51    56.86     8.72   -10.60     0.25     1.31     6.80     2.20P    9.23R    3.63  
Dag_&_Red            15   23   +2       2.98    70.62     2.77    63.67     8.67    -0.74     1.27     5.82    21.78     9.10P    1.74R    0.57  
Wycombe              14   21   +3       0.87    56.78     1.57    65.33     8.89     3.72     2.17     8.69    28.66    13.30P    1.20R    0.32  
Hartlepool           15   21   +2      -2.11    35.79    -1.75    67.77     8.97     8.40     3.73    13.95    39.01    21.13P    0.64R    0.18  
Mansfield            15   21   +0       3.19    72.52     3.87    58.58     8.78    -6.87     0.37     2.00     9.46     3.37P    6.54R    2.46  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   21   -2       3.88    76.96     3.23    57.62     8.44   -10.95     0.19     1.20     6.91     2.11P    7.46R    2.73  
Portsmouth           14   20   +1      -3.86    24.48    -5.98    74.80     9.39    17.79    16.19    38.84    68.50    48.49P    0.10R    0.02  
Plymouth             15   18   -5      -0.34    48.53    -2.38    55.58     8.19   -10.77     0.07     0.51     4.01     1.23P   10.52R    4.13  
Cheltenham           15   17   -6      -3.19    28.82    -5.41    58.31     8.66    -7.80     0.27     1.53     8.67     3.20P    6.61R    2.45  
York                 15   16   -3      -1.70    38.81     1.16    52.94     8.39   -11.12     0.03     0.33     2.53     0.77P   17.65R    7.84  
Bristol_Rovers       15   14   -6      -4.30    21.87    -2.90    52.03     8.57   -12.64     0.02     0.27     2.11     0.66P   21.12R   10.02  
Torquay              15   14   -8      -4.95    18.71    -5.56    53.21     8.52   -12.72     0.04     0.34     2.75     0.86P   17.50R    7.70  
Bury                 15   13   -4      -8.22     7.10    -4.94    57.36     9.04    -1.12     0.26     1.52     8.43     3.57P    8.58R    3.63  
Accrington_Stanley   15   11  -10      -5.70    14.26    -4.46    45.30     8.21   -21.83     0.00     0.01     0.23     0.06P   51.30R   32.89  
Northampton          15   10   -9      -8.98     4.43    -6.81    47.85     8.42   -15.86     0.00     0.04     0.62     0.17P   37.62R   20.89  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2013, Hyde_United 1 2 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    17   38  +18      10.37    96.72    11.51    84.99     7.95    29.18    33.70    88.23    45.96P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    17   32  +10       1.81    61.86    -0.87    81.85     7.93    25.83    20.00    79.03    36.78P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            17   31  +14       2.16    64.39     5.05    81.75     8.00    31.10    20.41    79.30    37.26P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          17   30   +8       1.13    57.37    -0.39    78.63     7.89    21.84    10.44    66.17    26.04P    0.00R    0.00  
Salisbury        17   30   +6       7.28    88.75     6.92    67.91     8.56     3.15     1.09    17.87     3.83P    0.58R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   17   29   +9       4.63    78.34     7.30    69.27     7.98     9.67     1.18    21.60     4.69P    0.20R    0.00  
Barnet           17   28   +8      -1.85    37.17    -2.27    78.17     8.12    24.20    10.60    64.39    27.06P    0.00R    0.00  
Welling          17   28   +5       5.86    82.83     7.02    66.67     8.44     2.88     0.72    14.62     2.93P    0.85R    0.01  
Alfreton_Town    17   28   +2       6.02    85.01     4.60    66.28     8.07    -1.18     0.48    12.33     2.15P    0.64R    0.00  
Nuneaton         17   27   +0       5.75    84.12     3.32    62.83     7.81    -6.20     0.14     5.19     0.85P    2.03R    0.01  
Gateshead        17   26   +4       2.09    64.22     3.15    65.93     7.92     4.31     0.35    11.43     2.31P    0.70R    0.00  
Halifax          17   25   +0       4.36    77.15     5.05    60.92     8.41    -6.92     0.13     4.44     0.77P    4.11R    0.05  
Lincoln_City     17   22   +0      -0.11    49.69     1.72    61.07     7.92    -0.83     0.07     3.85     0.73P    2.96R    0.01  
Macclesfield     17   22   -1      -2.07    36.09    -2.11    61.27     8.01    -1.77     0.08     4.17     0.83P    3.01R    0.03  
Forest_Green     17   21   +1      -4.23    23.34    -2.10    63.10     8.14     4.44     0.17     6.83     1.62P    1.87R    0.01  
Southport        17   21   -5       0.60    54.91    -0.36    56.31     7.87   -12.83     0.01     1.01     0.16P   10.37R    0.12  
Wrexham          17   19   -3      -8.44     6.90    -9.65    65.26     8.01     6.83     0.31    10.50     3.07P    0.90R    0.00  
Dartford         17   18  -10      -2.41    34.05    -5.27    52.14     7.81   -19.03     0.01     0.26     0.05P   22.76R    0.43  
Hereford         17   17   -6      -7.03    11.41    -7.15    57.73     7.92    -4.35     0.02     1.54     0.38P    7.12R    0.06  
Tamworth         17   17   -9      -1.09    43.54    -1.16    49.72     7.66   -20.13     0.00     0.11     0.02P   33.09R    1.02  
Chester          18   17  -12      -0.35    49.24    -0.72    45.97     7.67   -26.32     0.00     0.03     0.00P   54.05R    2.46  
Woking           17   14  -10      -5.72    15.85    -3.84    45.97     7.65   -23.45     0.00     0.02     0.00P   53.28R    2.36  
Aldershot        17   13   +2      -4.99    19.86    -5.13    63.11     8.12    17.88     0.11     7.11     2.49P    1.91R    0.03  
Hyde_United      18    3  -31     -12.96     0.33   -14.61    26.21     6.98   -58.31     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.55R   93.41  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10