Prediction of final league standings, promotion and relegation

Updated Sunday 3 November 2013 at 23:00:01 GMT

Premier League    (Latest match accounted for: Sunday 3 November 2013, Cardiff 1 0 Swansea; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ------------------- Percentage chance --------------------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top3     Top4     Top6     Bot3     Bot1

Arsenal          10   25  +13       4.61    86.87     2.43    77.24     7.76    35.30    31.33    53.68    70.75    83.56    96.61     0.00     0.00  
Chelsea          10   20   +8       1.54    64.07     0.60    73.43     7.66    31.14    15.00    33.63    52.54    69.95    92.35     0.00     0.00  
Liverpool        10   20   +7       2.05    68.12     0.51    68.47     7.77    22.13     5.03    14.37    27.20    43.48    78.19     0.00     0.00  
Tottenham        10   20   +4       2.90    75.33    -0.95    65.23     7.87    14.05     2.24     7.16    15.36    27.00    62.51     0.00R    0.00  
Man_City         10   19  +17      -1.92    30.69     5.16    77.28     7.48    49.96    32.86    56.91    74.03    85.54    97.07     0.00     0.00  
Southampton      10   19   +7       4.90    87.85     6.54    54.31     7.74     2.18     0.09     0.37     1.13     2.76    13.71     0.60R    0.01  
Everton          10   19   +4       3.09    76.36     0.88    63.44     7.77    12.92     1.25     4.60    10.44    20.01    53.30     0.03R    0.00  
Man_Utd          10   17   +4      -2.23    28.80    -5.14    72.41     7.64    31.57    12.19    29.12    47.94    65.78    90.20     0.00     0.00  
Newcastle        10   14   -2       1.96    68.38     1.17    48.45     7.78    -9.41     0.01     0.04     0.17     0.55     3.65     4.14R    0.21  
Hull             10   14   -2       4.11    85.69     3.87    41.00     7.25   -17.81     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.33    19.98R    1.68  
West_Brom        10   13   +0      -0.04    50.18     1.17    49.79     7.78    -2.90     0.01     0.07     0.25     0.74     5.10     2.79R    0.13  
Cardiff          10   12   -4       1.74    67.58     1.10    41.79     7.58   -17.84     0.00     0.01     0.01     0.04     0.52    18.19R    1.63  
Swansea          10   11   +0      -1.57    36.62     1.55    46.60     7.59    -4.50     0.00     0.02     0.06     0.22     2.18     5.71R    0.28  
Aston_Villa      10   11   -3       0.59    57.34     2.22    45.48     7.64    -9.62     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.15     1.51     8.21R    0.61  
West_Ham         10   10   +0      -2.54    27.96     1.56    44.48     7.57    -6.15     0.00     0.01     0.04     0.09     1.17     9.70R    0.63  
Fulham           10   10   -5      -2.47    28.55    -2.88    43.93     7.60   -12.47     0.00     0.01     0.02     0.07     1.06    11.42R    0.65  
Stoke            10    9   -4      -2.16    29.82    -0.34    41.85     7.35   -10.83     0.00     0.00     0.01     0.03     0.45    16.33R    1.25  
Norwich          10    8  -14      -1.36    37.97    -6.33    36.60     7.41   -30.34     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.08    43.52R    6.87  
Sunderland       10    4  -15      -6.44     4.81   -10.11    32.53     7.25   -31.42     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.01    65.06R   14.50  
Crystal_Palace   10    3  -15      -3.90    13.29    -2.99    23.63     6.77   -45.96     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    94.33R   71.55  



Championship    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Birmingham 0 1 Charlton; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot3     Bot1

Burnley         14   33  +17       9.65    96.92    10.73    85.65     8.74    30.56    30.43    52.85    90.55    61.93P    0.00     0.00  
Leicester       14   32  +11       7.49    92.87     2.86    85.27     8.66    25.30    28.21    49.76    89.79    60.28P    0.00     0.00  
QPR             14   31   +9       7.37    92.22     2.56    83.48     8.81    21.70    21.15    40.94    85.10    53.02P    0.00     0.00  
Blackpool       14   27   +6       5.56    84.91     2.58    75.39     8.66    12.97     4.61    12.08    56.13    21.77P    0.02R    0.00  
Reading         14   23   +5      -0.51    45.90    -1.57    74.50     9.15    16.94     4.45    12.06    53.25    23.17P    0.06R    0.01  
Nott'm_Forest   14   23   +5       1.97    64.61     2.12    68.55     8.73     7.69     1.02     3.17    26.69     8.18P    0.27R    0.01  
Watford         14   22   +7      -0.61    45.43     1.51    74.54     8.88    20.65     4.33    11.62    53.89    23.06P    0.07R    0.00  
Leeds_United    14   20   +2       1.01    58.27     2.25    63.49     8.74     1.44     0.20     0.82    12.11     3.03P    1.50R    0.09  
Blackburn       14   19   +4      -1.49    39.37     2.06    66.30     8.76     9.43     0.57     1.82    19.93     5.98P    0.62R    0.05  
Wigan           13   19   +4      -2.62    30.55    -1.76    73.32     9.36    17.94     3.77    10.15    48.46    21.57P    0.14R    0.01  
Derby           14   19   +3      -0.08    50.06     3.27    65.83     8.92     7.46     0.49     1.74    18.89     5.26P    0.93R    0.07  
Brighton        14   18   +1      -3.37    26.26    -2.31    66.68     8.64     8.42     0.54     1.90    20.24     6.81P    0.57R    0.04  
Ipswich         14   17   +2      -1.31    40.82     3.33    58.72     8.80    -1.19     0.06     0.27     4.88     1.09P    5.06R    0.60  
Huddersfield    14   17   +2      -0.58    46.42     4.44    57.16     8.62    -3.55     0.02     0.13     3.17     0.65P    6.75R    0.88  
Bournemouth     14   17   -9       2.35    68.29    -0.89    49.98     8.71   -27.95     0.00     0.01     0.50     0.09P   27.78R    6.12  
Middlesbrough   14   15   +1      -4.47    19.82     0.56    56.91     8.89    -2.42     0.05     0.17     3.53     0.87P    7.62R    0.97  
Charlton        13   14   -4      -2.99    28.11    -2.92    58.96     8.81    -3.91     0.05     0.24     4.87     1.27P    5.01R    0.58  
Millwall        14   14  -11      -2.11    35.16    -6.32    50.45     8.49   -22.78     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.09P   24.83R    5.02  
Bolton          14   13   -7      -6.40    10.99    -7.38    58.37     8.84    -4.73     0.05     0.20     4.41     1.17P    5.94R    0.69  
Doncaster       13   12  -11      -0.39    48.67    -2.39    45.95     8.73   -28.51     0.00     0.00     0.16     0.02P   45.22R   14.12  
Sheff_Wed       13   11   -3      -5.41    13.60    -0.91    51.10     8.91   -10.89     0.01     0.01     0.90     0.19P   21.84R    4.23  
Birmingham      14   11   -7      -7.22     8.00    -5.42    54.84     8.84    -6.95     0.00     0.05     2.04     0.48P   11.69R    1.88  
Barnsley        14   10  -15      -3.59    24.15    -5.70    43.42     8.38   -32.56     0.00     0.00     0.05     0.01P   57.17R   21.15  
Yeovil          14    9  -12      -2.97    28.30    -0.70    38.62     8.23   -35.07     0.00     0.00     0.00     0.00    76.91R   43.48  



League 1    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Bristol_City 1 1 Oldham; Check up-to-date)
               -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team           Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top2     Top6  2+[3-6]     Bot4     Bot1

Leyton_Orient   15   38  +24      11.84    98.82    15.46    90.00     8.69    38.39    19.67    52.93    96.97    63.97P    0.00     0.00  
Wolverhampton   14   35  +19       6.91    91.39     5.47    98.16     8.78    48.95    61.49    84.15    99.61    89.59P    0.00     0.00  
Peterborough    15   32  +13       3.97    75.45     1.56    88.46     8.93    34.92    15.88    44.44    94.95    60.45P    0.00     0.00  
Preston         15   27   +7       4.97    81.64     4.87    73.51     8.69    12.92     0.48     3.27    50.81    12.57P    0.15R    0.01  
Brentford       15   27   +3       3.66    74.24    -1.08    72.53     8.59     7.52     0.40     2.62    45.46    11.34P    0.14R    0.01  
Bradford        15   23  +10       3.56    73.99    11.60    60.83     8.79     2.67     0.02     0.18     8.88     1.47P    5.49R    0.48  
Swindon         15   23   +9      -3.32    26.93     0.12    76.73     8.71    26.00     1.28     7.11    67.53    25.64P    0.04R    0.00  
MK_Dons         15   22   +4      -2.71    31.06    -2.29    71.77     8.76    14.79     0.40     2.26    43.78    12.83P    0.25R    0.01  
Walsall         15   22   +2       1.26    59.30     1.81    66.29     8.67     4.63     0.06     0.55    20.56     4.46P    1.29R    0.09  
Rotherham       15   21   -1       4.06    77.17     5.08    56.45     8.82   -13.30     0.00     0.02     3.22     0.42P   15.27R    2.05  
Coventry        15   20  +12       5.09    81.48     5.34    71.17     8.88    25.52     0.30     2.25    42.99    12.73P    0.37R    0.02  
Port_Vale       15   20   -3       2.60    68.56     2.46    58.53     9.01   -10.07     0.01     0.08     5.49     0.94P   10.61R    1.38  
Crawley_Town    14   19   -2       0.99    57.91     0.14    58.47     8.83    -9.20     0.01     0.06     5.14     0.81P   10.12R    1.25  
Colchester      15   17   -5       0.02    51.31     0.45    53.84     8.36   -13.78     0.00     0.00     1.44     0.20P   21.25R    3.53  
Shrewsbury      15   16   -1      -2.18    35.07     2.44    56.43     8.45    -3.84     0.00     0.02     2.89     0.49P   13.14R    1.88  
Oldham          15   15   -4      -2.58    32.36     0.70    51.65     8.43   -12.84     0.00     0.00     0.87     0.13P   29.16R    5.64  
Gillingham      15   15   -6      -2.29    35.01    -0.69    50.22     8.69   -17.34     0.00     0.00     0.63     0.11P   36.55R    8.54  
Carlisle        14   15  -12      -0.04    50.99    -5.20    48.97     8.54   -29.26     0.00     0.00     0.48     0.07P   43.87R   11.54  
Stevenage       15   14   -8      -3.33    27.27    -3.06    51.34     8.50   -15.82     0.00     0.00     0.68     0.11P   31.39R    6.25  
Tranmere        15   13  -14      -4.87    18.91    -9.92    50.22     8.40   -22.31     0.00     0.00     0.47     0.06P   36.78R    8.18  
Crewe           15   13  -19      -1.44    40.82    -8.73    42.54     7.99   -40.68     0.00     0.00     0.02     0.00    73.71R   34.53  
Sheff_Utd       15   12  -10      -9.34     4.01   -11.15    56.33     8.66    -7.23     0.00     0.02     2.93     0.71P   14.20R    1.99  
Bristol_City    14   10   -6      -9.53     3.84    -6.07    55.65     9.45    -3.82     0.00     0.03     3.65     0.82P   17.69R    3.32  
Notts_County    15   10  -12      -9.01     4.53    -9.30    49.68     8.71   -16.80     0.00     0.00     0.54     0.10P   38.52R    9.29  

Adjustments:
Coventry        -10



League 2    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Accrington_Stanley 1 1 Wycombe; Check up-to-date)
                    -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     --------------- Percentage chance ---------------
Team                Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top3     Top7  3+[4-7]     Bot2     Bot1

Fleetwood_Town       15   28  +10       6.06    85.89     7.92    73.71     8.71    14.74    11.20    31.98    64.62    39.40P    0.06R    0.01  
Oxford_Utd           15   26  +10       3.30    72.43     6.84    73.82     8.59    17.92    11.60    32.72    66.34    41.52P    0.06R    0.02  
Chesterfield         15   26   +7       1.66    61.66     1.46    76.84     8.55    19.11    19.22    46.12    77.10    55.46P    0.01R    0.00  
Rochdale             15   26   +4       3.53    73.20     1.22    71.53     8.84     8.33     7.47    23.72    54.14    30.81P    0.16R    0.03  
Morecambe            15   25   +2       4.47    78.95     2.07    67.28     8.73     1.78     3.02    11.59    34.93    16.36P    0.59R    0.13  
Exeter               15   24   +3       1.81    62.78     0.61    69.52     8.77     7.56     4.92    17.25    45.56    24.12P    0.30R    0.08  
Burton_Albion        15   24   +2       3.88    75.69     2.76    67.90     8.81     3.95     3.10    12.82    38.04    18.11P    0.61R    0.18  
Scunthorpe           15   24   +0       0.43    52.94    -4.44    72.15     9.00     8.35     8.71    26.34    56.69    34.90P    0.17R    0.04  
Southend             15   23   +4      -0.11    49.34     0.22    71.08     8.64    12.23     6.81    22.10    53.22    30.73P    0.14R    0.04  
Newport_County       15   23   +3       5.86    85.63     8.37    56.90     8.67   -10.46     0.19     1.24     6.75     2.08P    8.56R    3.20  
Dag_&_Red            15   23   +2       2.96    70.53     2.72    63.77     8.64    -0.62     1.25     5.81    21.95     9.01P    1.61R    0.54  
Wycombe              14   21   +3       0.98    57.64     1.75    65.18     8.92     3.47     2.01     8.48    28.16    12.95P    1.30R    0.41  
Hartlepool           15   21   +2      -2.20    35.19    -1.87    67.90     8.95     8.62     3.82    14.19    39.18    21.38P    0.51R    0.16  
Mansfield            15   21   +0       3.27    72.92     3.98    58.49     8.67    -7.02     0.31     1.75     8.96     3.03P    6.25R    2.31  
AFC_Wimbledon        15   21   -2       3.88    76.80     3.23    57.59     8.52   -10.95     0.15     1.15     6.97     2.16P    7.69R    2.86  
Portsmouth           14   20   +1      -3.85    24.39    -5.98    74.79     9.37    17.74    15.62    38.31    68.70    47.94P    0.12R    0.05  
Plymouth             15   18   -5      -0.36    48.31    -2.45    55.64     8.23   -10.69     0.07     0.55     4.07     1.20P   10.14R    3.96  
Cheltenham           15   17   -6      -3.21    28.75    -5.42    58.29     8.67    -7.85     0.22     1.51     8.46     3.17P    6.69R    2.52  
York                 15   16   -3      -1.63    39.18     1.30    52.73     8.43   -11.41     0.04     0.27     2.42     0.66P   18.29R    8.17  
Bristol_Rovers       15   14   -6      -4.33    21.83    -2.93    52.10     8.56   -12.54     0.02     0.25     2.15     0.60P   20.72R    9.45  
Torquay              15   14   -8      -4.86    19.03    -5.44    53.06     8.52   -12.90     0.03     0.30     2.54     0.81P   17.78R    8.09  
Bury                 15   13   -4      -8.11     7.42    -4.80    57.20     9.04    -1.32     0.23     1.50     8.19     3.32P    8.70R    3.65  
Accrington_Stanley   15   11  -10      -5.67    14.31    -4.46    45.33     8.22   -21.80     0.00     0.02     0.23     0.07P   51.00R   32.60  
Northampton          15   10   -9      -8.87     4.71    -6.65    47.55     8.39   -16.26     0.00     0.05     0.60     0.19P   38.56R   21.51  



Conference    (Latest match accounted for: Saturday 2 November 2013, Alfreton_Town 3 0 Halifax; Check up-to-date)
                -- Current --     --------- Luck ---------   ------- Expected -------     ---------- Percentage chance -----------
Team            Pld  Pts   GD     Points   %(pts)       GD   Points  sd(pts)       GD     Top1     Top5  1+[2-5]     Bot3     Bot1

Cambridge_Utd    17   38  +18      10.34    96.61    11.48    84.99     7.90    29.21    33.60    88.47    46.51P    0.00     0.00  
Kidderminster    17   32  +10       1.70    60.95    -1.02    81.96     7.95    26.07    20.35    79.51    37.45P    0.00     0.00  
Luton            17   31  +14       2.08    63.92     4.96    81.89     7.99    31.34    20.75    79.64    37.47P    0.00     0.00  
Grimsby          17   30   +8       1.21    57.91    -0.28    78.61     7.81    21.76    10.14    66.01    25.26P    0.01R    0.00  
Salisbury        17   30   +6       7.35    89.13     6.99    67.83     8.46     2.97     0.94    17.35     3.74P    0.48R    0.01  
Braintree_Town   17   29   +9       4.65    78.62     7.34    69.24     7.99     9.61     1.23    21.47     4.73P    0.17R    0.00  
Barnet           17   28   +8      -1.88    36.93    -2.33    78.11     8.11    24.14    10.42    63.80    26.72P    0.01R    0.00  
Welling          17   28   +5       5.91    82.98     7.08    66.69     8.42     2.87     0.72    14.36     2.96P    0.82R    0.00  
Alfreton_Town    17   28   +2       5.94    84.25     4.45    66.39     8.12    -1.10     0.45    12.66     2.11P    0.69R    0.00  
Nuneaton         17   27   +0       5.57    83.38     3.06    63.20     7.79    -5.66     0.14     5.83     0.97P    1.46R    0.01  
Gateshead        17   26   +4       2.03    63.68     3.04    66.04     7.95     4.52     0.41    11.68     2.30P    0.59R    0.00  
Halifax          17   25   +0       4.38    77.29     5.13    60.75     8.47    -7.19     0.12     4.51     0.76P    3.85R    0.07  
Lincoln_City     17   22   +0       0.01    50.65     1.91    61.05     8.00    -0.88     0.07     3.98     0.79P    2.93R    0.04  
Macclesfield     17   22   -1      -2.04    36.53    -2.06    61.14     8.02    -1.93     0.08     4.12     0.82P    2.79R    0.04  
Forest_Green     17   21   +1      -4.21    23.34    -2.13    63.21     8.09     4.59     0.16     6.83     1.62P    1.61R    0.01  
Southport        17   21   -5       0.58    54.79    -0.37    56.43     7.79   -12.64     0.01     0.99     0.15P    8.98R    0.19  
Wrexham          17   19   -3      -8.39     6.91    -9.57    65.14     8.00     6.68     0.28    10.16     2.90P    0.84R    0.01  
Dartford         17   18  -10      -2.60    33.19    -5.53    52.38     7.83   -18.64     0.00     0.25     0.05P   20.06R    0.58  
Hereford         17   17   -6      -7.01    11.44    -7.08    57.67     7.91    -4.51     0.02     1.46     0.29P    6.43R    0.12  
Tamworth         17   17   -9      -1.03    43.92    -1.07    49.65     7.64   -20.20     0.00     0.09     0.02P   31.04R    1.45  
Woking           17   14  -10      -5.80    15.71    -3.93    45.92     7.70   -23.56     0.00     0.02     0.00P   51.03R    3.45  
Chester          17   14  -13      -1.68    39.72    -1.14    43.16     7.91   -29.18     0.00     0.02     0.00P   65.70R    7.67  
Aldershot        17   13   +2      -5.05    19.66    -5.23    63.03     8.10    17.78     0.12     6.78     2.38P    1.79R    0.03  
Hyde_United      17    3  -30     -11.60     0.50   -13.70    28.28     7.29   -56.04     0.00     0.00     0.00    98.72R   86.32  

Adjustments:
Aldershot        -10