Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Thursday 7 November 2013 at 23:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 November 2013, Cardiff 1 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          10   25  +13       4.62    86.89     2.43    77.16     7.66    35.13    30.80    53.73    70.84    83.64    96.67     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          10   20   +8       1.57    64.02     0.64    73.40     7.68    31.08    14.92    33.66    53.13    69.95    92.07     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        10   20   +7       2.07    68.31     0.58    68.29     7.79    21.84     5.03    13.97    26.40    42.64    77.40     0.00R    0.00  
Tottenham        10   20   +4       2.94    75.53    -0.86    65.06     7.80    13.81     2.11     6.71    14.79    26.62    61.77     0.01R    0.00  
Man_City         10   19  +17      -1.92    30.46     5.08    77.36     7.37    50.20    33.38    57.79    74.92    86.21    97.28     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      10   19   +7       4.81    87.50     6.43    54.45     7.71     2.41     0.06     0.38     1.15     2.95    14.07     0.56R    0.01  
Everton          10   19   +4       3.03    75.77     0.81    63.55     7.74    13.06     1.44     4.76    10.72    20.51    54.32     0.02R    0.00  
Man_Utd          10   17   +4      -2.18    29.14    -5.06    72.31     7.65    31.34    12.22    28.84    47.49    65.47    90.12     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        10   14   -2       1.90    68.06     1.11    48.59     7.76    -9.13     0.01     0.04     0.17     0.52     3.75     3.99R    0.22  
Hull             10   14   -2       4.11    85.47     3.93    41.10     7.30   -17.70     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.37    19.84R    1.64  
West_Brom        10   13   +0       0.04    51.16     1.26    49.70     7.75    -3.08     0.01     0.06     0.22     0.72     4.95     2.83R    0.07  
Cardiff          10   12   -4       1.69    67.05     1.05    41.87     7.62   -17.69     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.08     0.58    18.10R    1.66  
Swansea          10   11   +0      -1.60    36.26     1.52    46.62     7.60    -4.46     0.00     0.02     0.05     0.24     2.17     6.09R    0.26  
Aston_Villa      10   11   -3       0.60    57.16     2.26    45.39     7.69    -9.73     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.16     1.63     8.42R    0.57  
West_Ham         10   10   +0      -2.53    28.07     1.56    44.45     7.53    -6.19     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.13     1.19     9.63R    0.69  
Fulham           10   10   -5      -2.48    28.54    -2.92    44.08     7.64   -12.20     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.11     1.04    11.53R    0.69  
Stoke            10    9   -4      -2.16    30.03    -0.35    41.87     7.34   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.50    16.14R    1.16  
Norwich          10    8  -14      -1.36    37.90    -6.35    36.68     7.41   -30.16     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    43.11R    6.68  
Sunderland       10    4  -15      -6.42     4.82   -10.09    32.46     7.18   -31.54     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    65.29R   14.38  
Crystal_Palace   10    3  -15      -3.89    13.31    -3.01    23.56     6.77   -46.14     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.43R   71.98  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Birmingham 0 1 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         14   33  +17       9.63    96.86    10.70    85.85     8.76    30.87    31.55    53.81    91.07    63.01P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       14   32  +11       7.51    92.71     2.90    85.19     8.72    25.23    28.02    49.51    89.64    60.24P    0.00R    0.00  
QPR             14   31   +9       7.51    92.51     2.72    83.21     8.85    21.30    19.94    39.74    84.47    51.98P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       14   27   +6       5.51    84.63     2.50    75.53     8.73    13.22     4.89    12.79    56.68    22.44P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading         14   23   +5      -0.47    46.01    -1.53    74.59     9.15    17.14     4.74    12.14    53.54    23.59P    0.06R    0.00  
Nott'm_Forest   14   23   +5       2.03    65.08     2.25    68.24     8.77     7.23     0.98     3.09    25.74     7.88P    0.35R    0.01  
Watford         14   22   +7      -0.60    45.47     1.56    74.59     8.88    20.71     4.28    11.75    54.48    22.80P    0.05R    0.00  
Leeds_United    14   20   +2       0.98    57.97     2.23    63.53     8.74     1.43     0.20     0.91    12.27     3.25P    1.47R    0.12  
Blackburn       14   19   +4      -1.48    39.31     2.10    66.21     8.85     9.28     0.47     1.86    19.90     5.95P    0.81R    0.07  
Wigan           13   19   +4      -2.61    30.54    -1.74    73.19     9.35    17.77     3.76     9.92    48.06    21.20P    0.12R    0.00  
Derby           14   19   +3      -0.11    49.73     3.29    65.82     8.85     7.42     0.46     1.62    18.54     5.16P    0.87R    0.06  
Brighton        14   18   +1      -3.38    26.27    -2.32    66.61     8.58     8.36     0.47     1.81    20.33     6.60P    0.55R    0.04  
Ipswich         14   17   +2      -1.36    40.53     3.23    58.81     8.73    -1.05     0.05     0.25     5.14     1.18P    4.81R    0.48  
Huddersfield    14   17   +2      -0.59    46.37     4.39    57.13     8.58    -3.56     0.03     0.13     3.26     0.70P    6.60R    0.84  
Bournemouth     14   17   -9       2.42    68.98    -0.78    49.80     8.69   -28.25     0.00     0.02     0.54     0.10P   28.93R    6.72  
Middlesbrough   14   15   +1      -4.46    19.87     0.57    56.77     8.87    -2.69     0.03     0.14     3.49     0.84P    7.97R    1.02  
Charlton        13   14   -4      -2.98    28.20    -2.88    59.04     8.76    -3.73     0.04     0.21     4.92     1.12P    4.74R    0.59  
Millwall        14   14  -11      -2.19    34.42    -6.49    50.67     8.45   -22.40     0.00     0.01     0.45     0.09P   24.42R    4.60  
Bolton          14   13   -7      -6.36    11.03    -7.32    58.23     8.85    -4.98     0.06     0.18     4.35     1.11P    6.20R    0.78  
Doncaster       13   12  -11      -0.47    47.85    -2.52    46.15     8.67   -28.19     0.00     0.00     0.17     0.02P   44.64R   13.49  
Sheff_Wed       13   11   -3      -5.30    14.20    -0.78    51.07     8.78   -10.97     0.01     0.02     0.80     0.16P   21.83R    4.19  
Birmingham      14   11   -7      -7.42     7.40    -5.72    55.16     8.79    -6.45     0.02     0.08     2.13     0.56P   11.09R    1.64  
Barnsley        14   10  -15      -3.63    23.96    -5.75    43.43     8.42   -32.51     0.00     0.00     0.04     0.01P   57.28R   21.25  
Yeovil          14    9  -12      -2.91    28.67    -0.59    38.60     8.25   -35.18     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.00    77.19R   44.12  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Tuesday 5 November 2013, Bristol_City 2 0 Crawley_Town; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   15   38  +24      11.94    98.88    15.58    90.10     8.70    38.49    22.73    54.02    96.99    64.66P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   15   36  +19       6.03    86.93     4.60    96.50     8.60    46.97    56.20    80.54    99.40    87.30P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    15   32  +13       3.91    75.24     1.50    88.53     8.82    35.03    17.71    46.29    95.25    61.85P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         15   27   +7       4.82    80.76     4.69    73.63     8.68    13.10     0.65     3.57    51.53    13.06P    0.15R    0.01  
Brentford       15   27   +3       3.58    73.66    -1.15    72.75     8.61     7.81     0.51     2.88    46.49    11.74P    0.14R    0.01  
Bradford        15   23  +10       3.58    73.92    11.68    60.72     8.84     2.46     0.01     0.14     8.84     1.51P    5.85R    0.51  
Swindon         15   23   +9      -3.26    27.52     0.25    76.55     8.65    25.70     1.37     7.03    66.66    25.04P    0.05R    0.00  
MK_Dons         15   22   +4      -2.55    32.46    -2.11    71.58     8.82    14.48     0.38     2.26    42.81    12.48P    0.35R    0.02  
Walsall         15   22   +2       1.28    59.58     1.83    66.20     8.68     4.51     0.08     0.53    19.96     4.18P    1.53R    0.08  
Rotherham       15   21   -1       3.97    76.68     4.92    56.47     8.85   -13.25     0.00     0.03     3.47     0.50P   15.48R    2.00  
Coventry        15   20  +12       4.94    80.53     5.07    71.34     8.75    25.84     0.34     2.49    43.38    13.06P    0.37R    0.02  
Port_Vale       15   20   -3       2.53    68.04     2.27    58.84     9.02    -9.61     0.01     0.07     6.04     0.98P   10.15R    1.30  
Crawley_Town    15   19   -4       0.25    52.73    -0.86    56.70     8.51   -11.76     0.00     0.03     3.16     0.50P   13.58R    1.75  
Colchester      15   17   -5      -0.08    50.70     0.32    54.06     8.43   -13.48     0.00     0.00     1.66     0.21P   21.28R    3.46  
Shrewsbury      15   16   -1      -2.17    35.09     2.49    56.31     8.38    -4.04     0.00     0.02     2.64     0.43P   13.58R    1.89  
Carlisle        15   16  -12       0.11    52.27    -4.27    49.76     8.41   -27.29     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.07P   40.21R    9.84  
Oldham          15   15   -4      -2.67    31.82     0.59    51.82     8.48   -12.60     0.00     0.00     0.97     0.15P   28.95R    5.49  
Gillingham      15   15   -6      -2.04    36.73    -0.29    49.77     8.66   -18.11     0.00     0.00     0.59     0.09P   39.21R    9.16  
Stevenage       15   14   -8      -3.27    27.55    -2.95    51.19     8.46   -16.05     0.00     0.00     0.62     0.10P   32.31R    6.52  
Bristol_City    15   13   -4      -8.68     6.34    -5.29    57.80     9.27    -0.88     0.00     0.07     5.17     1.33P   12.26R    1.97  
Tranmere        15   13  -14      -4.83    18.91    -9.89    50.22     8.44   -22.39     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.06P   37.34R    8.43  
Crewe           15   13  -19      -1.40    40.91    -8.65    42.43     8.06   -40.92     0.00     0.00     0.03     0.00P   74.18R   36.00  
Sheff_Utd       15   12  -10      -9.29     3.96   -11.00    56.28     8.60    -7.30     0.00     0.01     2.73     0.59P   14.48R    2.05  
Notts_County    15   10  -12      -9.04     4.49    -9.37    49.71     8.71   -16.71     0.00     0.00     0.58     0.09P   38.56R    9.49  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Fleetwood_Town       15   28  +10       6.02    85.94     7.85    73.77     8.74    14.82    11.64    32.53    64.77    39.72P    0.06R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           15   26  +10       3.20    71.69     6.71    73.90     8.67    18.04    11.93    33.70    66.56    42.12P    0.02R    0.00  
Chesterfield         15   26   +7       1.72    62.09     1.57    76.61     8.52    18.85    18.31    44.89    76.90    54.27P    0.02R    0.01  
Rochdale             15   26   +4       3.58    73.77     1.28    71.53     8.83     8.37     7.58    23.64    54.17    30.64P    0.17R    0.05  
Morecambe            15   25   +2       4.43    78.77     2.02    67.33     8.65     1.86     2.88    11.27    35.16    16.33P    0.59R    0.17  
Exeter               15   24   +3       1.74    62.76     0.49    69.66     8.82     7.78     5.19    17.83    46.15    24.91P    0.34R    0.09  
Burton_Albion        15   24   +2       3.94    75.81     2.80    67.77     8.66     3.71     3.10    12.14    37.38    17.52P    0.58R    0.15  
Scunthorpe           15   24   +0       0.56    53.96    -4.25    71.91     8.99     8.02     8.49    25.27    55.20    33.34P    0.16R    0.06  
Southend             15   23   +4      -0.14    48.93     0.19    71.14     8.63    12.29     6.72    22.51    53.54    30.99P    0.17R    0.05  
Newport_County       15   23   +3       5.92    85.62     8.45    56.79     8.65   -10.64     0.20     1.21     6.56     2.02P    8.94R    3.34  
Dag_&_Red            15   23   +2       2.98    70.53     2.76    63.66     8.62    -0.77     1.16     5.64    21.58     8.83P    1.76R    0.50  
Wycombe              14   21   +3       0.92    57.17     1.64    65.40     8.91     3.84     2.14     9.05    28.79    13.58P    1.14R    0.34  
Hartlepool           15   21   +2      -2.21    34.90    -1.89    68.10     9.00     8.88     4.09    14.68    40.57    22.11P    0.59R    0.18  
Mansfield            15   21   +0       3.20    72.37     3.88    58.68     8.74    -6.77     0.34     1.86     9.42     3.36P    6.12R    2.22  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   21   -2       3.89    76.69     3.27    57.51     8.45   -11.11     0.20     1.19     6.65     2.11P    7.55R    2.89  
Portsmouth           14   20   +1      -3.76    24.84    -5.87    74.67     9.31    17.54    15.35    38.13    68.22    47.92P    0.12R    0.03  
Plymouth             15   18   -5      -0.33    48.58    -2.38    55.65     8.21   -10.65     0.06     0.47     4.10     1.23P   10.26R    3.96  
Cheltenham           15   17   -6      -3.13    29.25    -5.30    58.13     8.65    -8.15     0.25     1.53     8.26     3.14P    6.91R    2.56  
York                 15   16   -3      -1.75    38.38     1.08    52.91     8.38   -11.11     0.04     0.31     2.43     0.76P   17.54R    7.84  
Bristol_Rovers       15   14   -6      -4.26    22.08    -2.83    51.96     8.49   -12.73     0.04     0.23     1.93     0.58P   21.22R    9.80  
Torquay              15   14   -8      -4.92    18.80    -5.53    53.27     8.53   -12.62     0.04     0.37     2.81     0.95P   17.21R    7.68  
Bury                 15   13   -4      -8.16     7.05    -4.87    57.25     9.04    -1.28     0.24     1.46     8.10     3.31P    8.71R    3.64  
Accrington_Stanley   15   11  -10      -5.59    14.55    -4.32    45.20     8.13   -22.03     0.00     0.02     0.21     0.06P   51.30R   32.54  
Northampton          15   10   -9      -8.95     4.54    -6.76    47.63     8.43   -16.14     0.00     0.06     0.55     0.19P   38.52R   21.89  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Alfreton_Town 3 0 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    17   38  +18      10.33    96.68    11.44    85.00     7.90    29.22    33.37    88.39    46.16P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    17   32  +10       1.74    61.49    -0.99    82.01     7.93    26.14    20.68    79.70    37.60P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            17   31  +14       2.12    64.15     5.00    81.83     7.93    31.27    20.19    79.74    37.13P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          17   30   +8       1.21    57.74    -0.26    78.60     7.88    21.80    10.45    65.97    25.72P    0.00R    0.00  
Salisbury        17   30   +6       7.33    89.17     6.94    67.95     8.46     3.19     1.01    17.77     3.76P    0.44R    0.00  
Braintree_Town   17   29   +9       4.64    78.91     7.30    69.26     8.05     9.63     1.21    21.63     4.85P    0.20R    0.00  
Barnet           17   28   +8      -1.91    36.91    -2.32    78.15     8.14    24.25    10.56    63.83    26.53P    0.01R    0.00  
Welling          17   28   +5       5.95    83.19     7.12    66.61     8.35     2.74     0.67    14.17     2.90P    0.68R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town    17   28   +2       6.03    84.95     4.57    66.21     8.13    -1.35     0.44    12.08     2.05P    0.70R    0.01  
Nuneaton         17   27   +0       5.51    82.99     2.97    63.23     7.80    -5.58     0.16     5.80     0.97P    1.40R    0.01  
Gateshead        17   26   +4       2.12    64.16     3.15    65.89     7.94     4.23     0.38    11.31     2.31P    0.55R    0.00  
Halifax          17   25   +0       4.23    76.49     4.89    60.91     8.43    -6.89     0.10     4.46     0.72P    3.69R    0.08  
Lincoln_City     17   22   +0       0.03    50.62     1.92    60.97     8.00    -1.04     0.06     3.89     0.72P    2.74R    0.04  
Macclesfield     17   22   -1      -2.07    36.36    -2.08    61.09     7.95    -2.04     0.07     4.03     0.85P    2.65R    0.02  
Forest_Green     17   21   +1      -4.28    23.02    -2.16    63.22     8.11     4.66     0.18     7.05     1.67P    1.66R    0.02  
Southport        17   21   -5       0.68    55.65    -0.26    56.23     7.76   -13.01     0.01     0.87     0.11P    9.25R    0.17  
Wrexham          17   19   -3      -8.40     6.97    -9.60    65.18     7.94     6.74     0.31    10.20     2.95P    0.83R    0.00  
Dartford         17   18  -10      -2.54    33.33    -5.38    52.23     7.80   -18.91     0.00     0.25     0.03P   20.84R    0.62  
Hereford         17   17   -6      -6.97    11.43    -7.06    57.68     7.93    -4.50     0.01     1.53     0.35P    6.55R    0.15  
Tamworth         17   17   -9      -1.06    43.69    -1.12    49.73     7.68   -20.06     0.00     0.09     0.01P   30.87R    1.42  
Woking           17   14  -10      -5.72    15.97    -3.79    45.92     7.66   -23.61     0.00     0.02     0.00P   51.11R    3.55  
Chester          17   14  -13      -1.71    39.38    -1.18    43.24     7.85   -29.03     0.00     0.01     0.00P   65.40R    7.59  
Aldershot        17   13   +2      -5.10    19.28    -5.27    63.14     8.13    17.93     0.15     7.20     2.62P    1.72R    0.02  
Hyde_United      17    3  -30     -11.67     0.52   -13.83    28.42     7.26   -55.78     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.69R   86.31  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10