Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Saturday 9 November 2013 at 23:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2013, Aston_Villa 2 0 Cardiff; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          10   25  +13       4.69    87.34     2.51    77.47     7.69    36.01    33.09    56.06    72.72    84.55    96.77     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        11   23  +11       2.52    71.10     2.63    70.61     7.57    27.18     8.28    21.41    37.80    55.55    85.72     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      11   22  +10       5.48    89.53     8.15    56.66     7.61     6.13     0.19     0.80     2.16     5.02    20.49     0.16R    0.00  
Chelsea          11   21   +8       0.51    53.98    -0.55    71.59     7.48    28.94    10.10    25.31    43.00    61.19    88.81     0.00     0.00  
Everton          11   20   +4       2.21    68.78     0.15    61.86     7.53    11.18     0.78     2.80     7.07    14.42    44.00     0.03R    0.00  
Tottenham        10   20   +4       2.88    75.28    -1.01    64.96     7.80    13.69     2.16     6.89    14.67    26.00    61.12     0.01R    0.00  
Man_City         10   19  +17      -1.97    30.10     4.84    77.07     7.36    49.88    32.72    56.88    73.81    85.50    96.96     0.00     0.00  
Man_Utd          10   17   +4      -2.12    29.68    -4.96    72.37     7.64    31.84    12.64    29.70    48.11    65.71    89.94     0.00     0.00  
West_Brom        11   14   +0       0.19    52.64     2.24    50.93     7.68    -0.69     0.01     0.07     0.33     0.97     6.22     1.94R    0.08  
Aston_Villa      11   14   -1       1.62    65.60     3.40    46.97     7.42    -7.86     0.00     0.01     0.05     0.20     1.98     5.01R    0.28  
Newcastle        10   14   -2       1.82    67.57     1.01    48.34     7.73    -9.80     0.01     0.06     0.18     0.50     3.55     4.15R    0.26  
Hull             11   14   -5       3.64    81.94     2.59    39.08     7.06   -22.52     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.14    28.57R    3.20  
Cardiff          11   12   -6       0.89    59.80    -0.10    40.22     7.29   -20.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.22    23.42R    2.78  
Swansea          10   11   +0      -1.59    36.37     1.54    46.95     7.62    -4.19     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.24     2.34     5.38R    0.29  
Norwich          11   11  -12      -0.17    49.74    -4.85    39.10     7.22   -27.21     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.12    29.57R    3.93  
West_Ham         11   10   -2      -3.60    20.88     0.03    42.55     7.31    -9.37     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.05     0.51    13.78R    1.25  
Fulham           11   10   -9      -2.61    28.13    -4.81    42.48     7.38   -16.91     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.56    15.59R    1.24  
Stoke            10    9   -4      -2.15    30.03    -0.24    42.09     7.40   -10.66     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.06     0.53    15.57R    1.29  
Sunderland       10    4  -15      -6.43     4.85   -10.08    32.75     7.23   -31.37     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    63.44R   15.67  
Crystal_Palace   11    4  -15      -3.86    15.28    -2.49    24.41     6.59   -43.74     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    93.38R   69.74  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2013, Barnsley 0 0 Doncaster; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         15   34  +17       8.80    94.73     9.96    83.94     8.53    28.25    28.33    48.57    87.07    57.84P    0.00R    0.00  
Leicester       15   32   +9       6.30    87.41     1.23    82.33     8.52    20.94    20.95    39.66    82.57    50.65P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             15   32   +9       7.07    90.46     2.64    83.50     8.55    22.10    25.44    45.08    85.62    56.22P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       15   27   +5       3.97    76.02     1.26    73.10     8.48    10.57     3.54     9.14    44.31    16.80P    0.05R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   15   26   +7       3.55    74.00     4.09    71.62     8.60    11.77     2.68     7.29    38.34    14.11P    0.07R    0.00  
Reading         15   24   +5      -0.79    44.18    -1.42    73.86     8.96    16.57     4.90    12.23    49.49    22.56P    0.05R    0.00  
Watford         15   23   +7      -1.01    43.06     1.55    74.09     8.77    20.57     5.10    12.85    51.36    22.98P    0.04R    0.00  
Leeds_United    15   23   +4       2.27    66.23     3.70    66.66     8.63     5.62     0.77     2.36    19.68     5.80P    0.49R    0.03  
Derby           15   22   +6       0.55    54.15     4.81    68.25     8.72    11.63     1.03     3.54    25.84     8.51P    0.35R    0.01  
Brighton        15   21   +4      -2.41    33.00    -0.27    69.23     8.47    12.71     1.35     4.17    28.88    10.98P    0.21R    0.01  
Ipswich         15   20   +3       0.37    53.38     4.41    61.81     8.66     1.88     0.17     0.65     8.59     2.21P    2.04R    0.18  
Wigan           13   19   +4      -2.79    29.46    -1.96    73.44     9.44    18.11     5.18    12.42    48.27    23.31P    0.13R    0.01  
Blackburn       15   19   +1      -2.03    35.93     0.27    63.91     8.62     4.75     0.32     1.09    12.53     3.70P    1.15R    0.08  
Bournemouth     15   18   -9       2.33    67.66    -0.31    50.97     8.66   -25.40     0.01     0.04     0.67     0.12P   23.07R    4.66  
Huddersfield    15   17   +0      -1.59    39.60     3.00    54.58     8.42    -7.55     0.01     0.07     1.51     0.30P   10.33R    1.44  
Middlesbrough   15   16   +1      -4.96    18.45     0.46    56.55     8.73    -2.46     0.03     0.16     2.91     0.76P    7.26R    0.95  
Bolton          15   16   -5      -5.48    16.00    -6.42    60.14     8.68    -2.68     0.11     0.42     5.93     1.62P    3.46R    0.35  
Birmingham      15   14   -5      -6.06    13.25    -4.12    57.58     8.63    -3.36     0.03     0.15     3.30     0.86P    5.92R    0.72  
Charlton        14   14   -6      -4.24    21.63    -4.63    56.29     8.61    -7.98     0.03     0.10     2.37     0.55P    7.59R    1.01  
Millwall        15   14  -13      -2.70    31.54    -7.02    49.03     8.34   -24.96     0.00     0.00     0.24     0.04P   28.93R    6.35  
Doncaster       14   13  -11      -0.71    45.99    -2.49    46.02     8.51   -27.52     0.00     0.00     0.13     0.01P   43.42R   12.57  
Sheff_Wed       14   11   -6      -5.60    13.45    -2.05    48.84     8.63   -15.24     0.00     0.00     0.36     0.06P   28.61R    6.32  
Barnsley        15   11  -15      -4.20    21.42    -6.15    42.29     8.16   -33.45     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00P   61.41R   23.73  
Yeovil          14    9  -12      -2.88    29.25    -0.54    38.75     8.27   -34.87     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00P   75.40R   41.59  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2013, Bristol_City 2 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   15   38  +24      11.92    98.87    15.58    90.05     8.66    38.42    22.76    54.36    96.98    64.81P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   15   36  +19       6.06    86.88     4.66    96.28     8.58    46.66    55.51    80.35    99.42    86.94P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    15   32  +13       3.94    75.25     1.49    88.47     8.83    34.92    18.13    46.16    95.01    61.59P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         15   27   +7       4.89    81.07     4.78    73.41     8.65    12.76     0.57     3.29    50.72    12.59P    0.15R    0.01  
Brentford       15   27   +3       3.65    74.36    -1.08    72.66     8.62     7.69     0.51     2.74    46.04    11.67P    0.18R    0.00  
Bradford        15   23  +10       3.57    73.99    11.64    60.74     8.84     2.60     0.02     0.17     8.76     1.47P    5.79R    0.52  
Swindon         15   23   +9      -3.25    27.25     0.24    76.57     8.72    25.74     1.57     7.26    66.54    25.38P    0.06R    0.00  
MK_Dons         15   22   +4      -2.56    32.15    -2.10    71.63     8.77    14.50     0.43     2.25    43.26    12.59P    0.34R    0.01  
Walsall         15   22   +2       1.25    59.36     1.79    66.24     8.70     4.61     0.04     0.55    20.71     4.32P    1.46R    0.09  
Rotherham       15   21   -1       3.96    76.59     4.88    56.60     8.84   -13.06     0.00     0.03     3.49     0.48P   15.13R    2.06  
Coventry        15   20  +12       4.98    80.87     5.18    71.34     8.86    25.82     0.43     2.60    43.85    13.58P    0.36R    0.02  
Port_Vale       15   20   -3       2.51    68.02     2.24    58.81     8.94    -9.64     0.01     0.06     5.86     0.91P   10.19R    1.23  
Crawley_Town    15   19   -4       0.20    52.09    -0.96    56.76     8.52   -11.62     0.00     0.02     3.30     0.50P   13.48R    1.76  
Colchester      15   17   -5      -0.07    50.58     0.34    54.05     8.49   -13.41     0.00     0.00     1.63     0.25P   21.70R    3.56  
Shrewsbury      15   16   -1      -2.12    35.63     2.54    56.27     8.41    -4.10     0.00     0.02     2.76     0.51P   13.83R    1.85  
Carlisle        15   16  -12       0.13    52.35    -4.24    49.79     8.34   -27.26     0.00     0.00     0.42     0.05P   40.26R    9.69  
Oldham          15   15   -4      -2.50    33.14     0.86    51.59     8.41   -13.02     0.00     0.00     0.90     0.16P   30.08R    5.79  
Gillingham      15   15   -6      -2.15    36.12    -0.46    50.07     8.78   -17.61     0.00     0.00     0.70     0.12P   38.06R    9.43  
Stevenage       15   14   -8      -3.40    26.93    -3.15    51.43     8.44   -15.73     0.00     0.00     0.75     0.11P   31.61R    6.07  
Bristol_City    15   13   -4      -8.60     6.32    -5.21    57.74     9.11    -1.02     0.01     0.08     5.07     1.16P   12.06R    1.74  
Tranmere        15   13  -14      -4.85    19.01    -9.90    50.16     8.43   -22.45     0.00     0.00     0.46     0.06P   37.88R    8.47  
Crewe           15   13  -19      -1.44    40.59    -8.71    42.49     8.04   -40.77     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.00P   74.25R   36.01  
Sheff_Utd       15   12  -10      -9.27     4.15   -11.00    56.22     8.64    -7.37     0.00     0.03     2.82     0.65P   14.68R    2.18  
Notts_County    15   10  -12      -9.08     4.29    -9.40    49.81     8.73   -16.65     0.00     0.00     0.53     0.10P   38.44R    9.52  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Fleetwood_Town       15   28  +10       6.06    86.23     7.91    73.63     8.72    14.66    11.16    31.90    64.28    39.28P    0.07R    0.02  
Oxford_Utd           15   26  +10       3.31    72.22     6.86    73.82     8.66    17.90    11.80    33.09    66.00    41.63P    0.06R    0.01  
Chesterfield         15   26   +7       1.65    61.46     1.50    76.72     8.64    18.93    19.23    45.72    76.86    54.84P    0.02R    0.00  
Rochdale             15   26   +4       3.53    73.53     1.23    71.56     8.84     8.43     7.61    24.20    54.34    31.20P    0.16R    0.03  
Morecambe            15   25   +2       4.52    79.23     2.17    67.27     8.70     1.74     2.89    11.64    35.15    16.29P    0.61R    0.16  
Exeter               15   24   +3       1.83    62.95     0.63    69.51     8.71     7.51     4.86    17.29    45.63    24.26P    0.34R    0.08  
Burton_Albion        15   24   +2       3.98    76.29     2.87    67.72     8.78     3.67     3.16    12.41    37.37    17.82P    0.66R    0.21  
Scunthorpe           15   24   +0       0.56    53.84    -4.28    71.88     8.97     7.96     8.32    25.26    55.85    33.61P    0.19R    0.05  
Southend             15   23   +4      -0.12    49.26     0.22    71.04     8.61    12.20     6.45    22.25    53.74    31.03P    0.15R    0.03  
Newport_County       15   23   +3       5.94    85.92     8.50    56.71     8.66   -10.75     0.20     1.26     6.53     2.09P    9.32R    3.55  
Dag_&_Red            15   23   +2       2.98    70.85     2.76    63.67     8.64    -0.71     1.24     5.75    21.71     8.94P    1.67R    0.51  
Wycombe              14   21   +3       0.94    57.29     1.68    65.32     8.86     3.72     2.08     8.51    28.55    12.91P    1.19R    0.36  
Hartlepool           15   21   +2      -2.21    34.60    -1.87    67.99     8.92     8.75     3.79    14.22    39.82    21.64P    0.59R    0.15  
Mansfield            15   21   +0       3.25    72.78     3.94    58.56     8.76    -6.97     0.29     1.84     9.46     3.28P    6.36R    2.41  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   21   -2       3.83    76.26     3.13    57.75     8.48   -10.73     0.18     1.20     7.15     2.19P    7.27R    2.69  
Portsmouth           14   20   +1      -3.86    24.28    -6.00    74.85     9.38    17.83    16.11    38.91    68.94    48.80P    0.12R    0.03  
Plymouth             15   18   -5      -0.34    48.34    -2.41    55.58     8.14   -10.81     0.07     0.52     3.99     1.21P   10.29R    3.94  
Cheltenham           15   17   -6      -3.15    28.98    -5.36    58.17     8.62    -8.02     0.22     1.53     8.21     3.06P    6.70R    2.44  
York                 15   16   -3      -1.79    38.03     1.02    53.09     8.46   -10.86     0.04     0.33     2.66     0.78P   17.14R    7.51  
Bristol_Rovers       15   14   -6      -4.39    21.68    -3.06    52.12     8.56   -12.43     0.03     0.27     2.14     0.66P   20.99R    9.71  
Torquay              15   14   -8      -4.85    19.05    -5.44    53.19     8.53   -12.72     0.04     0.38     2.64     0.88P   17.39R    7.76  
Bury                 15   13   -4      -8.12     7.11    -4.80    57.18     8.96    -1.38     0.24     1.44     8.12     3.34P    8.81R    3.54  
Accrington_Stanley   15   11  -10      -5.60    14.62    -4.37    45.17     8.24   -22.01     0.01     0.02     0.23     0.07P   51.92R   33.60  
Northampton          15   10   -9      -9.01     4.54    -6.82    47.79     8.42   -15.92     0.00     0.06     0.63     0.20P   37.99R   21.21  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 9 November 2013, Hyde_United 1 2 Chester; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    17   38  +18      10.28    96.69    11.38    85.04     7.88    29.24    33.30    88.68    46.31P    0.00R    0.00  
Kidderminster    17   32  +10       1.81    61.73    -0.87    81.94     7.96    26.02    20.17    79.29    37.38P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            17   31  +14       2.09    64.00     4.97    81.78     7.91    31.12    20.26    79.69    37.23P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          17   30   +8       1.17    57.56    -0.35    78.68     7.93    21.87    10.67    65.92    25.75P    0.00R    0.00  
Salisbury        17   30   +6       7.50    89.83     7.19    67.65     8.47     2.70     0.93    17.09     3.44P    0.55R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   17   29   +9       4.63    78.69     7.32    69.24     7.94     9.63     1.18    21.16     4.52P    0.19R    0.00  
Barnet           17   28   +8      -1.91    36.76    -2.32    78.19     8.14    24.27    10.94    64.37    27.14P    0.01R    0.00  
Welling          17   28   +5       5.80    82.73     6.91    66.78     8.41     3.06     0.72    14.83     3.03P    0.82R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town    17   28   +2       6.06    84.99     4.61    66.18     8.05    -1.32     0.46    11.75     2.01P    0.78R    0.00  
Nuneaton         17   27   +0       5.59    83.36     3.10    63.01     7.87    -5.94     0.12     5.77     0.99P    1.80R    0.00  
Gateshead        17   26   +4       2.06    64.07     3.06    66.03     7.94     4.49     0.36    11.86     2.37P    0.69R    0.00  
Halifax          17   25   +0       4.29    76.53     4.99    60.91     8.52    -6.86     0.10     4.49     0.76P    4.23R    0.05  
Lincoln_City     17   22   +0      -0.00    50.93     1.88    61.00     7.99    -0.96     0.08     3.86     0.73P    3.06R    0.02  
Macclesfield     17   22   -1      -2.00    36.69    -1.96    61.12     7.96    -2.01     0.08     3.99     0.85P    2.99R    0.03  
Forest_Green     17   21   +1      -4.25    22.83    -2.15    63.15     8.04     4.56     0.14     6.76     1.50P    1.74R    0.01  
Southport        17   21   -5       0.51    54.32    -0.49    56.41     7.82   -12.67     0.02     0.99     0.17P    9.81R    0.11  
Wrexham          17   19   -3      -8.43     7.00    -9.68    65.29     7.98     6.92     0.33    10.41     3.02P    0.90R    0.00  
Dartford         17   18  -10      -2.48    33.69    -5.34    52.24     7.81   -18.86     0.00     0.27     0.03P   22.31R    0.42  
Hereford         17   17   -6      -6.97    11.62    -7.06    57.68     7.91    -4.45     0.01     1.56     0.31P    7.08R    0.08  
Tamworth         17   17   -9      -1.16    42.92    -1.30    49.93     7.65   -19.79     0.00     0.09     0.02P   31.75R    1.03  
Chester          18   17  -12      -0.25    49.95    -0.51    45.72     7.56   -26.76     0.00     0.02     0.00P   55.55R    2.57  
Woking           17   14  -10      -5.63    16.42    -3.65    45.70     7.74   -23.93     0.00     0.03     0.00P   54.35R    2.77  
Aldershot        17   13   +2      -5.04    19.61    -5.21    63.10     8.16    17.92     0.12     7.13     2.43P    1.97R    0.02  
Hyde_United      18    3  -31     -12.90     0.29   -14.52    26.27     7.06   -58.25     0.00     0.00     0.00    99.42R   92.90  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10